Maidens of the Kaleidoscope

~Beyond the Border~ => Rumia's Party Games => Mystia's Stored Games => Topic started by: Nietz on May 15, 2009, 11:24:32 AM

Title: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 2
Post by: Nietz on May 15, 2009, 11:24:32 AM
A nondescript balcony in a nondescript apartment building of a nondescript town. A young pigtailed girl in a sweater leans on the railing and looks to nowhere in particular, seeing nothing in particular. After a while she goes back inside, the glass door closing the chilling night wind outside, and closing her inside. She glances at the front door, still safely locked against the outside world as always. She goes to the obsolete game console and absently-minded pokes the gamepad. No will to play that dumb game now, not interest in TV. She goes to the small writing desk and sits down, spins the chair a little with a bored look on, then stops and picks up her journal from the table.
Nothing to write about the day, there's never anything to write about the day, each day is just the same as the others. She looks at her bed. There is where anything worth writing happens. Or rather, in that amazing and bizarre world beyond the bed. Without bothering to undress, she slips under the covers and pulls them over her head. Leaves the boring world she doesn't want to face behind, and waits until she goes into a more interesting one.



The Rules of Engagement:

1. You may not edit your posts. Any changes you wish to make from a post must be done in a new Edit By Way Of Post (EBWOP).

2. You may not post screenshots of anything in the thread.

3. You may not Directly Quote anything the GM says in private. This includes your initial Role PMs, any Night results or answers I have given to your questions.

4. Remember, any action that is illegal to do is also illegal to fake. If you post a message during downtime, then later edit it saying something like "Screenshots removed" then regardless if you have made Screenshots or Not, I will modkill you.

5. Parties that are allowed to talk privately to each other may only in at the times established in their role PMs.

6. Votes are to be in bold with a ## in front. For example, ##Vote Nietz. You must also ##Unvote before you can place a vote on someone else.

7. Dream Phases (Days) will last 72 hours, or until a Majority is reached. LYLO or potential LYLO Dreams will last 120 hours. If there is no majority at the end of a day phase, the result is No Lynch. You may also choose to ##Vote No Lynch and the Day will end with a No Lynch if reached by the majority.

8. The Waking (Night) Phase will last 24 hours. You may not talk about anything game related in the thread during Night except for initial reactions to the end of the Day. If you have a Night action and fail to submit it, then no action will take place. This includes Mafia Night Kills.

9. Players who do not post within 24 hours will be sent a PM warning. Players who do not post for 48 hours will be forcefully replaced or modkilled. Please announce if you plan to be away for an extended period of time.

10. When PM'ing the mods for actions, or even to ask questions, send the PM to both me and Jan-san.

11. If you are killed, you may make one "Bah, go Town/Scum" type post. You cannot make any game related comments in that post or there will be additional punishment dealt out. Furthermore, all deaths in this game are final and if you are killed, you are free to converse with other dead players or spectators privately about the game. You are also free to keep posting in the thread during Waking Phases, as long as it's not game-related.

12. The roles will be mostly equivalent to the usual Mafia roles. Any different ones will be explained in the role PM and upon player flip. (Addendum: No roles in this game have being lynched as a win condition).

13. Any character can be of any alignment, independent of flavor role. All roles were  randomly assigned to players.


Special Game Rules:

0. Dream Phases are equivalent to Day Phases, and Waking Phases to Night Phases. This is for flavor's sake, and these terms can be used interchangeably.

1. The game will take place in the different Dreamworlds of Yume Nikki. Each world has a special set of Dream Rules that will be valid as long as the game is taking place in that Dreamworld.

2. The Dreamworld changes and the rules that apply to the current one will be made very clear in mod posts. So pay attention to the current Dreamworld rules, and that the previous Dreamworld rules will no longer be applied.

3. Dream Rules supersede any normal rules they come in conflict with, but only for as long as they are in place.

----

Mod: Nietz
Co-mod: Jan-san

Figments of the subconsciousPlayers:

Alive:
1. Edible
2. Zakeri
4. UKu?
5. Carthrat
6. Affinity
7. Roukanken
9. Alice
10. Serpentarius

Dead:

3. Pesco - Nopperabou, Scum Godfather - Abducted by Toriningen in the Guillotine Room
12. BaitySM - Poniko, Town-aligned Bomb - Became a Severed Head and is taking it easy.
13. Kanguya Yaraisan - Monoko, Vanilla Townie - Was chopped in half at the Guillotine Room.
8. Kiro - Medamaude, Town-aligned Dreamscape Changer - Pushed off a pillar block in the Teleport World by scum.
11. Sodium Peroxide - Lynched by being thrown out of a pillar block in the Teleport World


Dreams so far:

Dream 1 - The Guillotine Room
Dream 2 - Teleport World
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Nietz on May 15, 2009, 11:32:11 AM
The Nexus:

A simple, large room. As much it can be called a room without walls ceilings or floor. Bizarre images are scattered across the non-existent floor, seemingly close and impossibly far away. Nothing of that matters, the room is just here as a place for the doors. There's the one who goes back to the room, or something very close to the real room. And there's the twelve other mysterious doors laid in circle, each leading to a different world, and these worlds leading to others. The doors themselves showing nothing but the slightest hint of the place they lead too.

So, which one will it be...


Pregame phase is in place while I send out role PMs and wait for confirmation. You're free to post to confirm, ask questions or anything else, as long as it's not game discussion.
Game is set to start at Saturday 03:00 GMT if everyone has confirmed by then.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: LHCling on May 15, 2009, 11:56:55 AM
Thumbs up for my internet randomly having a fit as I was posting >_>
Either way, I'll try again.

PM received.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 15, 2009, 12:03:57 PM
Confirmed.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Pesco on May 15, 2009, 12:05:22 PM
Didn't read the role PM
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Affinity on May 15, 2009, 12:47:00 PM
Confirmed.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 15, 2009, 01:13:39 PM
confirmed.

Also, I'm finally a dayvig, so I'll do something that should be done every game if recent trends mean anything, so...

##Yuyuko Doll: Nietz

Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Serp on May 15, 2009, 01:31:53 PM
Confirmed.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Carthrat on May 15, 2009, 02:06:46 PM
confirmed
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Edible on May 15, 2009, 03:07:43 PM
I'm awake~

I'm confirmed~
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Mr_Alert on May 15, 2009, 03:36:34 PM
Confirmed.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Kilgamayan on May 15, 2009, 04:04:39 PM
##Yuyuko Doll: pesco47
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Kiro on May 15, 2009, 04:31:28 PM
yup

sup

/confirm
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 15, 2009, 05:13:39 PM
*yawn* oh, are we starting now? Sorry, I just woke up.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 15, 2009, 07:42:22 PM
I'm here, got my PM, good to go.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 15, 2009, 09:03:09 PM
Hey Nietz, may I ask a setup question?

Are the dream rules already preset and assigned for each day or are you going to pick them at random when each day phase begins?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Pregame (The Nexus)
Post by: Nietz on May 15, 2009, 10:10:33 PM
Hey Nietz, may I ask a setup question?

Are the dream rules already preset and assigned for each day or are you going to pick them at random when each day phase begins?
Each Dreamworld has its preset rules, the sequence of Dreamworlds is already randomly set.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 16, 2009, 03:00:05 AM
The Guillotine Room:

(http://img35.imageshack.us/img35/2074/guillotiney.gif)
A huge open floor, which might as well be called Hell's interpretation of the French Revolution Terror. All over the place, creepy guillotines with smiling faces stand, opening and closing their blades on their own, as if hungry for some necks to chop. To make matters worse, a multitude of demented Toriningen - tall women with ugly, long noses and monster-like appearance - roam the floor looking for victims. Heads will roll before this dream is over. Heads MUST roll.

Dream Rules:

1. No Lynch is not an option.

2. A Majority lynch will only occur at a 2/3 majority (rounded down). In this case, 8 players.

3. If a Majority is not reached before the deadline, the TWO most voted players will be lynched. If there's any ties, ALL players tied at the top will be lynched.

That's it.
Game, as they say, is afoot.

-----

Vote Count:

Everyone (0)

Not voting: Everyone

With 13 alive, it takes 8 to lynch. You have 72 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 16, 2009, 03:07:58 AM
Town theoretically gets as many lynches as it wants today.  Awesome~

We should be able to coordinate multiple lynches if we feel convinced enough to remove multiple players in one day.

That said:

##vote pesco47 for pesco47 reasons.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 16, 2009, 03:09:35 AM
##Vote Roukanken

His signature bugs me.

Also, let it be known that Edible beat me to the draw.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 16, 2009, 03:16:33 AM
##Vote: Nietz


Obvious reasons, etc
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 16, 2009, 03:32:47 AM
You know what would be funny is if we all voted for a different person.

##Vote: Alice Margatroid What? A touhou character? What are you doing in a Yume Nikki game!?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 03:41:45 AM
...multi-lynch?

AWESOME

We are definately lynching at least two people today, and more would be nice but it may be dangerous to go too far. Three at most?

##Vote: Alice he's lurked before and stuff.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 16, 2009, 03:55:15 AM
Town theoretically gets as many lynches as it wants today.  Awesome~

We should be able to coordinate multiple lynches if we feel convinced enough to remove multiple players in one day.

That said:

##vote pesco47 for pesco47 reasons.

Yay Edible, I was about to use this :P

##Vote: Nietz


Obvious reasons, etc

Obvscum. That's my shtick

##Vote Kanguya Yaraisan

...multi-lynch?

AWESOME

We are definately lynching at least two people today, and more would be nice but it may be dangerous to go too far. Three at most?

##Vote: Alice he's lurked before and stuff.

Why so limiting? Worried?

You know what would be funny is if we all voted for a different person.

##Vote: Alice Margatroid What? A touhou character? What are you doing in a Yume Nikki game!?

Lynch the whole game. Who WOULD win?

So, at any rate, I really AM a dayvig and Nietz needs to die. Have fun. ##Daykill: Nietz

(j/k)
(Or am I?)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 04:06:47 AM
stop WoTing
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Mr_Alert on May 16, 2009, 04:17:04 AM
words go here

Oh god. Wall o' text already? This is gonna be a fun game. :(

random.org says 10. ##Vote Serpentarius
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 04:24:11 AM
Oh god. Wall o' text already? This is gonna be a fun game. :(
Basically  =x

---

I roll a die twice, and get two 3's. That means I choose "6". Of course, to make it fit into the 12 criteria, I've excluded myself from the sample (for now).

##Vote Affinity
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 16, 2009, 04:28:19 AM
Confirm, etc. This has been a busy day.

