Maidens of the Kaleidoscope

~Beyond the Border~ => Rumia's Party Games => Mystia's Stored Games => Topic started by: Carthrat on February 10, 2010, 04:12:33 AM

Title: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 10, 2010, 04:12:33 AM
Himelander Mafia!

Obvious Rules

-Don't quote the mod.
-Play to win.
-Don't be lame.
-Post once a day at least.
-No extensions.
-No editing posts.
-No third parties this game.
-Scum can chat with each other anytime.
-I don't know what I'm going to do about replacements if it happens, but I will probably ragequit the game if there are too many.

Disclaimer: This is probably not the most balanced game of mafia ever but it should be fun anyways. It's certainly winnable for either faction.

READ THIS: Highlander Format Information

-Highlander Mafia takes the form of a series of duels! Each day, one player may ##Challenge another. The other player may not refuse. As soon as the ##Challenge is in, other players may beging ##Voting for their preferred victor (i.e. you are voting on who survives, not who loses.)

You will have 24 hours to initiate a challenge and 48 to resolve the duels. If no challenge is made within 24 hours, fighters will be randomly selected. Overtime duels will go into sudden death, and if they themselves take forever, bad things will happen.

-The winner of a duel gains a win, whilst the loser perishes.

-Dead people flip flavor roles; actual roles are hidden on flips in this game. Alignment is revealed, of course.

-Various roles may have restrictions on their timing. Role-holding players may forward actions to me with conditions in advance. Note that I will always uphold such conditions even if the game state changes for some reason, so be specific. This is really the only way to ensure your actions take place when you want them to, owing to the real-time nature of the game.

-Each day may also have a unique effect on the game, changing the rules or altering the game state in some fashion.

-Scum Victory: To win this game, Scum must claim five heads. That is, Scum must be victorious in five duels. Note that even if scum achieve numerical superiority over town, they will still lose if there are not enough townies left to kill. Note that in the event of a scum vs. scum duel, Scum will not claim a victory.

-Town Victory: Town win when it becomes impossible for Scum to win, whether by eliminating all of them or not having enough townies left alive for scum to claim victory. Yes, this means the entire town can die and still win.

-The game will end when either team claims a victory.

-It may not be obvious, so take note: Town will not be informed of LYLO, nor of how many kills the scum have made.

Rules clarification/patch: In the event that scum outnumber town, it will be assumed that scum automatically clean up the remaining townie heads and add them to their win total. This was sorta implied in the rules but not explicitly stated and there may be confusion with the 'games ends when someone wins' note, apologies.

the soul still burns in


2. Minagi Mikoto kitten4u likes cats can you tell
4. Kikukawa Yukino alice has a thing for tentacles
7. Yuuki Nao kiro climbed up the water spout
9. Okuzaki Akira roukanken epitomizes gender identification issues
10. Munakata Shiho kefit can strangle you with her hair
11. Fujino Shizuru uncertainkitten hates old people with passion
12. Alyssa Searrs jam-kiske's ion cannon is ready
16. Miyu Grear siralex was forced out the coolant tank

all sparkly now

13. Sanada Yukariko (pesco) was defeated by Kazahana Mashiro (bardiche) in The Battle of the Unexpected Motorist
14. Senou Aoi (kilga) was defeated by Miyu Grear (siralex) and Sugiura Midori(ciato) in The Battle of the Misplaced Bullet!
14. Kuga Natsuki (eviltom) was defeated by Miyu Grear (siralex) and Sugiura Midori(ciato) in The Battle of the Misplaced Bullet!
5. Sugiura Midori (ciato) was defeated by Munakata Shiho (kefit) in The Battle of the Unfortunate Crush!
1. Kazahana Mashiro (bard) exploded! Scum claimed .99 of a kill!
8. Himeno Fumi (Serp) was defeated by Fujino Shizuru (UK) in The Battle of the Twin Reapers!
6. Higurashi Akane (chaos) was defeated by Okuzaki Akira (rou) in The Battle of the Hot Sauce!
15. Harada Chie (cid) was blown up by an ATS missile battery!

Role PMs will be sent out over the next few hours, confirm in thread.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Carthrat on February 10, 2010, 05:09:54 AM
That should be all roles out. For the love of god if you have questions ask me before the game starts.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 10, 2010, 05:36:31 AM
haaaaa~i
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 10, 2010, 05:47:34 AM
sudo confirm
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Edible on February 10, 2010, 05:48:30 AM
Tokiha Mai was too hax for this game, and was therefore elevated to the position of co-mod.

Or something.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Chaore on February 10, 2010, 05:53:05 AM
Confirmed.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 10, 2010, 05:59:14 AM
I don't get to stalk Mai? :(  Oh well

/confirm
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Serp on February 10, 2010, 06:14:32 AM
Confirmed.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Pesco on February 10, 2010, 06:27:15 AM
God called, I left Him voicemail.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Kefit on February 10, 2010, 06:28:39 AM
Mai's not here so I've already won.

Also I have no idea how things work around here so I'll just do what everyone else is doing and say "confirmed" to confirm that I am indeed confirmed.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: EvilTom on February 10, 2010, 07:08:34 AM
(http://www.jasms.de/anime/mai_hime/natsuki01.jpg)
I am awesome, let me win now plskthx.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Kiro on February 10, 2010, 08:30:31 AM
Confirmed. *lick*
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 10, 2010, 10:15:28 AM
Confirmed.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 10, 2010, 11:28:21 AM
Confirmed.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 10, 2010, 05:12:31 PM
Confirmed, but V/LA til tomorrow night assuming I can ever escape this snow :S. Don't have my normal axis but I can sorta check in from time to time if I must.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: El Cideon on February 10, 2010, 08:23:38 PM
Confirmification.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: MissCiato on February 11, 2010, 03:00:24 PM
Yup.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 11, 2010, 05:50:49 PM
/loli confirm
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Pregame)
Post by: Bardiche on February 11, 2010, 09:46:43 PM
Confirmed, Rat~ (sorry, sorry!)

I just realised, why's there an asterisk behind my line only? :(

It's a mark of SHAME. For being LAST.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Carthrat on February 12, 2010, 06:42:19 AM
They found her lying out the front of the library. It was a Friday. No wonder she hadn't turned up for work. With her throat smashed like that, there's no way she could have cheerfully greeted the customers with her cheerful greetings.

For most of the school, it was a tragedy. Who didn't like Mai? Who couldn't admire her determination? Who would do such a thing?

Sixteen people had some idea. Quite apart from a tragedy, Mai's death was a sign of one thing- the gauntlet being thrown down. Someone had decided to start the Festival, and it would not be finished until blood ran down the halls.

Whispers and sobbing echo through the halls and gardens of Fuka. How long until screams of rage and cries of agony accompanied them, disturbing the serene land? (http://img140.imageshack.us/img140/2222/41174569.jpg)

The Hime Star is high in the sky! It is Round 1. There are no special effects. You have 24 hours to issue a challenge!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 06:45:49 AM
##Vote K4U and UK challenge for the ultimate catfight!

Question: If I lose a fight, will my special person also die? What if they're in the game?


Seriously though. I'm up for a quick challenge if there's any takers.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Serp on February 12, 2010, 11:02:14 AM
Seems that the smartest play for the town in this game is to immediately vote to death anyone who has won in battle against a townie.  Without knowing the game's power roles or the numbers of the scum team, I'm not sure whether following this strategy would make it entirely impossible for scum to win, but it should at least make it a lot more difficult, as every head claimed by scum would be followed by a scum death.

The one who the town considers most scummy should be told to challenge the winner of the previous fight in the case of a townie's loss.  Refusing to do so is basically signing your own death warrant, as that's only a smart move from scum being told to challenge scum.

This leaves open the question of who will fight in the first battle (since in the likely case that the loser of the first battle is a townie, the winner will just be voted to death in the next fight), but I suppose I'll give you all a chance to poke holes in this idea before we settle that matter.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 12:19:54 PM
The duels themselves are of little consequence. Scum certainly won't have enough members to keep challenging themselves to rack up the wins. By extension, they don't really have much voting power. It'll be fine to have town vs town matches to build up voting records for analysis.

So, who wants to fight me?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 12, 2010, 12:26:29 PM
Voting against a speedy challenge. I want everyone to weigh in before we jump into anything.

Serp's plan would work for me only if there was some way to be sure there were no more than four scum, because with five or more that strategy could very well hand them a victory.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 12:30:34 PM
Since we're only allowed one challenge per 24 hours, we don't have time to faf around until near deadline like normal.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 12, 2010, 12:35:17 PM
Deadline's not as scary as normal in this game, given all it takes to get a challenge going is someone issuing one.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 12:39:15 PM
Let's fight then. The win conditions favour town greatly and scum need to take big risks to get their quota.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 01:11:46 PM
Question: If I lose a fight, will my special person also die? What if they're in the game?
Why did you feel the need to say this in public rather than, y'know, PMing the GM? Softclaiming on the game's first post is sort of ridiculous.

I've spent a while trying to come up with tactics to give Town insta-wins. Things like 'Pick one player, pray they're Town, have them win every showdown' and 'Lynch the winner of the previous showdown every day'. I'm assuming Carth's taken on methods to make sure these tactics won't work, something like a kill power or a recruitment or something.

I think honestly the best thing we have running in our favour is this: If we end up having Townies fighting Townies, we can't lose.

Pesco seems to be trying very hard to get himself challenged. I don't know if I like that, given that Mafia are looking for way to throw themselves into fights without looking obvious.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 01:33:46 PM
Who says I'm claiming? I think it might have been cool if Serp died too if UK lost a fight or maybe I die when you lose one.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 02:14:10 PM
Who says I'm claiming? I think it might have been cool if Serp died too if UK lost a fight or maybe I die when you lose one.
I fail to see how that's even remotely relevant if it isn't a claim. 'Hey gaiz, wouldn't it be cool if I was a lover?' :|
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kiro on February 12, 2010, 02:30:11 PM
Regarding Serp's plan: It works in a sense, but with a fatal flaw. The goal seems to be to limit every single player to one victory at most. You could cycle through the players in some orderly fashion and if there are only 4 or less scum this game, it's easy sailing considering they need 5 wins. If there's 5 though, we actually run the risk of playing right into their hands. Say the first duel is a Townie vs a Townie. A Townie will die obviously. If you cycle through systematically from there, that means at some point, a Scum will challenge a Townie first and win. They won't care if they die the next day because if we keep doing that, the sole remaining Scum secures the victory before he can be killed. This would also assume that in some way, the Scum avoid challenging each other during the process.

I think an idea that poses the best chance for Town is to have it such that two separate people with 0 wins challenge each other for the first 8 Days. That will result in 8 deaths and 8 people with 1 victory. You can then estimate how many duels Scum might have won based on the number of people that have flipped Scum upon death. That leaves the remaining Scum amongst 8 people to secure more victories and that's where the scumhunting and bandwagon analysis will really start. The counter to this would be that it will probably give Scum some victories, but you feasibly can't prevent that anyways unless there was a foolproof way to impartially determine someone is Town and let him secure victories as mentioned by Rou.

That's my input on the game setup.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 03:11:24 PM
I fail

fixed
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 03:47:49 PM
It does look like a soft claim, to be sure, Pesco.

Either way, I agree with those people who prefer caution over headlong rushing into the heat of the battle. There are a number of strategies scum can employ to lead town astray.

However, attempting to reason as to scum's actions presents such a wide web of possibilities, narrowing it down to just a single one seems difficult if not foolish.

When given the option of staging the duels and regulating it, I can't find myself in agreement. That would be giving town an unnecessary handicap: after all, once that is over and done with, we must be more diligent in catching scum, because there is a good possibility they have already accrued some victories. The possibility of staging a scum vs scum duel seems slim at best.

No, I think it would be best everyone use their own judgment in issueing duel invitations. Always remember, though: if you're town, you always want to win your duels.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 03:53:26 PM
Am I just retarded or was there a plot reference in what Pesco said? I didn't get around to watching Mai-HIME. >_>

Anyway, Kiro's idea doesn't really seem any better than Serp's. Who decides the matchups, exactly? There's too much opportunity for scum to step in and rig the matches. Taking 8 days before we actually scumhunt is awkward, and there's every chance that by then scum could already have a good number of victories.

Why not just do something simpler? D1, we get a challenge as advertised and leave it to the public to decide. D2, the survivor of this challenge chooses someone else to lynch them. Either one of the two players is scum in which case we have info we can use to scumhunt, or we've killed off one Townie safely and one who is likely to be safe. Scum/Scum is obviously going to be avoided by the scumteam. In the case of a Town/Scum showdown, it's likely scum will win initially, but then we can examine the people who emerged on the pro-Scum wagon. We get information to work with for the cheapest possible price.

tl;dr For today, do whatever the hell you think is right. We can sit and analyse it later when some people are dead.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Edible on February 12, 2010, 03:57:24 PM
Vote Count: Minami Kuribayashi Edition

No one has challenged.  No one has voted.

You have approximately 14 hours to issue a challenge.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 03:57:46 PM
First Post MindHax on Bardiche.

I'm challenging you to fight in 2 hours time.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 04:03:54 PM
Can't say I would particularly enjoy that, nor that I would find it a particularly wise course of action. Haphazardly challenging people before even all have spoken? Being too rash only leads down paths you might come to regret.

Rather than that, why not sit down, sip a cup of tea and await the others to speak, or at least the deadline to be closer? We can always stage a wonderful duel once we've heard all contenders in this battle of wits; you seem entirely too eager to be fighting others. I wonder where this excitement of yours comes from?

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 04:10:31 PM
First Blood is badass. Decision is pretty much set now.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 04:19:21 PM
I'm interested in seeing your strategy play out. I wonder if the scenario you presented earlier, "my special person" has anything to do with this? Making sure as many die as soon as possible seems like a surefire strategy to narrow down the playing field, after all.

But as it stands, I can make neither heads nor tails of your idea.

Roukanken's idea seems like it could work. I'm still not terribly thrilled by the idea of supplementing duels in a predetermined way, as once scum has seized hold of the decision process, they merely need secure victories.

Well, duels aren't resolved immediately, so even after Pesco issues the challenge I should have time to consider how I feel about any idea regulating the flow of the game... My kneejerk reaction is opposition, naturally.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Carthrat on February 12, 2010, 04:32:54 PM
Quote from: Pesco
Question: If I lose a fight, will my special person also die? What if they're in the game?

All powers/effects in this game come from roles or special daily events.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 05:07:40 PM
I'm interested in seeing your strategy play out. I wonder if the scenario you presented earlier, "my special person" has anything to do with this? Making sure as many die as soon as possible seems like a surefire strategy to narrow down the playing field, after all.

That question was flavour based. I forced myself to watch the show till the end and I'm damn well going to make use of what I see.

Making there not enough townies left for scum to gain their quota is a sure win. Vigs would be pretty hot this game :)

So yeah. I think Bardiche is scum just because and even if he was town we've denied scum from scoring once.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 05:21:03 PM
 :D

If I were scum and you had gathered that from my single post, I would commend your brilliance.

As it stands I don't think that was your motive.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 05:23:48 PM
Be learned (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=4654.msg238968#msg238968)

40 minutes until I issue the challenge.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 05:25:10 PM
Then you're about to prove yourself sorely wrong. :D
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 05:27:24 PM
Wellp, admittedly my first impulse is to challenge someone randomly just because it's something I'd do. My second impulse is to challenge Carthrat. But I'm pretty sure that would end in tears.

So, my third impulse, and the one I'm going to follow is to actually encourage Pesco to put his money where his mouth is and challenge Bard when he says he will.

No, I'm not bloodthirsty, not at all.

To be fair, I don't think Pesco has ever had to put his life on the line for First Post Mind Hax before, and it intrigues me to see if a process that tends to be right will be successful here as well.

Oh yeah, Rou once again gains my eye on him for doing the same thing he always does, I believe regardless of alignment. That felt a little too reactionary to the soft claim but it's overall hard to read, especially since it's Rou.

Also, something bothers me about Bard's reaction rereading it. He feels a little nervous. But that's also hard to read at this stage of the game...I still don't like it.

Cuts:

:D

If I were scum and you had gathered that from my single post, I would commend your brilliance.

As it stands I don't think that was your motive.

He has a meta of doing this. The problem is it's absolutely worthless if he's scum for obvious reasons. So while I want to see this happen because I think it's amusing and your reaction leads me to believe it might be fruitful, I acknowledge that Pesco could be fooling us.

I will state one thing. I actually think making this go FASTER is pro town given MotK's general meta. It hadn't really occured to me before, but when we drag the day out to it's maximum limit, we tend to lynch someone who was playing badly rather than lynching scum. And while scum can play badly, we don't have a great track record.

I do believe I'm firmly behind this challenge, and am about ready to throw my own gauntlet down and say I'll challenge Pesco if he doesn't follow through on his promise to you, Bard. I doubt I'll have to.


Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 05:30:48 PM
Also, something bothers me about Bard's reaction rereading it. He feels a little nervous. But that's also hard to read at this stage of the game...I still don't like it.

Reaction to what? :) While we're still in "sip a cup of tea and see how things go" phase, it's best to iron out all the uncertainties you feel about the two "to be" challenged people, correct?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 05:32:18 PM
Reaction to what? :) While we're still in "sip a cup of tea and see how things go" phase, it's best to iron out all the uncertainties you feel about the two "to be" challenged people, correct?

I spit in your tea!

 :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 05:33:23 PM
I spit in your tea!

 :V

:( Why can't we be friends?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: EvilTom on February 12, 2010, 05:35:29 PM
(http://egocentric.free.fr/wp-content/maihime.jpg)
Fighting like this is useless, it's just what they want us to do. Do you really think we're achieving a goal? We're all just being used.

That said, I'd like to see a Nun beat the shit out of a cripple. So tasteful.

This speculation is pointless, I want to see VIOLENCE.

And it would be nice to see one of Bard and Pesco dead.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 05:36:27 PM
Reaction to what? :) While we're still in "sip a cup of tea and see how things go" phase, it's best to iron out all the uncertainties you feel about the two "to be" challenged people, correct?

Not necessarily. And to be honest, it's just the feeling I got from your post. It felt like "Shit, he's right...but if I can get him to back off I can wait for someone to play badly"

Then again, you also probably aren't as aware of our punish the bad players meta, so that's not as strong. On the other hand, it's pretty easy to punish someone for playing badly D1 relatively universally.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 05:36:46 PM
No trolling in my house please Tom.

 :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 05:41:21 PM
Not necessarily. And to be honest, it's just the feeling I got from your post. It felt like "Shit, he's right...but if I can get him to back off I can wait for someone to play badly"

My thoughts are more along the lines of, "Oh darn, am I going to die spectacularly over my first post?" Add in some line of thought regarding "I thought I'd at least last longer than that".

Of course, come the duel I'd advise you to vote for me. After all, I'm town, so my victory will always be in town's best interest.

The only thing that leaves me nervous is Roukanken's meta-play on alleged scum actions, making statements as "scum would avoid scum vs scum" and "mafia are looking for ways to throw themselves into fights without looking suspicious".

By the way, where's that meido of mine? I require new tea, my old cup appears to have some mysterious spit that surely originated from some mysterious offender. It's quite distasteful.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 05:45:08 PM
The only thing that leaves me nervous is Roukanken's meta-play on alleged scum actions, making statements as "scum would avoid scum vs scum" and "mafia are looking for ways to throw themselves into fights without looking suspicious".

I'd like to hear Rou's thoughts on Bard's posts.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 05:45:14 PM
Quote
The only thing that leaves me nervous is Roukanken's meta-play on alleged scum actions, making statements as "scum would avoid scum vs scum" and "mafia are looking for ways to throw themselves into fights without looking suspicious".

Hmm? I think I missed this. I honestly glazed over his D1 Walls o' text...perhaps I should reread them today?

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 12, 2010, 05:47:33 PM
I can see where Pesco's coming from on calling out Bard's first post, it reminds me of his Day 1 play when he was scum with Ciato in that Laggy game a while ago. There's no real "mindhax" to be applied, logic dictates the post is quite reportery. I do give slight pause because I know Bard tends to play like this regardless of alignment but not a whole lot.

Couple of other things I don't like.

So yeah. I think Bardiche is scum just because and even if he was town we've denied scum from scoring once.

This sort of statement is stupid and obvious to the point of meaninglessness and I don't know why you'd say it if you were town. Kinda makes me want to vote against you, to be honest.

I will state one thing. I actually think making this go FASTER is pro town given MotK's general meta. It hadn't really occured to me before, but when we drag the day out to it's maximum limit, we tend to lynch someone who was playing badly rather than lynching scum. And while scum can play badly, we don't have a great track record.

Except the lynch mechanism for this game is vastly different from the normal lynch. A challenge issued 4 hours into the day is no different from a challenge issued 23 hours into the day, aside from the fact that the second one gives us 19 extra hours to plan.

Don't forget, it only takes one person to get a duel going. Anyone that's on before the challenge deadline could challenge anyone else and suddenly we'd have our 48 hour voting period just fine.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 05:53:30 PM
1) I don't know Bard's meta. Just because I know where your games are at doesn't mean I read them. It's mindhax all the same.

2) You haven't Yuyuko Doll'd me yet this game. So of course you might as well vote to have me lose. :P
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 05:54:17 PM
Quote
Except the lynch mechanism for this game is vastly different from the normal lynch. A challenge issued 4 hours into the day is no different from a challenge issued 23 hours into the day, aside from the fact that the second one gives us 19 extra hours to plan.

Don't forget, it only takes one person to get a duel going. Anyone that's on before the challenge deadline could challenge anyone else and suddenly we'd have our 48 hour voting period just fine.

Except the lynch mechanic ALSO locks us into choosing between two players, and if the day drags on, knowing MotK, we'll force two bad players to challenge each other and get less information than we would otherwise.

4 hours MIGHT be a little excessively fast, I admit, but we don't need to wait 23 hours either.

Granted, these short days MIGHT mitigate the "you sucked, go challenge the other player who sucked. Now."
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 05:59:34 PM
words

Sirrah, might I point out I clearly stated where I stood on the described events? Regulating the duels just does not sit with me as a bright idea, given the abyssmal chance of success and the complications I suspect it will bring along.

UncertainKitten: By that logic, which takes MotK experience into account, can you not agree that my suggestion to draw out the day sits more from a different mindset when playing moreso than my hope to pin the day's duel on another?

Where I come from, we customarily do not jump into the heat of things barely fifteen posts into the game. Customary caution should not equal "kill immediately".
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 06:02:52 PM
Time up.

##Challenge Bardiche

Nun vs cripple! FUCK YEAH!!!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 06:03:27 PM
Heh, I play on MS. I know a lot about not jumping into the heat of things so fast.

I want to try something different. The thing is, the way you phrased it just pings something in my gut that you want to take time to get the attention off yourself. It's not the fact you advocate caution, it's just...something feels really off about how you said it and I can't put my finger on it.

And...there goes Pesco.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 06:06:58 PM
Well, if all attention remains on me, it means all the others could just skirt by sitting in wait, knowing that Pesco would draw the day into this inevitable duel. Especially now given that he was given a challenge from you to keep his word, no?

Now that the duel has begun, I'm left with ill little knowledge of what charges be put against me, and how others even feel on the issue: I should hope the coming forty-eight hours be at least enlightening enough that people get chances to speak and let themselves be known lest "LAL" be the method to resort to near the end.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 06:11:39 PM
Heehee, well, it's pretty hard to skirt by now. Focusing so much on you would be pointless. I think everyone needs to post their progressive thoughts on you and pesco as the day goes on, but cases should still go around so we can figure out what we are doing tomorrow.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 06:14:49 PM
So how's about dem votes?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 06:15:36 PM
##Vote Pesco
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 12, 2010, 06:29:19 PM
##Vote: Bardiche

Both answers were unimpressive. Pesco's more so, given he more or less ignored the point entirely. I also don't like the "don't think just act" attitude that seems to be oozing from his posts (andUK's to alesser extent, for all that she's relevant right now)

Sirrah, might I point out I clearly stated where I stood on the described events? Regulating the duels just does not sit with me as a bright idea, given the abyssmal chance of success and the complications I suspect it will bring along.

There is still a lot of unnecessary pro-town fluff in that post, like telling town to make sure they try to win their duels. What's the point of pointing that out?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 06:31:17 PM
There is still a lot of unnecessary pro-town fluff in that post, like telling town to make sure they try to win their duels. What's the point of pointing that out?

In case anyone thinks, "Hey, I'm town and if town falls below a certain threshold, we win! I should let myself die because I'm not too useful anyway!" or something along those lines, of course.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 06:32:18 PM
Quote
Both answers were unimpressive. Pesco's more so, given he more or less ignored the point entirely. I also don't like the "don't think just act" attitude that seems to be oozing from his posts (andUK's to alesser extent, for all that she's relevant right now)

But I think thought was indeed involved. It just might not be 'satisfactory thought'.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 06:36:59 PM
I'd like to hear Rou's thoughts on Bard's posts.
Well,
Quote
Always remember, though: if you're town, you always want to win your duels.
I got a weird vibe from this, I'll admit. Besides that it feels slightly condescending, it seems to be trying to goad Town into attacking too early.

Quote
The only thing that leaves me nervous is Roukanken's meta-play on alleged scum actions, making statements as "scum would avoid scum vs scum" and "mafia are looking for ways to throw themselves into fights without looking suspicious".
Quote from: Bardiche
The possibility of staging a scum vs scum duel seems slim at best.
Hypocrisy much?

I'm not sure how much of Bardiche's 'Oh dear, this is all very troublesome' is just RPing and how much of it is trying to get written off as a helpful Townie.

Meanwhile, his comments along the lines of 'You're about to prove yourself sorely wrong' and 'After all, I'm town, so my victory will always be in town's best interest' really rub me the wrong way. You realise comments like that pretty much bleed WIFOM, right?

On the other hand, Pesco has this 'special person' thing, and I have no clue if it's a claim or a reference or whatever. Besides that he basically flung himself into battle at the first opportunity claiming FPMH, which I've never liked regardless of its former results. Here it's twice as bad because now we have no choice but to either trust him or kill him off. The absolute refusal to give any reasoning for his suspicion other than 'just because' doesn't help matters.

I'm edging towards voting Bard for this showdown, but really I'm just irritated we ended up getting a showdown so freaking quickly. I mean seriously, I don't know if half the players have even posted yet.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 06:37:40 PM
EBWOP: Gah, I meant voting Pesco so Bard would die. This setup is weird. :/
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 06:37:58 PM
You guys want the duelists to self vote early or not to prevent quickhammer?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 06:39:36 PM
Oh, Rou. Would you please stop rolefishing on Pesco? So what if he soft claimed? we do not need to know
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 06:42:39 PM
Hypocrisy much?

None whatsoever; in staging duels as per town's consensus, it is difficult to set up scum VS scum as per my expectations because usually, town:scum ratio is canted in town's favour.

Moreover, you suggested that scum would avoid this, which isn't necessarily true, but the argument for that leads into WIFOM.

Quote
I'm not sure how much of Bardiche's 'Oh dear, this is all very troublesome' is just RPing and how much of it is trying to get written off as a helpful Townie.

Well, I am the principal. Infighting and accusing the principal of murder is all very troublesome.

Quote
Meanwhile, his comments along the lines of 'You're about to prove yourself sorely wrong' and 'After all, I'm town, so my victory will always be in town's best interest' really rub me the wrong way. You realise comments like that pretty much bleed WIFOM, right?

"Hey, your post is MindHax! (whatever that means) I'm going to CRUISE CONTROL INTO DUEL TWO HOURS FROM NOW."

Okay. Please suggest a viable course of action to undertake here other than, "Hey, you know what? You're wrong, I'm town."

Quote
I'm edging towards voting Bard for this showdown, but really I'm just irritated we ended up getting a showdown so freaking quickly. I mean seriously, I don't know if half the players have even posted yet.

Then we're of the same mind regarding that at least. Seriously, some players can now sit back and watch this unfold thanks to someone's rashness.


I was under the impression we can't vote ourselves, but if we can:

##VOTE: Bardiche, of course.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 06:50:13 PM
Nah, Rou just needs to sit through all 26 episodes like me and I'll be happy. :V

But seriously, just go watch from like episode 16 onwards to the end. My question will make a lot more sense and you can stop being excessively paranoid. I'll still be keeping an eye on you though.

It does look like a soft claim, to be sure, Pesco.

Nice bit of egging on paranoia

Quote
Either way, I agree with those people who prefer caution over headlong rushing into the heat of the battle. There are a number of strategies scum can employ to lead town astray.

However, attempting to reason as to scum's actions presents such a wide web of possibilities, narrowing it down to just a single one seems difficult if not foolish.

When given the option of staging the duels and regulating it, I can't find myself in agreement. That would be giving town an unnecessary handicap: after all, once that is over and done with, we must be more diligent in catching scum, because there is a good possibility they have already accrued some victories. The possibility of staging a scum vs scum duel seems slim at best.

Waffle wafle speculative waffle

Quote
No, I think it would be best everyone use their own judgment in issueing duel invitations. Always remember, though: if you're town, you always want to win your duels.

That's what I'm doing here. However, winners of duels don't get confirmed and will accrue suspicion on themselves.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 06:52:24 PM
Wait a moment.

Roukanken, shouldn't your vote be on me if you're so displeased with how quick we got into a showdown? Shouldn't you be against the one that caused this?

---------------

Nice bit of egging on paranoia.

"Guys does my special other die too?"
"WAIT THAT'S A SOFTCLAIM"
"lol you fail"

"Well, it does look like a soft claim."
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 06:56:29 PM
Probability-wise, scum team has to has someone who plays on MotK. They'd know quite well that Rou's paranoia weakness is easy to exploit. You agree with him, so tell us why and what does it prove instead of just nodding.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 06:58:41 PM
Oh, Rou. Would you please stop rolefishing on Pesco? So what if he soft claimed? we do not need to know
You're assuming that this isn't, say, a fakeclaim? >_>

Moreover, you suggested that scum would avoid this, which isn't necessarily true, but the argument for that leads into WIFOM.
My point was for my scenario - i.e. let a challenge go as normal then have the winner be killed the next day - scum DEFINITELY don't want to challenge each other, because they lose two members and gain nothing.
If we left them to their own devices, scum/scum is possible, but in the example I was intending to set up it's completely pointless and thus I expected it to be avoided if at all possible.

Quote
Okay. Please suggest a viable course of action to undertake here other than, "Hey, you know what? You're wrong, I'm town."
"Hey, you know what? You're lying, you're scum." Attack, don't defend.

Wait a moment.

Roukanken, shouldn't your vote be on me if you're so displeased with how quick we got into a showdown? Shouldn't you be against the one that caused this?
As much as I'd like to, Pesco's meta is disgusting in that he does this sort of stupid suicidal useless crap as Town. T_T

Out of interest, Bardiche, did you watch the series? Something a little more lighthearted out of curiosity while I ignore the headache this game is already giving me. And maybe some wikipedia reading to figure out what the hell Pesco's talking about.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: MissCiato on February 12, 2010, 07:00:45 PM
8)

Dammit, you guys started the action so early~ I am quite sad!

Anyway, I think that Pesco's argument is pretty weak overall -- his assumption is that he won't be the one who is killed off (and if Bard is scum and he is killed off he basically will be giving scum a free kill). I think this is a pretty terrible assumption as town but not a terrible one to push as scum -- if you convince the opposition that challenging and voting Bard is the best things strategically, it is a good start.

Bard is acting passive-aggressive on the other hand and I can't say I approve of that at all. I don't understand why he voted for himself at all.

Rou is really the one I think is challenge-worthy, but apparently he is always paranoid according to Pesco? I'm not sure how much I can interpret a bit of shitstorming as scummy, but I can't really meta with players here. :p
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 07:05:15 PM
Voting for self = self-preservation, Ciato.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 07:06:35 PM
When I know something of you personally, I WILL use it for an advantage. That is all.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 07:07:18 PM
Quote
You're assuming that this isn't, say, a fakeclaim? >_>

...why in the name of god would anyone ever fakeclaim lover? If that's what it is. I mean, seriously.

Actually, you know what, fuck it. Please, tell me what you think Pesco's role is, and why fakeclaiming it would give him ANY advantage?

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 07:10:03 PM
Actually, you know what, fuck it. Please, tell me what you think Pesco's role is, and why fakeclaiming it would give him ANY advantage?
I was suspecting some sort of scum bomb - when defeated in a challenge, takes the opponent down as well to score one point before death. Listing himself as a lover would make him a likely target for a challenge, since removing two townies from the equation makes things even easier for Town.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 07:13:06 PM
Probability-wise, scum team has to has someone who plays on MotK. They'd know quite well that Rou's paranoia weakness is easy to exploit. You agree with him, so tell us why and what does it prove instead of just nodding.

So now your argument is "Bard must know of Rou's weakness". Riiiight.

I agree with him because it does look like that. What other reason is there to ask such a thing?

My point was for my scenario - i.e. let a challenge go as normal then have the winner be killed the next day - scum DEFINITELY don't want to challenge each other, because they lose two members and gain nothing.

WIFOM.

Quote
If we left them to their own devices, scum/scum is possible, but in the example I was intending to set up it's completely pointless and thus I expected it to be avoided if at all possible.

WIFOM.

Quote
"Hey, you know what? You're lying, you're scum." Attack, don't defend.

Attack him on what? He just said he voted me because First Blood is Badass.

Quote
Out of interest, Bardiche, did you watch the series? Something a little more lighthearted out of curiosity while I ignore the headache this game is already giving me. And maybe some wikipedia reading to figure out what the hell Pesco's talking about.

A little.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 07:16:30 PM
Just out of interest Rou, who on the player list do you think is the dearest one to me (RL relations I mean)?

Killing 2 townies means there's 2 less targets for scum to fight. If they don't have enough scum vs town matches, they lose. The game setup favours town.

Quote
So now your argument is "Bard must know of Rou's weakness". Riiiight.

I agree with him because it does look like that. What other reason is there to ask such a thing?

Go visit the Wizard of Oz, Strawman. You agree with him, so what does it prove if you think I was softclaiming?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 07:19:07 PM
WIFOM.
You realise that if scum DID accept a scum/scum battle in those circumstances it'd be a huge bonus for us, right? I discarded it because it's idealistic, best-case-scenario thinking that is a million to one from ever happening because two scum offering themselves up to be lynched for NO REASON isn't worth it. That is why the survivor of the challenge dies Day 2.

Quote
Attack him on what? He just said he voted me because First Blood is Badass.
Then say that. Say he's being overimpulsive or something. Don't say 'he's wrong'.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 07:19:47 PM
Go visit the Wizard of Oz, Strawman. You agree with him, so what does it prove if you think I was softclaiming?

It proves that I think your venomous attitude against him was beacuse of a not unfounded suspicion.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 07:20:32 PM
I was suspecting some sort of scum bomb - when defeated in a challenge, takes the opponent down as well to score one point before death. Listing himself as a lover would make him a likely target for a challenge, since removing two townies from the equation makes things even easier for Town.

This...what?

This doesn't even make SENSE!

How is losing two townies GOOD FOR TOWN? Further, if he's a scum bomb, wouldn't he just do what he did and not even bother with the fake claim? Honestly, this logic does not work.

Quote
Killing 2 townies means there's 2 less targets for scum to fight. If they don't have enough scum vs town matches, they lose. The game setup favours town.

Oh, that's why it's good for town.

At any rate, this is still kinda...yeeeeeeeeeah.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 12, 2010, 07:30:26 PM
How is losing two townies GOOD FOR TOWN? Further, if he's a scum bomb, wouldn't he just do what he did and not even bother with the fake claim? Honestly, this logic does not work.
1. Scum needs to beat Town in challenges to win. If we reduce the field to less than 5 Townies, Scum cannot win.
2. Why not do both?

That said, having done some reading I'm pretty sure I understand what Pesco was talking about, and I fucked up. Hard. Yes, I'm overly paranoid and I should have paid attention to the background material. >_>
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Serp on February 12, 2010, 07:31:20 PM
Kiro:  If we were to take my plan and follow it for the whole game, regardless of the flips we got, then yes, we'd basically be gambling everything on the assumption that the mafia has less than five members.  But every time we killed a scum, we'd have another chance to go back and evaluate who's scummiest and who should duel who - and if we got a scumflip out of that fight, then we'd be another kill ahead of scum.  There's also the fact that scum would never be able to accumulate more than one kill more than the number of scum deaths.  So, if we got three scumflips and there were still enough players left for scum to possibly win, we could re-evaluate our strategy then as well.

If we can get two untested combatants to fight, and get the loser to flip scum, that would be ideal, but your plan to pair everyone up at the start would mean that we'd only be able to guess how many heads scum have claimed by looking at how many scumflips we've gotten after everyone has gotten a chance to fight.  And with scum potentially voting as a bloc, they'd probably win more fights than they lost.

As for Pesco vs. Bardiche, I see where Pesco's coming from with his strategy.  Can't say I've gotten a strong scummy impression from Bardiche, but early in the day, you can't really expect that sort of thing, and this gambit of Pesco's feels townie to me.

##Vote: Pesco

At the moment, I'm favoring Rou to kill Pesco if Bardiche flips town, if only for the dramatic value.

Though, it just now occured to me that if two untested people go into battle with each other, and a townie dies, then it might be smarter to have the towniest players go through and kill each other until a scum pops up.  This would hopefully result in a lot of townies being removed from the game before we hit the next scum.  And after that next scum death, the two scummiest players could be picked to fight each other in hopes of killing a scum before he claims a head.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Edible on February 12, 2010, 07:31:55 PM
DAY 1 CHALLENGE SET

Pesco has challenged Bardiche.  You have 46.5 hours to vote for either player.

Vote Count
Bardiche (2) - Bardiche, Kilgamayan
Pesco (2) - UncertainKitten, Serpentarius
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 07:52:18 PM
##Vote Pesco

Lynch that sinner nun :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 12, 2010, 08:59:05 PM
Oh god you people already posted three pages what.

Just got home from work, embarking on the daunting task of getting caught up here.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kefit on February 12, 2010, 09:03:22 PM
Wow nice job jumping into things without even bothering to analyze the game rules properly. The best option for the townies at this early stage in the game is to not initiate any duels absent some incredibly strong proof, available to all the townies, that a given player is scum. Here's why:

Let's assume there are five scum and ten townies. This is probably unrealistic, as five scum is quite the powerful voting bloc. But hey, maybe the scum need the help in this game. This means there are 105 possible duels. Of those, there are:

45 townie vs townie
10 scum vs scum
50 scum vs townie

So on a random duel selection, that's a less than 50% chance of even getting a duel that could lead to a scum victory upon random selection. And then even after getting this duel they still have to actually WIN it. Fuck if I know how you ruffians vote in these things, but I get the feeling that, at least early on, the chances of the scum winning the duel are roughly 50%. All in all, about a 25% chance of scum getting their first of five victories. These chances are even smaller if there are fewer scum.

A townie death that is not a scum victory (ie what will happen about 40% of the time) is both a benefit and a detriment to the scum. It is a benefit because it increases the power of the scum voting bloc. Once #scum > #townies, the scum win as long as there are enough townies left to eke out five victories. It is a detriment because it reduces the number of townies available for a scum victory. Before, the scum had to be responsible for five out of ten potential townie deaths. Now they need to be responsible for five out of nine potential townie deaths. This is a delicate balance, and the net detriment or benefit to the scum depends upon number of living scum, number of living townies, and number of attained scum victories at any given time. I think that, at this early stage of the game while we are still working with large numbers, the benefit or detriment from this will be slight.

This analysis will probably not hold up in later rounds - that is, random duel selection may begin to favor the scum once players start dying. It may also not hold up under the weight of strange and wondrous roles that you ruffians have dreamt up as a result of playing this game way too fucking much. But based on what we know, for the first round it seems pretty clear that it is only beneficial for the scum if a player initiates a duel. This increases that 25% chance of obtaining a scum victory while simultaneously eliminating that pesky 10% chance of a scum vs scum duel.

Oh wait I seem to remember someone who proactively started a duel (rather than waiting for the random number generator to select the duel, a process which favors the townies) and who also claimed that townie vs townie kills were a strict detriment to the wolves.

##Vote Pesco
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 09:36:14 PM
Kefit: Might I point out to you that your champion over there initiated the duel pro-actively, and not I? At least get your facts straight, please.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 12, 2010, 09:45:20 PM
Hiya.  I generally agree with Kefit's analysis here, but his vote for Pesco at the end is a bit confusing - you realize we're voting for who we want to WIN the duel here, right?  Pesco's the one throwing out the quick challenge, which given the rules I do indeed think is pro-scum enough to want to see him lose it. 

##Vote: Bardiche

Aside from that I think it's important to keep in mind that this isn't a normal mafia game and therefore normal scum finding tactics and attitudes aren't likely to be too incredibly helpful.  We're looking for a group that wants to take risks, get in duels and take heads here, as opposed to the normal process of looking for a group that is trying to avoid conflict and being lynched.  So I'm not particularly sold on any of the analysis so far.  I think it's clear that scum can't win the setup as given unless they have massive numbers and/or role shenanigans... but even if Pesco does have a proscum role, the only thing we can really do about it is kill him in a duel.  So.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 09:48:02 PM
WoT of wafflenumbers. Zero anal is rather scummy don't you say?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 12, 2010, 09:58:52 PM
Okay, initial thoughts:

-Talk of regulating challenges = alarming. My problem with all of these plans is that they assume the game is sufficiently unbalanced for town organization to be easy. I admit I'm still grappling with the mechanics here, but I am not willing to make assumptions about a setup this early on, especially not that either side has an innate advantage that makes a specific course of action obviously the best. Seeing such plans put forth makes me wary of those promoting them.

-First Post Mindhax = what? I assume this is some local meta thing. I don't place much stock in metagaming in general. I also see no reason to assume a correlation between posting first in the game and that poster being a certain alignment/having a certain probability of being correct. If that's what this frequently repeated acronym suggests, color me skeptical with a bright magic marker.

-Very much disliking Pesco's undue haste in issuing a challenge. I think it's extremely reckless to do this before a substantial portion of the player base has had a chance to talk and his reasons for initiating the challenge against Bard in particular are meager verging on flippant. I'm not inclined to side against him in the challenge, however, for a couple reasons: A) I don't really buy scum behaving this flamboyantly this early on; B) Bard's response has been very underwhelming. Point A doesn't imply that Pesco can't be scum; it just makes me suspect him less than Bard, who has reacted by being very...passive-aggressive was the term used by someone else and I think that sums it up pretty well.

Voting Pesco for now, largely due to Bard response giving an overwhelming impression of mehness. Will likely still wish to see Pesco challenged and flipped tomorrow due to not being comfortable with the loose cannon playstyle.

##Vote: Pesco
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 10:02:03 PM
FPMH is where I look at a player's early post and declare them scum from that alone.

I just read over the signup OP and see Siralex being credited for the setup. Care to explain the optimal play for us all?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 12, 2010, 10:07:19 PM
FPMH is where I look at a player's early post and declare them scum from that alone.

Skepticism confirmed, then. Logic >>> mindhax.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 12, 2010, 10:09:29 PM
Well. Huh. Looks like Carth was pretty wrong. I get day two this time, at least.

Pesco looks completely suicidal. Bardiche, however, seems to be putting up a facade of 'tactics are key'. They're the complete opposite, good for trying to think up 'Which is scummier, tactics or jumping into things?'.

Frankly, I'm going to have to go with tactics. More chance to justify their challenge. Scum absolutely NEED to win their duels, but they also need to be the ones -starting- the duel. Assuming five scum, the chance of a town hitting a town is 66%, compared to a 33% of hitting a scum. If a town picks out a town, Scum gets nothing in the ways of victories from the match. Leaving town to pick the matches isn't a good idea for scum, but just rushing INTO the duel is likely to get you lynched. Letting town do this 5 times DOES let scum win easier, but it also fucks them over completely, because if ONE more town challenges another town. That is it, Game over. So, Before they take the majority, they want at least a bit of leeway with how many they need to kill.

Therefore, I'm lead to think most scum would want to build some sort of case, shoddy or not, before starting a challenge.

The best thing then, would be to have a random townie jump into a match against another townie and win. Then they have a good reason to claim a challenge against the winner with a scum, and win.

Pesco may have thus, just put us all in an annoying situation if he IS town. This also somewhat makes me believe smart scum wouldn't antagonize challenges, but act reflexively. This would give a better chance of victory, and in fact, given all the calls for ordered lynching of people who've won... It'd give them the leverage they may need.

However, I see exactly where he is coming from with that post. 'What town wants to do the most is win their duels'. Yes. It is also exactly what scum needs to do. Town doesn't need to lynch all scum to win, but scum needs to lynch town. Winning duels is a scum priority, not a town one, I'm not about to say all townies should die- But can you mention why you felt the need to tell us that winning duels is a town priority, Bardiche?

Obviously leaning Bardiche lynch here. Given that this is a shoddy case over all, I want to hear the man address my concerns. Or at the very least, see what both think of my view. In fact, I invite everyone to nit pick and correct what I'm thinking here.

Skepticism confirmed, then. Logic >>> mindhax.

You'd be completely and utterly surprised. There is a reason 'It is pesco' actually justifies some MOTK members.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kefit on February 12, 2010, 10:09:42 PM
Hiya.  I generally agree with Kefit's analysis here, but his vote for Pesco at the end is a bit confusing - you realize we're voting for who we want to WIN the duel here, right?  Pesco's the one throwing out the quick challenge, which given the rules I do indeed think is pro-scum enough to want to see him lose it.

No, actually I didn't realize that votes work that way. It's completely ass backwards from every other game like this I have ever played. Thus

##Vote: Bardiche
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 12, 2010, 10:20:38 PM
You'd be completely and utterly surprised. There is a reason 'It is pesco' actually justifies some MOTK members.

This is also extremely abusable in situations where he just happens to be scum. Making assumptions is dangerous. Sorry, absolutely not buying that making guesses completely at random can be any kind of reliable barometer.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 12, 2010, 10:28:29 PM
This is also extremely abusable in situations where he just happens to be scum. Making assumptions is dangerous. Sorry, absolutely not buying that making guesses completely at random can be any kind of reliable barometer.

Then why the hell are you making an assumption there?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 10:31:18 PM
Sorry, El Cid, for being a bit sullen! Being invited to play elsewhere and seeing your first day's going to end with "I'll challenge you based on your first post!" and others going, "Well, there's nothing fundamentally wrong with that, great plan bro", I must admit I've sort of thought, "Well, darn. How the hell am I supposed to dissuade them if they see nothing wrong with that?"

Anyway. Looks like this duel has devolved into "Bard, defend thyself". There's really nothing I can attack from Pesco other than, "Attacking someone based on their very first game post ever is the worst kind of decision making I have witnessed in Mafia history, discounting Deltafliers".

I can say nothing to those who'd rather see Pesco emerge victorious based on the assessment that my offense against him is lacking. I apologise, I just can't attack something insubstantial. I think his entire 'case' on me violates the very groundfests of Knox, and attacking an argument born from nothing but "intuition" isn't among my list of "hey, that's what sounds fun to do".

Never bother an intuition I know to be completely off.

Pesco looks completely suicidal. Bardiche, however, seems to be putting up a facade of 'tactics are key'. They're the complete opposite, good for trying to think up 'Which is scummier, tactics or jumping into things?'.

Oh dear, how venomous. Well, even if you think it is a fa?ade, I'm still fairly sure it's better to think things through than to rashly jump into things. Especially given your next point.

Quote
Frankly, I'm going to have to go with tactics. More chance to justify their challenge. Scum absolutely NEED to win their duels, but they also need to be the ones -starting- the duel.

Your declaration that "thinking things through = more scummy than JUST DOING IT!" lends credibility to future outbursts of "I'll just duel Person X for the heck of it", where scum will no longer need to validate any of their challenges without receiving scrutiny for it. You are setting this precedent this very moment by declaring that the one jumping in is less scummy than the one opposed to that movement on the very basis alone that "town is more likely to be rash".

Quote
Leaving town to pick the matches isn't a good idea for scum, but just rushing INTO the duel is likely to get you lynched.

I am highlighting this argument because it is hypocritical given your present stance. Rushing into things = less scummy, according to your analysis, so present your arguments in favour of my lynch in a way that still follows your initial line of thought.

Quote
Therefore, I'm lead to think most scum would want to build some sort of case, shoddy or not, before starting a challenge.

Quote
Given that this is a shoddy case over all

Again, a case of self-contradiction. Let me say that you say at the very end of the post that "It is Pesco" seems justification for some. Well, why would scum need to justify a case if their very person is enough justification for an apparently, by your account, shoddy case?

Quote
However, I see exactly where he is coming from with that post. 'What town wants to do the most is win their duels'. Yes. It is also exactly what scum needs to do. Town doesn't need to lynch all scum to win, but scum needs to lynch town. Winning duels is a scum priority, not a town one, I'm not about to say all townies should die- But can you mention why you felt the need to tell us that winning duels is a town priority, Bardiche?

As I addressed earlier. There are certain people who would throw the towel into the ring if they feel their opposition is more town than they are. Perhaps no such people exist here, but I've made it a habit to mention that wherever I go; perhaps also as a note to myself.

In most cases, town only knows his own alignment. There's ill reason to give up and let the other win despite the odds. I stand by what I've said, and I stand by it that it is neither "unnecessarily pro-town" nor "pretty scummy" to me.

Quote
I want to hear the man address my concerns.

Can you summarise your concern? All I got out of it is, "Pesco is Pesco" and "Rushing headlong into things is pretty Town", sentiments that seem less concerns and more arguments to condemn me.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 10:35:58 PM
1. Scum needs to beat Town in challenges to win. If we reduce the field to less than 5 Townies, Scum cannot win.
2. Why not do both?

That said, having done some reading I'm pretty sure I understand what Pesco was talking about, and I fucked up. Hard. Yes, I'm overly paranoid and I should have paid attention to the background material. >_>

Why do both?

Either way, this is kinda making my brain hurt. We...want townies to die? I understand the idea scum needs to beat a townie five times, but it seems too easy to say "You two are town, kill each other"
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 10:37:09 PM
Sooooooooo...wait. We don't want town to win unless we are SPECIFICALLY in town v. scum and feel in general that it is so. That's...

Wow. This is weirder than I thought.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 12, 2010, 10:37:56 PM
Then why the hell are you making an assumption there?

Stating that making random guesses is unreliable isn't an assumption. It's statistics. I made no assumptions in the post and I'm not sure what inference you're drawing here.

Also pointing out that giving undue weight to a particular player's methods or behavior even based on past experience is terribly risky because they can use that against you and will do so if they turn out to not be on your side. I've just never found it very helpful to rely on information outside of the immediate game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 12, 2010, 10:45:50 PM
It's statistics.

Lies, damned lies and statistics. (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/Ptitle5kgfz6fn1lso) :V

Like it or not, the challenge being issued has gotten us off our bums trying to find wagons and we can get into serious business of voting. You fellas want to restate your vote reasons?

Still want to hear how Siralex would break the setup he made. That's useful info for the town he's holding back.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 10:48:44 PM
Moving on, I'm going to attack one of Pesco's supporters instead. It seems the best case to do in this point, because I think that, while Pesco is not necessarily scum, his actions harm town more than they do good.

So, UncertainKitten. Let's have a round of explanation from you as well, shall we?

Hmm? I think I missed this. I honestly glazed over his D1 Walls o' text...perhaps I should reread them today?

The "i missed this" Kitten is referring to is this statement of mine:
Quote
The only thing that leaves me nervous is Roukanken's meta-play on alleged scum actions, making statements as "scum would avoid scum vs scum" and "mafia are looking for ways to throw themselves into fights without looking suspicious".

I see no acknowledgements of Kitten that the declared action was followed up on. "Maybe I should read Day1 Wall of Texts". Pardon? It's still Day 1! I submit this as an admission of "I didn't even read others' posts if they were too long for my tastes". I don't find Roukanken's earlier posts to be sizable at all.

Quote
if the day drags on, knowing MotK, we'll force two bad players to challenge each other and get less information than we would otherwise.

Advocating that "rushing headlong" = "good", where at the same time saying it's important to gather a lot of information. Deferring alignment from someone's words is the very basis of regular Mafia: discarding that in favour of doing things ASAP is contrary to the very way I play the game, so I can't agree with this piece of thought.

You were tunnel-visioned into two options before the Day really began and everyone'd posted even once. I fail to see how you can still feel that "two good options" were presented at the time Pesco declared his choice of target. I wouldn't even cede that "one good and one bad option" was present.

Now then, moving on:

Quote
Focusing so much on you would be pointless.

At the time this was said, Pesco had issued his challenge, and Kitten acknowledged seeing this in the previous post. So... why is focusing on one of the two targets for the day's death "pointless"? Explain yourself.

Quote
I think everyone needs to post their progressive thoughts on you and pesco as the day goes on, but cases should still go around so we can figure out what we are doing tomorrow.

There's a saying, "To lead, a man must first move". Kitten here declares a preferred course of action, and does not follow the homebrew advice at all!

Moreover, rather than "state thoughts on both", he just goes into defending Pesco:

Quote
But I think thought was indeed involved. It just might not be 'satisfactory thought'.
In response to Kilgamayan's "I don't like this 'don't think just act' attitude".

Says that we don't need to know if Pesco softclaimed etc, follows up with:
Quote
Please, tell me what you think Pesco's role is, and why fakeclaiming it would give him ANY advantage?

And... looking over the latest posts, Kitten continues the passive stance of declaring "Everyone should do this" and proceed to thumb-twiddle on.

I apologise for the "walls of text", I just can't say any of this concise, and if "but it's Pesco!" is the strongest argument you can bring on the table against me, might as well make it clear what players I personally have problems with so you can analyse it after you're done following the jester's lead.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 11:00:39 PM
Quote
I see no acknowledgements of Kitten that the declared action was followed up on. "Maybe I should read Day1 Wall of Texts". Pardon? It's still Day 1! I submit this as an admission of "I didn't even read others' posts if they were too long for my tastes". I don't find Roukanken's earlier posts to be sizable at all.

There are still 6 hours left in the day my time. And yes, I skimmed. I tend to skim when you post more than two paragraphs about one statement. Sorry.

Quote
Advocating that "rushing headlong" = "good", where at the same time saying it's important to gather a lot of information. Deferring alignment from someone's words is the very basis of regular Mafia: discarding that in favour of doing things ASAP is contrary to the very way I play the game, so I can't agree with this piece of thought.

There's a balance to be struck. We erred on the wrong side of the balance but with the 48 hours we have for your challenge, it's less critical.

Quote
You were tunnel-visioned into two options before the Day really began and everyone'd posted even once. I fail to see how you can still feel that "two good options" were presented at the time Pesco declared his choice of target. I wouldn't even cede that "one good and one bad option" was present.

Huh?

Quote
At the time this was said, Pesco had issued his challenge, and Kitten acknowledged seeing this in the previous post. So... why is focusing on one of the two targets for the day's death "pointless"? Explain yourself.

Um...because focusing on JUST you two would be...retarded? One of you is going to die. We need to look at other players while this battle goes on so we can set up tomorrow.

Quote
There's a saying, "To lead, a man must first move". Kitten here declares a preferred course of action, and does not follow the homebrew advice at all!

Moreover, rather than "state thoughts on both", he just goes into defending Pesco:

Well, actually, she has. Several times. She thinks you are a bit scummy for how you handled Pesco's declaration, and she obviously thinks Pesco is acting reasonably townish for him.

Quote
And... looking over the latest posts, Kitten continues the passive stance of declaring "Everyone should do this" and proceed to thumb-twiddle on.

Should do what?

Quote
Says that we don't need to know if Pesco softclaimed etc, follows up with:

I find with Rou you need to make him admit just how stupid he sounds before you'll get him off some paranoid spiel. I wouldn't have asked anyone else that question, likely.

Um...you really don't have a case on me. I see a lot of misrepresentation here. Good try though ^-^.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 12, 2010, 11:02:27 PM
Lies, damned lies and statistics. (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/Ptitle5kgfz6fn1lso) :V

Pesco, man, if you want to try and convince me that you've got a better than average chance of tagging scum (who should represent maybe 1/4 of the population here) by basically rolling a d16, you're welcome to try. As it stands, though, Bard's recent rebuttal of your approach is scanning okay to me. Enough that I think I should reverse my vote.

##Unvote
##Vote

We may be having a clash in forum playstyles here, but I really can't credit your side of the challenge when time goes on and you basically stick to the initial randomness. Gut reactions never convince me.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 11:06:19 PM
Responding to UncertainKitten in the next post, since I just see it while trying to submit. Now you know the next post is relevant to you, Kitten.


Going to disagree with myself on attacking Pesco, on a re-read it seems there is more to it than initially thought.

Let's fight then. The win conditions favour town greatly and scum need to take big risks to get their quota.

Now then, to fall into "reporter" sty-- no, nevermind. I think you're all suitably able to look at Pesco's course of action, and I believe I highlighted earlier someone who admitted that "rushing into duels everytime will just get them lynched".

So, challenging someone in an outrageously flamboyant style before everyone's signed in and shown they're present... I'd almost say that's a pretty big risk to take, especially since you don't actually have anything to go on. Narrowing town's selections to "Me and some other guy I picked based on his very first post" is hardly not taking a big risk. It's taking a gigantic risk to assume a person is scum from the very first post they've made.

So by Pesco's own admission, he fits the bill for scum actions.

Moreover, it's always been town's goal to Kill Scum. But Pesco handwaives this as being unimportant:
Quote
I think Bardiche is scum just because and even if he was town we've denied scum from scoring once.

It's also covering himself in advance: "Hey I think he's scum for no reason BUT IF I'M WRONG there's silver lining."

Right. I hope I won't need to explain why that is incredibly awful reasoning.

... UncertainKitten post inbetween edging Pesco on and saying my reaction to the utterly random "Hey I'm going to challenge you TWO HOURS TIME MINDHAX POWER" is 'nervous' and that seems 'off' to him.

... I'm having difficulty imagining town being completely at ease with being selected as a sacrificial goat with such refined selection procedures.

Moreover. Time of duel: 6:02 by my forum clock.

Time of actually pointing out what his problems are with my first post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251184#msg251184): way after the duel began, 6:50. It took him fifty minutes in which he posted a few times before he actually decided to grace everyone with an actual explanation behind his decision, which... in his first post is "You're edging on suspicion" and "theorising!", which more people were/are doing.

The entire case seems to be based on the idea that I'm part of the scum team with one of the native posters here, and that we, as team scum, decided to single out Rou's paranoia and edge that on.

Aside from that, Pesco's taken no action whatsoever to steer this discussion in any direction, seemly flaunting and toting about about "Zero anal is scummy" or whatever the heck it was.

He's not even offering any suitable offense, let alone an explanation of his actions, and yet some people voice complete willingness to let this slide as a "pro-town" attitude.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 12, 2010, 11:09:12 PM
And of course I leave out the actual player names in my haste to post before half a dozen other messages beat me to the punch. Let's do it right this time:

##Unvote: Bardiche
##Vote: Pesco
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 12, 2010, 11:10:25 PM
I'm aware what I'm saying completely overturns what is scummy and what is not the moment I say it. Why are you bringing this up? The moment someone says this is scummy, it is always assumed that scum will try to avoid it. As such, it leads to the never ending paradox of 'Since this was said, OBVIOUSLY scum must do this instead.' The fact you're trying to make that post out to be some huge plan to help scum get victories is hugely ironic.

If I must say it, it is one thing that DOES seem rather scummy. It is also something neccesital, much like defending yourself. Consider it very much like another brand of defense. And never take it to such extremes as you suggest. This never applies in actual play, much like EVERYTHING ELSE.

I don't see how not instantly being convinced by a shoddy case is particularly hypocritical. If it is scummy, why would I instantly jump to the SCUMMY option, instead of deciding to hear you out?

I don't like your reason for your priority claim. I'm trying to convince myself it makes sense, but I just outright can't. It probably has to do with how it was said.

Concerns, I'm afraid, was just one base concern and things that stem from it. Having the main one addressed, it cleans them all up nicely.

Withholding vote for more discussion. I'd like Pesco to toss something in. Especially given how it has devolved to Bardiche defends self.

Ninja: Nice to see you're being honest on attacking other people. At the least.

Also, vote for winner, Cid.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 12, 2010, 11:11:44 PM
And then I forget the crazy vote mechanics and do things completely in reverse. Sigh. Damned brain melting post-work, damned lack of editing.

##Unvote: Pesco
##Vote: Bardiche


There. I'll stick around a while for responses but new game rules are messing with my head augh.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 12, 2010, 11:12:47 PM
And then I forget the crazy vote mechanics and do things completely in reverse. Sigh. Damned brain melting post-work, damned lack of editing.

##Unvote: Pesco
##Vote: Bardiche


There. I'll stick around a while for responses but new game rules are messing with my head augh.

It appears to be the main point of the game. It is making for wonderful Day 1 discussions.

It will be a constant annoyance the entire game, I fear.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 11:15:05 PM
Oh, hey, I missed an ENTIRE PAGE OF POSTING. Lemme get on reading that.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 11:18:16 PM
There are still 6 hours left in the day my time. And yes, I skimmed. I tend to skim when you post more than two paragraphs about one statement. Sorry.

I'm not attacking you on the skimming; I'm attacking you on "Oh hey maybe I should actually even read posts!" Mind, at that point you already seem quite comfortable with Pesco's declaration to duel me.

Quote
There's a balance to be struck. We erred on the wrong side of the balance but with the 48 hours we have for your challenge, it's less critical.

Pesco declared he was going to duel me in two hours. You said you were okay with that. What kind of statement IS "we erred on the wrong side of the balance" with respect to that?

Quite frankly, I find this rather fishy. How is it less critical now that there are 48 hours in which you can no longer accuse someone freely, but only two people? Face it, you've lost the initiative and, even if someone acts scummy now, you have to wait until this is over to do anything with regards to them. You lost the first move based on someone's rash behaviour and you still want to say that that is "less critical"?

Quote
Huh?

I'm saying you have two bad choices now. Pesco, who can only be blamed for jumping the gun and being generally unhelpful, and me, who was initially blamed at the time for a single opening post and who I know to be town.

Quote
Um...because focusing on JUST you two would be...retarded? One of you is going to die. We need to look at other players while this battle goes on so we can set up tomorrow.

I'll cede that perhaps my definition of "focus" differs. "To focus" doesn't mean "disregard everyone else", but to make it your main priority to decide between your given two targets and look at everyone else a-glance, making sure to raise concerns and issues at the most opportune moment. HINT: After this is over would be an opportune time to voice suspicions of others.

Quote
Well, actually, she has. Several times. She thinks you are a bit scummy for how you handled Pesco's declaration, and she obviously thinks Pesco is acting reasonably townish for him.

You talkin' about yourself in the third person? Anyway, you think I'm scummy based on me saying, "Whoah there buddy calm down, isn't it better to wait first and let everyone speak?" in response to Pesco's "LET'S NARROW DOWN TO TWO VOTE OPTIONS BASED ON A FIRST POST"? Um, wow.

Quote
Should do what?

You're forgetting what you proposed everyone to do? Voice thoughts on Pesco and me individually while looking at other cases. You haven't voiced any thoughts on Pesco at all, nor on me after it. You just voted Pesco to survive with no explanation backing it at all. I'm fairly comfortable with seeing you die on the next opportunity at this moment.

Quote
Um...you really don't have a case on me. I see a lot of misrepresentation here. Good try though ^-^.

No, I do have a case on you. It's miles better than Pesco on me. You're supporting him with faulty-to-non-existant reasoning, pretending to be some voice of reason with suggestions on how everyone should act while throwing all that to the wind yourself.

You're defending Pesco, whose alignment should be as mysterious to you as what I had for dinner, in a game where only a minority is informed of allegiances.

No, really, if you think this is a bad case, I wonder what you think is a good case for Day 1?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Carthrat on February 12, 2010, 11:18:43 PM
GUYS YOU ARE MEANT TO BE VOTING FOR PEOPLE YOU WANT TO KEEP ALIVE HERE

DAY 1 CHALLENGE SET

Pesco has challenged Bardiche.  You have 43.75 hours to vote for either player.

Vote Count
Bardiche (4) - Bardiche, Kilgamayan, Ranmilia, El Cideon
Pesco (4) - UncertainKitten, Serpentarius, Pesco, Kefit, El Cideon

16 players means 9 votes needed to resolve the duel!

And please remember to ##Unvote.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 11:26:50 PM
Nothing relevant really. Not really sold on the arguments for Bardiche. I really don't know why. They should be compelling. But I just feel they are wrong. I have no basis for declaring this, and should ruminate more on this at some point.

Quote
I'm not attacking you on the skimming; I'm attacking you on "Oh hey maybe I should actually even read posts!" Mind, at that point you already seem quite comfortable with Pesco's declaration to duel me.

Misrep.

Quote
Pesco declared he was going to duel me in two hours. You said you were okay with that. What kind of statement IS "we erred on the wrong side of the balance" with respect to that?

retrospective.

Quote
Quite frankly, I find this rather fishy. How is it less critical now that there are 48 hours in which you can no longer accuse someone freely, but only two people? Face it, you've lost the initiative and, even if someone acts scummy now, you have to wait until this is over to do anything with regards to them. You lost the first move based on someone's rash behaviour and you still want to say that that is "less critical"?

It's making people talk, isn't it?

Quote
I'm saying you have two bad choices now. Pesco, who can only be blamed for jumping the gun and being generally unhelpful, and me, who was initially blamed at the time for a single opening post and who I know to be town.

With posts like that I'm thinking you're a great choice. Which is really hilarious since I was saying the exact same things as town last game. My excuse was that I was trying to irritate Kerigis, who pointed out I was subtly trying to reinforce I'm town. What's yours?

Quote
I'll cede that perhaps my definition of "focus" differs. "To focus" doesn't mean "disregard everyone else", but to make it your main priority to decide between your given two targets and look at everyone else a-glance, making sure to raise concerns and issues at the most opportune moment. HINT: After this is over would be an opportune time to voice suspicions of others.

I feel that while you two need to be paid attention, that other posting with regards to you actually might be more important at this point.

Quote
You talkin' about yourself in the third person? Anyway, you think I'm scummy based on me saying, "Whoah there buddy calm down, isn't it better to wait first and let everyone speak?" in response to Pesco's "LET'S NARROW DOWN TO TWO VOTE OPTIONS BASED ON A FIRST POST"? Um, wow.

I think the way you presented it was scummy. NOT the idea that we needed to calm down, but the feeling behind the post. Perhaps I'll take another look and see if I can figure out why I feel that way.

And yes, I was.

Quote
You're forgetting what you proposed everyone to do? Voice thoughts on Pesco and me individually while looking at other cases. You haven't voiced any thoughts on Pesco at all, nor on me after it. You just voted Pesco to survive with no explanation backing it at all. I'm fairly comfortable with seeing you die on the next opportunity at this moment.

Bullshit.

Just...bullshit. You haven't been reading my posts at all. Actually, you have. And that's what makes this even MORE terrible. I've posted thoughts on both of you. Where the hell do you even get this?

Quote
No, I do have a case on you. It's miles better than Pesco on me. You're supporting him with faulty-to-non-existant reasoning, pretending to be some voice of reason with suggestions on how everyone should act while throwing all that to the wind yourself.

Really? I am? Prove it. Everything you've cited has been a miserable pile of contradiction after contradiction. You accuse me of one thing and then you accuse me of the opposite.

I really don't understand what you are attempting to do here besides piss me off.



Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 11:30:52 PM
All in a day's work, it seems...

I'm aware what I'm saying completely overturns what is scummy and what is not the moment I say it. Why are you bringing this up?

Wait, what? Whatever you say has no power of whether something is scummy or not. Either you misunderstood me, I'm misunderstanding you right now or we're both in a case of misunderstanding.

Quote
The fact you're trying to make that post out to be some huge plan to help scum get victories is hugely ironic.

I'm saying your actions promote it. Punishing the player that advocates thinking as being scummy, while exalting the one who rushes into things while saying "scum would never do that, it'll get them lynched", and then doing the exact opposite of that (namely, someone rushing into things would not get lynched if you had your way) is giving the wrong message.

Quote
If I must say it, it is one thing that DOES seem rather scummy. It is also something neccesital, much like defending yourself. Consider it very much like another brand of defense.

I'm a proponent of "act as you preach". If you say "scum rushing headlong into things will get them lynched", take actions to get people rushing headlong into things lynched.

"Scum would think, Bard thinks, ergo Bard is probably scum" advocates a line of reasoning that says, "Don't try to play the game thoughtfully, just act like an oaf because look, precedent of me voting the one that advocates thinking".

Quote
I don't see how not instantly being convinced by a shoddy case is particularly hypocritical.

You said, "I'm lead to think scum would have some sort of case, shoddy or not" as an argument to say that "Pesco has no case, I think scum would have a case, so Pesco's probably not scum". But later on you acknowledge that there is a case, and that it is shoddy. The contradiction is not in being convinced by a shoddy argument.

Quote
I don't like your reason for your priority claim. I'm trying to convince myself it makes sense, but I just outright can't. It probably has to do with how it was said.

I don't know how I can make "Town should make it a priority to win any duels they're engaged in" sound any more sensible than it already does to me. Let's try.

If you're town, you know you're town. Barring role shenanigans, you have no idea what anyone else is. Ergo, your priority should be with ensuring you win when presented the option "You or Him".
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kefit on February 12, 2010, 11:32:03 PM
And please remember to ##Unvote.

What in the world have you guys done to this poor game. It's like you've turned this into a bizarre court battle where everyone can have the chance to scramble and uncover meaningless procedural errors in the misplaced hopes of mustering a vain appeal. I get enough of that crap at school.

##Unvote Pesco
##Vote Bardiche

In case there is any confusion left after this post, this means that I want Pesco to die and Bardiche to live.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 11:36:16 PM
Quote
What in the world have you guys done to this poor game. It's like you've turned this into a bizarre court battle where everyone can have the chance to scramble and uncover meaningless procedural errors in the misplaced hopes of mustering a vain appeal. I get enough of that crap at school.

This is actually the feeling I'm getting from Bard's posts. Besides his inaccuracies, I'm not sure how what he's saying leads to me being scum outside of supposedly me knowing Pesco's alignment which I don't. I feel that Pesco is playing closer to his town game than I feel Bard is playing to a blank slate townie's game. I realize that meta is going to favor the MotK regulars, but overall I'm not getting good feelings from Bard.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 12, 2010, 11:40:59 PM
I'm going with misunderstanding, as seems to be the case as I'm concerned. Mostly because I do not carry things through enough. It is a bad habit I tend to do when explaining.

Further muddling would just result in a sissy slap fight of verbal proportions. If I can properly voice what I'm trying to say, I'll let you know.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 11:44:35 PM
Misrep.

You threatened to duel Pesco if he didn't duel me and said that it seemed like an amusing thing to you. How am I misrepresenting you when I say you were comfortable with Pesco's declaration of duelling me?

Quote
retrospective

You talked about "taking too long" when you already knew Pesco was going to duel me in x amount of times and even applied pressure to him to do so or face your duel invitation. That's not retrospective, that's actively cruising the day into "Pesco Duel".

Quote
With posts like that I'm thinking you're a great choice. Which is really hilarious since I was saying the exact same things as town last game. My excuse was that I was trying to irritate Kerigis, who pointed out I was subtly trying to reinforce I'm town. What's yours?

My point was, "You're in a terrible position right now due to the hasty duel declaration and you should feel bad for promoting Pesco to go on with it".

Quote
Bullshit.

Just...bullshit. You haven't been reading my posts at all. Actually, you have. And that's what makes this even MORE terrible. I've posted thoughts on both of you. Where the hell do you even get this?

Can you link me to the posts in which you describe your feelings regarding Pesco and my potential scummitude?

Quote
Really? I am? Prove it. Everything you've cited has been a miserable pile of contradiction after contradiction.

Yep, everyone I've quoted was a miserable pile of contradiction after contradiction, and I am very happy you acknowledge it. Your support of Pesco shouldn't need my proof, it's evident in the vote record and your actions with regards to him.

Quote
You accuse me of one thing and then you accuse me of the opposite.

I've accused you of acting suspicious and I've accused you of being scum so far. I feel that those two are close enough not to be considered opposites.

Quote
I really don't understand what you are attempting to do here besides piss me off.

I'd wager a guess on "find scum".

Quote
It's like you've turned this into a bizarre court battle where everyone can have the chance to scramble and uncover meaningless procedural errors in the misplaced hopes of mustering a vain appeal.

I prefer it to "fuzzy feelings" based on "first post mind hax", if you'll apologise my condescending tone there. Perhaps the way Mafia is played in other places differs enough from here that my approach may not sit well with you.

So, care to tell me how you usually catch scum here beyond examining the posts and pointing out the things you feel need to be scrutinised?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 12, 2010, 11:47:41 PM
everyone = everything in my latest post, of course. Blame trying to get that out before more posts happened.

If my approach is entirely too offense to you, please tell me and I'll try to accomodate people. If attacking people─based on what they've said that just seems entirely counter to what they're doing to me─ is a course of action discouraged here, please tell me. I should've checked on this before accepting an invitation to play here.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 12, 2010, 11:58:28 PM
Quote
You threatened to duel Pesco if he didn't duel me and said that it seemed like an amusing thing to you. How am I misrepresenting you when I say you were comfortable with Pesco's declaration of duelling me?

not that part, the other part. You know, about not reading posts. That's bull. Unless you don't count the skimming as reading, which would be...the opposite of what you said.

And...your second point doesn't address what I said either.

I...what? To the third.

Ok, are you even reading what you are quoting? I...really don't think we are playing the same game right now. Or we are, you just like saying non sequiters in response to quotes.

I could link them if I felt like it. I might do so later.

Quote
Yep, everyone I've quoted was a miserable pile of contradiction after contradiction, and I am very happy you acknowledge it. Your support of Pesco shouldn't need my proof, it's evident in the vote record and your actions with regards to him.

Good job being a smartass. You knew what I meant. So respond to the post or try to actually make a real case. Which you can't, by the way.

Quote
I've accused you of acting suspicious and I've accused you of being scum so far. I feel that those two are close enough not to be considered opposites.

Um...no?

Quote
So, care to tell me how you usually catch scum here beyond examining the posts and pointing out the things you feel need to be scrutinised?

Actually, I fail at catching scum. I just exist as a cute kitty that people can't bring themselves to lynch unless I'm doing egregiously bad. Yet somehow I get the feeling I'm right for once.

Quite frankly, your last post reeks of attempting to incite rage in a person as opposed to actually resolve your case. You don't really counter my points except once or twice, and you mix in so much taunting I honestly can't believe you aren't trying to piss me off.

I have no need to respond to you until you are civil and actually make points germane to the game.

Til then ^-^.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 13, 2010, 12:20:21 AM
Oh sweet jesus what the hell is this

We're less that 24 hours into Day 1 and already we're getting WoTs all over the place

Pesco is terrible for doing nothing useful, Bardiche gets credit for moving onto UK but HOLY CRAP.

Honestly this day has been a trainwreck. We get a challenge 4 hours in, no-one has any useful information to work from as a result, we're getting overwhelmed by WoTs and best of all 4 people haven't even posted yet - namely, Alice, Jam, Alex and K4U.

