Geez, after ActionDan was lynched I was planning to use this time to push for a Raikaria lynch day 2. Everyone would be impressed and be like "that Moridin guy is soo cool". Instead Raikaria gets lynched now when my previous post was kind of uncertain about him. (Though I'm not going to claim I was sure he was MAFIA or anything, just that he was suspicious and he needed some good explanations to get out of that).
Now that's he's posting, ActionDan is kind of hilarious. Still, ActionDan is probably going to keep popping up as a lynch target, isn't he? Statistically speaking, he's got as much chance of being MAFIA as anyone else, but because he doesn't post much or seriously, you can't really place him in one side or the other. I might drop this associative strategy for now, I've kind of lost motivation for it.
So anyway, it's interesting that the ActionDan lynch was at 6 or so long. It suggests that either
1) All the MAFIA were on the ActionDan wagon, so they couldn't "hammer it"
2) MAFIA on the Raikeria wagon couldn't justify moving to the ActionDan wagon
3) Some MAFIA were "free" but couldn't justify jumping onto the ActionDan wagon
4) The MAFIA decided to abandon Raikeria and bus him
With #4 in mind I'm suspicious of
Prims. He was pretty strong on the ActionDan wagon but suddenly switched to the Raikaria wagon because he "trusted BT". That's like... not really a good reason right?
I'm inclined to believe BT and Affinity are TOWN, as they've been pushing the Raikaria lynch for a while.
I still can hammer if needed.
I may not be actually fond of HW letting Dan go at the point where he had to say stuff about the game, which was his reason to push Dan all day. []Nor Raikaria turning out scum[/b] which strongly implicates that I'm wrong about Schezo.
Wait... doesn't this imply that Dorion knows that Raikeria was going to turn up MAFIA?