I'm not seeing the WoT's so far. I do agree that some limiting should be done, simply because if we mis-lynch enough people then Town is forced to head into LYLO early or might even lose.

In any order, ##Vote: Zakeri for hypocricy (I mean come on. Zakeri Izayoi? And you blame *me* for being in the wrong game? I mean seriously.)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kiro on May 16, 2009, 04:33:54 AM
##Vote Pesco47
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 16, 2009, 04:53:28 AM
Quote
Lynch the whole game. Who WOULD win?

Pesco would, since his game is next in the roster.

Quote
In any order, ##Vote: Zakeri for hypocricy (I mean come on. Zakeri Izayoi? And you blame *me* for being in the wrong game? I mean seriously.)

Nice Try. As the Son of Sakuya, I am actually part Knife, and since there is a knife in the game, I do have role in the game.

Besides, I'm a guy. I'd never appear in a touhou game.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 05:08:12 AM
Y'know in fact we can break the game wide open it's not even hard.

Pick someone at random. Lynch everyone simultaneously but them. Assuming typical scum numbers, that gives town like a 70-80% chance of winning *right there*.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 05:13:41 AM
Although when I think about it, that won't work, since scum will delibately force a draw or sacrifice one scum to fuck everything up at the end with this route. Still, amusing.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 06:08:23 AM
Lol

##Vote UK
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Affinity on May 16, 2009, 06:18:21 AM
Hm, I forgot what actually was in the Gulliotine room.

##Vote: Alice  Though, theoretically, no one really dies in the dreamworld; they are only gone for that specific dream, I guess.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 06:27:06 AM
I just broke the room lol. Everyone ends the day with one vote on them and we all get lynched. The proper way is to have 2 votes on all the scums and we win on day 1.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 06:33:26 AM
lol welcome to hours ago gj
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 07:07:28 AM
I had you on ignore...not really.

We should still take advantage of being able to multi-lynch. It'll be like vigging.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 16, 2009, 07:09:27 AM
Hrm.  Regarding the "lynch everyone via the one-vote-on-everybody" method:

Town wins when all scum dies.  Can't exactly count on scum playing along with this, as they have a good chance of voting another scum and then unvoting right before the day ends.  This can be countered by any active townies immediately voting that person, as they're obviously scum.  It becomes a waiting game, but town is basically guaranteed a scum lynch at minimum, assuming more town are around for the end than scum.

I dunno, though.  Seems too easy.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 07:17:53 AM
Too easy to screw up. That's why we lynch on 2 votes instead. It keeps at least half the players alive to analyse the game if town doesn't win immediately.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 16, 2009, 07:39:28 AM
I know I said it first, but I'm not too certain if this is a good idea. Even with Pesco's suggestion, the worse case scenerio is still Scum auto-winning, unless they make up less than a quarter of the game's roles. (6 Townies (12 votes with one who didn't vote) dead = 7 players, 4 townie plus three mafia -> Waking phase, one townie dies -> Mafia = Town -> Mafia win)

I would suggest we stick with the only lynching 2 or three people this day phase, to get the most out of the bonus without subjecting the town's chances of winning to lottery number picking. Ergo, 3-4 votes per victim.

Also, hypothetical Question: If one person has 4 votes, and two people have 3 votes each, who dies in this scenerio?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 07:44:39 AM
I'd assume all people in the tie will die, so 3 lynches in that case.

Let's get onto the srsbsns. There's much hunting to do.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 07:48:08 AM
Basically  =x

---

I roll a die twice, and get two 3's. That means I choose "6". Of course, to make it fit into the 12 criteria, I've excluded myself from the sample (for now).

##Vote Affinity

##Unvote
##Vote BaitySM
. FPMH
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 07:51:27 AM
Also, hypothetical Question: If one person has 4 votes, and two people have 3 votes each, who dies in this scenerio?
Quote
3. If a Majority is not reached before the deadline, the TWO most voted players will be lynched. If there's any ties, ALL players tied at the top will be lynched.

It says "ALL". So all 3 would die... I guess?

Still thinking on the best solution to this... But... if my (first proposed) idea goes right, ##Unvote

@pesco47: gimme a moment, dinner first.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 07:55:25 AM
FPMH is NOT what you think it is.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 08:39:36 AM
FPMH is NOT what you think it is.
>_> Now you're making me think about it.

Regardless, before anybody else decides to stack votes on me simply because of what I presume to be from this single line:
Quote
I've excluded myself from the sample (for now).

##Vote BaitySM i.e. a self-vote.

And the best question to address first is, what is better?

To (attempt to; remembering that not everybody might want to follow the scheme) lynch 6~7 people on D1,

or

to (attempt to) lynch only 1~2 people?

or even... ...just a number in between?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 08:50:38 AM
Wut? Self-voting is not going to get you anything except more votes now.

FPMH: Choose 1
[ ]Fluffy Puffy Marshmallow Hugs
[ ]Furry Petting Much Hotness
[ ]Fail Prod Made Here
[ ]First Post Mind Hax

Your defence inclines me to the 2nd 4th option.

No need to speculate how many lynches we'll get. There'll be as many as necessary when we get to deadline.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 09:00:48 AM
Btw you could have just rolled a d12.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 09:07:14 AM
Suppose that I want more votes against me. You reminded me about my role. Probability says that I'll end up damaging Town more than helping them if I get lynched on D1 though.


Quote
FPMH: Choose 1
[ ]Fluffy Puffy Marshmallow Hugs
[ ]Furry Petting Much Hotness
[ ]Fail Prod Made Here
[ ]First Post Mind Hax


Your defence inclines me to the 2nd 4th option.

So you're simply saying that because of my defensive output on my first post (and completely baseless; it's D1, staying alive is something you want), you're concluding that I'm scum?

---

I don't have a d12 with me  ;_;
I'm living on-campus.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 09:15:45 AM
EBWOP: Yes, the probability that I'd end up for (preliminary, random) lynching was weighted; it's higher to roll a number closer to 7 than it is against the extremities (1,12).

Holy crap why did I not notice that  >_>
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 09:22:11 AM
Your self-voting biases me to assume the worst about you (i.e. Wrathie, he's a policy vig). FPMH is initial suspicion that gets confirmed or refuted by your posts that follow on from your very first game post.

Rolling a d12 compared to rolling 2d6 is the range of 1-12 and 2-12. You were excluding 2 players.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Affinity on May 16, 2009, 09:33:42 AM
Baity's reactionary answer to pesco's queries are... not the slightest bit becoming.  Also, he seems to thinking that excluding one's self from the random dice roll is scummy (which it isn't), and that self-voting is actually townie (which it isn't); which hints at paranoia.  Being this early in the game, I don't think that's valid town-beaviour.

##Unvote
##Vote: BaitySM
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 10:12:37 AM
Ok, in all seriousness, now.

We probably don't actually want to lynch half the game. Scum's status as an informed minority will give them a better shot than townies at avoiding taking the brunt of such an assault, probably screwing us badly. While it would be theoretically cool to lynch all but one player, that's too unwieldy and probably requires too much coordination outright to work; furthermore, it's easily stuffed.

However we do want to push through two or three targeted lynches while we have the opportunity. Multi-killing is generally good, mmhmm? No disagreement? Extremes, however, are probably bad.

Self-vote is a waste of time, but... Is Baity new to this mafia thing? Yes, it matters.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 10:21:23 AM
Wow, I didn't even get a chance to post before we hit serious business. >_>

Okay, firstly obligatory response to today's Dream Rules.

In short, we're begging for disaster on this setup. The only legitimate way to earn multiple lynches here is for two VERY CLEAR majorities at deadline, otherwise we're giving scum far too many chances to screw things up with a last-minute vote change. The only way anything involving multiple majorities will work is if everyone being lynched is Town, and even if we hit one scum with three lynches, adding the NK we still lose three Townies for one scum. (The odds of us hitting two scum in three lynches on D1 are pretty much zero, before anyone tries to argue otherwise.)

As for the BaitySM debate, the self-vote is just plain dumb, in all honesty. What's sad is that it's DELIBERATE -

Quote
Suppose that I want more votes against me. You reminded me about my role.

...If you're actually a PR, I think I'm going to cry. Don't see what scum could gain from this, though.

More interesting to me is Pesco's misrep of what seems to be a simple misunderstanding of the probabilities of 2d6:
Rolling a d12 compared to rolling 2d6 is the range of 1-12 and 2-12. You were excluding 2 players.
- No, he was excluding one player: Edible (1). Don't even TRY to argue that he should have left the self-vote possibility open.
- In terms of the probability ignorance, realise that this scum plan you're suggesting only works in one highly unlikely situation - the scum players are all near the top or bottom of the list, thus the 2d6 roll will probably (or in one case, definitely) miss them. The odds of this are also pretty small.
- There's also the point that, well, using a 2d6 for a random vote is OBVIOUSLY going to get called out for being stupid. Either the entire scumteam has no idea how probabilities work, or Baity just made a mistake. Indeed, if he'd never said 'I'm using 2d6' his random vote would've received no further thought, so why would he mention it if he knew it was a bad idea?

Feels like Pesco's taking advantage of the new guy, as usual, and he's screwing with words and odds in order to make what looks like a simple mistake metamorphose into a scumtell. Affinity's post of 'facts facts facts Vote Baity' doesn't feel very useful, either, but Pesco still wins out. ##Vote: Pesco47

Carth ninja:
Self-vote is a waste of time, but... Is Baity new to this mafia thing? Yes, it matters.
To the best of my knowledge, this is Baity's first proper game of Mafia.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 10:31:15 AM
A last-minute vote change remains a really dangerous move for scum to make in general, whether one, two, or three lynches are floating around. I see forcing them to pull that as a bonus, not a flaw. They can screw regular lynches too...

Quote from: Rou
The only way anything involving multiple majorities will work is if everyone being lynched is Town, and even if we hit one scum with three lynches, adding the NK we still lose three Townies for one scum.
that's not a bad deal at this point in the game. >_>
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 10:32:34 AM
I'm sure Baity knew what he was getting himself into. Newbness is no indication for clearing players (ref Edible and FAV).

I see my waifu is suffering from PMS. Read his post, he excluded himself and player 1, which means it's 2 players. More importantly, it's got nothing to do with why he's getting voted now. Being on holiday affects your reading ability it seems :P.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 10:43:16 AM
I'm not, people pull that shit all the time for no reason, particularly when they're new. Means nothing to me. Still useless, though.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 10:45:41 AM
I'm sure Baity knew what he was getting himself into. Newbness is no indication for clearing players (ref Edible and FAV).
Alright, let me flip the question on its head. If Baity does know what he's doing with this 'plan' you've concocted, explain to me what it's actually meant to do. As far as I see this plan can be defined as 'Okay, one of us votes using a 2d6 and gets caught being an idiot, then selfvotes to confuse Town'. Doesn't sound brilliant to me.