In short - What the hell?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 13, 2010, 12:21:50 AM
Oh sweet jesus what the hell is this

We're less that 24 hours into Day 1 and already we're getting WoTs all over the place

Pesco is terrible for doing nothing useful, Bardiche gets credit for moving onto UK but HOLY CRAP.

Honestly this day has been a trainwreck. We get a challenge 4 hours in, no-one has any useful information to work from as a result, we're getting overwhelmed by WoTs and best of all 4 people haven't even posted yet - namely, Alice, Jam, Alex and K4U.

In short - What the hell?

I'm going to have to say Day 1 happened. Just far poorer than other games.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 13, 2010, 12:23:43 AM
In short - What the hell?

Most intelligent thing that's been said this game.

And Alex has posted, actually.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 13, 2010, 12:26:39 AM
Quote from: Pesco
Still want to hear how Siralex would break the setup he made. That's useful info for the town he's holding back.
Okay this is also bull. You assume first of all that Carth would keep the setup the same knowing that Alex was playing, and secondly that he would allow it to be used at all if it was broken. Asking him this ahead of useful hunting is horrible.

##Vote: Bardiche

At least he's getting off his ass and doing something. Plus your meta feels way OTT this game. Even Town!Pesco is more contributory than this.

And Alex has posted, actually.
Oh whoops, he's Ranmilia. My bad. :S
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 13, 2010, 12:41:50 AM
Quote
At least he's getting off his ass and doing something.

But what if that something is unproductive and the cause of most of these WoTs?

Either way, how does Pesco's meta feel...ok, what does OTT mean?

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 13, 2010, 12:42:52 AM
But what if that something is unproductive and the cause of most of these WoTs?

Either way, how does Pesco's meta feel...ok, what does OTT mean?

Over the top.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: EvilTom on February 13, 2010, 12:47:50 AM
Bard is posting too many walls of text. My vote therefore goes to Pesco.
##Vote Pesco

This is how I (t)roll! (http://i381.photobucket.com/albums/oo258/biphillyrikan/Natsuki.jpg)
Whatcha gonna do about it Pesco?  :V

Mmm look at that butt.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 13, 2010, 12:58:48 AM
Ok, so Over the Top. I guess you could say that but actually it feels like a throwback to the bad old days. Not sure I LIKE it but I want to see where it goes just for the sake of seeing where it goes. I'm definitely not liking Bard, but that's pretty obvious in my previous posts. Oh hey, speaking of which I should link what I promised.

Well, sore ga un da (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251110#msg251110)

Speaking of which, I think your initial reaction posts to pesco oozed of "I'm going to pretend I know I'm town and try to seem reasonable without really doing much to further it". Which doesn't sit well with me.

We'll throw this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251149#msg251149) in and point out I said PROGRESSIVE thoughts, as you two kept posting.

But, I did never directly post my thoughts on Pesco. I figured it was manifestly obvious I found him town.

And actually, I don't think you really gave me anything to comment on after I said that.

But, I'll admit, I say less than I should have after making that proclamation. Overall I guess I figured I already covered what I thought of you, and since I got in this tango with you, I've been posting my thoughts on you.


I'm ambivalent really. given the situation, you could technically be accurate in what you accused me of. On the other hand, there wasn't much to say about you or Pesco after I said that, and I already covered my stance before I said that.

So, I'll drop that point against you.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 13, 2010, 01:07:25 AM
I'm not reading all that shit when I could be enjoying Otakon and my new official Pita-Ten art book <3 <3 <3 <3 <3 Post fewer walls plz kthx!

I might check in with a real post once the day is over.

Tom, you're voting for who you want to live, remember?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 13, 2010, 01:08:08 AM
Scratch that, I will check in with a real post when my day is over.

Just not now.

mishaaaaaa~ <3
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 13, 2010, 01:10:58 AM
But what if that something is unproductive and the cause of most of these WoTs?
Personally I feel this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251418#msg251418) was perfectly reasonable. You responded by picking at every little point and minor inconsistency in the attack. If anything, Bardiche is at fault for actually responding to your constant nit-picking.

Quote
Either way, how does Pesco's meta feel...ok, what does OTT mean?
As Chaore said, it's Over The Top. Town!Pesco may be reckless normally, but he wouldn't reduce the game to two suspects in 4 hours. Furthermore he didn't just sit back on his Chaore case in RKS - he added to it, found further slipups in his play. He didn't just say 'I'm lynching him because, now get the hell on with it'.

tl;dr:
Post fewer walls plz kthx!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 13, 2010, 01:11:06 AM
And by Otakon I meant Katsucon.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Bardiche on February 13, 2010, 01:11:53 AM
my new official Pita-Ten art book <3 <3 <3 <3 <3

You jerk! I'd lynch you for that if I could!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 13, 2010, 01:14:04 AM
Quote
Personally I feel this post was perfectly reasonable. You responded by picking at every little point and minor inconsistency in the attack. If anything, Bardiche is at fault for actually responding to your constant nit-picking.

Elaborate? How is flat out inaccuracy "reasonable"?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 13, 2010, 01:26:38 AM
Elaborate? How is flat out inaccuracy "reasonable"?
You didn't read over the short posts properly, like he said.
You insisted that going for a quick challenge is a good idea rather than LETTING PEOPLE TALK.
You see no reason in looking at the people who are at risked of being lynched even when you told everyone else to do so because you're looking at what'll happen in the next day.
You called on me for rolefishing Pesco then insisted I say what I thought he was.

None of this seems inaccurate for me, and I'm not going to sit here and argue minute points with you. IT'S DAY 1, GODDAMMIT.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 13, 2010, 01:31:29 AM
Quote
You called on me for rolefishing Pesco then insisted I say what I thought he was.

Well, you were rolefishing. And then it occured to me that I'd really rather find out WHY THE HELL YOU WERE DOING IT. That's not scummy.

Quote
You see no reason in looking at the people who are at risked of being lynched even when you told everyone else to do so because you're looking at what'll happen in the next day.

I still don't understand the point here since I don't believe I ever expressed this. So, inaccurate.

Quote
You insisted that going for a quick challenge is a good idea rather than LETTING PEOPLE TALK.

Has anyone died yet? No one has been lynched. Further, why is it scummy for me to find a quick challenge refreshing and probably a good thing in a town that tends to punish bad players over actually finding scum?

I don't think there's a point there.

Quote
You didn't read over the short posts properly, like he said.

The posts I "didn't read properly" were far from short.


Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 13, 2010, 01:34:15 AM
How the heck did you manage to post 5 pages while I was sleeping?  Well, I'll start reading through all of it, give me a little while.  I think I caught the stomach flu so I feel pretty blargh right now.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: EvilTom on February 13, 2010, 03:51:44 AM
Tom, you're voting for who you want to live, remember?
I am aware of this!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 13, 2010, 03:58:39 AM
I just read over the signup OP and see Siralex being credited for the setup. Care to explain the optimal play for us all?

This is relevant I guess.  Nightless highlander setup is something I've seen played a couple of times before and I helped Rat with some of the basic concepts involved.  Obviously I don't have any sort of privileged information, I don't know anything about any roles or rules he put in besides what's listed in the OP.  He did however put some things in the setup that are not what I expected - unilateral challenges first and foremost among them, and a relatively high number of scalps needed for scum.  In the highlander setups I've seen, challenges worked with one player declaring they were throwing down a gauntlet and accepting challenges, and then some other player had to challenge them.  The initiating player didn't get to choose their challenger, though.

So this is a bit odd and I'm worried that some of the strategies discussed so far like lynching anyone who wins vs a townie may be able to break the setup.  On the other hand I did bring up similar concerns to Rat about some preliminary ideas, and he's a generally smart guy, so I think it's safest to give him the benefit of the doubt and assume he's thought of things like that and the setup is not so easily broken. 

One thing unilateral challenges does do however is narrow the scope of the game considerably.  There are no nights, scum don't get nightkills, they can't shut anybody up, and town does not have freedom to lynch whatever scum they please.  We don't need to "scumhunt" like a normal game, in other words (which is good since a lot of the normal tells for finding scum don't work here either.)  The only thing we can vote on is the challenge at hand, one person or the other, and policy for future challenges.

We can change that, though.

I propose that in future days challenges should not be issued without a majority or at least a plurality of town approval.  We've got a good 24 hours between challenges, as well as a lot of the time while the current one's going on, to discuss this, and we should cast (fake) votes on what challenges we want to see happen as well.

IF SOMEONE ISSUES A CHALLENGE WITHOUT WIDESCALE TOWN BACKING, WE SHOULD VOTE FOR THAT PERSON TO LOSE THEIR CHALLENGE.  Unilateral challenges are antitown.

I support Bard winning the duel with Pesco today, for this reason and also because, well, it's Pesco.  Not sure what challenges I'd want to see after that.  Tom's post is very striking, I'd like to know why he's voting pro-Pesco and what he's up to.  Ninja'd by more Tom.  Tom what are you doing.

I guess I should throw some RP in here but good grief the posting speed here is an avalanche.  How about if I just strike a Terminator pose and say "Vote with me if you want to live"?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Edible on February 13, 2010, 04:31:14 AM
DAY 1 CHALLENGE: Pesco vs. Bardiche

Vote Count
Bardiche (6) - Bardiche, Kilgamayan, Ranmilia, El Cideon, Kefit, Roukanken
Pesco (4) - UncertainKitten, Serpentarius, Pesco, Tom

It takes 9 votes to secure a win.  Remember that you are voting for who you want to -win- the duel.

You have a whole lot of time remaining.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 13, 2010, 04:31:53 AM
Okay, so stuff first.  Like I said, I'm sick, so my brain is only half-functional.  If something doesn't make sense let me know and I'll clarify.

Thar be two kittens here, so don't refer to UK or myself as "kitten" unless you want to confuse everyone.  So far only Bard's done it a couple of times and he refered to UK as UK before refering to her as kitten, so it's not a huge deal, but I figured I should say this before we get a Communication Breakdance D1 repeat.

What's with all these walls of text?  Sifting through those was not fun.  Keep it up and I might be forced to sneeze on you. >:(

Pesco, why did you challenge someone so early?  It would have been nice if you actually let us talk about stuff first.  I'm also immediately disliking the people that think that challenging early was a good/okay/acceptable thing to do.

Bard can you use simpler sentences?  Maybe it's just the nausea talking, but my simple mind has a hard time reading what you say sometimes.

---

Okay, moving on.  In this game sitting back and watching doesn't seem like a viable scum strategy.  Y'know, since they actually have to win fights in order to win and they can't just get townies to kill each other like they can in a normal game.  As a result, I consider anyone that thinks that challenging people without discussing it and getting everyone's approval is more likely to be scum.  So Pesco loses points right off the bat.

Then he also says some things that makes me think he doesn't actually expect Bard to flip scum (that one post that says that even if he flips town it's all good comes to mind).  I'm not liking some people voting for Pesco either (Chaos, EvilTom and UK stick out).

Bard himself wasn't real impressive at first, but I feel like he's gotten better.  I didn't like his overly defensive nature, but he's gotten better about that since he started attacking UK.  So yeah.

##Vote Bardiche
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 13, 2010, 04:51:51 AM
Apparently I'm a liar who needs sleep thanks to involved conversations. Will try to read Rou's early posts tomorrow with a closer eye for attentiveness.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 13, 2010, 04:54:31 AM
Goodness. Not even a full day and we're almost to hammer.

I'm going to wait till Pesco returns and see what he has to say. If he lasts that long at the rate the votes are piling. Voting for or against someone who hasn't even been defending himself doesn't sit well with me.

I'll restate what was looked over in favor of a poorly stated observation. Pesco is playing entirely suicidal here. Any reason why doesn't sit well with me. The fact it is being receptively taken so easily sits worse with me.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 13, 2010, 05:47:57 AM
I'll reread page 5 a bit later. For now:

Bard: Admit it, you're offended that I challenged you over your first game post.

Siralex: I recall you saying that you'd never play in game with me, quite the hypocrite you are.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: MissCiato on February 13, 2010, 06:38:31 AM
I'll restate what was looked over in favor of a poorly stated observation. Pesco is playing entirely suicidal here. Any reason why doesn't sit well with me. The fact it is being receptively taken so easily sits worse with me.

I'm not sure exactly what you mean here; do you think he is playing suicidally for a specific reason? I think that K4U is right in that aggressiveness plays positively for the scum. On the other hand, I don't feel like he's played like he is particularly interested in winning the duel.

I'm not actually sure what to interpret from this statement at all; I can't tell if you are trying to defend or condemn Pesco.

 :* I like this face.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 13, 2010, 06:50:29 AM
So wallwallwall seems to be a bunch of chaff. As expected.

I find myself liking Kefit's and Alex's posts. Shocker of the century there, I know. I fully support the letting-town-decide-who-challenges-who plan Alex proposed.

I realize I misread what Tom said in his Pesco vote post earlier. Probably because I was in a rush. I understand his vote now.

My vote stays on Bardiche, he has done nothing to make himself look worse (though not for lack of :words:!) and Pesco has done nothing to make himself look better.

Not sure I'm feeling forcing UK to the gallows tomorrow, though. :ukwords: is standard TownUK fare.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 13, 2010, 07:16:33 AM
In before Alice and Kiro.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 13, 2010, 07:18:37 AM
Guys, the game is broken. Confirm without a doubt a townie and have them steamroll ALL matches.

I'm feeling it safe to call Rou dumbasstown now. You guys can get my flip to confirm this isn't any namedrop.

To address the point about getting a vote on challenges, it's physically impossible to do. 3 people haven't chimed in yet and that's ignoring time zones. The majority of the players are in USA, you guys get to make the call without me or Tom getting a word in. Rou is GMT but he willingly screws up his sleep to mash F5 here anyway. 24 hours just isn't enough time for meaningful discussion to produce a challenge enough people agree on.

Early on circa page 2/3 the people theorycrafting said do whatever you think is right. I think issuing the quick challenge was the way. No RVS plodding just going straight into the necessary business. The only thing that matters to the combatants is what each other will flip. The rest of you should be identifying a town rep to break the game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 13, 2010, 07:21:41 AM
Been busy, argh, how do you people manage to post so much in so little time? Just catching up right now, but I do have to say that I strongly support Alex's idea at this point, simply because it makes it much harder for a Scum to pick a preferential challenge (while simultaneously giving us more tells to work with from both the pseudo-voting phase AND the voting phase on the challenge itsself).

ninja by Kilga: Good call (sadly though I'm not failing at Yukari :P)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kiro on February 13, 2010, 07:36:59 AM
Serp: Just to clarify, pairing people up at the start in some fashion prevents Scum from choosing/controlling who they duel. In retrospect, that is a bad idea because it treats each duel as independent when they actually aren't (previous voting records come into play). Also, I realize now it'd be difficult to coordinate a generally agreed upon way of pairing people up because Scum can reasonably vote bloc for a method that prevents Scum v Scum duels. And I don't think the forums are equipped with a dice mod Carthrat could roll or something like that. On the other hand, it resorts back to people initiating challenges at will and Scum could take advantage of that and initiate to get kills. Having general approval for who duels who could work as mentioned by Alex, but it plays into a number's game and you're going to hand Scum some victories because invariably, they will get paired up with a Townie that must be killed off. I'm of the mind that you have to make Scum work for their duel wins rather than hand it to them on a silver platter.

As for Pesco v Bardiche: If Pesco is Scum, he'd have challenged Bardiche quickly and knowing Bardiche is Town, try to secure an early victory banking on the WIFOM that Scum wouldn't be so aggressive at the start to gain support. Bardiche being Scum on the other hand, relies on pure dumb luck that a Town Pesco chose a Scum on the FPMH. With that to go on and no precedent days to work off of, I'd rather take my chances and kill off the aggressor in control rather than the inopportune victim. Consider my vote for Bardiche to survive which I'll hold until everyone gets a word in.

Kilga: I'd hide my online status if it really mattered, but meh.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Carthrat on February 13, 2010, 07:37:41 AM
DAY 1 CHALLENGE: Pesco vs. Bardiche

Vote Count
Bardiche (7) - Bardiche, Kilgamayan, Ranmilia, El Cideon, Kefit, Roukanken, Kitten4U
Pesco (4) - UncertainKitten, Serpentarius, Pesco, Tom

It takes 9 votes to secure a win.  Remember that you are voting for who you want to -win- the duel.

You have about 35.5 hours remaining.

Rules clarification/patch: In the event that scum outnumber town, it will be assumed that scum automatically clean up the remaining townie heads and add them to their win total. This was sorta implied in the rules but not explicitly stated and there may be confusion with the 'games ends when someone wins' note, apologies.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 13, 2010, 07:49:04 AM
Jeez guys. Posts between just 2 people nitpicking each other's posts get irritating.

Anyway, I'm probably going to wait for Pesco to say something that seems substantial before voting because Bard is so close to winning. I'm leaning towards also voting Bard though because Pesco deciding to just challenge right away and use the fact that his gut is usually right as reasoning seems to go with the idea that scum should try to challenge without drawing attention to themselves. Thus, it seems fairly scummy. That, and he hasn't really said anything worth mentioning yet...
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 13, 2010, 08:27:27 AM
With the rules patch, we'd have to hit some scum with the steamroll. It doesn't change the fact that once a player is confirmed, the game is set.

You guys are too afraid of listening to instincts. Learn to use the rest of your senses other than just your eyes.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 13, 2010, 10:45:52 AM
Guys, the game is broken. Confirm without a doubt a townie and have them steamroll ALL matches.

Bolding added for emphasis. Sure, that works in theory, but how do you plan to actually do it?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 13, 2010, 11:20:54 AM
Early on circa page 2/3 the people theorycrafting said do whatever you think is right. I think issuing the quick challenge was the way. No RVS plodding just going straight into the necessary business. The only thing that matters to the combatants is what each other will flip. The rest of you should be identifying a town rep to break the game.
Except that there is no way to confirm Town in this game. If there were, it'd be completely broken because that one player would just wipe everyone in showdowns.

Seriously, you're still making no effort to actually accuse Bardiche beyond pretty much gut. He was running on people agreeing with the FPMH meta, and it fell through so he's given up. I call the 7 for 7 (http://mafiascum.net/wiki/index.php?title=7for7) fallacy.

You guys are too afraid of listening to instincts. Learn to use the rest of your senses other than just your eyes.
Well I'm using my nose right now, and this post smells of utter crap.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 13, 2010, 12:49:00 PM
On the other hand, I don't feel like he's played like he is particularly interested in winning the duel.

This is pretty much what I'm trying to say. Poor reasoning is a meta staple, and he was mostly absent but... He seems pretty damn calm with the idea that he is getting lynched so far. Don't like it.

I'm neither condemning or defending, just making an observation. Suicidal play is, despite how it often goes here, never a good reason for either of those.

I'm going to be out for the day, but I will say Pesco's reactions are unfortunately, what I expected. Nothing good.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 13, 2010, 12:55:45 PM
Bolding added for emphasis. Sure, that works in theory, but how do you plan to actually do it?

Can't see what you bolded while I'm phone posting. I assume it's identifying a town champion. I've nom'd Rou because his retarded posting is easy to read. The rest is up to you guys to do right.

Rou: Do you not understand my words when I said how to break the game? Use whatever method you want to find your confirmed and then town wins. It's not like we didn't know the game was imbalanced from the beginning.

What fallacy? I think Bard is scum, FPMH is my justification. Sure you don't like it but if my car runs on frying oil, don't expect me to fill up with unleaded just because everyone else does.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 13, 2010, 03:20:42 PM
All you people that have agreed with Alex's idea: Where is the discussion? Real pro town of you guys being all quiet. And you expect consensus within 24 hours?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 13, 2010, 04:31:13 PM
Fuck, I never should have joined a game where playing the setup is not only encouraged, but necessary. Argh. Damn me and my mafia addiction. Anyway! Just finished reading these past couple pages (for which the content/WoT claims are vastly exaggerated; most of it's just a Bard/UK spat which actually is fairly pointless and seems to revolve around extremely minor playstyle issues more than anything else), and after deciding to translate Smooth Criminal into (Standard) Hymmnos (http://24.57.219.47/EXEC_SMOOTHCRIMINAL.txt), time to finally post.

Quote from: Bardiche
Moreover, you suggested that scum would avoid this, which isn't necessarily true, but the argument for that leads into WIFOM.
It does not take a degree in Astrophysics to realise that Scum principally do not want to off themselves in a game wherein having large numbers of Scum alive is even more important and  useful than normal.

I fully agree with Kefit's setup analysis in #91. That being said, I don't think that this inheritly makes Pesco Scummy: both because doing such a rash movie is something stupid for a Scum to do D1 - this is the worst possible time for a Scum to attract any form of negative attention to himself, and also because it's Pesco and Pesco never makes any fucking sense at all.

@Bard: If Knox ever saw how Pesco operated he'd probably lynch him in real life for gross violation of all of his principles.

@Roukan: except why would you assume that Scum!Pesco_{thisgame} is even LESS contributory than the typical Town!Pesco, which by Pesco-meta is far LESS contributory than the typical Scum!Pesco.

Quote from: K4U #146
As a result, I consider anyone that thinks that challenging people without discussing it and getting everyone's approval is more likely to be scum.  So Pesco loses points right off the bat.

Then he also says some things that makes me think he doesn't actually expect Bard to flip scum (that one post that says that even if he flips town it's all good comes to mind).  I'm not liking some people voting for Pesco either (Chaos, EvilTom and UK stick out).

Bard himself wasn't real impressive at first, but I feel like he's gotten better.  I didn't like his overly defensive nature, but he's gotten better about that since he started attacking UK.  So yeah.
Translation: Pesco's bad and there are things pointing to him being Scum and simultaneously I don't like the people voting for him oh Bard is kind of crappy as well and he's kind of overdefensive but he's improved about that so let's vote Bard.

Now, who in these 3 paragraphs do you not find scummy? This is surprisingly bad reasoning from you, but I'm willing to attribute this to the flu. For now. Want to see improvements soon.

...actually, this looks really terrible, like, hasty wagon jump terrible. You are definetly someone to keep a careful eye on D2.

Quote from: CHAOS #161
He seems pretty damn calm with the idea that he is getting lynched so far. Don't like it.
Think for a bit. It is good for Scum in some situations to lose Townies due to Town vs. Town matches, but it is never good for Scum to lose one of their own due to either a Town vs. Scum *or* a Scum vs. Scum match. So one of 3 things are true: Pesco's Scum together with Bard and he's trying to trade his life off to "confirm" Bardiche, Pesco's Scum and Bardiche is just some random mark that he's hoping to off today as Scum's first kill, or he's Town. The first option can basically be discounted at this point as being implausible thanks to Roukan's suggestion in #33: A Scum-Pesco would be dead by the end of D2 even if Bard wound up being the D1 lynch. If both Pesco and Bard are Scum, this is strictly terrible for the Scumteam. Now, even if Pesco is Scum and Bard is Town, he'd want Bard to be the one lynched D1...not himself. Bard's posts so far aren't great, and he's said enough to unnerve me over them, and apparently several other people. So why attract horrid amounts of attention onto yourself and get yourself lynched at a time when you dying is strictly bad for Scum as opposed to a time when it comes with the tradeoff of a single Townie kill? It just doesn't make any damn sense at all. Overall, his playstyle strongly supports Town-Pesco, despite it being absolutely hateful.

Quote from: Jam-Kiske
I'm leaning towards also voting Bard though because Pesco deciding to just challenge right away and use the fact that his gut is usually right as reasoning seems to go with the idea that scum should try to challenge without drawing attention to themselves.
This sentence contradicts itsself. Please restate/fix your reasoning or re-think your case, thanks.

@El Cid: either there exists a sane mod-confirmed cop in this setup combined with enough confidence that he did not hit a GF or frame-bait, in which case this game breaks, or there isn't, in which case there is precisely no way to *confirm* someone as Town. Yes, I do not think that word means what you think it means here - without some form of rolemagic saying LOL YASE THIS GUY IZ TOTLLI LEGIT!!1!11!1!1111111!!!!!!!1!11!!!1!!!1111oneone!11!111!!!111!!!111!!!11!!!!!!! you are always, at some level, left guessing as to your ""confirmed"" Town's alignment. And there are several people in this game who are capable of playing excellent Scum games and appearing perfectly Townie. Which is why this idea, while gamebreaking if it were possible, really is not possible. Even a Sane Cop isn't terrible - we have no reasoning as to why the person he hit couldn't have been a GF, or someone who got Lawyer'd at the right time in-game.

@Pesco: I presume there is a lack of discussion because SirAlex posted his idea just a little over 12 hours ago, and it's during a time when a sizeable chunk of the playerbase (which lives in North America) would be asleep. Also, there's the issue of today's match already having been decided, thanks to you, which makes the specific thing Alex mentioned in post#144 completely irrelevant for this day phase. That being said, I do support actual discussion today, which has been somewhat lacking, beyond a fairly pointless Bard/UK spat that took up most of pages#4 and #5. Sigh.

Currently not sure what to think. I'm fairly confident that Pesco's Town by the above analysis, but at the same time I'm not finding Bard overly Scummy. Will need to think about it for a bit before voting, especially with wagon numbers being what they are at the moment.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kiro on February 13, 2010, 04:53:02 PM
Pesco: What Alex had suggested seems to be the best way to go for early to midgame. You create matchups (now presumably between 2 scummy people rather than 2 Townie people due to Carth's clarification) and hope a Scum dies without having gotten a duel win. The problem I forsee is that in the endgame, you're going to run into some situations where you might give Scum an automatic victory just to eliminate a suspicious person who's already had 1 victory. Endgame probably has to play it like normal mafia way with people directly challenging who they think is Scum.

On the other hand, you advocating a designated Townie to win all matches is an extreme gamble. Choose wisely and you force Scum to react adversely to discredit this person or something like that. Choose poorly and you pretty much will give Scum the game short of eliminating all of them once you realize a mistake's been made. But the advantage I see with this strategy at the moment is that there are more Townies than Scum right now so just based on probability, you'll more likely pick a Townie. Pesco's nomination of Rou is interesting just because Pesco is tsundere for Rou I've seen him right about Rou most of the time. Rou's posts do look consistent with that of his Townie play hanging onto little bits of a conversation and trying to make something out of it. If Pesco flips Town, it may not be that bad of a gamble.

Given the recent development, it does seem we'll probably have to put faith in a few people anyways. Get scum to react and that may actually better prove the towniness of a candidate. I think it's an idea that could be worth pursuing and it does make Pesco look more pro-town than before. The tradeoff though is that he'd still need to die to confirm there's no Scum bias in his picking Rou. And even if Pesco flips Town, people would still have to agree to take that chance with Rou. That throws my vote choice up in the air because I would have to make a judgement call on the chances of Bardiche being Scum so as to prevent them getting a head start. I probably won't be back for around 24 hours, but if pressed for time, I'll probably still vote for Bardiche's survival.

Cut by Alice: It's not really the part about someone being "100% confirmed" but rather offering up a candidate and see if there's any nervous reaction or weak attempt to discredit said person. That gets discussion going and may give us new angles to pick out Scum amongst us all without necessarily giving the candidate a need to take multiple challenges right away. Also want you to state who you would vote for sometime before the Day ends just to have it on record.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 13, 2010, 05:09:54 PM
Sleep is not an excuse coming from you, Alice. :V

Kiro: Indeed sacrificing myself to confirm my read on Rou might give scum a head start. But from me knowing myself to be town, I would obviously suggest that you lynch Bard and then have Rou kill me the next day. Town vs Town is not that much of a loss and we might get to nail ScumBard in this process.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 13, 2010, 06:41:28 PM
Quote from: Alice
Translation: Pesco's bad and there are things pointing to him being Scum and simultaneously I don't like the people voting for him oh Bard is kind of crappy as well and he's kind of overdefensive but he's improved about that so let's vote Bard.

Now, who in these 3 paragraphs do you not find scummy? This is surprisingly bad reasoning from you, but I'm willing to attribute this to the flu. For now. Want to see improvements soon.

Uh the people I didn't mention?  Maybe it's just the way I worded things, but I don't understand what you're disliking there.  Pesco is scummy because he attacked before everyone had posted and before we had a chance to discuss stuff.  I like Alex's plan (which while I didn't explicitly state that in my last post I thought was obvious anyway) so naturally I dislike what Pesco did.  I think scum is more likely to jump on a random townie quickly because they cannot just sit back and watch this game.  If they simply let townies kill each other they will lose.  I also get the vibe that he does not expect Bard to flip scum.  I cited that one post that said that even if Bard flipped town it wasn't that big a deal because it stuck out to me.  This points to him being scum because scum wants to challenge random townies and win.  Sure it's risky for him to do it like that, but it's Pesco.  Banking on WIFOM and meta doesn't seem totally unlikely to me.

I'm not sure how that wasn't clear in my last post, but there you go.

As for the other people, I just thought some of their reasoning was kind of lame.  Town do want to win their duels becuase it prevents scum from winning if it's scum vs town (obviously in town vs town it doesn't matter as much, but townies won't know who scum is).  Chaos trying to spin that and a couple of other perfectly fine statements doesn't sit well with me. 

As much as I wish it was, posting WoT is not a scumtell and Tom using it as an actual (and like the only one) to vote for someone doesn't sit well with me.

With UK I'll just say that I agree with Rou because this post is too long already.

In the case of Bard I don't find him all that scummy anymore, but I wasn't real impressed with his early posts.  They seemed reportery and defensive.  Since he's gone on the offensive and has provided what I consider a satisfactory defense (in most places, I'll admit that he does nitpick sometimes, but I think he's said enough good things to outweigh the bad) I really don't think he looks bad anymore.  Especially since his early behavior can be explained with him going WTF at Pesco.  Combined with the way Pesco (who I think is scum) attacked him I think Bard is likely town.

---

As for Pesco's plan...I can't deny that the reasoning behind it is good, but I'm not comfortable going along with something coming from someone I think is scum.  I like Alex's plan better atm.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 13, 2010, 06:48:12 PM
Oh wow. I just realised that you vote for the person you want to live, and not the person you want lynched, in this game (which, as multiple people have mentioned so far, is totally bass-ackwards and needlessly different from every other instance of mafia ever (Rat can we please change this starting D2? Please?)), which makes K4U#146 look a lot less bad now.

@Pesco: not my excuse personally, but the excuse I used for p. much everyone else in North America, really.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 13, 2010, 07:22:10 PM
What's your excuse for the people that ARE awake in North America now?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 13, 2010, 08:56:25 PM
@El Cid: either there exists a sane mod-confirmed cop in this setup combined with enough confidence that he did not hit a GF or frame-bait, in which case this game breaks, or there isn't, in which case there is precisely no way to *confirm* someone as Town. Yes, I do not think that word means what you think it means here - without some form of rolemagic saying LOL YASE THIS GUY IZ TOTLLI LEGIT!!1!11!1!1111111!!!!!!!1!11!!!1!!!1111oneone!11!111!!!111!!!111!!!11!!!!!!! you are always, at some level, left guessing as to your ""confirmed"" Town's alignment. And there are several people in this game who are capable of playing excellent Scum games and appearing perfectly Townie. Which is why this idea, while gamebreaking if it were possible, really is not possible. Even a Sane Cop isn't terrible - we have no reasoning as to why the person he hit couldn't have been a GF, or someone who got Lawyer'd at the right time in-game.

The skepticism above is pretty much why I questioned Pesco on the matter, yes. Such a plan would be a risk even with cop claims. Pesco's suggestion of Rou as "confirmed townie" here also isn't convincing me because I'm not entirely clear on the reason for picking him. "Retarded posting/easy to read." I'm guessing there's metagaming at work which means nothing to me because I don't know most of you and I'm seriously not taking the time to read previous games in full to get caught up on it when I don't put much stock in metagaming anyway. If it's particular errors Rou has made that lead to Pesco's impression of his towniness, well, I have to note that scum are just as capable of screwing up as townies are, but if you want to give me specific examples of things he's done this game to support your idea then that's a much better way to convince me than saying "I'm sure he's town because I know him from other games."
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 13, 2010, 09:05:08 PM
Use whatever method you want to find your confirmed and then town wins.
LIKE WHAT? META READS DO NOT GIVE CONFIRMATION.

Quote
except why would you assume that Scum!Pesco_{thisgame} is even LESS contributory than the typical Town!Pesco, which by Pesco-meta is far LESS contributory than the typical Scum!Pesco.
It's his Town meta, but overblown. He's trying to manipulate his own reads.

And sweet mercy why are there still more WoTs seriously. T_T
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 13, 2010, 09:05:24 PM
As for Alex's plan, I'd say it's an acceptable experiment, at least for the immediate future. Scumbloc strongarming in challenges they want is not terribly likely early on, but much moreso if town numbers dwindle later in the game. We can reassess things after a couple days if there's reason to believe it's not working.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 13, 2010, 09:19:05 PM
I'm calling Rou Town because I know him personally.

When I know something of you personally, I WILL use it for an advantage. That is all.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 13, 2010, 10:59:03 PM
You do realize there's more to Mafia than convincing yourself you're right, right?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 14, 2010, 12:18:02 AM
As for the other people, I just thought some of their reasoning was kind of lame.  Town do want to win their duels becuase it prevents scum from winning if it's scum vs town (obviously in town vs town it doesn't matter as much, but townies won't know who scum is).  Chaos trying to spin that and a couple of other perfectly fine statements doesn't sit well with me. 

The fact he said that is more of what I wanted to know than the FACT he said that. Read, K4U, I know you can do that VERY VERY well. I am not disagreeing with 'Don't die is a rule in mafia'.

I'm disagreeing with how it was phrased. 'Win duels' is not the same as 'Don't lose duels'. Why does he say specifically WIN? Its the exact wording that makes a difference.

However, I'm just about to say Bardiche is fairly poor at wordplay in exactly that aspect. I'm half expecting a double town here. This is pretty much the only damning point I found, and he does have a half-excuse for it.

Still not convinced against Pesco either. Alice says what I was trying to rather nicely, suicidal play is NOT very scummy. Scum is more likely to make their shots precise.

I still however, have a very bad feeling there is a reason behind such play that will be a nasty surprise. I'm not thinking vanilla here, Alice. THAT is why I don't like it too much.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 14, 2010, 12:45:17 AM
I'm disagreeing with how it was phrased. 'Win duels' is not the same as 'Don't lose duels'. Why does he say specifically WIN? Its the exact wording that makes a difference.
This is just nitpicking and playing absolutely idiotic Gotcha Games(TM). This is not Scumhunting. It does not catch Scum. On the contrary, it does a decent job sometimes at giving the illusion of someone doing actual Scumhunting, and when I've seen someone use it, they were overwhelmingly Scum.

Also, what possible sort of role could a non-vanilla Town Pesco do in a Town vs. Town duel that would be amazingly terrible? Seriously, enlighten me on this, I'm curious.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: EvilTom on February 14, 2010, 12:57:26 AM
@Kitten4u: Who ever said I was using WoT as a scumtell? Established scumtells won't work in this game, as has been pointed out numerous times. I voted based on WoT because it gave me a headache.
We're probably not going to catch scum based on scumtells or scummy play or what not. We will need to look for patterns in the records. I'm also wary of those pointing out strategies to break the game; scum might know something about the setup which we don't.
Also sorry for inactivity, I was at a wedding for most of yesterday/last night. Haven't really had time to follow the game properly.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 14, 2010, 01:07:00 AM
Also, what possible sort of role could a non-vanilla Town Pesco do in a Town vs. Town duel that would be amazingly terrible? Seriously, enlighten me on this, I'm curious.

For one, it could be a role completely out of left field. We've already got a new set up, so obviously more than a FEW roles could have a nasty change or replacement to fit with the new system. This game runs differently, if every role works the same way I'd be outright shocked. We have really no absolutes on what roles are like this time around, Alice. Someone playing Suicidal does not seem like it will have absolutely beneficial effects.

I can be completely and utterly wrong and carth just used a few non-killers, I'm just saying something reeks about this. I can not simply say 'Oh Pesco gets himself killed, Sure, Sure, Just a dumb townie move' and leave it at that. Apologies if I -should-.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Carthrat on February 14, 2010, 01:36:40 AM
DAY 1 CHALLENGE: Pesco vs. Bardiche

Vote Count
Bardiche (7) - Bardiche, Kilgamayan, Ranmilia, El Cideon, Kefit, Roukanken, Kitten4U
Pesco (4) - UncertainKitten, Serpentarius, Pesco, Tom

It takes 9 votes to secure a win.  Remember that you are voting for who you want to -win- the duel.

You have about 17.5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 14, 2010, 02:20:29 AM
Here's the deal. I'm not supposed to be online right now. Through a fluke I have un monitored access at the moment, but I can't actually make an analysis post til tomorrow evening. Which appears to be after deadline. Honestly, losing today really pisses me off, and I'll TRY to do something before deadline, but I highly doubt I'll make it. So, odds are I'll be posting during the challenge phase.

Sorry that my parents are draconian fucks.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 14, 2010, 04:01:34 AM
This sentence contradicts itself. Please restate/fix your reasoning or re-think your case, thanks.
What I meant is that Pesco may have been trying to start a challenge depending on the fact that people would trust him due to his usually correct instincts and the fact that just going for someone seems to be a reasonable D1 strategy in some people's minds. Therefore it's scummy as he assumed people's thoughts of him would make it easy for him to challenge and win.

Pesco's statement of letting Rou kill him next round to confirm he's town is interesting though. It can't be scummy because despite the fact that scum know who is scum, a scum v scum win does not count for anything so it's not really possible that he's scum if he's setting himself up to lose as he wouldn't be giving Rou a win as scum.

I'm thinking the duel at the moment is town v town...
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: MissCiato on February 14, 2010, 05:09:45 AM
@Kitten4u: Who ever said I was using WoT as a scumtell? Established scumtells won't work in this game, as has been pointed out numerous times. I voted based on WoT because it gave me a headache.
We're probably not going to catch scum based on scumtells or scummy play or what not. We will need to look for patterns in the records. I'm also wary of those pointing out strategies to break the game; scum might know something about the setup which we don't.
Also sorry for inactivity, I was at a wedding for most of yesterday/last night. Haven't really had time to follow the game properly.

Wait, what? We can't catch scum based off of scumtells? Are you kidding me? I realize that this game is different, but I still feel like reading people, trying to find scum, and not being tricked is still the best strategy. What kind of defeatist statement is this? I feel like you are making a very small contribution to anything with this and all your other posts.

I am still deciding on Pesco vs. Bard, but I think as crazy and illogical as Pesco has been acting, he has had some thoughtful stuff in his posts even though... the reasoning is a little off I can't really say the same for Bard. I must say I approve of someone who wants to follow instinct sometimes, but I think his logic of Rou being retardedly easy to read is hard for me to follow (although I might feel differently if I wasn't new here!).

With that said, I think that Bard hasn't been very helpful, and Pesco has been helpful in his own way.

##VOTE: Pesco

I also agree with whomever said that the time for challenging should be longer.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 14, 2010, 05:47:32 AM
Not much new today.

- "If we can confirm a townie beyond a doubt we'll win!"

Good luck with that, also I'd like a pony that shoots missiles, but it isn't going to happen.  Handing all the wins to one person is a very risky strategy that I am not at all keen on supporting.

- "I think today is town vs town"

While town vs town duels don't give scum a head directly, too many of them leads to a scum cleanup and almost certain scum victory.  We do still need to hunt and kill scum.

- "Pesco's playing so suicidally he must be town!"

A:  No.  In general.
B:  No, to Pesco in specific.  Historically his playstyle is "Do what's amusing for Pesco."  What's good for his team doesn't factor into it.  I dislike bringing that up but I guess we can't get away from it here.
C:  We can't change challenge targets like we can change lynches in a normal game.  The only relevant issue here is which of them is more likely to be scum, not which is more likely to be town - trying to evaluate on the basis of townieness rather than scumminess makes it much easier for scum to take a couple of heads with risky crazy gambits.  "So crazy scummy he must be town" is still more likely to be scum than someone middle of the road (which is about how I see Bard.) 

Not 100% yet on who I want to see challenging tomorrow.  I'm leaning Tom vs Ciato at the moment; both of them posted very odd, nearly forced sounding defenses of Pesco, which is quite suspicious regardless of Pesco's actual alignment (and whether he winds up dying today or not.)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 14, 2010, 06:56:30 AM
'It's a Pesco idea. I must fight it with my every being!'

'Policy lynch Pesco. Whoever he is accusing can not be scum because it's Pesco!'

Alex, you knew what you were getting into when you sign up for a game here. So why go back on your vehement word to never be in a game with me? What pro town value is there in your play when my name is removed? You claim meta for wanting me lynched  yet you've avoided being in games with me. What credibility can you prove when you're acting purely on prejudice that should have been left by the door?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 14, 2010, 07:01:24 AM
This is the second time you've brought that up. What relevance does it have to the game? Are you suggesting Alex is scum because he signed up for a game with you in it?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 14, 2010, 07:14:42 AM
Pot calling the kettle black. How is what he's doing any more pro town than what he's accused me of?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 14, 2010, 09:59:08 AM
Initiating a challenge unilaterally within the first few hours of the day on no reasoning is a very scummy thing to do in this setup, as has been covered before, and I would be voting against anyone who did that as I think there is a much higher chance for them to be scum than the person they issued the challenge against to be scum.  Particularly when the reasoning given for issuing the challenge is essentially nil. 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 14, 2010, 11:35:01 AM
'Policy lynch Pesco. Whoever he is accusing can not be scum because it's Pesco!'
When did anyone say something like this? Why not something like 'Whoever he is accusing is unlikely to be scum given the lack of points against him, and he's probably scum given his hastiness to get someone killed'? Why jump to such crazy levels of misrep if you're Town?

Alex, you knew what you were getting into when you sign up for a game here. So why go back on your vehement word to never be in a game with me? What pro town value is there in your play when my name is removed? You claim meta for wanting me lynched yet you've avoided being in games with me. What credibility can you prove when you're acting purely on prejudice that should have been left by the door?
This reeks of desperation, to be frank. 'You said you didn't want to play a game with me, why are you paying so much attention to me now that we're in a game together?' :/

Happy with my vote.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 14, 2010, 12:17:43 PM
My post was directed at one person only. One that assumed scum before finding evidence.

I can only assume you haven't read anything else if that's all you can say, Rou.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Serp on February 14, 2010, 12:24:37 PM
I can see how doing a unilateral challenge in the first hours of the day could have townie intent behind it, because it forces the town to start taking stances on players' scumminess rather than getting bogged down in setup speculation and pouncing on stupid townies.  But I've got to admit that the points that have been raised about how it would be a likely scum strategy as well have merit.  Pesco's meta means that if anyone would do that sort of thing as town, it's him...  But Pesco is capable of abusing his own meta as well.  Basically, it's a huge pile of WIFOM.

Meanwhile, Bardiche just seems a little strange, not really scummy.  I'm more inclined to lynch the case covered with WIFOM.  I don't want to bring Bardiche to L-1 ("live minus one") when discussion time is so precious in this setup, but if votes start swinging towards Pesco in the last hours of the day, I'll be switching.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 14, 2010, 12:37:46 PM
By my count, only a little over 4 hours left.

I'm ready to self hammer just btw.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 14, 2010, 01:57:34 PM
My post was directed at one person only. One that assumed scum before finding evidence.
- I said 'when has ANYONE said that' to point out just how exaggerated it was. NO-ONE has said anything like that.

I can only assume you haven't read anything else if that's all you can say, Rou.
Or alternatively I think people are already talking way too freaking much for DAY 1. What do you want, a list of suspicions signed in triplicate? It's sort of hard to produce cases when you cut the voting spectrum down to 2 players in a matter of hours.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 14, 2010, 02:12:51 PM
Talking way too much? When did everyone take a level in Mindhax to determine scum from single posts like me? There's no such thing as too much info in a game like this.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: EvilTom on February 14, 2010, 02:28:28 PM
Right. I just don't see why Pesco's actions are considered scummy. As far as I can tell, it's created massive amounts of discussion, which will later be used to find scum. I agree with Pesco when he says there's no such thing as too much info. I don't want to be a Pesco fanboy, but I don't agree with Alex's inherent dislike of Pesco either. But whatever.
Anyway I'd rather see Pesco live since he's beeing flamboyantly pro-town with his die-hard discussion generating or whatever you want to call it, so I will not vote for mr. walls of quotetextreply. That is all.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: El Cideon on February 14, 2010, 02:42:49 PM
My post was directed at one person only. One that assumed scum before finding evidence.

Pot calling the kettle black.

Anyway, not real convinced either of our challengers is scum but sticking with a Pesco lynch for kickstarting the whole insane situation to begin with. Bard's recent silence is eerie but I agree with everything he's said about his challenger, so.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Edible on February 14, 2010, 02:47:05 PM
DAY 1 CHALLENGE: Pesco vs. Bardiche

Vote Count - Time Is Running Out™ Edition
Bardiche (7) - Bardiche, Kilgamayan, Ranmilia, El Cideon, Kefit, Roukanken, Kitten4U
Pesco (5) - UncertainKitten, Serpentarius, Pesco, Tom, MissCiato

It takes 9 votes to secure a win.  Remember that you are voting for who you want to -win- the duel.

You have ~3.25 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Kiro on February 14, 2010, 03:19:30 PM
Pesco: I see what you mean about wanting to eliminate Bard and then have Rou eliminate you afterwards. It however, is a viable strategy for both Town and Scum. Even if Rou were a scumbuddy of yours, you'd still get that one kill on a Town Bardiche to salvage your headlong rush. And Rou may not be touched for a while at least so it could be counted as a gain for awhile. Or Rou could also be Town anyways to give you arguing room to at least get a 1 for 1 trade (even though he's actually voting against you right now).

It's troublesome that Bardiche hasn't posted in a while. But I imagine he'll be held in check for awhile anyways while different leads are pursued. It still boils down that I feel you'd be more likely to be scum than him just based on the early aggressiveness. I can't ignore the slight attitude adjustment you've given either.

##Vote Bardiche (L-1)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 14, 2010, 03:41:38 PM
Since we've come so far. Let's talk about what next after I flip town. What are you guys going to do about my idea of letting Rou take all the wins from there on?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Chaore on February 14, 2010, 03:52:23 PM
Since we've come so far. Let's talk about what next after I flip town. What are you guys going to do about my idea of letting Rou take all the wins from there on?

Ignore it, likely.

The practice it comes from seems half-plausible, sure. But in reality it just turns the game into a 50-50 chance to fail or win. Organized lynching doesn't seem like something town should really do anyway. More like something scum would want done.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Pesco on February 14, 2010, 04:17:09 PM
Sad to hear it. A straight up win and you guys don't want to listen to the only confirmed player at this stage of the game.

I need to head out and won't be around until the last second. My guess of scum (up to 5 players): Bard, K4U, Kefit, Jam and Tom.

##Unvote
##Vote Bard
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 1)
Post by: Edible on February 14, 2010, 04:59:47 PM
MALLET

YOUR SILENCE IS APPRECIATED
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 15, 2010, 08:11:16 AM
"If this is about Tokiha-san, then I-"

The nun shook her head, and levelled a finger at Mashiro, quivering with accusation- "Why did you bring the children here in the first place, Kazahana-san? Ishigami-sensei told me everything. The purpose behind the scholarships... and the First District, too."

Mashiro looked away. "It was unavoidable. The festival was inevitable, in some form or another. But, I-"

Light spilled forth from Yukariko's palm, soon taking on a tangible, stretchy form similar to doughy flour. Within seconds it had become a silver bow, an arrow nocked and ready. "I assumed you'd have no choice to admit it," she replied. "Anything else you have to say is suspect, Kazahana-san. If I start with you, do you think God will lead me to the others?"

Gripping the arms of her wheelchair more tightly, Mashiro tried again- "Listen to me, Yukariko-san! I truly am on your-"

"Vlas!" A shadowy unicorn seemed to wisp into existence behind Yukariko, and all around the two women, the colours of the world began to shift into greys and whites.

"Would you kindly stop cutting me-"

Arrows thudded into the pillars of the arbor, and Yukariko's no longer appeared to be listening. As the world warped around her, Mashiro's sight became hazy and indistinct. Gritting her teeth and giving up entirely on words, she reached for a rip-cord just to her right.

A moment later, there was a thunderous roar, and jets of violet flame blazed forth from the rear of Mashiro's wheelchair! Yukariko only had a second to blink before the entire contraption slammed into her legs. The wheels did the rest of the work, consigning her to a fate shared by hundreds of unfortunate car-crash victims around the world.

<->

Pesco, aka Sanada Yukariko, Town Lovestruck Nun was run over!

<->

Mere hours after Yukariko's death, rumours had spread rapidly throughout the school. Naturally observant of such talk, the HiME decided that in order to prevent further ambushes they would travel about in pairs from now on, each person with someone they trusted.

Unfortunately, there is nothing schoolgirls like to do more than gossip, and the circumstances brought about the nastiest of paranoid chatter...

<->

It is Round 2. The Hime Star is high in the sky! Today, it is a Team Battle! The duel today will take place between four players divided into two groups. When making a challenge, use the following format-

##Team: Nao - identifies your teammate.
##Challenge: Shizuru & Natsuki - identifies your opponents.

If someone allies with you you have no choice but to accept. Similarily, if you are challenged as a team with another player you must accept this as well. Voting will procede as normal after the challenge is made, with votes being counted against the team rather than the individuals involved. Solo challenges will be ignored! Decide your team and challenge your foes in the same post.

Teams are inseperable, and will live or die together depending on the duel.

If scum are on the winning side, they can only claim wins from taking townie heads, and only one head per victorious scum. (e.g. if a team with one scum defeats two townies, he only gets one win. If a team with two scum defeats a team of one townie and one scum, they only claim one head, and so on.)

Today's challenge phase will run for 48 hours instead of 24! Thus, you have 48 hours from now to make a challenge.

the soul still burns in

1. Kazahana Mashiro is bardiche, who should've been midori *
2. Minagi Mikoto kitten4u likes cats can you tell
3. Kuga Natsuki dread thomas needs a lift, big boy
4. Kikukawa Yukino alice has a thing for tentacles
5. Sugiura Midori ciato can't get nightkilled this game
6. Higurashi Akane chaos will probably die first
7. Yuuki Nao kiro climbed up the water spout
8. Himeno Fumi serpentarius is a teacatching fiend
9. Okuzaki Akira roukanken epitomizes gender identification issues
10. Munakata Shiho kefit can strangle you with her hair
11. Fujino Shizuru uncertainkitten hates old people with passion
12. Alyssa Searrs jam-kiske's ion cannon is ready
14. Senou Aoi kilga is determined to be powerless at all costs
15. Harada Chie cid couldn't wait for fatal frame mafia
16. Miyu Grear siralex was forced out the coolant tank

all sparkly now

13. Sanada Yukariko (pesco) was defeated by Kazahana Mashiro (bardiche) in The Battle of the Unexpected Motorist
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 15, 2010, 11:05:49 AM
Ah.  Quick post before bed.  Hm, daily effects, team battles.  Interesting.  Makes it a bit harder, rather than putting two scummy people together I think we want to go for two scummy people vs two not very scummy people here.  Decreases odds of scum getting a head, which they are much more likely to do if we throw four scummy people in the mixer together. 

#Propose: Tom and Ciato vs ... uh... I dunno Kefit and myself I guess.

I definitely want to see Tom and Ciato on the losing end, both of them had odd tones and Tom was downright nonsensical.  The winning end I'm not sure about, I know I'm town and Kefit's been nice and logical and said the same things I've thought so I like him - I am very open to debate here if someone has good reasons for the winners, but this is a very tricky part of the game indeed. 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: EvilTom on February 15, 2010, 11:19:29 AM
##Team: (Kilga) Senou Aoi
##Challenge: (Alex) Miyu Grear & (Ciato) Sugiura Midori


GG ScumAlex lining up lynches. This way we get to see both you and Ciato flip (scum).

Obligatory. (http://static.minitokyo.net/view/08/47/77358.jpg)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 15, 2010, 12:01:51 PM
Challenge Begins!


Alex (Miyu) & Ciato (Midori) (0)

vs

Dread Thomas (Natsuki) & Kilgamayan (Aoi) (0)

48 hours remaining!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 15, 2010, 02:07:42 PM
Um...what do I owe you all? Since...apparently pre challenge discussion has suddenly become uncool. I wanted fast earlier but...dear god people.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 02:29:15 PM
what is this i don't even
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 02:43:55 PM
Okay I was going to kneejerk vote for myself but I got called away for a moment and thought about this and realized that this new team battle mechanism is a sufficiently different spin on an already crazy victory mechanic that it might not actually behoove me or town to blindly save myself. I don't particularly think Alex is scum and I think the "lining up lynches" accusation is silly because planning is everything in this game and there needed to be discussion about how to proceed into Day 2 as well as future days.

I will need to reread Tom and Ciato today before deciding who I want to vote for, as I didn't recall having much of a problem with either of them on Day 1.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 15, 2010, 02:45:50 PM
what is this i don't even
If I had to guess I'd suspect scum have put one member on both sides, therefore ensuring a recorded victory whoever wins. Of course this means that whoever enforced the challenge is scum, so...yeah.

##Vote: Alex/Ciato
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 15, 2010, 02:47:45 PM
EBWOP: If I had to choose, I'd say the scum in this position are Ciato and Tom. More confident in Tom being scum based on him forcing this whole scenario.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 15, 2010, 03:07:12 PM
Trying real hard not to kneejerk antivote Tom. Didn't we go through this yesterday? What the hell is wrong with letting everyone have a chance to talk first.

Need to wash out brain and reread stuff. Kilga I've been pretty okay with, Tom I just remember scattered short posts that didn't make a heckuva lot of sense or really try to. Ciato's mostly been a background presence, Alex I've teetered between supporting and being wary of just for the risk of scumbloc sabotaging public attempts at organization.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 15, 2010, 03:19:38 PM
Yeah sorry about my radio silence yesterday I was at a party but what have you done now.

Strongly considering voting away Tom because... "lol vote against WoT" is a crappy reason yesterday and initiating the challenge before anything is ...

Probable that if Tom is scum, one of those on the other team is scum as well. I agree with that. The problem is, is Tom scum or just an incredibly misguided Town who thinks teamwork with the majority is pass??

... yeahno. Let me re-read and see if I'd rather preserve Kilgamayan or one on the other team.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kiro on February 15, 2010, 03:29:00 PM
Initial reaction pretty much pits Tom as Scum. He was accused by Alex and rather than enter discussion when we had a new dynamic added, he sets up a weirdass matchup. He accuses both Alex and Ciato of being Scum, but he also hasn't presented evidence of such. The only thing is how he dislikes Alex's dislike of Pesco (Town), but there was never a mention of Ciato from his mouth.

So if Tom is Town, he thinks he can bag 2 Scum at once and chose a partner who he thinks he can win with and I guess it was Kilga. The speed of the challenge probably assumes he's worried about being unilaterally put into a challenge with Ciato whom he thought was Scum. But he had to have known he could discuss both of them being Scum and get Town to commit 2 different people to challenge Alex and Ciato rather than haphazardly force himself into it. As for how bad it would make him look along with possibly being suspicious himself, letting Scum possibly earn 2 Townie heads in this duel is beyond reckless without talking it over with everybody else.

If Tom is Scum, that means one of Alex or Ciato must be Town so he can bag a head. The weird question to ask now is: are both Alex and Ciato Townies? The only reason this would occur is if both Tom and Kilga are Scum hoping for a chance to get 2 heads.

Personally, I think it's entirely moronic for Tom as Scum to make this kind of a challenge which he has a high chance of losing and dragging in a scumbuddy to boot. That indicates Kilga is likely Townie. Furthermore, if Tom knew he had a high chance of losing, he'd try to take someone down with him in this team match. Meaning one of Alex or Ciato is likely Scum to bag Kilga's head. Given the speed of this challenge and the otherwise worst case scenario of a scumpair of Tom and Ciato being pitted against a different group that could possibly beat them as Alex was suggesting, this makes it look like Ciato is Scum.

In any case, Tom is definitely more scummy than either Ciato or Alex at this point and in the remote chance Kilga is indeed Scum as well:

##Vote Team Alex & Ciato

P.S. I will be away for a little bit as I take a bus from Thailand to Malaysia so I do not know when I will get settled in to check the forum again. Hopefully within 24 hours again.

Cut by Rou: You said everything I just did in like 3 sentences. I'm terrible at this concise business.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Serp on February 15, 2010, 03:50:08 PM
Not a whole lot to say that hasn't already been said.  Unilateral challenge, with today's weird conditions no less, is a stronger tactic for scum than for town.  Combine this with Tom's already erratic posts so far and there's no way I'm willing to give him a chance to claim a head.

##Vote: Team Alex & Ciato

I'd advise Kiro not to try to read too far into Tom's tactics here, since Tom's move makes about as much sense as a basket full of red herrings as it does as any other townie or scum strategy, but we can try to dissect his psychology after what will very hopefully be his scumflip.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 15, 2010, 03:50:43 PM
##VOTE: Alex & Ciato

Ciato's basically been non-existant and hasn't contributed much, but I'm definitely not comfortable with Tom, whether Kilga be on the team or no.

Tom, why did you pick Kilga to be on your team? You know from the previous day's proceedings that we're pretty opposed to people who quick-challenge, so why did you condemn Kilga to die with you in the likely event we wouldn't vote for your survival?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Chaore on February 15, 2010, 04:16:47 PM
Wait what the hell already? God damnit Tom.

Don't copy Pesco EXACTLY, at least! Get back here and defend yourself!

He accuses both Alex and Ciato of being Scum, but he also hasn't presented evidence of such. The only thing is how he dislikes Alex's dislike of Pesco (Town), but there was never a mention of Ciato from his mouth.

I'll make note here, He also outright mentions he is suspicious of people with strategies. Alex (If on Pesco's behest) brought forth a pretty big strategy people are taking up. Given that reasoning, Alex would seem like a giant fucking red light.

Given Pesco's flip, I'm not sure this really matter though. He didn't do it because he wanted to suggest a way for him to control votes, but because someone asked him his opinion on the system. I'm not sure his strategy entirely favors Scum, either.

I think I've got a reread of Ciato and Kilga in store, then. Tom has almost nothing, And Alex matches in 'Let me just toss something about how the game should go then contribute...nothing?' Hes done more gaming the system than scum hunting, last I checked and maybe I should reread both of them. I'm not sure where I got that impression, but I don't like how I got to that.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Edible on February 15, 2010, 04:20:43 PM
Day 2 Battle Update - Alex/Ciato VS Tom/Kilga
Alex/Ciato Team (4): Roukanken, Kiro, Serpentarius, Bardiche
Tom/Kilga Team (0):


With 15 alive, it takes 8 votes to win a duel.  Remember that you are voting for the team you want to win.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 15, 2010, 04:32:48 PM
Stomach flu sucks.  Slept 16 hours yesterday and I kind of want to go back to sleep now.  Brain is fried.  Doing my best here.  If something doesn't make sense you know what to do.

Gah, are you serious?  My opinion on quick duels still hasn't changed even if Pesco did flip town.  I still do not see how challenging before everyone could put their two cents in helps the town at all.  Tom has also been completely useless, so I think he's probably scum.  I don't have a problem with Kilga, so I'm assuming that scum!Tom just picked him to drag down with him if he died.

I don't really have any issues with Ciato.  He hasn't really said anything to make me think he's town or scum.  A couple of Alex's statements have been worrysome (most notably his first post today, if either Tom or Ciato flip town he's definitely going to be worth looking at), but he doesn't look too terrible.

##Vote Alex/Ciato Team
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 15, 2010, 04:36:40 PM
Hey guys let's discuss and strategize before challenging!

LOLNO. Really? WHAT THE HELL GUYS.

This is incredibly irrating. Also gonna call Tom scummy for simply challenging rather than allowing everyone to discuss as Alex suggested we do. It's quite possible there's one scum on each team if they're desperate for a win, but if that's the case Tom is for sure more scummy.

Plus, why put Alex on a team with the other person he wanted you with in terms of suggesting challenging you? To get a scumbuddy to win either way? Ugh. >>

##Vote Alex and Ciato
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 04:40:55 PM
Yeah I've lost zero motivation to do any sort of reread at this point.

I'm vanilla, gasp shock awe Aoi has no powers.

Highly suggest Alex vs. Ciato tomorrow for obvious reasons. Might be worth looking into both of them even after one dies, tiny corner of my brain is suggesting a Tom/Alex/Ciato team that knew Tom and I would lose based on Tom's approach to the day.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 04:41:20 PM
Er.

I have zero motivation.

I've lost so much I have ceased caring about proper English!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Serp on February 15, 2010, 04:58:34 PM
I've lost so much I have ceased caring about proper English!

You can't help but just give up?

Anyway, joking aside, any impressions upon a re-read you can give would be helpful to us in the rather likely event that you flip town, as then we'd all have a confirmed townie's impressions to work with.

(If Tom flips town and you flip scum, I am going to laugh so hard.)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 05:00:35 PM
Maybe later. I have more important things to do right now, like dump Katsucon pictures onto Poosh.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: MissCiato on February 15, 2010, 06:37:02 PM
I don't really understand what is going on here, didn't we discuss that we shouldn't be doing what Tom just did?

I've basically believed that Alex is scum since Day 1 where he accused people who dared to defend someone he didn't like. It's arrogant, imperious, and I've felt like Alex has been trying to control the entire game. But UNFORTUNATELY because of a certain MEDIOCRITY, HE IS ON THE BALLOT WITH ME. What the fuck is wrong with you?

I don't really understand why Tom did what he did, but I strongly suspect that it was for scummy reasons. Tom/Alex team seems pretty plausible to me with minimal thought on Tom's part. I thought that Tom and Alex were scumbuddies since last day when Alex was trying to set up a fight between Tom and myself (and then preceed to railroad me.). I maybe am just being paranoid here maybe, but I think Alex was trying to set-up exactly what was going to occur in Day 2. Unfortunately what Tom did makes no sense in any context since that paints a big target on his head.

Most of what I wrote down to post on Day 2 involved Alex's "I will be angry with you regardless of how Pesco flips BECAUSE YOU DEFENDED SOMEONE I DON'T LIKE!". Basically I perceived Alex as being a bully toward Pesco, and I still do. Preying on the less logical players is just very easy.

I'm sorry, I am just really really pissed off about being team battle matched up with someone that I believe is scum and there's nothing I can do about it. I think challenges should be voted on instead of haphazardly thrown out there. I mean, as a rule of the game, not depending on people like Pesco and Tom to not do it. >_>

CHAOS has been the biggest floater in the game thus far. His contribution so far has been making observations and not saying anything definite. I am unsure what I want to go down tomorrow but I wouldn't mind seeing CHAOS vs. Alex.  I would have to read the entire topic again, though, for a full impression of everyone (lots of new people!)

I think Kilga reads pretty townie and I am pretty annoyed to be pitted against him.

##VOTE: Ciato and Alex
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Chaore on February 15, 2010, 06:47:00 PM
Well, now we're at L-1.

Can we hold off on a useless hammer in favor of the off-chance Tom does have a role and something to contribute? I'd be rather irked if we hammer off the Cop before he can make a claim/give his results.

There is really no reason to silence him before he can say something, except for scummy reasons.

CHAOS vs. Alex

I'd prefer not to toss scum a kill, but I'm considering this myself.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 15, 2010, 07:14:21 PM
Right. I've tried to make sense of Tom as town and it just isn't happening. He has to have known from yesterday what kind of reaction a unilateral challenge would get and I can't grapple with the idea of town Tom throwing himself in front of a truck like this. The situation is much easier to read if Tom is scum: the fact that there was little serious opposition to Alex's plan late yesterday combined with Alex's proposed challenge for today may have prompted Tom to take the initiative to at least make sure he wound up in a team of his own choosing. He can drag Kilga with him (who's seemed pretty town to me and who no one has voiced suspicion of) and make sure his proposed partner winds up on the other team (to collect a kill if said partner is also scum). It's basically making the best of an inconvenient situation.

Tom's comments yesterday were also mostly a mix of trolling and flippant nonchalance, so I really don't have a problem voting against him in this matchup. Not voting right now because it's hammertime and I don't think everyone's had a chance to weigh in yet, but fully prepared to do so barring some marvelous revelation.

Also disagree with several of Ciato's statements, particularly regarding Alex bullying Pesco. There's a difference between bad play illogical and willfully disruptive illogical; Pesco's playstyle was that of a lunatic, but he did knowingly get himself into that situation. I don't see anything unwarranted or excessively harsh about Alex's conduct in response. I'd also take Ciato's concerns about Alex more seriously if she'd voiced them before, and a quick scan of her posts shows no previous mention of him. The post reads to me like an attempt to paint a bright distinction between herself and Alex in preparation for tomorrow--which will most likely revolve around one or the other since they've almost won today's challenge. If someone in the Alex/Ciato matchup is scum, which seems very likely if Tom flips scum, then I think it's more likely to be Ciato.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 08:08:56 PM
Whee L-1. Better get this out now.

If Tom flips scum and Day 3 is a standard 1v1 challenge matchup, make sure the challenge is Alex vs. Ciato. Anyone that prematurely ejaculates a challenge that is not Alex/Ciato should be lynched with extreme prejudice for there is no reason to cut this challenge off unless one is scum trying to avoid giving town the chance to make a decision.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 08:14:55 PM
Also writing some more shit, so don't hammer yet.

Hell, no one should be hammering until Tom and Alex both post again.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 15, 2010, 08:33:07 PM
##UNVOTE: Alex & Ciato

Just in case.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 15, 2010, 08:33:31 PM
what
what
what
what
what
what
what
what
what

Okay it's actually pretty obvious what, Tom/Ciato are scum and took this opportunity to snag a head.  Virtually certain.  Really two heads since it's true that I'll have to go down sometime now.  I certainly agree me vs Ciato tomorrow.

... no.  Maybe THREE heads total since it's possible only Tom is scum, from a mechanical advantage perspective?  From a gut perspective, though, I'm pretty sure on Ciato too, though some icky reasons come into play.  (In short: gotta fess up, even I am prone to bits of player meta sometimes.  Ciato is just the last person imaginable that would waffle and defend posts like this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251747#msg251747) instead of going into a frothing rage.)

Anyway... I can't think of too much else to say.  Sympathies to Kilga, I know you have zero motivation, but you do know this environment well, any final thoughts on the rest of the players before you go out?

ALSO

BARDICHE

Did anything happen to you gameplaywise as a result of winning the duel yesterday?

Agreed no one should hammer in fact I think someone or sometwo should unvote so Tom can't come in and selfhammer.

ninja: thanks bard!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 08:37:34 PM
Sympathies to Kilga, I know you have zero motivation, but you do know this environment well, any final thoughts on the rest of the players before you go out?

Taking care of this right now, actually~
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 08:58:01 PM
Thoughts on players that are not Tom. I actually kinda like having the freedom to do a game-wide summary thanks to Tom sticking the Sword of Damocles above my head.

---

Bard: Possible scum, in retrospect. Day 1 was reporteration plus walls of chaff and his questioning of Tom today is silly and pointless - Tom most certainly wanted someone on his team people would think twice about before they voted against him, and in the likely event Tom's scum he also gets the additional bonus of taking someone down with him that scum can't get mislynched otherwise (if I may toot my own horn). Looks like faux grilling akin to what Rat did to Chaore in RKS.

K4U: Don't recall seeing anything bad from her. Slight town lean.

Alice: Needs to post more. Bet you all didn't see that one coming.

Chaore: Couldn't remember a single thing he said without rereading the entire topic. Inclined to lean scum on this alone. Rereading him reminded me why I couldn't remember anything he said, because most of his posts have been little non-contributory one-liners. and his longer posts are :words: more than :content:.

Kiro/Serp: Leaning town on them, I remember nodding my head along to most of what they've posted.

Roukan: Playing largely like TownRoukan, but it's been so long since I've seen ScumRoukan that something is itching at me to stay alert metawise. Neutral read. Some similar feelings here as what I wrote about Chaore, except I actually remembered a few things Roukan had posted.

Kefit: The number-crunching was nice and all but he's had exactly one meaningful post all game. This needs to change.

UK: Completely forgot about her, to be honest. That's probably not a good sign. Total lack of content today is worrying.

Jam: Her posts read very much like they read in RKS Mafia. Probably town. Useless aside: This is the second MotK game in a row where we've had four girls and I don't think we'd ever had more than three at once in any game before that.

Cid: Feeling pretty good here in general. Basically Kiro and Serp without an avatar. Probably town.

---

I'm honestly not sure where I stand on Alex vs. Ciato. I feel Ciato's posts have read and felt slightly more like a townie's (as much as playing the setup has become more important than normal, it's still easy for scum to use to feign content), but I think a Tom/Ciato team is more likely to go ahead with this Day 2 plan than a Tom/Alex team.

Here are my Day 3 suggestions, covering a variety of challenge scenarios I believe possible. All of these assume Tom flips scum.

1 vs. 1 - Alex vs. Ciato, no question. I maintain that anyone that issues a Day 3 challenge that is not Alex vs. Ciato needs to be ground into the pavement as fast as possible.

1 vs. 1 vs. 1 - Alex vs. Ciato vs. one of Bard/Chaore...leaning slightly toward Bard but the difference is minimal.

2 vs. 2 - Some combination of the above four with Ciato and Alex on opposite teams.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 15, 2010, 09:01:42 PM
Quote
UK: Completely forgot about her, to be honest. That's probably not a good sign. Total lack of content today is worrying.

Part of it is fatigue. I'm lost this game. I don't know what to look for. Yes, I think Tom should hang for obvious reasons that have had the shit beat out of them. Sorry you have to go with him though.

At any rate, I need some bearings basically. I could recheck what I need to produce that I never was able to follow through on. Or, I could ask everyone to make a request of information of me that I'll provide, which would both answer questions and allow me to integrate back in the game, if that makes sense.

I've also been working on getting Umineko mafia started on MS, but that was a couple hours ago.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 15, 2010, 09:28:37 PM
Did anything happen to you gameplaywise as a result of winning the duel yesterday?

What do you mean? I didn't die.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 09:33:59 PM
I think he's talking about boosted powers.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 15, 2010, 09:39:18 PM
Don't appreciate rolefishery~
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 09:43:07 PM
He's not asking what you got, he's asking if you got anything at all. That's less rolefishing and more confirming a theorized game mechanic initially suggested by the mod.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 15, 2010, 09:50:49 PM
I didn't get anything I particularly feel the need to share for; it's useless either way.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 15, 2010, 09:53:44 PM
Yeah, what Kilga said.  You obviously don't need to say WHAT you got - although in a game with no nightkills I'm not actually sure why you wouldn't - but whether you got anything at all is nice to know for planning future challenges. 

Ninja'd.  Hrm.  Well I don't like the reticence there at all, but I guess I'm about to win one myself so I'll find out.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 15, 2010, 09:59:12 PM
People have been posting. I guess people missed this:

Quote
Or, I could ask everyone to make a request of information of me that I'll provide, which would both answer questions and allow me to integrate back in the game, if that makes sense.

This has benefits outside of re engaging me in the game. People as smart as yourselves can catch what I want. And no, it's nothing big or gamebreaking, but I think it's at least a slight help.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 15, 2010, 10:01:01 PM
There's no need for me to tell you what I got because it's a null read and it's completely worthless insofar as assisting town or scum goes.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 15, 2010, 11:14:09 PM
General summary of tl;dr summary post earlier, just in case any of it wasn't clear.

I like: Kiro, Serp, Cid, and to a lesser extent Jam and K4U.
I am neutral on: Kefit and Roukan.
I do not like: Bard, Chaore, and to a lesser extent UK and Alice.

Or, I could ask everyone to make a request of information of me that I'll provide, which would both answer questions and allow me to integrate back in the game, if that makes sense.

- Which of Alex and Ciato do you think is Tom's scum buddy?

- Who not involved in today's challenge do you think is scum?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 15, 2010, 11:19:27 PM
Quote
- Which of Alex and Ciato do you think is Tom's scum buddy?

I have a minimal read on both of them. I'd want to guess Ciato to be honest, but I have to reread both of them sometime tonight.

Quote
- Who not involved in today's challenge do you think is scum?

I still don't like Bardiche. The fight I had with him was basically him trying to come up with ways to nitpick my behavior and it didn't work very well IMO. Oh, and fiat of Pesco being right usually, but I won't try to build a case on that. Then he disappears, though supposedly that's explained, and I'd be rather hypocritical to call him out on that.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 15, 2010, 11:59:08 PM
Good to see some words from people who know what they're doing.

This setup leads to confusion... Honestly, it's hard to figure out where we should go from here as any time we could have had for discussion on everyone has been nuked by people instantly challenging each other and drawing our attention to them...

Tom has yet to post again, and it'd be nice to see him do so before his seemingly inevitable death....
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 16, 2010, 12:32:30 AM
This setup leads to confusion... Honestly, it's hard to figure out where we should go from here as any time we could have had for discussion on everyone has been nuked by people instantly challenging each other and drawing our attention to them...

I think at this point you can at least take comfort from the fact that anyone else pulling this will get killed for it.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 16, 2010, 12:52:33 AM
Just saying I'm still reading and I have no idea what to contribute.

Alex vs. Ciato feels like a bad idea, because then we risk giving a win to scum if we pick wrong. I'd suggest (assuming he flips Town) that we determine before we issue the challenge which of the two we want to lynch, then pit them against someone who Kilga saw as Town. That reduces the risk of us giving a win to scum in the case of a mislynch.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 16, 2010, 12:53:10 AM
EBWOP: Because that came out badly, 'he' in this instance is Kilga.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 16, 2010, 12:58:04 AM
What about Pesco's opinion, Rou? It's entirely possible he was right about you. Perhaps you should be pitted against one of them?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 16, 2010, 12:59:57 AM
First off, the next person that Leeroy Jenkinses into a challenge without letting the rest of Town discuss and consult about it first gets vig'd by me IRL. Seriously, what the fuck. Anyway, on topic here:

It is basically guaranteed that Tom is Scum. There is no way I can justify his behaviour as Townie here: if he really was Town and concerned about Alex setting up lynches, why did he not consult Town first at all? Throw in a couple more points here that have been discussed to death above, and you get that his behaviour is strictly Anti-Town no matter how you look at it and only makes sense from a Scum standpoint.

Kilga, I'm fairly confident so far is Town. At least there's nothing that's been hinting me towards the opposite so far. I am vaguely curious why I am on the "I do not like:" tier: is it solely due to lack of posting?

What I don't like about Bard is, if his ability really is so useless to the game and unimportant, why is he trying so hard to hide it and not simply reveal it? This bothers me. It could either mean he has acquired an actually useful power for Town, in which case hiding it would perhaps be the sensical thing to do, or it's something that's likely Anti-Town. Now, hiding Pro-Town abilities is normally a good thing because lol Scum Nightkill - but that doesn't exist in this game: so again, why is he being so evasive? That + the rest of the things he's said today (i.e. a general lack of content overall) worry me a bit.

UK needs to stop being lazy and actually read through the game. Christ, if the rest of us can do it, why can't you?

