While I was re-reading Roukan to see if he at some point let slip any details about whom he tracked/watched and if he saw anyone targeting them, I came up with a plan that should take out a lot of problematic targets:
Okay. So:
Kilga:
If no replacement is found for UK within 48 hours (ninja by Kilga: within the 24 hour deadline given for finding a replacement), is she subject to an inactivity modkill?Because if yes, well: inactivity modkills do not end the day, regardless of alignment. If UK is scum as I highly believe she is, then, well, hooray. Otherwise, we lynch wrathie. Again, if wrathie is scum, then, well, hooray. Otherwise, we go into night, and emerge with either 3 or 4 people alive. We're in LYLO, but we've eliminated both of the obvious targets before it in one go.
As for wrathie's self-vote, I'm not sure what to think of it:
- If you're Town, you're playing glaringly against your win condition. What the fuck. We've had enough self-voting in this game so far, we don't need more.
- If you're Scum, this could be a final attempt at WIFOM'ing away a lynch.
Currently I'm not sure what to make of it. I've seen Town give up a lot on these forums, but I've also seen Scum self-vote in an attempt to not die (hello, Prof. Guppy!). In any order, I'm perfectly fine with a wrathie lynch, but I personally think that UK is more suspicious.
A case on her is summarized pretty well here, there does appear to be a link between her and pesco/Nietz.
As for my re-read of Roukan:
D2 - Opens the day with a vote for me for setup reasons. After his flip, this makes a lot more sense. However, there does not seem to be any indication of any scum found, given his jump on donut from there, and then his shift to pesco. Given KY/Serp was not NK'd but that he was the obvious NK choice, I'm pretty sure Roukan watched KY/Serp.
D3 - Opens the day with a confirm on Serp, but no otherwise obvious claim to following anyone or being particularly suspicious of anyone other than the obvious lynch that day, Nietz. This was kind of a free day anyway so I wasn't expecting anything special.
D4 - Opens the day with asking me why I wasn't protecting the cop. Seems to not actually be pointing anyone to anyone who *did* target the cop, and again appears to not be attacking anyone very strongly.
So yeah, I don't think Roukan managed to catch anyone in the act across any of N1-3. If he did he certainly didn't mention it or even hint at it very clearly. So...bleh, that was a waste of time.
Re-reading Affinity to make sure he's as Townie as I think he is. At this point I'm basically 100% convinced of Edible being Town (for basically being Pro-Town for most of the time combined with Kilga's wagon-switch-tell-thingie w.r.t donut on D2) and 99% convinced of umu being Town (for pressing a pesco case over other people who later turned out to be Town, instead of just voting for the Townies. It's possible that he was bussing pesco, but I personally deem it highly unlikely at this point)