Quote
Read his post, he excluded himself
Okay, you honestly think removing the possibility of voting yourself counts as excluding a player? Please excuse me while I slam my forehead into a wall.

that's not a bad deal at this point in the game. >_>
Is it really worth the risk ahead of the safe option of just sticking everyone's votes on two people, giving scum no opening to screw things up?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 10:48:03 AM
The entire d12 vs. 2d6 is 100% my fault for completely forgetting a fundamental; I forgot about the minimum value completely. Now I fear I've completely jeopardized everything.

Baity's reactionary answer to pesco's queries are... not the slightest bit becoming.  Also, he seems to thinking that excluding one's self from the random dice roll is scummy (which it isn't), and that self-voting is actually townie (which it isn't); which hints at paranoia.  Being this early in the game, I don't think that's valid town-beaviour.
Since when did I ever think that voting for myself is townie? Granted, my current play-style is being perceived to be very awkward (probably even; dare I say "foreign"), but I'm trying to work something out.

- There's also the point that, well, using a 2d6 for a random vote is OBVIOUSLY going to get called out for being stupid. Either the entire scumteam has no idea how probabilities work, or Baity just made a mistake. Indeed, if he'd never said 'I'm using 2d6' his random vote would've received no further thought, so why would he mention it if he knew it was a bad idea?
...the chance that the entire scumteam is going to fail fundamental probability involving dice would be pretty damn low. 2d6 was the only way I though about reaching "12".

Alright, let me flip the question on its head. If Baity does know what he's doing with this 'plan' you've concocted, explain to me what it's actually meant to do. As far as I see this plan can be defined as 'Okay, one of us votes using a 2d6 and gets caught being an idiot, then selfvotes to confuse Town'. Doesn't sound brilliant to me.
Okay, you honestly think removing the possibility of voting yourself counts as excluding a player? Please excuse me while I slam my forehead into a wall.
Is it really worth the risk ahead of the safe option of just sticking everyone's votes on two people, giving scum no opening to screw things up?
I'll answer it; "Anti-bandwagon".


Before I reread over everything to see if I missed any points (which I probably have, seeing as I'm feeling like complete crap here)...

Quote
To the best of my knowledge, this is Baity's first proper game of Mafia.
First here. I've played a few elsewhere. And watched several, but that really doesn't count.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 10:49:20 AM
EBWOP:

Since when did I ever think that voting for myself is townie? Granted, my current play-style is being perceived to be very awkward (probably even; dare I say "foreign"), but I'm trying to work something out. See: below.


Added note in bold.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 16, 2009, 10:52:50 AM
Rou: What risk? We take a risk every time we make a lynch, this isn't new. Scum have every bit as much an opening to screw things up if we lynch a single person as well. We also have an opportunity to screw scum every time we lynch!

We have a better chance of killing scum, right now, if we pull this out. It's basically.. slightly less than double the chance if we go after two, I'll grant, but the odds are increased significantly and it's actually good for us if scum feel compelled to do something crazy towards deadline to save themselves.

I am actually rereading your stuff, and a bit confused. I'm wanting to lynch 2-3 people. Either's good in my book, not too fussed over which. Are you pro-multilynch, anti-multilynch, or what?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 11:04:17 AM
Response to Rou: Has anyone that's not-Wrathie ever rationalised why he self-votes?

@ Baity: You don't like Affinity's vote I take it?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 11:15:30 AM
Rou: What risk? We take a risk every time we make a lynch, this isn't new. Scum have every bit as much an opening to screw things up if we lynch a single person as well. We also have an opportunity to screw scum every time we lynch!

We have a better chance of killing scum, right now, if we pull this out. It's basically.. slightly less than double the chance if we go after two, I'll grant, but the odds are increased significantly and it's actually good for us if scum feel compelled to do something crazy towards deadline to save themselves.

I am actually rereading your stuff, and a bit confused. I'm wanting to lynch 2-3 people. Either's good in my book, not too fussed over which. Are you pro-multilynch, anti-multilynch, or what?
At this point, I'd say I would be "anti-multi-lynch". It's a matter of Risk vs. Reward.

At best, townies outnumber scum by a large degree. Vice versa is worst (obviously).

By doing a multi-lynch of a large degree (e.g. 6), all it would probably do is bring the end game closer. This obviously has its advantages and disadvantages.

@ Baity: You don't like Affinity's vote I take it?
It's tipped my suspicion a bit. The only thing I'm being paranoid about is my pathetic excuse of an example.

---

And if you don't believe what I'm saying now (and that I'm protecting Edible for instance), check the signup thread (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=92.0). Now check the start of this thread.

They're exactly the same; it's a list in chronological order of the people who signed up.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 11:17:20 AM
EBWOP: (very accident prone here)

At this point, I'd say I would be "anti-multi-lynch". It's a matter of Risk vs. Reward.

At best, townies outnumber scum by a large degree. Vice versa is worst (obviously). [Should mass-lynch be opted.]
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 11:30:36 AM
Rou: What risk? We take a risk every time we make a lynch, this isn't new. Scum have every bit as much an opening to screw things up if we lynch a single person as well. We also have an opportunity to screw scum every time we lynch!
Okay, apparently I need to restate my opinion AGAIN.
If town, as a majority, can decide on two players who should be lynched and focus their votes between these players equally (say, 6/6), scum has no opportunity of preventing these lynches. Any other situation gives the informed minority a chance to decide who dies on D1, and I don't like the idea of that.

For the record, I'm pro-doublelynch, anti-singlelynch (this is indeed an opportunity to eliminate two suspects at once and should be embraced) and anti-triplelynch and above.

Response to Rou: Has anyone that's not-Wrathie ever rationalised why he self-votes?
You just told me that Baity knew what he was doing with this. Surely you can come up with some sort of constructive reason as to why this would help him out if he was scum?

That said, Baity's responses are filled with more waffles than breakfast. As a word of advice, don't answer questions aimed at other people - let them defend themselves since otherwise it's a judgement of your character instead of theirs.
Would like to see him produce something coherent in his defense.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 16, 2009, 01:10:11 PM
I'm going to go ahead and agree with rou.


-It's too great of an oppurtunity for a single lynch.

-Double lynch would be wonderful, town would divide up their votes equally and if someone last minute unvotes then it's fairly obvious what their alignment would be. Even if we lose the two most suspicious townies (worst case scenario) we won't have to risk having them in LYLO.

->2 lynches is far too dangerous. That's all I have to say about that. I'd rather play it safe than gamble and potentially lose everything. :|

So yes, I'm pro-doublelynch as well.

As for baity, what exactly are you trying to "work out"? Just curious.

For now, I'm assuming that Baity's role is a bomb. A bomb. Dammit.



Disclaimer: This post/this disclaimer may make little to no sense as I literally just woke up.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 01:13:15 PM
Rou, RTFT. If you claimed to be illiterate because you live in an African country, I would have believed you. Why would scum vote themselves? Because you would give them a free pass for it.

Let me run some figures for multi-lynching:
Assume 3 scum, 10 town
If everyone is voting at day end in 6:6:1, 3 lynches.
In 6:6:0, 2 vote jumps will secure single lynch.
If the day ends with multiple wagons on the same number of votes, vote switching will still give us double-lynch at least (assuming small jumps).
Scum do have the numbers to influence multi-lynching, but at great cost to themselves. This is no different from normal voting.

Now can we not speculate about things that detract from actual scumhunting.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 16, 2009, 02:36:33 PM
Also, hypothetical Question: If one person has 4 votes, and two people have 3 votes each, who dies in this scenerio?
Three people in this case. Should it be the opposite (two people with 4, one or more with three) only the top two.

Also, to clarify: If everyone dies together then everyone loses. Bad End.

---

Vote count

pesco47 (2): Edible, Kiro
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius
Alice (1): Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (1): UncertainKitten
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert
Affinity (0): BaitySM
Zakeri (1): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity

Not voting: Carthrat ,Roukanken, KY

A little more than 60 hours remaining.

Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Affinity on May 16, 2009, 02:47:43 PM
@Baity

Quote
Since when did I ever think that voting for myself is townie? Granted, my current play-style is being perceived to be very awkward (probably even; dare I say "foreign"), but I'm trying to work something out.

Then why did you vote yourself?  From what I see, your line of reasoning is that you excluded yourself from your RNG, so you think that people think you're scummy, and then you voted yourself to show that you're willing to do so if the RNG says so, e.g

Quote from: Baity
Regardless, before anybody else decides to stack votes on me simply because of what I presume to be from this single line:

After that you self-voted.  It flows logically, but in a very horrible way since the premises are wrong.

Quote
It's tipped my suspicion a bit. The only thing I'm being paranoid about is my pathetic excuse of an example.

What would I be scummy for, pray tell?  You voted yourself to improve your self-image, from what I understand; and doing that just because pesco voted you and said "FMPH" is blah.  What's to explain that other than paranoia?

---

@Roukanken

Quote
Affinity's post of 'facts facts facts Vote Baity' doesn't feel very useful, either

Facts are facts.  I pointed them out.  What is the issue here?

---

Multi-lynch, in my opinion, is good.  Mafia is all about bandwagon analysis and, logically, the more bandwagons and flips to analyze, the better, as long as it doesn't detriment town too much. 

Lastly, votecounts have to be around more often.  At least 3 per page.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 02:49:20 PM
UK's vote is worth nothing?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 16, 2009, 02:53:42 PM
UK's vote is worth nothing?
Whoops, fixed that.
Also, I hoped Jan would be around to votecount while I was asleep.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 03:19:03 PM
Whoops, fixed that.
Also, I hoped Jan would be around to votecount while I was asleep.

Lol. Forgot to profile your co-mod's timezone?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 16, 2009, 04:32:11 PM
Quote from: Zakeri Hakurei
Also, hypothetical Question: If one person has 4 votes, and two people have 3 votes each, who dies in this scenerio?
Three people in this case. Should it be the opposite (two people with 4, one or more with three) only the top two.

So, Pesco, this isn't true:
Quote from: pesco47
If everyone is voting at day end in 6:6:1, 3 lynches.

To get three lynches, we need one person ahead, and two people tied for second.  I'm tempted to go for it.  If there were a scum among the two tied players, his buddies could save him pretty easily, but they'd look pretty suspicious in doing so.  The only factor holding me back is that I'm not confident we can pull it off without having some townies screw up, make one of the accused look scummy, and make themselves look scummy too, sending us off on a wild goose chase while the scum laugh at us behind our backs.  So, put me down as tentatively pro-double lynch.