Anyway, onto the real issue here: Alex vs. Ciato. I'm leaning Town on Alex at the moment. There are a couple things that are iffy here, the "lining up lynches" comment is a minor complaint, not so much for recommending a challenge for D2 on D1 but stating that it should be the challenge regardless of Pesco's flipped alignment, but simultaneously I haven't had much of an issue with his reasoning, Tom looks horrible in general, his strat of voting for challenges is fairly Pro-Town at least in the first couple days (where Scum doesn't control near-majority of the voting block), and furthermore Tom's reaction doesn't make sense assuming Alex is Scum: as a Scum gambit, ScumTom+TownKilga vs. ScumAlex+TownCiato doesn't make any more sense from a heads standpoint than ScumTom+TownCiato vs. ScumAlex+TownWhoever. The only way this would work in their favour is if both Alex and Ciato are Scum, then this gives an overall positive amount of heads. But then D3 one of the remaining Scum will die, and it's fairly certain D4 the other will. So overall, a net loss. Combined, this makes me think that Alex is probably Town in this matchup.

Now, Ciato, I will admit, I've found so far to be nigh-unreadable. D1 her posts so far have been on the Sodium/Kanako/NEETz scale of Fairly Useless(TM), which makes me want to suspect her as Scum out of principle, but this is obviously a bad idea, so yeah. D2 her one sole post seems to be decent, though there is some element of AoE. Now, matchup-wise. Let's assume TownAlex, and TownKilga (btw: matchup-wise, if Tom is Scum, it makes no sense at all for him to take Scum-Kilga down with him, considering there has been literally no suspicion on Kilga so far. Could he have been thinking that maybe Kilga would be able to defend him from dying? Plausible, but still terrible. It makes far more sense for Tom to recruit a random Townie if he goes the suicidal route than one of his fellow Scum, especially one that nobody has suspected so far. This, combined with the general lack of complaints from Kilga, makes me near-100% confident that Kilga is actually Town). So, assuming TownCiato: TownAlex+Town? vs. ScumTom+TownCiato as opposed to TownAlex+TownCiato vs. ScumTom+Town? are in this case identical matchup-wise, and I cannot see Tom actually expecting to win his Leeroy Jenkins attempt considering: A) What happened to Pesco D1, B) His D1 posting, C) His challenge reasoning, etc. I would really love to see another post from Tom clearing up some of this, but at this point it really seems as if he's gone suicidal. Now, it doesn't make sense to do if Ciato is Town and Alex is Town, but if Alex is Town and Ciato is Scum, suddenly it makes sense: Tom saw Alex's proposal, panicked, and decided to go out with a bang while simultaneously attempting to confuse Town further and attempt to get rid of one of Alex or Kilga. So, leaning Scum on this one, though potentially Town: ScumTom would have forced tomorrow to be an Alex vs. Ciato Town vs. Town fight, which would have gotten one of them lynched, and then D4 another Scum would go and clean up the other one of them for a head. This is actually distinctly plausible, and thus I'm not sure in the end. Future posts from Ciato would be very much appreciated as a result, i.e. damnit, post more (why yes, I know I'm being hypocritical, shut up :P).

The other option, of course, is that Tom is legitimately Town, who knee-jerk reacted to Alex's message, and decided to challenge him quickly. I could actually slightly believe this, IF it were not for the team mechanic: it is strictly Anti-Town for you to recruit someone without any consultation from the rest of Town if you are going to Leeroy Jenkins into a match, let alone the act of Leeroy Jenkinsing into a match to begin with, as has been discussed to death on Day Freaking One.

Apart from that, don't like UK, Bard worries me a bit, and most of Chaore's posts make me wonder if he is writing in English or in Hieroglyphics. Seriously. I honestly don't think there's that much more to be discussed today barring a post from Tom, I will do another reread of today after this post, but I doubt I'll find anything particularly interesting. And yes, seconding Kilga, tomorrow's challenge basically must be Alex vs. Ciato here, anyone who Leeroy Jenkinses into something else needs to be ground into the pavement with extreme prejudice.

@Roukan: Hm. You bring up an interesting point. Ignoring the possibility of Kilga accidentally picking a Scum to fight whichever of Alex or Ciato, if we could narrow down their alignments somehow and then only off the one we consider to be Scum, then that is a net win for Town. At the same time, BOTH Alex and Ciato being Scum is a distinct possibility, albeit a minor one. Would want more input from the rest of Town on this.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 16, 2010, 01:06:51 AM
I might do it later. Rest of your wall of text is logical.


One little problem though. Everyone has already discussed everything you just said, with less words.

Are you trying to look pro town or do you have something new to say?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Chaore on February 16, 2010, 01:12:31 AM
What about Pesco's opinion, Rou? It's entirely possible he was right about you. Perhaps you should be pitted against one of them?

Why hello there subtle point.

I am going to say I can see Kilga and the rest of us 'accidentally' choosing the wrong person and still giving scum a win. Whoever we chose the winner to be, we best be careful about. In fact, it is just the same case as Alex vs. Ciato with a larger pool of contestants.

Which gives us a higher chance of picking town, actually. Unless Kilga hilariously managed to pick all scum.

Ninja: Oh hey Alice. See you still haven't learned to read fucking english.

As for Alex and Ciato both being scum... I don't see why Alex would AGREE with Ciato+Alex. This means scum loses no matter what. On the same note, I don't actually know why Ciato would suggest Me vs. Alex, other than to go in and say 'Shiiit! Chaos = Scum, Better snipe him down. >: <'

They're probably not both scum. Both town? Possibly, but fairly unlikely.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 16, 2010, 01:17:22 AM
One little problem though. Everyone has already discussed everything you just said, with less words.
See comment about: discussed to death. There really isn't little more to add about the whole debacle today other than the fact that Tom is almost certainly Scum and needs to die, Kilga is almost certainly Town and is going down with the ship sadly, Alex is Probably Townie but maybe not and Ciato is Probably Scum but maybe not. As for the rest of the people here, that's what the reread I'm about to do right now is for. Thanks.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 16, 2010, 01:18:59 AM
What about Pesco's opinion, Rou? It's entirely possible he was right about you. Perhaps you should be pitted against one of them?
As much as I'd like that, I don't think the rest of Town has the same faith in me that Pesco did. >_>
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 16, 2010, 01:23:22 AM
See comment about: discussed to death. There really isn't little more to add about the whole debacle today other than the fact that Tom is almost certainly Scum and needs to die, Kilga is almost certainly Town and is going down with the ship sadly, Alex is Probably Townie but maybe not and Ciato is Probably Scum but maybe not. As for the rest of the people here, that's what the reread I'm about to do right now is for. Thanks.

Then why did you post a wall of text that we'll have to read several times throughout the course of the game that adds nothing new?

I don't believe you are town, Alice.

As much as I'd like that, I don't think the rest of Town has the same faith in me that Pesco did. >_>

Is that where you stand at the moment?

Quote
I am going to say I can see Kilga and the rest of us 'accidentally' choosing the wrong person and still giving scum a win. Whoever we chose the winner to be, we best be careful about. In fact, it is just the same case as Alex vs. Ciato with a larger pool of contestants.

Which gives us a higher chance of picking town, actually. Unless Kilga hilariously managed to pick all scum.

hmm? I think I understand what you are saying here but could you elaborate more clearly?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 16, 2010, 01:27:05 AM
Is that where you stand at the moment?
The one person who pretty much everyone thinks is Town, Kilga, listed me as neutral. So yeah.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 16, 2010, 01:29:26 AM
I have no clue what UncertainKitten is trying to accomplish here.

Alice affirmed where she/he/it stands at this moment, attacking over a wall of text that we'd "have to read again" is... well, scratch that, this place has weirder habits.

Anyway, personally I think it's a great idea to let me take out Alex and Ciato next Day(s).
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 16, 2010, 01:32:04 AM
I don't think we should put Alex vs Ciato tomorrow just in case... though I'm not sure who can be trusted to be the uber townie.

Rou doesn't seem untrustworthy per se... the fact that you can never know is going to make this irritating. Accursed setup.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Chaore on February 16, 2010, 01:36:28 AM
Well. Alex vs. Ciato is a straight up 50% chance that scum gets a head.

Assuming we choose a town from the pair, and one of Kilga's choices, We have 4 people to choose scum from.

If there is 1 scum in kilga's choices, its a 25% chance, 2 scum, its a 50% like alex vs. ciato, 3 it becomes a 75% chance. All of them being scum means that scum gets a head.

If we expect Kilga doesn't accidentally clear too many scum, we have a better chance of scum not getting a head than if we just went Alex vs. Ciato.

This is actually on top of the 50% we actually choose the town of the pair, so the percents are a lot less, I think.

Summarized: Like the idea, it actually improves the chances we get this right.

Anyway, personally I think it's a great idea to let me take out Alex and Ciato next Day(s).

Ahehahahahaha no.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 16, 2010, 01:38:42 AM
Yeah not trusting Bard either.

Not particularly scummy, but not very townie either methinks.
Still too unsure to even think of trusting you.
Sorry bro
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 16, 2010, 01:38:47 AM
@Roukan: Hm. You bring up an interesting point. Ignoring the possibility of Kilga accidentally picking a Scum to fight whichever of Alex or Ciato, if we could narrow down their alignments somehow and then only off the one we consider to be Scum, then that is a net win for Town. At the same time, BOTH Alex and Ciato being Scum is a distinct possibility, albeit a minor one. Would want more input from the rest of Town on this.

Yeah, personally, I highly doubt they're both scum. That would involve Tom being the worst scum player ever or a barrel of WIFOM that I'm not going to touch. Given that...

I was actually about to request that I be involved in the duel tomorrow, or the day after if that's the soonest it can be arranged. If it's not strictly necessary for tomorrow to Alex vs. Ciato (and I'm not sure it is) then I'd like to put my name in to be the opponent of whoever we chose from today's match. Reason why is complicated and I'd rather go into it after seeing the flips for today's challenge, but I didn't want this to come out of the blue tomorrow.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Chaore on February 16, 2010, 01:41:11 AM
Uuuuuhhh.

You're saying this in a game where the reason you most want to be in the lynching line is if you're scum.

Seriously, Cid?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 16, 2010, 01:42:22 AM
Hey, I know I'm Town most of all. Of course my preference goes out to having me do all the killing. The worst I can do is anonymously jabber to anyone after every duel.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 16, 2010, 01:43:31 AM
Also not really down with Bard challenge tomorrow given recent skepticism towards him. Personally have a solid middle-of-the-road read on him at present, which is better than outright scummy but not really ideal for what we've been considering tomorrow's challenge will be about.

Responding to Chaos next.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 16, 2010, 01:51:52 AM
 8)

I wasn't actually expecting anyone to seriously consider it; just stating my personal preference because good gracious heavens is this a trainwreck and I don't even know where to begin the analysis and where to bury my face in my hands in absolute despair.

And yeah, I guess if it's such a major point, after the duel I got another use of my power, which someone here can confirm to be mostly senseless. I forgot who I targeted the previous day.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 16, 2010, 01:58:04 AM
Quote from: UK
I don't believe you are town, Alice.
So stating my opinion on the current fight today is an Anti-Town action now? Really? The only complaint that is valid there is the Excess Amount of Words, which I will admit is an annoying habit that I need to cut down on, but it is no more intrinsically Anti-Town than your prospensity to start worthless arguments with other people that go on for several pages (see: UK/Bardiche D1. Similar complaint about having to read that over upon every reread applies here. And no, it's not useful for determining alignment, I read the entire thing over in detail and it is 95% back-and-forth juggling of the same couple points over and over). So yeah.

Quote from: CHAOS
And Alex matches in 'Let me just toss something about how the game should go then contribute...nothing?' Hes done more gaming the system than scum hunting, last I checked and maybe I should reread both of them. I'm not sure where I got that impression, but I don't like how I got to that.
This is a weird setup which is distinctly skewed towards Town and requires planning for either faction to win (if Scum doesn't plan, Town can just pick them out or pick themselves out and leave Scum with Insufficient Heads(TM). If Town doesn't plan, then Scum can take over voting and challenges, and swing things their way). As a result, gaming the setup, as much as I hate to say it, is important in this game.

The most bizarre post D2 so far is Ciato's #224: it's not that I disagree with her opinion of CHAOS too much, but why CHAOS vs. Alex? Hm. Assuming she vehemently believes Alex is Scum, which is the impression I get from that post, a Scum vs. Scum duel is mildly useful for Town, whereas a Scum vs. Town duel less so depending on which way it swings. It's impossible to predict things this far ahead, though, which makes me only think this suggestion as downright strange instead of anything worse. The rest of the post is extremely heavy AtE directed at Alex. Not sure what to infer from it, still, though I am not a fan of AtE. I see little reason to change my opinion of Ciato from my post above, so far.

@CHAOS #225: Why you vs. Alex specifically? It's interesting that this idea (moving from Alex vs. Ciato to LikelyTownie vs. the Scummier of Alex and Ciato as the D3 matchup) came up earlier but only gained attention now with Roukan mentioning it. Hm. Hmm. Not sure what to make of this.

Jam is being unreadable again. Similar to RKS Mafia, but this presents the same obvious problems. Argh. Someone to keep an eye out for.

@Bard: why you? You're certainly not in the clear today, not by any means. Also, I'm notably disconcerted that you want to clean up both Alex and Ciato here. Is there any reason we should suspect you to be Townie over someone else?

@El Cid: CHAOS brings up the point I was about to make perfectly.

@Everyone Else: if you are suggesting to be the person who wishes to take out Alex and/or Ciato in the next day or two, please provide a damn good reason for it. It'd be even better if you don't, and rather wait for opinions from Kilga etc first. Thanks. Otherwise, you are giving everyone a perfectly good reason to suspect you, at the moment.

Regarding Roukan: going over his past posts, he seems to miss the one main Scum-Roukan tell I've had for him: namely, regurgitating cases. Beyond that, he hasn't done anything overtly Scummy so far, which gives me a reasonable amount of confidence that he's Town. Still not sure if he's The Right Man For Tomorrow's Job(TM), though.

I really want posts from Kilga, Kefit (where did you go?) and Tom right now, and the sooner the better. Thanks.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Serp on February 16, 2010, 02:04:02 AM
I favor putting Alex and Ciato against each other in the next fight.  Using the towniest player to kill one of them gives us the risk that the one killed is town and the one chosen to perform the kill is scum.  That risk may be actually be greater by choosing scummy players to kill each other, but my limiting the number of unflipped players that have gotten away with a kill, we can have a better idea of how many heads scum have claimed, and know when we're in LyLo and play accordingly.  I think that's a fine tradeoff.

Also, I can come forward and say that if Bardiche seems to be telling the truth about his ability, because I'm pretty sure I was the target of it.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 16, 2010, 02:06:03 AM
Repeat for Alice: I don't think anyone'd even follow up on it. I don't get why everyone's shuffling around right now either! I mean, if you're that concerned I'm scum, you should get me killed, right? If I'm scum then scum's already got one win right now.

I have an idea for why Tom did what he did and that's why I'm asking him! Obviously it makes no sense whatsoever, but from neither perspective. If he's town he could be trying to get as many town killed as quickly as possible; face it, unless he picked two scum as his opponents there's a good chance he loses 2 town for the price of 1! Or 2 town for no cost at all except to narrow down scum's choices. Or he goes down with scum.

Worst case we lose two town and scum gains two heads, best case we lose one scum, one town and scum gains no heads, assuming TownTom.


Ah right I targeted Serpentarius. Meido meido~~ (you never did come through with the tea. ;_;)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Serp on February 16, 2010, 02:08:17 AM
I got plenty of maidhood in my last game over there.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 16, 2010, 02:09:06 AM
Veeeeerrrry interested to hear Cid's reason now.  It's all but certain to me (and most other people, at a glance) at this point that today's flips will be Tom scum Kilga town, can you talk about why you aren't sure or why this matters to whatever you have to disclose?

I'm not thrilled with being in more challenges, just accepting and acknowledging the fact that Pesco and Tom's behaviors are throwing a lot of doubt on me and it will likely be best for town's peace of mind to have me dead sooner or later.  Preferably later though!

Also, not to say we should cut the day here, but I am astounded at people thinking Tom is going to post again.  Why would he say anything else, he's already essentially claimed scum and is going to be flipping shortly.

I doubt the setup is town favored, it is balanced out by things like this, where the scum get to sacrifice a member already probably on their way out (Tom) to pick up a free "night kill" (Kilga).  We should expect further complications from the Hime Star and scum power roles.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 16, 2010, 02:13:05 AM
Uuuuuhhh.

You're saying this in a game where the reason you most want to be in the lynching line is if you're scum.

Seriously, Cid?

Yes, seriously. I know exactly how this sounds, which is why I hesitated to bring it up, but I believe the results of such a duel would be sufficiently enlightening to make that a worthwhile risk. Again, this hinges somewhat on today's challenge flipping TownKilga/ScumTom (as TownTom would throw my theories off pretty badly) but I'm pretty confident that'll be the case. Asking to be pitted against whoever's deemed scummier of today's winners (which in my opinion is Ciato, again assuming that Tom flips scum). I haven't seen much suspicion directed towards me, and a couple people put forth supportive reads (Kilga included). If there is some trust out there, I'm asking that you act on it and indulge me in a minor experiment. If it fails, you have the obvious recourse of challenging and lynching me the next day, which I couldn't rightly fight since I knew it was a risk in suggesting this in the first place (though I would argue like hell to make sure someone I thought was town did the job, in that case).

I mention this now mostly just in case day three gets rolling while I'm at work tomorrow or something and I come home to find the day's challenge is already agreed upon, at which time my making the request would be disruptive. Things are fairly slow right now while we wait on Tom (if he's going to say anything at all) so it seemed like a reasonable time to suggest it.

...And six more responses. Jesus you people talk a lot. So much for that "things are fairly slow" line. Going to read last 6-7 responses, come back with more responses if necessary.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 16, 2010, 02:15:07 AM
I got plenty of maidhood in my last game over there.

Anyway, to confirm the message was sent by me, I sent it in the form of a letter, ending with a PS akin to "I don't like dying as a sacrificial scapegoat to someone's whims" with a plea to let me live. Didn't save the exact message, 'nfortunately, but I expressed something regarding an idea of yours and requested tea. I even used honorifics.

This is why I felt it was fairly pointless to elaborate on my power but hell if there's no NK or whatever anyway, how do, have my complete and undiluted response as to "what happened after the duel": I got another use of this power and can send someone a completely anonymous message.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 16, 2010, 02:18:07 AM
PS: If someone's going to act as I feared and analyse the implications of my power I am going to bang my head into a wall.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 16, 2010, 02:18:53 AM
Veeeeerrrry interested to hear Cid's reason now.  It's all but certain to me (and most other people, at a glance) at this point that today's flips will be Tom scum Kilga town, can you talk about why you aren't sure or why this matters to whatever you have to disclose?

Oh, I'm pretty sure that's exactly the flip we'll see. I made my opinion on Tom known a while ago. It matters because I want to catch scum tomorrow and I highly suspect that Ciato will turn out to be such as long as Tom is.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Chaore on February 16, 2010, 02:23:28 AM
Simply put. Everyone else seemed to at that point to say 'OH MAN THAT ALEX IS PRETTY TOWN'.

I really do not like Alex. I understand the gaming is somewhat important, but when you do that and do no actual scum hunting (Even in his SUGGESTION POST no less...), Something is VERY VERY wrong. As much as Ciato vs. Alex makes sense, I had the bad feeling Alex would come on top of it if he IS scum.

I wasn't convinced of it for obvious reasons, I'd probably get my ass straight out lynched and give Scum a kill. I was however, heavily considering it to avoid the possibility of a scum head.

Essentially, the same reason we're considering townie offing Alex or Ciato. Just far more me-centric and with equal chance for me to get lynched. Probably more given 'How dare you break our schedule DIE'.

Ninja: Probably because there is an off chance he may have something usefull to say, Alex.

Haven't we said this?

Double Ninja: I'd be hypocritical for the above reasons if I didn't say it makes a bit of sense.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 16, 2010, 02:50:15 AM
So then...a reread. Yes, I think I'm in the proper state of mind for that now.

Rou is town. Yes, I'm concluding this from the first page. There's nothing else to draw from that page.

I don't understand Kiro's post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg250917#msg250917). I can read the words, but they don't gel to me with what Serp said. I could be misreading/misunderstanding.

Bard's first post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251007#msg251007) adds nothing to the game.

this from Rou (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251015#msg251015) is actually the first thought I had during this reread catching the gamebreaking parts. I couldn't immediately come up with any incredible disadvantages, and it would allow us to keep a count of how many scum wins have been attained. It's not foolproof though.

Lots of BardxPesco yaoi fluff on page 2. I still don't like the "sit down and drink tea" tone.

If...

AH fuck it, we all know it's when.

When Tom flips scum, this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251107#msg251107) post makes me lean even more strongly for Bard scum.

The subtle "I'm town yay!" here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251114#msg251114) bothers me.

Before you go gently into that good night, Kilga, can you tell me if that's meta for him?

Oh, Kilga gives it already here:

Quote from: Kilga
I can see where Pesco's coming from on calling out Bard's first post, it reminds me of his Day 1 play when he was scum with Ciato in that Laggy game a while ago. There's no real "mindhax" to be applied, logic dictates the post is quite reportery. I do give slight pause because I know Bard tends to play like this regardless of alignment but not a whole lot.

That doesn't do a whole lot of good.

Rou's still town on page 3.

Hi Ciato (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251200#msg251200)! Way to not take a stance and make a useless first post. I'm noticing a trend here.

Oh, wait, you attack Town Rou. Good job.

Ok...This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251232#msg251232) post from Serp is relatively pro-town. Yet it bugs me...a lot.

AH! This is why:

Quote
At the moment, I'm favoring Rou to kill Pesco if Bardiche flips town, if only for the dramatic value.

It feels like lining up lynches. We know Pesco is town. However...for Serp to be scum he'd have to know Bard is town.

At this time, I am ruling out Serpentarius being scum with Bardiche. If one is scum, the other isn't.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251298#msg251298) post from Kefit has a lot of numbers but little scumhunting. Further, for someone who's complaining about town not reading the game rules properly, he sure didn't read the game rules. But yeah, what bugs me most is the blatant IIoA. This might be mitigated if he ever posts actual content.

Pesco pointing this out two posts later makes me giggle.

El Cid and Alex feel fine for their first posts

Quote from: CHAOS
Pesco looks completely suicidal. Bardiche, however, seems to be putting up a facade of 'tactics are key'. They're the complete opposite, good for trying to think up 'Which is scummier, tactics or jumping into things?'.

False Dichotomy. I already don't like you with one paragraph.
The rest of the post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251368#msg251368) does not alleviate this. It's jumping around the line of Pesco and Bardiche, going one way then another, finally settling on "well, I'd...like Bard's lynch...maybe"

And then no vote.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251382#msg251382) is a reason Cid is liklier to be town.

Thank you, Bard, for three paragraphs of confusion where you could say "There is no case against me. What am I to defend against?"

Can I get a meta read there, Kilga?

The rest of this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251391#msg251391) makes me conflicted. It feels like he's nitpicking into the arguments I made against CHAOS but...it feels off. I think that's probably because Bard's posts thus far have biased me against him as being town. But how that factors into a CHAOS/Bard scumpair bothers me, because I'm not sure if this is bussing or just attacking a weak townie :S.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251403#msg251403) is why we shouldn't actually clear Cid despite me saying he was town a minute ago. We get it. You are "Meta Sucks Guy Rawr >=[". Can we have some scumhunting please?

We all know how the fight between me and Bard went. His posts are still as bad as I found them before.

Despite me saying that, this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251430#msg251430) stands out. Specifically:
Quote
Now then, to fall into "reporter" sty-- no, nevermind. I think you're all suitably able to look at Pesco's course of action, and I believe I highlighted earlier someone who admitted that "rushing into duels everytime will just get them lynched".

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251430#msg251430) post from CHAOS has me going "wat?" Most notable is the lack of commitment, though.

Oh hey, another useless Kefit Post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251462#msg251462)

Why is Bard town? What do you think of the other players? Are you even playing this game or are you just playing with numbers?

CHAOS' next two three posts are so contentless I don't even feel motivated to link them. They...they're on page 5. Look at your brain cells dying as they starve, trying to absorb information that doesn't exist.

Rou is still town. I don't like what he's SAYING, but he's basically playing town Rou to a T

K4Us first post seems alright.

How do you mean This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251707#msg251707), Chaos? Further, were you planning to vote soon? You can only be non committal for so long.

Oh, hi again Ciato (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251776#msg251776). There are 3 pages of content between your posts. Have anything to contribute besides questioning CHAOS, who apparently can't string his thoughts together?

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251836#msg251836) from Kiro bugs me for the same reason Ciato's post bugs me. There's a lot more content between posts than you are choosing to comment on.

Jam's first post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251850#msg251850) is the third useless one I've seen so far. The first two were also from people I'm leaning scum on. This does not bode well for her.

So, CHAOS explains (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251975#msg251975) what I asked earlier, pointing how he was basically engaging in IIoA and had no real thoughts on who's scum.

Why do you do this to us?

Alice's first post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252047#msg252047) at least is relatively rife with original content.

Hi Kiro (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252072#msg252072)...whatever happened to analysis? Are you still in set up breaking mode when we have about 6 pages of content? Well of course you are. Set up mode is safe. You don't have to commit to any embarrassing D1 positions.

Not sure how to read this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252197#msg252197) from K4U. I guess what stands out to me is how vague she is about what makes Bard look town with the "good outweighing the bad". It's easy to make vague claims. Backing them up is what makes it harder to defend a scumbuddy.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252338#msg252338) makes Cid look bad. Kiro did point out something very useful. Scum want to discredit people from finding a townie "confirmed".

What is Cid doing here?

The soft push here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252489#msg252489) to make Bard look town when Pesco flips town bothers me immensely.

Once again, Why is Bard town (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252664#msg252664), Jam?

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252773#msg252773) Ciato post leaves me conflicted. It votes against who I'd pair her with, but on the other hand, it's absolutely hypocritical. She hasn't read a player the whole game, including that post. Well, that's not quite true. She SORTA tries to read Pesco :S

Alex's PESCO MUST DIE attitude bugs me, but actually makes me feels he's more likely town. I don't think it HELPS the town to be like that, but I don't think he's manipulating it as scum.

Again, 7 pages of content, Serp (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg253003#msg253003). Why is there only one paragraph on other players that's not a rehash of what's already been said? Oh, and why isn't it any players other than Bard and Pesco? And not even a committed read at that?

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg253104#msg253104)...feels like Kiro doing something he said would be scummy involving discreditation. I also don't feel he actually believes what he's proposing about Pesco's strategy being viable for both town and scum.

CHAOS chimes in again with nothing useful.

I am happy to see Alex (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254284#msg254284) had at least 3 out of 4 reads matching mine. Why is Kefit pro town in his two posts of no analysis?

And yeah, Tom is still obvscum.

Rou tells us only a little bit new, but it's good new.

Hi Bard (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254412#msg254412). Do you remember how to post content or does this concept escape you?

Kiro's and Serp's posts don't contribute much not already said, but at least they've...

Wait, Serp hadn't posted for a long time either. Serp looks about as bad as Bard. Given Kiro's previous "content", I'm also not really in favor of the "so this is what Rou said in WoT form" post, even if it was a cut.

CHAOS STILL REMAINS NON COMMITTED! (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254450#msg254450)

I'm REALLY leaning CHAOS scum at this point.

Also, since it seems most people are more like "lol Alex Ciato vote" without any more analysis of the past day...it's not as much of a scumtell I guess :S.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254482#msg254482) is unhelpful from Serp. But, I might as well admit at this point I feel townie INTENT, but no real follow through. I don't think Serp is scum.

Ciato's "Alex is scum" justification (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254588#msg254588) bothers me. I guess it's the fact that it's only one point with two paragraphs behind it.

More CHAOS non commitedness.

To reanswer Kilga's question...let me be clear at this point

Kiro, Bard, CHAOS, Ciato, and Tom are the scum team. I know I'm calling this prematurely but they are by far the scummiest players right now. There's a lot of anti town intent I'm feeling. I'm probably LEAST sure on Bard though. The other four are near certainty.

Jam, of course, makes a post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255094#msg255094) that makes me want her in the list I just posted. But I dunno :S

I already commented on Alice's wall of repetition

Bard, you obviously aren't reading

Quote
I have no clue what UncertainKitten is trying to accomplish here.

Alice affirmed where she/he/it stands at this moment, attacking over a wall of text that we'd "have to read again" is... well, scratch that, this place has weirder habits.

Anyway, personally I think it's a great idea to let me take out Alex and Ciato next Day(s

That was to ROU, not Alice. As for attacking over a wall of text, it's obfuscating. Sometimes they are a necessary evil though. This post is one of those cases. Alice's is pure repetition.

But, he's not in my scum list because there are, basically, bigger fish to fry.

Hmm...subtle discredit (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255264#msg255264) by Jam...

What did this post accomplish, Bard? (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255283#msg255283)

Quote from: Alice
So stating my opinion on the current fight today is an Anti-Town action now? Really? The only complaint that is valid there is the Excess Amount of Words, which I will admit is an annoying habit that I need to cut down on, but it is no more intrinsically Anti-Town than your prospensity to start worthless arguments with other people that go on for several pages (see: UK/Bardiche D1. Similar complaint about having to read that over upon every reread applies here. And no, it's not useful for determining alignment, I read the entire thing over in detail and it is 95% back-and-forth juggling of the same couple points over and over). So yeah.

WHAT opinion? You just posted a wall of things that had ALREADY BEEN SAID. That wasn't your opinion, it was everyone else's. But it's moot now, you aren't on the list so PoE says you aren't scum at the moment.

Quote from: Alice
Regarding Roukan: going over his past posts, he seems to miss the one main Scum-Roukan tell I've had for him: namely, regurgitating cases. Beyond that, he hasn't done anything overtly Scummy so far, which gives me a reasonable amount of confidence that he's Town. Still not sure if he's The Right Man For Tomorrow's Job(TM), though.

I disagree. Roukanken is the candidate I propose for steamrolling scum. He's been obvtown since Page 1. You can even have him challenge me at some point so I can get the fuck out of this clusterfuck and also show you I'm not throwing out a scum WIFOM.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255310#msg255310) from Serp is the first blatantly anti town post I've seen. And it feels filled with bad intent. ANYONE we propose will have the risk of giving scum a head. So, why would we pick SCUMMIER players? Picking the towniest is LOGICAL. You even point this out! What are you trying to propose?

I'm glazing over page 10. I'm done.

tl;dr
Rou is town
Kiro, Bard, CHAOS, Ciato, and Tom are the scum team.
If Bard is not scum, Jam possibly is. Then again, so could Alice or Serp be. Honestly, I'm at a loss for filling in that hole.
Yes, I am reasonably sure we have 5 scum to prevent town from just killing itself off and STILL winning.
I propose Rou vs. Ciato tomorrow. I then propose Rou steamroll everyone to end game. Preferably starting with those 5 names.
I apologize for the wall, but that is how I do rereads, and in this case the WoT actually contibutes content, to head off hypocrisy accusations.

Quote
Warning - while you were typing 20 new replies have been posted. You may wish to review your post.

DEAR FUCKING GOD WHAT THE HELL IS WRONG WITH YOU PEOPLE!?














Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 16, 2010, 03:48:40 AM
Speaking personally? Utter lack of a social life. Now, however, I have to go to sleep. Stuck around for a while, haven't seen any more responses to me, so I figure things have died down for the night. Personally don't think we'll hear from Tom again, but others seem to be waiting on a response from him so I'm not going to contribute to voting the day to a close at the moment. If day three gets underway well before I can get online again, then I'm noting again for the record that my preferred challenge is myself vs. Ciato. I'm aware this isn't strictly what Kilga had in mind at last report but I think it's worth consideration.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 16, 2010, 03:53:24 AM
I've been distracted for the past couple of hours, but that should be ending soon, and I'll be able to catch up and give proper thoughts to the things I've been keeping loose tabs on, like Bard's secrecy but not anymore, Cid's suggestion, Alice's question and oh god UK why did you post something like that I mean seriously I'm very likely to not bother reading all that.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 16, 2010, 04:05:20 AM
I've been distracted for the past couple of hours, but that should be ending soon, and I'll be able to catch up and give proper thoughts to the things I've been keeping loose tabs on, like Bard's secrecy but not anymore, Cid's suggestion, Alice's question and oh god UK why did you post something like that I mean seriously I'm very likely to not bother reading all that.

That's why I have a tl;dr. You can follow my logic in the post, or just assume I have reasoning for my five picks :P.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 16, 2010, 04:30:32 AM
Post incoming, please don't hammer and silence me forever.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kefit on February 16, 2010, 04:45:26 AM
Ok so I guess Pesco was just a raving lunatic. I generally start most games I play like this with a numberz analysis based upon the rule set and the roles in play. It's worked well in the past, but it's certainly not completely reliable, as this game has shown. It doesn't help that I tried to apply numberz to a group of players that I don't know - a fact that's making it incredibly difficult to analyze anything that's happening today. SPEAKING OF TODAY'S EVENTS:

uh

what in the fucking world i don't even know (pretend i didnt use that apostrophe it makes my typing seem uncharacteristically unlazy for the tone i am trying to set with this line but im too lazy to delete it0

My general read right now is that Tom, like Pesco is a raving lunatic townie. This sort of gambit seems way too risky for scum to pull completely out of the blue - it's pretty easy to read the atmosphere in this thread and realize that the player base is going to shit upon any sudden challengers like this. Even if Tom is a raving lunatic scum I can't imagine that he wouldn't have non-raving lunatic scum with him to stop him from doing this.

However, something seems off about Kilga. He called me out for not posting me enough. Seems understandable, right? Except it's like he suddenly forgot about the whole being incredibly busy thing I told him about when he asked me to play this game. He also seems to have forgotten about the way I played in the days of yore - I don't post much, but I usually post quite a bit when I do (for those uninitiated, Kilga and I participated together in a long series of mafia style games many years ago back in the heyday of StEpMaNiA [on a cd]). Also, something seems off about him. I can't really explain what. It's just a feeling I get based on knowing Kilga for years.

However, this is just a hunch. An unfair hunch at that - I only know a few of the people playing this game, and I just happen to know Kilga far better than I know any of the others. It's much easier to form hunches about people you know than it is to get a read on the faceless mass of people referred to by names that don't match their forum usernames.

...of course at this point Kilga's on the train to hell anyway, so what's even the point of saying all this? I'm certainly not placing Kilga and Tom one step closer to the hammer with a vote, since buying more time for people to actually discuss things is A Good Thing.

Honestly, this hunch about Kilga is the only read I have at this point. I have no idea what's going on this game. I've got nothing. In the event that I suddenly have something I'll be sure to post it. But I wouldn't count on this until after we get another alignment flip, which should be valuable information indeed - that is, if we don't have another incident reminiscent of Jim's brief encounter with beautiful foreign exchange student Nadia.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 16, 2010, 04:52:57 AM
The scum can't nightkill people in this game so there's really no reason to hold back details and say "I have a reason for this but I can't tell you what it is yet."  It's just jerking discussion around, which is not good for town in this setup at all.  Bard and Cid pulling this is at best annoying and indicative of them not thinking things through, unless Cid has some sort of earth shattering role that would be ruinous to reveal but not ruinous to reveal that he has something?  Egh.  Cmon guys.

Not really much else to say.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 16, 2010, 05:04:47 AM
Okay.

Bard's role thingamajigger seems to have been cleared up. Didn't hold the temporary secrecy against the guy anyway, not spilling the role beans on the first provocation is correct play to the point of being a null tell similar to voting Not Me over Me. This actually ties in neatly to a little rant I have prepared.

For the love of God, people, stop being setup cocky. Anyone who thinks Rat is naive enough to not cover all of scum's bases needs to be smacked in the face with a crowbar. We have no idea what may come in the future or how scum have been compensated for the lack of a night phase. There are a zillion things that could be out there waiting for us to get complacent before they trip us up. What if scum have some Anonyvigkills, for example? That'd be a pretty effective way to silence townies with power roles or stop a steamroller.

This means several things, most notably that people should stop unnecessarily fishing for roles and, more importantly, stop suggesting Roukan steamroll everyone. I don't trust the guy with the Key to the City and neither should anyone else. Of particular hilarity is Alice's observation that the ScumRoukan tell of case regurgitation is missing given how radically different the case mechanism is for this setup. ScumRoukan doesn't need to regurgitate cases in this sort of setup, since there have only been two relevant targets each day so far. There's also the very real possibility that ScumRoukan's game has improved as it's been forever and a day since we saw it last. There's also the very real possibility that someone with a calmer head than his is feeding him what to post because God knows we have plenty of capable types in this game. There's also the very real possibility that a later day will alter the lynching mechanism even more radically, nullifying the effectiveness of the steamroll strategy. There's also the very real possibility that Roukan will simply drop dead due to scum interference. And on and on and on. I would put money down on Rat having something up his sleeve to prevent a steamroll tactic, if not about seven different things up his sleeve and two more in his right sock, and this is independent of the idea of ScumRoukan playing you for chumps.

Moving on. I do not hold Cid's suggestion against him and, in fact, likely would have nominated him if town decided they wanted to match up one of today's survivors with the towniest-looking townie that ever towned for whatever reason. Serp brings up a good point about, however, about constricting the number of living people with wins under their belts in the interest of constricting valid targets come LYLO. Given all this, I would like to make a slight modification to my scenarios:

1 vs. 1 vs. 1, vote one person to die: Still want Alex/Ciato/(Bard/Chaore) for this.
1 vs. 1 vs. 1, vote one person to live: Change this to Alex/Ciato/$TOWNIE_TYPE_INDIVIDUAL (I'd recommend Cid or possibly Serp for this) and vote $TOWNIE_TYPE_INDIVIDUAL to win that battle. Ideally the Day 4 battle would involve both $TOWNIE_TYPE_INDIVIDUAL and Bard in some fashion.

1 vs. 1 should still be Alex vs. Ciato to keep the number of living victors down and individuals that are not Alex and Ciato need to grow a pair instead of worrying about "what if we make the wrong decision????".

I have no problem with leaving the door open for Tom to post again, as scummy as his day's conduct has been. We lose nothing if we let ScumTom survive for a few more hours, while we lose a bunch if we cut TownTomThatCouldn'tGetMOTKAccess off before he has a chance to show up again. (I raise an eyebrow at Alex for bringing this up in a very backhanded fashion that seems designed to plant seeds of doubt in the minds of others while trying not to look like he's endorsing swift action himself.) However, if the day is still going after I wake up tomorrow, then I will cast a vote for the Alex/Ciato team when I leave for work (roughly 11:15 AM Eastern) and that will serve as my signal that people can go ahead and finish the job. Assuming my vote isn't the hammer anyway.

I will try to slog through FAV's UK's Great Wall of Meiling there, if only out of curiosity for the Kiro conclusion in her tl;dr section. No guarantees I maintain the motivation to go through the whole thing, though.

One of Cid or Bard (or both) needs to get an avatar.

Ninja'd by Kefit: I tend to poke whoever I can when I noticed they haven't posted for a while in Mafia, regardless of their life circumstances. For all that this is worth coming from me.

---

Gender pronoun clarification for everyone, since there are many new faces and I've noticed several people unsure about themselves: UK, K4U, Jam and Ciato are all female. Everyone else is male.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 16, 2010, 05:16:47 AM
I don't accept Rou scum. He just feels Rou town and I can't explain precisely WHY. It's maddening.

I WILL, however, accept Carth doesn't make broken games, and do think that needs to be consider with steamrollery.

In other news, Kefit's last post sucks. "Hurf Durf let's accuse someone on the block, justify last two terrible posts, and then contribute absolutely nothing germane to the situation OR any information on other players besides Kilga"
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kefit on February 16, 2010, 05:31:55 AM
I have contributed everything that I have to contribute. If you'd like me to post meaningless rants where I make up reasons to call out people I don't know anything about - a process that is actually quite easy - then just let me know and I'll get right on it.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 16, 2010, 05:46:14 AM
The idea is you are supposed to get an idea of them by reading them. Even if you don't know a person, you can at least try to figure out if their posts are scum motivated or town motivated. Scum and town play intrinsically different, and meta isn't the entire world of mafia (though it helps)

I'll admit I actually like the tone of your last post.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 16, 2010, 06:02:29 AM
UK wall skimmed, lots of links to posts I honestly can't be arsed to click on. Suggestion that Kiro has been all-setup-no-content is intriguing enough that I'll investigate it tomorrow morning.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 16, 2010, 06:06:30 AM
Also, in the unlikely event of a 2 vs. 1 matchup tomorrow, I nominate Alex/Ciato vs. Cid (or Serp) with Cid/Serp winning, followed by getting Cid/Serp vs. Bard in some capacity on Day 4. First in line to be thrown into the mix as an extra scummy in any scenario (i.e. all of Alex/Ciato/Bard have been used) is Chaore.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: EvilTom on February 16, 2010, 07:17:21 AM
Sorry guys, haven't had a chance to post between work/sleep/work. Reading through, but it looks like I'm too late to make any sort of difference, having been to L-1 and back. Anyway if you give me a bit of time to catch up then I'll try & respond & explain myself.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: EvilTom on February 16, 2010, 08:49:20 AM
Right well first of all :P nyahhh @ Alex for assuming I'd upped and gone. Thanks to those that didn't just hammer, or suggest it in an indirect way.

Second of all, apologies for drastic action. It looked like Alex was about to pair me with Ciato, and I panic-posted.
So, 'Why did I pick Kilga, the least-scummiest person around?' to try and give myself a chance to battle Alex. This obviously backfired horribly.

Why Alex and Ciato? I mentioned this briefly - Alex doing the 'lining up lynches' thing, then rushing into them. Granted I panicked, but whatever. Lining me up against Ciato looked like scumAlex lining me up against scumCiato, intending to have me lose, picking up a head and cred all round for the scumteam. It seemed as if he'd been setting this up for a while.

Anyway I guess it didn't work for Pesco, and it looks like I'm doomed too. I still think Alex is definitely scum, so keep that in mind if it comes down to Alex v Ciato tomorrow. Unfortunately I have no convenient cop claim or whatnot to reveal, so hammer me whenever. Sorry :(
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 16, 2010, 09:02:04 AM
I apologize for not being direct, then.  Seeing people say "But wow I want to hear from Tom!" irritates me because it implies that they think Tom may have something to say that is worth listening to, which is only true if he is not scum, which means they are not convinced he is scum based on his play to this point, which makes my mind boggle.  Simply expressing some frustration.  I will try to keep a closer lid on it. 

Also since it seems like these ideas are not dead:
- "Have one townie player steamroll victories" does not give town any advantage.  Even if the designated steamroller is in fact town, scum could manipulate discussion so that a bunch of townies are herded to the chopping block, and then claim a cleanup win when scum outnumber town (plus the couple of heads scum are likely to pick up from other methods like today's double challenge.) 

- "Kill all who win against town/victors in general" is a terrible strategy to follow blindly since it makes town vs town duels (which are very likely early in the game) propel scum towards victory even more than they already do.  Not only is the winner of a town vs town condemned to death under this policy, they must be killed by someone else, and the odds of that someone being scum increase.  Chaining victors as a rule is thus a very bad idea, people should be evaluated on their empirical scumminess and "won a duel vs a townie" should not be thought of as an inherent mark of suspicion. 

THAT SAID it is, I think, still generally best to keep having the overall scummiest people duel, and killing victors in that case is not something we should shy away from doing either!


Ninja'd by Tom.  Man, I almost wish he'd made up some crazy fakeclaim now.  It is bunk, here is a quick comical reference why for those who haven't been reading the thread. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251661#msg251661) 

So... anything else?  What are we doing for hammer?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 16, 2010, 11:37:52 AM
Rush posting before work. Not really buying Tom's defense; if he was town and worried about Alex setting something up then he should've talked it out with the whole group since that's what would've happened anyway if he hadn't acted unilaterally.

Also agree that having one player take all victories, no matter what our confidence in them, is not feasible and today should amply illustrate why: if another unorthodox challenge situation arose, scum could conceivably pull another crazy stunt like this to get that person killed anyway.

And, gone. Back in ~9 hours.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 16, 2010, 02:48:35 PM
I favor putting Alex and Ciato against each other in the next fight.  Using the towniest player to kill one of them gives us the risk that the one killed is town and the one chosen to perform the kill is scum.  That risk may be actually be greater by choosing scummy players to kill each other...
I'm sorry, what? The towniest player is most likely to be scum? This is just plain ridiculous.

In other news, stop depending on me. The reason I didn't call for a one-man-steamroll from the start of the game was because
- it's exploitable by scum
- even if Town is picked, scum might have a role that interferes with it (and if Carth's thought this setup over they probably will)

If Town trusts me enough to execute a suspected scum, fine. But it seems like you don't, so leave it to someone you do trust. I'm not seeing how this is so hard.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 16, 2010, 03:30:54 PM
Yeah, I've seen enough. Let me give Kiro one last lookover and then I'll slam my vote down.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 16, 2010, 03:49:40 PM
Nah, Kiro looks okay to me, outside of not having posted in 24 hours. He's done a whole bunch of setup talk, sure, but he's also handed down a decent amount of opinions.

I still don't know what call to make on Alex vs. Ciato. Alex's recent posts have been giving me Day 3 Joker* vibes while Ciato has been absent for a while. Neither of these has improved my opinion of them.

If I had to guess at a scum team...Tom, Alex, Bard, Chaore and someone else that's actually in my good graces, because that's usually how these sorts of things play out for me. K4U wouldn't be a bad choice here I guess.

*Reference to recent game where Alex was scum and looked really good until Day 3 rolled up and he started saying all sorts of bizarre things that made me want to vig kill him (so I did).

##Vote: Team Cialex

Concluding with the most important thing ever discussed at any point in this topic. Catch you all on the other side. (http://img525.imageshack.us/img525/4701/019su.jpg)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Edible on February 16, 2010, 03:59:08 PM
Day 2 Battle Update - Alex/Ciato VS Tom/Kilga - L-1 edition!
Alex/Ciato Team (7): Roukanken, Kiro, Serpentarius, Kitten4u, Jam-Kiske, MissCiato, Kilgamayan
Tom/Kilga Team (0):


With 15 alive, it takes 8 votes to win a duel.  Remember that you are voting for the team you want to win.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Chaore on February 16, 2010, 04:18:08 PM
Calling for the hammer then? Calling for the hammer.

##Vote AlexCiato

God damn that leaves a horrible taste in my mouth.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Edible on February 16, 2010, 04:21:15 PM
BLUDGEON

YOUR WORDS MUST NOT COME FORTH
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Edible on February 16, 2010, 04:29:41 PM
Kilgamayan, playing Senou Aoi, Ordinary Schoolgirl, was whisked away to the Golden Land, where she might actually matter to the plot in some fashion.

DREAD THOMAS, playing Kuga Natsuki, Scum Hot Biker Chick, hitchhiked with the wrong people and wound up in some very unfortunate doujinshi.

It is now Dawn.  Day 3 will start when the HiME Star (read: Carthrat) makes an appearance.  Feel free to talk, just don't discuss the game (it's too early for you to make coherent statements).
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kiro on February 16, 2010, 04:42:36 PM
Shit, can't post what I was going to post before the hammer and I need to sleep.

I'll be away for a bit again as I try to meet up with A-F. I'm also trying to avoid my 20 ringit ($6 hotel room) as much as possible. It is the most ghetto hotel room I've ever seen. It has the 4 things I need the most in a room: bed, light, fan, and lock, but everything except the fan is of dubious quality. The wallpaper and floor are literally falling apart and there is a sink by the head of the bed that I do not dare touch as the drain has been covered up by crumpled newspaper. The bathroom on the floor is shared, but I haven't gone in it because it was a fucking single bathroom and someone was in it taking a shower so I had to go piss in a ditch outside.

I'm sure this is only the worst part of Malaysia. Everything else should appear more rosy once I leave in the morning.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2, Team Battle!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 16, 2010, 04:44:06 PM
where she might actually matter to the plot in some fashion

I consider this a personal victory.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: Bardiche on February 16, 2010, 05:53:13 PM
I now have an avatar. So you can be lazy and look at DESIRE instead of names to distinguish Cid and I.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: Edible on February 16, 2010, 08:15:01 PM
*whistles*
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: El Cideon on February 16, 2010, 09:16:17 PM
This is what five seconds on GIS gets you.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: Bardiche on February 16, 2010, 10:04:01 PM
*whistles*

... I'm okay with this.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: Kefit on February 16, 2010, 11:59:05 PM
Kilga, going to the golden land generally involves being ripped apart by demons and then not mattering to the plot. Just fyi.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: EvilTom on February 17, 2010, 01:28:41 AM
Nooooooooooooooooooo!
Not doujinshi! Ahhh~ <3
http://media.animevice.com/uploads/0/74/36091-mmg5_super.jpg (http://media.animevice.com/uploads/0/74/36091-mmg5_super.jpg)
(cute, not porn)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Carthrat on February 17, 2010, 08:38:43 AM
Apologies for not starting this sooner, I will forgo exciting storytime here to get things moving. It always seems like such a good idea at the time...

1. Kazahana Mashiro is bardiche, who should've been midori
2. Minagi Mikoto kitten4u likes cats can you tell
4. Kikukawa Yukino alice has a thing for tentacles
5. Sugiura Midori ciato can't get nightkilled this game
6. Higurashi Akane chaos will probably die first
7. Yuuki Nao kiro climbed up the water spout
8. Himeno Fumi serpentarius is a teacatching fiend
9. Okuzaki Akira roukanken epitomizes gender identification issues
10. Munakata Shiho kefit can strangle you with her hair
11. Fujino Shizuru uncertainkitten hates old people with passion
12. Alyssa Searrs jam-kiske's ion cannon is ready
15. Harada Chie cid couldn't wait for fatal frame mafia
16. Miyu Grear siralex was forced out the coolant tank

<-->

13. Sanada Yukariko (pesco) was defeated by Kazahana Mashiro (bardiche) in The Battle of the Unexpected Motorist
14. Senou Aoi (kilga) was defeated by Miyu Grear (siralex) and Sugiura Midori (ciato) in The Battle of the Misplaced Bullet!
14. Kuga Natsuki (eviltom) was defeated by Miyu Grear (siralex) and Sugiura Midori (ciato) in The Battle of the Misplaced Bullet!

It is Round 3! The Hime Star is high in the sky! There are no special events. You have 24 hours to make a challenge!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: Serp on February 17, 2010, 10:02:10 AM
Alright, we have one scumflip, and scum have taken no more than two heads.  I think that our smartest play at this point is to treat Alex, Bardiche, and Ciato as loose ends that ought to be cleaned up.  Our best way of doing that is probably to have Alex and Ciato fight each other, have Bardiche kill the winner, and then probably have someone else kill Bardiche.  The following is a rundown of how the power balance would look afterwards.  For conciseness, I'll assume that Alex kills Ciato, though I'm going to do a reread before I decide where I'd put my vote.  Switching Alex and Ciato's town/scum alignment and which of them kills the other will lead to an equivalent case:

1.  Bardiche, Alex, and Ciato all scum:  Four scumflips, two heads claimed by scum.
2.  Bardiche, Alex scum, Ciato town:  Three scumflips, three heads claimed by scum.
3.  Bardiche, Ciato scum, Alex town:  Three scumflips, three heads claimed by scum.
4.  Bardiche scum, Alex and Ciato town:  Two scumflips, two heads claimed by scum.
5.  Bardiche town, Alex and Ciato scum:  Three scumflips, one (two if Bardiche killed by scum) heads claimed by scum.
6.  Bardiche town, Alex scum, Ciato town:  Two scumflips, two (three if Bardiche killed by scum) heads claimed by scum.
7.  Bardiche town, Alex town, Ciato scum:  Two scumflips, one (two if Bardiche killed by scum) heads claimed by scum.
8.  Bardiche, Alex, and Ciato all town:  One scumflip, zero (one if Bardiche killed by scum) heads claimed by scum.

Case 3 makes me think that if the loser of Alex versus Ciato flips scum, then perhaps the winner should be the one to kill Bardiche before being killed, as it's unlikely that Tom would've picked two scumbuddies to go up against him, but that's up for discussion.

:words:, I know, but this chart shows that only in one of those cases can town possibly end up any worse off than it is now, and only then if we pick wrong both on Alex versus Ciato and on who should kill Bardiche.  The chart doesn't take into account scum versus town voting strength, but even in a worst-case scenario where ABC are all town and scum were given five players to start, scum will need either to get Bardiche killed by one of them, or else to get another kill without losing anymore of their number in the two kills between then and having eight players left, or else they'll run out of heads to claim and lose by default.

FakeVote:  Alex versus Ciato
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 17, 2010, 10:27:23 AM
Okey dokies.  As far as I can tell, absolutely nothing has happened to me as a result of winning that challenge.  However... how can I put this?  I did not have a one shot or otherwise limited-use power for which I had already expended any charges.  It seems possible/probable that winning challenges replenishes charges of limited use abilities?

I would like Ciato to be half of today's challenge, since A. Tom's ploy really didn't make any sense unless she or I is scum, and I'm not scum, and B. she is still objectively scummy in my view for the same reasons I wanted her challenged yesterday, crazy tone, defense of Pesco, etc.  One can observe marked similarities in tone between her and Tom's day 1 posts.

For the challengee... well, I suppose we're waiting on Cid to tell us what is the haps here.  (Cid I swear to Nagi though if you just jump the gun and challenge someone I will be autovoting against you even if you claim hypercharger~)

If Cid is all "oh no nevermind" .... I actually have no particular preferences since I'm pretty confident in Ciato's scumminess and would vote anyone else in the game over her right now.  Chaos is probably the next scummiest to me and I think matching scummy players up is a generally good strategy, but after that I don't really know right now.

Ninja'd by Serp.  Cleaning up Ciato and myself is a good plan since as above it is generally obvious that at least one of the two of us has to be scum.  Buuuut actually pitting the two of us together runs into the difficulty of a flat 50% chance of being wrong and giving scum a head, from the perspective of an outside townie who isn't confident on us one way or the other.  Bard is a different matter altogether, he wasn't involved in the 2v2 and you're arguing for his death purely on the basis of "kill people who have won duels vs town" which carries no weight as a sole reason as I've said earlier.  Trying to math out a path to endgame this early on is a very bad idea, it is likely scum have roles that will screw with plans, etc etc.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 17, 2010, 10:31:08 AM
A more concise and less rambly way of what I'm trying to toss out is: Ciato and myself should probably be killed, but we should be executed one at a time and not by each other, and Ciato first please~
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 2 END)
Post by: Serp on February 17, 2010, 10:57:53 AM
Ninja'd by Serp.  Cleaning up Ciato and myself is a good plan since as above it is generally obvious that at least one of the two of us has to be scum.  Buuuut actually pitting the two of us together runs into the difficulty of a flat 50% chance of being wrong and giving scum a head, from the perspective of an outside townie who isn't confident on us one way or the other.

Well, as I mentioned before, Tom's strategy made less sense for a townie than for scum, but it still makes so little sense as scum that I wouldn't be at all surprised if it were a total red herring to have us pick more (potentially scum) outside players to off you and Ciato.  It probably has a lower expected value for scum than one guaranteed kill, but in a game where the odds look to be stacked against scum, I wouldn't be surprised if they decided to take the more risky option with the higher potential payout.  The possibility that you're both town actually makes it riskier for us to pick outsiders to kill you.

Quote from: Ranmilia
Bard is a different matter altogether, he wasn't involved in the 2v2 and you're arguing for his death purely on the basis of "kill people who have won duels vs town" which carries no weight as a sole reason as I've said earlier.

Your reasoning there was poor, as you were only thinking in terms of vote balance.  If we can starve scum of heads to claim, then it doesn't matter if they outnumber us.  It also lets us know exactly where we stand, to get the flips of those that have fought.  Right now, we're somewhere between one more scumkill than heads claimed, and one less scumkill than heads claimed.  If we keep on picking new people to fight, we'll most likely plow right into LyLo without knowing it.

Quote from: Ranmilia
Trying to math out a path to endgame this early on is a very bad idea, it is likely scum have roles that will screw with plans, etc etc.

It's one thing to map out a path to the endgame, but I'm just working with the basic rules here.  Scum need a certain number of heads to win.  Scum only have a certain number of lives to spend.  My course will keep both of those low, while still providing evidence (in the form of votes between Alex and Ciato, and on who should fight Bardiche) to judge where to go from there.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 11:44:45 AM
Remember that if town<scum, scum win unless town<6 and scum have <1 amount of kills.

In other words, I strongly discourage killing town for the sake of depriving scum of heads, and I strongly encourage taking action against people who are scummy.

Between Ciato and Alex I feel most comfortable keeping Alex alive, if at least only for now. If we don't get scum with Ciato's death, I strongly discourage offing me because we'd be down 4 town, 1 scum and possibly scum will already have one head, assuming at least one of Alex/Ciato is scum.

If anyone has a confirmation power to use now would be a smashing time to use it, because if this was a red herring we stand to idle around and kill two town, possibly selecting scum to do it.

PS: I don't believe Cid should be given the kill that easily without having him explain it to us beside "this would be beneficial to town" because by my logic having me kill everyone would be beneficial too. (in that scum at least don't get kills)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: El Cideon on February 17, 2010, 11:52:52 AM
It seems possible/probable that winning challenges replenishes charges of limited use abilities?

Sounds reasonable. Bard clearly stated that winning his duel gave him another shot of his power.

Regarding Alex vs. Ciato: Tom's actions yesterday make no sense whatsoever if both Alex and Ciato are scum. He would've put three of his own team in danger, not just in yesterday's match but due to lingering suspicion in following days, to potentially make one kill. Given the flip, I stand by my reading from yesterday: Tom saw town setting up a match with him in it and did what he could to salvage the situation for his side. His potential partner being scum also helps explain why he did this and fits with my general impression of Ciato as significantly a background presence that reeks of scum lurking.

I'm not really able to reconcile the idea of Tom starting that match if Alex is scum; at the least, I consider it much less likely given that there are other charges against Ciato and I haven't had much problem with Alex. I'm not really buying theories about Tom wanting to plant red herrings or wild conspiracy notions about him and Alex faking the whole conflict to make the survivor look good; it'd still be a great risk for uncertain gain. Sure, scum can do these things, but I generally frown on complicated theorizing unless there's a considerable amount of evidence to support it. The simplest explanations are often much more reliable, I find, and the most straightforward one here is that Tom wanted to make sure town didn't act on Alex's proposal and set him up on a team with Ciato. They were likely already screwed and collecting Kilga in the bargain was their best shot at getting something out of the situation.

I'd rather have myself challenge Ciato than Alex because I want to ensure that we catch scum and it bothers me that there's still some theorizing about Tom/Alex being on the same side. I saw some of that talk creeping in near the end of yesterday (and Serp mentioned red herrings today) and it makes me wonder if this is scum seeding doubts so that they might win a projected Alex/Ciato matchup (going to take a close look at the players involved later). This is why I'd prefer to challenge Ciato myself: there seems to be a decent amount of confidence in me and I think I have a better chance of preventing a mislynch if I'm the challenger. Although I think Ciato's guilt fairly obvious, I'd rather not take chances with her getting away. At the least, scum would have to work harder to establish any reason to vote against me than Alex, who's had a couple people express doubts about him. This could only help to make the scum players more obvious.

Made myself late to work to write this, so I'm bolting out the door now. See ya later, folks.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kiro on February 17, 2010, 12:14:15 PM
Alright, moving onto Day 3: with the flips we got, it should be pretty certain that one or perhaps both of Alex or Ciato is scum. So case by case:

Ciato's reason for finding Alex scummy was saying that he was accusing players "who dared to defend someone he didn't like." I think that premise is wrong because Alex was attacking Pesco for his rash challenge and he was going against you and Tom for what he called unnatural defenses. Your opinion that Pesco was providing more helpful content than Bard is something I believe too, but when I read the 2nd paragraph of your #182, I see: Pesco is crazy, he's thoughtful, logic doesn't make as much sense, following instincts is good sometimes, but his logic is still hard to follow. I can understand why Alex would call you out on that now as it's waffling on Pesco and ignores Pesco's basic crime: that he initiated without giving people time to discuss. Also, if Alex was trying to set up a fight between you and Tom for Day 2, why was there a problem with it? If you're Townie and you think the other player is Scum, why not take advantage and beat him head to head. Alex could be wrong about you, but you took it too defensively for it to appear like a misunderstanding or that you might have lost such a bout. In essence, you got your wish and helped eliminate a Scum. It's already being suggested that you don't fight Alex today so all you really need to hope for if you're Townie is that the person who has to eliminate you is not Scum so they don't bag your head. If you're Scum, well, you got called out and you're gonna die.

On Alex, he pressed for Bardiche's survival over Pesco and then made the suggestion that Tom and Ciato fight each other for Day 2. Then when Day 2 began, Tom reacted adversely and prepped a challenge that saw one Scum and one Townie die. Tom choosing both his accuser and the suspected scumbuddy to be against him is the big WIFOM though. Alex was right about Tom on Day 1 and if Alex is Town, that was a good deduction and Tom panicked in a sense. If Alex is Scum, Tom would hope that an Alex vs Ciato scenario would indeed take place in Day 3 likely meaning ScumAlex would have had the rare opportunity to bag 2 heads riding on the success of calling out Tom. That just doesn't seem as likely because in addition to calling out a scumbuddy for potential Town cred, if he foresaw Tom doing what he did, he would realize his own days would be numbered and it doesn't bode well for his team as a whole.

One of them should be in today's match and be the loser. The fact that Alex is now suggesting not to have the Alex v Ciato match bodes well for his Townieness even more and is the best way to limit the chance of Scum finding a head to steal. One of these victims should be Scum and if it's the first person we pick between Ciato and Alex, we'll have gained a significant advantage and may not even need to eliminate the other person right away as we'll have stronger connections we can try to establish to the remaining Scum.

I still think Ciato is scummier than Alex due to her adverse reaction against Alex and that Tom's challenge really looks like a panic attack against Alex having possibly called out 2 Scum in one statement. Have Ciato die today to see if Alex really nailed it or not. If Ciato flips Town, then it's Alex's turn.

Cut by Cid: No mention of the role you were hinting at here. Granted, I don't really have a problem with you beating anyone today based on your content so maybe it will be worth it for you to take this one and get some hidden benefit or something.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 17, 2010, 02:28:41 PM
I still really don't like Serp's claim that scummy players should challenge each other. His 'but maybe the players we THINK are Town are actually SCUM!' is out-and-out WIFOM. Definitely worth following when the current madness comes to a close.

Cid's 'Hey, maybe I should challenge them!' is also pretty bad. He offers Town an 'either you win or you don't' scenario without saying why we should trust HIM in particular.

And where the hell is K4U? She's been horribly inactive this game, and even there she hasn't helped. This doesn't read like she usually does.

Don't think Alice is much better in that regard. Then again, this game is weird in that lurkers are less likely to be scum because they need to get out there and win showdowns, so...:V

Anyway, still very much convinced that Ciato is scummier than Alex.

FakeVote: Town-Nominated player vs. Ciato

As for the nomination, I'd give it to Kiro myself.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 02:49:22 PM
I am growing increasingly wary of this proposition which would have us routinely eliminate all who've won anything, as by my knowledge this does not at all reset the killcount and strikes me as a fairly pointless exercise by this stage.

What seemed like a smashingly good idea now looks decidedly less so; in particular because it punishes town heavily for town VS town spats.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Serp on February 17, 2010, 03:30:20 PM
I still really don't like Serp's claim that scummy players should challenge each other. His 'but maybe the players we THINK are Town are actually SCUM!' is out-and-out WIFOM. Definitely worth following when the current madness comes to a close.

Two things I shouldn't have to point out:

1.  "But the players who you think are town may be scum" has absolutely nothing to do with WIFOM and that you say otherwise means you're grasping for buzzwords.

2.  Setting up today's match as Alex versus Ciato was also Kilga's last instruction as seen on page 10.  To say that advocating that strategy is scummy seems pretty stupid.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Chaore on February 17, 2010, 03:45:18 PM
Not enough time to really do anything I'd wanted to at the moment, I'm not about to say Ciato doesn't look pretty scummy, so I'm all for him being taken down. This does kind of put a dent in my 'Alex is scum' belief, though.

I also dislike Cid's proposition on the sheer fact that he is outright pretty much trying to get a kill here. I will state again this really doesn't benefit people that are not scum. Unless he is a limited charge cop or something like that. I mean, Bard's 'supposed' power itself seems pretty useless. Nothing to endeavor a kill for.

A Kiro nomination doesn't seem TOO bad as Rou suggests. He hasn't done much like mostly everyone, but he has done fairly good for what he has. I'd like people to reread whoever we choose before the duel goes off, at least.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 17, 2010, 04:21:57 PM
It seems possible/probable that winning challenges replenishes charges of limited use abilities?
Yes this is the case.

Despite the fact that Kilga suggested we have Ciato and Alex go against each other, I'm just not too sure it's the best idea. I don't really thing they're both scum as I don't think Tom would have put himself up against two scum as that would have made it possible for 2 scum to die and get no kills if he'd won the challenge. However, the fact that not everyone seems to agree on which ot Alex or Ciato is scum [as it seems that one of them must be or else Tom wouldn't have been so outright suicidal] we shouldn't put them against each other in case the disagreeing causes the scum to win.

Alex seems to be fairly reasonable and allowing us to kill him after Ciato so I'm going to say we should take her down first. If she flips town we should without a doubt take down Alex afterward.

We just need to decide on a super Townie to be the one to take her down.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 04:51:01 PM
I mean, Bard's 'supposed' power itself seems pretty useless.

You will soon receive a message that should hopefully remove that 'supposed' part of the argument.

Also it's TOTALLY worth killing for I could have random rants of great zeal and love.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 04:53:13 PM
Also fwiw I had one use of my power to start off with and was explicitly told I would get another use of it every time I'd win a duel.

I'm not sure if other roles demand you win a duel before getting powers, but it bears consideration: if Cop demanded this of you it'd be a gamble I'd be more than willing to take (provided we confirm the Cop afterwards; he only really needs to confirm one of us as town anyway).
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 04:54:41 PM
Also of note: I don't think we actually have a Cop here who can just go out and Cop someone free-of-charge because that'd break the setup something fierce: get Cop to confirm someone, kill Cop to confirm alignment, then cruise control into "scum can't get victories".
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 17, 2010, 05:01:25 PM
Quote from: Rou
And where the hell is K4U? She's been horribly inactive this game, and even there she hasn't helped. This doesn't read like she usually does.

Stomach flu.  I considered requesting a replacement at the start of the game because of it but I realized that would make me lame, so I decided to stick with it.  I'm surprised I'm able to play at all tbh.

---

Anyway, I really can't make sense of this situation.  I've considered one of them being scum, both of them being scum and both of them being town, but no matter how I look at it Tom's actions make no sense at all.  So I'm going to go with the Occam's Razor approach here.  I'm going to assume that Tom used Kilga as a way to get a head.  That means that at least one of Ciato and Alex is scum.  However, since Tom was scum and there was only one townie to claim it would be pointless to put two scum on the opposing team.  So I'm going to assume that only one of Ciato and Alex is scum. 

So which is scum?  I'll admit that I have more problems with Alex individually. BUT, I think he's less likely to be scum with Tom.  Why?  There's really no reason for Tom to bring someone no one thought was suspicoius to the front if they were scum together.  Granted, scum do want to get involved since they need to win to get heads, but this seems like a really silly way to do it.  So, I'm going to say that Ciato is more likely to be scum (with tom) than Alex.

But I think Kiro's idea is better than Alex vs. Ciato since I could be wrong.  This situation makes no sense and I'm having a hard time reading it.

Or we could take a third option.  I can change the rules of the day to be like a normal game of Mafia (majority of votes = lynch etc.)  Whoever hammers will get a victory, but scum cannot hammer one of their buddies and get a victory (I already asked Carth for clarifacation on this).  If Ciato or Alex flip town we can look at the person that hammers more closely at least and if they flip scum...well they flip scum.  I can fire this off any time before the challenge phase starts, so we have plenty of time to discuss stuff still.  I'm not sure if this would be any better than Kiro's idea, but I figured I should throw it out there.

This is a one-shot ability, but I can use it more times if I win duels (ninja'd by people, but I figure I might as well confirm this myself anyway).  So, while I do see a pro-town reason for some people to want to challenge, I think people that volenteer themselves to be on the "winning" side should be looked at VERY closely.  I don't think anyone that volenteers themselves should be allowed to challenge unless they provide a compelling reason atm.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Chaore on February 17, 2010, 05:08:15 PM
Also of note: I don't think we actually have a Cop here who can just go out and Cop someone free-of-charge because that'd break the setup something fierce: get Cop to confirm someone, kill Cop to confirm alignment, then cruise control into "scum can't get victories".

I think it has been confirmed that Carth probably thought of this already. For one, get a scum on board 'complete townie' in a 2 v 2, And Scum can nab some heads before they hit clear out point. A single confirmed townie isn't worth too much, really. Also, God Mothers and Lawyers etc. Cops aren't fool proof, after all.

Ninja by Kitten: Well shit son.

Screw Messages, That takes the cake. And is pretty awesome. I'm not sure if we'll want to use it here or not, though.

Also confirms we probably don't have typical roles this time around. Damn.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 05:15:45 PM
I'd like to preserve that power: if the Hime Star shits all over us when we want to enact justice on another Pesco/Tom quick-challenger, we have a back-up to ensure that person and that person alone dies like they need to.

For clarification, does hammering constitute winning a duel?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 17, 2010, 05:17:46 PM
For clarification, does hammering constitute winning a duel?

Yes.  Though scum cannot claim a head if they hammer one of their scumbuddies.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 05:22:07 PM
SO if you'd hammer on using your power you'd regain another use of it?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 17, 2010, 05:24:22 PM
SO if you'd hammer on using your power you'd regain another use of it?

Oh you meant like that.  I *think* so, but I'll PM Carth just to make sure.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: MissCiato on February 17, 2010, 06:21:29 PM
I basically stand by everything I said in Day 2; I have been playing Mafia with Alex for a very long time, and he frequently likes to push his own weight around. I basically disagree with treating players like crap and being rude to people in Mafia -- it's just a game, after all. I have never been able to get into the predatory nature of the game the way Alex does. I basically saw this as a scum sign because I have seen it done by him before.

I see no real logic in Tom's actions at all and upon trying to decipher them, I still see no real logic in them.

Alternatively, this could be some sort of weird setup/gambit where Tom thought he could kill two town with one stone? That's.... really stupid, too risky, and not really backed up by any sort of reasoning. I am starting to grow more and more suspicious that we're being set up to kill off townies or something since Rat declared...let me find it.

Quote
Rules clarification/patch: In the event that scum outnumber town, it will be assumed that scum automatically clean up the remaining townie heads and add them to their win total. This was sorta implied in the rules but not explicitly stated and there may be confusion with the 'games ends when someone wins' note, apologies.

If you set up lynches for town to die three days in a row... I dunno? I guess that depends on how many scum there are.

I don't really care what happens. I am pretty irritated with this game due to being dragged into something completely beyond my control and having to continually defend myself over an event that was completely beyond my control. This format sucks.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 17, 2010, 07:51:50 PM
Similarly I have been playing with Ciato for some time and find it quite unbelievable that she would defend Pesco, who was... just... wow.  That stuff would've gotten him banned on the spot where we come from and you're frustrated with me?  Naaaah okay I know you're scum, sorry, it must kinda suck.  :(

Kitten - that power removes Hime Star effects from a day and lets us get out of rash challenges.  Why on earth would you want to use it today?  Save it for a day where such things happen.  (Like yesterday.  Why on earth would you not have used it yesterday?)

Cid - Okay wait what?  So you have no role or explanation to offer, you just wanted to get in on taking a head so badly that you called stops on discussion to go oh please please let me challenge tomorrow?  Uhhhhhh no, I certainly don't have faith in you, that's actually incredibly scummy of you to do all this.   

What is with everyone here.  I guess I'd like Kiro or Kefit to challenge Ciato.  Mysteriousness.  Apologies for slight aggravation.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 17, 2010, 08:09:04 PM
Quote from: Alex
Kitten - that power removes Hime Star effects from a day and lets us get out of rash challenges.  Why on earth would you want to use it today?  Save it for a day where such things happen.  (Like yesterday.  Why on earth would you not have used it yesterday?)

I would have loved to use this yesterday, but I can only use it BEFORE someone challenges someone.  So if someone quick challenges I cannot use it until the next day, as I said before.

And like I said, I'm not sure if today is the best time to use it.  I have no idea when the best time to use it would be, so I figured it would be best to throw the option out there.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 08:39:16 PM
This is where I wish I had some method to prove to you all I am without a shadow of a doubt town. I suppose if I challenge Ciato now I'll go down like the titanic, huh- because really honestly I've been playing with the idea for a while but thinking it's scum I'm pretty much afraid the bad side of that gamble nets scum a head.

SO WHILE WE BURN DAYLIGHT, can we finally think up a way to resolutely get a challenge on Ciato going before we get RNG'd?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Edible on February 17, 2010, 08:46:45 PM
No challenges have yet been made.

You have 12 hours before Mai's Vengeful Ghost makes two random bitches fight to the death.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 17, 2010, 09:52:28 PM
1.  "But the players who you think are town may be scum" has absolutely nothing to do with WIFOM and that you say otherwise means you're grasping for buzzwords.
But your argument resolves to be 'Players you think are town are more likely to be scum than players you think are scum'. What the hell?

Quote
2.  Setting up today's match as Alex versus Ciato was also Kilga's last instruction as seen on page 10.  To say that advocating that strategy is scummy seems pretty stupid.
And Kilga can't be wrong? He can't make a mistake?

I...don't understand why exactly K4U claimed. The ability to flip the result of a contest sounds...decidedly scummy. Really really REALLY scummy. Disgustingly, absurdly, WHOA CRAZY scummy. Scummier than Pesco (and trust me, that's saying something).

Alex turning around and saying 'NO THAT'S NOT YOUR ROLE' is a double-failure. Because, y'know, Carth can't make up NEW roles? Don't give her an excuse to backtrack, dammit!

I now officially REALLY want K4U to burn. Scummiest roleclaim ever.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 10:05:49 PM
Alex never said "NO THAT'S NOT YOUR ROLE" or anything similar to it. And um.

Are we reading the same pages? Kitten4u says her power relates to turning the day into a regular Mafia day.

I.e. everyone is an eligible lynch candidate
You vote for who you want lynched
Person with majority votes gets lynched

How does this flip the results?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 17, 2010, 10:12:01 PM
Quote from: Rou
I...don't understand why exactly K4U claimed. The ability to flip the result of a contest sounds...decidedly scummy. Really really REALLY scummy. Disgustingly, absurdly, WHOA CRAZY scummy. Scummier than Pesco (and trust me, that's saying something).

Flip the result of a contest...? Where the heck did you get that from?

Okay, since some people aren't getting what I do AT ALL, I'll go ahead and do it in list form instead of paragraph form.

-I must use my ability before a challenge has been made.  If someone challenges someone else I cannot use my ability until the next day.

-My ability changes the nature of the day.  Instead of 1 vs 1 challenges I turn the game into a normal game of Mafia for a day.

-It only lasts one day.  The next day will be a 1 vs 1 challenge unless someone else does something to change things or I use it again.

-It's a 1-shot ability.  Although I can get more charges if I win duels. 