Anyway, BaitySM is pretty ridiculous, but the way that he suddenly dropped his Affinity vote like it was hot strikes me as weird.

##Unvote
##Vote Affinity


Whew.  Didn't take long for this game to get serious.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 05:02:26 PM
I ninja Kiro's post ;D

@ Serp: You suspect bussing already?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kiro on May 16, 2009, 05:17:18 PM
I'm for a double lynch. We could try a triple lynch, but per Nietz's explanation, it's slightly finicky. I say don't force a triple lynch unless it starts to come naturally by the end of the Day.

The whole damn thing about RNG is for a random vote. I don't give a damn if Baity wants to exclude himself in a random vote or accidentally exclude someone else.

His bringing up of a hypothetical, "what if I want more votes on me" is bleh. Don't introduce WIFOMs. Then you adding onto that with your reply in #57 saying that you "messed up something fundamental" is going to get you into trouble. The dice thing is not a crime for RVS (random voting stage). But your slight overreaction and hypothetical situation is something of significance.

...the chance that the entire scumteam is going to fail fundamental probability involving dice would be pretty damn low.

What does that have to do with anything? As far as when Scum can communicate, Rule #5 states that it's based on your role PM. So we cannot easily assume that Scum can talk during the Day like in the last game. I realize that this was in response to Rou's question so this point also applies to Rou in assuming that Scum can Daytalk. Minor, but currently inconclusive scumtell that I'd like to point out for posterity.

KY: Scumhunt and vote please. This is what got you into trouble last game.

Would like to see Baity unvote himself and whatever new case he wishes to pursue. I'll be out all of today, can check back late tonight.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 16, 2009, 05:35:52 PM
@ Serp: You suspect bussing already?
Most of the votes placed in the random voting phase tend to get switched around pretty quickly.  It seems like a fittingly newbie move to put an apparently random vote on a fellow scum, intending to switch as soon as a good bandwagon comes up, but then panic when you get called on it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 05:44:02 PM
That kinda fails since he's voting himself right now. What supports your theory is his reluctance to revote Affinity, which isn't particularly great for consideration right now.

Baity is going to have a lot to answer to when he gets back on. Where would Baity like to place his vote? I'd like to hear an answer for when this post was made and another answer for when he's back up to date with the game.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 05:46:00 PM
Why would scum vote themselves? Because you would give them a free pass for it.
So suddenly MY opinion alone is worth taking this sort of obscene risk for? I'm not buying it - I mean, it certainly raised the suspicion of other people, so saying he's doing it to earn a free pass makes no sense.

Quote
If everyone is voting at day end in 6:6:1, 3 lynches.
As Serp has already pointed out, this is wrong.

Quote
In 6:6:0, 2 vote jumps will secure single lynch.
Meaning we most likely have our three scum - the two jumpers and whoever they were protecting.

Quote
If the day ends with multiple wagons on the same number of votes, vote switching will still give us double-lynch at least (assuming small jumps).
You do realise this plan revolves around having several solid cases on several players on D1, right? That's asking for quite a lot.

Quote from: Affinity
Facts are facts.  I pointed them out.  What is the issue here?
The fact that you didn't really contribute anything new to the discussion is what irritated me.

Still waiting on something useful from Baity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 06:18:31 PM
Still waiting for some useful scumhunting from Rou.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 06:31:35 PM
Still waiting for some useful scumhunting from Rou.
So raising the point that Affinity was performing IIoA doesn't qualify as scumhunting? Or indeed my entire point against you, which you haven't argued against and have instead chosen to ignore?
Also, I think I'm the only person to raise the point that Baity was answering other people's questions for them.

Raising the question again since you didn't answer it - why would Baity go to such extreme lengths to get a free pass from one player?

I'd like to think I've done more hunting than Pesco, who to date has offered very little other than his 'OMFG 2D6 BAITY IS OBVSCUM, SELF-VOTING FOR PITY' argument. No objections to keeping my vote where it is right now.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 07:42:42 PM
EBWOP: Alice, Kanako, I can see both of you online right now. Why not contribute something to the discussion?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 07:43:25 PM
EBWOP: Nearly missed Mr. Alert at the end of the list. >_>
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 07:52:46 PM
Lol dude.

Kindly recite the town win condition for me? I'm quite sure it does not include Pesco dying as a requisite.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 16, 2009, 08:00:14 PM
Vote count:

pesco47 (2): Edible, Kiro
Roukanken (0): Serpentarius
Alice (1): Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (1): UncertainKitten
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert
Affinity (1): BaitySM, Serpentarius
Zakeri (1): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity

Not voting: Carthrat, Roukanken, KY

55 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 16, 2009, 08:10:50 PM
I honestly have nothing to say.

I don't know what to make of the whole Baity situation so I'm just quietly waiting for another development to pop up. Affinity is possibly exploiting Baity's self-vote in an attempt to get Baity more paranoid and send him on his way to a lynch. One of many possibilities, I guess.

If I had to vote, I would go with Affinity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 08:15:16 PM
I honestly have nothing to say.

I don't know what to make of the whole Baity situation so I'm just quietly waiting for another development to pop up. Affinity is possibly exploiting Baity's self-vote in an attempt to get Baity more paranoid and send him on his way to a lynch. One of many possibilities, I guess.

If I had to vote, I would go with Affinity.

Umm... You kinda do have to vote for us to take you for being remotely interested in the going ons of the day.

Even if you have nothing to say about Baity or Affinity, there are 10 players that you can talk about. People that you can definitely say stuff on: Carthrat, me, Rou, Serp and maybe Kiro.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 16, 2009, 08:35:24 PM
Fair enough, ##Vote: Affinity because it's much better than anything else I have at the moment.

And now a user analysis post.

Rat: Just things related to the setup. ...and that's it! I can't really judge right now.

Serp: Very good points about Baity/Affinity. From what I've seen, probably town. Then again this is just from what I've seen on early day one.

Affinity: Like I said before, he could be intimidating baity in an attempt to make him more paranoid than he already is. He looks the scummiest to me right now. Also, IIoA.

Pesco: Messup regarding the setup, I don't see why anyone should hold that against you though. You have done less then Rou and you have ignored his questions. Even in your most recent post, you still didn't address them. This could be a cause for concern.

Rou: Nice points on Pesco. Looking very town, for now. You've been actively scumhunting and you have just been doing a nice job all around.


Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 08:49:55 PM
Rou must be really Parsee of the intimacy between me and Kiro from the other game.

Okay, firstly obligatory response to today's Dream Rules.

In short, we're begging for disaster on this setup. The only legitimate way to earn multiple lynches here is for two VERY CLEAR majorities at deadline, otherwise we're giving scum far too many chances to screw things up with a last-minute vote change. The only way anything involving multiple majorities will work is if everyone being lynched is Town, and even if we hit one scum with three lynches, adding the NK we still lose three Townies for one scum. (The odds of us hitting two scum in three lynches on D1 are pretty much zero, before anyone tries to argue otherwise.)

This stuff is not obligatory to post and you're a real pessimist about the capabilities of the players. This is a normal game of mafia, with day 1 requiring more votes than usual for majority. That is all.

Quote
As for the BaitySM debate, the self-vote is just plain dumb, in all honesty. What's sad is that it's DELIBERATE -

...If you're actually a PR, I think I'm going to cry. Don't see what scum could gain from this, though.

Waffle.

Quote
More interesting to me is Pesco's misrep of what seems to be a simple misunderstanding of the probabilities of 2d6:- No, he was excluding one player: Edible (1). Don't even TRY to argue that he should have left the self-vote possibility open.
- In terms of the probability ignorance, realise that this scum plan you're suggesting only works in one highly unlikely situation - the scum players are all near the top or bottom of the list, thus the 2d6 roll will probably (or in one case, definitely) miss them. The odds of this are also pretty small.
- There's also the point that, well, using a 2d6 for a random vote is OBVIOUSLY going to get called out for being stupid. Either the entire scumteam has no idea how probabilities work, or Baity just made a mistake. Indeed, if he'd never said 'I'm using 2d6' his random vote would've received no further thought, so why would he mention it if he knew it was a bad idea?

Feels like Pesco's taking advantage of the new guy, as usual, and he's screwing with words and odds in order to make what looks like a simple mistake metamorphose into a scumtell. Affinity's post of 'facts facts facts Vote Baity' doesn't feel very useful, either, but Pesco still wins out.

First, my vote reason was FPMH. No mention of dice or probability, the misrep is what you've done. Second, what are you defending Baity so strongly for? How are you so assured of him being town already?

Alright, let me flip the question on its head. If Baity does know what he's doing with this 'plan' you've concocted, explain to me what it's actually meant to do. As far as I see this plan can be defined as 'Okay, one of us votes using a 2d6 and gets caught being an idiot, then selfvotes to confuse Town'. Doesn't sound brilliant to me.

Sorry to disappoint, but I'm Pesco, not Baity. Just like I don't know why you are giving 11 players free passes, I don't know what he wants to do.

Quote
Okay, you honestly think removing the possibility of voting yourself counts as excluding a player? Please excuse me while I slam my forehead into a wall.

Silly point about RVS methods. Irrelevant and DISTRACTING to REAL scumhunting.

You just told me that Baity knew what he was doing with this. Surely you can come up with some sort of constructive reason as to why this would help him out if he was scum?
I'm sure Baity knew what he was getting himself into. Newbness is no indication for clearing players (ref Edible and FAV).

Not the same as knowing what he was doing. Either your misreping or your reading fails.

So suddenly MY opinion alone is worth taking this sort of obscene risk for? I'm not buying it - I mean, it certainly raised the suspicion of other people, so saying he's doing it to earn a free pass makes no sense.

Your opinion is worth 1 vote, that means it's worthwhile for anyone to swing it to their favour.

Quote
As Serp has already pointed out, this is wrong.
Meaning we most likely have our three scum - the two jumpers and whoever they were protecting.
You do realise this plan revolves around having several solid cases on several players on D1, right? That's asking for quite a lot.

You want to know when mod-clarification was made? Right after my post.

Responding to you anymore is just a matter of who is right or wrong. Get over it and scumhunt properly if you can at all.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 08:51:04 PM
Fair enough, ##Vote: Affinity because it's much better than anything else I have at the moment.

And now a user analysis post.

Rat: Just things related to the setup. ...and that's it! I can't really judge right now.

Serp: Very good points about Baity/Affinity. From what I've seen, probably town. Then again this is just from what I've seen on early day one.

Affinity: Like I said before, he could be intimidating baity in an attempt to make him more paranoid than he already is. He looks the scummiest to me right now. Also, IIoA.

Pesco: Messup regarding the setup, I don't see why anyone should hold that against you though. You have done less then Rou and you have ignored his questions. Even in your most recent post, you still didn't address them. This could be a cause for concern.

Rou: Nice points on Pesco. Looking very town, for now. You've been actively scumhunting and you have just been doing a nice job all around.

You can do better than that. Put some backbone into it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 16, 2009, 08:56:05 PM
stop WoTing

Pah, that was a fence of text. Hardly even a cobblestone barrier for gardens. Granted, Vincent in Dirge of Cerberus couldn't jump it in game, but still!

Kiro appears to be exempt from vote explanations

Carth wins with his first post on page 2. His second post outlines the problems. Good job ^-^

Pesco also appears to be exempt. Must be nice.

Pesco appears to also be restating things already said. Not sure I like that

Now Pesco gets original. Lynch half the town. However, if we completely fuck it up it's possible that makes us lose

Zakeri is no fun. Further, I find it odd that he feels the need to limit the number of lynches we do today. Why not just lynch optimally for the data we have, and not set a number?

FPMH?

All players tied AT THE TOP, everyone.

Baity, self votes are not happy making. In fact, didn't pesc-um do that last game? Fong's gambit shall thusly be accepted (probably at the end of this post)

Further, the question you ask assumes we need a specific number. Why?

Oh yeah, Fluffy Puffy Marshmallow Hugs. How could I forget that, pesco...

I have no idea what Baity is arguing here:

Quote
Suppose that I want more votes against me. You reminded me about my role. Probability says that I'll end up damaging Town more than helping them if I get lynched on D1 though.

All I know is he hasn't unvoted in that post

Why...does it look like Baity is responding to the post UNDER him?

Carth taking it easy on someone who might be new? Is this new?

Rou, you feel like you are arguing semantics on some of your anti-pesco points. Regardless, I eagerly anticipate his response. I also think the rest of your post is ok. At this point we need to move away from analyzing the set up and nothing else.

Pesco's response is adequete. I like it ^-^

Rou, however, brings up a good point about how it's not really that great a plan. Either way, I tend to accept Fong's Gambit, so that's why I'll be on the record for voting Baity, most likely.

Carth doesn't seem to be scumhunting so much as play the set up.

Baity seems to be overdefensive about the dice thing

so wait, Kanguya...you say that double lynching is awesome, but 2 lynches is too dangerous?

And did you REALLY need to guess at Baity's role? There's no need for that


at least you want us to play now, pesco.

Oh hey, Kiro's alive. At least he gets it. Good posting overall

Pesco is wrong about Rou, and it feels a bit off. Rather, Rou is scumhunting (though slightly tunnely, and a couple bad points)

So...why DON'T you vote Affinity, Kanguya Wafflesan?

Oh good, you do it when poked. Why only analyze those 5 players though, Kanguya?

Ok, I'm done, not liking Kanguya much, Carth isn't giving me warm fuzzies, and ##Unvote
Vote BaitySM


is just all over the place. Alert needs to post moar (lol hypocrisy).

Cut by pesco:

Ok, seriously, you are doing this on purpose. Please try NOT to piss off Rou this time?

Agree with the other pesco cut.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 08:58:31 PM
I'm not obliged to put up with Rou being silly every game now am I?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 16, 2009, 09:01:18 PM
I'm not obliged to put up with Rou being silly every game now am I?

You are, however, obliged to not be a Jerk Ass (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/Jerkass)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 16, 2009, 09:24:57 PM
so wait, Kanguya...you say that double lynching is awesome, but 2 lynches is too dangerous?
I said that >2 is too dangerous.

Quote from: UK
And did you REALLY need to guess at Baity's role? There's no need for that
Probably not.

Quote from: UK
Oh good, you do it when poked. Why only analyze those 5 players though, Kanguya?
The others have hardly posted anything.

Quote from: UK
Agree with the other pesco cut.
Will do. Just give some time, okay? :)
[/quote]
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 16, 2009, 09:26:09 PM
EBWOP: Give me* some time. Also, if that came off as aggresive, it wasn't intended to be.

Also, random /quote at the end. x_x My bad.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 09:37:47 PM
Kindly recite the town win condition for me? I'm quite sure it does not include Pesco dying as a requisite.
The Town wins when the Mafia is eliminated. I have no reason to believe that you aren't scum.

This stuff is not obligatory to post and you're a real pessimist about the capabilities of the players. This is a normal game of mafia, with day 1 requiring more votes than usual for majority. That is all.
With all the talk of 'let's deadlock everyone bar one player' and a trillion multi-lynch ideas, I felt it was worth pointing out the flaws in the arguments that had been presented so Town didn't get carried away.

Quote
Waffle.
It's not waffling, it's pointing out that Baity's 'Maybe I want more votes, you reminded me of my role' could be a softclaim. Had anyone else mentioned that?

Quote
First, my vote reason was FPMH. No mention of dice or probability, the misrep is what you've done.
Quote from: Gee, I wonder who said this?
Rolling a d12 compared to rolling 2d6 is the range of 1-12 and 2-12. You were excluding 2 players.
I was arguing against this point here, which YOU raised as a point against Baity and was in my opinion flawed. I don't see any misrep here.

Quote
Second, what are you defending Baity so strongly for? How are you so assured of him being town already?
If you'd notice, I'm also relatively suspicious of Baity (as I've said previously). The point is that the reasons you're attacking him for are relatively poor (FPMH, dice hax...), and bad attacks are in my opinion worse than bad play since that's how scum get Townies lynched.

Quote
Sorry to disappoint, but I'm Pesco, not Baity. Just like I don't know why you are giving 11 players free passes, I don't know what he wants to do.
Firstly, immediate misrep on 'giving 11 players free passes'. Trying to pass me as a tunneler when I've made points against more players than he has.
Secondly, your argument that Baity was scum revolved around there being a decent plan behind what he was doing. If you can't come up with some sort of legitimate benefit that Scum!Baity could get from this plan, I'll consider your defense null and void.

Quote
Silly point about RVS methods. Irrelevant and DISTRACTING to REAL scumhunting.
In response to silly point YOU made about pointing out him excluding himself from random voting. I was pressing you on it to see if you were genuinely trying to use it as an argument.

Quote
Not the same as knowing what he was doing. Either your misreping or your reading fails.
Explain the difference to me. From what I can see you're arguing semantics here.

Quote
Your opinion is worth 1 vote, that means it's worthwhile for anyone to swing it to their favour.
In return for earning the suspicion of several other players. Looking at the current votes on him, I'd say this has earned Baity roughly -1 free passes.

Quote
You want to know when mod-clarification was made? Right after my post.
This doesn't refute the third point - if you want three lynch targets, we should have three genuinely suspicious players.

Quote
Responding to you anymore is just a matter of who is right or wrong. Get over it and scumhunt properly if you can at all.
And for the umpteenth time, you disregard my case without giving a useful defense. I recall you doing this to Umu last game when you were scum, hoping that his repeated insistence that you were scum would make him look worse for tunneling than you did for your various scummy tactics.

And for the record, it's hard to scumhunt when half the players have posted pretty much zilch beyond setup discussion.

tl;dr - Pesco's defense consists of misrep and ignorance. He seems to think that by saying 'you're wrong' enough and picking at tiny mistakes in the attack rather than the GLARING PROBLEMS THAT HE CHOOSES NOT TO ACKNOWLEDGE, the problem will go away.

Can I PLEASE GET SOME OPINIONS FROM YOU LURKERS OUT THERE?! IF I HAVE TO SPEND D1 DOING NOTHING BUT ARGUE WITH PESCO SINCE NO-ONE ELSE IS SAYING ANYTHING USEFUL I'LL PROBABLY HAVE AN ANEURYSM.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 09:46:20 PM
EBWOP:
I can see some of you people from here: Zak, Serp, Alice, Alert...why not say something for a change so I can converse with someone other than Pesco? Believe me, I'll be endlessly grateful for it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Mr_Alert on May 16, 2009, 09:48:58 PM
I'm working on it. :( Here's what I have regarding BaitySM though, I guess:

His overreaction/paranoia is understandable enough, being a new player and encountering a vote with the reasoning being "FPMH", whatever the hell that means.  Honestly, I'd like a clarification on what FPMH is, and how his first post counts as such.  Otherwise, I just find the whole thing entirely ridiculous.  Regarding the possible softclaim, I don't really know what to make of that.  Wanting more votes...Jester?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 09:52:07 PM
Wanting more votes...Jester?
...Aw, crap. I never considered this. It doesn't help that Nietz didn't mention the typical 'there are no roles with win conditions that involve being lynched' clause...GM, confirmation about the possibility of a Jester/Fool?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 16, 2009, 10:02:16 PM
No roles in this game have being lynched as a win condition.

----
Vote count:

pesco47 (3): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken
Roukanken (0): Serpentarius
Alice (1): Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (0): UncertainKitten
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert
Affinity (2): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (1): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (4): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten

BaitySM is at L-4.
pesco47 is at L-5

Not voting: Carthrat

53 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 16, 2009, 10:07:46 PM
EBWOP:
I can see some of you people from here: Zak, Serp, Alice, Alert...why not say something for a change so I can converse with someone other than Pesco? Believe me, I'll be endlessly grateful for it.

I respond with another quote of yours:

As a word of advice, don't answer questions aimed at other people - let them defend themselves since otherwise it's a judgement of your character instead of theirs.

Your back-and-forth with Pesco is just you two attacking each others' statements and disagreeing over interpretations.  None of the statements I haven't responded to seem unusually scummy to me, and I'm sure as heck not going to defend them in your place, so as far as I'm concerned, you two can just continue to go at each other.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 16, 2009, 10:09:54 PM
Edit By Way Of Post:

Also, Roukanken, I notice that you haven't placed a vote yet.  Affinity hasn't yet responded to mine on him.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 10:18:36 PM
Your back-and-forth with Pesco is just you two attacking each others' statements and disagreeing over interpretations.  None of the statements I haven't responded to seem unusually scummy to me, and I'm sure as heck not going to defend them in your place, so as far as I'm concerned, you two can just continue to go at each other.
I'm not sure exactly what you're saying here. Do you think that the Pesco/Me argument is a Town/Town fight and that neither of us have any decent points? If so, why are you fine with letting the argument continue?