-Scum cannot claim a head unless they hammer a townie.  If they hammer a scum buddy they cannot claim a head.

The reason I claimed was to throw another option out there for us to use.  I do not know when the best time to use this is, so I wanted to get the opinions of the other people out there.  It's been two days and no one's been NKed so I'm assuming there isn't one.  I see no reason NOT to claim if there's no chance I'll die because I'm a PR.  I'm not really getting why you're finding this scummy. 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: El Cideon on February 17, 2010, 10:14:41 PM
Alex (and others who made similar statements): I am being deliberately vague, yes, because I don't know what roles scum has at their disposal and I don't want to make it easier for them to counter things. I am aware this isn't as helpful as it could be but have no real choice; I don't imagine I'll get more than one shot and don't want to make it any more likely than it already is that it'll get fouled up by scum intervention. Given K4U's claim, and since I'm being pressed on the matter, I may as well confirm that this--

It seems possible/probable that winning challenges replenishes charges of limited use abilities?

--seems to be a running theme for this game's power roles. I start with zero charges. This--

I also dislike Cid's proposition on the sheer fact that he is outright pretty much trying to get a kill here.

--is in fact true, though in addition to a desire to scumhunt. If I need to kill someone to use my role, I want to make sure whoever goes down is the scummiest player in sight. I presently think this is Ciato, hence why I want to take advantage of the fact that there's someone around whose guilt I'm confident of. I hate asking for a duel and I hate claiming, but there seems no other way of arranging to have a say in whatever challenge I'm involved in. The longer I waited, the less likely it seemed that would be, and I'm already worried about being dragged into the next 2-vs-2 match once this is used.

Maybe I'm being too paranoid about claiming given that there's no traditional nightphase here, but I have to assume Carth put something unpleasant on the scum side to balance out the town power roles; roleblocker sitting on me in the future is probably already a possibility if such a thing exists in this game, but even if it doesn't, I'm not willing to bait any more specific roles there might be by going into explicit detail about what I have and what I intend to do with it. I will look on more specific rolefishery with suspicion.

Yes, there are still blanks here and that may not reassure people. If this doesn't leave you confident enough to put me in a match, then I'll abide by that decision. But I remain skeptical that Alex vs. Ciato as today's match is in our best interest despite Kilga approving of it. Jam covered this well: most of us seem to think there's at most one scum in the pair of them, and if we guess wrong on who that is then we've given scum a kill. I believe the culprit here is Ciato but always acknowledge the possibility that I could be wrong and want to minimize the chance of making that error. Kiro looks pretty safe to me personally if we want another challenger; hasn't said anything to set off alarms. I'd really like some broad feedback here rather than just from the two people who said "No, that's not good enough" (one of whom was Chaos anyway, who I've felt vaguely unsettled about for a while now. I'm going to reread some posts to see if I can properly articulate why).

Ninja'd. Can't say I agree with Rou. It's an unusual setup and the way K4U described the role doesn't sound unbelievable to me.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 17, 2010, 10:19:37 PM
When she said that she could change it to normal so 'whoever gets the majority gets lynched', I didn't realise she meant changing all the damn rules of the setup. I thought it just got rid of the one rule that makes no freaking sense, and therefore gave a good reason as to WHY it didn't make sense. She never made any clarification herself, and it felt like Alex was almost tutoring her on what to say.

Disregard me. I'm a moron as usual. >_>
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Chaore on February 17, 2010, 11:29:12 PM
You will soon receive a message that should hopefully remove that 'supposed' part of the argument.

Also it's TOTALLY worth killing for I could have random rants of great zeal and love.

Confirming this now that I got the message. Fine fine, Yes, You have the power of the message button.

Also where the hell is everyone.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 17, 2010, 11:31:36 PM
Ok, I'm up to Chaos' first D3 post, and I have to say...

WHAT THE FUCK IS WRONG WITH YOU AND ROU!?

Dear God, if you are going to claim Kiro is town, BACK IT THE FUCK UP!

I think we need to do Alex vs. Ciato. But I find Alex rather townie, so that would be why.

So, Fakevote: Alex vs. Ciato

I'll also admit I glazed over early D3 walls since I'm in a hurry.

Quote
Or we could take a third option.  I can change the rules of the day to be like a normal game of Mafia (majority of votes = lynch etc.)  Whoever hammers will get a victory, but scum cannot hammer one of their buddies and get a victory (I already asked Carth for clarifacation on this).  If Ciato or Alex flip town we can look at the person that hammers more closely at least and if they flip scum...well they flip scum.  I can fire this off any time before the challenge phase starts, so we have plenty of time to discuss stuff still.  I'm not sure if this would be any better than Kiro's idea, but I figured I should throw it out there.

Well then. I like this idea.

Oh, CHAOS is still "waffle waffle speculate speculate info info" NO ANALYSIS.

Bardiche once again proves he's scum trying to preserve one of his buddies. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257044#msg257044)

Once again, Alex. WHY IS KIRO TOWN!?

Quote
I...don't understand why exactly K4U claimed. The ability to flip the result of a contest sounds...decidedly scummy. Really really REALLY scummy. Disgustingly, absurdly, WHOA CRAZY scummy. Scummier than Pesco (and trust me, that's saying something).

Where in the nine hells did you get this? Are you even reading?

Quote
Flip the result of a contest...? Where the heck did you get that from?

Rou being a fucking moron, as usual. Sorry Rou.

At least Rou admits he's a fucking moron.

This was mostly a skim so I probably don't have many opinions in this post.

I want Rou, Alex, and CHAOS to explain themselves on "Oh, Kiro is totally town"

I already explained why he's scum.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 17, 2010, 11:36:29 PM
UncertainKitten: Funny you should mention that, Alex pretty much mirrored my sentiments. Did Alex just prove he's scum trying to save a scumbuddy?

Oh, wait, I've been advocating killing Ciato, you say Alex is town. Man, are you sure you're not on some personal vendetta against me here because I tried to accuse you of being scum by highlighting your earlier behaviour?

Also, big surprise: this game's pretty much about figuring alignment from actions, and thus by extension, you guessed it, behaviour. If you're going to be all rose-tinted on me about that, kindly fix yourself some good tea, dip in some warm water and try to cooly rationalise whether you're thinking straight?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Edible on February 18, 2010, 12:56:32 AM
You have 7.45-ish hours to issue a challenge.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 01:14:04 AM
Quote
Also, big surprise: this game's pretty much about figuring alignment from actions, and thus by extension, you guessed it, behaviour. If you're going to be all rose-tinted on me about that, kindly fix yourself some good tea, dip in some warm water and try to cooly rationalise whether you're thinking straight?

Case on you exists. Admittedly, I missed the Ciato death advocating, so I must retract my earlier accusation of "saving a scum buddy"

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Chaore on February 18, 2010, 01:15:38 AM
Back up why Rou is town again, UK? I missed that.

I'll say outright, I have no issues with Kiro due to the fact he really hasn't triggered any flags. Before you start, no, I'm with Kilga's call here, Kiro doesn't just post set up crap.

If you have anything really good to bring up, please do so in a comprehensible format this time. I'd really like to hear why you're so freaking dead set on Kiro being scum, because I do not see it.

Also, before you assume I'm claiming something, Read. I'm simply saying I have NO REASON TO BELIEVE KIRO IS SCUM, therefore do not have a reason to object. I am not outright saying a person is town.

You seem to understand when I'm not making any definite claims fairly well, why not this time?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 01:19:33 AM
Quote
Back up why Rou is town again, UK? I missed that.

He just is. I'll admit that there is no real reasoning beyond he can't be scum. I wish I could explain it better.

Quote
I'll say outright, I have no issues with Kiro due to the fact he really hasn't triggered any flags. Before you start, no, I'm with Kilga's call here, Kiro doesn't just post set up crap.

Then show me. PROVE that my accusations are wrong. I'd prefer Kiro do it but if you three insist on defending him...c'est la vie.

Quote
If you have anything really good to bring up, please do so in a comprehensible format this time. I'd really like to hear why you're so freaking dead set on Kiro being scum, because I do not see it.

I linked every goddamn post that makes him scummy. If you can't read it, Tough
Fucking
Cookies

(Lazy fuckass)

Quote
Also, before you assume I'm claiming something, Read. I'm simply saying I have NO REASON TO BELIEVE KIRO IS SCUM, therefore do not have a reason to object. I am not outright saying a person is town.

Where the fuck did this come from? I never said you were claiming anything :S.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 01:32:20 AM
Could we chuck this hostility out the window? I'm not a regular here, but I'm not fond of overtly present hostility in a simple party game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Chaore on February 18, 2010, 01:34:09 AM
Where the fuck did this come from? I never said you were claiming anything :S.

Dear God, if you are going to claim Kiro is town, BACK IT THE FUCK UP!
....
I want Rou, Alex, and CHAOS to explain themselves on "Oh, Kiro is totally town"

Around there, I'd say.

I linked every goddamn post that makes him scummy. If you can't read it, Tough
Fucking
Cookies

(Lazy fuckass)

Yes. I saw those. I did not come to the same conclusion. Posts alone do not make a person scummy, and your reasoning is mostly bad or I do not find it true.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 01:41:37 AM
Quote
Around there, I'd say.

I suppose if that's how you mean claim. But...the thing is, you ARE claiming Kiro is town implicitly with the post I disliked.

You know, this part:

Quote
He hasn't done much like mostly everyone, but he has done fairly good for what he has.

HOW DOES HE LOOK GOOD!?

Quote
Yes. I saw those. I did not come to the same conclusion. Posts alone do not make a person scummy, and your reasoning is mostly bad or I do not find it true.

Then show your work!

I showed mine. PROVE ME WRONG IF YOU THINK I AM! I have NO reason to believe your words without evidence.


Quote
Could we chuck this hostility out the window? I'm not a regular here, but I'm not fond of overtly present hostility in a simple party game.

I'm sorry. Stupidity really puts me on edge after having to deal with an hour and a half of it IRL. I was hoping there wouldn't be more stupid when I came home.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 01:49:11 AM
That's about how I felt when you began trolling me for trying to accuse you of being scum. In this game of uncertainties, it's only natural we'll disagree or have wildly conflicting ideas. Like I stepped back and re-evaluated what I was pursuing, perhaps it's a good idea for you to do the same.

I recommend taking a break from the game until you are calmer. It does no one any good if you fly off the handle like that; the point in this game is to have fun, and needless antagonising wouldn't very much get us to that point, no? Not to mention getting angry all the time must be triflingly uncomfortable.

In the end, even if you disagree with it, "majority makes right" is the theme of the game. We have precious few hours left to us to make a uniform decision regarding the challenge of the day.



Right now, I am still fairly against Cid being chosen as town's champion. I acknowledge that I believe his claim regarding his power possibly starting with zero charges: as I presented, Cop would be terribly overpowered in a game as this, so forcing town to win a duel to gain a single charge of that power seems like a logical and fairly understandable setup balancing.

The issue here, of course, is that I am unsure whether Cid's power is in service to town or in service to scum.

To put an edge in Cid's argument, however, he does offer to go for the one most of us agree is very likely to be scum; if Ciato ends up not being scum, we face the dilemma of being unable to fully accuse him of being scum due to our own convictions regarding the matter.


If people insist that I am scum, I suggest you have Cid finish me off. My power is fairly useless to town, and I am willing to gamble a single victory count for scum over a possibly very beneficial power to town.

I do suggest confirming Cid's power by way of executing him after he has demonstrated a valid use of it, however.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 01:52:41 AM
I convinced myself during the writing of the above that gambling on Cid may yield off big. Taking a risk to summon forth the witch is entirely my style, it's within my DESIREs to see town win.

Let me amend that I meant to confirm Cid's alignment by way of execution. I have no doubt that I will not flip any role name possibly linked to that of anonymous messenger, but my alignment and support of town will be fairly evident: I propose to use that mechanic to confirm Cid's support of town.

Especially if his ability is, indeed, the Cop as theorised and would nail us at least a single, confirmed Town. Insert theorising about possible scum anti-measures; if anyone's been hit with any, care to bring this to light?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 02:17:17 AM
Bardiche, you forget the Kinzo seems to DIE everytime he tries that ritual

(Well, important spoilers aside of course :P)

But I did my step back. I'd provided my evidence for Kiro scum. I want it countered, or I at least want support for the allegation that Kiro is town. I'm not going to accept "It's Kiro, he's great ^-^"

Quote
That's about how I felt when you began trolling me for trying to accuse you of being scum. In this game of uncertainties, it's only natural we'll disagree or have wildly conflicting ideas. Like I stepped back and re-evaluated what I was pursuing, perhaps it's a good idea for you to do the same.

I love how you are subtly accusing me of being stupid. That's not going to allow you to achieve your goal. I also wasn't trolling. You were just flat wrong.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 02:25:28 AM
No, no. I will not start to argue again. Regardless of what you intended, that is how it came off to me. You may perform any song or dance to say how wrong I may have been, but appearances can deceive, and they so did appear to me as what I presented them as.

And how was I trying to "subtly call you stupid"? I was drawing a parallel between the both of us in that I, too, at some point felt rather aggravated with people seemly finding some things particularly acceptable which I found wholly unacceptable. If I subtly implied you were stupid, I would do myself the same discourtesy. It does us ill good to bring up the matter again, so let us leave it at that.

Although perhaps it is important to stress that I would never implicate myself as being stupid. That'd be stupid.




Also Kinzo is alive in my heart GOOOOOOOOLDSMIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIITH!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 02:30:59 AM
*kinzoface.jpg*

We shall bury the current hachet over love for Umineko

I still think you're scum though...sorry :(.

As for the stupidity thing:

Was this:

Quote
That's about how I felt when you began trolling me for trying to accuse you of being scum. In this game of uncertainties, it's only natural we'll disagree or have wildly conflicting ideas. Like I stepped back and re-evaluated what I was pursuing, perhaps it's a good idea for you to do the same.

In response to this:

Quote
I'm sorry. Stupidity really puts me on edge after having to deal with an hour and a half of it IRL. I was hoping there wouldn't be more stupid when I came home.

? Or another part of my post?



Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 18, 2010, 02:33:27 AM
Kiro is one of the towniest people to me right now mostly by virtue of posting intelligent things and not posting crazy things.  I'm not sure why I'm being attacked for that, but since UK is saying "Rou is totally town he just is!" in the same breath as "Why are you saying people are townie!" I don't even know what to reply there.

Ciato vs me is objectively a very silly idea and should not be done unless people are 100% on me being town and Ciato being scum, and I don't think people are.  (Or vice versa but there's even less support for that.)  It is nearly guaranteed that one of us is scum and for people who are unsure of our alignments, calling me vs Ciato wrong is a 50/50 risk of giving scum a head.  With having others execute us instead, the executioner MIGHT be scum but the chance of that is far less than 50%.  It is just obviously safer.

The other possibility here is that both Ciato and myself are town.  While I don't believe this to be the case since Ciato is playing very scummily, I realized I was wrong earlier - it MIGHT make sense for Tom to have set up two townies like this if scum have someone that can come in and go "Wait guys let me clean them both up" in... exactly the manner Cid has done.  In fact swooping in wanting to be executioner here looks very good for scum in general.  I don't like giving the job to anyone who comes out and says they want it and can't or won't give full disclosure on why. 

Assuming Cid is townie, he's already as much as said "I've got a really good role" to the scum the instant he asked to challenge yesterday, I don't know what sort of roles might be in this game or how they'd work but any countermeasures scum could employ are assuredly lined up in his direction already.  Maybe I'm wrong and he does have a super townie role that will save us all but I'm just not willing to buy that offhand, not when it'd be so tempting for scum to fakeclaim the same thing to nab a head or two.  Or, heck, claim it for real.

That all said... I'm still confident enough on Ciato being scum to be not completely opposed to going along with it.  Egggh.

On K4U's power, I missed the part where she said it could only be used before a challenge was issued.  My mistake, sorry about that, it makes more sense now.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 02:38:07 AM
I still think you're scum though...sorry :(.

That's okay, I think the same thing of you. :( At least it's mutual. Now if only it was lo--must. resist. Or else I will be bludgeoned.

Quote
As for the stupidity thing:

Was this:

In response to this:

? Or another part of my post?

Yeah. It should read:

You: "I am angry because I feel surrounded by stupidity!"
Me: "That's how I felt, but ultimately I was wrong about being surrounded by stupidity and I think you are, too."
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 02:40:18 AM
Quote
Kiro is one of the towniest people to me right now mostly by virtue of posting intelligent things and not posting crazy things.  I'm not sure why I'm being attacked for that, but since UK is saying "Rou is totally town he just is!" in the same breath as "Why are you saying people are townie!" I don't even know what to reply there.

Well, I'd like counter evidence. The main difference is that there's not a case on Rou. There is on Kiro, even if others think it sucks. You know, despite no one ever countering it

As for "posting intelligent things and not crazy things"...how is this implicitly townie? Yes, I know I'm asking a hazardous question. Scum can post "intelligent things" that don't actually help the town much. And that's what I feel Kiro has been doing.

Quote
Ciato vs me is objectively a very silly idea and should not be done unless people are 100% on me being town and Ciato being scum, and I don't think people are.  (Or vice versa but there's even less support for that.)  It is nearly guaranteed that one of us is scum and for people who are unsure of our alignments, calling me vs Ciato wrong is a 50/50 risk of giving scum a head.  With having others execute us instead, the executioner MIGHT be scum but the chance of that is far less than 50%.  It is just obviously safer.

I see your logic...and I must say I can't really counter it. If we choose NOT to use K4U's power today, I support this challenge pair:

Unfakevote, Fakevote Rou vs. Ciato

Quote
The other possibility here is that both Ciato and myself are town.  While I don't believe this to be the case since Ciato is playing very scummily, I realized I was wrong earlier - it MIGHT make sense for Tom to have set up two townies like this if scum have someone that can come in and go "Wait guys let me clean them both up" in... exactly the manner Cid has done.  In fact swooping in wanting to be executioner here looks very good for scum in general.  I don't like giving the job to anyone who comes out and says they want it and can't or won't give full disclosure on why.

This is a little more unsteady but still quite logical. We have two sides of a coin here. Is it a super role or is it scum...and I'm not sure how to resolve that :S

Unfortunately we can't really use K4U's role to resolve it either. I guess at best we throw Cid at someone we find incredibly scummy. Though I guess Ciato fits there almost universally.

Quote

You: "I am angry because I feel surrounded by stupidity!"
Me: "That's how I felt, but ultimately I was wrong about being surrounded by stupidity and I think you are, too."

If you read Chaos' posts, it's hard to maintain any doubt about being surrounded by stupidity.

Quote
That's okay, I think the same thing of you. :( At least it's mutual. Now if only it was lo--must. resist. Or else I will be bludgeoned.

Sorry, I'm taken. What's funny is you haven't really tried to further your case.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 02:46:03 AM
It seems a fairly pointless exercise by now; it's better to focus on matters at hand due to our dwindling amount of time. I'll revisit my thoughts regarding that when it becomes prevalent.



Also I was joking. I'm not into cats. :( I like parakeets more.


As for the matter at hand, I strongly strongly strongly strongly strongly don't know whether I can support anyone. If people can vouch for Rou's, uh, sometimes mistaken assessments of the situation as being a general trait of his, I can be more confident in supporting that.

I must add that I share UncertainKitten's concerns regarding Kiro; while I don't think he's scum per se, I don't feel as confident about him as others seem to do.

This is an impass?, but if you were to promote Kiro to town champion I would definitely vote for his survival.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 02:49:19 AM
Quote
As for the matter at hand, I strongly strongly strongly strongly strongly don't know whether I can support anyone. If people can vouch for Rou's, uh, sometimes mistaken assessments of the situation as being a general trait of his, I can be more confident in supporting that.

It's hard to explain. He's almost always quite mistaken regardless of alignment...he...just does it in different ways that are rather subtle. If you want examples, see the RPG Mafia Archive thread Pesco has stickied.

Quote
It seems a fairly pointless exercise by now; it's better to focus on matters at hand due to our dwindling amount of time. I'll revisit my thoughts regarding that when it becomes prevalent.

I disagree since I feel it's easier for people to slip under the radar that way. But whatever.

Quote
I must add that I share UncertainKitten's concerns regarding Kiro; while I don't think he's scum per se, I don't feel as confident about him as others seem to do.

This is an impass?, but if you were to promote Kiro to town champion I would definitely vote for his survival.

Why would you ever do this? Unless you mean Kiro vs. Ciato where I'd probably flip a coin and stick to it. But this feels contradictory.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 02:56:37 AM
I find Ciato scummier than Kiro. In those cases I will always vote to preserve the one I feel is less likely to be scum.

Ciato gives me all these warm and fuzzy feelings akin to the sort you get when you just drove your father's truck against a tree when you weren't even supposed to touch that truck, and your father comes running with a red head while angrily shaking his fist at you.

The sort that go, "Bad news, bro".
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 02:58:27 AM
I think I just approach things differently from you. In the event of Kiro vs. Ciato, I feel they are both scum so I really don't care which one hangs. I'm that confident.

You do take a more logical approach of taking out who's scummier.

I'll admit I actually would lean Kiro upon further thought since he's both good at wriggling out of tough spots and town already seems to be buying into his "towniness"

What's odd is I'm getting townie intent from you now, Bard. Not sure how to take that.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 03:04:12 AM
Addressing pertinent matters first, my suspect alignment later:

If I understand your third line, in the event of Kiro VS Ciato you'd vote for Ciato's continued survival? You say "lean Kiro", which I think could be your vote, but the rest seems to indict him of being a master of escapism from being revealed for the scum he may be.




Chalk that last one up to "being a bit* frustrated by Pesco going 'ALRIGHT LET'S GO WARM FUZZY FEELINGS CHALLENGE!' and people going 'I see nothing wrong with that, let's go Pesco!'", when I prefer to take a more reserved approach to these kind of things and take as much time as is necessary to get everyone's input and derive alignment from attitude, words, etcetera. Presence.

Pesco did what he did at a time when most hadn't posted. I felt extremely frustrated he pulled such a stunt and that people went along with it; naturally, my leeriest distrust was given to the first person to support Pesco so overtly.

Which you had the unfortunate misfortune to be. Rest assured that when it becomes pertinent I will re-examine what was said so far and see if I can truly establish my distrust as being founded. In fact, let me do so right now and we can bury this nasty hatchet.

* may be an understatement here
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 03:09:18 AM
Quote
If I understand your third line, in the event of Kiro VS Ciato you'd vote for Ciato's continued survival? You say "lean Kiro", which I think could be your vote, but the rest seems to indict him of being a master of escapism from being revealed for the scum he may be.


I don't like either option to be honest...I want Ciato to hang (scum in front of us), but I don't want Kiro to slip away. And hell, it's not like my vote would change many minds anyway, so it'd probably be fruitless. I think Kiro is already pretty much immune in the town's mind, and that bugs me SO MUCH.

Quote
Which you had the unfortunate misfortune to be. Rest assured that when it becomes pertinent I will re-examine what was said so far and see if I can truly establish my distrust as being founded. In fact, let me do so right now and we can bury this nasty hatchet.

Good luck.

At any rate, I still would prefer that we not get tunnelled on people. I at least am tunneled on five...well, four now, separate scum picks, but I'm trying to keep an eye out for changes. I might be convinced Bard isn't scum...he was, as I said, my weakest read.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 03:13:46 AM
If you think Kiro is scum, wouldn't Ciato VS Kiro be ideal? Scum VS Scum, that can only end in victory. Can you at least support a Kiro VS Ciato challenge so we can get that show on the road before time runs out?

Errr, that hinges on Kiro/Ciato being around and complying. I... imagine Ciato may find the idea less appealing as it looks like it may cost her head.

Do we have a contingency plan in the case no show happens?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: El Cideon on February 18, 2010, 03:15:43 AM
Fakevote Town-nominated dueller vs Ciato seems appropriate at this point.

Still very much against Alex vs. Ciato for previously mentioned reasons, 50% chance of failure does not sound attractive regardless of my confidence in Ciato being the scummy there. Will obviously revisit possibility of scum Alex tomorrow if Ciato flips town but I consider this unlikely. Favored dueller, if town's not taking up my request, is Kiro. I did a reread of his posts, initial impression holds up. There is a fair amount of game/theory discussion in his posts, but I found it to be always applied to the situation at hand and he consistently proceeds with the intent of discounting setups that would give scum an advantage. Yes, this could be faked, but you could say that about anything. He seems like a safer bet than most other players to me.

Also made a point of following Chaos posts surrounding the day 2 duel and today's challenge. Chaos is consistently suspicious of Alex but somehow never slips in a positive word about the player we've talked a lot about pitting against Alex. Barely mentions Ciato at all, really. It seems strange to me that he'd only focus on one side of the equation, believe Chaos may indeed be worth visiting as a suspect down the road.

Out for the night, likely won't be back before challenge deadline due to it being on crazy Oz time but I doubt that'll matter since I don't seem favored to initiate it.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 03:18:50 AM
Hmm...good point Bard.

I didn't really think that through.

Unfakevote, Fakevote Kiro vs. Ciato

For some reason I got stuck in a weird rut. I actually understand Serpentarius' proposed strategy a lot more now. Scum vs. scum has always been ideal, and it just never clicked for me.

Quote
I did a reread of his posts, initial impression holds up. There is  a fair amount of game/theory discussion in his posts, but I found it to be always applied to the situation at hand and he consistently proceeds with the intent of discounting setups that would give scum an advantage. Yes, this could be faked, but you could say that about anything. He seems like a safer bet than most other players to me.

How about this regarding Kiro. How many stances does he take? How many accusations does he throw out? Does he actually appear to be scumhunting? That's the other half of my issue with him.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 03:19:28 AM
Is there someone less chrono-challenged than I am able to tell me how long until deadline?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 03:20:28 AM
Deadline is in about 4 and a half hours.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 03:21:04 AM
Er, sorry. Five and a half. Since it's 7.45 hours from 8 PM my time. And it is now 10:21 PM my time.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 03:28:20 AM
Man, I'm running 0/2 this game. Probably a combination of being rusty and trying to apply a play style that just doesn't work here. But hey, they say that third time's the charm - and now I've got a decent amount of info to play with. I think I'll even bother to reread the thread with this information in mind!

Oh ho, our scumtastic friend Tom tried to push Pesco and Bardiche into a duel back on day one (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251107#msg251107) amidst a general outcry of "for the love of god don't jizz before you even get your pants off (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=VLnWf1sQkjY)." And what do you know, Pesco challenged Bard to a duel and then predictably died. So...did Tom want to push Pesco into dueling Bard in the hopes that Bard would then claim a head for the scum? Or was scum pushing for a town vs. town duel?

I'd put my money on the former. Town v. town does little to nothing for the scum - the scum exchange a potential kill for voting power, neither of which mean an awful lot right now. On the other hand, claiming a town head early on would be a huge boon for the scum. It might be all that they need to lay back and watch as the townies kill eachother for the rest of the game. Bard's posts throughout the first day also bug me - they are hyper-defensive and nit-pick random sentences of other posts. They don't really accomplish anything. His only discernible goal is trying to find scum despite having no real information at that point. Wouldn't it be sensible to save discussion not pertinent to the dual he was embroiled in for after the alignment flip? After all, an alignment flip can change many things in the scum hunting department.

Bard being scum would also make Tom's completely unreasoned vote for Pesco's survival (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251513#msg251513) a rather cute move, now wouldn't it?

But let's move away from Bard for a moment. My analysis yesterday was that Tom was a raving lunatic. Any player with half a brain would know from day one that a premature discharge would only lead to death, right? Really, I can't see it be any other way, unless you lot are stupider then I could possibly imagine. This is doubly true if Tom was scum, as he would have had scum buddies to coach him on avoiding such embarrassing accidents.

Except Tom was scum after all. A scum who happily thrust himself into the meat grinder under the guise of an immature bodily impulse. So barring unknown roles and powers, this has got to be a scum gambit, right? Seems awfully obvious for one. Too obvious for me, really. But even if it's obvious, the potential of nabbing three heads by the end of day three was probably too good for the scum to pass up. Alex vs Ciato right now would simply be playing right into their hands. As Alex summed up earlier:

Quote from: Alex
Ciato vs me is objectively a very silly idea and should not be done unless people are 100% on me being town and Ciato being scum, and I don't think people are.  (Or vice versa but there's even less support for that.)  It is nearly guaranteed that one of us is scum and for people who are unsure of our alignments, calling me vs Ciato wrong is a 50/50 risk of giving scum a head.  With having others execute us instead, the executioner MIGHT be scum but the chance of that is far less than 50%.  It is just obviously safer.

I have no read on Ciato. But Alex has been overwhelmingly sensible this entire thread, and this last quote seems to be something that the scum would REALLY want to keep under wraps if their gambit is actually as simple as it looks. I also like Alex's proposal from earlier.

Propose: Kefit vs. Ciato

1) If Ciato flips scum, then I am probably town. Just don't let me challenge anyone after this point on due to the slim chance that I may have pulled an idiotic scum vs. scum gambit in an effort to prove my townness. After this I would probably recommend Bard v. Alex.

2) If Ciato flips town, then it means that Alex is almost assuredly scum. Someone who isn't me should then duel Alex. God knows what you would all think of me at this point, but I would hope that you guys realize that, in the event that Alex and I are both scum, we wouldn't be stupid enough to actively work together in the thread. Still, it wouldn't be a good idea to let me instigate a challenge after this point. If I am scum, that would mean 2-3 heads for the scum after today, but in exchange for neutralizing 3-4 of us (Tom, Alex, me, and probably Bard). I dunno about you guys, but that exchange doesn't seem favorable to me unless there are an absurd number of scum this game (I'm talking >=6).

I'm not going to bother thinking past tomorrow's duel due to the information that could come out in the mean time. Thoughts on this proposal?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 03:32:13 AM
My kneejerk reaction to Kefit's proposal is "wat?"

I don't think it's a good one, nor do I think it's town motivated. Every head counts for scum, even if they keep losing people on it later. We could have up to two scum wins so far. It's possible Kefit is planning to sacrifice himself for a third. Course, he's not in my scum picks, but he was definitely on the scummier end of my analysis.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 03:43:56 AM
Kefit: I'm more inclined to think Scum might be aiming for the "if less town than scum remain, scum win, provided there are at least 5 town".

NOTE THAT EVERYTHING PAST THIS IS CONJECTURE ON A GHASTLY, GHASTLY SCENARIO THAT I DON'T EVEN WANT TO CONSIDER BECAUSE OF THE MASSIVE WIFOM IMPLICATIONS.

In that scenario:

Egg on Pesco VS Bard: -1 Town.
Initiate duel with three townies, one scum: EITHER -1 Town -1 Scum, OR -2 Town + 1 Head
In the event of the prior:
Alex VS Ciato: -1 Town.
We then obviously conclude the other is scum.
Survivor VS Random: -1 Town.

Net: either -4 town or -5 town. Down to 12/11 players, with the KNOWLEDGE that 5 townies killed by scum = scum win. In the latter case, 11 players left, scum only need to kill 4 more.

It's a giant gamble with obvious results. If we assume standard game of Mafia, 3-4 scum sounds right, leaving around 7-8 town after this stint if the scenario is as ghastly as I present it now.

If 4 Scum 7 Town, then obviously there is a problem. Let's examine what happens if we do... this:

Town VS Town: -1 Town,
4 Scum 6 Town remain, 4 Town need to be Scumkilled.

OR

Scum VS Scum: -1 Scum,
3 Scum, 6 Town remain, 4 Town need to be Scumkilled, PEOPLE DON'T REALLY THINK SCUM WOULD EMPLOY THIS SORT OF PLOY...

But because we want to be really silly we'll assume a devilishly devilish mastermind; I know I would if you really want to analyse Tom's behaviour as intention.

So, 9 people left. Now... the Scum just presented a Champion in a Scum VS Scum fight who people venture must be Town.

How academic to now clean up, perhaps, another Scum, and then cruise control into Town to seize victory.



Hell, I'd go with this bloody idea if I was scum.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 03:45:25 AM
That's not an invitation to kill me off to confirm this isn't some mastermind garbling from scum side!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 03:47:39 AM
My kneejerk reaction to Kefit's proposal is "wat?"

I don't think it's a good one, nor do I think it's town motivated. Every head counts for scum, even if they keep losing people on it later. We could have up to two scum wins so far. It's possible Kefit is planning to sacrifice himself for a third. Course, he's not in my scum picks, but he was definitely on the scummier end of my analysis.

The scum only have so many people to lose in their hunt for heads. They are in a race with the town to get their five heads before they are all killed. In the event that we are left with one scum standing after the scum have claimed three heads, then the scum can only ever win if we let any given person win more than one challenge after that point.

If my analysis is correct, then in the worst case scenarios I am scum, Alex is scum, Bard is scum, and Tom is scum (and dead). None of us will ever win a challenge again. Yet only three heads will have been claimed (Pesco, Kilga, and Ciato). Thus, barring unknown roles and powers, the scum would only be able to win if either you let one person win multiple duels after this point, or there are more then five scum.

Better scenarios include:

Ciato flipping scum, me being town, and Alex being town. In this case we are at two dead scum (Tom and Ciato), one neutralized (Bard), and two heads claimed by the scum (Pesco and Kilga). Again, good for us.

Or Ciato flipping town, me being town, and Alex being scum. Then we have one dead scum (Tom), two neutralized (Bard and Alex), and two heads claimed by the scum (Pesco and Kilga). #neutralized scum > #heads claimed = good for us.

So I guess the real question is: does anyone think there is a good chance that we are playing with more than five scum?

ps if Bard isn't scum, then that's just one less scum neutralized and one less head claimed in all cases. The outcome is still to town advantage.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 03:51:10 AM
Quote
The scum only have so many people to lose in their hunt for heads. They are in a race with the town to get their five heads before they are all killed. In the event that we are left with one scum standing after the scum have claimed three heads, then the scum can only ever win if we let any given person win more than one challenge after that point.

They are in a race. But if they have three wins with two scum dead, they still have an advantage.

Quote
If my analysis is correct, then in the worst case scenarios I am scum, Alex is scum, Bard is scum, and Tom is scum (and dead). None of us will ever win a challenge again. Yet only three heads will have been claimed (Pesco, Kilga, and Ciato). Thus, barring unknown roles and powers, the scum would only be able to win if either you let one person win multiple duels after this point, or there are more then five scum.

Then what about scum number 5? I'm assuming 5 scum since that feels intuitively more balanced. But I also don't know the set up, so I could be way off.

I'm beginning to see your logic but...why you?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 03:54:05 AM
Surprisingly I'm opposed to the guy basically going: "There are no downsides to this plan, not at all."

Face it, it's a pipe dream to lower the number of town to less-than-necessary in some form of optimal play without know who's who. We should scumhunt, not approach the ideal strategy to devise how we can kill off people unscathed.

Especially not if we consider the Hime Star!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 18, 2010, 04:07:41 AM
^ I agree. The day effect or scum roles could ruin any plans we try to have for the entire game at this point.

It really is more important to focus on the NOW.

For instance: who is challenging who now? We've yet to come to a consensus, and I believe we're running out of time.
I'm for Ciato vs probably anyone other than Alex at this point.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 04:32:05 AM
Surprisingly I'm opposed to the guy basically going: "There are no downsides to this plan, not at all."

I'm asking you guys to poke holes in my plan that I might now see - quite the opposite of presenting a plan and claiming it's completely flawless.

^ I agree. The day effect or scum roles could ruin any plans we try to have for the entire game at this point.

It really is more important to focus on the NOW.

That the HiME star has the potential to muck up any planning has been a constant throughout this thread. Funnily enough I don't remember it being proffered as a counter to short-term plans presented in the past - though if I'm wrong about this I'd be happy if someone corrected me.

And my plan lasts for all of two days. I'd certainly consider that the pertinent NOW considering the information we have.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 04:34:13 AM
ps if you guys are really worried about the HiME star and possible scum roles, then don't just state that and nothing else. It would be better to give some examples of possible scum roles and day effects that could fuck up everything and explain why they would do so.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 04:37:40 AM
I mostly see your point Kefit. I still want an answer to "why you?"
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 04:42:33 AM
Because I'm willing to take the risk that everyone will be gunning for me in the case that Ciato flips town.

Also, I've explained that this is an advantageous plan for town whether I am scum or town. The same analysis could apply to several other players, but I at least know for sure that I am town. Fat lot of good that does the rest of you, but it combines with the other factors to make me the most sensible choice in my eyes.

Perhaps it might be more constructive for you guys to suggest who else you guys would like to see challenge Ciato. Do remember to provide some reasoning. Also remember that we are running out of time.

Now if you excuse me I'm going to go watch Ladies vs. Butlers 07. Oh Mai Gotou how I've waited for you~~
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 04:44:30 AM
I do believe scum like taking risks. But...I'm halfway willing to fulfill your plan. With Kiro in your place. Less likely to be role shenanigan'd, and it disables him as scum, as you said.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Edible on February 18, 2010, 04:54:47 AM
Tick tock.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 05:16:39 AM
Annoucement:

I will be challenging Ciato at 00:15 pst if no other challenge is agree upon and made by that time. That's in about three hours. This is to prevent a random duel, which I do not think would be advantageous for town at this point.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 18, 2010, 05:32:03 AM
I suppose I'll be on board with that unless town can come to some other majority consensus seeing as I plan on going to sleep now, and the deadline will occur while I'm asleep.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 18, 2010, 06:06:16 AM
Had a long post, internet went out, firefox died, etc.  Long and short is I'm okay with Kefit challenging Ciato, he's been sane and together and that's townie enough for me (since I'm about 95% on Ciato being scum and don't really care who kills her.)  Kinda rolling my eyes at the long term planning focusing on killing winners but we'll see what happens.  Spreading victories out is probably a decent idea, "eliminate winners just in case" not so much.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 18, 2010, 08:07:35 AM
Just read through the thread, I do support Kefit vs. Ciato, and probably won't be back until morning. Augh, gastroenteritis can go burn in everlasting hellfire, oh my god.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 08:20:01 AM
##Challenge: Ciato

And now I must sleep. I do hope that you guys give this duel ample discussion before flooding in with the votes.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Carthrat on February 18, 2010, 11:18:06 AM
the miko of mayhem

the legend of lunatic

KEFIT (munakata shiho)

vs

the teacher of terror

the brigand of bridges

CIATO (sugiura midori)

You have 45 hours remaining! With 13 alive it take 7 to toss someone a folding chair.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: El Cideon on February 18, 2010, 11:37:44 AM
##Vote: Kefit

Kefit's a decent choice, don't mind him stepping in. Anyway, not much has changed here. Ciato's last defense called Alex on things I mostly don't think he's guilty of (bullying?) and felt like lip-service.

There's some Bard/UK stuff up there I only skimmed over because I don't have much time this morning, will glance at it later and see if there's anything I need to comment on.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kiro on February 18, 2010, 12:37:43 PM
Timing sucked so that I missed the rest of the pre-challenge discussion although I would have had no problems with the Kefit v. Ciato duel. See bottom of post.

Disagree with some of Serp's reasoning at the beginning of Day 3. I'm of the camp saying we shouldn't go methodically in order to eliminate Town heads. Eliminate likely Scum heads as a priority as it seems to be working for us right now. Also, you referring to Kilga suggesting the Alex v. Ciato fight as further justification for having it go is unusual since you're smart enough to not tout the "trust dead Townie's advice" even after Alex himself suggested it probably wasn't as good of an idea.

If Ciato flips Scum, my first impression is that I don't think Bard is Scum with her. Ciato's vote for Pesco's survival came really late and only brought it up to 5 versus 7 for Bardiche's survival. In essence, why would both Tom and possible ScumCiato both try to indirectly bus a ScumbuddyBard on Day 1? Optimistically, this would suggest Scum did not get a head on Day 1.

So, as far as I understand K4U's ability, it gives the victory to the hammerer of a regular Mafia day rather than the winner of a unilateral duel... I can't tell if that is more beneficial to Town or Scum because it is announced in advance. It however would cause more chaos because rather than worrying about Scum being between 2 duelists, you have to worry about the hammerer being any of "x" number of living Scum. Although that would expose Scum so I think overall it's a really good thing for Town as it reestablishes normalcy as long as we don't use it near endgame where Scum have greater proportionate voting power.

UK: I'm not sure how the standard of content is making me look scummy in your eyes. I gave an opinion on Pesco versus Bard. I also gave one that is for the mess of yesterday and today. And now that we have confirmed at least 1 dead Scum, I can make more connections based off of that as shown above. Bard and Alex look good (if Ciato also flips Scum), Cid I'm still ok on because if he gets a kill, he will not really be expected to get another one once he unveils his ability if it really helps Town that much. Also if he's some super Scum role rather than Super Town role, he never had to reveal it since he's been on the shortlist of those who look safe to initiate challenges; he could have been nominated and nobody would know he was prepping something big. Out of everyone else, Serp's logic today all seem to be able to give Scum a chance to bag heads and I don't like it. Lessly, Chaos has been cheerleading and Jam and Alice are almost identical in lurkerifics so my opinion on them is fluid but my next choices. Rou is not triggering warnings for me. As for you UK, I'm surprised you want to beat my supposed guilt to death. I can tell your intent is serious as hell so there's almost nothing I myself can say to change that opinion and it doesn't fit my Townie impression of you to tunnel that hard. I also don't think you as either alignment would challenge me directly at this stage so I don't see how you hanging onto this is beneficial to general discussion. In other words, I don't get you.

And Kefit's 1) in post #369 makes the most sense to me. Dunno about the Bard v. Alex fight for Day 4 because not only does it pit people with 1 win against each other, they're the 2 people I would believe the most to be Town in a ScumCiato flip. That pretty much covers my thoughts on today's challenge so:

##Vote Kefit for survival
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Serp on February 18, 2010, 02:31:17 PM
Also, you referring to Kilga suggesting the Alex v. Ciato fight as further justification for having it go is unusual since you're smart enough to not tout the "trust dead Townie's advice" even after Alex himself suggested it probably wasn't as good of an idea.

I wasn't pointing to Kilga's endorsement as a sign that we should take that strategy.  I was directly responding to UK's accusation that holding to that strategy looked scummy.  If Kilga thought that it was a good idea, and he was town, I don't see how my holding to that idea could possibly look scummy, even if you don't agree with it.

Quote from: Kiro
If Ciato flips Scum, my first impression is that I don't think Bard is Scum with her. Ciato's vote for Pesco's survival came really late and only brought it up to 5 versus 7 for Bardiche's survival. In essence, why would both Tom and possible ScumCiato both try to indirectly bus a ScumbuddyBard on Day 1? Optimistically, this would suggest Scum did not get a head on Day 1.

I don't follow your reasoning here.  Bardiche was the favored one to live from the moment the challenge was made.  The only reason he didn't have more votes at that time was that no one wanted to bring him to L-1 and give Pesco the opportunity to hammer.  Placing a vote on Pesco so late is an empty gesture that could easily be just distancing oneself from a scumbuddy.

Kefit, there's also a gigantic hole in your reasoning:

Quote from: Kefit
If my analysis is correct, then in the worst case scenarios I am scum, Alex is scum, Bard is scum, and Tom is scum (and dead). None of us will ever win a challenge again. Yet only three heads will have been claimed (Pesco, Kilga, and Ciato). Thus, barring unknown roles and powers, the scum would only be able to win if either you let one person win multiple duels after this point, or there are more then five scum.

If all four of you were scum, then you wouldn't need to win anymore challenges to win the game.  All you'd need to do would be to stage a few town v. town duels.  You'd just need to get at least two scum to survive through LyLo (and one more scum for every person you named that's actually town).  Scum would clean up the remaining heads, whether or not they're "neutralized."  If we leave you all alive to LyLo, we're basically putting our faith in you to be town.

Are you people seeing why I favor having victorious players kill each other off, now?  The only neutralized scum is either a dead one with no kills, or a live one with no kills.

Putting a crazy strategy out there to have some holes poked in it is one thing, but I have a really hard time believing that Kiro's reasoning would be so bad as to let this point pass as town, especially while simultaneously claiming that my plan is too dangerous.  Whether or not he's scum with Kefit, I'm pegging Kiro as  likely scum with a path to the endgame mapped out.  Given a choice, I'd like to clean up the loose ends before dealing with him, but I should state for the record that if Kiro were to take on any of the unchallenged players right now, I'd be voting for his opponent.

Now, all that said, Ciato is still likely scum with a victory under her belt, and even if Kefit's scum, I doubt that he'd jeopardize himself by putting his life on the line with a challenge against a townie.  There's the fact that he's said that he wants to live to LyLo regardless of Ciato's flip, but in the end I'm more comfortable erring on the side of the player with less kills.

##Vote: Kefit
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 04:05:46 PM
Quote
UK: I'm not sure how the standard of content is making me look scummy in your eyes. I gave an opinion on Pesco versus Bard. I also gave one that is for the mess of yesterday and today. And now that we have confirmed at least 1 dead Scum, I can make more connections based off of that as shown above. Bard and Alex look good (if Ciato also flips Scum), Cid I'm still ok on because if he gets a kill, he will not really be expected to get another one once he unveils his ability if it really helps Town that much. Also if he's some super Scum role rather than Super Town role, he never had to reveal it since he's been on the shortlist of those who look safe to initiate challenges; he could have been nominated and nobody would know he was prepping something big. Out of everyone else, Serp's logic today all seem to be able to give Scum a chance to bag heads and I don't like it. Lessly, Chaos has been cheerleading and Jam and Alice are almost identical in lurkerifics so my opinion on them is fluid but my next choices. Rou is not triggering warnings for me. As for you UK, I'm surprised you want to beat my supposed guilt to death. I can tell your intent is serious as hell so there's almost nothing I myself can say to change that opinion and it doesn't fit my Townie impression of you to tunnel that hard. I also don't think you as either alignment would challenge me directly at this stage so I don't see how you hanging onto this is beneficial to general discussion. In other words, I don't get you.

Only reason I'm pushing you so hard at the moment is because half the fucking town wants to clear you. I don't want you to become a dropped case, so I've had to focus my efforts to asking people to defend themselves and their opinions. Namely opinions on you since I don't see much of a refutation for my accusation. Which would, as far as I can tell, be a proof that your speculation has been pro town or that you've produced decent opinions on other players. That's somewhat subjective but I'll try to be fair ^-^.

So, how about this, if you want to defend yourself, link the posts where you have produced solid, decent opinions, or explain to me where your set up speculation has aided the town more than analysis would have. I think the first option is probably more likely to sway me since it would mean I was mistaken.

Though admittedly, that post at least gets it's act together. Apparently the only parts where our suspicion lists differ are on you and Bard. And you obviously aren't going to accuse yourself of being scum. I'll be honest, I could swap out Bard for Jam. Alice doesn't bug me as much as he did earlier. When he DOES post, outside of that one terrible post, he does seem to post content and relatively decent content. Then again, there is a possibility I've been glazing and missing critical things.

And...wow...that was well caught Serp. I...um...completely missed that.

Quote
Putting a crazy strategy out there to have some holes poked in it is one thing, but I have a really hard time believing that Kiro's reasoning would be so bad as to let this point pass as town, especially while simultaneously claiming that my plan is too dangerous.  Whether or not he's scum with Kefit, I'm pegging Kiro as  likely scum with a path to the endgame mapped out.  Given a choice, I'd like to clean up the loose ends before dealing with him, but I should state for the record that if Kiro were to take on any of the unchallenged players right now, I'd be voting for his opponent.

This is further decent but...I don't like the reasoning. You are giving Kiro a Burden of Proficiency here. He's a good player, but he's human. People make mistakes.

That said I still think he's likely to be scum, I just don't want to take that avenue to proving it.

##Vote Kefit

I think this move was pretty obvious.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 18, 2010, 04:44:32 PM
Posting from school, so I don't have much time to say stuff.

I've already said my piece on Ciato so...
##Vote Kefit

Granted I really, really dislike that Kefit volenteered himself to be on the "winning" side.  I still dislike anyone that says quick challgenges are okay and anyone that wants to be on the winning end of a duel because both those things seem to favor scum in this set-up.  I agree with Serp's analysis on Kefit's proposition.  The only good scum are dead scum imo.

I still have a gut town read on Bardiche.  Kiro hasn't looked scummy to me either.  I'll do a reread of the game later to see if I'm missing something.  Really I think I just need to reread the game again.  I'll put up a scum list after I do.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 18, 2010, 05:10:34 PM
##Vote Keft

Really all that can be said about Ciato has been said.

Kefit may look somewhat shady, but if you think about it: someone has to volunteer to kill who we think is scum. So... it's not the best to say someone is scummy for doing so as we'd never get anywhere that way.

Of course if Ciato flips town, then Kefit will surely be scummy but otherwise it wouldn't seem to be the case.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 18, 2010, 05:10:59 PM
Holy shit I can't spell.
##Kefit

>>;
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Chaore on February 18, 2010, 05:22:44 PM
##Vote: Kefit

Obvious move.

We'll get whatever we do happen to get from this duel. As far as it comes to Kefit, there isn't much of a reason to nitpick him when it really does kind of come down to a flip.

I do have to wonder why the hell you're nitpicking Kefit to damn Kiro though, Serp. I mean. What? That is the same as pointing Bard's flaws out and then accusing me. That just seems like you're looking for a bad point instead of NOTICING a bad point. As if huhrm, Kiro is already scum to you?

Especially given the fact the point is easily missable and SEVERAL OTHER PLAYERS MISSED IT. Including Alex, Jam, UK, and Bard. And I probably missed a few players too. This could be nit picking for Kefit, sure, but for KIRO? What the hell, Serp?

Ninja: Oh. Hey kitten.

I've tried typing but I can simply say I -don't get you-. Its like you refuse to believe anyone could have an opposite viewpoint. It makes my head HURT how close minded you are being.

Please answer why I can not dare disagree with you without a 12 page essay why. Then I can make my call on if you're just being stupid of scummy.

Ninja 2: Oh hello other kitten.

Ninja 3: And lo jam.

Have I seriously spent an hour trying to comprehend Kitten 1? I need to lie down. Or take a shower.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 05:24:24 PM
Quote
I've tried typing but I can simply say I -don't get you-. Its like you refuse to believe anyone could have an opposite viewpoint. It makes my head HURT how close minded you are being.

Please answer why I can not dare disagree with you without a 12 page essay why. Then I can make my call on if you're just being stupid of scummy.

You don't need a 12 page essay. But you DO need to support your statements. Which you have not done yet. I'm not asking for a lot. See what I asked of Kiro. It's not that hard, especially since I link most of Kiro's posts anyway.

Why are you trying to avoid a simple question?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 18, 2010, 05:27:23 PM
Sweet Jesus words words words I'm totally lost

Want a vote count before I put a vote on Kefit. Don't want to cut discussion sho- actually, I sort of do if it's just gonna be indeceipherable walls. T_T
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Edible on February 18, 2010, 05:38:05 PM
Uh.

Day 3 Challenge - Kefit vs Ciato
Kefit (7) - El Cid, Kiro, Serpentarius, UncertainKitten, Kitten4u, Jam-Kiske, Chaore

Cudgel, make no noise. <_<
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Edible on February 18, 2010, 05:49:02 PM
Ciato, playing Sugiura Midori, Adventurer Archaeologist, was forced to meet with the slimy tentacle business ends of a gigantic squid.  Makimakimakimakimaki...

It is now the Dawn of Day 4.  I don't think anyone was expecting the vote period of the day to last less than 12 hours, so I may start Day 4 early before Carthrat gets here.  Feel free to discuss whatever as long as it isn't event within the game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 07:28:11 PM
Well, that was fast.

ps Tentacle monsters are really more a Yukino thing.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Edible on February 18, 2010, 07:48:54 PM
Well, that was fast.

ps Tentacle monsters are really more a Yukino thing.

Go watch ep 6 of Otome.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 08:03:56 PM
Hey now, we are dealing with Shiho Munakata. Not Shiho Huit. Very different people, I assure you!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Edible on February 18, 2010, 08:09:12 PM
Psh, the only difference between the two is one's probably gay.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 3)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 08:42:01 PM
Waitwat.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Carthrat on February 18, 2010, 08:59:53 PM

the soul still burns in

1. Kazahana Mashiro is bardiche, who should've been midori *
2. Minagi Mikoto kitten4u likes cats can you tell
4. Kikukawa Yukino alice has a thing for tentacles
6. Higurashi Akane chaos will probably die first
7. Yuuki Nao kiro climbed up the water spout
8. Himeno Fumi serpentarius is a teacatching fiend
9. Okuzaki Akira roukanken epitomizes gender identification issues
10. Munakata Shiho kefit can strangle you with her hair
11. Fujino Shizuru uncertainkitten hates old people with passion
12. Alyssa Searrs jam-kiske's ion cannon is ready
15. Harada Chie cid couldn't wait for fatal frame mafia
16. Miyu Grear siralex was forced out the coolant tank

all sparkly now

13. Sanada Yukariko (pesco) was defeated by Kazahana Mashiro (bardiche) in The Battle of the Unexpected Motorist
14. Senou Aoi (kilga) was defeated by Miyu Grear (siralex) and Sugiura Midori(ciato) in The Battle of the Misplaced Bullet!
14. Kuga Natsuki (eviltom) was defeated by Miyu Grear (siralex) and Sugiura Midori(ciato) in The Battle of the Misplaced Bullet!
5. Sugiura Midori (ciato) was defeated by Munakata Shiho (kefit) in The Battle of the Unfortunate Crush!


It is Round 4! The Hime Star is bloated and foul! Today, it is a POLICE CRACKDOWN! All players who have won a duel are under investigation by incompetent policemen and may not participate in duels today! They cannot challenge, nor be challenged! These players are Ranmilia, Bardiche, and Kefit!

You have 24 hours to select who dukes it out in the backstreets.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 18, 2010, 09:02:28 PM
I am an idiot. That is all.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 09:12:58 PM
Incompetent policemen? I will not stand for incompetent policemen on my campus!

Someone, please remove these people!

Question, Carthrat! If the aforementioned power to turn the Day's proceedings into a regular Mafia Day is employed, are Kefit, Alex and I eligible targets for Hammer or do we acquire Hammer immunity through some bizarre turn of events?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 18, 2010, 09:14:45 PM
Might it be a good idea to turn the day into a regular game and lynch one of those 3 as they were kind of being targeted anyway or should be just look at everyone else to find who may be scummy?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 18, 2010, 09:15:22 PM
First option of course assumes it would work out that we'd be able to lynch them if we turned the game to regular mafia...
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 09:27:46 PM
Yay! I'm 2 for 5!

Unfortunately the two I got right were so blatantly fucking obvious I really can't take credit for that.

So I can't have Bard today? Can we kill CHAOS now? Or should we go with Jam's plan and lynch one of the three that can't be challenged?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 18, 2010, 09:31:20 PM
Question, Carthrat! If the aforementioned power to turn the Day's proceedings into a regular Mafia Day is employed, are Kefit, Alex and I eligible targets for Hammer or do we acquire Hammer immunity through some bizarre turn of events?

Today's ability prevents you three from challenging or being challenged.  Nothing else.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kefit on February 18, 2010, 09:54:07 PM
So far so good. Unfortunately I can't even offer the Alex vs Bard proposal I planned for today in the case of a Ciato scum flip, but on the bright side that can always wait for another day. Guess it's time for some scum huntin'. Hopefully I (or someone else) will prove more effective at it than Bard has been.

By the way, I didn't mean that we should never kill neutralized scum. Rather, getting rid of them isn't an immediate priority until the number of players shrinks down a bit. At this point we've killed two of the scum and are sitting at 12 players total, so we've got a nice cushion to work with if we assume that the game started with six or less scum. A Ciato town flip would have left the town with the same amount of "safe" time if we started with five or less scum.

I should be back with some actual scum hunting shenanigans later tonight. For now I'll say that, based on responses to my actions last night, I've got a gut suspicion on Kiro, UK, and Serp.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 18, 2010, 10:00:58 PM
Might it be a good idea to turn the day into a regular game and lynch one of those 3 as they were kind of being targeted anyway or should be just look at everyone else to find who may be scummy?

I'm curious as to why you include Kefit in this list. Bard/Alex were in matches where a townie died, sure, but Kefit killed scum. Do you have previous misgivings about him that I haven't noticed, or...? I dunno. The only reason I could see is thinking he jumped into a situation where scum was obviously going to get killed anyway (Ciato was agreed on near universally as the lynch target) in order to gain townie cred. The possibility of that is something I acknowledge, but really not enough to consider killing him in the near future.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 18, 2010, 10:22:48 PM
Right, so if you really, but then you must really want to pit Alex against me.

Here's my proposal:

Use the power to turn this into a regular Mafia Day and have either Alex hammer me or me hammer Alex. That way one of us wins the 'duel', all you need to do is vote for who you want to die.

I'm strongly against that proposal because it is a waste of time. I don't think Alex is scum at this juncture and think it is rather silly of Kefit to say, on day 3, "Hey it's time for some scumhunting!", add an underhanded jab at me which is kind of to me "HEY GUYS ONLY BARD WAS SCUMHUNTING UP TILL NOW".

I'm going to do a re-read to gauge the accuracy of the above representation of how I read Kefit's latest communique and I pray to all heavens that I haven't been the only one scumhunting so far.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 18, 2010, 11:30:04 PM
I'd suggest we hold off on using K4U's power until we hit a day with obviously horrendous conditions. I don't think today counts because the people who've won matches don't really look that bad to me, certainly not enough to spend a limited charge power role just for the sake of getting them out of the way one day earlier. Alex in particular seems fairly pointless to pursue since him being scum would leave us with no conceivable reason for Tom to have behaved as rashly as he did. Scum didn't need to have three team members in that match; Ciato was enough to get them a kill out of it.

I'd again suggest Chaos as an option for today. Kiro is still acceptable as town champion (also still willing to be the challenger myself, of course).
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 18, 2010, 11:32:47 PM
Okay, I'm still lost.

Welp, I'd request that someone challenges Serp. I'm sorry, I really don't like the way he tried to validate Alex vs. Scum!Ciato. His claim that 'people we think are Town are likely scum' reeks of stupid WIFOM.
Quote
If Kilga thought that it was a good idea, and he was town, I don't see how my holding to that idea could possibly look scummy, even if you don't agree with it.
This is what we call 'regurgitating a case'. You're basically saying 'the dead guy said it, he can't be wrong because he's Town, and therefore I can't be wrong!'
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 18, 2010, 11:42:49 PM
Quote
I'd again suggest Chaos as an option for today. Kiro is still acceptable as town champion (also still willing to be the challenger myself, of course).

When did you do that? Or was it yesterday? Only person I've noticed advocating the CHAOS dying today is me.

And seriously, do I have to get into "Why the fuck do you think Kiro is town" discussion again?

Quote
Welp, I'd request that someone challenges Serp. I'm sorry, I really don't like the way he tried to validate Alex vs. Scum!Ciato. His claim that 'people we think are Town are likely scum' reeks of stupid WIFOM.

Where did he explicitly say it like that? It feels like misrep.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 12:08:48 AM
If I'm going to go down per town opinion, I'd prefer Ciato do it so you guys get some info on his claim. Which I'd hope you guys not mess the hell up on. In fact, there is absolutely no reason for Ciato to NOT be the challenger. If he is scum, this nabs us third scum down. If he is not, we get this magical power of his, which should probably nab third scum. If I am scum, then we get the third scum down anyway.

So. ##Fakevote: Ciato v. Chaos.

Any good objections to this?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:10:30 AM
Quote
Any good objections to this?

Besides Ciato being dead flipped scum ^-^?

Quote
If I'm going to go down per town opinion, I'd prefer Ciato do it so you guys get some info on his claim. Which I'd hope you guys not mess the hell up on. In fact, there is absolutely no reason for Ciato to NOT be the challenger. If he is scum, this nabs us third scum down. If he is not, we get this magical power of his, which should probably nab third scum. If I am scum, then we get the third scum down anyway.

I don't get the first part? If he is scum and you are town you just gave scum a head. Though I doubt you're town

that said...I could support a

##Fakevote El Cideon vs. CHAOS
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 12:11:05 AM
Where did he explicitly say it like that? It feels like misrep.
Quote
Well, as I mentioned before, Tom's strategy made less sense for a townie than for scum, but it still makes so little sense as scum that I wouldn't be at all surprised if it were a total red herring to have us pick more (potentially scum) outside players to off you and Ciato.
Quoted from here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg256882#msg256882).

Chaore: Besides, uh...the fact that Ciato is already dead? >_>
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 12:12:25 AM
...Cideon. I am an idiot. again. My bad.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:14:06 AM
Um...Rou, that doesn't say that at all. What that says is people we pick as town are potentially scum. Not probably scum.

lrn2read

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:15:12 AM
EBWOP: I will, however, grant that it was kinda retarded to point that since it's, yanno, kinda implicit.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 12:16:47 AM
I don't get the first part? If he is scum and you are town you just gave scum a head. Though I doubt you're town

Well. Yes, but Cideon will have his cover rather heavily blown. It is still exposing a scum, and while at a fairly bad cost, more than enough.

Care to wager your life on that doubt, Kitten? It'd be nice to take two scum out with one life.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:20:20 AM
Quote
Care to wager your life on that doubt, Kitten? It'd be nice to take two scum out with one life.

What doubt? I'm fully willing to challenge you if town agrees to it. I have my list of 5 names. I am willing to back those up.

Quote
Well. Yes, but Cideon will have his cover rather heavily blown. It is still exposing a scum, and while at a fairly bad cost, more than enough.

How so? I really don't understand what in the nine hells you are proposing.

Um...you do realize scum could have a role that gains a charge.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 12:27:18 AM
Um...Rou, that doesn't say that at all. What that says is people we pick as town are potentially scum. Not probably scum.
No, he's saying 'I think scum have placed a Townie-looking scum in our ranks, thus we can't trust the people we think are Town.' We obviously won't challenge them with the people
we DON'T trust since we're afraid of giving away a kill to scum if we're wrong.
Doubly frustrating was that Serp decided not to bother responding to any accusations against him and just said 'Kilga proposed it, it MUST be Townie!'

lern2readbetweentehlynz

Chaore: O...kay. I'm not sure how you think getting killed by scum is in ANY way pro-Town. Really really don't like your reasoning, or your hastiness to say 'Gee, it'd be great to fight Cid and prove he's scu- OH HEY UK YOU DON'T AGREE WITH ME I'LL FIGHT YOU OVER IT'.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:31:34 AM
Quote
No, he's saying 'I think scum have placed a Townie-looking scum in our ranks, thus we can't trust the people we think are Town.' We obviously won't challenge them with the people

I...uh...really don't see this at all. I do see his warning as superfluous, and that post bugged me, but I'm really disliking how you insist he was claiming that townie people are probably scum.



Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 12:34:58 AM
I...uh...really don't see this at all. I do see his warning as superfluous, and that post bugged me, but I'm really disliking how you insist he was claiming that townie people are probably scum.
Y'know, if we ever agreed on something we'd be an obvious scumpair.

Still, my point stands in that he wanted us to choose the people we suspected to be scum to be executioners ahead of people we believed to be Town. Which, by definition, means we're more likely to give a head to scum in the event of a mislynch. Can you argue with that slightly less hysterical version?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:37:25 AM
Who tends to be right more often, Rou?

Now, granted, I'm still pretty piss poor at being right, but I have a slightly better success rate than you do!

Quote
Still, my point stands in that he wanted us to choose the people we suspected to be scum to be executioners ahead of people we believed to be Town. Which, by definition, means we're more likely to give a head to scum in the event of a mislynch. Can you argue with that slightly less hysterical version?

Um...actually, we WANT scum vs. scum. It comes with the risk that we do give a head to scum, but we want to force scum to execute scum. It's optimal since scum get no heads from killing their own, whereas Serp was completely right that if we go for town vs. scum, we have a probability of being wrong about a townie looking scum.

Honestly, both approaches have their pitfalls. I'm more in favor of scum vs. scum, but as I said, I'm willing to back up my suspicions with challenges if town asks it of me.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 12:44:54 AM
What doubt? I'm fully willing to challenge you if town agrees to it. I have my list of 5 names. I am willing to back those up.

Heavens no. I come up town, you die. Nothing else, I'm not about to let you have a kill now, am I?

How so? I really don't understand what in the nine hells you are proposing.

Um...you do realize scum could have a role that gains a charge.

I don't see what is so hard to understand. If ScumCid has no power and like a fool, I've given scum a kill, you will know immediately. If ScumCid has a power and uses it, he is STILL in public view from my death and will have to put something up. He will not be able to as scum.

Cid could also be town, and we don't lose a head to scum. Either option can happen.

Both options end up actually revealing a scum, I'd imagine. If my death is certain, then I'd really rather some good come out of it.

Ninjarou:

Well no. But, I'm 'scum' anyway, so whats the chance of scum getting a head from me?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:47:35 AM
Quote
Heavens no. I come up town, you die. Nothing else, I'm not about to let you have a kill now, am I?

That's the most fucking retarded thing you have ever suggested.

That said if someone I think is town administers my death on the incredible off chance CHAOS is town, sure, I'll go with that.

That said, this is still the most fucking retarded thing I've ever seen Cha. I'm sure I don't need to remind you last game about how people can, you know, actually be WRONG while being town.

Quote
I don't see what is so hard to understand. If ScumCid has no power and like a fool, I've given scum a kill, you will know immediately. If ScumCid has a power and uses it, he is STILL in public view from my death and will have to put something up. He will not be able to as scum.

And there's the logic fail. How do you know scum don't have a role that could look town? Hell, I play with role meta all the time in my games.

Quote
Well no. But, I'm 'scum' anyway, so whats the chance of scum getting a head from me?

That was more general theory, not this specific case. Cid's not on my list, so I think him town.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 19, 2010, 12:48:10 AM
Cid's speaking sense.  Kefit killed scum.  Whether he's scum or not, that means that he's not bagged a head.  In fact, from a numbers standpoint, Kilga's head was claimed by Ciato, so whether or not Alex is scum, he hasn't claimed a head either.  The only living player who might have claimed a head right now is Bardiche.  That means that scum either has one or two heads bagged right now.

I actually think that it might be best to conserve K4u's power.  The next HiME Star condition might be something worse than this, and since the only way to recharge her power is to hand her a head, which is dangerous if she's scum, I'd rather keep her alive and at equilibrium unless some evidence of her scumminess pops up and prompts us to off her.

It occurs to me that as long as the total number of theoretical possible heads claimed by scum is kept below scum's victory condition, having more than one loose end out there isn't dangerous, and actually might prove useful as fodder for voting analysis.  Three loose ends should be our upper limit - even if three living scum have claimed heads, then as long as we match them up against each other (or kill them off sequentially, as it's unlikely that they'd challenge each other willingly), we should be able to get their flips and confirm the number of heads claimed without giving scum a chance to achieve their victory condition.  The only way they could win is by achieving a majority in LyLo, and even then only if they compose a number of the loose ends at the time of achieving majority.

So, my proposed immediate course of action is this:  Next two kills should be between untested combatants.  If both kills are town, then the fight afterwards should be between two of the three loose ends.  Then alternate between a fight of two untested combatants and a fight between tested combatants until a scumflip gives you more information.

I want to emphasize this:  None of this strategy is dependent upon my personal alignment, and it only very loosely restricts the town's pool of actions.  If this plan is followed, using K4u's ability to neutralize the HiME Star if need be, then it is mathematically impossible for scum to win except by remaining uncaught into LyLo, while it still provides ample opportunity to catch scum before then.

Cut:

Quote from: Rou
Still, my point stands in that he wanted us to choose the people we suspected to be scum to be executioners ahead of people we believed to be Town. Which, by definition, means we're more likely to give a head to scum in the event of a mislynch. Can you argue with that slightly less hysterical version?

Scum need at most four more heads to win.  Suppose that two people we consider to be town are actually scum.  If they both claim heads, and they both survive through LyLo, then scum wins.  Is it ever a smart move in vanilla mafia to say "I'm so certain that these two people are town that I'm willing to wager the game on it"?  We do it in LyLo because we have to.  Your proposal is essentially to put the game into LyLo a few days early.

Now, enough of the Day 4 setup speculation, onto the scumhunting:

Quote from: Rou
Welp, I'd request that someone challenges Serp. I'm sorry, I really don't like the way he tried to validate Alex vs. Scum!Ciato. His claim that 'people we think are Town are likely scum' reeks of stupid WIFOM.

See:

Quote from: Serp
"But the players who you think are town may be scum" has absolutely nothing to do with WIFOM and that you say otherwise means you're grasping for buzzwords.

I shouldn't need to defend the premise that trusting the fate of the game to the alignment of a few other players is something that should be avoided when possible.

Quote from: Rou
This is what we call 'regurgitating a case'. You're basically saying 'the dead guy said it, he can't be wrong because he's Town, and therefore I can't be wrong!'

See:

Quote from: Serp
I wasn't pointing to Kilga's endorsement as a sign that we should take that strategy.  I was directly responding to UK's accusation that holding to that strategy looked scummy.  If Kilga thought that it was a good idea, and he was town, I don't see how my holding to that idea could possibly look scummy, even if you don't agree with it.

Quote from: UncertainKitten
This is further decent but...I don't like the reasoning. You are giving Kiro a Burden of Proficiency here. He's a good player, but he's human. People make mistakes.

If it were just a burden of proficiency, that'd be a meta tell in itself, but what I'm pointing out here is the inconsistency.  He looks at my plan, which is objectively pretty damn solid, and completely waves it off.  Then Kefit shows up, says "Hey guys, I have a foolproof plan for you to follow, it guarantees a town win (except that it actually doesn't) and also requires you to to let me get a kill and then coast 'till endgame (which, despite your revision today, Kefit, it looked pretty clear that that was what you were asking for)."  And Kiro looks at that plan and says "Yup, that sounds fine to me!"  I don't see how a townie could object so vehemently to my plan and then accept Kefit's so readily.  It has to be scum seeing one plan that sinks scum's chances of winning, and then seeing another plan that doesn't hinder scum at all.  That's the only way it makes sense to me.

Some speculation on scum motive and actions:

Tom's challenge against Alex and Ciato was either a move made in panic, or a move calculated to look like panic.  If it was the former, then he probably picked one town and one scum to fight him in order to make sure that scum would at least claim one head.  If it was the latter, then he may well have picked two scum to go against him knowing that once two of the three of them had died, the third would look very good.  Players are more likely to panic when things are going bad for their faction.  If Bardiche is scum, then he had claimed a head for scum D1, and Tom would be less likely to panic.

So, I'm going to say that if Bardiche is town, then we can probably take Tom's action at face value and say that Alex is town as well.  If Bardiche is scum, then Tom was probably faking it, and Alex might well be the beneficiary of two scumbuddies' gambit to ensure his survival into LyLo.  This also reflects somewhat on the state of the game, as Tom's action being a calculated one would imply that scum have things well in-hand and we should be looking at those who are commanding discussion and setting the lead for the townies to follow (most especially Kefit), while Tom's action being a panicky one implies that scum have lost control and we should be looking at the players who have been contributing less to the town's actions.  It's not a sure thing, but Bardiche's flip could give us a lot of insight into how scum have likely been playing.  We should probably get it before too long.

As for who should fight today, I've been getting townie feel from Cid and scummy feel from Kiro, so I'm going to nominate that matchup.

FakeVote:  Kiro versus Cid

I'm going to lean towards lynching the noisier players rather than the quiet ones right now, since I'm a pessimist and want to prepare for the possibility that scum are trying to lead us around by the nose.  I find Cid versus Chaore to be an alright second option, though.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:56:26 AM
Quote

As for who should fight today, I've been getting townie feel from Cid and scummy feel from Kiro, so I'm going to nominate that matchup.

Rest of your post seems fine except for this. What happened to the idea that setting up scum v. scum matches is ideal that I thought you were proposing earlier? I only support Cid vs. CHAOS because I want to test his role. Otherwise, I'd want Kiro vs. CHAOS.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 19, 2010, 12:57:52 AM
I'm town, I told you. My flip will just repeat what I've been saying the entire game. I'm seriously not fond of this entire subliminal LET'S KILL BARD message being spread here.

It's one thing if it's because BARD IS SCUMMY! it's another if it's HEY GUYS LET'S LYNCH BARD AND SEE WHAT HAPPEN.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 12:58:49 AM
Bard...are you going to actually produce content or just insist you are town?

Seriously, that last post reeks of "Lay off me! I'm scum but I almost am out of scrutiny! Please stop bringing me up!"
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 01:05:34 AM
That's the most fucking retarded thing you have ever suggested.

I try. Thanks.

That said if someone I think is town administers my death on the incredible off chance CHAOS is town, sure, I'll go with that.

That said, this is still the most fucking retarded thing I've ever seen Cha. I'm sure I don't need to remind you last game about how people can, you know, actually be WRONG while being town.

Excellent! Two scum down with one life then.

Of course not, but I'd like to assume they can be right as well.

And there's the logic fail. How do you know scum don't have a role that could look town? Hell, I play with role meta all the time in my games.

I'm not sure what you're at. Do you mean a role that will flip town when lynched? If so, it is an interesting thought. If you mean a strictly neutral seeming power, than Scum has no reason to block it like Cid has been suggesting, and it will certainly not be worth a zero charge starting.

If ScumCid intends to live after his power is used, it very much has to be EXACTLY as he suggested it to be. He has suggested it is very very town-oriented and sheer mechanics suggest it has to be useful. If he can not visibly deliver this, he has been lying and is very clearly scum.

You can not in this situation, REASONABLY fake a townie role as scum. If you guys let him however, that is basically town incompetence I can't make excuses for. Do you not trust yourselves THAT much?

I'm seriously not fond of this entire subliminal LET'S KILL BARD message being spread here.

Okay.
lynchbardlynchbardlynchbard
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 19, 2010, 01:09:30 AM
Rest of your post seems fine except for this. What happened to the idea that setting up scum v. scum matches is ideal that I thought you were proposing earlier? I only support Cid vs. CHAOS because I want to test his role. Otherwise, I'd want Kiro vs. CHAOS.

I find it rather likely that Kiro is scum, and somewhat likely that Chaore is scum, but I find it very unlikely that they're scum together.  And I don't want to give Kiro a kill when he's likely to find a way to slide around getting wrapped up as a loose end himself.  Either scum is leading around the town (look at Alex, Bardiche, Kiro, Kefit), or scum is genuinely being steamrolled (look at Chaore, maybe Rou, plus quiet people).  If there were a mix, then I wouldn't expect things to look so clear-cut.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 01:10:58 AM
Quote
Excellent! Two scum down with one life then.

Of course not, but I'd like to assume they can be right as well.

I'm 2 out of 5 right now. I'm pretty sure you'll make that three.

Oh, by the way, case pl0x? I don't recall you EVER telling me why I'm scummy, CHAOS. You know, you DO have to support your accusations.

Course, I know how hard that is when you're scum. Sucks, eh?

Quote
I'm not sure what you're at. Do you mean a role that will flip town when lynched? If so, it is an interesting thought. If you mean a strictly neutral seeming power, than Scum has no reason to block it like Cid has been suggesting, and it will certainly not be worth a zero charge starting.

Huh? I think we missed a step here. Where is Cid going to fip?