Also, Roukanken, I notice that you haven't placed a vote yet.  Affinity hasn't yet responded to mine on him.
Actually, Nietz just messed up the vote count and I didn't notice it until you pointed it out there. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12745#msg12745)
Quote
Feels like Pesco's taking advantage of the new guy, as usual, and he's screwing with words and odds in order to make what looks like a simple mistake metamorphose into a scumtell. Affinity's post of 'facts facts facts Vote Baity' doesn't feel very useful, either, but Pesco still wins out. ##Vote: Pesco47
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 16, 2009, 10:26:28 PM
Actually, Nietz just messed up the vote count and I didn't notice it until you pointed it out there. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12745#msg12745)
Dammit... Fixed.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 10:28:57 PM
Quote
And for the record, it's hard to scumhunt when half the players have posted pretty much zilch beyond setup discussion.

That's just you being fail.

EBWOP:
I can see some of you people from here: Zak, Serp, Alice, Alert...why not say something for a change so I can converse with someone other than Pesco? Believe me, I'll be endlessly grateful for it.

Reap what you've sown. I'm not the one that came in here with a vendetta.

I don't know what to make of the whole Baity situation so I'm just quietly waiting for another development to pop up. Affinity is possibly exploiting Baity's self-vote in an attempt to get Baity more paranoid and send him on his way to a lynch. One of many possibilities, I guess.

Things have developed since this post. What's your reads now?

Your back-and-forth with Pesco is just you two attacking each others' statements and disagreeing over interpretations.  None of the statements I haven't responded to seem unusually scummy to me, and I'm sure as heck not going to defend them in your place, so as far as I'm concerned, you two can just continue to go at each other.

We're going to need to see a more solid stance on that one, particularly the bolded.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 16, 2009, 10:37:00 PM
I'm not sure exactly what you're saying here. Do you think that the Pesco/Me argument is a Town/Town fight and that neither of us have any decent points? If so, why are you fine with letting the argument continue?

Never get involved in a married couple's fight.  I'm not sure what you'd have me do.  Even if I thought you were Town/Town, as opposed to Not-Especially-Scummy/Not-Especially-Scummy, there's not much I can do about it short of defending one side or the other, and there's not much reason to do that with 50 hours in the day and both of you frequently online.  I'm sticking with my pet vote, for now.  I figure I'll wait for Affinity to show up and defend himself before pressing my case further or actively attacking someone else.

Quote from: Roukanken
Actually, Nietz just messed up the vote count and I didn't notice it until you pointed it out there. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12745#msg12745)

In that case, I have no other criticism of your play so far.

Ninja'd by Pesco:

Quote from: Pesco47
We're going to need to see a more solid stance on that one, particularly the bolded.

My stance is that your play is consistent with anyone when presented with Baity's weird posts, whether a Townie seeing scummy behavior or a Scum seeing an easy mislynch.  If Roukanken wants to press you more and maybe squeeze out an oddly scummy slip, I won't complain.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 16, 2009, 10:38:42 PM
Good enough for me. Looking forward to where you take Affinity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 10:56:00 PM
That's just you being fail.

Quote
Reap what you've sown. I'm not the one that came in here with a vendetta.
You know, I get the feeling these posts contradict each other.
Also, talking solely about you won't do Town any good at all. There's more than one scum in this game, and if I just sit and talk to you then there's no way we'll find the whole team.

Serp, I still don't understand what you're saying. If you don't think either of us are being particularly scummy, then shouldn't you be objecting to the argument and suggesting someit looks like you think the same of Pesco - so why let two Not Especially Scummy people argue when there are other More Particularly Scummy players worth talking about?

STILL WAITING FOR BAITY TO PRODUCE, and like many people am unimpressed with Affinity's behaviour. A little iffy about Serp's reasoning for letting the argument between Pesco and I slide despite not honestly thinking either of us are scum.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 16, 2009, 11:01:31 PM
Oh boy, I've been dragged from the computer like every 10 minutes so I wasn't able to get anything done, sorry. >_<

I hate my sister.

Okay, she left to go play with friends. Reading stuff now.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 16, 2009, 11:08:55 PM
Gah, overslept.

Looks like I have a lot of reading to do...  >_>
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 16, 2009, 11:10:32 PM
Quote
can see some of you people from here: Zak, Serp, Alice, Alert...why not say something for a change so I can converse with someone other than Pesco? Believe me, I'll be endlessly grateful for it.

Warning - while you were typing (9) new replies have been posted. You may wish to review your post.
I'm working on it!!! Give me another five hours :<

I remember Rou saying something about Affinity's vote on Baily being "Facts Facts Vote" Which puzzles me, since I don't see why discarding evidence as facts makes a vote misplaced? Rou appears to be forcing a Beilos = Townie perspective onto himself.

Personally, on the self vote, I've learned from previous, recent games that nothing screwed the town over faster than self voting. Oddly enough, we can't seem to go a single game without someone self voting. At this point, there are only two things I see being true: Beilos is Scum trying to WiFoM the town into not voting for him, or Beilos is trying to pull off a fongs gambit, in which he deserves to be voted for anyway.

##Unvote, ##Vote: BaliySM

Not really and Edit: Sorry Beilos~ I tried to make this post on memory of what happened. Beilos sounds much better than Baliy, though~

Quote
A last-minute vote change remains a really dangerous move for scum to make in general, whether one, two, or three lynches are floating around. I see forcing them to pull that as a bonus, not a flaw. They can screw regular lynches too...

This is absolutely true, but there's still the problem that a votescrewed six way lynch will very likely lead to the situation outlined in my last post - a one townie buffer going into a one townie dies phase.

I'm going down the route of double-lynch being the best opportunity as well.

Quote from: Beilos
"Anti-bandwagon"
I use to think that, too, but people here consider it a legitimate scumtell, and being able to pull yourself from L-1 to L-2 means nothing when people have a reason to vote you. In short, Fongs Gambit is a scumtell on these forums and you should avoid thinking of it much less doing it.

I'm definitely leaning towards Serp being town. Well, as much as I can day one at least.

Quote from: Roukanken
Quote from: Pesco
If the day ends with multiple wagons on the same number of votes, vote switching will still give us double-lynch at least (assuming small jumps).
You do realise this plan revolves around having several solid cases on several players on D1, right? That's asking for quite a lot.
That doesn't mean we won't have multiple targets by the end of today. Plus, the vote switching falls under the category of scum manipulation, which in turn helps us figure out who's who by the time day 2 starts.

Quote from: Gensokyo in a Blender
I don't know what to make of the whole Baity situation so I'm just quietly waiting for another development to pop up.

Every time I see someone post in a mafia game that they are waiting for something to happen, I get angry, and the only way to calm myself down is to watch this: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yjOZkZ2zTJA&

Gensokyo Blender makes up for it in the next post, but I will be taking into the fact that Pesco was holding a gun to his head.

Quote from: Rou
It's not waffling, it's pointing out that Baity's 'Maybe I want more votes, you reminded me of my role' could be a softclaim. Had anyone else mentioned that?
I had thought about it myself, but the only softclaim I could think of is Fool. I doubt there is one, and if there was, they're wouldn't allude to it unless they wanted to scare people from lynching them. This, combined with the paranoid attitude Affinity mentioned makes me think Beilos is a mafioso.

I'd like to know a pro-town roles that advances the town win condition by being lynched? Bomb doesn't count, since it's better to be Nightkilled as bomb to make certain you hit scum.

Quote
Oh good, you do it when poked. Why only analyze those 5 players though, Kanguya?
Why not? We've already gone over how trying to analyze everyone day one isn't helpful, so why not focus on the ones that stand out. I'd say analyzing five players is a very good start for day one.

Speaking of which: My five analysis targets on a scale of most town to most scum.
Serp - pro-town
I'm seeing quite a bit of determined scum hunting. as long as this keeps up, Serp is cleared for me.

Affinity - anti-scum
I'd love to see more than the vote on Beilos, but since we share a similar opinion on Beilos (And because of Rou's attack on Affinity) I'm not going to be regarding him

Pesco - Anti-scum
The Aggressive nature is awkward, but what I see here is a complete flip from his actions in Workers Union. I'm not considering this the ultimate town tell for Pesco (I've put him lower than affinity) but it's enough for me to regard him as town sided.

Roukanken - Pro-scum
As I've said above, Roukanken seems to be trying too hard to take the Beilos = Town approach when I really see no legitimate argument for believing such. He's then continued to defend Beilos and Attack Pesco. This has lead to, as Serp put it, a married couple's bickering which is a distraction from actual scumhunting. Note: I'm not saying Roukanken started this, but he's making absolutely no effort to stop outside of FoSing people who are probably making posts and catching up.

Beilos - Pro-scum/Anti-town
As I've mentioned above the voting for yourself idea is wrong on several occasions, and while some people pass it off as an honest mistake, Beilos has gone far enough to admit that he is doing this on purpose for some supposed reason that I have yet to determine is anything other than scaring people not to vote for him.

Cut by several things, Including Neitz confirming my suspicion that there's no jester role.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 16, 2009, 11:20:26 PM
Serp, I still don't understand what you're saying. If you don't think either of us are being particularly scummy, then shouldn't you be objecting to the argument and suggesting someit looks like you think the same of Pesco - so why let two Not Especially Scummy people argue when there are other More Particularly Scummy players worth talking about?
Maybe by picking apart each others' posts, one of you will become more particularly scummy.  I don't see any reason to suspect you over any of the other people I'm not voting for at the moment, but I'm not going to defend either of you in your place.  If I had good reason to believe that either of you were town, I'd try to redirect you, but I don't.  Are you telling me that I should be trying to stop you from scumhunting?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 16, 2009, 11:56:10 PM
I remember Rou saying something about Affinity's vote on Baily being "Facts Facts Vote" Which puzzles me, since I don't see why discarding evidence as facts makes a vote misplaced? Rou appears to be forcing a Beilos = Townie perspective onto himself.
Read the thread again. The point I made against Affinity was IIoA - he voted, stated some facts and produced nothing new.
And Baity's habit of answering other people's questions is doing him no favours. I'm not saying that he's definitely Town like you claim I am - just that Pesco's reasoning for attacking him was flawed.

Quote
That doesn't mean we won't have multiple targets by the end of today.
Then shouldn't we cross that bridge when we come to it rather than assume we need to lynch as many people as possible today?

Pesco - Anti-scum
The Aggressive nature is awkward, but what I see here is a complete flip from his actions in Workers Union. I'm not considering this the ultimate town tell for Pesco (I've put him lower than affinity) but it's enough for me to regard him as town sided.
Would you mind clarifying this? I'm seeing Pesco do exactly what he did in Worker's Union - crazy setup plans (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12709#msg12709), picking on easy targets, disregarding arguments, only producing content after several (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12757#msg12757) posts (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12811#msg12811) of (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12839#msg12839) pretty (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12855#msg12855) much (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12869#msg12869) nothing... (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12891#msg12891)

Quote
Roukanken - Pro-scum
As I've said above, Roukanken seems to be trying too hard to take the Beilos = Town approach when I really see no legitimate argument for believing such. He's then continued to defend Beilos and Attack Pesco. This has lead to, as Serp put it, a married couple's bickering which is a distraction from actual scumhunting. Note: I'm not saying Roukanken started this, but he's making absolutely no effort to stop outside of FoSing people who are probably making posts and catching up.
As I'VE said above, the Baity = Town point is moot. The only reason I've had to spend so long talking about Pesco is that there was at the time little else to comment on.

Maybe by picking apart each others' posts, one of you will become more particularly scummy.  I don't see any reason to suspect you over any of the other people I'm not voting for at the moment, but I'm not going to defend either of you in your place.  If I had good reason to believe that either of you were town, I'd try to redirect you, but I don't.  Are you telling me that I should be trying to stop you from scumhunting?
No, I'm saying you shouldn't let other people argue if you honestly think the argument is a distraction to other bigger targets. If you have no reason to think that either Pesco or I are scum then there's no reason for this argument to take place. By your logic there'd be the same chance or better of someone becoming Particularly Scummy if I argued with another random player, since they're as scummy as Pesco is. Therefore I raise the question - do you think either Pesco or I are worth suspicion at the moment?

Hopefully by tomorrow morning I'll have some other opinions to comment on.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 17, 2009, 12:27:19 AM
Where the bloody hell do I start...


Quote from: KY
As for baity, what exactly are you trying to "work out"? Just curious.
To see who would jump the gun, and use the very small of amount of evidence that I've "created".


Quote from: BaitySM
...the chance that the entire scumteam is going to fail fundamental probability involving dice would be pretty damn low.
Quote from: Kiro
What does that have to do with anything?
Nothing. Now that I've slept, I can say... it's quite pointless.


Quote from: pesco47
Where would Baity like to place his vote?
Nowhere at this point. The reason why I self-voted is two-fold.

1. No Lynch is not an option (in this world). The fact that I can't trust my internet connection also adds to this.
There is a chance that I lose connection to the internet, provided I don't refill the credit. Depends entirely on how well I remember.
Thumbs up for my internet randomly having a fit as I was posting >_>
2. Attempt to fish out a few people (as a case; I have to start somewhere...).

Quote from: Affinity
What would I be scummy for, pray tell?  You voted yourself to improve your self-image, from what I understand; and doing that just because pesco voted you and said "FMPH" is blah.  What's to explain that other than paranoia?
I have no evidence you're even scum to begin with. If I start, it would be either pure guesswork and assumption, or your reaction to my posts / anybody else's, which I'm still analyzing. Voting to improve my self-image? See above. And below, just below this.

Let me put it this way. I'd rather try to sacrifice myself to take out at least 1 scum by evidence, rather than rely on PR's. My self-voting is only temporary, and I will address the reasoning to my switch accordingly.

Regarding paranoia, it's quite hard to determine how one person "speaks" over the internet. There's nothing to suggest that I am actually paranoid, or sticking a persona in-front of myself. I can't think of anything to say for my defense.


Quote from: THE GUY
No roles in this game have being lynched as a win condition.
What does this tell the rest of you? It's not a win condition for me if I die here and now.

Quote from: Zakeri
I use to think that, too, but people here consider it a legitimate scumtell, and being able to pull yourself from L-1 to L-2 means nothing when people have a reason to vote you. In short, Fongs Gambit is a scumtell on these forums and you should avoid thinking of it much less doing it.

My defense is hilighted in bold. Probably the worst defense I could put up but it's the only one I can say without trying to make something up, and henceforth contradict myself further, increasing my suspicion far above than what it should have been at. However, I will make a mental note of that... for future cases.

Re-reading (again) for my decision to vote for somebody else, based on the evidence displayed.

If I miss anything, do say so and I will answer it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 17, 2009, 12:59:29 AM
Quote from: Pesco
That's just you being fail.
Personal attack instead of saying something contributive.

Quote from: pesco
Reap what you've sown. I'm not the one that came in here with a vendetta.
COUGHCOUGHCOUGHCOUGHCOUGH

Okay, enough of that.

Quote from: Serp
Never get involved in a married couple's fight.
This. I didn't want to get involved in the inevitible bickering between Pesco and Rou.

Quote from: Zakeri
Gensokyo Blender makes up for it in the next post, but I will be taking into the fact that Pesco was holding a gun to his head.
I need to get over the fact that my posts only make sense when I'm under pressure. The only decent analysis I've done was the Jan case in MSP, and that was when UK was about to throw me off of a bridge. x_x; Also, I like the name you assigned me. 

Quote from: Zak
Serp - pro-town
I'm seeing quite a bit of determined scum hunting. as long as this keeps up, Serp is cleared for me.

Affinity - anti-scum
I'd love to see more than the vote on Beilos, but since we share a similar opinion on Beilos (And because of Rou's attack on Affinity) I'm not going to be regarding him

Pesco - Anti-scum
The Aggressive nature is awkward, but what I see here is a complete flip from his actions in Workers Union. I'm not considering this the ultimate town tell for Pesco (I've put him lower than affinity) but it's enough for me to regard him as town sided.

Roukanken - Pro-scum
As I've said above, Roukanken seems to be trying too hard to take the Beilos = Town approach when I really see no legitimate argument for believing such. He's then continued to defend Beilos and Attack Pesco. This has lead to, as Serp put it, a married couple's bickering which is a distraction from actual scumhunting. Note: I'm not saying Roukanken started this, but he's making absolutely no effort to stop outside of FoSing people who are probably making posts and catching up.

Beilos - Pro-scum/Anti-town
As I've mentioned above the voting for yourself idea is wrong on several occasions, and while some people pass it off as an honest mistake, Beilos has gone far enough to admit that he is doing this on purpose for some supposed reason that I have yet to determine is anything other than scaring people not to vote for him.
I agree, except switch Rou with Affinity and move Baity up a bit, he doesn't particularly strike me as scummy, although I may be too forgiving. Otherwise, very nice.

Ergh, I feel like I haven't said enough in this post, which is true. So, revised analysis time!

Serpentarius- Undoubtably town. Great scumhunting and nothing remotely fishy.

Zakeri- Your recent post is very good, would like to see more. Most likely town.

Rou- You're looking slightly more scummy with the constant arguing but still probably town.

Pesco- Ditto.

Baity-
Quote
1. No Lynch is not an option (in this world). The fact that I can't trust my internet connection also adds to this.
I'm pretty sure people would be lynched even without your self vote. Second reason is good enough, I suppose. As for alignment, I don't even know anymore. More posts so I can judge please. :)

Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 17, 2009, 01:33:48 AM
Gut says both pesco and Rou are scum.  This play off of each other seems forced; I'm not feeling town bouncing off of town here.

I'd place Serp and Carth as working for the good of town.  Baity reminds me of Sol in 9squad, newbie who bit off more than he could chew.

UK is actually paying attention this game.  KY is trying harder than usual.  Kiro and Alice, uh... well, they exist?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 17, 2009, 01:39:12 AM
Quote
Read the thread again. The point I made against Affinity was IIoA - he voted, stated some facts and produced nothing new.

I see. It was the way you had worded your complaint initially.
I will admit it's occurred to me that Affinity hadn't done anything more than provide a generic opinion behind a vote, but he's provided that much at least. We should waiting to see that Beilos flips town before holding it against him since if Beilos is scum it becomes a moot point.

Quote
And Baity's habit of answering other people's questions is doing him no favours. I'm not saying that he's definitely Town like you claim I am - just that Pesco's reasoning for attacking him was flawed.
[...]
The only reason I've had to spend so long talking about Pesco is that there was at the time little else to comment on.

Alright, I'll accept this.

Quote
I'm seeing Pesco do exactly what he did in Worker's Union - crazy setup plans, picking on easy targets, disregarding arguments, only producing content after several posts of pretty much nothing...

The first "worthless post" leads to a discussion between Beilos and Affinity about Beilos's suspicion of Affinity's vote.

The second worthless post was a simple correction to the mod, made when he had nothing to respond to until the third worthless post.

That one of course sparking Serp to explain the suspicion on Beilos and Affinity being scum buddies and testing it out. The fourth worthless post is a response to what he feels about Serp's plan, which segways into wondering who Beilos would really vote for.

I'll give you the fifth and Sixth, since he was mostly being a jerkass, and the sixth one runs off the basis that he's not in the mafia, which we can't assume.

And naturally, everyone was doing crazy setup speculation, if only because we had a crazy setup to speculate.

I still rank Pesco slightly higher than you, but with the point you made above I don't see you as scumpartners with Beilos anymore.

onto Beilos~

Quote
Let me put it this way. I'd rather try to sacrifice myself to take out at least 1 scum by evidence, rather than rely on PR's. My self-voting is only temporary, and I will address the reasoning to my switch accordingly.

I thought I covered this in my last post, but let me say it here. Fong's Gambit does nothing besides get you lynched. Everyone here recognizes it, and everyone here, regardless of their affiliation, will want you lynched for it. The only way this would work is if your were scum and someone was protecting you for no reason - hence my original suspicion of Roukanken.

Quote
I need to get over the fact that my posts only make sense when I'm under pressure. The only decent analysis I've done was the Jan case in MSP, and that was when UK was about to throw me off of a bridge. x_x; Also, I like the name you assigned me.
Hmm... knowing this would make me want to let up on you if it weren't for the paradox that it would make your posts worth less. Also, I'm glad you like it. It's much easier than remember all of the names you've jumbled together currently.

Cut by Edible: Hi Edible!
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 01:55:33 AM
No, I'm saying you shouldn't let other people argue if you honestly think the argument is a distraction to other bigger targets. If you have no reason to think that either Pesco or I are scum then there's no reason for this argument to take place. By your logic there'd be the same chance or better of someone becoming Particularly Scummy if I argued with another random player, since they're as scummy as Pesco is. Therefore I raise the question - do you think either Pesco or I are worth suspicion at the moment?

I don't think it's a distraction.  The chance might be the same or better if you were to start picking someone else apart (which is precisely what you're aiming to do now, right?), or it could be worse.  Do I think you and Pesco are worth suspicion?  Absolutely, but just not really any more than anyone else at the moment, and neither more than the other.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 17, 2009, 03:00:49 AM
Vote count:

pesco47 (3): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken
Roukanken (0): Serpentarius
Alice (0): Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (0): UncertainKitten
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert
Affinity (2): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (1): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (5): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri

BaitySM is at L-3.
pesco47 is at L-5

Not voting: Carthrat

48 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 03:54:38 AM
EBWOP: Give me* some time. Also, if that came off as aggresive, it wasn't intended to be.