Quote
If ScumCid intends to live after his power is used, it very much has to be EXACTLY as he suggested it to be. He has suggested it is very very town-oriented and sheer mechanics suggest it has to be useful. If he can not visibly deliver this, he has been lying and is very clearly scum.

Ok, I understand this. But you do realize there aren't a lot of STRICTLY pro-town power roles? I could come up with a way to stick them on a scum role if I had to.

Quote

You can not in this situation, REASONABLY fake a townie role as scum. If you guys let him however, that is basically town incompetence I can't make excuses for. Do you not trust yourselves THAT much?

You're still alive despite being a useless lump on a log. I'm not sure how much I really trust us at all.

I find it rather likely that Kiro is scum, and somewhat likely that Chaore is scum, but I find it very unlikely that they're scum together.  And I don't want to give Kiro a kill when he's likely to find a way to slide around getting wrapped up as a loose end himself.  Either scum is leading around the town (look at Alex, Bardiche, Kiro, Kefit), or scum is genuinely being steamrolled (look at Chaore, maybe Rou, plus quiet people).  If there were a mix, then I wouldn't expect things to look so clear-cut.

May I please ask why CHAOS and Kiro can't be scum together? Or is the "loud scum/quiet scum" theory your justification?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 19, 2010, 01:30:53 AM
May I please ask why CHAOS and Kiro can't be scum together? Or is the "loud scum/quiet scum" theory your justification?

Well, I'm not saying that they can't be scum together so much as I'm saying that a scumflip from one would make me consider the other likelier to be town.  I don't want to bank on it in any case.  The deciding factor here is that most of the town seems to be considering Kiro the townie champion, not one scum among two scummy people.  I don't want to see him bag a head and then cruise to LyLo.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 01:38:20 AM
Ok, what I don't get is how you are linking them. Is there a logic here I'm missing?

As for the second part about everyone finding Kiro town, yes, that bothers me greatly.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 19, 2010, 01:42:10 AM
Bard...are you going to actually produce content or just insist you are town?

Seriously, that last post reeks of "Lay off me! I'm scum but I almost am out of scrutiny! Please stop bringing me up!"

Or maybe I just want to say that this entire LET'S HAPHAZARDLY KILL PEOPLE FOR STUPID REASONS RATHER THAN HUNT SCUM AND GET THEM KILLED is stupid business, a waste of time and we should focus our efforts elsewhere.

I've no reads on nearly anyone here. Everyone's still caught up in the same bloody nonsense over "how do we strategically shot web" instead of "okay, who's scummy and who isn't?"

Who am I to interrupt your serious attempts at devising strategy with actual hunting for scum and trying to see who is just being a liar? No sirrah, not I.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 01:44:02 AM
Quote
I've no reads on nearly anyone here. Everyone's still caught up in the same bloody nonsense over "how do we strategically shot web" instead of "okay, who's scummy and who isn't?"

Everyone? I think I've been scumhunting and quite frankly been paying little attention to strategy plans except to be irritated at them.

What scumhunting have you provided, Bardiche? Outside of...whatever you were trying to do D1?

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 19, 2010, 01:50:13 AM
I make no excuse, I've done nothing of the sort. I pitched in on these strategic meetings every now and again whenever I felt it was pertinent to let myself be heard lest I be accused of lurking and there'd be yet another reason for "Let's kill Bard".

But so far many of these strategic meetings talk about how killing me can only be profitable regardless of my alignment. Do excuse me if I feel ill-motivated to provide any semblance of support if the reigning talk of the day remains, "How can we strategically kill that-and-that person and look what benefits we get if we kill so-and-so".

If you think I'm scum, get on with it and then thumb-twiddle as you try to reconcile scum's current actions in the knowledge that Pesco VS Bard was a scum-supported Town VS Town spat.

>_> You all do realise Tom was supportive of it and urged it on right? Right.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 19, 2010, 02:03:44 AM
Ok, what I don't get is how you are linking them. Is there a logic here I'm missing?

It's a pretty weak link, I admit.  It basically boils down to the motives behind Tom's action.  Either he had a weak team and was panicking, or he had a strong team and was feigning panic to earn towncred for his buddies so they could could make it high and dry into LyLo.  See Chaore's sacrifice in the recently concluded RKS Mafia for how that works out.

Let me put it this way, UK:  Suppose that you were on a scumteam with Chaore and other newbie players like him.  Would you commit suicide to earn them towncred and hope that they survive through LyLo, or would you want to stay in the game to lead them yourself?  Now, suppose that you're on a team with Kiro and other experienced players like him.  Wouldn't you be more willing to sacrifice yourself in a gambit to pave the way for them?  I don't know Tom, but I get the impression from Carthrat's invitation of him from the other forum that he's a skilled player.

Hm.  I realize that this says nothing about what he might have done with a team of mixed experienced and newbie players.  I'm probably already stretching too far with the evidence we have, here, but I'm thinking that Tom would be less likely to follow either course of drastic action with a mixed team.  He'd probably be more likely to just try and take on the accusation traditionally.  In any case, my argument against letting Kiro have a win when the several players seem to advocate letting him live indefinitely still stands.

Quote from: Bardiche
Or maybe I just want to say that this entire LET'S HAPHAZARDLY KILL PEOPLE FOR STUPID REASONS RATHER THAN HUNT SCUM AND GET THEM KILLED is stupid business, a waste of time and we should focus our efforts elsewhere.

I see you trying to prompt the town into losing all sight of stopping scum's win condition and blundering into an early LyLo.  I also see you trying to goad K4u into burning her ability to kill you now when both would probably be better done later.  Looks scummy to me.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 02:07:52 AM
Quote
If you think I'm scum, get on with it and then thumb-twiddle as you try to reconcile scum's current actions in the knowledge that Pesco VS Bard was a scum-supported Town VS Town spat.

>_> You all do realise Tom was supportive of it and urged it on right? Right.

Um...we don't know it's town v. town.

Dear God did Karma contact you Bard? I feel like I'm being made to pay for my behavior last game reiterating I was town in every post. That really does get annoying.

At any rate, I think several people are scum. I can't kill all of them at once, sadly. In fact, I have to work hard to TRY to convince the town that people I think are scum are actually scum. So far I'm kinda failing that that.

So, I'd advise you use your repreive today to actually form suspicions. Step back, read the game, and give a scum list.

Quote
It's a pretty weak link, I admit.  It basically boils down to the motives behind Tom's action.  Either he had a weak team and was panicking, or he had a strong team and was feigning panic to earn towncred for his buddies so they could could make it high and dry into LyLo.  See Chaore's sacrifice in the recently concluded RKS Mafia for how that works out.

This feels wrong. Like a false dichotomy of sorts. He COULD have a mixed team possibly...

Quote
Let me put it this way, UK:  Suppose that you were on a scumteam with Chaore and other newbie players like him.  Would you commit suicide to earn them towncred and hope that they survive through LyLo, or would you want to stay in the game to lead them yourself?  Now, suppose that you're on a team with Kiro and other experienced players like him.  Wouldn't you be more willing to sacrifice yourself in a gambit to pave the way for them?  I don't know Tom, but I get the impression from Carthrat's invitation of him from the other forum that he's a skilled player.

I'd bus the living fuck out of my partners in both cases if they were acting scummy enough to justify it. You should know this.

As for Tom being a skilled player, I'm not sure I buy that. He's not a village idiot, but he's not impossible to read as scum. We screwed up RKS mafia because we compromised too much. Note that throughout the game many people accused Tom of being scum. Then again, I guess that's skill in it's own right. Either way, I don't see how a mixed team is impossible.

Oh...hey, next paragraph hits on that.

Quote
Hm.  I realize that this says nothing about what he might have done with a team of mixed experienced and newbie players.  I'm probably already stretching too far with the evidence we have, here, but I'm thinking that Tom would be less likely to follow either course of drastic action with a mixed team.  He'd probably be more likely to just try and take on the accusation traditionally.  In any case, my argument against letting Kiro have a win when the several players seem to advocate letting him live indefinitely still stands.

I see this, but I think Tom would be willing to do the insanity with a mixed team. IIRC, Ciato didn't seem to be that great.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 19, 2010, 04:09:38 AM
Usernames that have recently been changed in the interest of memes have been changed back. At least one player still alive has expressed confusion due to all the changing names.

You can resume being a Sikieiki or a Bemani song after the game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 04:10:18 AM
Usernames that have recently been changed in the interest of memes have been changed back. At least one player still alive has expressed confusion due to all the changing names.

You can resume being a Sikieiki or a Bemani song after the game.

Fair enough. I already got IP and am in challenge mode, so it's not as important.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 19, 2010, 04:12:01 AM
- You guys are going in circles and really should stop and cut to important matters.

- Killing winners just because they've won duels (vs town or silly 2v2 mixed crowds) is stupid.  Rat is not a bad mod and we are not going to be able to game the setup for numbers.  This day's condition is a very obvious "break town out of trying to mindlessly kill winners" move on Rat's part.  So listen to it.  Stop trying to crunch numbers for theoretical endgames that may or may not be valid IF no mysterious roles or conditions interfere, because they will.  Find scum and kill scum.

- Using Kitten's power today would be extremely stupid.  Bard, Kefit and myself aren't going anywhere.  There are no nightkills, and we certainly aren't anywhere close to scum outnumbering town.  Even if people were 100% convinced one or more of us was scum, there's no reason to blow power roles in a rush to kill us right now.  Factor in that I don't think any of the three of us are scum right now, and saying she should do so is in fact considerably scummy.

- Kiro seems to have vanished and I don't like it.  His posts were sparse before and then died off altogether since yesterday.  He mentioned being on some sort of trip, but we've not gotten so much as a "Hi I'm still alive" post overnight.  I liked him as town by default since he didn't hype anything too silly but as time continues to pass with a distinct lack of posts from him...  I don't think I support him duelling today. 

- I think I am okay with allowing Cid to take a head today.  His opponent... UK, Serp, Chao, Jam, Rou, roughly in that order of preference, sorted by how much ridiculousness they have been saying.   I don't support K4U fighting right now, much less dying.  Did I forget anyone who is still alive?  *checks*  Alice.  Alice is playing.  Alice you never post in any game.  You need to post. 


Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 04:14:11 AM
Hi Alex. Can you explain why what I'm saying is ridiculous? Or do you just like claiming things out of the blue and hoping people follow them?

Sorry, I'm sick of people accusing me of being scum without backing anything up with a case. It'd be nice to know what I stand accused of and why.

Honestly, your sorting algorithm of scumminess makes me quite dubious about your alignment, Alex. You know, the fact that instead of actually looking for scumtells, you are assessing people by "the intelligence of what they say"

That's...not scumhunting.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 04:16:42 AM
Wait wait wait.

I'm speaking of throwing myself into a bonfire (Hell a moment away from doing that when you popped in) and UK is more ridiculous than I?

...alex? Yah lost me. :V Whats up with that analysis?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 19, 2010, 04:37:05 AM
First, Chaos, don't refer to UK or myself as kitten.  Seriously, whenever you say stuff to UK I get all confused.  I'm just like "whut, I didn't say that." 

Second, I have come to a conclusion about trying to break the set-up!  It's dumb.  It took me a lot of thinking about all the strategies that people have posted, but I really think it's a complete waste of time and I will probably smack the next person that does it with a stick.  I don't find it scummy, just silly and a waste of time.

Using my ability today seems silly unless we want to kill one of the people that can't challenge/be challenged, so I don't think I'll be using it.

Onto people

##Fakevote someone I think is townish vs Chaos

Yep, he's still suspicious.  What I said D1 and what other people have already said covers why.  I don't really see the need to repeat it.  He could still be scum with Ciato because the attack came out of nowhere and wasn't very strong, so I don't think Ciato's comments about him have any bearing on his alignment.  Is probably not scum if UK is scum.

Still mildly suspicous of UK, but not as much as I was before.  Certain attacks just look like reaching to me (see attack on Alice) and that wall flung around a ton of suspiciouns, enough to make me a wary.  Also has the "quick challenges are okay" mentality that I don't like (though, I suppose I should get clarifacation here, exactly how quick is quick UK?).  Is probably not scum if Chaos is scum.

Midly suspicious of Kefit.  I'm not super impressed with his content and I don't like that he volenteered himself to be on the "winning" side of a duel.

I feel a lot better about El Cid after the reread.  Still really, really dislike that he was volenteering himself to be on the "winning" side.  But he has some good posts, so I'm willing to give his power a shot.  I really do wish he would just claim though since scum doesn't seem to have a NK.  I consider him an acceptable challenger for today.

Rou is being Rou and therefore is probably town.  I think Serp is town too.  Same with Alice.  All are mostly gut reads so I can't really say anything more than that.

My read of Bardiche was definitly colored by my scum read on Pesco.  He doesn't look nearly as good as I thought he did after the reread, but I don't think he's scum.  Him being scum with both Ciato and Tom is just weird imo.

I still think that only one of Ciato and Alex were scum, so that means Alex is probably town.

Everyone else hasn't done anything to make me think they're town or scum.

---

Ugh, I'm starting to succumb to apathy.  Rereading the game and posting this was painful.  Sorry for the wall.

Ninja'd by people.

Please don't refer to me as kitten Alex. :P  We really don't need kitten konfusion around here.  I agree with most everything else he said, though I'm willing to cut Kiro a bit of slack for being on vacation and Alice not posting often is normal for him.  I agree that they do need to post more though.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 04:41:31 AM
Quote
Still mildly suspicous of UK, but not as much as I was before.  Certain attacks just look like reaching to me (see attack on Alice) and that wall flung around a ton of suspiciouns, enough to make me a wary.  Also has the "quick challenges are okay" mentality that I don't like (though, I suppose I should get clarifacation here, exactly how quick is quick UK?).  Is probably not scum if Chaos is scum.

Quick is "Within 20 hours" at this point, since apparently people allow other people to take over the challenge when we start to reach 24 hours and everyone's thumb is up their ass. I do rescind my opinion that a four hour challenge was EVER ok, since people can't seem to see past the two contestants and actually scumhunt.

You obviously haven't been reading my posts. I do create a solid suspicion set of five people, so I'm not "just throwing around accusations everywhere", though I do take notes of everything. Alice actually looks a lot better after my reread, only that one post was bad.

Quote
My read of Bardiche was definitly colored by my scum read on Pesco.  He doesn't look nearly as good as I thought he did after the reread, but I don't think he's scum.  Him being scum with both Ciato and Tom is just weird imo.

Why so? Perhaps I missed something?

And K4U, do you agree with his "scumhunting" methods involving just trying to kill "whoever says the most ridiculous stuff"? Further, do you agree with his list of ridiculousness?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 19, 2010, 04:47:34 AM
UK?  Massive walls of text, which are anti-town and deliberately obfuscating, combined with "scumhunting" which I can't make heads or tails of.  It looks like she's rambling on in her own world making up tons and tons of irrelevant non-content to hide behind, then trying to give herself credit for it by repeating her "Well I'm 2 for 5!" line.  She's not 2 for 5, she's 0 for 0, I've been trying to read her posts but I haven't seen a single coherent case from her. 

That sounds harsh, and it is!  If she is town I'd like to urge her to do better.  Can she summarize her current cases in, say, one to three clear, understandable sentences each?  (For that matter can anyone else do so?)

The 2 for 5 self congratulation is certainly a scummy thing in my book.  Keep in mind that we're looking for members of a team containing Ciato and Tom, who made a break with the team to pull their gambit.  The other members coasting and trying to not get involved and build credit for themselves is something I can very much see.

The other people I listed aren't that much better, though, I'd be fine with Cid > Serp or Chaore as well.

K4U distinction noted.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 19, 2010, 04:50:06 AM
Can she summarize her current cases in, say, one to three clear, understandable sentences each?  (For that matter can anyone else do so?)

I can!

No one has issued a challenge.  You have ~17 hours to do so, before we do it for you.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 04:50:19 AM
Hmm. There's some persistent low-grade weirdness in that big Serp post that bothers me.

I want to emphasize this:  None of this strategy is dependent upon my personal alignment, and it only very loosely restricts the town's pool of actions.

Why does that first disclaimer need to exist. Mostly those last paragraphs trying to read into the mind of team scum that bother me, though. Finding it hard to articulate why, just the net result seems to spending a good deal of time speculating on what-ifs that can't be cleared up without killing people I'm not totally comfortable with killing. Appearance of contributing without saying anything useful or concrete.

~

Mildly unnerved by Chaore's willingness to step in front of a truck, but this isn't as bothersome as him suddenly talking as though his death is bound to reveal scum. Not seeing the logic here and I suspect there isn't any.

Since UK asked where I'd mentioned Chaore previously: reply #364, near the top of page 13.

UK/Alex doubleninja. Sec.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 19, 2010, 04:57:13 AM
Quote from: UK
Quick is "Within 20 hours" at this point, since apparently people allow other people to take over the challenge when we start to reach 24 hours and everyone's thumb is up their ass. I do rescind my opinion that a four hour challenge was EVER ok, since people can't seem to see past the two contestants and actually scumhunt.

Glad I asked then.  I don't fully take back the point because you did agree with it earlier, but it doesn't bug me as much now.

Quote from: UK
You obviously haven't been reading my posts. I do create a solid suspicion set of five people, so I'm not "just throwing around accusations everywhere", though I do take notes of everything. Alice actually looks a lot better after my reread, only that one post was bad.

Mostly just has to do with the way it was said.  It doesn't feel as solid to me as you claim it is.  Certain parts where, yes, but not all of it.

Quote from: UK
Why so? Perhaps I missed something?

A lot of it's gut, but I'll explain where I think it's coming from as best I can.  It's just the way they voted for Pesco.  There were plenty of good reasons to vote against him if they wanted to bus, but they didn't use any of them.  So, it doesn't look like a bus to me.  Ergo, Bardiche must be town.  Two people attacking a scum buddy like that just feels weird to me, so I consider it more likely that Bard is town.

Quote from: UK
And K4U, do you agree with his "scumhunting" methods involving just trying to kill "whoever says the most ridiculous stuff"? Further, do you agree with his list of ridiculousness?

Depends on if the ridiculous things are scummy or not.  Second part you should be able to answer yourself since I just put up my opinions on like everyone.  But so you don't have to go back and reread, I agree with him on you and Chaos (though I don't think you two can be scum together), I disagree on Serp and Rou and I have no opinion on Jam.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 05:02:05 AM
Quote
UK?  Massive walls of text, which are anti-town and deliberately obfuscating, combined with "scumhunting" which I can't make heads or tails of.  It looks like she's rambling on in her own world making up tons and tons of irrelevant non-content to hide behind, then trying to give herself credit for it by repeating her "Well I'm 2 for 5!" line.  She's not 2 for 5, she's 0 for 0, I've been trying to read her posts but I haven't seen a single coherent case from her. 

If you can't read my posts, then :dealwithit:

It's pretty coherant if you bother to read it, and the tl;dr at least half explains for those who are too lazy to play fucking mafia.

That said, I might summarize my cases when I'm on a better computer tomorrow. I'm on the downstairs one where I have to use two mice. Not conducive to what I'd like to do.

Quote
Depends on if the ridiculous things are scummy or not.  Second part you should be able to answer yourself since I just put up my opinions on like everyone.  But so you don't have to go back and reread, I agree with him on you and Chaos (though I don't think you two can be scum together), I disagree on Serp and Rou and I have no opinion on Jam.

that's not what I asked. What I asked was if you agreed that what the players he named were saying were ridiculous.

Quote
A lot of it's gut, but I'll explain where I think it's coming from as best I can.  It's just the way they voted for Pesco.  There were plenty of good reasons to vote against him if they wanted to bus, but they didn't use any of them.  So, it doesn't look like a bus to me.  Ergo, Bardiche must be town.  Two people attacking a scum buddy like that just feels weird to me, so I consider it more likely that Bard is town.

Don't forget this is a large game.

Quote
Mostly just has to do with the way it was said.  It doesn't feel as solid to me as you claim it is.  Certain parts where, yes, but not all of it.

Sorry, let me clarify solid. I take a solid stance on 5 players I think are scum.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kiro on February 19, 2010, 05:03:08 AM
Ergh, lunch break to check the game... figured I'd have to read a lot. Quick thoughts before I go out again:

I support the initial Cid vs. Chaos in a sense. Chaos is willing to sac himself which Scum in this situation would probably not do considering they are 2 down already. And my read on Cid still holds from earlier. So the impression is it's Town v Town. As such, I'd rather swap Chaos for someone else who I think is more scummy. I'd advocate Serp over Chaos.

Regarding Serp: I'm getting confused on how I disliked your plan and then approved Kefit's was a problem. The core issue is that it was seeming likely that Kefit could not possibly gain a Town head and it turned out he was right due to Ciato being Scum. It doesn't discount him from being Scum himself, but ScumKefit didn't really boost the win condition for his team by stepping forward. LYLO is still going to be awhile away. He's now out of an excuse to gain another kill so that neutralizes him in such a case. I'll get more in probably in 5 hours or so.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 19, 2010, 05:11:40 AM
Quote from: UK
that's not what I asked. What I asked was if you agreed that what the players he named were saying were ridiculous.

Oh okay.  In order

You: Yes
Serp: Yes
Chaore: Yes
Jam: No
Rou: Yes

But they're not all scummy.  Lynching people for saying silly things alone...I can't get behind that as I said.  If said silly things are scummy then it's obviously good.

Quote from: UK
Don't forget this is a large game.

Yep.  Possible?  Sure.  Probable?  Not really.

And ideally I really do think that you should be able to condense your opinions on people into under five sentences, but whatever.  I obviously can't force you to change the way you play.  I don't know how you do it though, I mean I felt like a horrible person for posting my mini-wall and it's not even that long compared to some of the stuff you type. :P
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 05:13:04 AM
Sorry. Force of habit, Kitten just seems like the appropriate nickname.

Speaking of. You've actually mentioned me only in passing. Care to prove me wrong in that? I'm feeling rather drunbk right now, so I don't doubt I missed something.

NinjaCid:

Uh. Hold on. What? You spent a huge fucking WOT explaining why your power will be good and you're acting as if it won't catch scum?

Que? QUE? You were willing to die after using it, but its not even going to catch scum? Cid what the hell should I be expecting then?

NinjaKiro:

I'm honestly worried you think I'm townish from the fact I am throwing myself into the bonfire. I get the logic, yes. But the fact you came in with it...

Thats a pretty terrible reason to think I'm town, frankly.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 05:14:50 AM
Quote
And ideally I really do think that you should be able to condense your opinions on people into under five sentences, but whatever.  I obviously can't force you to change the way you play.  I don't know how you do it though, I mean I felt like a horrible person for posting my mini-wall and it's not even that long compared to some of the stuff you type. :P

I'm actually working on it. It's just I can't convey some things without stream of consciousness. Well...perhaps I could. I have an idea I'll implement in the future.

At any rate, why are the things I'm saying ridiculous, if I might ask?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 05:19:56 AM
Various small things.

-Bard stop with the protestations of your own towniness. It doesn't help anything. We shouldn't have to say this by now.

-UK: To some extent I have to agree with Alex. WoTness does a lot to make you a blur in my memory and the tone of some of these lengthy arguments you've had with a couple people don't really help. See D1 Bard slapfight for reference. Being extremely confrontational doesn't necessarily equal scummy, but it does color my perception in a way that contributes to me remembering your demeanor more than what you actually say. Seconding the request for concise summary of thoughts, hopefully it'll help solidify my opinion of you.

Second, I have come to a conclusion about trying to break the set-up!  It's dumb.  It took me a lot of thinking about all the strategies that people have posted, but I really think it's a complete waste of time and I will probably smack the next person that does it with a stick.  I don't find it scummy, just silly and a waste of time.

I can't second this enough.

~

Apropos of nothing, Rou's new avatar scares me.

More ninjas. Sec.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 19, 2010, 05:22:38 AM
Quote from: Chaore
Speaking of. You've actually mentioned me only in passing. Care to prove me wrong in that? I'm feeling rather drunbk right now, so I don't doubt I missed something.

Assuming this is refering to me.  Yeah, I mentioned you on D1 and that's about it.  We had bigger fish to fry with Tom and Ciato, so I didn't see the need to add more words to the game saying "Yup Chaore is still suspicious."

Quote from: UK
At any rate, why are the things I'm saying ridiculous, if I might ask?

Uh, well the fact that you seem to get all angry, get into spats over silly things and swear at trivial things strikes me as silly.  The fact that you burried your cases into huge WoT that no one wants to read is silly.  As for actual content I think I've already covered that.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 05:30:07 AM
Chaore: Much of your speculation about the possibility of me being scum read as though you were only considering the situation from the perspective of what flips from those involved in the match would tell us. Is this a misreading?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 05:34:10 AM
Quote
Uh, well the fact that you seem to get all angry, get into spats over silly things and swear at trivial things strikes me as silly.  The fact that you burried your cases into huge WoT that no one wants to read is silly.  As for actual content I think I've already covered that.

I do, admittedly, have a more emotional playstyle in shorter games. Even in longer ones I can get into fights, I just have longer to cool off. I'm not sure how much of my confrontation is intentional to see where a player goes faced with a wall of rage, and how much is genuine feeling of "GOD DAMMIT BALLMONT PEOPLE!". There's definitely a seed of rage I do sometimes conflate a bit.

Yeah, I'll try to post the concise summaries in about 11 hours.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 05:39:19 AM
Chaore: Much of your speculation about the possibility of me being scum read as though you were only considering the situation from the perspective of what flips from those involved in the match would tell us. Is this a misreading?

Quite possibly as I didn't understand a word of what you just said.

You being scum pretty much plays out as 'Cid does not put up, thus does not have a power and was just trying to get a scum kill'. If I flip Scum or not would actually -not- change if you were scum. It is mostly based on your power claim. The flip part mostly came from a misread from UK and myself.

You're free to take your claim straight back if you're worried you won't be able to hold it up. It'll just speak for itself. You're also free to adjust it for whatever misgivings I seem to be having here.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 19, 2010, 05:50:34 AM
Why does that first disclaimer need to exist.

I'm growing frustrated with people claiming that I look scummy not on the basis of relation to flipped scum, not on the basis of self-serving tactics, but on the basis of believing that we should follow a certain strategy.  Scum are naturally going to support strategies that make it easier for scum to win, so every strategy from an un-confirmed player should be viewed with suspicion, but when the argument against it is that it's somehow too dangerous to try to keep scum from their win condition, I don't think I can be blamed for trying to dumb it down and state every little point explicitly.

Quote from: Cid
Mostly those last paragraphs trying to read into the mind of team scum that bother me, though. Finding it hard to articulate why, just the net result seems to spending a good deal of time speculating on what-ifs that can't be cleared up without killing people I'm not totally comfortable with killing. Appearance of contributing without saying anything useful or concrete.

People are calling Alex confirmed town off of what could very easily be a scum gambit.  Maybe Tom really did just panic, but assuming that your opponents are stupid is an easy way to lose just about any game.  Very frustrating to need to say this as well.

Quote from: Kiro
Regarding Serp: I'm getting confused on how I disliked your plan and then approved Kefit's was a problem. The core issue is that it was seeming likely that Kefit could not possibly gain a Town head and it turned out he was right due to Ciato being Scum. It doesn't discount him from being Scum himself, but ScumKefit didn't really boost the win condition for his team by stepping forward. LYLO is still going to be awhile away. He's now out of an excuse to gain another kill so that neutralizes him in such a case. I'll get more in probably in 5 hours or so.

Literally anyone could have killed Ciato and not added a head to scum's bag, with Ciato as scum.  Apparently you were more certain of that alignment than I was, but whatever.  The point is that Kefit then does this same "trying to break the game" that some people are accusing me of, here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257711#msg257711), claiming (falsely, as I pointed out here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258101#msg258101)) that scum will find it impossible to win if we follow his strategy.  And while mine is apparently bad enough to make Kiro call me scummy for it, Kefit's makes Kiro trust him enough to give him a head.

And all that aside, I should point out again that Kefit is still as eligible as any of us to go into a fight, since his kill of Ciato will not count towards the scum victory condition.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 05:53:21 AM
If I flip Scum or not would actually -not- change if you were scum.

My turn to be confused, because I'm not sure what this particular line means even in context.

My only real worry here is that your willingness to be sacrificed is hard to reconcile with my idea of you being scum and I do not want to kill a townie to do this. Paranoia says your attitude may be scum smokescreening, of course. Opinions from the group as a whole on this possibility would be welcome. Guys?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 05:58:37 AM
Essentially, if I did flip scum you could still by what logic I'm assuming, turn out scum. Certainly if I flipped scum this would make you definitely far townier, or mean your power was so scum beneficial i killed myself for it. My death over your claim is much more miniscule compared to how your actual claim pulls out.

My mind is getting less coherent over time, apologies if that ended up just more confusing.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 19, 2010, 06:11:23 AM
I am astonished by Chaore's interactions with UK and my instinct is to say kill both of them and be done with it.  Apparently UK has some case on Chaore that is so killer even Chaore agrees to die for it, but dig as I might I can't find what exactly this case actually is, and apparently it will take 11 hours to even get back a summary, but Chaore is still willing to get challenged and die right now despite still not even saying why himself?  Crazyland. 

What I'm much more concerned about right now is what exactly we are going to get out of Cid's alleged power.  I can understand the desire not to share details beforehand but it IS going to be something of substantial help that you WILL be able to offer at least convincing circumstantial proof of having taken place and being a protown ability after the fact, right?    Because if not I'd suggest just throwing down something like Chao vs UK. 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 06:13:39 AM
People are calling Alex confirmed town off of what could very easily be a scum gambit.  Maybe Tom really did just panic, but assuming that your opponents are stupid is an easy way to lose just about any game.  Very frustrating to need to say this as well.

I'm not assuming they're stupid. Personally, I believe Tom acted out of a desire to at least get a kill out of a situation that might have simply resulted in two dead scum if he'd let it continue. A complicated Tom/Alex/Ciato gambit just isn't the kind of theory I entertain when there are simpler explanations available and it doesn't seem fruitful to worry about that possibility right now.

Ninja'd by Chaore. I understand what you're saying but it doesn't really help. Apologies, but...speculating about two voluntary challengers being scum strikes me as rather insane, especially when said challengers happen to be you and I.

Ninja Alex. Will get to it in a sec.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 06:18:05 AM
Hold the shit on. What?

UK isn't the reason, Alex, NO ONE has voiced an opinion on me that is positive. It is very obvious I would be next up to the chopping block. UK does not factor the hell in. I'm choosing to die on that fact, not a fucking thing related to UK.

I've been jousting -against- her. Not with her. You...just hit a massive logic fallacy there, Alex, What the fuck?

NinjaCid:

I'm aware of how this is completely against all sense. Its kind of why it involves me dying.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 06:28:39 AM
Wait. Nevermind, no how is this exactly an insane speculation? Voluntary challenging is specifically scummy in this set up. This would be something you do look at. Me being involved doesn't mean I completely avoid the speculation... I... Iterate how exactly this is something I shouldn't be doing.

Also, I don't even get you in hindsight, Alex. Are you suggesting some insane bussing scheme between me and UK or something? Just...clarify that in a way that does not make me wonder what you're grasping for.

Currently ...fifteen or so till hammer. Logging off for sleep. Comment on what comes in.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 06:35:48 AM
What I'm much more concerned about right now is what exactly we are going to get out of Cid's alleged power.  I can understand the desire not to share details beforehand but it IS going to be something of substantial help that you WILL be able to offer at least convincing circumstantial proof of having taken place and being a protown ability after the fact, right?    Because if not I'd suggest just throwing down something like Chao vs UK.

Hell with it. Doesn't seem much point in playing coy any longer. Cop.

Primary reason for not fullclaiming has been worries of a framer mucking with my results. With a dozen or so people left tomorrow I suppose chances are good that they wouldn't pick the same target as me if chosen randomly (though of course I didn't want to choose randomly and it would've been easy to pick someone in confidence if scum didn't know exactly what I was doing). Assuming they have such a role, of course, which we certainly don't know for sure but it's a risk I wanted to avoid. (Much like K4U's power, this also only works during the challenge phase. So yeah, more reason to murder anyone quickchallenging.)

What this means, in response to Alex's query, is that you wouldn't see an obvious Word of Mod message saying I've done something. Whether or not my word is enough, I leave up to you guys.

Note: I need to fall into bed within 5-10 minutes, will stay around for immediate responses, though. Someone remind me how much time we have left before deadline? Ninja! Chaore does it. Okay.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 06:38:31 AM
Wait. Nevermind, no how is this exactly an insane speculation? Voluntary challenging is specifically scummy in this set up. This would be something you do look at. Me being involved doesn't mean I completely avoid the speculation... I... Iterate how exactly this is something I shouldn't be doing.

Any speculation that involves the notion "this is what I'd do if I was scum" just looks inherently weird to me.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kefit on February 19, 2010, 08:19:31 AM
Let's do this with faux legal brief stylings just for kicks.

I. I hold a strong believe that Serp is scum.

Serp Serp Serp. Oh Serp, what's wrong with you? Let's start from the beginning. On day one you proposed this ingenious plan:

Though, it just now occured to me that if two untested people go into battle with each other, and a townie dies, then it might be smarter to have the towniest players go through and kill each other until a scum pops up.  This would hopefully result in a lot of townies being removed from the game before we hit the next scum.  And after that next scum death, the two scummiest players could be picked to fight each other in hopes of killing a scum before he claims a head.

Yes, let's start the game off by killing off as many townies as we can. Nothing works quite as well for the townies as steadily increasing the voting power of the scum bloc, eh? I can understand not worrying about a townie death or two near the start of the game - my ideal course of action for day one (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251298#msg251298) even supported the very possible outcome of a townie death. But to propose that we keep killing townies intentionally as the player base continues to shrink? Completely absurd. Especially in light of Serp's response to my plan and duel on day three:

If all four of you were scum, then you wouldn't need to win anymore challenges to win the game.  All you'd need to do would be to stage a few town v. town duels.  You'd just need to get at least two scum to survive through LyLo (and one more scum for every person you named that's actually town).  Scum would clean up the remaining heads, whether or not they're "neutralized."  If we leave you all alive to LyLo, we're basically putting our faith in you to be town.

Kind of funny how he's now suddenly worried about townies killing townies. But wait, there's more! The real fun starts when Serp begins to continually attack my credibility after I killed a scum in a duel following explicit instructions to never let me win a duel again. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257678#msg257678)  Let's start with the extreme rhetoric that he uses to exaggerate and misrepresent my proposal:

Then Kefit shows up, says "Hey guys, I have a foolproof plan for you to follow, it guarantees a town win (except that it actually doesn't) and also requires you to to let me get a kill and then coast 'till endgame (which, despite your revision today, Kefit, it looked pretty clear that that was what you were asking for)."

Dear reader, does this language describe what I proposed? How does my conclusion that "the outcome [of my plan] is still to town advantage" regardless of scum roles involved equate to "a foolproof plan for you to follow [that] guarantees a town win"? How does my desire to live regardless of the outcome (for, as I have said before, I know I am human) equate to "[requiring] you [all] to to[sic] let me...coast 'till[sic] endgame?" And even long after my plan successfully nabbed a scum head he still cast it in the rather negative light of "trying to break the game." (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259024#msg259024)

Further attacks to my credibility come with Serp's subtle attempt to push the paranoia theory:

Either scum is leading around the town (look at Alex, Bardiche, Kiro, Kefit), or scum is genuinely being steamrolled (look at Chaore, maybe Rou, plus quiet people).  If there were a mix, then I wouldn't expect things to look so clear-cut.

Casting me as scum while trying to incite paranoia discussion? Not only does Serp have it in for me, he's also suggesting that the townies might want to consider engaging in the self-destructive behavior of succumbing to hesitation and fear.

I dunno about you guys, but I'm getting a strong feeling here that Serp isn't too fond of me! I wonder why that might be. Is it because I took out a scum? Is it because I was able to persuasively rally a majority of players to my side in an effort that has produced some advantage for the town? Man, that sort of ability in a townie really seems detrimental to the scum, doesn't it?

Summary: I strongly believe at this point that Serp is scum.

II. I hold a mild belief that UK is scum.

I don't have much to say here beyond the fact that I agree with Alex's general analysis. However, I'll add that at one point UK attacked the value (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255531#msg255531) of my economically reasonable day one post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251298#msg251298). Seems to me like he was just seeing if she could attack the quality of the post due to the fact that it did not arrive at the correct result for the situation we were in, rather than attacking the course of reasoning applied within it. Not a big deal, really, but hey, every seed of doubt that a scum can fabricate via a fallacious yet facially appealing argument has the potential of paying off big down the line.

III. I propose UK v. Serp in the smackdown cage match of the century.

Preferably with Kilga's ghost as MC. I think he'd enjoy that role. [disclaimer: I'm just being silly here, this line has nothing to do with the game or any roles in it or anything].

Scummy vs scummy is our best bet right now. It lowers the chances of scum nabbing a head while raisies the chances that we take out a scum. Since I feel the strongest scummy feelings from Serp and UK, I humbly propose that they duel.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 19, 2010, 08:30:12 AM
Before anyone blows a gasket over Kefit editing his post, I read the initial version of it and can confirm that the game content of his post has remain unchanged. The only edits he made were changing gender pronouns in reference to UK from "he" to "she" after I pointed them out to him.

Carry on.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kefit on February 19, 2010, 08:36:59 AM
Yeah, sorry about that. It won't happen again, as Kilga has now explained to me the proper EBWOP procedure.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kefit on February 19, 2010, 09:18:50 AM
EBWOP: It seems that my frantic attempt to fix gender pronouns in section II of my post above failed to change all of the necessary pronouns. This has had the unfortunate effect of casting UK as a hermaphrodite. I apologize for this mistake, and will now correct it to ensure that no one misreads a particular sentence as possibly referring to two distinct people:

Quote from: Kefit
II. I hold a mild belief that UK is scum.

I don't have much to say here beyond the fact that I agree with Alex's general analysis. However, I'll add that at one point UK attacked the value of my economically reasonable day one post. Seems to me like he was just seeing if she could attack the quality of the post due to the fact that it did not arrive at the correct result for the situation we were in, rather than attacking the course of reasoning applied within it. Not a big deal, really, but hey, every seed of doubt that a scum can fabricate via a fallacious yet facially appealing argument has the potential of paying off big down the line.

The third sentence here should read: "Seems to me like UK was just seeing if she could attack the quality of the post due to the fact that it did not arrive at the correct result for the situation we were in, rather than attacking the course of reasoning applied within it."
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 19, 2010, 10:07:59 AM
Bleh, miss a day due to a random irritating illness and you're playing catch-up for the next little while, <grumble>. Anyway, let's see what's going on:

I honestly do not know what to make of Chaore anymore. He's been playing terribly and illogically, not to mention suicidally. As I've said before (on D1, re: Pesco), it doesn't make sense for Scum to be suicidal. Honestly, part of me just wants him dead, but I think we have far better targets today to consider.

UK just pisses me off, between "oh hey could someone please summarize the game for me" back on Page 9 followed by "if you can't read my walls of text then deal with it, they're pretty coherent (um, no) and the tl;dr at least half explains for those who are too lazy to play mafia (i.e. you, apparently)". But enough with the personal attacks, despite the fact that it is getting extremely grating to read through several pages of back-and-forth chatter between you and Bard that simply seems like a repetition of "You're Scum!" "No, I'm Town!" back and forth and back and forth and christ. At the moment, still unreadable, though honestly a Bard flip would do a lot to determine her alignment considering she seems to be paying lip-service to accusing him despite the back-and-forth arguments with him.

Bard...can you please actually Scumhunt? 95% of your posts since D1 have been affirmations of your own Townieness, without any Scumhunting whatsoever, really. Who do you think is Scum right now, and why?

Hum, interesting, regarding Cid's latest roleclaim. So, in theory, modulo framers, we do have a way to pick up Confirmed Townies(TM) in this game? Despite seeming a bit too convenient, this at least finally makes Cid's previous actions D2/D3/etc make sense... Hm. Not sure what to make of this. Hm.

Anyway, since time is running out, I'd suggest Someone Townielike vs. Chaore. I was going to suggest El Cid or Kiro, but I'm not sure about the first due to roleclaim, and the latter could do with a reappearance right about now (again, yes, I know I'm being hypocritical). Hm, actually, Chaore might not be the best idea. He's playing stupidly, and weirdly, but completely in the opposite way one would expect Scum to play in this game (i.e. suicidal behaviour, etc), which actually makes me suspect him less.

Honestly, I'm still not sure what to make of his little mistake near the beginning of this day with the Ciato/Cideon slip-up. As Scum, you'd think he wouldn't confuse the two. Then again, as Scum, Ciato's death would be on his mind as of the end of D3/beginning of D4, so...yeah.

I am actually not against a Someone Townielike vs. UK match, either. Honestly, so much of UK's content has been chaff that it's near-unreadable, and her parading around the n/5 claim is starting to not only be grating, but suspicious as well. Beyond that, Alex does a pretty good job slamming her, and in general I back that opinion up fully. A lot of my further opinion on this depends on her post in ~6 hours.

Ninja by Kefit: You do bring up an interesting point. The main issues I have with Serp are actually that he's spent too much time trying to break the setup in ways that contradict each other, as you've pointed out. I think he might be a better target than Chaore, but a worse one than UK.

Though Scum vs. Scum is strictly the most optimal matchup for Town, so...yeah. I'll do a reread of Serp and see what I can make of him.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 11:32:57 AM
Okay, these endless freaking walls are really starting to get to me. Why the hell does everyone have to write a goddamn essay every post?

Chaore is still talking bullshit, UK is nowhere near as coherent as she thinks she is, Bard needs to do something beyond screaming I'M TOWN GUYS DON'T LYNCH ME PLZ, Cid's roleclaim is sort of bullshit because a framer really isn't enough to counteract a cop but I'm not confident enough to act on that, Serp is still talking total crap:
Quote
Scum need at most four more heads to win.  Suppose that two people we consider to be town are actually scum.  If they both claim heads, and they both survive through LyLo, then scum wins.  Is it ever a smart move in vanilla mafia to say "I'm so certain that these two people are town that I'm willing to wager the game on it"?
Stop and think about this for a second. Compare it to the vanilla mafia equivalent, which is 'Suppose that two players who have been acting very Townie are scum'. If you turned around in a game of vanilla mafia and accused the two players who the majority of the Town trusted, would anyone trust you? The only difference is that scum don't get a kill this game and thus we're meant to sit around and sink into the paranoid outset of 'Ooh, maybe the people I think are Town aren't worth trusting!' that you've been promoting.
Secondly, have you considered that (especially given their dwindling numbers) scum will most likely try to AVOID scum/scum duels? Let me reverse the question for you: Are you so confident both players are scum you're willing to risk giving the Mafia a free head?

If no-one else offers anything before deadline, I'm challenging Serp. Maybe UK or Chaore if people can convince me it's worth it.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 11:37:38 AM
Though Scum vs. Scum is strictly the most optimal matchup for Town, so...yeah. I'll do a reread of Serp and see what I can make of him.

I'm not sure this oft-repeated theory is actually true. I mean, scum fighting each other is obviously to our benefit, but my problem is that the closest we can realistically get to that is scummiest-looking vs. next-scummiest-looking. How this becomes a problem is that there's still a margin for error--there's always a chance that we're wrong about one, in any matchup, and putting two scummy-looking players against each other gives the real scum the opportunity to exploit a mentality of "does it matter which one goes first since they both look scummy?" and a chance to argue people into voting in their favor. This isn't going to happen if we send a popularly-chosen champion against the scummiest-looking player, in which case the outcome of the duel is basically predecided by us. Yes, scum can be hiding in plain sight as well, but I think the possibility of scum bagging a head is likely this way. The more certain we are in advance about who's going to win a duel, the better.

Time for work. Think I'll barely be back before deadline? (~4PM EST).
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kiro on February 19, 2010, 12:32:33 PM
Ok, a more full review from #391.

Serp: We HAVE to put our faith that some people are Town. That's what Mafia is all about. You seem to be going against that grain of thought. Yes, the only neutralized scum is one with 0 kills, but having victorious players kill each other off may invariably lead to Scum with 1 kill because someone has to mop up with no opposition. Or we can do it more controlled and "put our faith in some people to be Town" to do the mopping up. Differing circumstances have forced those 3 to be Bardiche, Alex, and Kefit, but until you convince me that one of those 3 are Scum, I have my trust in them and they should not die.

So, my proposed immediate course of action is this:  Next two kills should be between untested combatants.  If both kills are town, then the fight afterwards should be between two of the three loose ends.  Then alternate between a fight of two untested combatants and a fight between tested combatants until a scumflip gives you more information.

The latter part is "trusting some people to be Townie". In that kind of a fight, we may see the greatest debate as we balance the risk of getting someone who already has 1 kill a second kill. And I don't recall Kefit saying his plan was foolproof or whatever, but I didn't agree to it because I thought it was foolproof. I thought it was a good idea as is. We really are at a difference of opinions.

Jam really has no original content from what I can remember. High risk of Scum.

Chaos: I see your confusion in me thinking you might be Town, but that's how I saw it, especially since you framing it as a manner to get Cid to activate his power seems Townie-ish. Well, now that I read #431, your reasoning on doing this to expose a possible ScumCid is reckless as hell. Yet it's only Scummy on your part if Cid is Scum and ScumCid's power is imba in Scum's favor. At this point, you're not a preferred target today.

Cid copclaim. Well, that makes things interesting. Not sure of the chances of it being faked by you as Scum as you probably wouldn't have exposed yourself in Day 3 only to bag ScumCiato's head and have to profess a Town Champ and possibly have yourself killed to prove it making you the 3rd dead Scum. Now that it's out in the open, might as well make it happen. Your result is a piece of information. Advocating Cid v. Serp with Cid as victor.

Rou: Rash challenge? You know what we think of that. Ugh.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 02:09:16 PM
Rou: Rash challenge? You know what we think of that. Ugh.
If no-one else offers anything before deadline
I could easily have challenged Serp right there, but I didn't. I'm saying that I'll challenge Serp if we get to deadline.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 04:15:54 PM
My first inclination is to point out your first three posts WERE fucking terrible and COMPLETELY IIoA, but you know what? Serp vs. UK sounds interesting to me. I need to reread Serp to be sure, but I'll admit that while some of the points his recent posts have made have made sense to me, there's a little bit bugging me about him. Further, after I've caught up I'll reiterate the cases on the three people still living that I named as scum.

Quote
At the moment, still unreadable, though honestly a Bard flip would do a lot to determine her alignment considering she seems to be paying lip-service to accusing him despite the back-and-forth arguments with him.

Well, I did say he was my weakest suspect.

I'll be honest, this game is pissing me off. I feel like my namesake (real name, not my screenname), but I realize I've contributed to that with my playstyle.

Honestly, I'd somewhat WELCOME dying just so I could leave the game, ask Carth if I was right, and not have to deal with this bullshit anymore.

However, I can't really give up right here, so, I'll post those three cases, eventually reread Serp, and hope for the best.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 19, 2010, 04:31:30 PM
Hi UK, please post your cases, and then challenge Serp or Chaore.  This sounds good.

Yeah I thought Cid would say something like that.  The odd part is that I do think Cid is probably town and telling the truth... but probably isn't good enough and the risk/reward seems not worth it.  We'd need to get him a head for every use, then kill Cid himself to be able to trust his results if he doesn't hit scum, and there's still the risk of inaccurate results or other scum interference (personally I think a scum roleblocker equivalent or role-charge-sapper or such is considerably more likely than a framer but whatever).... If Cid is scum it's free heads for them and if Cid is town we also have to spend townies to make any actual use of his power and still don't get that much.  So.  If we weren't already two scum up I might say differently but I think in this situation it's just not worth it.

Rou why would you offer to challenge before deadline.  Don't do that.  There's growing agreement on UK/Serp or possibly UK/Chao, if none of these three step up before deadline then they'll be in trouble on later days.  A random pairing if they fail to do so is much preferable to someone who is possibly scum stepping up and saying "Oh I'll challenge and kill this generally disliked person if we don't get anything else by deadline."  Do you realize how scummy this is.  The quantity of scummy is very.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 04:41:44 PM
Bard: Lots of fluff, minimal scumhunting. He adds very little to the game with his first few posts, and his nitpick fight with me didn't add much either. That's basically it. He's been posting a fair bit, but not bringing anything to the table. Alice put it best about the 95% fluff thing.

Kiro:
/me sighs

Originally there was some scathing statement here about how retarded you all were for thinking Kiro's town. But after his initial posts, he seems to get a lot better and a lot more stancey. I can follow him more, and he's dropped most of the set up speculation. Honestly, this is a dead end for the time being. I'll keep reading him in case my mind changes.

But before I completely drop the case:

does this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258056#msg258056) post bug anyone? At first I thought it was good but now it feels...odd. Like, there's a pretense of giving opinions without actually giving them. Please, someone comment on this.

and this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259228#msg259228) post seems to ignore a lot of people, but who it does focus on...I guess is reasonable.

Alright, fine, my case on Kiro is reduced to "Your first few posts weren't very scumhunty, and that one post I linked feels off." I'll still push it but I'm far less convinced than I was.

Chaos: is easy. He has not posted any real scumhunting, what opinions he does post tend to be fluffy as hell and full of waffles. He does seem unable to string together a coherant thought with any less than 5 posts. And overall he seems to be a follower. The suicidal thing is the only pro town thing he's done.

Cut:
Quote
Hi UK, please post your cases, and then challenge Serp or Chaore.  This sounds good.

When was this decided on? As an aside, I will gladly challenge Chaore if deadline is approaching. You all BETTER not give him my head though because I guarantee you'll be giving scum another win.


Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 04:42:01 PM
Unrelated to Kiro case:

Quote from: Kiro
Serp: We HAVE to put our faith that some people are Town. That's what Mafia is all about. You seem to be going against that grain of thought. Yes, the only neutralized scum is one with 0 kills, but having victorious players kill each other off may invariably lead to Scum with 1 kill because someone has to mop up with no opposition. Or we can do it more controlled and "put our faith in some people to be Town" to do the mopping up. Differing circumstances have forced those 3 to be Bardiche, Alex, and Kefit, but until you convince me that one of those 3 are Scum, I have my trust in them and they should not die.

Why is Bard town? Alex and Kefit I can believe.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 04:49:25 PM
Alright, here's the deal. We have 5 hours left in the day.

I will challenge Chaore in about one hour. Any objections?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 19, 2010, 04:50:41 PM
Rou why would you offer to challenge before deadline.  Don't do that.  There's growing agreement on UK/Serp or possibly UK/Chao, if none of these three step up before deadline then they'll be in trouble on later days.  A random pairing if they fail to do so is much preferable to someone who is possibly scum stepping up and saying "Oh I'll challenge and kill this generally disliked person if we don't get anything else by deadline."  Do you realize how scummy this is.  The quantity of scummy is very.
Wait what why. A challenge between someone near deadline on someone who we think is Scummy and have been voting for a challenge against is probably still a better option than a random battle - random means the RNG could give us any kind of matchup it damn well wants, Town vs. Town, Scum vs. Town, Scum vs. Scum, between any two players, no matter how competent/Townie/etc they are, and we have no say in the matter and have to off one of them anyway as opposed to one of the people we have spent the past 24 hours deliberating. Thus, I am not seeing why this action is Scummy at all, let alone Very(TM).

Ninja UK: why not Serp?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 19, 2010, 04:52:04 PM
EBWOP: one of the people we have spent the past 24 hours deliberating on.*
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 04:54:49 PM
Quote
Ninja UK: why not Serp?

Because I feel that Chaore is more likely to be scum. Did you really have to ask?

I really don't care if you all think that his suicidal gambit is town. IIRC he was suicidal in RKS Mafia.

Oh hey, he flipped scum there

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 05:06:28 PM
Only a page this morning? You guys spoil me.

Alright, here's the deal. We have 5 hours left in the day.

I will challenge Chaore in about one hour. Any objections?

Sure. Hi, You're not taking my head.

In twenty five minutes, I will challenge Cid.

Also, I didn't suicide in RKS. I fucked up majorly and then proceeded to have carth make good use of that fuck up. You people give me too much credit for that.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 19, 2010, 05:17:37 PM
@UK: keep in mind that every individual Scum is more important in this game than normal, because of head-taking mechanics and also because it reduces the number of heads Scum need to collect amongst themselves before Town hits LYLO and cleanup ensues. This isn't like a typical Mafia game where one can bus all of their partners at the beginning and still win fine several days later if they're good at evading detection, because evading detection alone is insufficient to win in this game. Combine this with the fact that we already have two Scum deaths and it makes for Chaore being suicidal to make abso-fucking-lutely no sense as a Scum gambit at this point in time, simply due to numbers and game mechanics. Also keep in mind that he wasn't overtly suicidal in RKS Mafia, more just a complete idiot who put his foot in his mouth repeatedly a couple too many times, and was bussed for these reasons by Scum.

@Chaore: wait what why why 25 minutes can we please not be premature this day still has another four hours in it before deadline hits and before UK says she will challenge you. Can we please not cut it short? Also why El Cid I thought Town decided things should be swinging away from him (and you as well, actually!) and more towards UK/Serp from what the last couple posts seem to indicate.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 19, 2010, 05:18:50 PM
Surely you meant to say "I will challenge Serp" right?

I really don't know what to make of this.  Thanks to UK for finally getting a case out, I'm still not sure it's a very strong one but Chao's downright suicidal nature - well just what.

On the one hand matching up with Cid is terrible policy.  On the other hand if Chao's going to be suicidal I guess we don't really have any choice but to kill him, so maybe Cid IS better?  Oi.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 19, 2010, 05:20:20 PM
@Alex: I'm still curious about your reasoning, so mind responding to my post above about why someone claiming that they will step up and challenge one of the people being voted for instead of letting the RNG take over is Very Scummy(TM)? Because I'm still not seeing it and it makes no sense at all.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 05:25:57 PM
She said an hour, I'm meeting half of it. I'd love to not premature the day, but it seems like UK isn't willing to.

Things probably won't swing away on the basis UK and Serp have to be the ones to make the challenge. I assure you neither will challenge eachother on the basis they are scumbuddies. Therefore, I'm always going to be the second person.

Mostly, yeah, Cid is better on the principal I'm going to trust him with my death more than UK. As much as it would be amusing to win over UK, I'm not exactly confident everyone feels the same way as you two. The idea of UK and scum thereby taking a head is pretty much enough of a threat in my opinion.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 19, 2010, 05:35:21 PM
Three and a half hours remain.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 19, 2010, 05:38:20 PM
@Chaore: in that case, I am for you challenging Serp atm instead, quite frankly.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 05:42:52 PM
Apparently I can't do maths.

And make up your minds. I already stated my stance on letting the day draw out and letting someone slyly slip in and fuck up all of towns plans like yesterday. Kefit is probably town, but what's to stop a scum from doing something similar?

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 05:43:58 PM
Ok, how about this. People who are on: State why I should challenge Serp, who could potentially be scum, rather than Chaore, who I'm almost CERTAIN is scum?

Also, please answer the question posed in my Kiro case. You wanted compressed cases, I gave them. So please actually read and respond, over.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kefit on February 19, 2010, 05:53:23 PM
UK: I'll just link to this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259167#msg259167) for my argument against Serp. No one has bothered to refute any point in it, and it certainly seems stronger than your argument against Chaore - which basically boils down to (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259340#msg259340) "he's not doing anything useful and is just posting fluff." I'll agree that this makes him a bit scummy, but it doesn't seem to rise to the level of my Serp argument.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 05:55:08 PM
@Alice: Serp? I could. I assume you're saying this as you want him on the ballot for being taken out?

@UK: Somewhat a point. I'd like to push the deadline back a bit more though, now that we have Alice talking. He rarely talks, So I want to atleast get an idea of what hes up to.

Ninja UK: I still don't see why you're so damn certain about ANYONE here. This is incredibly alarming, really. Once again I bring up the 'Rou is town' to point out EXACTLY how certain you've been with pretty bad reasoning. THIS is part of the reason I think you're scum, you're using weak malleable scum calls and you act ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN. What the hell?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 05:57:10 PM
I think your first two points don't take into account the fact that people's views change throughout the game. Your later points, do, however, ring true. Does it make him scummier than Chaore? I'm not sure, to be honest.

Quote
Ninja UK: I still don't see why you're so damn certain about ANYONE here. This is incredibly alarming, really. Once again I bring up the 'Rou is town' to point out EXACTLY how certain you've been with pretty bad reasoning. THIS is part of the reason I think you're scum, you're using weak malleable scum calls and you act ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN. What the hell?

Because I betray my screenname and tend to focus on people until I'm dissuaded from thinking they are scum. I suggest you look at my play in RKS mafia. I think you'll notice I acted similarly. Generally I get more pressure out of seeming like I'm absolutely SURE someone scum. And for the most part, I am in your case.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 05:57:54 PM
Anyway, I'll give you all 30 more minutes to tell me why Serp is better. I'm actually somewhat convinced by Kefit's argument, but want to see more.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 06:23:14 PM
If Chaore is scum, he's Idiot!Scum for being so aggressive. If Serp is scum, he's being smarter!Scum by spending so long talking about the setup and hence manipulating people and so little time actually playing.

Which one do you think scum will miss more?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 06:25:41 PM
those are big ifs, Rou. Well, not so much on Chaore.

But...at this point I've kinda been defending Serpy indirectly, haven't I?

I will challenge Serpentarius to alleviate the town's worries.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 06:25:54 PM
in four minutes, btw.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 06:32:48 PM
##Challenge: UncertainKitten vs. Serpentarius

How ironic it is to say those words due to situations outside the game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 06:34:32 PM
You're still using absolutely terrible scumcalls and your own playing style as an excuse for being certain. This is my main beef right here. You're acting certain over things that you frankly should not be certain over.

All just for PRESSURE? You are aware Pressure is not something that targets scum only, correct? Its not some magic Anti-scum manuever.

I... Can not say I actually see how that helps you find scum. If you mess up or are wrong on your first read, you basically waste time being certain on one person. Can you explain how this part works out?

NinjaUK:

Oh uh- Wait, Four minutes? How long ago was-

Hoping I get in before challenge gets through. I'd like to stress I want to hear what Alice thinks, so can I call for a bit longer?

Really, since its the first times I've seen Alice actually here and pushing a challenge, I want to get his two cents.

Ninja UK2: Welp nope. Time for a bit of a reread then.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 19, 2010, 06:36:03 PM
Challenge accepted.  Let UncertainKitten and Serpentarius fight to the bitter end.

You have 48 hours to choose a winner between them.

With 12 alive, it takes 7 to lynch.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 06:44:17 PM
Vote UncertainKitten

Quote
I... Can not say I actually see how that helps you find scum. If you mess up or are wrong on your first read, you basically waste time being certain on one person. Can you explain how this part works out?

The pressure, you see, forces players to act slightly differently, and as the game goes on I can adjust my read accordingly. Granted, a reread is also involved usually with changing reads, as I mostly have on Kiro

THAT QUESTION IS STILL OUT THERE PEOPLE! ANSWER IT PLEASE!

Quote

Hoping I get in before challenge gets through. I'd like to stress I want to hear what Alice thinks, so can I call for a bit longer?

Really, since its the first times I've seen Alice actually here and pushing a challenge, I want to get his two cents.

To be fair he can still post, but I'm sorry if I rushed a bit :S.

Quote
You're still using absolutely terrible scumcalls and your own playing style as an excuse for being certain. This is my main beef right here. You're acting certain over things that you frankly should not be certain over.

Again, it's what I do.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 06:50:35 PM
Umu...to amend the last post.

As for "absolutely terrible scum calls", I called Tom and Ciato, correct? Granted, they were pretty much obvious scums. I don't think "absolutely terrible scum calls" holds.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 19, 2010, 06:53:54 PM
Alice:  I don't see how I could be clearer there?  Anyone stepping in and opportunistically offering to take a head is quite scummy, because, uh, that's how the scum would best get heads.  A random pairing on the other hand is not too bad for town since we lynch the scummier player and then in future days take out the people who were supposed to challenge and didn't - in a manner of town's choosing. 

Anyhow.  Kefit's arguments on Serp are quite good and sum up the concerns I have with him as well.  The case against UK, well, I think everyone's seen today.  I'm pretty torn on these two, leaning pro-UK at the moment as her behavior's shaped up some recently, but not too strongly.  Thoughts?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 07:17:41 PM
I was about to vote Serp, but:

Quote
Again, it's what I do.

Wait, what? You admit your play is horrible and you're excusing yourself with meta?!

Now you've gone and got me conflicted again. T_T
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 07:20:30 PM
Quote
Wait, what? You admit your play is horrible and you're excusing yourself with meta?!

Check my EBWOP.

And you are sure one to talk about "horrible play"

Dear god, can the pot kettleing get any worse ^-^?

But, am I clear that you were going to vote against me?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 07:39:30 PM
I'm really at the point with this game where I want to make my irritation known.

The setup is confusing and begging to be broken by one side or the other, but I can live with that. What pisses me off is that any game I play with you descends into a bitchfest on our part. The instant I make one slipup or typo or whatever you're calling me obvscum and throwing any curses you feel like at me.

I admit that there's plenty to say you're scummy from, as well as Serp, but I sort of want to lynch you right now just so you'll stop harrassing me for not agreeing with you. At least Serp doesn't call you every name in the book when he thinks you're scum.

I don't know how it happened, but I feel like MotK Mafia turned way too aggressive, which led to things like UD's breakdown last game. I'm definitely taking a break after this game. >_>

I'm still undecided as to who to vote. Serp I still think edges out in scumminess but sweet Kanako has UK done some damage to Town with her useless WoTs and her habit of screaming bloody murder at anyone she disagrees with. -_-
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 07:40:39 PM
EBWOP: What about the 'being overly certain' segment? Did you just quote that for no reason or did you agree that you are far too tunnel-visioned?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 07:46:19 PM
Being overly certain is a trait of mine. I meant the "bad scumtells part"

And if you haven't noticed, I THINK YOU ARE TOWN

But dear GOD are you frustrating town.

What I'd like to ask is how my WoTs are useless. Failure to commit to reading a game on your part does not constitute an emergency on mine. I'll admit that my...rather hostile attacks when I home in on someone as scum are not necessary and I'll try to reduce them in the future.

But, yeah, I'm stlll, somehow, convinced you are town, despite the fact you continually throw out misrep after misrep and stupid idea after stupid idea. And obviously can't read the game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 19, 2010, 07:53:20 PM
All players: Please reduce the levels of needless antagonism.  Thank you.

The challenge is UncertainKitten vs. Serpentarius.  No one has yet voted.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 07:55:40 PM
Ah, sorry

##Vote: UncertainKitten
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 09:26:46 PM
Serp's speculation on setup and ways to break the game sometimes meander into strategies which aren't very town friendly, and a lot of the other theorizing fills space without really helping us much. On reflection this is mostly what I associate him with, which is problematic.

UK badly needs to take a chill pill (this is where I acknowledge that recent posts are calmer, yes; there's just a lot of record before that change took place) but this doesn't necessarily equal scumminess. More comfortable siding against Serp here. Scum hiding in plain sight while trying to make a show of contribution or scum needlessly attracting attention by antagonizing everyone? Yeah, I find the former much more believable. Open to arguments but don't see the harm in voting right now.

##Vote: UncertainKitten
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 09:32:22 PM
Also, what the heck does EBWOP mean.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 19, 2010, 09:37:37 PM
Important things such as sleep, classes, and homework take up my time.

Anyway, this challenge seems decent enough based on the conditions for this day.

I'm going to ##Vote UncertainKitten as despite the fact that she likes to antagonize people is somewhat irritating, it's not really scummy when she actually does scumhunt in a fair amount of her posts.

Serp really hasn't done much but discredit another idea at a strategy and tried to pitch his own, which as has been established isn't exactly what we should be doing as the point of this game is obviously to scumhunt and figure out challenges NOW rather than figure out how to go about the rest of the game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 19, 2010, 09:39:04 PM
Also, what the heck does EBWOP mean.
Edit By Way Of Post.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 10:02:24 PM
So, of note is STILL people are not at all answering the question posed here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259340#msg259340) about that on Kiro post.

It's a simple question. I promise not to bite your head off if you don't agree. I just want to get a feeling for where people stand here.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: El Cideon on February 19, 2010, 10:12:08 PM
Honestly looks fine to me, UK. Might help if you could clarify your problem with the post.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kefit on February 19, 2010, 10:14:29 PM
##Vote: UncertainKitten

My stance on Serp's scumhood can be found here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259167#msg259167). I don't feel a need to reiterate the argument. While I don't like either player involved in this duel, I dislike Serp far more.

Alice:  I don't see how I could be clearer there?  Anyone stepping in and opportunistically offering to take a head is quite scummy, because, uh, that's how the scum would best get heads.  A random pairing on the other hand is not too bad for town since we lynch the scummier player and then in future days take out the people who were supposed to challenge and didn't - in a manner of town's choosing. 

This reasoning concerns me. A random duel on day one was favorable for the town because of two specific circumstances that existed at that time:

1) A lack of concrete information to form the basis of scum hunting.
2) A high number of players to minimize the harm of a town vs town duel.

The first circumstance is certainly not the case anymore - we have four alignment flips and more than 500 posts to work with in our scum hunt. The second circumstance is probably still extant due to two successful scum kills, but I do not think that it warrants random dueling standing alone.

We now have information, and we need to use it. Pitching our fate to the RNG will only bring us closer to the day one no information baseline, and I don't see why we would want that. While I recognize the problems associated with selecting a player to duel, these problems are not insurmountable. A prospective duelist need only be nominated, have a case presented for why he or she should duel, and then recieve the blessing of the town. If it worked when I did it, then it will work for someone else.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 19, 2010, 10:38:26 PM
So, of note is STILL people are not at all answering the question posed here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259340#msg259340) about that one Kiro post.

Not done getting my ass straight in gear, but I have looked over that post.

Only thing I have to ponder about is Ciato Vote to clear Bard, and the K4U power analysis. Rest seems to make sense to me. Check it again in context, though.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 10:45:36 PM
Quote
Honestly looks fine to me, UK. Might help if you could clarify your problem with the post.

I do say it feels like he's trying to give opinions without actually giving them. I'll give it a second look to see if I can elaborate.

Hmm...I think it bugs me because it's mostly set up speculation while naming players. Not NECESSARILY scummy since the players were involved, but I guess I look at player names and expect an analysis of their actions, not their roles/set up opinions. Though that latter is kinda action in and of itself. And then we do get a fairly decent analysis in the portion on me.

I can't really scan anything in particular that feels bad about that post. I want to chalk this up to just remnants of confirmation bias but I still get a bad vibe from the post even though it reads as if it should be good.

I still want opinions on that post, but mostly disregard me taking that post as a point against him. I think for now I'll drop the Kiro case since I quite honestly can't explain it, and I'm just as bad as some of the people I accuse if I keep saying "This feels bad. No, I can't tell you why. Kiro just sucks >=["

Cuts:

Quote
Only thing I have to ponder about is Ciato Vote to clear Bard, and the K4U power analysis. Rest seems to make sense to me. Check it again in context, though.

The K4U power analysis is sound, even if it's a bit more set up speculatey. I wish he had posted opinions on her as a person to try to put her role into perspective. As for the Ciato/Bard clear, not sure what to make of that.

Let me check something before I make another post.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 19, 2010, 10:53:41 PM
Yes, Kefit & others, that is all true.  I was arguing only against what Rou did - step up close to deadline and say "Okay I'm going to challenge just to get a challenge in" if the people town actually wanted to challenge each other refused to do so.  This would be Rou helping himself to a head without town consent that he should be the one to take it, as town would be forced to choose between Rou or the player we actually wanted dead.  A town chosen duel is of course preferable to a random duel, but I still find a random duel preferable to a duel where town has only approved of one side.  I sure wouldn't have been comfortable with Rou taking a head today, and I don't recall anyone else wanting him to do so, so him stepping in and pitting himself against someone town wanted dead would be a very dangerous lose-lose situation.

Anyhow. 

UK - The concept of Mafia is all about communication, and following that, the onus is in fact on you as a player to make yourself and your views as understandable as possible, not on the other players to have to figure out what you've said.  Yes, the other players have a responsibility to read the game, but it's a mutual thing, this certainly doesn't give you free license to post whatever you want and complain when not everyone else adheres to your views on what exactly "the game" entails.  Expecting anyone to read huge walls with no summaries, or to trace giant multipage multipost self-referential conversations that turn into tiger stripes of back and forth quotes, is quite unreasonable. 

It's also poor play, since your opinions will not often be listened to over those of players who can communicate more effectively; saying "if you don't like the way I post deal with it!" is an invitation for everyone else to go "uh okay" and lynch you regardless of your alignment.  It is also scummy play, as increasing confusion and poor communication benefits scum over town as a general rule.  I have won multiple games as scum by employing a wall of text obfuscation strategy and have seen other scum teams win in this way quite often.  Please keep these things in mind for the future.

That all said, UK's recent attitude changes and increased clarity are definitely cementing her over Serp for me, so.

##Vote: UK

As regards the Kiro post, when I said earlier that I've become wary of Kiro, it was mainly that post that I was looking at.  I agree that the tone is generally off and that's one of the reasons he's gone from townie to neutral in my eyes.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 11:02:17 PM
Still bugs me. Let me continue checking but...as far as I know, Chaore has never voted on a challenge before the result was clear.

This does not bode well IMO. He's always found some way to waffle before the match was effectively decided.

these (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251678#msg251678) two (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251707#msg251707) posts speak for themselves on Pesco vs. Bardiche.

And this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg253073#msg253073), plus the last two votes for Bard being Kiro and Pesco, confirms Chaore never backed up a stance on D1. Oh, he even POSTS (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg253143#msg253143) after Kiro's vote.

Allow me to see if the trend continues.

Cha is definitely posting throughout D2, yet even at this point (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255907#msg255907), he hasn't voted.

He does finally hammer (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255921#msg255921). but it doesn't really give him any credit. D2 wasn't exactly an opinionated day, so we'll give him the BotD. Let's see if he actually does anything risky on D3.

He does, actually. But not risky as in being a swing vote. He "accidentally hammers" (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258204#msg258204) Kefit to live. I'm not sure I like this. On the one hand, it was his first post after the challenge. Town was obviously going to kill Ciato. On the other hand, he conveniently cut discussion short, and given his lack of substantial votes on D1 and D2, I can't think this was just a mistake. And now we come to today, where he still hasn't voted yet, and we have a sufficiently debatable challenge.

CHAORE! I WANT YOU TO CHOOSE BETWEEN ME AND SERPENTARIUS IN YOUR NEXT POST. NO MORE SNEAKING OUT OF IT!

As an aside, I think this bolsters my case on him.

Cuts:

Quote
As regards the Kiro post, when I said earlier that I've become wary of Kiro, it was mainly that post that I was looking at.  I agree that the tone is generally off and that's one of the reasons he's gone from townie to neutral in my eyes.

I'm glad I'm not as crazy as I thought. I'm still not sure what to do with it though.

The following is not amazingly game relevant, so feel free to skip if you'd like:
As for the advice about communication, I swear I'm not this bad usually! Something about large games and short deadlines screws up my play pretty terribly. I do actually play a decent game, though I'm not a particularly effective scumhunter (working on that. Admittedly, I didn't really use the things I learned this game like I should have. Old habits die hard). I guess part of it is longer games let me step back so I can calm down and think
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 19, 2010, 11:15:03 PM
I'm not really sure that forms an effective case on Chaore.  The day 2 and 3 challenges were foregone conclusions from the instant they were issued, in fact people voted too quickly on day 3, and day 1 was arguably similar in that the quickchallenger was never going to win.  So the only case there is Chao not having much of a stance on day 1... which is also very negatable by the fact that it's day 1, and quite possibly town vs town.

The "accidental" hammer to day 3 cutting discussion short IS a valid point against him, though again not something I'd consider really major.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 19, 2010, 11:20:30 PM
Correction, Alex. D1 was not a forgone conclusion. Pesco had a LOT of support and could have brought it off had he acted a little more pro town after his challenge. The fact that Chaore spent so long not voting on D2 bothers me, but I cannot come up with an adequate explanation for why flip flopping on that is necessarily scummy since both sides would cause a scum win and Chaore would know that. However, the D3 accidental hammer is definitely a point against him, and I will maintain my point about the D1 challenge as well. Not voting during that challenge feels very scummy, since it gives him room to play for framing the survivor (if town v. town) if Chaore is to flip. And if you read Chaore's posts you can tell he assumes he's not making it to endgame and is liable to die rather quickly, even before he decided to go all out suicidal. If Bard is scum, Chaore could be trying to distance from him. So, I don't think Bard's flip would give us any information on Chaore based on D1 behavior.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 19, 2010, 11:20:56 PM
UncertainKitten vs. Serpentarius status update

UncertainKitten (5) - UncertainKitten, Cid, Jam, Kefit, Alex
Serpentarius (0) - :V

12 alive, 7 votes to win.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 20, 2010, 12:36:59 AM
There's nothing more to say in my own defense.  Since last night, I was certain that I wasn't going to make it through LyLo, and even a cop result on me from Cid would have too much doubt about a framer or whatever, so I just need to make sure that my head isn't claimed by scum, and to get enough information out there for town to use.  I'd rather have gone down to Cid to charge his ability, but I consider UK likely town enough to be alright with this sequence of events.

More willing to consider now that Kiro is just town whose mind has been numbed by the weird setup.  His failure to comprehend my play advice (see: my repeated insistence that claiming scum heads doesn't make one ineligible to win another fight) doesn't look like scum intentionally playing dumb, so he could be scum or town legitimately confused.  Still, don't use him as a champion.  His reasoning so far has been pretty bad, as you'll see upon my flip, and bad reasoning is never a towntell.

Kefit's latest sudden vicious assault doesn't look like sincere town to me.  My eyes started to glaze over all the vitriol, so I hope you'll forgive me if I don't respond point-by-point  His original offending paragraph again, for the record:

Quote from: Kefit
If my analysis is correct, then in the worst case scenarios I am scum, Alex is scum, Bard is scum, and Tom is scum (and dead). None of us will ever win a challenge again. Yet only three heads will have been claimed (Pesco, Kilga, and Ciato). Thus, barring unknown roles and powers, the scum would only be able to win if either you let one person win multiple duels after this point, or there are more then five scum.

If scum survive past LyLo, then each living one claims another head as all the townies die.  Pretty simple principle.  That he's trying to pretend that this never happened means that he's either scum or just really vain town.  Don't let him survive through LyLo, regardless.

Early scum deaths are gambits by scum, most of the time.  Tom had to know that the town's attention would immediatley be focused on Alex and Ciato after his death.  Two scum dead for one head claimed isn't an exchange scum are going to make.  It was basically inevitable that Tom and then Ciato would die, leaving Alex as the beneficiary.  "But scum wouldn't use two scum when they only need one to claim a head" is WIFOM.  Don't let Alex survive to LyLo.

Bardiche shouldn't have been able to survive this long unless he had some scumbuddies watching out for him.  When I'm gone, you'll have three dead townies (Pesco, Kilga, myself) with Bardiche among their top picks.  Have Cid kill him immediately.

Chaore's crazy behavior right now seems to be in his meta as scum.  Certainly too erratic to keep around.  Wouldn't mind feeding him to Cid either.  UK's switch from him to me today also makes me think that maybe she was hard bussing as always, but saw a chance to actually claim a head while still getting towncred after Chaore's inevitable flip.  If Chaore flips scum, take a closer look at Kitten.

Everyone else I have a town read on to one degree or another, which shouldn't matter because you shouldn't be putting your trust in champions in the first place.

For dealing with Cid, I'd recommend letting him test his ability.  Let him have two kills.  No more, in case he's scum.  No less, because with two cop results, the odds are much better that at least one of the people he picks to investigate is town.  If his investigation finds scum, that's awesome.  If it appears to find town, don't just have that townie steamroll everyone.  Just let that townie survive to LyLo.  Kill him after he gets two results to confirm that he's town, as only scum would be lying about this.

I recommend getting Cid his two kills immediately after my death, then killing him on the third day.  Recommended kill sequence is something like Bard>Alex>Cid>Chaore>Kefit>Kiro.  Don't trust Cid enough to let him pick who he kills.  Playstyle and reasoning so far have looked very pro-town, but two kills is a lot of trust.  If he refuses to go after someone the town agrees upon, then they're probably both scum.

One more thing:  Alex tried to say that today's Hime Star condition was a message directly from Carthrat, telling us that we should abandon my strategy.  But the writeup said that the Hime Star was "bloated and foul."  Seems more likely that scum directly impose the Hime Star conditions.  Scum are afraid that the town will follow my strategy.  They set things up so I was most likely to die today.  Keep that in mind.

I think that hits everything I wanted to touch on.  I expect that these picks will be buried as quickly as Kilga's (Tom Alex Bard Chaore +1) were, but maybe the town will spontaneously learn that listening to confirmed townies' opinions is a good thing.  Anyone else have any questions before I die?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 12:44:36 AM
Quote
Chaore's crazy behavior right now seems to be in his meta as scum.  Certainly too erratic to keep around.  Wouldn't mind feeding him to Cid either.  UK's switch from him to me today also makes me think that maybe she was hard bussing as always, but saw a chance to actually claim a head while still getting towncred after Chaore's inevitable flip.  If Chaore flips scum, take a closer look at Kitten.

I'll be honest. I fully intended to challenge Chaore, but I hit a point where I was indirectly defending you, and would likely have been killed, giving scum a head since I don't think Chaore is town. I actually was hoping not to survive this challenge with you, but that didn't exactly pan out. Fortunately, you ARE enough potentially scum so I don't feel too bad about you dying. But yes, I'm more doubtful of you scum as opposed to Chaore scum.

One issue I have with your assessment, which is kinda counterproductive to my arguments. Chaore has played one game. You can't easily derive a meta from one game. Perhaps he just sucks as both town and scum.

Well, I do agree with Bard scum, and Chaore scum...I don't really see Alex scum...Kefit scum seems more outside possibility for me. I find his actions regarding Ciato a null tell, but he seems to be more actively scumhunting as compared to earlier.

At any rate, you think Chaore is scum, and that I'm probably scum with him if he is, but you find me town. Is this supposed to be a contradiction?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 20, 2010, 12:55:03 AM
At any rate, you think Chaore is scum, and that I'm probably scum with him if he is, but you find me town. Is this supposed to be a contradiction?

Notice that I've got five likely scum picks.  There are no more than three scum left to catch.  I'm about 70% on Bardiche scum, 30% on Kiro scum, and in between on the others, if I had to give numbers to it.  Chaore's right in the middle, but he's hazardous and distracting enough to the town whatever his alignment that it's hard to say how much of that is scumminess and how much of that is just a desire to get him out of the way.  In any case, even if he's scum, that would just put you first among the people I haven't mentioned in scumminess, as I see it.  A percentage times a percentage is a smaller percentage.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 20, 2010, 12:56:59 AM
If there's anything these last few posts seem to be pointing out, it's that everything about this setup is apparently a WIFOM. Seriously why is so much of this game setup discussion and so little of it actual hunting?

One thing I will say is this:
One more thing:  Alex tried to say that today's Hime Star condition was a message directly from Carthrat, telling us that we should abandon my strategy.  But the writeup said that the Hime Star was "bloated and foul."  Seems more likely that scum directly impose the Hime Star conditions.  Scum are afraid that the town will follow my strategy.  They set things up so I was most likely to die today.  Keep that in mind.
Besides the ego trip you seem to be going through by saying scum is making a deliberate effort to kill you, giving them the opportunity to determine the results seems somewhat absurd. Beyond other things, it would make K4U a guaranteed Townie if the claim is true - because if scum setting the days is normal, another role that can change it back to normal is almost invariably Town.

Serp's 'I can't say anything to defend myself' is anti-Town. Townies don't want to die so they would defend themselves to the end. End of discussion.

Not putting it to L-1 in case of quickhammer. Pretty sure some people haven't weighed in yet.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 20, 2010, 01:00:30 AM
Right. Uh, Back from a reread or two. Not sure what the hell I got out of i-

CHAORE! I WANT YOU TO CHOOSE BETWEEN ME AND SERPENTARIUS IN YOUR NEXT POST. NO MORE SNEAKING OUT OF IT!

Oh for god's sake.

This is fairly tough. I don't really like either of you, so it feels like a screw up is a lot worse this time around.

I'm going to go with UK should win. Frankly my call on her is more on how aggressive she is. I don't think she has ANY strong cases, but she seems to be trying to find scum. The fact she is currently like a rock is the worst part of her, so the only thing she needs is a good kick in the pants. Alex seems like he is currently giving her that.

Serp less so. If UK is too outgoing with her opinions, Serp is far too damn extrovertive with his. I get the feeling he isn't trying to get noticed. He isn't TRYING to get his points out, just make them look unsuspicious. It may be a mix of things holding him up rather than actual planning, but I can actually see this happening.

I don't like either of you really, but I like you better than Serp after a reread. If only because you're actually god damn looking. I'm going to think a shock or two might send you the right direction.

I'd vote, but we're almost to hammer.

NinjaSerp:

Oh. Huh.

I'm going to have to say this doesn't change my view. If only because it isn't meant to. I'm going to go through that, just let me find some advil or SOMETHING.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 20, 2010, 01:20:32 AM
Can you elaborate on that last bit? It seems shoved in.

And also either made of set up paranoia setting in or something interesting. I want to understand what you're trying to say there.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 20, 2010, 01:21:57 AM
If there's anything these last few posts seem to be pointing out, it's that everything about this setup is apparently a WIFOM. Seriously why is so much of this game setup discussion and so little of it actual hunting?

Just about any action at all can be used as WIFOM.  The definition of WIFOM is when someone says "To take course X would advantage me if I were scum, but I didn't take that action, so I must be town."  This argument opens the way for scum to take actions that put themselves at a mild apparent disadvantage, but to compensate for that with the townies' disproportionate pro-town read from that.  What's scummy is when people attempt to provoke that disproportionate pro-town read, whether on their own behalf or for another's.

Quote from: Rou
One thing I will say is this:Besides the ego trip you seem to be going through by saying scum is making a deliberate effort to kill you, giving them the opportunity to determine the results seems somewhat absurd. Beyond other things, it would make K4U a guaranteed Townie if the claim is true - because if scum setting the days is normal, another role that can change it back to normal is almost invariably Town.

Serp's 'I can't say anything to defend myself' is anti-Town. Townies don't want to die so they would defend themselves to the end. End of discussion.

Firstly, unless we know that scum are manipulating the Hime Star, we don't know that K4u's ability works in opposition to it.  Secondly, there's no reason why scum are any less likely to end up with a role on their team that can manipulate the Hime Star.  It'd be basically like giving them a public dayvig or a tracker or any other publicly verifiable role.

As for letting myself die being anti-town, that's not necessarily true.  If I were to kill UK, then I'd probably die tomorrow, quite likely to somebody I consider to be scummier than her.  I think that she has better odds of surviving to LyLo than I do, and I want it to be proven that my advice has been given from a townie perspective.

There are too many folks saying that strategy is bad for you all to be scum, but all you dupes ought to keep in mind that each day isn't a whole new game.  You're playing to stop scum from winning their victory condition.  Keep in mind how many heads they can possibly have.  Act to keep that number below their win condition.  Be willing to forfeit a battle if it'll win you the war - figuratively and literally speaking.  A tactic that seems to benefit the town in the short term (i.e. having untested combatants fight each other rather than scum) can make you lose in the long term (i.e. when you're put in pseudo-LyLo by scum potentially having claimed four heads).  Kilga put it best:

Quote from: Kilga
1 vs. 1 should still be Alex vs. Ciato to keep the number of living victors down and individuals that are not Alex and Ciato need to grow a pair instead of worrying about "what if we make the wrong decision????".

Cut:

Quote from: Chaore
Serp less so. If UK is too outgoing with her opinions, Serp is far too damn extrovertive with his. I get the feeling he isn't trying to get noticed. He isn't TRYING to get his points out, just make them look unsuspicious. It may be a mix of things holding him up rather than actual planning, but I can actually see this happening.

Have you been reading the game, Chaore?  Had I only voiced an opinion on who should fight who and who should end up dying, I would certainly still be alive by tomorrow.  The whole "case" on me has come from people thinking that my strategizing is scummy.  I still put it out there because I saw getting the word out as being more important than personally surviving to the endgame.  (And note, Rou, that if I were using that as an argument for my towniness, that would be WIFOM.)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 01:27:32 AM
If you are going to pick me over Serp, Chaore, commit to it.

Take my place on my wagon

##Unvote

I want to see some bold from you so we can look at prior votecounts and point out "Oh, Chaore supported this person over that person"

Serp's post resolves the apparent contradiction.

Honestly, I'm leaning town vs. town. But, for obvious reasons I support my victory since I know I'm town and only suspect Serpentarius is. I wish he had posted more like this sooner.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 20, 2010, 01:30:29 AM
Honestly, I'm leaning town vs. town. But, for obvious reasons I support my victory since I know I'm town and only suspect Serpentarius is. I wish he had posted more like this sooner.

What difference are you seeing?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 01:35:59 AM
What difference are you seeing?

You appear to be taking more memorable stances, but upon further review I was somehow confusing you for Kiro. Don't mind me, I'm tired :S.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 20, 2010, 01:40:35 AM
##Vote: UncertainKitten

As easily said as damn done.

I wish he had posted more like this sooner.

Doubling on this. I'm actually hearing what you're thinking now, before I wasn't.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 20, 2010, 01:42:31 AM
Doubling on this. I'm actually hearing what you're thinking now, before I wasn't.

Alright, then what are you seeing now that you weren't before?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 20, 2010, 01:59:04 AM
##Vote Serpentarius

I read through his posts again and I still cannot see him as scum.  As I said a lot of my read is just gut, but...Well I will be very shocked if Serp flips scum.

I've already posted my opinion on UK and I don't feel the need to repeat myself.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 20, 2010, 02:01:35 AM
UncertainKitten vs. Serpentarius status update

UncertainKitten (5) - Cid, Jam, Kefit, Alex, Chaore
Serpentarius (1) -  K4U

12 alive, 7 votes to win.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 20, 2010, 02:02:41 AM
Alright, then what are you seeing now that you weren't before?

What you actually think is going on.

Now I can look back and see when you said what. Before I wouldn't even quote you on if you thought something, because it seemed like you'd say it was just a possibility.

This post simply seems a fuckload more definite than your previous. You don't seem wishy-washy now.

By default, this makes your old posts look better now that I -know- what you're thinking and can pick those phrases out. This is helping me understand your train of thought.

Edible you messed up, K4U voted for Serp.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 20, 2010, 02:03:56 AM
Quote from: Edible
UncertainKitten (6) - Cid, Jam, Kefit, Alex, Chaore, K4U
Serpentarius (0)

Wait, what?  I voted for Serp, not UK.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 20, 2010, 02:38:19 AM
Haha, sorry.  It's been fixed. <_<
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 20, 2010, 03:28:54 AM
Firstly, unless we know that scum are manipulating the Hime Star, we don't know that K4u's ability works in opposition to it.  Secondly, there's no reason why scum are any less likely to end up with a role on their team that can manipulate the Hime Star.  It'd be basically like giving them a public dayvig or a tracker or any other publicly verifiable role.
Which makes your entire 'hey maybe they're manipulating the Hime Star' crap entirely pointless.

Quote
As for letting myself die being anti-town, that's not necessarily true.  If I were to kill UK, then I'd probably die tomorrow, quite likely to somebody I consider to be scummier than her.  I think that she has better odds of surviving to LyLo than I do, and I want it to be proven that my advice has been given from a townie perspective.
Put it this way. If you're Town, you are 100% sure that your death will not kill scum. Are you 100% sure UK is Town? Because if not you could be giving scum a head.

And as for your strategy point, this extends extends to the point where apparently it's a bad idea to lynch the people you think are scummy if there are still winners lying around. Being indecisive and lynching our winners WILL screw us over unless all the scum challenge each other which is obviously never going to happen.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 20, 2010, 04:14:09 AM
Which makes your entire 'hey maybe they're manipulating the Hime Star' crap entirely pointless.

It seems like a pretty solid possibility.  So far the Hime Star conditions have been pretty anti-town.  If Tom's action was a prepared scum gambit, then it makes even more sense.  Scum might've been intending to have him do it since the start.  It's just something to keep in mind.

Quote from: Roukanken
Put it this way. If you're Town, you are 100% sure that your death will not kill scum. Are you 100% sure UK is Town? Because if not you could be giving scum a head.

If UK doesn't kill me, then someone else will.  The players that are commanding the most sway with the town right now are ones I consider scummy.  Even if I were to somehow survive this fight, I wouldn't expect to live through LyLo.  So, to minimize the chances of scum taking my head, I want to be killed by someone I consider fairly townie.

Quote from: Roukanken
And as for your strategy point, this extends extends to the point where apparently it's a bad idea to lynch the people you think are scummy if there are still winners lying around. Being indecisive and lynching our winners WILL screw us over unless all the scum challenge each other which is obviously never going to happen.

Every time scum die by this method, the one who killed that scum has not claimed a head.  This means that a new matchup between two untested scummy players may be decided.  If that matchup kills scum, then we've just killed one scum without giving him a chance to claim a head.  Furthermore, even if scum outnumber town in LyLo, the number of heads they claim can only be equal to the number of them that are alive at the time - it prevents any one scum from claiming more than one head.

It keeps scum reigned in even when we pick wrong, and every time we pick right puts us another kill ahead.  The disadvantage of letting people claim town heads without repercussion is that scum might claim one head upon victory, and a second head upon surviving through LyLo.

Hime Star conditions screw with this, it's hard to say what scum power roles will do, and Cid's apparent ability might allow us to deviate from the strategy a bit, but the basic premise of reducing the number of heads claimed by unflipped players doesn't require any further assumptions to be a good idea.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kiro on February 20, 2010, 05:43:50 AM
What I thought about Bard was a little less on what he's done and more on how the now-confirmed Scum have acted in regards to him. With Bard leading much of the fight over Pesco, why would 2 Scum try to bus Bard? Just get lost in the crowd of people voting for Bard's survival and make Town pick you out. I see how that approach is flawed as it ignores his own contributions, but that's how I usually approach a person who drops off the radar. Now that I look at it, Serp voted for Pesco's survival too so I guess that debunks that. All in all, I realize I could be very wrong and his latests posts just saying "I'm Town" and coasting along is getting worriesome.

Regarding today's challenge: still prefer Serp to die despite his big post. The issue is still that you trying to introduce strategies that potentially give Scum a chance to gain an edge is not Townie behavior. Have faith in the people that already have kills which you refuse to do. While I think Bard not living to LYLO is something we can consider now, I still disagree with killing off Alex due to the ludicrousy of Alex calling out 2 scumbuddies and still netting only 1 Town head with up to 3 Scum neutralized.

I really want to check K4U's reason to vote for Serp's survival, but I'm out of time. I'm taking a bus from Penang to Kuala Lumpur right this minute so I won't be around for at least the next 7 hours. Will try to get online this evening though, otherwise, tack on another 14 hours or whatever to that. Will work with everything else once a flip occurs.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kiro on February 20, 2010, 02:55:50 PM
For reals?! I come back 9 hours later and there's not a single new reply?!

Well, let me look over a few more things then.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 03:16:07 PM
Not much to respond to really. I guess the only issue I have with Kiro's post is that scum could always be bussing. The way I read the Bard vs. Pesco engagement is that it was rather up in the air for at least half the challenge's duration.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kiro on February 20, 2010, 03:45:02 PM
K4U: All I've seen on your posts regarding Serp is a gut read. That's too minimal, can you describe anything more specific? I get your suspicions on UK for being a distraction, but you said stuff like both of them have said silly things. Why Serp's survival over UK's?

UK: Day 1 bussing just seems too premature. I think it was mentioned somewhere that each individual Scum is important in this game due to the mechanics. In essence, why bus early? Also goes back to my opinion on Alex.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 03:47:31 PM
Playstyle differences I guess. It may not even have been a hard bus, just a soft bus to clear him. I mean, I'm not averse to voting and lynching scumbuddies. Whether this is optimal play or not is a matter of opinion.

But, as for Alex, I don't lean scum on him. I do think Bard is a good play still.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 20, 2010, 05:34:41 PM
Quote from: Kiro
Why Serp's survival over UK's?

I think Serp is town.  I think UK is scummy.  It was a pretty easy choice for me really.

Quote from: Kiro
All I've seen on your posts regarding Serp is a gut read. That's too minimal, can you describe anything more specific?

Well, I can try, but explaining gut reads is hard. :S  I *think* my gut read comes from the same place that my town read on Rou comes from: Serp just looks like Serp.  If I had to compare I feel like his play is more similar to RKS Mafia over Invasion.  This just doesn't look like the same Serp that fought tooth and nail to keep himself alive until D4.

Quote from: Kiro
I get your suspicions on UK for being a distraction, but you said stuff like both of them have said silly things.

Uh no.  Why I find UK suspicious:

-For being in favor of quicker challengers earlier.  I still think this favors scum.
-For flinging suspicions around.  Some accusations in that WoT were strong, but a lot of it felt like flinging.  Some things felt like reaching as well.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 05:38:20 PM
I can't dispute the first, but I MUST dispute this

Quote
-For flinging suspicions around.  Some accusations in that WoT were strong, but a lot of it felt like flinging.  Some things felt like reaching as well.

Yes, my WoT took note of EVERYTHING I noticed, but as for "flinging suspicions around", I do believe I've stayed relatively close to my list of 5 people ever since that WoT. It's not like I'm trying to attack everyone and see what sticks, which is what you appear to be accusing me of. Honestly, you'd have a more believeable case if you said I was tunnelling.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 20, 2010, 06:12:10 PM
For reals?! I come back 9 hours later and there's not a single new reply?!
Sorry, this game is really dragging on for me and I don't have the nerve to give everything my all by now. =_=

Quote
Every time scum die by this method, the one who killed that scum has not claimed a head.  This means that a new matchup between two untested scummy players may be decided.  If that matchup kills scum, then we've just killed one scum without giving him a chance to claim a head.  Furthermore, even if scum outnumber town in LyLo, the number of heads they claim can only be equal to the number of them that are alive at the time - it prevents any one scum from claiming more than one head.
And this falls flat on its face if there are 5 scum. You realise this, right?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 20, 2010, 06:13:02 PM
Quote from: UK
Yes, my WoT took note of EVERYTHING I noticed, but as for "flinging suspicions around", I do believe I've stayed relatively close to my list of 5 people ever since that WoT. It's not like I'm trying to attack everyone and see what sticks, which is what you appear to be accusing me of. Honestly, you'd have a more believeable case if you said I was tunnelling.

Lessee.   You're getting wishy washy on Kiro, you challenged Serp (who wasn't on the top suspects list) over Chaore (who was)...Bard is the only one you've really stuck with.  Then there was that switch on Alice (who wasn't one of your major suspects granted, but you did make a pretty bold accusation against him earlier). And before you say that you aren't wishy-washy on Kiro you said this:

Quote from: UK
Originally there was some scathing statement here about how retarded you all were for thinking Kiro's town. But after his initial posts, he seems to get a lot better and a lot more stancey. I can follow him more, and he's dropped most of the set up speculation. Honestly, this is a dead end for the time being. I'll keep reading him in case my mind changes.

It strikes me as wishy-washy.  Your convictions do not look strong in my opinion.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 06:19:45 PM
So, I'm not allowed to change my mind in light of new facts?

So, first, I'm accused of being too tunnely and convicted in my facts.

So I review them. And now I'm accused of being too wishy washy?

I explained why I challenged Serp over Chaore. It was a combination of town's will and the odds of giving scum a head.

I actually still suspect Chaore and Bard far more than Serp. Though he was in my second string options.

As for you accusing me of switching on Alice, once again, I reread.

You cannot defend this point adequetely since you fail to take into account both scenarios of "wishy washiness" are accompanied by either a partial or full reread.

I appreciate the attempt to paint me scummy with bad evidence, K4U. It will be remembered ^-^.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 20, 2010, 06:26:24 PM
Still a bit busy at the moment, will make a proper post in a bit, but, to take things down another path of discussion: what makes you think that Serp is Town?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 06:29:37 PM
Me? Well, now that he's decided to be more forthcoming in his posts, I see his logic a bit better, even if I disagree with some of it. It just feels like he's finally releasing some townie intent. I guess it could be a ploy to get people to vote in his favor since he's obv suicidal town or something. I really don't know what to say.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 20, 2010, 06:30:11 PM
##VOTE: Serpentarius

Warm fuzzy feelings.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 20, 2010, 06:36:37 PM
UncertainKitten vs. Serpentarius status update

UncertainKitten (5) - Cid, Jam, Kefit, Alex, Chaore
Serpentarius (2) -  K4U, Bardiche

12 alive, 7 votes to win.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 06:38:05 PM
Sorry bard. You have to give more than that. As has already been stated, you've been 95% fluff and 5% MAYBE opinions.

Provide reasoning, please ^-^
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 20, 2010, 06:53:49 PM
Ugh, I get the feeling that I'm just bad at explaining what I'm seeing.

Quote from: UK
So, I'm not allowed to change my mind in light of new facts?

Of course you are.  I just don't see how any of the facts changed really.

Quote from: UK
I explained why I challenged Serp over Chaore. It was a combination of town's will and the odds of giving scum a head.

First point I can buy.  Second point is what?  I don't even know what you're trying to say there.

---

As for everything you keep saying that you have strong conviction when you have more or less changed your mind on your top suspect and you accused like half the game of being scum.  Yes you can change your mind, and if there's a good reason to do so you should, but that's not what I see.  You claim to have all these strong convictions, but I don't see that either.  I do however see a lot of little jabs and pokes.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 06:59:15 PM
Quote
Of course you are.  I just don't see how any of the facts changed really.

Well, the only fact that changed was me reviewing. But that's a major fact, I'd think.


Quote
First point I can buy.  Second point is what?  I don't even know what you're trying to say there.

I was unlikely to survive a confrontation with Chaore. Enough of the town was thinking his suicidal gambit made him town, and I quite honestly don't believe that.

Quote
As for everything you keep saying that you have strong conviction when you have more or less changed your mind on your top suspect and you accused like half the game of being scum.  Yes you can change your mind, and if there's a good reason to do so you should, but that's not what I see.  You claim to have all these strong convictions, but I don't see that either.  I do however see a lot of little jabs and pokes.

Question: Where did I change my mind on my top suspect?
Actually, Question: Who is this "top suspect" you speak of?
Question: Where did I accuse half the game of being scum?
Question: Where do you see your version of events as opposed to mine?

Quite frankly, you...um...are blatantly mistaken about...uh...just about everything you accuse me of. I can't really defend against lies except by trying to expose them.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 20, 2010, 07:10:26 PM
Sorry bard. You have to give more than that. As has already been stated, you've been 95% fluff and 5% MAYBE opinions.

Provide reasoning, please ^-^

It is my most sincerest opinion that the feeling originating from the lower section of my torso, sometimes referred to as 'gut', implies a heavy distrust of your allegiance is a good lead to follow.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 07:13:17 PM
Lovely.

Completely lovely. You know, I see why gut players piss people off so often. I mean, I must have sounded like a real jackass when I was calling Rou town. I still think he is for the same reason you are voting me. I just know I have a higher probability of being right than you, Bard. Which doesn't help much, ne?

Could you at least TRY to go through the motions of making a case? If you have a gut read, follow up on it! Reread me and Serp, tell me what's wrong with me, and then tell us what's good about Serp.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 20, 2010, 07:27:21 PM
Quote from: UK
Well, the only fact that changed was me reviewing. But that's a major fact, I'd think.

I meant the stuff that you would actually be reading.

Quote from: UK
Actually, Question: Who is this "top suspect" you speak of?

I thought your top suspect was Kiro.  He was the first person you listed in your wall and the person you spent the most time attacking so I assumed he was your top suspect.  I already quoted what I felt was changing your mind.

Quote from: UK
Question: Where did I accuse half the game of being scum?

In your WoT.

Quote from: UK
Question: Where do you see your version of events as opposed to mine?

There was the D1 spat with Bard (really any spat, but that one stands out).
The thing with Alice. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255251#msg255251)
Your WoT. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255353#msg255353)

Those are the big three for me.  Most of those attacks (as I said there are a few in the WoT that I don't have a problem with) just don't feel genuine to me and it looks like you're just looking for people to attack.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 07:33:26 PM
Quote
I thought your top suspect was Kiro.  He was the first person you listed in your wall and the person you spent the most time attacking so I assumed he was your top suspect.  I already quoted what I felt was changing your mind.

Nah, he was the one I focused on because he was hardest to get lynched. People were already assuming he was town so I had to act with my read on him. He still bugs me but I think my initial suspicions were not as good as I thought they were. Rereads tend to put things in new light for me.

Quote
In your WoT.

False. I named 5 players. 8, if you include my soft attack on Alice, Serp, and Jam. But I stood relatively by my 5 picks until I reassessed them. I still stand by 4 out of 5 of them. You cannot win this point because it's wrong

Quote
There was the D1 spat with Bard (really any spat, but that one stands out).
The thing with Alice.
Your WoT.

D1 spat with Bard um...is attacking one person attacking me. A person I STILL think is scum.

Further, I'll remind you that in RKS mafia, I got in a spat with UD and was town. In other prior games I've gotten in spats with Kilga as both town and scum. Not a valid point.

Quote
The thing with Alice.

The thing with Alice was basically me reading a really scummy post and drawing a conclusion from it without putting him in perspective. I do back off in my WoT because my reread forces me to draw a different conclusion. So, this still doesn't support your point.

Quote
Your WoT.

Already explained several times. If you can't understand what I'm saying, then it's hopeless arguing with you.

Quote
Those are the big three for me.  Most of those attacks (as I said there are a few in the WoT that I don't have a problem with) just don't feel genuine to me and it looks like you're just looking for people to attack.

Here we go. What doesn't feel genuine about them? If you can explain this, maybe I'll accept you are trying.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 20, 2010, 07:42:21 PM
I just know I have a higher probability of being right than you, Bard.

This is in part reason why I am more inclined to trust Serpentarius. There is something distinctly wrong when someone keeps flaunting their superiority and being generally untoward and condescending to all who stand in opposition.

As for a 'case', you have continuously insisted such is impossible on you, who is but 'a cute kitten no one quite wants to lynch', or some such.

I'm talking, however, of your Day 1 behaviour which I do not feel is excused with "oops mistake": at the time, I advocated that Pesco was being stupid and that waiting would be better.

You said, at the time, "I'm ready to challenge Pesco if he doesn't follow up on his promise to you, Bard". If that isn't promoting a quick-challenge I do not know what is. At that moment, naturally you have me leery and distrustful of you, especially considering I spent most of my Day 1 time trying to poke a hole in your arguments.

Later on you declare something akin to "I'm leaning to Bard town now" and yet in follow ups you reveal none of this sentiment and keep yelling "I THINK BARD SCUM": I blame this in part due to a seemly increasing support of the notion that I am likely scum. It doesn't look genuine at all.

You speak in certainties and declare things as "you are blatantly mistaken", "you are completely wrong", "I am right" as if you have knowledge than none of the rest of us do and as if your communicative prowess is such that none of your messages can be interpreted in more than one way.

Everything you say is open to multiple interpretations, no one can be "blatantly wrong" or "blatantly right" when it comes to gauging the meaning behind your words. Perhaps after your flip we can.

I'll read through and see if I can compile a bulletpoint case to appease you. No promises. There's a whole lot of text around here and filtering what is relevant to scumhunting and what is relevant to game setup has hit me with massive apathy.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 07:49:35 PM
Quote
This is in part reason why I am more inclined to trust Serpentarius. There is something distinctly wrong when someone keeps flaunting their superiority and being generally untoward and condescending to all who stand in opposition.

Question: Is it scummy?
Recall that if you are town, you are here to hunt scum, not criticize attitudes.

Quote
As for a 'case', you have continuously insisted such is impossible on you, who is but 'a cute kitten no one quite wants to lynch', or some such.

Oh, a case is possible, it'd just be wrong. But, regardless, if you want to write one up I'll crush it. In fact, I'd prefer you did. At least if you wrote a case I'd get a better idea of your intentions than I have all game

Quote
You said, at the time, "I'm ready to challenge Pesco if he doesn't follow up on his promise to you, Bard". If that isn't promoting a quick-challenge I do not know what is. At that moment, naturally you have me leery and distrustful of you, especially considering I spent most of my Day 1 time trying to poke a hole in your arguments.

Yes, I forced a quick challenge. I gave my reasoning, and I have since realized it was incorrect. This is, at the least, a good point against me, unlike what I'm getting from K4U.

Quote
Later on you declare something akin to "I'm leaning to Bard town now" and yet in follow ups you reveal none of this sentiment and keep yelling "I THINK BARD SCUM": I blame this in part due to a seemly increasing support of the notion that I am likely scum. It doesn't look genuine at all.

Actually, I think I had a few moments where you sounded townie, but then you reverted to the same crap you'd been doing all game, which wasn't townie. You felt like you had townie intent for a couple posts, then dropped it. Why?

Quote
You speak in certainties and declare things as "you are blatantly mistaken", "you are completely wrong", "I am right" as if you have knowledge than none of the rest of us do and as if your communicative prowess is such that none of your messages can be interpreted in more than one way.

Question: Is it scummy?
Recall that if you are town, you are here to hunt scum, not criticize attitudes.


Quote
Everything you say is open to multiple interpretations, no one can be "blatantly wrong" or "blatantly right" when it comes to gauging the meaning behind your words. Perhaps after your flip we can.

Cute. You assume you'll actually get it. I vow that you will flip before I do, Bard. I'm about ready to request town's permission to allow me to challenge you tomorrow. Of course, if Serp flips town I won't expect that request to be granted. Regardless, I'd like to issue it here:

If you'll allow me, everyone, can I challenge Bardiche tomorrow and prove myself correct about him, to all of you?

Quote
I'll read through and see if I can compile a bulletpoint case to appease you. No promises. There's a whole lot of text around here and filtering what is relevant to scumhunting and what is relevant to game setup has hit me with massive apathy.

I'd say how convenient but I know exactly how that feels. So I'll spare you that indignity.


And don't forget. It's not just a case on me. You also need to show why Serp is town or less scummy than I am.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 20, 2010, 08:00:09 PM
Quote from: UK
False. I named 5 players. 8, if you include my soft attack on Alice, Serp, and Jam. But I stood relatively by my 5 picks until I reassessed them. I still stand by 4 out of 5 of them. You cannot win this point because it's wrong

It was an over exaggeration yes, but it's not wrong.  Two flipped scum, but they were obvious scum, so saying that you stand by them is kind of silly (assuming they're part of that 4).  I've already explained how I feel about you and Kiro.  While I was rereading you I also noticed that you do this with Bard as well.  I still don't think your convictions are strong.  There are also several jabs at people in there that you could potentially use if they stuck.

Quote from: UK
D1 spat with Bard um...is attacking one person attacking me. A person I STILL think is scum.

Further, I'll remind you that in RKS mafia, I got in a spat with UD and was town. In other prior games I've gotten in spats with Kilga as both town and scum. Not a valid point.

You're kind of missing the point, but that's probably my fault for explaining it badly.  I suppose you could say that I think you were doing to Bard what you think I'm doing to you.

Quote from: UK
The thing with Alice was basically me reading a really scummy post and drawing a conclusion from it without putting him in perspective. I do back off in my WoT because my reread forces me to draw a different conclusion. So, this still doesn't support your point.

Except you don't.  He was still in your list of suspects and the point on him was still really bad.  It still looks like reaching to me.  You didn't really back off until it looked like no one wanted to attack him.

Quote from: UK
Here we go. What doesn't feel genuine about them? If you can explain this, maybe I'll accept you are trying.

I'm really not sure how I can explain this any better than I have.  Your WoT had random jabs at people.  It would be easy for you to say that virtually anyone was scum should the case come up.  Most of the accusations in you made in the WoT were fairly weak anyway as I've been saying.  I think I cover the other stuff that's bothering my in the above quotes.

I feel like I'm just repeating myself at this point.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 20, 2010, 08:03:57 PM
Actually, all that arrogance has me majorly turned off from the game now.

Requesting modkill.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Pesco on February 20, 2010, 08:07:17 PM
Actually, all that arrogance has me majorly turned off from the game now.

Requesting modkill.

Noted. Report the offending post and I'll investigate.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 08:07:58 PM
Quote
Except you don't.  He was still in your list of suspects and the point on him was still really bad.  It still looks like reaching to me.  You didn't really back off until it looked like no one wanted to attack him.

I think after my WoT I don't really persue him again and stick to my five picks. Is that what you mean?

Quote
I'm really not sure how I can explain this any better than I have.  Your WoT had random jabs at people.  It would be easy for you to say that virtually anyone was scum should the case come up.  Most of the accusations in you made in the WoT were fairly weak anyway as I've been saying.  I think I cover the other stuff that's bothering my in the above quotes.

One problem with this. I'm constrained to the 8 names I listed as suspects. I have to give a good reason why someone ISN'T scum in my top five before I can move on to my secondary three. I don't have NEARLY the flexibility you accuse me of. I did bump Kiro down after rereading his posts, which made room for Serp as a possibility. Granted, I don't think that one will pan out.


Quote
Actually, all that arrogance has me majorly turned off from the game now.

Requesting modkill.

Mine or yours? If it's yours, I apologize that we had this clash. After the game I would like to open a dialogue with you to try to mend whatever went wrong without the pretension of alignments. I assure you I'm not nearly as much of a bitch outside of mafia.

If it's mine well...I still wouldn't mind having that dialogue, but I sincerely hope a modkill isn't granted.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 20, 2010, 08:16:13 PM
Bard: *headdesk*
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Bardiche on February 20, 2010, 08:17:08 PM
I'm requesting my own modkill.

I'm just really tired of all this condescending nonsense and beliggerent commentaries. It's enough that I'm already apathetic due to huge amounts of setup discussions where you can only go "not a good idea" or "good idea", to deal with someone going all conceited is the last on my list of "let's do that for amusement".
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 08:19:18 PM
Then, I would like to speak with you after the game for certain. I apologize if my style came off as that...rude, and I'll admit it kinda surprises me myself that it went that far...

If it helps any, I'll work harder to clean up the condescending attitude. Would you at least reconsider your decision to leave the game?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 20, 2010, 08:20:32 PM
Please resume normal game activities for the time being. Bard's modkill request has been noted and Rat will make a decision when he sees it.

I will have more to say after the game about Mafia in general, so please withhold discussion of these current circumstances until then.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 20, 2010, 08:24:11 PM
Hm...

Maybe I'm just over reacting.  Something about the WoT and the other things I'm bringing up really bugs me, but...I admit that your defense is making me feel better.  I think I'm going to go reread the game later when I have more time.

Ninja
Bard is making me sad now.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 08:25:16 PM
That's probably a good idea. When my reads start stagnating I try to do a reread from the time of my last one to see what's changed. I'm probably due for one soon myself, but I'll see if I survive this challenge first.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 20, 2010, 09:32:19 PM
Bard: *headdesk*

Don't know what to say about those events except this. 

Still favoring UK to win here, I think.  Serp has said nothing and done no scumhunting that isn't predicated on "try to game the setup and lynch winners!" which is a matter I think I've made my views clear on.  For him to continue pushing it this far and this hard is entirely unhelpful to town. 

It would be excellent if the two kittens could cut down on the stripey post quoting.  All I really get out of it is UK hates Bard for... something, winning + attitude I guess, and K4 hates UK for hatin on Bard.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 09:38:47 PM
This post isn't really game relevant, but I do not "hate" any player here. I may seem rude and hostile to people I think are scum, but outside the game I don't have that opinion of them. This is just a game, and while within the game I portray a very bitchy person, I don't try to take things from in the game to out of the game.

Just to be clear.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 20, 2010, 10:08:06 PM
Similarly I would like to clarify that when I say "hate" I mean it in a joking and nonserious fashion.  It is easier to type than "thinks they are scummy or otherwise disapproves of their play in some fashion and wishes to lynch them or see them dead or for them to recant their views etc."
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 20, 2010, 10:09:59 PM
Similarly I would like to clarify that when I say "hate" I mean it in a joking and nonserious fashion.  It is easier to type than "thinks they are scummy or otherwise disapproves of their play in some fashion and wishes to lynch them or see them dead or for them to recant their views etc."

Fair enough. It's just given how...far I've apparently pushed some people, I think that distinction needs to be made. And perhaps if a situation like this is occuring, I do need to back off and adjust my attitude.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Chaore on February 20, 2010, 10:46:22 PM
Going to double on Alice and Alex's posts.

...absolutely nothing new really. More gut reads and UK vs. K4U, which feels like what has already been said on UK constantly. Though that may just be me.

Still for a UK win. Rereading Serp's wall of death does help me understand him now. This does not mean I'm about to agree with him, though. I believe the issues with his thoughts have been beautifully eloquated already.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 20, 2010, 11:18:20 PM
All players: Please reduce the levels of needless antagonism.  Thank you.

I see I was ignored.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 21, 2010, 12:43:46 AM
And this falls flat on its face if there are 5 scum. You realise this, right?

Only if we pick wrong every single time on who to kill.  I know it's hard to believe that you might actually need to choose correctly between scum and town in order to win a game of mafia, but I'm afraid this is the best strategy I can come up with.

Quote from: Kiro
I still disagree with killing off Alex due to the ludicrousy of Alex calling out 2 scumbuddies and still netting only 1 Town head with up to 3 Scum neutralized.

This is called WIFOM.  If killing off two scumbuddies led to Alex becoming a trusted player, then it's worth it for him as scum.  Kiro's cases still aren't looking sincere at all to me.

I see scum lining up a couple of kitten lynches.  Expecting a case on K4u along the lines of "You knew Serp would flip town so you supported him for town cred."  Her insistence on my towniness has been pretty consistent since the start, so I'm not inclined to see it as scummy.  And UK always posts big fences that jab at everyone and then acts really abrasive.  It's not pro-town, but it's not scummy from her.

I suppose I could see letting UK kill Bardiche tomorrow, then having Cid kill UK the next day.  I'd still rather see Chaore go down before UK, though.  If Chaore flips scum, then I wouldn't want to let UK get a second kill before dying.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 21, 2010, 12:46:15 AM
I'll admit, I support me challenging Chaore OR Bard. Actually, less on bard. I know he's not confirmed but he seems like he's genuinely frustrated, which is a little more likely to come from town IMO.

I still think that committing to a few players as I have mitigates the idea that my wall jabbed everyone, but whatever.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 21, 2010, 12:51:24 AM
I've taken ill. I will not respond for a couple hours. Hopefully I'll get better soon...

It's unrelated to this game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Carthrat on February 21, 2010, 08:09:09 AM
Bardiche, aka Kazahana Mashiro, Town Crippled Principal exploded!

Scum got a free .99 of a kill! In the event that they max out at 4.99 kills, the game will be a draw.

Please don't anyone quit anymore okay? There is no good and fair way to resolve it, arguably sans replacement or rendering Bard an inert dummy, and I like neither of those options.

<->

UncertainKitten vs. Serpentarius status update

UncertainKitten (5) - Cid, Jam, Kefit, Alex, Chaore
Serpentarius (1) -  K4U

11 alive, 6 votes to win. You have 11 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kiro on February 21, 2010, 02:37:16 PM
K4U: Hrm, I guess I can't challenge the gut defense of Serp on any particular level until we see the flip. And how I understood it is that UK has shifted her read on me as "surefire Scum" to "still don't like him, but could be Town." I think your point on her "jabs and pokes" is weak. Furthermore in the Alice case, a mild suspicion is not a poke or jab because she hasn't even gone after Alice in recent memory. All in all, not convinced of your reasons why UK is scummier than Serp.

Bard modkill: I see we're actually at L-1 now (only 6 votes needed rather than 7). I'll be asleep when deadline hits, but I'll avoid hammering for if anyone needs to get any last words in during prime time USA discussion. Fresh reread will come later to consider the Bard as Townie aspect.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 21, 2010, 02:41:48 PM
It's...unfortunate that I was incorrect about Bard. I think after this challenge I'll definitely have to do a full reread with new data. I'll also try something a little different. I'll see if I can compress my data into something a bit...smaller than a wall this time. I'm sure you don't want to read links to 20 pages of comments.

Hmm...this gives me an idea I want to implement in the future, but might not be allowed. I won't try it this game but perhaps next game I play I'll check with the mod to see if it's alright.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 21, 2010, 03:43:19 PM
And we lose another player to Srs Bzns Syndrome. Yay.

Honestly, I'll restate my belief that UK is a threat to Town in more ways than one. Her posts are overly long to the point where I can't follow them, she takes offense when people can't understand said posts, she takes everything personally and makes every case personal on top of that...either she's scum and we've taken one of theirs, which is getting increasingly likely, or she's Town and things get easier for me to read.

It's too late to flip the wagons, and Serp is still annoying for being all setup no game. I'll be around to hammer.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Serp on February 21, 2010, 04:26:18 PM
Hm, interesting.  Maybe Tom really did just panic from fear of losing two scum before the team even got a chance to claim a single head.  A more thorough analysis would require time that I just don't have, but surface impression is that Alex looks unlikely to be scum now.  My other scum picks also suffer somewhat from the fact that they weren't playing from the position of already having a head bagged.  Oh well, that's pessimism for you.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 21, 2010, 05:08:14 PM
Quote from: Alex
K4 hates UK for hatin on Bard

More like I'm hating on UK for being UK.  Also, sorry about the quote walls.

---

Yeah, this is the second game in a row I've attacked UK with what in hind sight is a very lack luster case.  At this point I don't find it unlikely I'm just annoyed with her playstyle over finding her scummy and it's seriously messing up my ability to read her.  If that then I apologize to UK because finding someone scummy not on what they said, but how they said it is really dumb (I'm actually embarrassed, seriously).  I'm not ready to call her town, so I'd prefer if we didn't let her win any more challenges just yet (I still think letting Cid win a challenge because of his ability is a better idea anyway). 

And Bard flipped town, I'm not surprised.  I still expect Serp to flip town.  My non-UK reads are basically the same.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 21, 2010, 05:17:08 PM
2-ish hours remain.  Votecount remains unchanged.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 21, 2010, 06:13:44 PM
I can self hammer if need be. We have about 46 minutes.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 21, 2010, 06:55:14 PM
Damn, nearly missed deadline

##Vote UncertainKitten
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 21, 2010, 07:11:49 PM
Welp, I ran from playing Mario Party 8 (oh god how repetitive do these games get) to see that there's already been a hammer. So yeah. :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Edible on February 21, 2010, 07:16:51 PM
Serpentarius, playing Fumi, Perfect and Elegant Maid, was stuffed into a canister and used as a battery for hundreds of years.

It is now the Dawn of Day 5.  Discuss whatever you like, just don't post any game analysis.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Kefit on February 21, 2010, 07:54:30 PM
I leave the internet for a day and when I come back people are committing suicide.

Didn't any of you get suicide education in school you are supposed to help these people and call the suicide hotline for advice suicides are sad :<
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 21, 2010, 10:47:21 PM
Didn't any of you get suicide education in school you are supposed to help these people and call the suicide hotline for advice suicides are sad :<
We didn't realise there was a problem. He looked so determined to fight his case, and then...;_;
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 4)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 22, 2010, 12:06:56 AM
We were told that mental disorders were imaginary and people who complained of depression were just lazy and should be instructed to buck up and get over themselves.

Seriously though I've never heard of actual education on issues like that in schools.  Interesting.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Carthrat on February 22, 2010, 07:45:50 AM
the soul still burns in


2. Minagi Mikoto kitten4u likes cats can you tell
4. Kikukawa Yukino alice has a thing for tentacles
6. Higurashi Akane chaos will probably die first
7. Yuuki Nao kiro climbed up the water spout
9. Okuzaki Akira roukanken epitomizes gender identification issues
10. Munakata Shiho kefit can strangle you with her hair
11. Fujino Shizuru uncertainkitten hates old people with passion
12. Alyssa Searrs jam-kiske's ion cannon is ready
15. Harada Chie cid couldn't wait for fatal frame mafia
16. Miyu Grear siralex was forced out the coolant tank

all sparkly now

13. Sanada Yukariko (pesco) was defeated by Kazahana Mashiro (bardiche) in The Battle of the Unexpected Motorist
14. Senou Aoi (kilga) was defeated by Miyu Grear (siralex) and Sugiura Midori(ciato) in The Battle of the Misplaced Bullet!
14. Kuga Natsuki (eviltom) was defeated by Miyu Grear (siralex) and Sugiura Midori(ciato) in The Battle of the Misplaced Bullet!
5. Sugiura Midori (ciato) was defeated by Munakata Shiho (kefit) in The Battle of the Unfortunate Crush!
1. Kazahana Mashiro (bard) exploded! Scum claimed .99 of a kill!
8. Himeno Fumi (Serp) was defeated by Fujino Shizuru (UK) in The Battle of the Twin Reapers!

It is Round 5! Today, a Shiny Bauble has Dropped From the Heavens! Whoever is victorious in today's duel will win a Special Prize!

You have 24 hours to begin squabbling over jewelry!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Kefit on February 22, 2010, 08:38:29 AM
Neither Bard nor Serp were scum? Man, I'm down to one outta five now rofl.

I'm also lost again. I thought I had everything figured out, then it comes tumbling down on me. I'm gonna take some time to start from the beginning tomorrow afternoon. For now I'll suggest a couple of talking points:

- Have we seen anything suspicious from this game's background players? I'm thinking Jam, Cid, Alice, kitten4u. A town flip for both Bard and Serp means we probably have one or two quiet scum lurking in the shadows. We can't ignore these players forever.

- Do we want UK alive or dead? It's unfortunate for her that Serp flipped town (it's also probably unfortunate for me in the long run). The answer to this may be yes or no, but I think it has to be based on scumhunting reasons rather than a systematic process of killing those who kill town. Remember, killing off duel winners who have killed town will have the ultimate effect of leaving the quiet players untouched for some time. Sure, we can hypothetically state that the collective group might agree on a duel between the winner of the previous duel and a particular quiet player (a duel which would be enforced via threat of hammer), but the progress of this game so far has convinced me that we as a group cannot agree on anything as concrete as that. At best we'll get a weak plurality, any single opinion of which will be unenforceable. A quiet scum could potentially lurk forever under such a regime.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 22, 2010, 09:41:59 AM
Interesting.  And sad.  Let's see.

More or less cleared townie folks:
- Me, I know I'm town!  (and hopefully the implausible stupidity of me being scum along with Ciato and Tom in the four way challenge, my play, etc are convincing enough to everyone else.)
- Kefit, who has been notably logical and level headed.  He's also been wrong in his cases, but I don't think he's been wrong in particularly scummy ways.  Also, Ciato and Tom were really illogical and obvious and put no effort at all into their scum play, which I'm treating as a vote of no confidence in the rest of their team - I don't think they would have played like that if they'd had Kefit as a level headed ally.


- Kitten4U, who has the power to turn an elegant duel into a riotous lynch mob.  Her content has been lurky and lacking and her roleclaim doesn't make her town at all, but it does make her worth keeping alive.  Even if she is scum, we can now hold her to using her power to remove a particularly anti-town day condition if and when one arises, so until that happens it'd be silly to put her in a challenge.  That goes either way for her though.  I'm okay with myself or Kefit taking another head but not her.

The Semi-Town Neutral Folks Who've Said Things
- Cid, who has claimed cop, I'm not sure how Kefit can class him as a background player.  Aside from that he hasn't been too vocal but has taken at least some stances I can recall.  I lean town on him though for Ciato and Tom's behavior, same as Kefit. 

- Roukanken, who has been the victim of Pesco's insanity and spent most of the game embroiled in setup stupidity.  I'm very neutral on him but can't class him as a lurker.


The Lurkers
- Kiro
- Alice
- Jam

Rou/Kiro/Alice/Jam I am very neutral on.  There's probably scum in there but I'd have to go back and intensively reread each of them to form an opinion.

The Scummy
- UK
- Chaos

These two I don't have much to say on as I think much has already been said.

As I said yesterday I want the whole UK/Chaos/Serp trio dead, accepting the probability that scum will probably get a head out of them somewhere.  I would propose Chaos > UK today but we are met with another behavior altering day condition.  This day condition makes me want to go for Kefit or myself knocking off a scummy player.  It is 4 AM and I am tired, typing poorly and not up for doing extensive rereads now so I'll leave this as is for the time being.  Suggestions?

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 22, 2010, 10:16:38 AM
OOH PRETTY SHINY THINGY I WANT

This now makes the idea of a Chaore/UK fight very discomforting. Whoever wins, we basically have to give a prize, so I'd go for someone who we're relatively confident in.

Kiro is amazing in that I actually just remember he's posted a lot, but I don't remember anything that he's said. That said, I sort of haven't been giving this game 100% for a few days now with all the recent madness. >_>

Alice also suffers from the above, but since both these players are relatively skilled I don't see why Alex/Ciato would throw themselves away after being paired with them. They claimed 1 head in total after the D2 incident, which is why I'm still stuck in WIFOM-land over Alex. My head says Town and that I'm being paranoid, so yeah.

K4U...hmm. That roleclaim is the only thing that's really keeping her alive, it seems. I'm worried that if she's scum she'll wait until the last minute before showing herself up as something else entirely and clinching scum their last head, so I'd prefer if she used her power sooner rather than later.

I never understood the Cid copclaim. How does it work? Is he sitting on four results by now? Is he still paranoid about a framer even with two dead scum? If he actually has results, I'd like to see them. :|

So yeah, I'd go for TownieNominatedPlayer vs. UK today. Alex seems the most logical choice - I gave Kiro too much credit for wordswordswords and unless Day 2 was the biggest gambit ever and Alex was running on getting himself lynched he's very likely Town.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: El Cideon on February 22, 2010, 11:23:35 AM
I said I started with zero charges, Rou. I won't have any results until I've killed someone.

Strongly advise against pitting two people we think are scum against each other today. Dunno what that prize might be, but why risk giving it to someone who's alignment is questionable?

Need to go back and take a close look at anyone who was still pushing the Bard lynch after all this time. Seems easy for scum to sit on that case and hide in lingering doubts about D1. Agree with Alex that someone townie vs. UK/Chaore is a reasonable suggestion for today's duel.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Kiro on February 22, 2010, 11:42:15 AM
With today's special prize, I'm in favor of Alex being our victor. With Serp and Bard both flipping Town, my main suspicion goes to UK. I'm not even sure how that matchup yesterday even came forward as it pretty much was a period of discussion with Chaore threatening to challenge and lose to Cid and then UK decides to go to Serp. It came about rather suddenly and I'm a little wary of how she managed to take the discussion into an opportune time to "alleviate Town's fears." There was no Scumflip so I can't say there's any alleviation at the moment.

In a way, this situation also could have been a ploy to save Chaos from doing something rash since bravado gets you Townie points until you're actually committed. I'd be interested to see whether Chaos would be willing to lie down for Alex like he was offering for Cid. The choice between the 2 could make a difference actually.

At the moment, UK is also the only loose end and would help determine whether Scum have snagged 1 or 2 heads thus far. That kind of information can go a long way to determine how much a cushion we have to work with and I'm comfortable enough with letting Alex get that kill.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 22, 2010, 04:08:25 PM
Special prize today? Ooooh. :D that of course means we have to be super careful with who we choose to challenge.

Dunno about UK, she originally wanted to challenge Chaore rather than Serp though that could have been only to get some sort of cred. She isn't really scummy rather than simply antagonistic, but it's once again becoming difficult to find truly scummy behavior round these parts...
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 22, 2010, 04:33:17 PM
Well, first, I won't be around for the rest of today.

secondly, I figure I'm probably going to die today. I'm really rather pissed that I was wrong about one of my picks. I'm also irritated I was bullied into challenging Serp instead of Chaore. But, I've already explained why I couldn't in good conscience challenge Chaore. Kiro, I love how you seem to forget the fact that I also said I couldn't challenge Chaore because I didn't want to give Chaore a head since that battle could have gone either way, and I had enough suspicion of Serp, and enough people supporting me vs. Serp to justifiably challenge him. Turns out I was wrong there, but try not to obfuscate the facts too much, Kiro.

Thirdly, I am willing to die, but only towards someone I think is pro town. That would be Alex, Cid, or Rou atm. I don't think there's any disagreement on my first two picks, so either of those two will be fine.

Fourthly, I'd rather NOT die since I am town, and if there is a possibility I won't die, I'd prefer Chaore be challenged. Preferably by Cid, Alex, or Rou.

Fifthly, I'd advise looking at the people who pushed me to challenge Serp. I think there is probably a scum amongst them. I'll look at it myself when I am actually free to have time.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Edible on February 22, 2010, 06:04:08 PM
14-ish hours remain to challenge.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 22, 2010, 09:22:38 PM
I'd be interested to see whether Chaos would be willing to lie down for Alex like he was offering for Cid. The choice between the 2 could make a difference actually.

I'd say outright I prefer to die to Cid. I don't think dying to Alex would have any chance of revealing scum, seeing as he has neither the claim to disprove, or cop powers to offer.

After Serp's flip... Uh... Yeah, I'm going to have to say I'm Cid food here. Its really a choice between today or tomorrow.

Fifthly, I'd advise looking at the people who pushed me to challenge Serp. I think there is probably a scum amongst them. I'll look at it myself when I am actually free to have time.

I don't see the goaders actually being worth much unless I come up scum. Rou has a point, Serp is not special. There is no good reason for anyone to believe that Scum wanted Serp dead badly. Therefore, the act of goading UK away is something that only benefits me. I'm sure I could be missing something, But I'd say it was just the fact Serp looked scummy and town wanted him out.

Then again, you're probably still thinking I'm scum. So these are wasted words on you until you hit 3/5 missed.

My opinion on today's match, as a possible deathy, is null. I'll say whichever of us remains should probably be fed to Cid tomorrow, regardless of flip. Therefore, all possible loose ends on Serp's death are tied up, and any possible leads are revealed or shot down.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: El Cideon on February 22, 2010, 10:20:49 PM
Quite willing to step up to the plate today, really. I think the sooner we get results, the better, and the more players that are around when I run an investigation, the less chance scum have of screwing with things if there is a framer among their ranks (still have no way of knowing whether or not there is one, of course--it seems obvious to me that the flavor titles we see on a flip have no obvious connection to the actual power role the player had, so we wouldn't necessarily know what we've killed).

Chaore's willingness to die still unnerves me a little but that could be a scum ploy. Hell, it got me to question myself yesterday, why not do it again? So that's an option still. I'm really starting wonder about some of the people who've managed to avoid being talked about for most of the game, though--Jam and Alice stand out here.

...Hrm. The more I think about it, the more I think my role needs to get active while it might still be useful. Stating intent to challenge someone before bed tonight (~6 hours away) barring serious objections from a significant number of players. Probably Chaore, but I'll do some rereading and see if anyone else jumps out at me. 6 hours isn't super-close to deadline, I know, but deadline looks like it'll happen when I'm either asleep or have just woken up and not had time to review new posts, so.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 22, 2010, 11:21:34 PM
There's no way to DISprove Cid's claim, since if he's lying he's scum and knows everyone's alignment already and can make up whatever he wants.  If Cid is scum we'd also be handing the mystery prize into his hands as well as a head today.   We have nearly zero proof Cid is town and a very nasty gambit on our hands if he is scum.  Giving Cid a head and the prize today is terrible policy.  Even if he is town and truthful, if the prize grants some sort of action (and I'm having a hard time thinking of other things it could grant) we have no guarantee that it'll be usable in conjunction with his cop power, it is entirely likely there is a "one action per day" limit similar to those on night actions in normal Mafia games. 

I would scream bloody murder about this if it weren't for my reads on Ciato/Tom's actions saying Cid is also probably town.  Probably.  Shakily.  I fully admit that this is entirely player-based from knowing Ciato and Tom and I have no idea whatsoever why UK and Chao are giving Cid a pass out of nowhere.  It is very disturbing. 

Chao's death wish and lack of contribution is also very disturbing.  As with Serp, there's no real way to distinguish between scum and town buying into facepalmingly terrible ideas. 

On further thought, I do agree that this is a good time to start slamming lurkers.  I really, really want to see Alice and Jam post before we challenge today, but with time pressure and their posting habits this is iffy.  I support Kefit or myself vs Alice, Jam, Kiro, UK or Chao, in roughly that order of preference right now.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 22, 2010, 11:42:05 PM
Five lynch line.

That is a pretty sizable part of the player base, based simply on Lurking.

Hey. Why are they all in front of me and UK, anyway?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: El Cideon on February 22, 2010, 11:55:32 PM
Even if he is town and truthful, if the prize grants some sort of action (and I'm having a hard time thinking of other things it could grant) we have no guarantee that it'll be usable in conjunction with his cop power, it is entirely likely there is a "one action per day" limit similar to those on night actions in normal Mafia games.

This is my only misgiving about acting today and I'll grant that it's a valid point. Still feel like it would be better to have an investigation done sooner rather than later. Getting the nasty suspicion that there's scum hiding in one of the lurkers I've been overlooking for most of the game. Still wish to proceed. Anyone else object?

Anyway, reread up through page 11 or so. Pretty well sold on Chaore at the moment. Has been the king of showing up to lynch trains late, only casting votes when things were nearly decided (if at all) and his penchant for being adamantly opposed to supporting Alex day 2 while making virtually no mention of Ciato still looks weird to me. Other people?

-UK I'm honestly not that sure about right now. I can easily see the fixation on Bard as being a townie with a bad case of blinders, and the D1 slapfight with Bard? Was a mess, but I see no good reason for scum UK to insert herself into what we now know was a townie vs. townie duel with such vigor.

-Jam looks like our lurker extraordinaire. Probably a good target soon. Alice doesn't post often but what's there if usually perfectly rational and there's not much I can find fault with, so less sold there.

-K4U I find hard to associate with particular stances, in retrospect. Obviously this is problematic. It occurs to me that the roleclaim could be entirely true and still be on the side of scum.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 12:01:53 AM
...I'm sorry, has this turned into mediocre posting week?

Finish your reread. Come back. Take a double look at what is now very wrong with your post there. ESPECIALLY since you have no excuse ignoring things a few pages back. What the -hell-, Cid?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: El Cideon on February 23, 2010, 12:07:58 AM
I didn't say I was done, man. Chill out. Since there was already something to respond to I tossed in what I was thinking by the halfway point in the same post. Didn't see any harm in reporting in.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 12:09:01 AM
Apologies. After Alex's last post there, I'm a bit worried on what is actually being thought here.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 12:20:31 AM
Quote
Then again, you're probably still thinking I'm scum. So these are wasted words on you until you hit 3/5 missed.

If you are town, it would be 2/5 missed. Kiro was my fifth pick, not Serp.

Quote
I would scream bloody murder about this if it weren't for my reads on Ciato/Tom's actions saying Cid is also probably town.  Probably.  Shakily.  I fully admit that this is entirely player-based from knowing Ciato and Tom and I have no idea whatsoever why UK and Chao are giving Cid a pass out of nowhere.  It is very disturbing. 

Cid just feels town to me. As do you. Kefit I'm a little less certain of. We could always go with Rou ^-^.

Like I said, you can challenge me if you'd like. I just would prefer to see Cid get his copperness out if it exists. Admittedly, a cop claim is not exactly the most believable, I just feel his actions don't feel non town.

Oh, hey, Cid, thanks for reminding me I have a case on Chaore based on his voting activity in prior challenges (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259675#msg259675)

I think I even more support Cid vs. Chaore.

In other news, I'm obviously back. Got computer back for good behavior.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 23, 2010, 12:50:04 AM
If Cid is a cop, I agree that it'd be best to get him the ability to use the ability. If it wasn't for the special prize today, I would probably be for letting him take a head today. However... as has been said [and is really just obvious] he could be lying. If this is the case, well we don't want him having a special prize.

I feel like we should just not have Cid in the challenge this time around and he could go next time [unless we get screwed by the Hime Star again].

As for who should fight today? I don't even know anymore. I want to say Chaore and someone townie. Scum or town, having someone suicidal is just kind of irritating, and it's difficult to tell if he's just suicidal town or scum trying to get us to think "oh he must be town if he just wants to die!"
However, the goal of scum is to try and get in a fight and WIN. So... I'm just confused by him. Ugh... >>
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 12:54:05 AM
Well, there is the WIFOM that actually appeared to be sorta working from Chaore. You know, the fact people started figuring he was just dumb town, so pushing it further might be him trying to see if he can survive a confrontation. Though he'd probably prefer to be against someone scummy rather than someone accepted as town, he can't exactly say that, ne?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 12:54:05 AM
"oh he must be town if he just wants to die!"

Its a bit more 'Make the hell use of your own death'.

Though at this point, I'm wondering if I really do just want out of here.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 23, 2010, 01:16:48 AM
I support someone townish vs. Chaore today.  I wouldn't mind someone townish vs. UK, but I'm not sure how much of my read on her is colored by my dislike of her playstle.  Seriously, yesterday was really embarassing. >_>;;  So, I prefer someone vs. Chaore over someone vs. UK at this point. 

I'm also not really getting where people are getting these town reads on Kefit.  Can someone (or everyone, that'd be awesome too) explain it to me?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 01:20:04 AM
I'm also not really getting where people are getting these town reads on Kefit.  Can someone (or everyone, that'd be awesome too) explain it to me?

Doubling this.

Alex seems to have had this feeling for a while. Confirm if its gut for me, would you, Alex?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: El Cideon on February 23, 2010, 01:40:49 AM
I support someone townish vs. Chaore today.

K4U: Can I ask if you have a preference for the former player? Yes, this is a loaded question--I want as many people as possible to chime in on whether I should challenge Chaore. Presently stands at a couple nays opposite support from UK (well, and me, but I won't count myself unless the outcome is otherwise a tie).

At page 19 on reread (jesus christ so many words not doing this again) not yet seeing this glaring oversight, Chaore.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 01:43:03 AM
At page 19 on reread (jesus christ so many words not doing this again) not yet seeing this glaring oversight, Chaore.

I'll wait till your final report before that decision is made.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 23, 2010, 01:51:07 AM
Kefit has posted using logic and reason from the beginning.  He hasn't bought into "mind hax", walls of text, "kill anyone who wins vs a townie" or other patently false or anti-town beliefs.  He has formed and stated opinions clearly and keenly, and been willing to abandon previous opinions once they are shown to be false.  All of his posts are memorable, coherent and contentful.  That's about as protown as someone can get in my book, and doubly so in this environment and this game.  He is unique in possessing these qualities compared to the rest of the game, except perhaps myself since I strive for those ideals in my play as well. 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 23, 2010, 01:53:28 AM
K4U: Can I ask if you have a preference for the former player? Yes, this is a loaded question--I want as many people as possible to chime in on whether I should challenge Chaore. Presently stands at a couple nays opposite support from UK (well, and me, but I won't count myself unless the outcome is otherwise a tie).

Yeah, you probably do make the most sense.  I have a strong enough town read on you that I doubt your lying about your ability and we obviously want you to be able to have a choice.

Second choice would be Rou because he looks extremely townie to me too.

Ninja by Alex.  I have to wonder why scum can't be logical, oppose attempts to break the set up etc., so I suppose I'll just have to disagree.  I'll reread him later to make sure I'm not missing something on his content, but I don't remember being real impressed.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: El Cideon on February 23, 2010, 02:14:15 AM
I'll wait till your final report before that decision is made.

I don't see anything that significantly impacts my other recent statements. I see you casting vote #5 on for UK's survival, if that's what you mean, but this isn't a major alteration of your voting pattern. Bard suicide, of course, is the most noteworthy event in the past couple pages, but this isn't directly relevant to anything I've said in this last batch of posting (while Bard imploding likely was significantly driven by UK never letting up on him, I don't believe this result was really her intent). If there's still something you think I overlooked, let me know.

Little over two hours before I plan to check out for the night. Anyone around who hasn't weighed in on this yet?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 02:17:03 AM
I don't see anything that significantly impacts my other recent statements. I see you casting vote #5 on for UK's survival, if that's what you mean, but this isn't a major alteration of your voting pattern. Bard suicide, of course, is the most noteworthy event in the past couple pages, but this isn't directly relevant to anything I've said in this last batch of posting (while Bard imploding likely was significantly driven by UK never letting up on him, I don't believe this result was really her intent). If there's still something you think I overlooked, let me know.

Little over two hours before I plan to check out for the night. Anyone around who hasn't weighed in on this yet?

I uh. Wait. What the hell?

You have NOTHING TO SAY ON THE ENTIRE DAY? -Nothing-?!

Good lord. If you're our cop, we are proper screwed...
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: El Cideon on February 23, 2010, 02:27:24 AM
I think the day was a clusterfuck, if that helps any, and no single party was solely responsible for what happened. There was a certain amount of goading the group away from an apparent consensus of me vs. you for the day's challenge which did not entirely originate from the day's ultimate contestants. And none of this significantly changes my opinion of you, so I saw little point in breaking it down in a series of posts that were mostly directed at gathering a group perspective on that delayed Cid vs. Chaore challenge.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Edible on February 23, 2010, 02:30:46 AM
You have some small amount of hours left.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 02:33:03 AM
Around 4 and a half, since Edible is too lazy to math. :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 02:43:04 AM
Kefit has posted using logic and reason from the beginning.  He hasn't bought into "mind hax", walls of text, "kill anyone who wins vs a townie" or other patently false or anti-town beliefs.  He has formed and stated opinions clearly and keenly, and been willing to abandon previous opinions once they are shown to be false.  All of his posts are memorable, coherent and contentful.  That's about as protown as someone can get in my book, and doubly so in this environment and this game.  He is unique in possessing these qualities compared to the rest of the game, except perhaps myself since I strive for those ideals in my play as well.

Logic is one thing. Lack of memorable analysis is another. And that's certainly been rampant in Kefit's posts. Sorry, I think your criteria are wrong. As K4U said, Scum CAN be logical without promoting town goals.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 03:00:22 AM
Hey, UK. Hows your gut feeling at the moment? Alright?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 03:06:41 AM
And what's that supposed to mean, Chaore? I think the only strictly gut read I have is Rou. I've pretty well demonstrated why I think you are scummy. Course, I was wrong on Bard...
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 03:09:18 AM
And what's that supposed to mean, Chaore? I think the only strictly gut read I have is Rou. I've pretty well demonstrated why I think you are scummy. Course, I was wrong on Bard...

Exactly as it sounds. You're pretty sure Rou is town, aye?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 03:10:37 AM
Aye, I'm pretty sure about that. It's maddeningly hard to explain.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 03:14:15 AM
Aye, I'm pretty sure about that. It's maddeningly hard to explain.

Don't bother. I'll just take my bets.

##Challenge: Roukanken

Here's hopin' you're right.

Clarification: Not trusting Alex or Cid right now. I think I'll go with Rou.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 03:21:49 AM
.
.
.

Seriously?

SERIOUSLY?

Eh, fuck it, at least you picked Rou

##Vote: Roukanken
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: El Cideon on February 23, 2010, 03:25:15 AM
Well, this is pretty easy. Unilateral challenger out of nowhere vs. someone that I've not had any problems with. Will give Rou a formal vote once one of the mods puts up the official CHALLENGE announcement.

Ninja:...Or I may as well just do it now since UK's already started. Sorry if we're jumping the gun here, mods.

##Vote: Roukanken
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Edible on February 23, 2010, 03:40:19 AM
You're not.

CHALLENGE ACCEPTED!  Chaore vs. Roukanken, GO!

Roukanken (2): UncertainKitten, El Cideon

10 alive, 6 to win.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 23, 2010, 03:46:14 AM
Need anything even be said beyond somewhat of a [facepalm]?

No. >>

##Vote: Roukanken
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 23, 2010, 04:13:13 AM
Oh my god, what just happened. For reference I've basically been finishing up a major term project which is due in 2 days and thus have hardly had any time to do anything. I should be better now.

Oh my god Chaore what the fuck are you doing oh my god what.

Well this certainly puts a wrench into analysis: first off, Chaore, why do you "not trust Alex" today? There is virtually no reason to suspect he is Scum unless the D2/D3 clusterfuck is even worse than we all have been expecting. That being said, everything so far seems to point to Tom panicking more than anything else.

Cid hasn't exactly been great so far. Iffy and wishy-washy on virtually everything, and I don't know why everyone thinks he's so Pro-Town. I don't get any sort of a Scummy read off of him, but I don't get one that's Townie either. Basically completely neutral at the moment. None of his contributions have really helped in trying to ascertain his alignment so far.

That being said, while I don't think Cid is a good choice for today's challenge simply because of the shiny bauble as Alex has stated in his posts, what you did was kind of...what.

I'd classify Chaore's move in his latest post as some kind of weird Scum gambit except I've been iffy on you and leaning very strongly pro-Town on Roukan and if you seriously thought you could win this challenge after what happened on D1 and D2 then you're either the dumbest Scum to have ever lived, or, sadly, yet another Townie.

That being said, choice is obvious here, ##Vote: Roukanken
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 04:18:36 AM
As an aside, assuming Chaore flips scum, I think I'll have to revise my read of Roukanken.

I get a very...bragging feeling from Chaore's last post.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 04:22:05 AM
EBWOP: I don't mean automatic revision, just a second look at his posts with a close eye for problems.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 05:17:55 AM
Wait what? Get out of this alive? Are you kidding me?

If you assume that was ever my intent, you've gotta be kidding me. I've made it clear I'm preparing my death bed, if as stupidly as seems trademark to me.

I'll say it out right. I'm getting odd vibes from Alex right now. That is the only reason I'm wary. I don't have any hard core belief on him, but he suddenly took an odd jump with his new suggestion. Enough lynches, three without good reason and little revelations, to put us at a supposed 'Lylo' if there are, in fact, 3 Scum. His Kefit analysis is as shoddy as they come. Did our 'confirmed townie' suddenly start relaxing? You think he'd put a bit more effort with so much on the line, and with two supposed scum in front of him. Oh. And keep in mind Ciato suggested 'Chaos Vs. Alex'. Something I'd lose.

Kefit himself seems somewhat worrying. UK and K4U have pointed out hes really done shit all but take the challenge of the obvscum on in Kiro's stead, and launch a case against Serp. We know how that turned out. I'm all for him getting looked at. By proxy, if he turns up scum, I do wonder why the hell Alex is so joined at the hip to him. I'm not sure how, but he somehow managed to pick -3 scum- in the D2 mess if Kefit does come up scum. At that point. It seems more likely he KNEW who he was picking and for why. Tom just modified it by removing a scum to get a head for them.

So. Yeah. Consider Kefit. Long shot, but in a game where people do elect champions- What better way to get kills than to bus the hell out of yourselves beyond belief? It makes more sense why Tom and Ciato were playing badly- They were meant to, so there would be a 'reason' why they got picked out of everyone. For one, after last game, seeing Tom just do that is... Remarkably odd.

On Cid, having nothing to say on yesterday is pretty terrible. While not my shining hour, you think he'd have comments on other people who were scraping by. I honestly do not like his attitude. The fact he sounds like he has no planning going for his planned investigates makes me more worried. An Incompetent cop is as good as none.

UK isn't cleared if I come up Town. It just means I wasn't a scum buddy, and she was afraid of Cid getting a cop power out. Likely not scum if Cid is and vice versa.

Rou is fine unless I come up Scum, so it comes to that.

So yeah. Good luck with this. Hell knows it ain't my problem after this. :V

Just thoughts before I die. Feel free to ignore me. For all I know, it could just be Jam, Alice, UK/Cid.

Also. Whatever the hell Rou gets better be bitching.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Kiro on February 23, 2010, 05:35:29 AM
This game never ceases to amaze me.

In regards to Chaos: what? You're willing to die to Cid because it could reveal Scum, but not to Alex because it won't, and then you challenge Rou because he's more trusting than the both of them? The logic is twisted all over the place. Frankly, it looks a little like a case where you picked a target you have a better chance of winning against (however small that is). Otherwise, still makes no damn sense.

As for Rou: now that I have to think about him in the challenge spotlight, objectively there's nothing there to suggest he leans one way or the other. Meta wise, still leans Town. I don't think the wagon will change towards Chaos anyways and Rou should be ok.

##Vote Roukanken for survival. This is the L-1 vote.

I'll be back in 8 hours or so.

Cut by Chaos: So you are painting it as a Townie death... still can't believe why though. A Town v Town duels mentality is crappy this late in the game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 05:49:31 AM
Again, You are a complete moron if you think I intend to live here. :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 05:52:29 AM
EBWOP: Actually. Screw this shit. Tickets here.

##Vote: Roukanken

Not a second to waste. I'm sure you wouldn't have any need for it anyway.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 23, 2010, 06:00:00 AM
Kiro: why did you vote Chaore up to L-1? Was that really necessary?

Chaore: please go commit self-immolation posthaste, thanks.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Chaore on February 23, 2010, 06:05:06 AM
Chaore: please go commit self-immolation posthaste, thanks.

Same to you, buddy. :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 23, 2010, 06:08:28 AM
I think it is technically night now (why exactly is there night in a nightless game?) but hopefully I am still allowed to at least post this.

(http://img411.imageshack.us/img411/3058/psyduck.gif)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 23, 2010, 06:12:10 AM
We're not exactly strict when it comes to night posting.

Hell, we're not exactly strict when it comes to most styles of normally-taboo posting in the game thread.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Kefit on February 23, 2010, 06:25:13 AM
Uh, holy shit. I end up being busy all day with Appellate Advocacy Competition stuff and I come back to find that a duel both started and ended during my absence.

I'm gonna be pretty damn busy tomorrow too, but I'll try to sneak in a post or two if I can.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 5)
Post by: Pesco on February 23, 2010, 07:08:55 AM
We're not exactly strict when it comes to night posting.

Hell, we're not exactly strict when it comes to most styles of normally-taboo posting in the game thread.

Dead people post all the time. Ain't no rule against it (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg248697#msg248697) :smug:
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Carthrat on February 23, 2010, 07:19:57 AM
6. Higurashi Akane (chaos) was defeated by Okuzaki Akira (rou) in The Battle of the Hot Sauce!

(http://img215.imageshack.us/img215/426/yf21macrossplus.jpg) (http://img215.imageshack.us/i/yf21macrossplus.jpg/)

15. Harada Chie (cid), Town Photographer was blown up by an ATS missile battery!

It is Round 6! The Hime Star is bloated and foul! There are no special events today!

You have 24 hours to gossip on who will fight today!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 23, 2010, 07:35:16 AM
town.

town. 

why would you do this
why would you do this
why would you do this
why would you do this

Rou what did you get. 

Was it the remote control for an ATX missile strike?

Was it?


Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 23, 2010, 08:17:13 AM
So apparently I can win fights without even doing anything. T_T

Anyway now that I've beaten up the Townie that wanted to be beaten up (seriously Chaore what the hell) my shiny thingy is an extra vote. I'm now a doublevoter for the rest of the game.

Unfortunately, this apparently also bumps up the number of votes necessary to actually force a lynch. So yeah.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 23, 2010, 08:44:02 AM
it would be something provable wouldn't it

no, NO, they wouldn't make things EASY now WOULD THEY eheheheh.

you wouldn't think a killer gynoid could go insane now would you.

The logical thing to do at this point is something like Alice vs Jam or Rou vs Kiro but seriously?  How does plan "Alex and maybe Kefit kill everyone" sound?

Kiro's last post is horribly scummy, dropping L-1 for no good reason (everyone voting there was voting for NO GOOD REASON WHY WOULD YOU SNAP VOTE no no calm down ignore that) and blithely supporting Rou.

I'm going to bed now.  My apologies.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 03:51:33 PM
God.

DAMMIT.

Ok...we have 8 alive, and scum have claimed at least 1.99 heads. There are two to three scum left alive, and we don't get lylo announcements.

Can we kill Kiro now? Not that I exactly have the best track record anymore for catching scum :S.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 03:55:15 PM
Oh yeah! Set up speculation tiem! Remember how Serp suggested Hime Star events could be controlled by scum? Well, perhaps they only get one action per day, and instead of setting the Hime Star, this time they launched missiles.

/Setup speculationz
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kiro on February 23, 2010, 05:32:26 PM
I can't take back the L-1 vote and don't intend to. As for what I saw, Jam and Alice had already made their posts and voted which if I recall were opinions that we wanted to be made known. The only people missing are Alex, Kefit, K4U, and Rou himself and other than possibly K4U, I would have a high degree of certainty that the other 3 would vote for Rou's survival.

I should note that in this case, Chaos was darn Town who just has to sit there and let discussion run on. But the onus was on us collectively to not get the vote to L-1 and I messed that up. I will not cop out by saying I was in a rush because I wasn't. However, I do not see the problem with my points on Rou. It would be blind bad luck for TownChaos to throw himself willingly to ScumRou, but he knew that's what he wanted and he trusted his instincts enough to think Rou is Town and I also feel the same way about Rou.

As for this ATS missile thing, it could possibly be Rou's thing, but I doubt it and I think the voting record will show that. Likely Scum motivated if they're scared about the Cop claim which is more or less true now due to Cid's town flip.

As for people who I think are Scum, Alice stands out quite a bit now. His content is minimal and then punctuated by snippets like *headdesk* at the Bard modkill. In other words, you're active lurking and while that's normal for you, it's always a reason I never trust you. You've been able to make long posts so I know you can make the time when necessary. And I don't like how your rhetorical question about my L-1 vote just sits there. It's just waiting to be framed in some fashion so I've put forward what I have of it and will see your response. Little less sure of what to make regarding comments in Day 4 that in some ways urged UK along to challenging Serp rather than Chaos. It's possible rationalization for getting a scumbuddy UK an easier matchup. I doubt Town Alice would have cared nearly as much (as both have flipped Town) and that's really been your only real contribution to the game.

For UK, the ability to pick between 2 people that have flipped Town is just disturbing. The willingness to go for one you thought was less likely to be scum over the other strong suspicion and using words like "appease Town" is just trying to divert the fact that she's picking the match she wants, and did it very quickly with little input from Serp. Even if Serp as a Townie thought it was ok once the challenge was in, it's not good enough. There's also the long spat with Bard who came out to be Town as well as a possible setup. And I'll just throw in the Alice link now for good measure.

K4U's case on UK is a bit weird as she defended Serp correctly while pressing on UK before backing off. If you're annoyed mostly by her playstyle, it's not really a good case and I addressed this earlier along with the idea that she was reaching on some of her cases. Furthermore, the backtrack could just be holding herself back on accusing a scumbuddy UK too seriously or even that she realizes her case is no good. So we'll need to see who you think is Scum now at this point of the game.

Jam is still no content this game. At this point, it seems too apathetic to be Scum but at the same time, any lurking Scum adds +1 to the majority cleanup if they get there so there's value in it. It's a 50/50 chance and given how she says she's been confused all game, I'm not sure how honest that is. I'd like her to respond the most to what's going on these days.

And to talk about Kefit, I disagree with how his content has been overwhelmingly pro-Townie now. There just isn't enough recently and I dislike Alex's personal preference for calling me a lurker earlier and not fingering Kefit. I should also realize that the decision to go for Ciato is neutral at best as winning a duel against Scum really doesn't mean anything. Not really a primary pick for Scum, but I'd put him similar to Jam at this point now except he has some content including the post dissecting Serp and UK.

Rou and Alex are not nearly enough of a priority to place above anybody else even if I dislike Alex's reasoning for wholeheartedly clearing Kefit.

UK: Anything you want to add? I don't see your updated Scum picks since Chaos didn't turn out to be one.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 23, 2010, 05:44:08 PM
Quote

UK: Anything you want to add? I don't see your updated Scum picks since Chaos didn't turn out to be one.

That's basically going to involve a reread from page 10. Which is going to fatigue the hell out of me, especially since I'm adding a step to the process to try to make it readable. I'll try to make sure it gets done today, though.

In other news, I shall be so bold as to compare my play to RKS mafia in my defense. Started out right on the obvscums, then went so horribly wrong. And people thought I was scummy all that game as well. I think we have another case of me being on the wrong cases at the wrong times. Granted, we don't have a convenient cop read on me to save me, which is not good for me. Regardless, I will produce something before the end of this day, even if I'm challenged and slated to be killed. I can't guarantee it will be before the challenge phase ends but I will try to make sure it is.

As for "picking the match I wanted", no, I wanted a match against Chaore but fucked up to the point that I would probably have been giving scum Chaore a head had I challenged him. Course, it turns out he wasn't scum but that was my belief at the time. Basically, I had been defending Serp by accident, and if I had challenged Chaore that likely would have been brought to bear against me, combined with his suicidal attitude, resulting my death.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 23, 2010, 06:20:03 PM
Well Cid was obviously the cop... seeing as he got blown up. [sigh]
It's now clear that, of course scum has roles to take us down if necessary! I highly doubt Rou was given the bomb as it would be pretty silly to use it right away. The extra vote thing seems to make sense and will be provable as the number of votes we need to end a challenge should go up this next time around.
[Unless it was a missile and then taking the vote of the person who was missiled... but I think that's a bit of a stretch.]
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 23, 2010, 08:58:47 PM
Chaore, why the heck did you self hammer before all of us could even talk?  I could understand doing that if you're scum, but there's almost never any reason to self-hammer as town. *sigh*  Ah well.  Anyway, I would have voted for Rou for the curious.  I had a scum read on Chaore and a town read on Rou, so it was an easy choice for me.

I think I need to reread the game.  I didn't have a scum read on Kiro before yesterday, but that L-1 vote was suspicious, so I might have just been missing something.  I'll get this done as quickly as I can, but I just got slammed with two school projects, so it might take me a while.  Sorry about that.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kefit on February 23, 2010, 09:32:45 PM
*sneaks away from school stuff for a moment*

God dammit, this appellate advocacy competition is eating away at my life more than I could have possibly expected. I will make a substantial post when I get back tonight, barring unfortunate hyperspeed hammers.

Speaking of which, don't do that. Please. Four townie deaths in a row has heavily damaged the advantage that town held after day 3, and #scum could potentially equal #town in just two more duels (or one, if any other seemingly random kills pop up). We need to carefully consider our options now and actively go after percieved scum.

Once again, I'll be back with player reads later tonight.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 23, 2010, 10:51:40 PM
Okay so I really haven't had the heart to pay much attention to this game today, I'm tired as all hell -_-

What I will say is that I don't like how Kiro's post basically accused everyone of being suspicious for one reason or another. That makes the wall completely and utterly useless. If you list suspicions of everyone, none of them are worth anything.

Would like to see Kiro go today in light of this and the L-1 vote yesterday.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 24, 2010, 02:40:56 AM
Okay it's great that people may or may not come back tomorrow or two days from now or whenever, but we have about five hours to challenge.  (THIS IS WHY INSTANT VOTING IS BAD WE COULD HAVE HAD TWO FULL DAYS TO DISCUSS DURING THAT CHALLENGE)

The posts today are all pretty bad.  Let's go in order.

UK:  The scum don't control the Hime Star conditions, the mod does.  That's pretty obvious just from the way they're portrayed and what they are.  I've run a game with daily conditions like this that Rat played in, too.  Setup speculation is fruitless anyway.  Hunt scum. 

Kiro:  It was your tone on defending Rou that I didn't like.   Agreed with most of the other points, but they're all also fairly obvious and don't give any sort of real direction.  NOBODY should have voted Chaore even close to lynch that quickly, the fault increases with each successive voter.

UK again:  I still don't see any scum hunting here, just self defense and not a great job of it at that. 

Jam:  This post is just a restatement of very obvious events and has no real content!  Much like most of your posting. 

K4U:  Mostly fluff post here again, one thing of substance is saying Kiro's vote was suspicious.  I get a bad vibe from this for some reason since the vote ISN'T particularly suspicious unless you're suspicious of Rou or have other dirt on Kiro - she doesn't mention his tone or his defense of Rou, it reads like she's just parroting that here to take a good sounding stance without examining it.  Think and explain why you say the things you do.

Kefit: says nothing.  augh.

Rou:  Has a good solid point on Kiro's directionlessness.

Alice:  Nothing, because he hasn't posted all day!  augh.

On the snap I favor something Jam vs Alice here, or Rou vs Kiro.  Rou and Kiro are a minefield (and UK is only slightly less of one).  Jam and Alice have both lurked so much it'll be hard to pick between them, though I think I favor Jam to die on the whole here because that last post's recapping and missile talk is an actively scummy tone to me.



Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 03:50:35 AM
I shall start from the page 10 Wall of Text. Ciato and Tom were indeed scum. Chaore and Bard were not. Neither was Serp, a second string choice. Jam and Alice COULD potentially be the scums I overlooked. I'm still not sold on Kiro town. So, from there we continue.

Further, I will make two posts. The long, unabridged wall post of rereadery, and then a compressed post containing more succinct cases on whatever players I conclude are scum. I'll be looking for three names, and list them in order of lynch preference.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255494#msg255494) Kefit post bothers me. He's going with the one scum in Tom's group...but seems to be pushing it onto Kilga. Which seems POINTLESS given the fact that Tom and Kilga were both going to flip. But, the non commission to any reads is probably the worst part.

I'll note it's amazing how many holes in the game there are when you filter out dead players. I obviously am not paying as much attention to their posts as living players, although I do read them.

I'll admit that Alex scum would obviously be involved in bussing both Tom and Ciato since he was the only other option, so his history of "catching" them in the challenge doesn't count for as much.

Decent post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg256896#msg256896) from Kiro weighing Alex and Ciato, admittedly the two persons of the hour after D2. I see no fault with this post, though Ciato was obv going to hang that day.

Ok, this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257006#msg257006) post from Jam worries me. It softly discredits the possibility of Alex being scum with Tom/Ciato. I think that if it's decided that Jam will die today, and she flips scum, Alex needs to be next. However, I'll still need to decide if Jam is indeed scum.

K4U here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257036#msg257036) does the same thing as Jam. However, I wouldn't tie K4 and Alex as closely together. Why? K4U gives reasoning for why Alex/Tom/Ciato makes little sense, as opposed to Jam saying that would just be weird. Also, claim post, yay, cool.

Ciato was forced against Alex, so if they are scum together, she'd have to bus (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257105#msg257105). Thing is, this feels like genuine scum trying to frame a townie, IMO.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257196#msg257196) from Alex makes me feel bad. Alex on his own has been rather town. But...the people he suggests as town don't seem very clean to me. Kiro has fluctuated between good townie and IIoA scum master. Kefit has been mostly IIoA with few reads. I look forward to his post tonight. I'll admit, Kefit feels less scummy than my other picks of Alice and Jam but...Jam is starting to become a null read for me.

...
Dammit Alex (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257600#msg257600), you know, it's getting a lot harder to believe you are town when you try to argue Kiro is town for "being logical" when being logical is easy when you are providing set up information instead of player analysis. The push for "totally town" bothers me, but it has also come from dead town as well. I still think a more ambivalent read would be more town, and that's why this post bugs me. Other points are good, though Cid was town.

Kefit DOES point out here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257678#msg257678), quite accurately, that Alex pointing out why Alex vs. Ciato is bad is somewhat townie. Course, that's also where he challenges Ciato with, admittedly good reasoning. Laced with WIFOM but as long as we don't let Kefit win a challenge, we're golden. Letting him live to lylo might be a bad idea as well, thinking on it. Especially given the fact he could be scum who was trying to charge up his missile launcher. That's a conspiracy theory btw. Oh, if we lynch Kefit and he flips scum, also look at Alex and probably Alice or Kiro.

we revisit this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258056#msg258056). Still bugs me. Also makes me feel alright about adding a "look at Kiro and/or Alice and Alex if Kefit is scum" qualifier to the last post I commented on.

Revising earlier read. this Jam post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258412#msg258412) makes me want to clear Alex and Kefit if Jam flips scum. Bard obviously flipped town already...

I know there are two townies in this list (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258460#msg258460). I'm willing to guess there's a third if Kefit is scum. It's tenuous but I'll temporarily rule out Kefit/Kiro. So, if Kefit is scum, I want Alex and Alice to hang after him.

Alex starts moving away from Kiro (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258929#msg258929). I also note more people start suspecting Kiro in the pages between Alex's posts. Hmm. Also, the "ridiculousness" barometer as opposed to lynching by scumminess bugs me...

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258968#msg258968) is better at least, actually qualifying in scum/town terms rather than stupid/smart.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259167#msg259167) Kefit post flat bugs me. Especially since he seems to be actively engaging in exactly what he accused me of. Namely this:

Quote
Not a big deal, really, but hey, every seed of doubt that a scum can fabricate via a fallacious yet facially appealing argument has the potential of paying off big down the line.

What he does that emulates this is his first attack on Serp. There are six days between the first two posts he mentions. The third point is rather sound, though Serp DID flip town. Overall the facetious tone and the less than compelling nature of all points except the third one also bugs me.

Oh, and note the push for UK v. Serp. Alex also engaged in this IIRC?

Kiro pushes Serp (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259228#msg259228) (with minimal reasoning), "clears" Bard, Kefit, and Alex, and pokes Jam and Cid all in the same post. I'm not so sure Kefit/Kiro is as impossible as I though. But...still possible. I'm actually beginning to think that if Kiro is scum, one scum is slipped into those three.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259332#msg259332) from Alex does show flexibility. He wasn't trying to close off me challenging Chaos.

Ironically I say Kefit and Alex are town, but generally I back that up with "they aren't in my list"

Alice (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259348#msg259348) chimes in pushing for Serp. Chaore has a good point that Alice seemed to REALLY want me to challenge Serp. I am increasingly leaning Alice scum here.

On the flip side, Alice was right (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259363#msg259363) about Chaore town.

Alex (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259365#msg259365), who are you talking to here? Chaore or I? It's very important to determine if you were pushing Chaore or Serp against me.

You know? I realized something that will toss out impressions on the last few posts. Chaore and Serpy were BOTH TOWN. Therefore, people who were pushing for either/or of them are more likely to be scum.

Alex just became more scummy, Alice less so. Not sure what to make of Kefit. On the one hand, stuck to Serp over Chaore. On the other, case on Serp wasn't as great as most initially though. But yeah, I'm leaning Alex might really be scum.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259461#msg259461) is a beautiful case of pushing more Kefit town while still trying to frame me. Nice, isn't it? Note how OPEN I am as a lynch after Serp flips town.

Jam, I'm going to rename you Polly (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259607#msg259607). Polly has spent another post parroting everything already said. I don't like this.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259670#msg259670) post feels like coaching. of myself. I don't know WHY scum would coach town though, so I don't think I can make a point out of this.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259833#msg259833) post gives me good vibes on K4U, not that she necessarily bugged me. It was a town v. town challenge, but she was basically going against the tide of everyone else here, which causes her to stand out.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg260014#msg260014) Kiro post feels like it's half waffle, half opinion on Serp, who was probably going to lose at this point anyway.

I note I haven't really linked Rou posts. This is partially because I've taken no alignment issues with him, and partially because if I argued with every terrible point he's made, I'd merely be rehashing about 30% of my own posts, and making this wall pointlessly bigger.

this post from Kefit (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262159#msg262159) feels somewhat townie. Admitting he was wrong and he looks bad, but still rather proactively trying to get opinions and look at the right people...but...hmm...

I keep reading this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262210#msg262210). And the only thing I can see is "We can do it! Alex/Kiro scumteam GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO~!" (while framing UK)

Polly posts (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262327#msg262327) another waffly useless post.

Alex ties himself to Kefit (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262777#msg262777), paints Cid as possible scum (discrediting), then backs off and says his behavior is town. Then pushes lurker lynches + "Me or Kefit should get a prize!"

I'll be honest, the only thing worrying me is Kiro/Alex/Kefit seems too EASY, and that earlier Kefit/Kiro being unlikely post :S. And where does Alice figure in? I want to think he's scum but Kiro/Alex/Kefit doesn't allow for that. I am reasonably sure on Alex/Kiro at this point. But who's the third?

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262947#msg262947) post also bugs me. All the "pro town" qualities Alex mentions are mostly "He's made the game easier to read". While this is pro town in and of itself, if the content of these "easy" posts isn't up to scratch, it does not count.

this post by Alice (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263118#msg263118)...actually doesn't further my push for people who are scum with Alex. It feels like a more townie "I didn't notice anything wrong", the same line I've felt all game til now.

this post from Kiro (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263189#msg263189) I think embodies the issues I've had with him all game. There is RARELY analysis of the results of a previous challenge except where ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY to keep looking town. Nothing is ever given beyond the minimum. THIS IS NOT TOWN KIRO!

This is all I need (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263261#msg263261)

I am certain Alex is scum with this. He's trying to frame Rou (hoping Rou wouldn't get a confirmable bauble), and he knows exactly where the missiles came from.

I also am convinced he's bussing Kiro, but that might be confirmation bias.

As rou pointed out, Kiro painted everyone red (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263503#msg263503)

Polly is still useless.

THIS IS WHERE MY WALL OF TEXT ENDS AND CUTS BEGIN. YOU CAN READ ONLY MY RESPONSE TO CUTS IF YOU LIKE. NEXT POST WILL CONTAIN A SUCCINCT SUMMARY OF MY FINDINGS!

Finally, Cuts:
Quote

UK:  The scum don't control the Hime Star conditions, the mod does.  That's pretty obvious just from the way they're portrayed and what they are.  I've run a game with daily conditions like this that Rat played in, too.  Setup speculation is fruitless anyway.  Hunt scum.

I did. And caught you. And your buddy Kiro. And...well, Kefit's an odd one. No idea what to say here.

Alright, so that's it...let's see how I can say this.



















Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 03:51:39 AM
SUCCINCT POST OF WHY ALEX, KIRO, AND KEFIT NEED TO DIE!

Alex: Alex, Alex, how did I ever find you pro town. I don't want to think you'd be so audacious  as to clear your scumbuddies (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257196#msg257196), but I draw no other conclusion given the REST of your posts. Most notable is several (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257600#msg257600) times (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262947#msg262947) Alex puts ease of reading over actual scumhunting and putting out opinions. I'll quote myself for another issue I have with your play

Quote from: UK
You know? I realized something that will toss out impressions on the last few posts. Chaore and Serpy were BOTH TOWN. Therefore, people who were pushing for either/or of them are more likely to be scum.

The wiggle room here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259461#msg259461) also bugs me a lot.

Finally, the icing on the cake for my Alex case is this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263261#msg263261). As I said in my wall. He is trying to frame Rou. Oh, I didn't realize but he's also forcing Rou to claim the bauble, but that's not amazingly anti-town.

I FULLY SUPPORT ALEX'S DEATH TODAY! PREFERABLY AT THE HANDS OF ROU!

Now, next is Kiro. I tried to drop him, but I couldn't.

Kiro: Bugs me for one main reason I had enlightenment on here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263189#msg263189). Once again, a quote says it all:

Quote from: UK
this post from Kiro I think embodies the issues I've had with him all game. There is RARELY analysis of the results of a previous challenge except where ABSOLUTELY NECESSARY to keep looking town. Nothing is ever given beyond the minimum. THIS IS NOT TOWN KIRO!


The rest of it is just icing. Rou is right, Kiro does accuse EVERYONE in his last post. The L-1 thing is also bad. The  quoted point is really all the new I have to add to the case.

Finally, Kefit.

Kefit: is odd. I really, REALLY do not know how to take him. Honestly, I'm half leaning that I read Kefit scum as collateral damage from Alex/Kiro, hence why he's the last one on my list. Hell, I'm actually not finding much of Kefit encouraging this in my wall. A few of his less reasonable posts bug me, namely the semi-hypocritical (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259167#msg259167) post on Serp. But...this is my weakest scum read as I said. Kefit goes from reasonable to IIoA very quickly, and then goes back again. I really want to see his final player analysis.

So, why am I not pushing Alice or Polly* despite finding them scummy in my prior post? I do not know what to conclude from them. I'd replace Alice for Kefit in an instant, probably, I'll produce a case on that if asked, or you can figure it out in my wall. Polly has been parroting things all game, as I said. But she did the same exact thing last game as cop town. honestly, she might just be bad at coming up with her own opinions. She's probably the last "scummy" person I want to die.

At this point, I accept K4U and Rou as town. I never want to see them die. I myself know I'm town but that's not gonna do a lot, ne?

*Polly is Jam. see my wall for why, though it's kinna obvious.

Hopefully this fulfills your need for succinctness, everyone?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 04:10:08 AM
Oh, I would like to say I will not be around for challenge deadline, therefore I won't throw out any challenges. I just REALLY would like to see Rou vs. Alex lyk, soon.

Also, Kefit better produce those reads he promised.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kiro on February 24, 2010, 04:39:47 AM
My last post was placing people in order of who I think are likely Scum. So if I had my pick of the 3, it'd be Alice, UK, and K4U. Jam can possibly be switched with K4U and Kefit is the dark horse and will be reconsidered if we see a Town flip amongst my top 3. Didn't make that clear enough I guess.

Given UK's recent WoT... Alex as your top choice now? That's pretty nuts. Think about it from a Day 1 perspective. Without knowing what Town has in store for them (like the Cop), why would ScumAlex out 2 of his buddies and then get dragged into the Day 2 mess? You're expecting way too much. And the fact you're glossing over Alice in the WoT just makes me suspect you more.

In regards to Alice v. Jam, I just feel Jam hasn't put up enough of an effort this game to really go into any defense and it's more iffy against Alice. As for me and UK, that's a retarded mess yes and I'd rather not put faith into myself on that one despite what UK has just spouted. The Alex v. Rou suggestion is just retarded to me. I think Alex should just take out Alice or UK.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 24, 2010, 04:59:16 AM
How much until the challenge deadline?

>>
I really don't know. I suppose it is reasonable to trust Rou to handle whoever we decide to take down next as he does seem fairly town, and just about everyone seems to agree.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 24, 2010, 05:09:06 AM
>> Well I'm going to sleep.
Likelihood is I won't be back until after challenge deadline.

I'm cool with Rou challenging anyone people agree to... Alex is looking a maybe at this point... but beyond that I really don't see anyone looking at stuff today... not as if I have time to myself... >>
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 24, 2010, 05:23:22 AM
O...kay. Classes and midterms today made for being relatively busy. Argh, fuck you Chaore. Three hours to challenge. Reading over Kiro's post, it seems to be fairly on the worthless side: a lot of the accusations are garbage: first off that is not active lurking: active lurking is posting a lot yet not having any content, that is not this, that is me looking into the thread and seeing Bard be an idiot, more importantly there is this:
Quote from: Kiro
Little less sure of what to make regarding comments in Day 4 that in some ways urged UK along to challenging Serp rather than Chaos. It's possible rationalization for getting a scumbuddy UK an easier matchup. I doubt Town Alice would have cared nearly as much (as both have flipped Town) and that's really been your only real contribution to the game.
No, that is daft: this is still a game of mafia, and as Serp noted, it is still Town's priority to catch Scum. I personally thought Chaore was likely Town, principally due to the fact that if he were Scum he was actively throwing the game constantly and playing against his faction which is not the greatest reasoning but imho still valid, whereas Serp was more likely to, y'know, actually be Scum.

Oh, and why would I as Town only have cared about getting a Town lynch? Um, while lynching Town is not as bad here as it is in other games, Town still principally wants to off Scum, and this is why I preferred a Serp matchup over a Chaore matchup against UK that day. Why are these even accusations. What is this I don't even.

Your points on everyone else are at best worthless (so do you think K4U's actions actually are Scummy in the end or not? what is your case on UK? was it really necessary to implicate Rou in the ATS missile battery? etc), and you also seem to not lack a clear direction of who might be A GOOD TARGET for today oh my god.

Then we get to UK. What the fuck.

First off, if you claim Scum-Alex, you are claiming that the clusterfuck on D2 was some kind of masterful gambit to make Alex look good at the expense of Two Scum. While not impossible, this is honestly extremely goddamn implausible. Second of all, while I do admit that his praise for Kefit goes over the top at several times, the points he makes in the post you linked in the tl;dr version are all legitimate: unlike the vast majority of Town here, he isn't being a derpsicle, using "mindhax"-type techniques, posts useful, intelligent posts and his cases are clear, backed-up with evidence and easy to read and infer claims from. This is an extremely good thing. Combined with the fact that he has not done anything overtly Scummy makes him fairly low-priority on my Scum list.

FWIW, I don't blame Alex poking Rou about the ATX Missile Strike, it is a valid thing to consider given the circumstances. I DO blame Kiro asking about it, since he asked already AFTER Rou clarified this point.

Oh and what's all this with you and Roukan being so ridiculously Pro-Town. Why is he so Pro-Town? If you're faulting Alex for claiming that Kefit is very Townie while having insufficient evidence to backup your claims with, then don't do the same bloody thing yourself, it makes you look like a goddamn hypocrite.

So your case on Kefit is basically nonexistent, and yet you want him to die? Why? You claim that Jam might be Scum and while the meta tells are similar to RKS Mafia where she was Cop Town keep in mind that she is still a fairly new player and we have a meta pool of 1 (One) game for her and thus trying to use Meta to determine her alignment is quite possibly the most failure-prone thing imagineable oh my god anyway you want Kefit to die over someone who has done very little except parrot cases, by your own statements? You claim that Kefit is Scum because Alex is Scum, despite that the ties are largely one-sided Alex->Kefit and Scum-Alex could just be trying to set up Kefit's death on the slight case that perhaps he would ever die?

Oh my god.

Definetly support UK vs. Kiro at the moment unless some other bit of extremely important information comes up soon. Oh my god. Seriously, what the fuck, you two. Not totally against myself vs. Jam or Kefit vs. Jam either. Do not want Alex vs. anyone right now. DO NOT want Roukanken vs. anyone right now. In fact really I do not want anything other than UK/Kiro right now as nobody else looks nearly as awful as those two and it's also very unlikely that they are Scum together or both Town.

Would like to see another post from Alex, Kefit, Kiro and UK before deadline. Posts from everyone else would be great for that matter, thanks, an actual non-regurgitated case with a definitive stance on someone's Scumminess from Jam would be wonderful for one thing.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 24, 2010, 05:26:57 AM
Dear everyone trying to claim that Roukan should try to challenge someone: why is Roukan so Pro-Town? He hasn't done anything Scummy but y'know Scum have to act Townie as well in order to survive you giant derpsicles. On top of that he's already taken one head and also gotten some kind of shiny bauble as a reward for it which he claims is a doublevoter power. Why do we want him to potentially take a second head when his alignment is still undetermined?

No, it's not a case for him being *likely* Scum, I'm just wondering why the fuck you are putting so much trust in him when HE CAN STILL POTENTIALLY BE SCUM.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 24, 2010, 05:32:58 AM
I'm here, I just have no idea what to say to that UK wall.  It's like I've stepped into the Twilight Mafia Zone.  Fortunately Alice has finally come out of the woodwork with what is possibly the best post in the entire game to date, summing up everything I would like to have said but was too burnt out on this game to actually put into words.  Color me impressed.  I agree with virtually everything Alice said there.  UK vs Kiro or someone against Jam sounds very very good.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 24, 2010, 05:39:03 AM
100 minutes before challenge deadline!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 05:39:31 AM
I'm sorry that you all have lost the game in your complacency. Just kill me now.

But Rou better be the one to do it.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 24, 2010, 05:43:06 AM
It's like I've stepped into the Twilight Mafia Zone.
This ENTIRE GAME has felt like that to some extent >_>, though I think the true moment when Rat got swapped out for Rod Serling was probably around the time of Chaore's self-hammer yesterday.

@UK: No. Fuck you. WHY is Roukan so Pro-Town? Tell me this? At this point I'm starting to wonder if you two are Scum together and you somehow want him to gain Towniepoints(TM) except that doesn't make any sense except that makes him look MORE suspicious so what the fuck is your reasoning I mean seriously what is this I don't even.

At this point I want a UK vs. Kiro match. I do NOT want to see a UK. vs. Roukan match.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kiro on February 24, 2010, 05:53:04 AM
Ok, didn't realize deadline was so soon.

And I'm going to have to respond to Alice's megawall, but for now:

##Challenge UncertainKitten

I'll be back in the evening my time.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Edible on February 24, 2010, 05:55:16 AM
CHALLENGE SET!  Let Kiro and UncertainKitten duel to the death!

You have 48 hours.  With 8 alive, it takes 5 to decide a winner.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 24, 2010, 05:56:23 AM
Curious, Alice, why would you not want to see Rou vs UK there? 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 24, 2010, 06:19:07 AM
@Alex: Let's break down the alignment tree:

I am making this in the assumption that Roukan wins, since it is clear this is the avenue that UK wanted in her last post that made me go "No, do not do that, that is suspicious as all hell." Anyway, matchups:

Town Roukan/Town UK - no issues, beyond UK being an idiot.
Town Roukan/Scum UK - again, no issues (Roukan would have no need to lie about his doublevote working for the rest of the game with no need for any form of recharging) and we lynched Scum so yay!
Scum Roukan/Town UK - UK is an idiot, Scum get another head. Bad.
Scum Roukan/Scum UK - at this point, some things might make sense, it is plausible that Roukan could be lying and his power is something else that requires recharging. If UK saw she was ultimately screwed and going to die then letting another Scumbuddy recharge a known useful power is strictly better than nothing (or even worse, letting some Townie recharge his power!)

Basically, there is insufficient justification for Roukan to be a champion right now if we assume Scum-UK, there are better people for a matchup today anyway, not to mention that anyone specifically asking for someone else to off them raises warning flags for me.

This is combined with the fact that both UK and Kiro look terrible, both of them have a large amount of evidence against them, I outlined this in my previous post, and at absolute worst we are looking at Scum vs. Scum (though this seems implausible, what with UK bussing Kiro for multiple days now and then turning around and posting her latest "well kill me now" post which is all kinds of baffling and what) which is still favourable for us. Honestly I think it is extremely unlikely that both of them are Town, on top of this them both looking horrible lets us get some people to make definite stances, which we haven't really had anyone do on other than D4: there was a bit of it D1, D2 the choice was painfully obvious, D3 the choice was so obvious that the day ended early, and D5...the less said about D5 the better. Given LYLO is coming up soon forcing people to make some stances is a lot better than creating unilateral matchups (because let's face it, in a Rou vs. UK match a good chunk of people are going to steamroll anyway: so far this game has been terrible in the reasoning department), so overall I find the UK vs. Roukan matchup a bad one, as opposed to the UK vs. Kiro one which I find to be much better in a lot of ways.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 24, 2010, 06:25:07 AM
Acceptable.

Part 2

Who you gonna vote for?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 24, 2010, 06:46:42 AM
Need to do a full reread of both. Will have a post with a vote up in the morning. At the moment I am not sure: I am tentatively leaning Kiro (latest post looks absolutely terrible but there is enough good content there which puts him above UK, also I have had issues with UK this entire game really and after the last couple days it's similarly gotten really terrible) but that may very well wind up changing upon a reread.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Pesco on February 24, 2010, 06:57:22 AM
I know we've got people that are feeling fed up but it's well past the time for soft prods.

Everyone this game is guilty of being a jackass proportional to how much they've posted. Cut out the poeslik behavior right now.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kefit on February 24, 2010, 07:34:35 AM
Holy shit.

Holy fucking shit.

I'm finally home. But guess what. I won today's round in the competition, so I get to be busy all day tomorrow too!

I don't have time for a vigorous prosecution now or a careful dissection of the thread, but I'll go over some things on my mind.

First, I agree that Alex's praise for me has seemed saccharine. So has how agreeable he has been with my viewpoints. But this hasn't been one sided - I find myself agreeing with almost everything he says too. Hell, I even agree with him that Alice just made some of the best posts this game has seen. Alex and I just seem to be operating on the same wavelength. Furthermore, most plans Alex has supported have been detrimental to scum in some way, which makes it very hard for me to put him in scum shoes. I can only conclude that this is either a genuine case of experienced, well-reasoned townies seeing eye to eye throughout a game filled with complete lunacy from town, or a completely masterful scum gambit. While the latter is a distinct possibility, I think it's highly unlikely.

Rou bugs me now. Day one he persistently presented theories and strategies detrimental to town, like:

I think honestly the best thing we have running in our favour is this: If we end up having Townies fighting Townies, we can't lose.

These ideas may be honest mistakes resulting from the novel nature of the game. But the missile strike last night really bugs me despite Rou's bauble explanation. I'd really like Rou to demonstrate his doublevote power today to confirm that it really exists, but I can't think of any scheme to do this short of giving equal votes to Kiro and UK and seeing who survives. And this scheme is probably an impossibility to pull off.

It should be noted that, even if Rou does indeed have doublevote power, in the event he is scum that power could be quite the liability for us. Is that a liability we want to chance? I'm not entirely sure that an extra town vote is all that useful for us if it can't be used to fend off LyLo...then again, we may be facing LyLo tomorrow, so this would be a very bad grounds to kill him on alone.

Moving on, Alice made the best fucking post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg264313#msg264313) in this thread. Go Alice (though it certainly took you long enough). This post screams town in the even-handed way it has approached the players this game and in the manner in which it warns us to still be cautious about players like Rou. Alice gets a pass from me for now.

kitten4u and jam: I don't even know. k4u has niggled at my mind a bit here and there, and Jam hasn't done anything at all. Since they aren't on the chopping block I will abstain on commenting on them until I get time to give the thread a proper reread.

Kiro vs UK: I've concentrated far more on UK than I have on Kiro this game, so my bias here is clear. While Kiro hasn't exactly been a beacon of towniness, UK's play has bugged me the entire game. Still, I think a reread is in order before I cast a definitive vote either way. Please remember that I will be incredibly busy for one more day; if you guys hammer and move on before I get a chance to comment further then I can't really do much here.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 24, 2010, 10:25:19 AM
And the two people I've been most uncomfortable over both end up being in the challenge. :|

Anyway, Kefit, I sort of figured the vote count would show I had an extra vote. Put my name there twice, or raise the count one vote higher or something like that. Guess the best way to find out is to drop a vote and see what happens.

As for where to put it...this choice is hard for me. I've made points about the two, but if I sat and thought about it UK's posts are probably more likely to be from a well-intended-but-thoroughly-clueless Townie than Kiro's. Then again her suicidal call here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg264334#msg264334) could be AtE and WIFOM...consider me willing to go either way here, and having trouble determining which of these two is actually MORE scummy.

##Vote: UncertainKitten
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Carthrat on February 24, 2010, 12:20:03 PM
Shizuru vs Nao in a REVENGE MATCH!!! Who will prevail? The Tea-Drinking, Mother-Slaying President, or the Finger-Lickin', Man-Baitin' Delinquent?

ShizurUK (2): Roukanken, Hakurou(kan)ken
KirNao (0):

5 votes necessary for someone to be transformed into chunky salsa

44 hours or so remaining to decide whether or not the best character dies



(yes that is rou twice.)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 24, 2010, 02:31:29 PM
Did I say morning? I meant afternoon, evidently. Assignment took longer than expected, I am up to the end of D3 on a reread. So far Kiro looks very good and UK looks awful, but Kiro didn't really start looking Scummy until around late D3/early D4 so yeah. I would continue the reread right now but I have classes right now until 3:30PMish EST which I don't really want to skip so yeah.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 02:48:23 PM
No, Alice. fuck YOU. Fuck you with a goddamned hammer sideways three feet into your small intestine.

Now you ass holders are going to give Kiro a head because I'm not "pro town" enough for your little club of concise, succinct, SCUMMY AS FUCK POSTERS! At least I believe Alex and Kefit have reasons for approving such bad posts, but I, for some reason, think you are possibly town, Alice. Yet you are acting just as retarded as the rest of them.

Now that that's out of the way, I actually apparently have a shot at winning and against my better judgement I will answer points against me rather than washing my hands of this game and letting you fucktards kill yourselves. You all MORE than deserve it.

I'd also like to state I expected to conclude Alice, Polly, Kiro. The fact I DIDN'T conclude that surprises me immensely and attaches me more to my current reads.

And, finally, before I trawl through the response walls to my wall, I'd like to ask one thing. When the game is over, and you all lose for not listening to me, and I have 2/3 or 3/3 from my wall, you all better not fucking discredit me for being right because I didn't express it in your "ABC Guide to mafia" playstyle. I'm sick of being right and letting go because I don't play "normally". I'm sick of being right and having no leg to stand on in postgame and being ignored, again. I'm sick of all the bullshit I go through for accusing the "pro-town" players when sometimes they actually ARE scum, in an environment that calls BAD PLAYERS SCUMMY

Alright, I think I feel better now. Onto responses.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 24, 2010, 02:55:50 PM
Before leaving, there is one thing that came up in my reread that I would like to point out:

Alex's post #183: he recommends a Tom vs. Ciato fight for D2 as early as D1, i.e. before the special Hime Star condition came into play. Considering that everything points to the mod deciding on Hime Star conditions, there really is virtually no way that Alex could have predicted the teams matchup on D2, and there is no reason why Scum would inheritly support a Scum vs. Scum matchup as early as day freaking one, to take place on day freaking two. I don't know how anyone who still thinks that Alex-Scum is a likely occurrence has somehow kept missing this. It effectively quashes the possibility that Tom's D2 move was a gambit on Scum's part completely.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Edible on February 24, 2010, 03:07:59 PM
UK, one more outburst like that and I will probate you from the forums.  Are we clear?

Edit: The same goes for anyone slinging insults and vileness.  This is a game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 03:12:45 PM
Quote
Given UK's recent WoT... Alex as your top choice now? That's pretty nuts. Think about it from a Day 1 perspective. Without knowing what Town has in store for them (like the Cop), why would ScumAlex out 2 of his buddies and then get dragged into the Day 2 mess? You're expecting way too much. And the fact you're glossing over Alice in the WoT just makes me suspect you more.

See, obviously if it is some masterful scum gambit, it would have worked. The only issue I have with my line of reasoning is that Alex is not likely to get another head until endgame. Except GUESS WHAT!? You people want to HAND him heads right before lylo. Alex CLEARLY thinks in the long term. I think this "masterful scum gambit" thing you all say couldn't happen, actually has.

And you want to know how this is cemented?

Quote

In regards to Alice v. Jam, I just feel Jam hasn't put up enough of an effort this game to really go into any defense and it's more iffy against Alice. As for me and UK, that's a retarded mess yes and I'd rather not put faith into myself on that one despite what UK has just spouted. The Alex v. Rou suggestion is just retarded to me. I think Alex should just take out Alice or UK.

Hi thar trying to give your scumbuddy heads. I'm slightly more sure Alice is town, though it's WIFOM.

--------------------------------------------------------

Polly once again parrots what has already been said. Seriously, that's annoying. Post original content!
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Quote from: Alice

First off, if you claim Scum-Alex, you are claiming that the clusterfuck on D2 was some kind of masterful gambit to make Alex look good at the expense of Two Scum. While not impossible, this is honestly extremely goddamn implausible.

Well could you honestly extremely goddamn explain WHY it's so implausable given how many people are calling for Alex to take heads in recent days?

Quote
Combined with the fact that he has not done anything overtly Scummy makes him fairly low-priority on my Scum list.

Alex or Kefit? Very important.

Quote
Oh and what's all this with you and Roukan being so ridiculously Pro-Town. Why is he so Pro-Town? If you're faulting Alex for claiming that Kefit is very Townie while having insufficient evidence to backup your claims with, then don't do the same bloody thing yourself, it makes you look like a goddamn hypocrite.

Wow, this post makes you look like a goddamn Strawmanner ^-^. Alex has explained why Kefit is town. It's just his explanation blows, and his entire scumhunting style has not been scumhunting. It's been bad player hunting. I'm amazed you haven't realized this yet. Alex has BLATANTLY used words like "ridiculousness", "incoherentness", stuff like that rather than directly assessing "scumminess!". Now, as for Rou, that is a pure gut read. I'm sorry if this explanation blows as well, but at least I think Rou is TOWN, not just an amazingly coherent easy to read poster and thusly town from that.

Quote
So your case on Kefit is basically nonexistent, and yet you want him to die? Why? You claim that Jam might be Scum and while the meta tells are similar to RKS Mafia where she was Cop Town keep in mind that she is still a fairly new player and we have a meta pool of 1 (One) game for her and thus trying to use Meta to determine her alignment is quite possibly the most failure-prone thing imagineable oh my god anyway you want Kefit to die over someone who has done very little except parrot cases, by your own statements? You claim that Kefit is Scum because Alex is Scum, despite that the ties are largely one-sided Alex->Kefit and Scum-Alex could just be trying to set up Kefit's death on the slight case that perhaps he would ever die?

Now, you see, if I strip your condescending tone, this is actually what worries me most. Notice how I want Kefit to die LAST! I'm hoping to see if it bears following up on after Kiro and Kefit die. I even ADMIT that Kefit's case is mostly collateral scumminess plus a couple posts that bug me. It's mainly his Serp case that has me leaning more than "being set up" by Alex. But that means I'd have to swap you or Jam in. And honestly, I could do either, I just really don't know who.

Quote

Definetly support UK vs. Kiro at the moment unless some other bit of extremely important information comes up soon. Oh my god. Seriously, what the fuck, you two. Not totally against myself vs. Jam or Kefit vs. Jam either. Do not want Alex vs. anyone right now. DO NOT want Roukanken vs. anyone right now. In fact really I do not want anything other than UK/Kiro right now as nobody else looks nearly as awful as those two and it's also very unlikely that they are Scum together or both Town.

Now I want to swap you in with Kiro. You know one of us is town. Yet you propose town vs. scum in what is probably THE most cloudy challenge yet. How does this advantage town at all?
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Quote
I'm here, I just have no idea what to say to that UK wall.  It's like I've stepped into the Twilight Mafia Zone.  Fortunately Alice has finally come out of the woodwork with what is possibly the best post in the entire game to date, summing up everything I would like to have said but was too burnt out on this game to actually put into words.  Color me impressed.  I agree with virtually everything Alice said there.  UK vs Kiro or someone against Jam sounds very very good.

Yes, Alex, let someone else do the work for you. It's easier to look pro town if someone else is defending you. Yanno what? Maybe Alice IS scum instead of Kefit.

--------------------------------------------------------

Quote
@UK: No. Fuck you. WHY is Roukan so Pro-Town? Tell me this? At this point I'm starting to wonder if you two are Scum together and you somehow want him to gain Towniepoints(TM) except that doesn't make any sense except that makes him look MORE suspicious so what the fuck is your reasoning I mean seriously what is this I don't even.

Because he's playing like Rou town. You should know this.


--------------------------------------------------------

Quote

This is combined with the fact that both UK and Kiro look terrible, both of them have a large amount of evidence against them, I outlined this in my previous post, and at absolute worst we are looking at Scum vs. Scum (though this seems implausible, what with UK bussing Kiro for multiple days now and then turning around and posting her latest "well kill me now" post which is all kinds of baffling and what) which is still favourable for us. Honestly I think it is extremely unlikely that both of them are Town, on top of this them both looking horrible lets us get some people to make definite stances, which we haven't really had anyone do on other than D4: there was a bit of it D1, D2 the choice was painfully obvious, D3 the choice was so obvious that the day ended early, and D5...the less said about D5 the better. Given LYLO is coming up soon forcing people to make some stances is a lot better than creating unilateral matchups (because let's face it, in a Rou vs. UK match a good chunk of people are going to steamroll anyway: so far this game has been terrible in the reasoning department), so overall I find the UK vs. Roukan matchup a bad one, as opposed to the UK vs. Kiro one which I find to be much better in a lot of ways.

On the one hand, you are right unilaterals this late don't provide much information. On the other, you ARE risking a scum gaining a head if you ARE town, and I'm not sure it's justified with Kiro. Then again, I know I'm town and I'm decently certain on who's scum.

Kefit makes me ambivalent again. It has terrible, TERRIBLE reads in it. But it feels like a townie who just has too much damned confirmation bias. I am almost willing to swap in Alice instead of him but...dammit, I partially feel my Alice hate has to do with his FRUSTRATINGLY annoying attitude. Yes, the same attitude I seem to have. No wonder we rarely get along in game. I don't know what to do to resolve this either...

Look, everyone who's not stuck their head in the ground. Let me put it this way. Kefit, Alex, Kiro, and Alice are ALL players you catch on minor tells. They don't make major scum mistakes. If my cases seem weak that's because it's THAT HARD to catch them. Yes, this is a burden of proficiency and I don't expect you to just take my word for it. But please, reread them!, draw conclusions, and please look for minor things as opposed to major acting out. More importantly look for things that don't sound like they come from townies as opposed to things a bad player would say.

Quote
As for where to put it...this choice is hard for me. I've made points about the two, but if I sat and thought about it UK's posts are probably more likely to be from a well-intended-but-thoroughly-clueless Townie than Kiro's. Then again her suicidal call here could be AtE and WIFOM...consider me willing to go either way here, and having trouble determining which of these two is actually MORE scummy.

Rou, you've come this far to reading me. Just take the final step. Don't excuse my AtE/WIFOM. But, consider UK, not just "a mafia player". How would UK handle this situation as town?

Quote
Alex's post #183: he recommends a Tom vs. Ciato fight for D2 as early as D1, i.e. before the special Hime Star condition came into play. Considering that everything points to the mod deciding on Hime Star conditions, there really is virtually no way that Alex could have predicted the teams matchup on D2, and there is no reason why Scum would inheritly support a Scum vs. Scum matchup as early as day freaking one, to take place on day freaking two. I don't know how anyone who still thinks that Alex-Scum is a likely occurrence has somehow kept missing this. It effectively quashes the possibility that Tom's D2 move was a gambit on Scum's part completely.

Ah, I see.

Mmmmn...nope, not buying the clear. It has the same effect as the D2 challenge did. Alex looks amazingly good after suggesting that,and actually, with the bonus that the survivor of Tom vs. Ciato might live, but not get any more heads. You must realize, Alice that a "Masterful scum gambit (TM)" would involve Tom vs. Ciato in some way. Again, I'm ambivalent. This almost feels like Town Alice trying to guard against the implausible, but...you are using what I see to be rather weak reasonings to justify Alex town. And this bothers me. A lot.

Cut by Edible:

UK, one more outburst like that and I will probate you from the forums.  Are we clear?

Edit: The same goes for anyone slinging insults and vileness.  This is a game.

Edible, one more person insulting me in this game and I will fucking request my modkill. Are we clear?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 03:13:28 PM
EBWOP: All the above was posted before I saw Edible's post, except for the cut responding to it. I don't think I say anything too outbursty except some vulgar parallelism against Alice. If that's too much, I apologize.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Edible on February 24, 2010, 03:26:38 PM
This is rapidly becoming an escalation of hostilities and I will not have it.  Mafia should not be exempt from this forum's standards of decency, because this is a game and I expect some civility.

UK, you are way out of line as the most egregious violator of civility in this game, but the rules apply to anyone and everyone, and you just happen to be not the only one slinging far too much mud.  There are lines that have been crossed in this game that are completely unreasonable for this forum and should never have been crossed.

From here on out if there is any needless antagonism in this game I will remove the offender from MotK, no matter who you are or what history you have here.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Edible on February 24, 2010, 03:34:40 PM
I will also state that players have been warned multiple times in this thread alone to keep it clean.  There will be no more warnings.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kiro on February 24, 2010, 04:16:50 PM
Re Alice's #686: You lurk, that's how it goes with your playstle and I've felt you've been largely absent for everything except the Day 4 proceedings. In rereading #488, UK says she'll challenge Chaos and in #491, you ask why not Serp. Looks like a bit of a nudge to go a certain way. Even if you said you needed more of a read on Serp in #481, it feels like a bit of an interject there as UK doesn't really suggest going for Chaos since she feels she'd lose. And you also angle for Chaos to possibly go for Serp over UK in #498 and #500. All of it even when you said in #481 that Serp would probably be "a better target than Chaos but a worse one than UK" and you bumping Serp up to the top without even providing analysis of any reread you did. Where did this shift come from? Because there's nothing in between #481 and UK's challenge. It gives me the impression of giving UK a match she could win or at least avoid losing given the way people were leaning.

K4U's actions look bad not in the Serp defense, but the UK attack. She charges after UK and then backs off and even apologizes a few posts after. For someone who voted Serp on a gut read, you didn't really advocate defending him that much and then you even give leeway to UK at the same time. It's only as if you're stating an opinion rather than being interested in preventing a possible Scum from getting a head.

And I never implicated Rou on the ATS missile thing. That point was a response to Alex's response which questioned Rou on it. Even if Rou responded with a predictable denial of it, I don't know if Alex would push it further. And I clarified what my favored stances were today. I've advocated a stance for each day's challenge from Day 4 when we finally got past the early game shenanigans. Cid v Chaos on Day 4, Alex v UK on Day 5, and Alex v Alice or UK on Day 6.

---

Back to UK: her cases on her top 3 suck and are scummy, particularly for trying to advocate Alex's death. It's so out of left field it looks desparate. And you linked Alex as Scum because I was Scum in your eyes and ok with Alex taking people out? I wasn't aware that Alex getting a kill on a scummy looking person was ever a bad idea until today and I still don't believe it is. KISS (Keep It Simple Stupid) suggests Alex wouldn't be Scum with how he acted. Throwing Kefit into this trio makes even less sense. Because in such a case, Scum only have 1 head (Kilga's). Why have Alex suggest me versus you knowing that I as his scumbuddy has a decent chance of losing? It'd be easier if he did the kill and while people would be perplexed, I doubt they'd ever challenge him right away. That's all I have to say about your theory. The rest has been stated before. Furthermore with your WoT, the Kefit case is so fringe so I see you jumping to implicate your buddy Alice then jumping back repeatedly. Getting a little Townie points in while still trying to maintain suspicion on your original case. It really makes you look clueless as to who to accuse which is only natural because these picks don't make sense at all and are scummingly bad to advocate.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 04:22:23 PM
At this point, Kiro. you are resolute, as well as scum. I'm done listening to you until you have a real point. Your wall of "why I'm wrong" doesn't ring true. Not desperate, since apparently I'm just a lunatic who will do the town good to die, but untrue.

Quote
Because in such a case, Scum only have 1 head (Kilga's).

1.99 heads, actually. But yeah. And? We are probably close to lylo assuming 5 scum. After you get my head all you need is town v. town or to kill a townie and the game's over. Alex's position is CLEARLY at an all time high almost PURELY because of his gambit. the obfuscation in your last post appals me.

Quote
Why have Alex suggest me versus you knowing that I as his scumbuddy has a decent chance of losing?

Do you really think you'd lose, even before my wall?

The rest of your post is chaff but I had to correct a couple points.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 24, 2010, 07:57:01 PM
As much as UK is acting out of line, it still reads as frustrated Town more than Kiro reads as misguided Town. Hence my vote stays for now.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 09:37:46 PM
I'll put myself to live-2. We don't need any quickhammer shenanigans. I would like Kiro to vote himself since I assume he wants to live

##Vote: UncertainKitten
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 24, 2010, 09:43:09 PM
Not done reading but going to make a statement anyway.

I've got class in 20 minutes after which I have a 2 hour break before 2 more hours of class.
I'm going to start rereading UK & Kiro in those 2 hours as that will clearly be necessary as this is probably the first time it hasn't been overly obvious who should be voted for [which is really a good thing]

Looks like everyone is busy so it should go without saying: DON'T HAMMER ANY TIME SOON GUYS
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 24, 2010, 10:38:59 PM
The antagonism and various factors are really sapping my motivation for this game as well.  I'm afraid to even respond to UK in any way because attempting to refute her positions could be construed as incivility, and the staff are unfortunately not being particularly clear on what is and isn't kosher.  I apologize if my ramblings early in this day offended anyone. 

It's probably pretty obvious what I think here though.  UK's accusations are completely baseless.  I'm not sure whether she's scum or another townie having a meltdown, but at this point I'm inclined to think scum given how she's been barking up the wrong trees all game, then turning around and pulling oratorical tricks to make herself look better. 

One thing in particular that's bugged me for a while is her repeating taglines about stats: "I'm 2 for 5, so..." and similar multiple times.  It reads very much like a rhetorical flourish scum might use to make themselves sound better, I've done similar things as scum in the past.  It's scummy here in particular because the 2 she gave herself credit for... I don't think she should.  I myself was the one who pointed out Tom and Ciato's behavior on day 1.  My accusation and suggestion of Ciato vs Tom is what prompted Tom to fire off his quickchallenge and led to the deaths of two scum.  UK jumped on the wagon afterwards, when their scumminess was clear and their deaths already assured.  She wasn't part of the formative case on them.  Nothing she said actually helped contribute to their pseudo-lynches. 

So in reality, UK wasn't 2 for 5 at all, she was 0 for 3 on her own cases, and has since expanded that to 0 for 5 with Bard and Chaore (and 0/6 or 0/7 if you count myself and Kefit) while continuing to... how can I put this... conduct discussion in a forceful manner that makes people afraid to disagree with her for reasons entirely unrelated to the actual logical strength of her cases.  Two townies now have preferred suicide to trying to deal with her.  Yet she persists in these techniques and continues to try to browbeat the entire town into agreeing with her - and it's already won her Rou's doublevote, both of them clearing each other on nothing but gut.  While I continue to have misgivings about Kiro, I can't see this as anything but incredibly proscum behavior from UK, and I am now very worried about Rou as well. 

##Vote: Kiro

 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 24, 2010, 11:12:18 PM
Well, Alex, mostly, incivility would be what I've done all game by bringing vulgar language, personal attacks, and otherwise unacceptable behavior. It's unfortunate that I form an example of that, but...well, hopefully post game we can work out our differences and I myself can figure out how to clean up my playstyle of so much emotion.

So, to your two paragraphs all I have to say is "whatever". I can't really counter them, though I disagree with:

Quote
Nothing she said actually helped contribute to their pseudo-lynches.

My wall might not have helped contribute due to obviously no one reading, though I did stay on them, but I don't think it was clearly a case of Ciato scum when I called her out.
 
When I flip town I hope my fellow townies will take a closer look at you, regardless of the ludricousness a "masterful scum gambit" from a good player apparently is. I realize I'm not a good case builder. I've never really looked at my stats for "caught scum" for my final cases. I know that my early cases tend to lead to bad results so 2 for 5 (which I still maintain holds) was rather surprising to me, though even I acknowledged they were obvious. In RKS my gut pointed me towards three players. I was right for 2 out of three but too damn scared of the repercussions to really push it. After all, almost everyone thought they were town. So, obviously, I was right to be scared since now that I've explored that avenue (quite by accident), I'm getting killed.

Good luck, all.

Quote
So in reality, UK wasn't 2 for 5 at all, she was 0 for 3 on her own cases, and has since expanded that to 0 for 5 with Bard and Chaore (and 0/6 or 0/7 if you count myself and Kefit) while continuing to

Um...what? Not QUITE apt but...uh...yeah. (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/YouFailStatisticsForever)

So, you say Tom and Chaore don't count. Meaning my remaining three cases were Kiro, Bard, and Chaore. So, that's 0/2, with 1/3 unflipped. How do you know Kiro's alignment?

Further, if I do include you and Kefit, (which also amazes me how you know his alignment), well, I still have 2/3 unflipped as well.

we don't even reach 7. Where are these mysterious two cases?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 25, 2010, 02:55:02 AM
I dunno, you tell me.  Truth be told I never managed to figure out who your other three early suspects were.  But since you were the one who claimed to be 2/5 before Bard and Chaore flipped... how did YOU know the alignments of the other three?  Yeah, I see what happened there now, you meant that they were pending, but the tone seemed otherwise. 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 03:04:09 AM
I play with a style of certainty to increase the value of my pressure. What's your excuse? Especially when you are claiming people town as opposed to scum?

Course, I screwed up. I should have said 3/5 unflipped instead of 2/3.

Either way, your 7 appears to come from, well, nowhere.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kiro on February 25, 2010, 04:22:49 AM
Likewise, I'm done worrying about how your views are totally different from mine and Town's. And I wasn't aware you were willing to die to me. Hence, there'd be a debate about the 2 of us with no certain outcome given our cases. I only expect to do my best and leave it up to Town since that's how it always works.

Anyways, I'm going from Kuala Lumpur to Singapore this afternoon. I'll try to get online again this evening, hopefully it won't be a problem.

##Vote Kiro
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 04:23:58 AM
I'm not willing to die to you. I just recognize I'm unlikely to live. If I wanted to die, I'd have voted you. If Rou had been my challenger, I'd have voted Rou. I don't see where you concluded I wanted to die to you as opposed to am resigned to the fact I'm liable to die to you.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 25, 2010, 04:32:33 AM
Do we have over a day before deadline?
Because this is horridly tedious and I'm not even done rereading one of you 2...
Yeah I don't feel like doing math or anything involving my brain right now... sorry. :<
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 04:36:24 AM
If it's me you haven't finished, I assure you Kiro has a lot fewer posts. Given the challenge time, we should have ~27 hours left.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Edible on February 25, 2010, 04:38:22 AM
You have around 26-ish hours remaining or something.

Vote Count
UncertainKitten (3): Roukanken, Hakurouken, UncertainKitten
Kiro (2): Alex, Kiro

5 to secure a win.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 25, 2010, 04:39:35 AM
You post too much UK. :<
But cool. I'm going to sleep without feeling bad then.

However, tomorrow I'm crazy busy and won't be able to get on till like 6pm [central time]
~Please don't hammer guys.~
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kiro on February 25, 2010, 01:55:54 PM
Got to Singapore, but no steady access to Internet and this place closes in 5 minutes. Pain in the ass.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 25, 2010, 04:02:02 PM
Quote from: Alex
and it's already won her Rou's doublevote, both of them clearing each other on nothing but gut
Gut <> Meta. UK being irritable and argumentative is at the very least a null tell for her. It may well even be a Town tell because she gets more irritated when she knows she has something to prove. As much as she can annoy, she still comes across to me as Town who is too emotionally involved in the game. Not that this excuses her horrible scum-hunting record, but it's enough to nudge her ahead of Kiro.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 06:02:32 PM
I hope you all aren't planning to sudden death me. That would be quite scummy. Kefit, Jam, K4, and Alice all need to commit to votes.

NOW.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 25, 2010, 06:27:04 PM
Didn't I say I was busy for like 6 more hours?
Geez woman.

Anyway, the public transport here screwed me over again so I ended up home instead of observing like I'm supposed to be.
However, I've used the time to do ... well homework. Because that's important.
Just checking in to make sure you didn't hammer. Thank god...
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 06:39:24 PM
I don't want bullshit to occur is all. If I'm going to die fair and square, so be it. But if I die due to abuse of the system (and flip town, which I will), then I want the abuser challenged and killed IMMEDIATELY.

Likewise for Kiro. If Kiro is sudden death killed and flips town, I want the abuser to die.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 25, 2010, 07:17:26 PM
I had a post I was typing up over the past day in-between assignments and other stuff and then firefox eated it, which is perhaps just as well as it was something like 5 pages long and I wasn't even done, so yeah. I'll just summarize:
D1-D3:
Kiro is pretty much fine. The complaint of him being all setup no Scumhunting is invalid, and he brings up some interesting points (i.e. Scum would have to discredit anyone that's not them that Town is trying to choose a champion to blow through everyone else), even if they are for plans which are Bad, though in the end he realises these plans are Bad so yeah.

UK on the other hand is very argumentative and at times lazy, but similarly there is nothing actually Scummy about her during this time. The only thing notable is her comment to Bard that if Pesco won't challenge Bard <24 hours into D1, she will, but considering UK vig'd Kilga in TJM as soon as the blocks on the guns were enabled 24 hours into D1, this is sadly a null tell instead of a Scumtell for her. Sigh.

Kefit's Serp case: this is interesting. First point is, as far as I can tell, actually valid, and the others seem to be mentioning Serp's paranoia at Kefit despite Kefit explicitly stating to not have him get into another duel ever again in this game. Now, the case itsself is not explicitly bad, prior to Serp's #543 a lot of his posts were cryptic and weird and were of the same strange paranoidal nature. In fact this isn't the first time Serp did something like this on a Townie that could potentially be a Scum playing well - he did the exact same thing in RKS Mafia with me.

What I'm wondering is, is the same thing occuring with UK: is she merely being paranoid, or is she flailing around trying to off anyone she can instead of dying? The latter doesn't fit: why attack Kefit when you have easy targets like Jam? Why spend so much time on a case on Alex that really is not valid and defend yourself from attack from a lot of Town when other options exist? The obvious answer is that it isn't LYLO yet and she's trying to off a very annoying (in the context of preventing Scum from achieving their win conditions) Townie to make the game much easier. At the same time, though...hmm...

Anyway, I find it amusing that people thought UK vs. Serp was an easier matchup than UK vs. Chaore. UK vs. Serp I actually probably would have voted for Serp at the time (I had course projects and assignments to do. Apologies, everyone >_>), whereas with UK vs. Chaore it probably would have been an easy win for UK. I was pretty sure Chaore was Town but public opinion seemed to peg him as Scum, and the fact that UK is at least doing *something* other than being suicidal would have probably had me voting for UK as well (just as I had voted for Roukan on D5). Anyway.

D4: UK first this time, as she was one of the principal challengers: two interesting things pop up:
First, her challenging Serp over Chaore to "please Town" - I have no issue with the challenge, but why the reasoning? If you actually are Town then you should not have to do certain actions for the sole purpose of making you look suspicious to the rest of Town, yet you yourself admit this is why you challenged Serp instead of Chaore that day.
The other thing is in #583: first, it's interesting that you thought that Alex Scum at that time was actually not a possiblity, but I'm surprised you find Kefit's actions towards Ciato anything telling: there was a good amount of certainty that Ciato was Scum, and thus really anyone else could have taken Kefit's place, Kefit just happened to be around and be someone who was also likely to be Townie as well, thus making it good for Town to have had him win the challenge.
Oh, lastly it's also interesting that she spends so much time trying to get Chaore to commit and forms a case on him and overall it seems as if she genuinely thinks he is Scum rather than her trying to setup a Townie Mislynch(TM). Then again, this is something that Scum would do as well, so ultimately Null Tell, but still interesting. It does to be to her favour in the end though, imho.

Kiro on the other hand...is starting to look bad. Four posts. His points on Bard are perfectly valid and share mine, his point to K4U makes sense as well, and what he said to UK is the exact same thing I've brought up multiple times now re: Alex's play not being an attempt at bussing Two Scumbuddies starting on Day freaking One, but the thing that bothers me is that there isn't anything more. Vacation and travelling can account for some things, but really, what do you think of Kefit at the time? Alex himself? UK? Myself? That's all missing, even though I know in a normal game Kiro would be going down all these avenues of thought. Time limitations do drive one to compactify things, so this is why I'm not pegging him as Scum for this alone, but it still worries me. A lot.

D5: Decision phase is going to drive things here. First, Kiro:
Suspicion going to UK after both Serp and Bard flipped Town is a very reasonable thing to do given the circumstances. However, a lot of his case on her being Scum depends on Chaore being Scum, which he turned out to...not be. Notable in that he wants Alex to get the shiny prize, and thinks that UK is the principal "loose end" in the game at this time. Not sure I agree with the latter. The former is fine, however. Not sure why he decided to slap down the L-1 vote at that time and specifically mention that it was the L-1 vote, but I can't tell if this is a tell towards anything other than Chaore being a colossal moron.

UK...interesting that still she thinks that Alex is Pro-Town enough to challenge Chaore and get the shiny bauble from the challenge. Again, seems to have a very "solid" case on Chaore at first glance. On the other hand... a lot of it doesn't make any sense: the D2/D3 votes were pretty much cemented as of Tom's post at the very beginning of D2, ffs. There really was no other way for anyone to vote without looking like a giant derpsicle (and after Tom/Ciato flipped, extremely Scummy as well). In fact, voting-patterns-wise D1-D3 are next to worthless for catching Scum. Despite this, it doesn't feel like crap pushed through. At least, Scum would not have to put together such an elaborate case to get Chaore to die considering Town sentiment was very much against him. Slight negative point against her, but very minor.
The principal weird point, is suggesting Roukanken to Chaore when Chaore asked who should challenge him and off him. This bothers me quite a bit, for reasons I've already mentioned about Roukan not being 100% clear and it feeding Roukan the shiny bauble and a head if Roukan is Scum. Very bad.

D6: Yuck.

Kiro posts a garbage post incriminating basically everyone, UK posts stuff straight out of the Twilight Mafia Zone after doing a complete \pi-turn on Alex. Both of their cases are godawful, for reasons I've already outlined.

This post is getting long enough, so I will address questions and anything from the rest of D6 in my next post, and conclusions in a separate one from that. lol tripleposting.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 25, 2010, 07:38:28 PM
Firstly, UK, cut the incivility. You're pissing off everyone else with it, and it's not going to do anything to me, because it's impossible to make me mad over anything really. So yeah :V

Anyway.

Quote from: UK
Well could you honestly extremely goddamn explain WHY it's so implausable given how many people are calling for Alex to take heads in recent days?
Have gone over this multiple times. Before he knew about the D2 special challenge conditions, Alex would have lost 1 Scum for TowniePoints(TM) on Ciato and done nothing for himself. At worst, given that Ciato was not exactly playing well either, he would have been out Two Scum as of D3 with nothing to show for it. After the D2 challenge condition set in, it appears that if he is Scum, he got 1 (One) head out of it for 2 (Two) Scum dead, and the principal reason why everyone thinks he is Town is because he is playing like Town, whereas his D1/D2 actions are only serving to cast suspicion on him. Remember that this is not a normal mafia setup: the ideal course for Scum here is not the same as it is in a standard mafia setup. Scum bussing Scum is even worse here than it is otherwise, less opportunities to acquire heads, less numbers for the eventual LYLO cleanup, etc. Basically when you combine everything it leads to the fact that while Alex could have done this as a gambit, the reasons for me thinking it's implausible is that its reward is not all that great: Kefit didn't do any gambiteering and has been poked for heads almost as often, same for Kiro prior to D4 and even El Cid while he was alive! On the other hand, the loss is great: 2 Scum for 1 Townie head, or if not for the D2 challenge, 1 Scum for Possible TowniePoints(TM) on another fellow Scum. Really, not worth the trade.

Quote from: UK
Alex or Kefit? Very important.
Kefit.

Quote from: UK
I'm sorry if this explanation blows as well, but at least I think Rou is TOWN, not just an amazingly coherent easy to read poster and thusly town from that.
Alex: Kefit is Town because he is an amazingly coherent easy to read poster.
UK: Roukan is Town because gut.
Both are equally bad. This is exactly why I am slamming you over this. Because "gut" is not enough reasoning: gut is good for catching someone of interest, but after that when you formulate a case you go back through their posts and look for evidence: what did you catch on gut anyway? Chances are it's something that can actually be used as evidence if identified in his posting structure/style/statements/motivations/etc.

Quote
Now I want to swap you in with Kiro. You know one of us is town. Yet you propose town vs. scum in what is probably THE most cloudy challenge yet. How does this advantage town at all?
Because I want to force out some opinions out of everyone. It is late enough in the game that this is very important/useful, not not so late that is a very dangerous move. Also, I don't know which of you is Town, just that it doesn't make any sense for you two to be on a Scumteam together from you constantly bussing Kiro.

Quote from: UK
On the one hand, you are right unilaterals this late don't provide much information. On the other, you ARE risking a scum gaining a head if you ARE town, and I'm not sure it's justified with Kiro. Then again, I know I'm town and I'm decently certain on who's scum.
You know you're Town and Kiro is your second pick as Scum after Alex, not to mention you've been after him for quite some time now. So convince us that you're Town and Kiro's Scum, then this becomes strictly GOOD for you because now you're offing Scum! Unless of course you are Scum in which case this no longer applies.

Quote from: UK
Look, everyone who's not stuck their head in the ground. Let me put it this way. Kefit, Alex, Kiro, and Alice are ALL players you catch on minor tells. They don't make major scum mistakes. If my cases seem weak that's because it's THAT HARD to catch them. Yes, this is a burden of proficiency and I don't expect you to just take my word for it. But please, reread them!, draw conclusions, and please look for minor things as opposed to major acting out. More importantly look for things that don't sound like they come from townies as opposed to things a bad player would say.
I am extremely baffled at this statement. Why? Because it's right. Myself and Alex are both very good Scum players, Kiro's quite experienced as well and I have no clue about Kefit but he seems like someone that'd do a good job. And yes, people like these you catch on minor tells. My issue with your Alex case?

It's not based on minor tells, it's based on a conspiracy theory. Take out D2 and D3 and the vast majority of your case on him completely falls apart, yet almost everything that happened on D2 and D3 was completely irrelevant.

Quote from: Kiro
Re Alice's #686: You lurk, that's how it goes with your playstle and I've felt you've been largely absent for everything except the Day 4 proceedings. In rereading #488, UK says she'll challenge Chaos and in #491, you ask why not Serp. Looks like a bit of a nudge to go a certain way. Even if you said you needed more of a read on Serp in #481, it feels like a bit of an interject there as UK doesn't really suggest going for Chaos since she feels she'd lose. And you also angle for Chaos to possibly go for Serp over UK in #498 and #500. All of it even when you said in #481 that Serp would probably be "a better target than Chaos but a worse one than UK" and you bumping Serp up to the top without even providing analysis of any reread you did. Where did this shift come from? Because there's nothing in between #481 and UK's challenge. It gives me the impression of giving UK a match she could win or at least avoid losing given the way people were leaning.
Funny, D4 was the day I was principally absent for. In case you noticed, I didn't even slap down a vote for UK vs. Serp due to it ending before I had time for this game >_>. I've already explained why I went for Serp over Chaore, not to mention that your reasoning seems bass-ackwards at time: it would have been even easier for UK to win against Chaore at that time than Serp, not to mention why are you not blaming everyone else who voted for Serp? What is your opinion of Kefit himself, outside of his D4 Serp case, btw?

Alex's latest posts are a lot of "what." and misreading numbers/Scumcounts/detection rates. Honestly not sure what to make of this anymore.

@Roukan: UK gets quite emotionally involved in the game as Scum as well. This part of Meta really isn't great as it doesn't change across faction. More reasoning less meta please.

@Jam: Please post something coherent in 6 hours. Seriously. Christ.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 25, 2010, 07:44:50 PM
Conclusions: both UK and Kiro actually look a lot less terrible in the end after you filter out meta which is symmetric across faction, but there's still enough on both to make them the worst targets for today beyond Jam. UK has desperation and a case completely out of left field, but Kiro worries me quite a bit as well, between the whole "posting the bare minimum analysis required" and today's statements reading a bit like trying to fling crap at everything and get it to stick. That being said, UK for having a very antagonistic playstyle is extremely Anti-Town, and it netted Scum 0.99 heads from the Bard quit alone, not to mention managed to sap Town's overall enthusiasm for the game, both very good things for Scum. Combine this with her getting a head and the whole Roukan thing, and yeah.

So in the end, I am not sure. Leaning for a vote for UK still, but the latter angle is something I have not considered until now and Kiro actually doesn't look all that bad, it's rather the lack of content than the content that worries me about him, so I am going to have to think about it a bit more and I am actually 15 minutes late for a class right now so yeah. Class ends at 4:30PM EST so I should be back online with a vote then (i.e. in about 2 hours).
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 07:56:53 PM
Quote
Firstly, UK, cut the incivility. You're pissing off everyone else with it, and it's not going to do anything to me, because it's impossible to make me mad over anything really. So yeah

Is there any reason to point this out further after Edible called me out? I've cut it down. There's no need to belabor it.

Quote
Kefit.

Ok. As I said, that bugs me a lot. I really don't know what to make of it...
Quote
Because "gut" is not enough reasoning: gut is good for catching someone of interest, but after that when you formulate a case you go back through their posts and look for evidence: what did you catch on gut anyway? Chances are it's something that can actually be used as evidence if identified in his posting structure/style/statements/motivations/etc.

And this is what irritates me most. I've LOOKED! Every time I reread the game, I just a get a "welp, that's town Rou" vibe. But I can't explain WHY. I think it's subconscious meta and I honestly don't feel like crossreferencing prior games. It's hypocritical to call Alex out on his clear for that but I'm not going to drop that point because it's hypocritical. I'll just accept that both of us look scummy for these kinds of clears. Fair?

Quote
Because I want to force out some opinions out of everyone. It is late enough in the game that this is very important/useful, not not so late that is a very dangerous move. Also, I don't know which of you is Town, just that it doesn't make any sense for you two to be on a Scumteam together from you constantly bussing Kiro.

I'll admit that I've seen the logic of this subsequent to my post. It's not necessarily making you TOWN, but it doesn't automatically implicate you with Kiro.

Quote
You know you're Town and Kiro is your second pick as Scum after Alex, not to mention you've been after him for quite some time now. So convince us that you're Town and Kiro's Scum, then this becomes strictly GOOD for you because now you're offing Scum! Unless of course you are Scum in which case this no longer applies.

Honestly, I have no idea what I was reaching for rereading what I said. I think I was trying to combine what it looks like from your POV with what it looked like from my POV and failed. As for proving I'm town, that's up to my history. Whether it be meta or just something you catch in my reread, I want to trust that I'll be concluded to be town. If I'm not, I probably need to be lynched to get rid of the risk. And I'm actually guessing that I haven't done a very good job demonstrating townie intent, hence why I'm expecting to die to Kiro. Then again, it might not be as hopeless as I thought since it seems that you all are critically thinking about my posts and putting them in perspective, and starting to draw the right conclusion.

Quote
I am extremely baffled at this statement. Why? Because it's right. Myself and Alex are both very good Scum players, Kiro's quite experienced as well and I have no clue about Kefit but he seems like someone that'd do a good job. And yes, people like these you catch on minor tells. My issue with your Alex case?

It's not based on minor tells, it's based on a conspiracy theory. Take out D2 and D3 and the vast majority of your case on him completely falls apart, yet almost everything that happened on D2 and D3 was completely irrelevant.

It's part conspiracy theory for Alex but...honestly, I keep reading his posts and do not see a lot in the way of scumhunting, and the repeated mentions of other players as town bothers me on a more visceral level, probably the same way my clearing of Rou bugs everyone else. But...perhaps I'm not articulating properly how I feel about Alex because I feel something smaller and am looking for something bigger. I'll try to take a second look at the posts I disliked and see if I can find out if there is a something smaller such as lack of true scumhunting or something like that. I want to say that my case on Kiro, specifically the point about how he's handled past challenges, is a good example of a minor tell that should differentiate scum Kiro from Town Kiro, and perhaps I can find something similar in Alex's case.

I'm kinda lost here at this point. I'm almost certain Alex is scum, but...I don't think I'm a good enough player to prove it, and that "masterful scum gambit" thing is a thorn in my side. A rather large one. I don't know if I can resolve this and get the desired result...but I'll give it one last stab today.

Ok, here's the deal. I'm almost certain that I want to ease off Alice because he's easing off me. I have that kind of bias. I'm trying to work against it but, logically, him actually considering how I'm acting and trying to understand at the very LEAST counts for minor town points. Scum don't have to consider really, just vote for Kiro. It's quite easy right now to dismiss me as a raving lunatic no matter how I flip. The fact that what appears to be genuine effort to understand how I've been posting and try to make the right place edges Alice back over Kefit for towniness to me. Jam's stalling also has me more worried about her more, but I'll be able to make a more solid conclusion one she posts reasoning on Kiro vs. myself as well as who else is scum.

Cuts:

Quote
but Kiro worries me quite a bit as well, between the whole "posting the bare minimum analysis required" and today's statements reading a bit like trying to fling crap at everything and get it to stick.

THANK YOU! Dear God you see this! I'm not completely batshit insane! I am about ready to jump for joy IRL. People actually see what I saw as a point in my case against Kiro. More importantly people I respect as very skilled players!

Thank you!

Now, the rest of this cut I dislike mostly for the fact that it leaves your options extremely open, but I will assume you commit to something with good reasoning in twoish hours so I'll wait before I get too worried about you trying to leave options open to get a good outcome as scum. Or something.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 08:40:29 PM
Ok, here's what I'm going to do. I'm going to ISO Alex, and post my impressions of him in my usual terrible wall format. I'll once again post a second post that takes a stab at shrinking the case down to a few sentences. This will be my attempt to post a case on Alex that makes sense. If I fail...well...perhaps I need to reassess my scum picks.

Hmm...Alex's first game post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251328#msg251328) is basically fine. Early game it's obvious players were focused on the two challengers. I was hoping we'd get past that but clearly the hope was in vain. So, we know his stance that scum wants to take risks. This could be very relevant for the "masterful scum gambit" discussion. Course, he does applaud Kefit's IIoA opening post. Numbers are impressive, but what about players?

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252823#msg252823) post from Alex is both good and bad. Good for the obvious he did push Tom vs. Ciato as early as D1 as Alice pointed out, though I still maintain that was a calculated risk. However, the bad is it feels like he's taking the easy way out and answering set up questions in a "pro-town" way. He's right but, anyone with a lick of theory could probably have said this as either alignment. The Pesco's history argument bugs me as well since as far as I can tell Alex hasn't played with Pesco in forever, and there's been some improvement, yet Alex refuses to even look for this to see if he can be fairer.

Next post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252961#msg252961) is another "easy to say" one, but there wasn't really much MORE to say, so I won't hold it against him.

I'll note something here. Alex and Tom post almost one right (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254284#msg254284) after the other (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254291#msg254291[/url). Further, they had three hours to plan this. Perhaps it's coincidence, but it raises the probability of "masterful scum gambit" slightly, IMO.

this next post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254760#msg254760) basically rehashes everything already discussed about the challenge as far as I can tell, and rolefishes Bard. Granted, rolefishing probably wasn't AS terrible in this set up...until you remember a certain cop who died to missiles being fired. I'm half curious if Alex won those. But that's basically speculation. I think that this point does bear bringing up though.

More of the same easy to say pro town things in this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255315#msg255315). Further, there's a slight fish on Cid, but it's somewhat justified. Honestly, I think that the challenge system has caused one big problem for town. It's allowed otherwise good players to tunnel and post bare minimums and still look pro town. I'm not sure if I'm seeing lazy town lapsing into this or if I'm seeing crafty scum. I lean the latter though.






Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 08:41:20 PM
ARGH!, that wasn't supposed to be posted. Fine, you have my analysis of nine pages. Let me CONTINUE and hopefully not slip and hit the post button again.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Carthrat on February 25, 2010, 08:42:59 PM
You have around 10 hours remaining.

Vote Count
UncertainKitten (3): Roukanken, Hakurouken, UncertainKitten
Kiro (2): Alex, Kiro

5 to secure a win.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 09:43:13 PM
this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255503#msg255503) is another null post that can ONLY bug me if Alex has missiles. Dammit, I hate posts like this. I can't outright say they are scummy but they feel that way to me since I think Alex is scum :(.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255733#msg255733) is another 50/50 post. It's not scummy, but it's not really townie. Honestly, I think that's becoming a trend with Alex. He's posting the easy stuff and not analyzing past the current challenge except for that one time on D1.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg256875#msg256875) post is also lukewarm. The ONLY thing Alex can suggest is that Ciato goes. The part about the challenger not being him wasn't necessary and was worth slight town points, but again, it's easy to say when you expect Ciato's flip to clear you.

I never realized how maddening this was.

Ok, what happened to this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg256876#msg256876)? It was rather unqualified.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257196#msg257196) reads as a harder Cid fish while basically just saying more about information rather than analyzing players. I'm REALLY noticing that trend. Rarely is something outside the current challenge mentioned by Alex, and when it is, it's usually the set up.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257600#msg257600) is probably the scummiest post to date:

Intelligent vs. townie tell: Check
Easy "pro-town" sentiment: check
Framing a now flipped townie: check
Waffling: Surprisingly, check.

I don't think anyone can really debate those, but I'll entertain arguments.

While this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257873#msg257873) is consistent, it's continues the "readable is town yay!" theme.

Another scummy post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258929#msg258929) by my criteria. Well, also, I'd like to ask. What changed on Cid, Alex? Also, I notice your opinion starts to turn against Kiro though you still don't want him to die. I think others were worrying about Kiro around the same point, but I could be wrong. Finally, there's that "readability=town, craziness = scum" attitude that I don't think holds, and is somewhat scummy to perpetuate. Well, townie to perpetuate in the meta but in this specific game basically hunting easy targets. Finally, a couple obvious theory stances.

this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258968#msg258968) I cannot make heads or tails of. He's coaching me. I don't like that. But I know my alignment, so he's coaching town. Why is he trying to raise the chance I won't be mislynched? Quite frankly, given the rest of his 50/50 mostly town theory very little town analysis posts, I'm inclined to say it was staged to perpetuate his gracious towniness, but I will admit this post bugs me and my read of Alex.

Ok, I think I get it now. this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259046#msg259046) and the last post are Alex going for the mislynch. He's been reserved because he had to clean up the messes of prior days to look town, but now that he has enough cred he's using it. Granted, that's a very biased interpretation. It's a matter of "does he believe what he's saying". Given he coached me and seems to be semi non commital on me vs. Chaore...I'm leaning not actually.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259332#msg259332) post causes me to ask "Why Serp?" You never mentioned him before. Further, it is intentionally throwing me to hang myself with two town options. Granted, I used that option, so I have to accept a hit if I consider this scummy. But I'm not afraid to do that. I am willing to admit that I've been in scummy circumstances as well as Alex. I think that I have less against me if you read my posts. So I'll take the hyporisy hit. Oh, I'll add there's a very nice waffle on Cid that leaves Alex open to sway with the opinion and say he's right either way if Cid flips.

More serp hate (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259365#msg259365).

Where did this come from. I think I've found the most solid scum tell I'll find on Alex. He's bringing up Serp out of NOWHERE because the town is leaning that way...why?

this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259461#msg259461) has more wiggle room, plus just an "I agree with Kefit" to explain his newfound obsession with Serp...AFTER the challenge is issued.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259670#msg259670) is more UK coaching, also defending stance on Rou. Honestly, nothing to read here except the UK coaching bugs me for the same reason as before.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg260553#msg260553) is another minor illustration of the "Hey guys, I'm here, I only have opinions on two people, where's the popcorn" attitude. Well, sorta. He does mention K4, but mostly to chastise us for quote stripes

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262175#msg262175) is the very first time we see all of Alex's opinions, and it's not very impressive. It only explains town reads, it relegates three people to lurker status without a comment on their alignment, and the two scummy he chooses are town. The big problem is that he leaves a lot of waffle room on everyone that's not Kefit. So, yeah.

Well, now that he's in big picture mode, notice that his focus shifts in this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262777#msg262777) post. Part cid waffle with a lurker hunt. What happened to me and Cha being scum?

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262947#msg262947) post continues the trend of punishing bad players, not scum players.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263261#msg263261) is another "could be pro town speculation, could be scummy framing" post, of which Alex excels at.

I really don't get the somewhat complete change of opinion in this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263291#msg263291). After he's done being irritated that Rou can prove his power (bragging possibly?), he focuses on his lurkers still but doesn't even MENTION me, who was probably a logical death.

this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg265010#msg265010) post's main problem is the weird number manipulation. What was the point?

ALL DONE! Let me compress all this. I think I have a better case now.




Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 10:13:03 PM
I'm going to compress Alex's behavior into four criteria and cite relevant links

This is why Alex is scummy:
Intelligent vs. townie tell (Already explained. Easy to read posting does not necessarily mean town. Namely, it actually gives you a list of easy targets who don't post as well, while having an overall meta advantage for town, in this game would more aid scum.)

One (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257600#msg257600)
Two (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257873#msg257873)
Three (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258929#msg258929)
Four (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262947#msg262947)

Easy "pro-town" sentiment (This one is new. Basically, Alex, all game, has been taking easy theory stances that make him look pro town but honestly aren't difficult to claim as scum. So he gets cred without any actual analysis/opinion work.):

One (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg252823#msg252823)
Two. (sorta, there was semi justified rolefish + rehashing prior discussion) (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254760#msg254760)
Three (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255315#msg255315)
Four (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255733#msg255733)
Five (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg256875#msg256875)
Six (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257600#msg257600)
Seven (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258929#msg258929)
Eight (Sort of. It's coaching me and could be an attempt to look pro town.) (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg258968#msg258968)
Nine (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263261#msg263261)

Framing a now flipped townie (pretty self explanatory, mostly on Cid. He was very...open for any stance on Cid)
One (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257600#msg257600)

Waffling (This is also self explanatory. Note that Alex rarely has ever been committed to a real stance outside of Tom and Ciato.):
One (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257600#msg257600)
Two (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259332#msg259332)
Three (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262175#msg262175)
Four (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg262777#msg262777)

Rolefishing (you might argue this isn't scummy in this set up, and it is less so than other set ups, but the missiles do raise it's scumminess):
]One (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254760#msg254760)
Two (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg255503#msg255503)
Three (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg257196#msg257196)

However, this is probably my most powerful tell: Swinging with the town on a case that he never really said anything about before but suddenly advocates.

One (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259332#msg259332)
Two (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259365#msg259365)
Three (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259461#msg259461)

(Note, he DOES explain it...after the challenge is issued.)

Miscellanious bears noticing. Let me just quote this:

Quote
Ok, what happened to this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg256876#msg256876)? It was rather unqualified.

Quote
Hmm...Alex's first game post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg251328#msg251328) is basically fine. Early game it's obvious players were focused on the two challengers. I was hoping we'd get past that but clearly the hope was in vain. So, we know his stance that scum wants to take risks. This could be very relevant for the "masterful scum gambit" discussion. Course, he does applaud Kefit's IIoA opening post. Numbers are impressive, but what about players?

Quote
I'll note something here. Alex and Tom post almost one right (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254284#msg254284) after the other (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg254291#msg254291[/url). Further, they had three hours to plan this. Perhaps it's coincidence, but it raises the probability of "masterful scum gambit" slightly, IMO.

Note: If you have any questions about the posts I link fulfilling the criteria, please ask them.

Thank God I'm done with that. If I can't convince you with all that, there is no convincing you.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 11:30:50 PM
Alice, it's 6:30 PM EST. What happened to 4:30?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kefit on February 25, 2010, 11:34:45 PM
So I spent all of yesterday dying of AIDS rather than being overworked by a competition. Hooray. Thankfully I've mostly gotten over my AIDS now.

I'm somewhat bemused that the mod actually confirmed Rou's doublevote power. I really expected for its effects on voting to be invisible. I'm certainly not complaining though, more information for us is always a good thing. Plus this more or less completely removes the implication of the missile volley from Rou.

Let's see what I've picked up on my reread:

Rou and UK were at eachother's throats on day one but are bestest friends for life now. Not sure what to make of this.

UK insisted that Kiro take out Ciato on day three instead of me without offering any real reasoning on this matter. Did she want a fellow scum to look good by taking down a scum? But I really can't see scum vs scum happening at this point out of scum's own volition, as LyLo is so close as to outweigh the benefits of such gambits. I doubt anyone would have called serious foul had the duel today ended up being randomly determined. So I'll go ahead and just call this UK being crazy.

Near the end of day four, UK offered to kill Bardiche after taking out Serp (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg260451#msg260451). We would later learn the Bard was town. Of course, UK would probably be in jeopardy if she took two townie heads, but what would she care at that point if she was scum? She'd already have scored two heads for the scum team.

So what about Kiro? I can't really get much of a read. I don't have any issues with the reasoning in this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg263503#msg263503), and as I explained above I really don't think that both Kiro and UK are scum. Since I can't find anything outright scummy about Kiro, he gets my vote.

##Vote: Kiro

On another note, I am growing cautiously wary of Alex - I think that the reasoning in his most recent attack on UK (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg265010#msg265010) is quite poor and stretching of the facts at issue. Not enough to make me throw everything out and go "omg guys Alex is scum," but I'll revisit him after we get a flip from this duel.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 11:38:32 PM
Wellp, I can't really argue "Well, the other person doesn't look as bad" logic. I don't think it's GOOD, but, whatever, at this point I'm just hoping town makes the right choice. Honestly, I'm actually leaning more Kefit scum and Alice town, not just because of how I'm being handled but how apparently Kefit approves of Kiro's "I'll accuse everyone" post.

Quote
On another note, I am growing cautiously wary of Alex - I think that the reasoning in his most recent attack on UK is quite poor and stretching of the facts at issue. Not enough to make me throw everything out and go "omg guys Alex is scum," but I'll revisit him after we get a flip from this duel.

You could start with my most recent wall, but I understand you might not want to spend that much time until this challenge is over.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kefit on February 25, 2010, 11:46:52 PM
Your most recent wall asks me to find Alex scummy because he's been acting too townie. That doesn't strike me as particularly good logic.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 25, 2010, 11:57:52 PM
@UK: I made the mistake of going onto the Internet Relay IRCs. My apologies.

Incidentally, your wall, while still not convincing me, is a MUCH, MUCH better job than your previous attempt yesterday. It's actually coherent and solid. Anyway: first off, where the fuck are Jam and K4U? Jam said she'd be around by now, and K4U has been curiously absent this entire bloody day. What the hell.

Anyway, I've thought about it for a bit. First off, I am growing more wary of Alex myself from his latest posts, they're more "what. just...what." than anything else, though. I'm honestly not sure what to make of them. Anyway, on-topic: I'm still going to edge on the side of Kiro here. There's just enough that doesn't add up about UK so far, combined with the Roukan behaviour, combined with the events of the past couple hours.

I'm still unsure about this. The only reason I'm giving Kiro a pass for his behaviour is his vacation. Really, his activity levels are otherwise inexcuseable, and one thing that I have to say UK has been doing that Kiro hasn't is showing actual effort and dedication. So if I'm wrong and UK flips Town, someone needs to take out Kiro tomorrow. I am certain of this. Anyway,

##Vote: Kiro
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 25, 2010, 11:58:02 PM
##Vote Kiro
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 25, 2010, 11:59:19 PM
Your most recent wall asks me to find Alex scummy because he's been acting too townie. That doesn't strike me as particularly good logic.

You clearly aren't reading. I'm not saying he's too townie. What I'm saying is he attempts to give the appearance of townie opinions with set up speculation and theory contributions, while not contributing too much on analyzing other players. Hence why "pro-town" is in quotes.

And I just got hammered.

Guess what guys? K4U is scum and she thinks she just won the game. Guess I was wrong about Kefit after all.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 12:00:04 AM
Ok, I'm sorry, this deserves it's own post.

If you are town, K4U, that was the scummiest possible thing you could have done. What possesses you?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Kefit on February 26, 2010, 12:02:35 AM
rofl what

can we get a mod in here plx
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 12:05:07 AM
Well, until the mod gets here, one last thought before I flip. I think scum has already won and my "town" reads ended up being scum after all. Rou, K4U, and Kiro are the scum.

/me facepalms

I suck at this game :(.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Edible on February 26, 2010, 12:06:58 AM
DUM DEE DOO

UncertainKitten, playing Fujino Shizuru, Town Student Council President was destroyed with the power of love!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on February 26, 2010, 12:07:42 AM
@K4U: ...

What.

Why would you do that. Why. Seriously, why.

Is it too much to ask for everyone to goddamn stop trying to quickhammer in this game? Between that and the premature challenges I honestly have to wonder if a good chunk of MoTK's playerbase has temporarily gone more insane than myself, which is a truly rare occurence otherwise.

And yes, could we get a mod in here, please?

Ninja Edible: ...sigh.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 26, 2010, 12:10:55 AM
Welp. :|
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 26, 2010, 12:48:10 AM
Motherfucker... I spent like 4 hours yesterday rereading UK instead of doing my homework for this shit?
SERIOUSLY?

Also: I'm like an hour late cuz I lost my ID and spent the last hour looking for it. I still can't find it. Life is more important than this. Ans now I'm busy again... be back in... I don't when. Later tonight.

Note: Swearing not directed at anyone specific...
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Pesco on February 26, 2010, 06:54:28 AM
Quote
Dioxygen Diflouride

Don't change your name during a game, Sodium.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Day 6)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 10:52:49 AM
Midnight in the city.

Neon lights crisscrossed the streets, promising sex, food, and entertainment of all kinds, but few were succumbing to the siren's lure of a Friday evening. The only ones who hadn't heard the rumors are those who wouldn't leave their homes anyway, but there were few who didn't see their wisdom.

Mysterious deaths. Gas explosions. Missing persons. Men driven mad, having seen things they could not comprehend. In such an environment, only the insane or careless would go out.

Yet Yuuki Nao was neither. In the most dangerous part of town, where thugs would take your wallet and your health (if falling scaffolding didn't get you first), she calmly talked on her phone, entirely unconcerned.

"Yeah. The boy's dorm. It's all set, as long as tonight goes smoothly. Kikukawa, you know your part?"

"Yes, Yuuki-san. After the strike, Mikoto-chan and I will... will take care of it." The voice on the other end quavered. Nao wanted to slap it.

"Oi. Don't go having second thoughts now. You know this has to happen. And you know nobody can forgive you. Not even your precious Haruka-chan, if she found out. So say it. Say what you're doing."

The voice on the other line was silent for a long moment. When it spoke again, it was firm. "Yes. Mikoto-chan and I will kill the last three. We can do it."

"That's my sempai. Well, hopefully- wait, looks like I've got company." Light footsteps made their way towards Nao, hidden by an enroaching gloom.

"Thank you, Yuuki-san. Honestly, I was having doubts," spoke a saccharine voice, perhaps more suited to entertaining guests than staring down a criminal.

"Yes, that was your mistake," replies Nao, turning about with a smirk. "President-san, you have a job that forces you to analyze, and re-analyze, don't you? So even if you had a hunch, you wouldn't act on it immediately."

Shizuru stepped into the alley, a dark shadow hanging over her. She wore a rumpled uniform, messy from days without sleep. "I don't think that's a character flaw. After all, if you had thought this through some more, I'm sure you would've done things differently. For instance-"

With a crimson flash, a naginata of gleaming rubies appeared in her hands.

"-I would not still be here?" finishes Nao, folding her arms.

"No, not that. You would have asked me to join you," replies Shizuru, thrusting the naginata forward. "I don't need to wonder why you worked together in the first place. It was Sugiura-sensei's doing, wasn't it?"

"Yeah, that teacher knew from the start there was no hope," replies Nao. "I don't know how she convinced Kuga, but in the end, they came to me. That Mikoto is as easy to convince as a five-year-old, and Kikukawa... heh. I need to thank her sometime. If it weren't for her, I wouldn't have figured out how to beat you today."

"It's nice to be so confident. But isn't this backwards? Thanks to you, I know I need to defeat Kikukawa-san once we're finished." She advanced one step.

"Hey, you want to know something fun?" asks Nao, still nonchalant. "Sugiura and Kuga couldn't take it. They just couldn't stand killing others so they could survive. So they threw their lives away, as if they had nothing to live for. Hey, president-san, what do you think of that?"

"It would explain your behaviour, Yuuki-san. Not just presenting yourself to me, but your entire life." Shizuru paused, and a smile that would be motherly in other circumstances played across her lives. "Playing cops and robbers in the streets. Turning everyone away, all for.. what was it, again? A living corpse? Poor thing..."

Nao's lips twitched in a snarl. She turned about to face Shizuru head on, hands on hips. "Yeah, it's better to fight for a living corpse than an actual corpse, isn't it? And at least mine's family. Since Kuga isn't related to you, that makes you... the same as Kikukawa, doesn't it? Poor thing... you know the really sad thing?"

Nao seemed to be advancing without moving her feet. There wasn't any sense of danger about her. Judging by the way Hime gained their powers, Nao should be one of the weakest. So Shizuru didn't understand her fear.

"Kuga always talked about you," replies Nao, suppressing a giggle. "'That Shizuru makes me sick.' 'I hate the way she looks at me when she thinks I'm not paying attention.' 'I heard her mention my name in her sleep once. Disgusting!' You knew Natsuki was straight as an arrow, right? What, you think the way that outfit showed off her ass, she wore it for fun? No way. She's been getting it on since she was like fifteen. With guys, of course."

Nao was very close now. Shizuru couldn't feel the spear in her hands. "She despised you. I think even if you weren't a HiME, she'd have wanted to take you out sometime. So, you know, your reason to fight in the first place was pretty hopeless. But don't you think it's funny? You and Kikukawa are both raging dykes, so I figure you two both missed out on something special, being in the council like that."

There was a wet sucking sound, and Shizuru looked down. Nao's arm was through her body, in a way that should not be possible.

"Ah. So it was hopeless," she replied, closing her eyes for the last time.

Nao withdrew her bloody arm, and reached for her still-operational phone. "I hate you, Nao-san," murmured Kikukawa. "Is that really the truth? We should have-"

"Don't be a retard, Kikukawa. Kuga had no goddamn clue. Neither did I until yesterday. You think I'm stupid enough to go up against that witch just with force? Hime win or die from their feelings, not skills or anything like that."

A flash of light screamed from the sky into somewhere on the island; there was a dull roar, and flames leapt from the impact.

"So. You still have something to do, right?"

<--->

Uncertain Kitten, aka Fujino Shizuru, Student Council President, had her heart stopped by Yuuki Nao!

Roukanken, aka Okuzaki Akira, Town Secret Ninja was blown up by offshore missiles!

Yuuki Nao (Kiro), Kikukawa Yukino (Alice), and Minagi Mikoto (Kitten4U) cleaned up three bonus heads in the end game! Scum win at 5.99 heads!

When I get home, I'll post all setup details and some commentary. Excuse my blatant Nao fanboyism. (I do not share her views on most topics. <_<) Until then, apologies for the somewhat-broken setup.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 26, 2010, 11:20:12 AM
Balanced setup or not, town did a lot to fuck themselves over here.

I personally have learned a valuable lesson: signing up for two mafia games at once while working forty hours a week = fucking stupid. Trying to keep up with both was excruciating; when Chaore was pressing me for information just before my death I couldn't really answer because my brain was just mush by that point.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 26, 2010, 12:07:38 PM
That confirms who you are, then, I s'pose, in that game.

Well uh, that was certainly an 'interesting' game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 26, 2010, 01:36:24 PM
Quote from: http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg256938#msg256938
And where the hell is K4U? She's been horribly inactive this game, and even there she hasn't helped. This doesn't read like she usually does.

Don't think Alice is much better in that regard. Then again, this game is weird in that lurkers are less likely to be scum because they need to get out there and win showdowns, so...
*munches on his own hat*
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 26, 2010, 01:40:13 PM
 :V Told you it made sense for them to aim for "scum>town, town>amt(heads_needed+1)".
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: EvilTom on February 26, 2010, 01:41:40 PM
Bwahahah I can't believe we won that. Alice is my new Mafia god.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 26, 2010, 02:00:58 PM
Was your suicide planned, Tom?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 02:15:00 PM
Can't believe?

Alex actually made TWO PEOPLE SERIOUSLY CONSIDER HIM BEING SCUM. After what happened D2. I...don't really think you guys were EVER hard-pressed for victory. Frankly, I'd be more surprised if you lost.

I'll toss apropos to Alice and K4U. I only considered once or twice the idea of you two being scum, and dropped it because it simply didn't seem to match up. Well done.

:V Told you it made sense for them to aim for "scum>town, town>amt(heads_needed+1)".

Oh Definitely. Why do you think I was pressing to find scum hard enough to put my life on the line? We could not win this game by doing anything other than finding scum.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 02:23:54 PM
Writeups
(Bardiche)
You are Kazahana Mashiro, Town Crippled Principle!!

As the one who was responsible for bringing all the Hime together in the first place, you can't help but feel accountable for their fates. No, now might be the right time! After three hundred years, can you fight destiny and create a world that isn't formed from the blood of innocents? Well, if it's possible, it'll only come about through iron-clad teamwork.

You can send a secret message of 100 words or less to someone at any time during play. At gamestart, you can only do this once, but every time you win a duel, you gain an extra use! PM the mod to use this power, naming your target and typing your message.

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.


<->
(Kitten4u)
You are Minagi Mikoto, Scum Catgirl Bruiser!

At long last, you found onii-san on the isle of Fuka. And all the training you've done, all the hard work, it will definately pay off now! You are an excellent Hime. Miroku is an excellent sword. And the world which your brother will create is also excellent. Even if it means defeating Mai and the others, you can do this. It's not like you're alone. Nao (Kiro), Midori (Ciato), and Yukino (Alice) are all going to help you bring about your brother's new utopia...

By eating curry bread and embarkening on a destructive rampage throughout the school grounds, you have the power to cause a brief riot. Instead of a duel, the day will be resolved as a general lynch, where anyone can vote for anyone and the person who gains the most votes wins. In such a lynch, whoever hammers (or is the effective hammerer in case of timeout) is considered the 'winner'.

You can only use this power during the pre-challenge phase of each day; once a challenge has been declared, you can't instigate a riot. You can, however, declare ahead of time that you wish to cause a riot the next day.

You can use this ability once. Every time you win a challenge, you can use it an additional time. PM the mod to use this power.

You win when the scum collectively win five duels. Even if scum outnumber town, they still lose if there aren't enough townies left to win five times.


<->
(Dread Thomas)
You are Kuga Natsuki, Town Hot Biker Chick!

Only an idiot would listen to all this festival bullshit. It's all a plan by the First District to turn you against one another! Of course, there are some idiots who'd definately try and slaughter everyone else. It's not a sin to defend yourself against that whilst looking for another solution.

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.


Actually DT was scum, as you know. I changed this last-minute during the pregame for balance purposes.

<->
(Alice)
You are Kikukawa Yukino, Scum Wallflower!

"If you don't help us, who knows what will happen to Haruka-chan~"

The messages just never stopped, and what they had to say was always the same. And the worst thing about it is that even without them, you probably would've chosen this path anyway. There's no way out of the festival, it's impossible! And without allies you can really trust, you know you'd be defeated just like that! You're just joining the winning team. Midori (Ciato), Nao (Kiro) and Mikoto (Kitten4u) can surely be trusted. Right?

You can send a secret message of 100 words or less to someone at any time during play. You can only do this once, but every time you win a duel, you gain an extra use of this power! PM the mod to use this power, naming your target and typing your message.

You win when the scum collectively win five duels. Even if scum outnumber town, they still lose if there aren't enough townies left to win five times.


<->
(Ciato)
You are Sugiura Midori, Scum Adventurer Archeologist!

All your research has indicated that it's impossible for the festival to be resolved any other way apart from a brutal brawl. To say this tears your heart up is an understatement, and you've been hitting the drink pretty strongly.

But time doesn't stop for any woman. Eventually, you're going to have to get off your ass and defeat most of the other Hime. IT's not strictly necessary for all everyone to be defeated. A few of the girls seemed like they'd be able to stomach this whole deal, and you've teamed up with Nao (Kiro), Yukino (Alice) and Mikoto (Kitten4u) in order to save the world, by doing whatever is necessary.

You win when the scum collectively win five duels. Even if scum outnumber town, they still lose if there aren't enough townies left to win five times.

Scumchat is located in #scottishschoolgirls on irc.lunarnet.org, password/key is JULIA.

<->
(Chaos)
You are Higurashi Akane, Town Fast-Food Cook!

Life is tough as a grunt employee at Linden Baum, and it's even tougher as a Hime. And now it looks like everyone's going to fight one another! Someone's already started! It's pretty scary, and you're not sure Kazuya would still like you if he knew what you were willing to do... no, you don't need to go so far. As long as you root out the bad eggs in the group, everything will be fine, right?

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.



<->
(Kiro)
You are Yuuki Nao, Scum Jailbait Vigilante!

If life has taught you anything, it's that the only person who's going to really look out for you is yourself, and that you should always expect the worst. Obviously, this festival has been going on for hundreds of years. Obviously, nobody in the past was able to circumvent it. And obviously, the only way you're going to get through this is to win straightforwardly! You already took out that snivelling Tokiha brat, and you've teamed up with some others who seem to think along your lines for now. Midori (Ciato), Mikoto (Kitten4u) and Yukino (Alice) are on your team, and you're prepared to do whatever you have to in order to win!

You're not exactly sure why this remote control was left lying outside your room one night, but it seems to link to some offshore missile launcher. You've got one shot, and some post-it note on the back, written just for you, seemed to say that whoever is giving you this help will give you more missiles if you win battles.

Once per day, before the challenge phase, you can order a missile strike that will blow up any one Hime. You can pre-emptively queue up a shot during the challenge phase that will immediately take place as the day commences. You gain an additional shot for each fight you win. Note that townies killed in this way do not count to your victory tally. PM the mod to use your power.

You win when the scum collectively win five duels. Even if scum outnumber town, they still lose if there aren't enough townies left to win five times.

Scumchat is located in #scottishschoolgirls on irc.lunarnet.org, password/key is JULIA.

<->
(Serp)
You are Himeno Fumi, Town Perfect and Elegant Maid!

As the vice-principal of Fuka Academy, you have taken it upon yourself to protect the children. After all, you're a HiME too. It's not as though the festival doesn't concern you. Even if Mashiro-sama has turned to the dark side, you won't relent. They're all just too young...

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.


<->
(Rou)
You are Okuzaki Akira, Town Secret Ninja!

Those fiends, killing both the Tokiha siblings like that! You don't know who they are, but they're going to pay! Alright, so everyone knows you're a ninja, and you can't really count on your training in stealth and misdirection to help you all that much here. You're just going to have to do this the old-fashioned way.

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.


<->
(Kefit)
You are Munakata Shiho, Town Shrine Maiden!

Onii-chan is all yours now that that Tokiha bitch is out the way! But fighting is scary... and you don't want to. Weren't there legends about this back in the shrine? About the Ikusahime, who would pointlessly kill one another as part of some celebration? No, you won't go through with that! You'll stop the killers instead!

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.

<->
(UncertainKitten)
You are Fujino Shizuru, Town Student Council President!

This won't do at all. Certainly, you would be willing to consider doing almost anything to protect your precious person. And certainly, a way out of this festival doesn't seem obvious. But can't all of this be worked out over a cup of tea and some peaceful discussion? There's a limit to how soon you can give into atrocities, you know.

Surely your experience in politics will help you out with this trial, however.

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.

<->
(Jam-Kiske)
You are Alyssa Searrs, Town Choirgirl!

It seems that communication has been cut with Father, and you haven't seen Miyu in days. It's completely impossible to know who you can trust anymore, and as far as you know, no backup is coming to get you. Yet this festival is continuing regardless, and soon the time will come to make some hard choices.

Since you haven't received orders to do so, you don't think you really want to work to take out the rest of the Hime. For now you'll try and find the murderers yourself.

You have the power to cause a brief riot. Instead of a duel, the day will be resolved as a general lynch, where anyone can vote for anyone and the person who gains the most votes wins. In such a lynch, whoever hammers (or is the effective hammerer in case of timeout) is considered the 'winner'.

You can only use this power during the pre-challenge phase of each day; once a challenge has been declared, you can't instigate a riot. You can, however, declare ahead of time that you wish to cause a riot the next day.

You can use this ability once. Every time you win a challenge, you can use it an additional time.

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.

<->
(Pesco)
You are Sanada Yukariko, Town Lovestruck Nun!

God has spoken! No matter what trials you must face, He will provide! And He would not like it at all if you were to attack innocent children, simply under the degree of those who are clearly agents of Satan! Through Faith you will Conquer All Adversaries! Through Faith, you will uproot these Agents of Sin!

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.

<->
(Kilga)
You are Senou Aoi, Town Ordinary Schoolgirl!

Or so you'd like people to think. The truth is, you're a product of a top-secret special forces project. From childhood, you've been trained in the use of every weapon known to man; fists, guns, knives, swords, tanks, jets...

You were planted in Fuka to keep an eye on supernatural incidences, but somewhere along the way your mask became reality, and now you want nothing more than to be an ordinary schoolgirl once again. Unfortuantely, it seems that things are coming to a head, and now you'll have to stand by your friends...

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.


<->
(Cid)
You are Harada Chie, Town Photographer!

Ever since that incident in the Australian Outback last year, your camera has developed unusual powers. It's not something you like to talk about much, but perhaps those legends had some basis in fact- when you look through the lens, sometimes you don't see a clear image, but everything in strange shades of blue and green. And when you press the shutter, it unleashes poltergeists upon your foes!

Maybe it was meant to be, because all the supernatural events around here demand more than just a reporter. They demand someone who can take action. And you're just the girl to do it.

Your keen eye for human nature allows you to pick out whether someone is a murderous scumbag or an upstanding student. You can investigate one player at any time, once during the game, and figure out their alignment. Every time you win a duel, you gain an additional use of this ability. You can't use it twice in one day, however. PM your investigations to the mod to use them.

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if they fail to get the required number of kills by the end of the game.


<->
(Alex)
You are Miyu Greer, Town Killer Cyborg!

Rebooting completed.

Instructions: Incoming apolcalyptic event classified as a class-4. Prevent at all costs. However, preservation of Hime life is considered a secondary goal. Golden Millenium cannot be brought about without their power. Conversion to our cause can happen after this battle is completed.

Possibility that Alyssa has been compromised by unknown agents. Exercise caution in all dealings. Good luck, Miyu.

You win when all the scum are eliminated, or if it is impossible for them to get the requisite number of kills by the end of the game.


HIME STAR EVENTS

Day 2 - Tag Battle
Day 3 - Empty
Day 4 - Nobody in previous fights may fight
Day 5 - Empty
Day 6 - Bauble Drops from the Heavens (+1 power (scum can share) or +1 vote for the powerless)
Day 7 - Empty
Day 8 - Scum choose a challenge at their whim
Day 9 - Empty
Day 10 - If anyone hasn't fought, they must fight, otherwise game continues normally.
Remaining Days: Empty

The 'Hime Star is High in the Sky!' messages were just me screwing with y'all.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 02:24:52 PM
oh god

why'd that happen

screw it it's readable
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 02:30:53 PM
Huh.

So Kiro queued up a shot for his victory? That... Well eh. :V

I have to ask. Given we had no idea if Framers DID exist- Why the Zero Charge on the cop, when the missiles apparently came with a charge.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 02:39:42 PM
Town MVP: Alex. Seriously. Uh. Obvious.
Scum MVP: Hard to actually pick someone out of scum, but prooooobably Alice.
Townie I felt most sympathetic for: Roukanken.
Scum I felt most sympathetic for: Ciato.

Day 2. Yeah, I think that was a terrible clusterfuck for scum. It was blatantly obvious that Tom was scum, the strategy was really quite transparent. I feel, however, that lynching Alex and Ciato would've been the smarter move, since it would've been quite hard at that stage to know which of them is scummy on the outside (could've been trying to set up Tom vs. Ciato for Tom victory and +1head!)  Kilga was pretty much clear though, dunno why town persisted in killing Tom.

Civility: This is mafia, and I have in the past hold that pretty much anything short of blatant ad hominem goes. I have myself used angry ranting and rage to great effect on either side- though the effect was not always what I intended. However the fact that this game caused people to quit rather than play.. well. Bard is a pretty okay guy. I don't think I'll be as lenient in the future.

Obviously, forum rules must be respected and I'm not about to gainsay Edible over that either. Should listen to that guy.

The actual effectiveness of such play- that is, extremely forceful intimidation tactics to make things happen... well. I've been in a position very similar to UK's in the past, where I pretty much forced town to lynch me at LYLO after such displays. Town simply cannot stand to get pushed around like that- if one person slides on it, several can, and then you're pretty screwed. Furthermore, if you're too forceful they'll stop caring about winning and start just wanting to lynch you on principle.

Unless you are 100% sure- and face it, as a vanilla townie you're not- resorting to such extremes to get the point across is only going to bite you in the ass. Insulting people also generally fails to get them thinking the way you want.

<->

I am a bit disappointed at how the setup turned out. I figured a maxim of the game would be 'scum must actively seek heads', but the conditions I specified for endgame let them pretty much play it out like normal mafia- lurk a lot. In fact because of the way challenges work it was probably even easier. I think that next time I try this, I really will institute a time limit- and likely not use a unilateral challenge scheme either.

Game was... actually I think there was a good shot for either side to win, primarily through cheap role-based tactics or a town steamroller. It was very swingy; cop and scumvig are very strong in this setup.

Vig was given a free charge, unlike cop, because cop can win the game by himself while vig cannot (and scum needed anti-steamroller stuff.)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 02:44:01 PM
Vig was given a free charge, unlike cop, because cop can win the game by himself while vig cannot (and scum needed anti-steamroller stuff.)

False. Blatantly.

We could not expect a Town read to be completely accurate, and finding ONE scum does not stop the other 4 from dodging you. Not to mention we can't actually trust a role claim. A cop can't win the game by himself.

Town MVP: Alex. Seriously. Uh. Obvious.

The fuck did Alex actually do?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 02:46:31 PM
@Chaore: More than just about anyone else in town? It is pretty much undeniable he forced Ciato and Tom into outing themselves; Tom himself told me Alex pressured him into that move. He was consistently reasonable in the face of some pretty crazy town behavior.

You don't need to find scum as cop in this setup. You find town and let him kill everyone.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 02:57:00 PM
Wouldn't actually work, Given how this end game went, its perfectly possible for scum to win on the clean up. At that, the Vig could take out the town and then we're back to start. And the cop can't be trusted without being taken out.

You do, pretty much, need to find scum to win as town. Scum needs a bit of tactics, but not  a lot if you get a kill or two. Especially with a 5 team. One kill per person lost.

As for MVP Alex... No, That was Tom being an idiot. There was time to wiggle out that Tom CHOSE to forsake. There was never a guarantee that the challenge would be agreed on. Tom gave the two of them away, not Alex. So yes, It is actually deniable. Tom made a quick and very bad decision. Alex just caused him to make it.

As for reasonable, he actually had people thinking he was scum. That should say something about how he played. Not that anyone was any better in this regard.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Pesco on February 26, 2010, 02:58:26 PM
Game was... actually I think there was a good shot for either side to win, primarily through cheap role-based tactics or a town steamroller.

Didn't I nom Rou on Day 1? Of course nobody listens to confirmed players.

Now the not so nice stuff.
If Edible wants to hand out any punishment for offensive players, I'll support it. As I had said, just about everyone is guilty to some extent of incivility. The game can be played without excessive swearing and needless antagonization. I don't doubt Edible will have much to say on this.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 02:58:56 PM
Townie forcing scum to make a bad decision? Sounds pretty valuable to me.

The only player who seemed to have nobody considering him as scum during endgame was Alice. <_<
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 26, 2010, 03:00:23 PM
Townie I felt most sympathetic for: Roukanken.
Uh, yay?

Okay, first question. Did Jam ever mention that her power was exactly the same as K4U's?

Also, I think Carth overrated the cop in terms of brokenness a little. 'Hey guys I found an innocent and- oh, he's just been blown up. Damn. Guess I need to win another challenge...'

And in terms of civility I'm willing to say that this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg259501#msg259501) was uncalled for. I apologise for exploding like that.
Really, though, I think I'm coming to realise that games where that level of aggression is flying around just aren't fun. Knowing that accusing certain people will get all sorts of insults thrown at you means your opinions are going to be skewed one way or the other (depending on whether this scares or annoys you), and in general it just gets people mad. Hence why I'm taking a break from MotK Mafia for a while so things can cool down. -_-;

Didn't I nom Rou on Day 1? Of course nobody listens to confirmed players.
People gave me too much credit by saying I could abuse my meta. I haven't been scum on MotK for over a year. :(
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Pesco on February 26, 2010, 03:02:33 PM
If you take a break, you won't get a chance to roll scum and be obv for us to catch you :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 26, 2010, 03:04:10 PM
If you take a break, you won't get a chance to roll scum and be obv for us to catch you :V
And yet my sanity will be all the better for it. I've already asked Kilga to stop me from signing up for any more games here. >_>
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 03:04:37 PM
It's quite possible I did overrate the cop, admittedly.

During my early drafts of the setup I was scratching my head to figure out how to make the game.. well.. winnable for scum. By the time everything was locked in, I had a mindset of 'scum are probably going to lose, so here are all these advantages that might help them put up a fight!'

And we can all see how that went.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 03:05:21 PM
As an aside, I was sympathetic to Rou because despite the fact that he didn't really do anything horribly bad or brilliantly sharp, he still managed to get people reading all sorts of things into him based on what the people around him were doing. Very odd. <_<
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 03:06:24 PM
The only player who seemed to have nobody considering him as scum during endgame was Alice. <_<

False. Everyone had a suspicion or two. Other people looked worse.

He didn't force Tom to make a bad decision, he just CAUSED it. I stress Tom didn't need to make that choice. It was an error on his part, not a masterful play by Alex. I'd like that added to the record, really.

Didn't I nom Rou on Day 1? Of course nobody listens to confirmed players.

UK sure does. She kept that in mind the entire game.

Hell, She managed to read up on Kefit after I suggested it, too. Not that it was a GOOD suggestion...

Okay, first question. Did Jam ever mention that her power was exactly the same as K4U's?

No. Alice didn't mention his power was Bard's, Either. I assume for the same reason.

Also, I'm going to say I agree with you here. This game was terrible in regards of player actions. Is it ALWAYS like this?

Ninja Carth: Yeah. I thought that was the trick? 'Scum actually have a good chance to win, suckers.'
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Pesco on February 26, 2010, 03:07:38 PM
And yet my sanity will be all the better for it. I've already asked Kilga to stop me from signing up for any more games here. >_>

So you don't ask me. I'LL REMEMBER THAT!!

 :V
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 03:12:22 PM
I don't think it was a brilliant piece of Holmesque deduction or anything, but there's something to be said for being able to get people to see the obvious. <_<
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 26, 2010, 03:13:23 PM
If it means anything, I might end up playing the anonymous round, but only because it means I get to play a game where taking the slightest step out of my meta DOESN'T get me lynched. Honestly, we need more anonymous rounds on this board. Just look at RPGDL - Suwako's onto the right idea, IMO.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Pesco on February 26, 2010, 03:17:35 PM
Anonymous means nothing to the eyes of the blind.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 03:20:09 PM
I'm ambivalent about this game. First, I am appalled at just how bitchy and overall incivil I was. I owe every player in this game an apology on that alone. I owe Bardiche, Kefit, Alex, Alice, and Chaore (and I think Kiro possibly?) a special apology for shitting up the game. I can't really convey my regret over the internet so I guess I pretty much have to leave it at "sorry I was such a bitch to all of you"

Now, on the good side, I correctly called Rou town, and I had Kiro pegged as scum since D2, and pretty much kept that read throughout the game except for a couple spots where I still didn't let up all the way. But, as Kilga says, that's only 1/3rd of playing a good townie. I have to convince the town I'm right and convince the town I'm town. If I had posted a case on Kiro D2 that was in the same format as my final case on Alex, I might have actually secured his lynch (assuming I could find enough at that point, I'm not sure I could have). Course, I did get overconfident EVERY TIME I had a scum team portrayed, so that lead me in a lot of directions that needn't have been gone to. If I hadn't tunnelled on Alex at the end there's a slight chance I might have caught Alice. But, I'll be honest. I wasn't going to catch K4U. Despite her bad behavior, I basically had her as confirmed town for her role. Which was one of MANY stupid mistakes I made this game.

Overall, better luck next time, and I'll try to back off the emotion as much as I can. Fortunately, I'm not playing next game, I'm running it, assuming I'm not probated or anything like that. I think we can come to an equitable agreement.

If it means anything, I might end up playing the anonymous round, but only because it means I get to play a game where taking the slightest step out of my meta DOESN'T get me lynched. Honestly, we need more anonymous rounds on this board. Just look at RPGDL - Suwako's onto the right idea, IMO.

One of my greatest feats of logic was in an anonymous game. It was rather impressive. I'm unsure if I would have been able to do that if I knew the players. But I don't know for sure.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: EvilTom on February 26, 2010, 03:26:22 PM
Eh, Alex going "ET and Ciato are scummiest, they should be on the same time" and sounding reasonable about it was scary for us. In scumchat we figured that an immediate head for a head was a good trade, and sacrificing the two people who Alex found as scum was also acceptable enough. I felt bad that Ciato wasn't around for this discussion at all, since I got her killed. Sorry :(
But getting a definite head and losing 2 people we were problably going to lose wasn't bad. I wasn't playing well at all.
I was really surprised scum got the opportunity to unilaterally take heads like that. Kamikaze!
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 03:44:43 PM
It turned out with 2 scum down because of Scum, not because of Alex. Alex made a suggestion like everyone else, that happened to be right, and Scum decided to act poorly off of that. He did NOT get anyone to see the obvious. He didn't even provide a clear case, his D1 and D2 posts contained a distinct LACK of scum hunting, and he only didn't get lynched overall BECAUSE of Tom's actions.

Tom, essentially, MADE Alex town. Didn't you hear me? He made this town.

Frankly, I've said it once and I say it again. Even AFTER THAT he still managed to get people seriously considering if he was scum. Mostly because he was terrible overall. Just want this straight off my chest, because Alex/Cid/A lot of townies ticked me off in this regard.

UK is fine though. S'alright kittenbuddy. I honestly do not blame anyone that thought I was scum.

The fact Alice thought I was town was the only thing about him I ever found alarming.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Carthrat on February 26, 2010, 03:50:10 PM
Additionally, the scumchat pretty much daily featured an 'Oh fuck, it's the alex!' segment at 12 o'clock sharp for the entire game. Just, y'know, saying.  Someone who can have that kind of psychological impact upon the enemy is, well... valuable? A bit?

I suppose this is information only I was privy too, though. Ah well.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 03:55:57 PM
The thing is, did Alex even CATCH any scum after Tom and Ciato. I grant that Alex's reputation and apparently calming effect on the game was powerful, but as I said in my reread, he didn't feel like he was putting in any real effort, or was honestly trying to scum hunt.

Obviously I was wrong. Don't get me wrong, Alex did have a valuable effect on the game. I'd probably not have sobered up at all in later days without him and just gotten lynched for being irritating (which happened anyway but it took longer and I was starting to get somewhere, though I tunnelled on Alex too much). I just don't think scum had as much cause to be scared as they seem to have been.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 04:06:04 PM
After D2? Because that was justified, as he was pretty much just shy of confirmed. His words meant a shitload.

And despite that, he actually got a case on him. Still.

He didn't even push on K4U or Alice. And if anyone thought people would buy his 'Kill off the lurkers and send us HURTLING TO LYLO', they're a god damn fucking moron. He didn't devise a case on Kiro, that was UK. He didn't devise a case on Alice, he just said hes a lurker so he should die. He didn't even touch K4U, the closest she got to slipping up was saying 'Yeah, I've never really posted anything on you but I'm sure everyone's said enough'.

Alex did nothing. He was an irritatingly bad player that was 'confirmed'. Nothing. Else.

NinjaUK: My point exactly. Probably better said.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kiro on February 26, 2010, 04:12:38 PM
This game sure was a mess.

I actually felt Scum had very little control in this game. Day 1 challenge occurs out of the blue and then Tom and Ciato are fingered. I initially felt we got lucky Day 2 with the Hime Star setup and secured the 1 Town head for 2 Scum sacrifice rather than a possible Scum v Scum setup in Day 2. Carth's opinion to actually consider lynching Ciato/Alex Day 2 isn't something I considered. Has some merit I guess. And in the middle of Day 3, we get Cid's copclaim and I understand what my vig is for. But I'm nervous as hell because while Cid needs to be killed, Alex is setting up to look like a Super Townie.

Day 4, it seems pretty obvious Alice and K4U aren't looking Townie enough to be able to take people out. UK's accusation of me in Day 2 (she got me for exactly the right reason why I was scummy all game) weighed on me so it didn't look like I'd get a shot at a kill either. Serp picked up on me (for somewhat the right reason) after I accused him. I was hoping for Cid v Chaos so I could vig Cid after he won.

Day 5, the bauble appears and of all people, it goes to Rou. Right around then, we had discussed in scumchat that we might as well vig someone to reduce the number of people who are destined to get into a fight. So I opted for Cid since I figured he'd get one in Day 6. And pray Alex doesn't go Super Townie or Rou's power isn't that overpowering (but it was quite good).

My L-1 vote in Day 5 was an unintentional mistake and I sweated when I had realized after that Town Chaos had hammered himself. But in a sense, it became a blessing in disguise because it put me up as a possible duelist for Day 6. I was also worried Alex would assert himself and go Super Townie or at least suggest he kill someone today. But it didn't happen and he actually suggested UK versus me, to which I ask, why? It doesn't look like we're Scum v Scum, but one of us is likely Scum so why risk it?

Anyways, that match came about while I posted a whole mess of crap (including placing my buddies as #1 and #3 on the list) and Alice stepped up. One interesting thing I noticed about Alice's post: he's exasperated at me, but relatively civil while he goes absolutely nuts at UK. I wondered if people would catch on to the difference of tone as bias. Furthermore, the way those 2 tore into each other on a meta level, suggests they could not possibly be scumbuddies. It was pretty bad while I was doing my rereads.

So yeah, I felt we had very little control. We lucked out in Day 2 with the quickdraw and lucked out in Day 6 with me getting placed against someone who looked as bad as me. And I'm terrible as Scum endgame as I think it was demonstrated. I clear people too easily during the game which leaves me grasping for cases on people I want to get mislynched (resulting in the darn "accuse everyone" post).

Kudos to Alice for stepping up at the right time and pushing for my matchup although I got worried he was overemphasizing it and with me initiating, I thought it would put me at a disadvantage. K4U's early roleclaim was good in that at least it kept her from being a target. Although if Jam had the same ability, she should have brought it up and then we'd see a duel between them because almost no way would 2 Townies have that kind of an ability. UK also spotted me early and I could never get into a groove after that so yeah, although the tunneling on me might have backfired a bit.

Cid: How come you went public with your roleclaim? Like I mentioned midgame, you could have just hidden in the background, get the Day 3 kill on Ciato (which I missed, otherwise, I'd have had 2 nukes early), and then do a Cop check with no one aware at all.

Regarding Alex talk: At least me in game, I was always suggesting Alex take people out as a gamble. I was always worried he'd actually do it so it scared me. Playing with fire pretty much. After I sent the PM to kill Cid, Alice also suggested that maybe I should have vigged Alex instead; it was what I initially thought I'd do, but figured the Cop checking a lurker like K4U or Alice was more inherently dangerous. Chaos: that is my point of view on Alex from Scum side. I was surprised UK thought he'd gambit that hard in Day 2 and be considered Scum by her.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 04:17:42 PM
Quote
I was surprised UK thought he'd gambit that hard in Day 2 and be considered Scum by her.

That was the only way I could justify pushing him. It had to be a "masterful scum gambit" or else the entire case falls apart. I wish Alex had been more proactive scumhunting, but perhaps he was and I just missed it. I've been told that Alex tends to be more subtle with his reads. But, it did read as posturing for most of the game hence why I started to tunnel him.

Well, thank you for the D2 credit. I just wish I had conveyed my thoughts a lot more clearly. Alex is indeed right that communication is important and the onus is on ME to make myself heard clearly.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 26, 2010, 04:25:51 PM
In reading over what's been said in postgame so far, I was about to post something I probably shouldn't have (especially after what went on in this game) but the library lost power (home's been out since last night whyyyyyyy) and I got to rethink my decision and decided against it.

I'm not going to make a full post from here, I'd rather make one from home, but I will say a couple of things.

- This game, and some of the postgame discussion, has highlighted an issue that needs to be fixed if MotK wants to progress further: there are a handful of people that put themselves ahead of their team and play accordingly. They don't care whether or not their team wins as long as they have something to brag about as an individual. I am not going to name names in this regard, even though I think at least one or two are incredibly obvious if you stop and think about it for a minute. Originally I was going to open up a public philosophy discussion but I decided against that as well over the course of the game, and will talk to certain individuals in private instead an an attempt to correct this error. However, if anyone amongst this handful of people asks me in public if they are such a person, I will tell them in public. If you think you're one such person and want to avoid the potential embarrassment, stay quiet.

- In light of this, Alex was the Town MVP because he did the best job playing for his team. He was thoughtful and level-headed all game, and the cases he made against townies were the fault of those townies playing badly. People that don't want to give him his due credit need to look past the fact that his attitude is a bit rough.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 26, 2010, 04:35:09 PM
I disagree with Chaore regarding "Alex was irritatingly bad confirmed town". I've kept reading the game after my modkill and found Alex to be rather agreeable. Like I expressed, most of the game went to "how to have optimal play", a discussion that left me apathetic since game strategies aren't to be discussed in the game itself, as far as I'm concerned.

I owe the entiriety of town an apology for electing to suicide, but as Carthrat mentioned, well. I felt Serpentarius was town, indeed. But I also thought UK was town by then, because the aggressive, attention-garnering strategy seemed completely off for scum, especially because I assumed the easiest way to win was to have town kill town until scum outnumbered.

But I digress. At the time I honestly wanted to see UK die because she vexed me greatly, and then I chose the easy way out and pretend the game was irrelevant. For that, I owe my apologies, although I admit I would not have been able to predict any scum teams.

To Pesco: you asked me early in the thread to "admit" I was angry you had chosen to challenge me on my first gamepost. :) Let me clear up that that was not the case; I truly was more annoyed by people agreeing than I was annoyed with you doing it in the first place. When you declared it, I thought it was a jest. When UK threatened to challenge you if you didn't follow up on it, I threw my hands up yelling OH DESWHAT IS THIS I DON'T EVEN!

I still don't buy into warm fuzzy feelings. ;)

I'd just like to say that the game was unbalanced indeed. Scum being able to sit back and watch town kill itself and having a vig role to destroy the single useful power role town had was uhhhh what.

Sending messages is useless. I had wanted to argue, "Why would Carthrat give such a useless power to scum? It can only be malignantly used!" and it seems that I was right not to argue that. :p

(for those wondering, if the mod deposited the message as, "During the night, a notice was hammered to your door: "msg"." then it can be abused by pretending you're an event or NPC faction or whatever and clear/accuse people. I felt this power did not serve town, any thought pro-town enough to be said should be said in the open)

The lynch thing was a null read and I am a bit confused why whoever had the same role did not contest it, given that having the exact same role is suspicious.

Either way, the game was different from normal Mafia; regretably in more ways than one, but let it be known that I don't dislike anyone over this fiasco. I understand all too well the frustration of being so convinced I've caught scum slipping up and all the others going "derp wrong!".

This is fast becoming a wall of text, but succinct messages and I seem to have a long-standing rivalry where we tend to oppose one-another.

I've taken a liking to reading the adventure text threads here so I'll stick around, maybe join Mafia here again sometime; ;D
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 26, 2010, 04:49:25 PM
Edible actually went to me really late in the game about why Jam didn't claim. I had been wondering it myself for a while, but then I decided to think about what I would do from her perspective, and I realized that I'd probably play the same way. From the perspective of a vanilla townie, the role is a pretty pro-town role, and there's nothing in the rules to suggest there's only one of it floating around. Who knows, the game has sufficiently abnormal mechanisms that there might be duplicates of such a role. Then there was Cid's death, and who knows how many more kills scum had, so why bother outing oneself and giving them more targets? K4U's claim floating around by itself might not be worth the attention, but putting a second claim on the table could make scum turn vig attention to those two players.

With all that considered, I probably also would have stayed mum, though I don't know for sure. Even if I wouldn't have, I don't really fault Jam for doing so.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 04:52:20 PM
Kiro: I admit, the D2 makes it completely implausible. But only implausible.

Especially after Alex started posting -bad enough- that Scum!Alex would conceivably do something retarded like that, it became a very real possibility. He dropped from super townie to 'what the -fuck-' in the last few days, as far as I'm concerned. UK seems to have agreed with me there.

Frankly, myself, I left the game with that impression and downright cheered when UK pulled that out, right or not.

Kilga: I'm not saying he doesn't deserve the credit for the things he did do. I'm saying he doesn't deserve any for what he didn't, in regards to the D2 thing, and for the rest, that he didn't do as much as everyone says. I apologize if it seems argumentative and pointless, or as you may be subtly saying, all for the gold, but discussing things about the game is what postgame is for, and I wanted to discuss that a bit.

Bard: Agreeing on how terribly imbalanced things were. I mean -shit-. Scum wasn't even that much at a disadvantage.

Overall, also half-considering ditching mafia after how terribly this went. I'm not good at it, anyway.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 26, 2010, 04:54:16 PM
I'm saying he doesn't deserve any for what he didn't, in regards to the D2 thing, and for the rest, that he didn't do as much as everyone says.

You're still hung up on the idea that a townie is only worthwhile if they catch scum. This is patently false - there are far too many outside factors to take into consideration, such as townies playing badly and thus being indistinguishable from scum. Given the conditions he was subject to, Alex did the best he could do, and he did it better than anyone else.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 04:58:11 PM
I do fundamentally disagree that Alex gave his best, Kilga. I don't completely agree Alex was completely terrible. I think Alex had to be there to prevent this game from being more of a clusterfuck than it already was. He called me back from the abyss of shitposting SEVERAL TIMES. And for that I thank him. But he did get rather lazy, and I think he didn't play to his full potential. So, I wouldn't award him MVP but for the fact that everyone else was pretty bad as well. No one really had a synergy. There was furious scumhunting without a care for how you looked on one side, and then there was calm emotions we're a team on the other with what appeared to be very little scumhunting. And the little that WAS given felt like "just enough to get by", the same reason I thought Kiro was scum.

Oh, and then we had lurkers. That sucked.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: MissCiato on February 26, 2010, 04:59:44 PM
Good game everyone. :) Don't be bitter over things said in the game; it is an intense game but at the end of the day it is just that -- a game.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 05:07:36 PM
I would say you do not understand I find he didn't for more reasons, but that would be wasted keystrokes. In the end, I still will not agree for more reasons that UK has touched on. Frankly, you seem to just want to be done with the discussion of who the MVP was anyway.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 05:10:42 PM
No need to play mafia after the game ^-^. MVP is just a silly thing anyway. It's probably best to lay it to rest :P.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Edible on February 26, 2010, 05:14:30 PM
I may or may not have more to say.  Most of what I wanted to has already been said.

Mafia's a fun game where tensions can run high, but there is a point where words and feelings go beyond the realm of expectations for the game.  It is that point where Mafia ceases to be fun for a lot of people.

Ultimately, the forum has expectations of decency to observe, and Mafia can no longer really be given a pass for overtly foul behavior, no matter what alignment you're playing or what you claim your motivations are.  I'm neither demanding nor expecting civility here, since this is Mafia, but we've gone much too far down the road of awful adhom outbursts at times.

UK, I'm not going to probate/ban/whatever you.  But I do think you should perhaps step away from the game for a while.  That's a choice I'd like you to make for yourself.  (Edit: Since you're running a game next, this actually comes at a good time).

Chaore, you're new at this so I'm giving you more of a pass, but Mafia is not a shouting match as it looks like you think it is.  You may want to observe some more games.

Everyone else, please just keep the adhoms and unnecessary condescension to a minimum.  Since this is generally considered an 18+ game, I expect everyone to have some measure of thick skin - but by the same token, I also expect everyone to have a civil tongue more often than they currently do.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Pesco on February 26, 2010, 05:16:20 PM
Don't be holding back, Kilga. The obvious is obvious and I can admit I do it too. Isn't it pride that makes us do these things? Pride that we take confidence from.

Bard: The game is the game, s'all cool. Hope you have a good time with the other stuff that goes on around here.

The roles in this game, there was no reason to actually believe any of them. There was no clear-cut town role.

I'd say Alex still gets MVP because everyone else sucked too much for consideration.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 05:16:40 PM
Quote
UK, I'm not going to probate/ban/whatever you.  But I do think you should perhaps step away from the game for a while.  That's a choice I'd like you to make for yourself.

I'm not playing next game, I'm modding. I think that counts as stepping away as a player, right?

I love how...certain other players are glossed over. I guess it's pretty easy to miss when you have someone who acts loudest. But, whatever.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Edible on February 26, 2010, 05:18:47 PM
I love how...certain other players are glossed over. I guess it's pretty easy to miss when you have someone who acts loudest. But, whatever.

Certain players have been addressed already, either on here or in private.  Believe me, I know you're not the only person slinging too much mud.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 05:19:52 PM
Certain players have been addressed already, either on here or in private.  Believe me, I know you're not the only person slinging too much mud.

So once again I am made example of.

I love the staff here ^-^.

Either way. I'm modding next game. Does that count as stepping away, Edible?
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Edible on February 26, 2010, 05:21:43 PM
Yeah, I edited that into my original statement.

I'm not pulling punches with you, UK - you are the loudest and the foulest-mouthed of our players.  You're being made an example of because you deserve it the most.  If you don't like that reputation, do something to change it.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 05:23:14 PM
Yeah, I edited that into my original statement.

I'm not pulling punches with you, UK - you are the loudest and the foulest-mouthed of our players.  You're being made an example of because you deserve it the most.  If you don't like that reputation, do something to change it.

Well, I plan to. I've only said as much.

But, whatever. Everyone knows the list of players you talked to, so it's a non issue.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Ranmilia on February 26, 2010, 05:23:25 PM
Well.

Good game.  Congrats to the scum, they did what they needed to do.

Setupwise, I think it was mostly balanced with the exception of the scumvig.  I was anticipating all game that scum probably had a oneshot vig - but only one shot.  Allowing it to recharge on kills is a little nutty though, seeing as how scum are already getting a big advantage when they claim a head. 
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Chaore on February 26, 2010, 05:25:24 PM
Chaore, you're new at this so I'm giving you more of a pass, but Mafia is not a shouting match as it looks like you think it is.  You may want to observe some more games.

Frankly this game has mostly turned me off for the moment, anyway. Unsure if I'll want to return to the mafia scene in the first place. I'll keep this in mind, however. I'm a sucker for games like this.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Bardiche on February 26, 2010, 05:47:39 PM
In the RPGDL, it's a tradition to yell, "That's the last game of Mafia I'll ever play, this game sucks!" and then promptly sign up for the next round. :V

Mafia's simply not a game where you gaily join hands and saunter off into a happy ending. It's a game based on paranoia, suspicion and deceit. The thrill of deceiving or the satisfaction of bringing deceit to light is what makes Mafia a fun game for most people, but it does tend to make people knock heads whenever they feel the other party is being, to put it nicely, "a little bit disagreeing".

But yeah, it'd probably be a good idea if the next game of Mafia'd be less uh, trainwreck'd than this game is. Like Ciato said, it's just a game, so antagonism should end when the game ends. :)
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Jam-Kiske on February 26, 2010, 06:00:36 PM
Dammit I should've said that I basically knew K4U was scum seeing as she had the same ability as me and... why would 2 town need that? I was waiting on that though cuz I didn't want to get blown up... >>

But yeah good job guys I suppose.
This was just a funky game. >>;

I need to play/observe more so I stop sucking absolutely horridly.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on February 26, 2010, 07:01:26 PM
I don't understand why people are arguing over MVP. Remember, in the end Mafia is a team game - one good Townie does not a good Town make. Besides, the game's over, we're all meant to sit down and have tea together now.

Quote
Anonymous means nothing to the eyes of the blind.
You're missing the point. One of the things that has screwed this community over horribly in terms of improving as players is meta. Not only because it grants an unfair advantage, but because it rewards consistently bad play. If Alice lurks, no-one thinks anything of it because it's Alice. If an anonymous account lurks, people get suspicious, and rightfully so.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 26, 2010, 07:18:21 PM
Oh wow, I knew claiming was a bone-headed move on my part, but I didn't realize just how bad it was.  I'm surprised no one called me out for not answering Bard's question on what would happen if I hammered.  I was worried that if the town ever asked me to hammer a scum buddy I'd be outed because I didn't get an additional charge when I hammered scum.  So, I didn't answer so I would have more time to come up with a BS reason for that if it ever came up.  I was going "oh god" when I saw Jam's role.  I'm so very glad I didn't get counter claimed because my ability basically let me coast through the whole game.

People are underestimating just how scary Alex was to the scum team.  We were seriously considering vigging him over Cid for a while.  When people started attacking him I was able to breathe a hugh sigh of relief.

As for balace, I think the game was pretty balanced.  We pretty much did this on a regular basis: we're screwed.  Oh wait, we can still win.  Nope, definitely screwed.  Oh hey, we can win if we do this.  Fuck we just messed up we're all dead...Did we just win?  Yeah, it was pretty funny acctually. :P

As for me, I'm not sure how much of my lurking was a result of me being scum, me being busy or me just not feeling like playing.  Regardless, I'll be taking a break from Mafia for a little bit.  I really need it.

Good game everyone.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 07:19:55 PM
Still co modding/reviewing for me, right K4? Us Kittens will show these people how a game is run! :P
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Pesco on February 26, 2010, 07:21:36 PM
/r/ UKxK4U kthnx
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kitten4u on February 26, 2010, 07:22:53 PM
Still co modding/reviewing for me, right K4? Us Kittens will show these people how a game is run! :P

Of course.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 07:23:43 PM
k. Course, we both cover the same hours but you can basically assist me on Wednesdays and Sundays and such.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 26, 2010, 07:33:43 PM
I don't understand why people are arguing over MVP. Remember, in the end Mafia is a team game - one good Townie does not a good Town make.

In this case I was arguing it because I wanted to make sure I pointed out good play in a game that provided some pretty good examples of bad play. Read the first bullet point here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=5016.msg266673#msg266673) again. I don't want to ostracize, I want to fix. (This can be considered a response to Pesco addressing me as well.) I want to make this site's version of this game better on the whole. In retrospect, what I should have done in the first place was ask Chaore who he thought deserved it over Alex, because that would have given me something more to work with to better people's gameplay (unless his choice was/is Kefit, who I think did fine as well).
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 07:37:34 PM
Kefit didn't do as much. That's the only reason I don't suggest him over Alex. Honestly, I don't think anyone (town) played particularly WELL, I just think some players sucked LESS. But, that's just my take.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 26, 2010, 07:40:56 PM
Again, it's an environmental thing. No one in this game is Superman, we're all bounded by what's going on around us. Kefit may have been wrong a lot as an individual, but I think he did fairly well as a team player. Posts founded in logic, not contributing to chaff, didn't give very many people reason to suspect him (I think you were the only one that had him on a scum list).
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Pesco on February 26, 2010, 07:45:00 PM
I had Kefit in my death list.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 07:48:37 PM
Again, it's an environmental thing. No one in this game is Superman, we're all bounded by what's going on around us. Kefit may have been wrong a lot as an individual, but I think he did fairly well as a team player. Posts founded in logic, not contributing to chaff, didn't give very many people reason to suspect him (I think you were the only one that had him on a scum list).

And even that was circumstantial and he was my least certain pick. Nah, mainly I just think he didn't contribute a lot. What he did contribute was decent, though I still think his Serp case was dubious.

Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kefit on February 26, 2010, 08:45:20 PM
Mafia's simply not a game where you gaily join hands and saunter off into a happy ending. It's a game based on paranoia, suspicion and deceit. The thrill of deceiving or the satisfaction of bringing deceit to light is what makes Mafia a fun game for most people, but it does tend to make people knock heads whenever they feel the other party is being, to put it nicely, "a little bit disagreeing".

As soon as this game ended, Alice and I laughed with each other for a while about how everything went down. This is just a game folks. We should be able to join hands and saunter into the happy sunset afterward. There is room in this game for vigorous prosecution of suspicions, but such attacks shouldn't be personal or be taken personally.

This game started out bad for scum, but then town imploded on itself with multiple suicides and a complete lack of sanity from any players aside from myself, Alex, and maybe Cid. It also didn't help that I was too busy to really participate during the last two days except for the end of day six.

Near the end I was pretty certain that one of Alex or Alice was scum. Alex scum was not as implausible as the scum seemed to have thought, and Alice's play in the early game was downright terrible. That the three of us were now all on the same wavelength seemed unbelievable in light of the fact that all three of us working together hadn't caught a scum in days. I was going to push hard for Alice vs Alex on D7, but I made the mistake of thinking we had another day until LyLo. Double vig for scum came completely out of the blue, fuck, I've never even played in a game where scum have single vig.

Kudos to Alice for his play in the last couple of days. He deserves this win for that alone. Alex and I may have played good sane and level-headed townies, but Alice managed to make some of the best town posts in the game as scum. k4u also did a fine job of staying out of the spotlight without being so lurktastic as to draw attention to herself (i.e. Jam).

On a final note, paranoia and hesitation lead to town downfall. UK's paranoia near the near the end of this game is a great example of how distracting and ultimately useless paranoia generally is. Here's the thing about paranoia - you might be right a small percentage of the time, but by succumbing to it you fail almost every time regardless of the underlying facts due to the devastating effect it has on the social sphere of the game. Hesitation, on the other hand, allows scum to make challenges and still look townie, or results in a waste of special powers.

Anyway, this was fun. I might even play in the next one.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kefit on February 26, 2010, 09:02:11 PM
Also, I don't care if you guys are town or scum, but please for the love of god follow a few simple steps for making better posts:

1) When you quote, don't just make a quote without a name tag. I don't care if you are quoting the post immediately previous to your own. Every single quote you make should be labeled with the name tag of the speaker. Ideally, the quote tag should also employ the link functionality so that the reader may go straight to the post being quoted if he so wishes.

2) Less is more. Shotgun attacks on people (whether criticizing gameplay over the course of an entire game or picking apart a post sentence by sentence) only function to diminish the impact of each individual point that you make and ultimately confuse the reader. Pick a small number of your best points and weave them into a coherent argument.

If you follow these steps, people might actually bother to read your posts. God knows I just skipped over a lot of walls of unlabeled quote blocks this game. And if they bother to read your posts, they might understand your argument. And if they understand your argument, they might even agree to pursue your favored plan of action. If someone states that they don't understand your argument, then the onus is on yourself to rewrite it in a more comprehensible manner.

Yes I am speaking to a few specific players here - Bard, UK - but most players of this game who aren't me, Alex, Alice, or maybe Kilga would benefit from a boost to their persuasive writing skills.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kilgamayan on February 26, 2010, 09:04:27 PM
Anyway, this was fun. I might even play in the next one.

SUCCESS
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kefit on February 26, 2010, 09:14:15 PM
I hate you so much.

btw this game was Tass vs Chardish on drugs to the very end.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 26, 2010, 09:43:44 PM
Cid: How come you went public with your roleclaim? Like I mentioned midgame, you could have just hidden in the background, get the Day 3 kill on Ciato (which I missed, otherwise, I'd have had 2 nukes early), and then do a Cop check with no one aware at all.

Because town was so goddamn paranoid that anyone actively seeking challenges was automatically scummy that I figured coming out and giving them the reason why I wanted to was the only way I'd be able to make the role work.

I also considered every possibility that might screw with the role except for scum dayvig. Man, that came out of nowhere. I laughed my ass off on seeing it--it was actually somewhat of a relief to be killed by that point.

Rather mystified at the townie reads people were giving me, I have to admit. Even before the copclaim. Thought I was playing pretty assy--just had way too much else going on outside the game to keep up and add more than vague general observations.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: El Cideon on February 26, 2010, 09:46:05 PM
Also seconding the "for the love of god stop WoTing" advice forwarded by several people here. Just made the topic painful for me to read at points. Those zebra-stripe quote block snippets? Don't do that. It's alright if you have a lot to say, but make every possible effort to be concise.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on February 26, 2010, 09:47:41 PM
Quote from: Kefit

If you follow these steps, people might actually bother to read your posts. God knows I just skipped over a lot of walls of unlabeled quote blocks this game. And if they bother to read your posts, they might understand your argument. And if they understand your argument, they might even agree to pursue your favored plan of action. If someone states that they don't understand your argument, then the onus is on yourself to rewrite it in a more comprehensible manner.

So, was I getting close with my final wall on Alex? I mean, the one that basically stated each "scumtell" with a list of linked examples? Of course, I could have probably trimmed that down a little even, but yeah.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: EvilTom on February 27, 2010, 01:46:19 AM
Oh god yes please. I don't even read walls. I just skip them.
Be concise please.

Also to those who thought the game was unbalanced in scum's favour - you're forgetting that we kinda lacked our nightkill. Y'know, the thing that lets us kill townies.
Title: Re: Himelander Mafia Thread (Over! Scum Win!)
Post by: Kiro on February 27, 2010, 03:36:01 AM
Also to those who thought the game was unbalanced in scum's favour - you're forgetting that we kinda lacked our nightkill. Y'know, the thing that lets us kill townies.

That was pretty much my impression as well. I'm the only killer Scum has and it was by pure dumb luck I got into enough trouble to be put into a fight right at figurative LYLO with a chance to win it all. If I lost yesterday, Scum was in deep trouble and at best was probably only going to manage a draw. I guess I'm conflicted on whether the scum vig should have been able to earn extra shots, because at some point, it was beneficial for Town to go the Super Townie route (like a hypothetical Day 7 where I had lost) and it would have secured Town's victory with them only getting 3.99 heads in a majority if they weren't eliminated first. Scum would have tried to dissent in some way, but it could very well have worked for Town. Game was make or break on one Day and the lack of LYLO warning probably made the difference in our favor. So I'd probably fault that the most.