Also, random /quote at the end. x_x My bad.

Why do you care? It shouldn't matter if you are perceived as agressive in a game of mafia (as long as you aren't rude)

Rou, you are going to lose on the vote reason. The d12 thing was added later from what I read. I also don't think point by point will get anywhere. Probably both of you should organize defenses/attacks and take them as a whole. Because some of your scumtells are basically junk (such as the one I mentioned), while there appear to be a couple good ones hidden amongst them

@Mr_Alert: not to answer for Pesco, but he already said "First Post Mind Hax" (he thinks he's Satori)

And Alert...you never NEVER bring up Jester.

EVER!

Rou, I wouldn't have entertained that either. If he wins because he was lynched, it would be bullshit anyway and since most of the time a jester is just RFG'd, I'd just say "Good job winning with a bullshit role. Let's play mafia now"

Nietz, you didn't need to confirm anything, but thanks

More rudeness from pesco. I'm beginning to wonder if Rou has something here. You are usually more...aloof as town.

Further, Rou has some good points. Some of them are obfuscated by bad ones, but it's not just a vendetta. In fact, you seem to have it a lot more than he does.

Sept, while rather detached, does have a point about defending one side or the other, but I would like an opinion on it soon (Though I guess the Not-especially-scummy on either side could count)

Affinity and Baity indeed need to post.

Quote
Why not? We've already gone over how trying to analyze everyone day one isn't helpful, so why not focus on the ones that stand out. I'd say analyzing five players is a very good start for day one.

Fair. But why answer for Kanguya?

Who did answer. I anticipate what he has to say.

Also, my main issue is that it wasn't just a scum analysis. He effectively stated who he thought was town as well. Which gives too much info to the scum.

I see what you say on Rou, Zak, but I wanna see him make his case clearer first before going into it.

Why thank you, Edible. And I was paying attention for the first three days last game. I just have to change things up every so often. I find your take on Rou/Pesco interesting as well. I don't think it's as forced as you think though. And if it is, it's Pesco forcing Rou to break.

I've read a lot of the rest of what's been posted, but haven't found much to comment on. My brain is a little fried anyway. So...to clarify my stances:
Pesco and Rou could be anything, but if one of them is scum, it's Pesco. He's being hypocritical about personal vendettas and such, and has ignored Rou's GOOD points. On the flip side, Rou has crap points mixed in with his good and it's very...cloudy just what works. If he makes his case clearer, I'll be happy. Baity, I'm not sure about but still lean scum on, and he's trying to WoT his way out.
Affinity, needs to exist. Kanguya is slowly getting back to not so scummy, but we'll see how he does. Alert is interesting, and probably needs to post more analysis.
Also, Alice is playing?
I don't have much else to say about others.


Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 17, 2009, 04:02:29 AM
Also, my main issue is that it wasn't just a scum analysis. He effectively stated who he thought was town as well. Which gives too much info to the scum.
So you think that when analyzing, I should skip everyone who I think is town? Maybe I read this wrong but that doesn't make much sense.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 04:13:10 AM
So you think that when analyzing, I should skip everyone who I think is town? Maybe I read this wrong but that doesn't make much sense.

It does, actually. First, you coach scum when you tell them WHY someone looks town. Secondly, you give them a laundry list of targets if more people agree (though this is a lesser concern). You notice I tend to avoid saying who is probably town in my analyses. It still shows, but I don't explain why (Ok, well, it's something I'm trying actually)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 17, 2009, 04:16:37 AM
It does, actually. First, you coach scum when you tell them WHY someone looks town. Secondly, you give them a laundry list of targets if more people agree (though this is a lesser concern). You notice I tend to avoid saying who is probably town in my analyses. It still shows, but I don't explain why (Ok, well, it's something I'm trying actually)
Ah, I get it now. It gives a list of people for scum to target as to get rid of townier looking townies instead of the scummier ones. Thanks for clearing that up.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 17, 2009, 04:24:02 AM
My apologies, today was made of watching Europe's horrible affront to music followed by assignments. Catching up, will post in about an hour.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 17, 2009, 04:43:43 AM
onto Beilos~

I thought I covered this in my last post, but let me say it here. Fong's Gambit does nothing besides get you lynched. Everyone here recognizes it, and everyone here, regardless of their affiliation, will want you lynched for it. The only way this would work is if your were scum and someone was protecting you for no reason - hence my original suspicion of Roukanken.
You've given me a strange nickname over a nickname (which is, incidentally over another nickname) already.

Fong's Gambit is too popular (well-known) to be used effectively. The options that occurred to me at the start were:

-Let random votes fly
-(somehow) generate discussion on D1

Both options were just as random as each other, in terms of the impact it would have on the game. It isn't hard to determine which option was chosen. I seem to have accidentally used the gambit without realizing it, it seems [as it is my first game here; I was unaware of the complications it causes].


Quote from: UK
Affinity and Baity indeed need to post.
Quote from: UK
Baity, I'm not sure about but still lean scum on, and he's trying to WoT his way out.
...I thought I covered everything already? Rereading to see if I missed anything.

And there's probably something wrong with what I just wrote. Guess I'll have to double check that after coming back in a few moments.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 17, 2009, 05:28:42 AM
Before anyone asks, I am a fan of two lynches. At best, 3, but that's only if we have 3 solid cases by the end of today. However, 3 lynches does give the advantage that it will out any scum who try to ninjalynch someone, if they decide to try that, which will give us an easy target for D2.

Quote from: Roukanken
It's not waffling, it's pointing out that Baity's 'Maybe I want more votes, you reminded me of my role' could be a softclaim. Had anyone else mentioned that?
Yeah, seems like a pretty glaring softclaim to me. Seems that only you and KY picked up on it, though. I do have to wonder what BaitySM is thinking, though.

@Serp: Voting Affinity for an attempted bus by BaitySM only makes sense if BaitySM is necessarily scum

Pesco is being about as hateful as he was in the last game, and he was scum then. Need less fluff and more scumhunting. I love this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12869#msg12869) post, because it's so hypocritical that it's rather silly.

@KY: I'm still not seeing the Affinity case. What reasoning do you have that he is trying to "intimidate" BaitySM instead of simply genuinely believing that he may, in fact, be potentially scum?

@UK: This post is pure IIoA. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12930#msg12930) You've done a nice job summarizing the game, but there is no analysis in this post whatsoever. So what was the point of poasting it in the first place?

@Zakeri:
Quote from: Zakeri
The Aggressive nature is awkward, but what I see here is a complete flip from his actions in Workers Union. I'm not considering this the ultimate town tell for Pesco (I've put him lower than affinity) but it's enough for me to regard him as town sided.
Really? Because I'm seeing the same damn thing. Maybe he isn't pulling lyncher/lynchee arguments out of his arse, and maybe he isn't being a fluffypillowfactorypoaster, but on the other hand he's still trying to actively discredit Rou based off of...ad-hominem? and isn't doing much scumhunting otherwise.

Ultimately I'm pretty sure that KY is Town and that Serp is (ultimately misguided) Town. BaitySM I'm not too sure about at the moment, but I'm leaning Town based off the opinion that noobscum would likely not try to needlessly attract attention to themselves like this, nor would they make such silly and convoluted mistakes. Nevertheless, I am fine with him being one of today's lynches if no better targets can be found.

Edible and Kiro both need to exist and I want to hear their opinions on what has been happening lately. Especially Kiro's opinion. Affinity needs to elaborate. People need to post PbpA's that consider all players, not just the 5 active ones at the moment. I extremely dislike UK's method of posting which is very strongly IIoA. Finally, I'm not sure what to make of PesRou, though if any of them are scum, it's pesco.

Finally, my vote atm is best-served sitting on pesco:
##Vote: pesco47
Other than Rou, what are your opinions on other players? Which 3 are most likely to be scum and why?

Finally the remaining lurkers all need to exist. I dislike the fact that a lot of them (myself included!) have managed to slip under the radar for this long and I'm pretty sure that at least one of the lurkers is very likely to be scum atm.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 17, 2009, 05:48:12 AM
@KY: I'm still not seeing the Affinity case. What reasoning do you have that he is trying to "intimidate" BaitySM instead of simply genuinely believing that he may, in fact, be potentially scum?
It was really the best thing I had at the moment, before the Rou/Pesco stuff started popping up. I'll unvote if I find a better case after I reread, which will have to be tomorrow morning since I'm pretty tired right now.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Affinity on May 17, 2009, 05:50:07 AM
@Baity:

Quote
I have no evidence you're even scum to begin with.

Well, no that's not the point.  You said that you found me slightly scummy.  Why. 

Also, you don't seem to know who is scum at the moment, which is rather bad.  All your actions thus far, I would argue, have been purely defensive, which is rather bad as it entails that you don't know who the scum are.

---

@Serp:

Since your vote on me is dependent on Baity being scum, then why don't you vote him first?  I understand the sudden vote drop, but that is for Baity to explain and not me.

---

@Kanguya:

Quote
Otherwise, very nice.

Quote
You're looking slightly more scummy with the constant arguing but still probably town.

Quote
Your recent post is very good, would like to see more. Most likely town.

Quote
Like I said before, he could be intimidating baity in an attempt to make him more paranoid than he already is.

Quote
Very good points about Baity/Affinity. From what I've seen, probably town. Then again this is just from what I've seen on early day one.

##Unvote
##Vote: Kanguya

Horrible IIoA.  There is not the slightest backing behind any of your opinions which is really horrible and arbitary.  The only actual judgments you actually put forward are 'good' and 'bad', and 'switch Affinity with Rou', with nothing of contributory worth.  Smacks of active lurking, and of trying to get under the radar with half-hearted opinions such as the quotes above.  Not to mention handholding  and piggybacking of people such as Serp and Zak.  Also, I feel that Serp's point against me isn't that strong, and I don't see you pointing out it's exact merits.  Also note that word 'could' in the last quote, which smacks of fortune telling and WIFOM.

---

@pesco:

I agree with Rou on this issue.  You should answer directly to his argument about your method of attack instead of going off-tangent like this.  Also, a little tunnely, which I disapprove of.

---

@Roukanken:

I would consider that being reactionary to the extent of self-vote is scummy in itself.  The analysis in the case at that time (e.g reactionary self-vote) is really already implicit in the accusation since it occurs so commonly that I don't need to explciitly put it in.  I would say that it was also better than any other vote I could place, since he was the most scummy then.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 17, 2009, 06:37:33 AM
Quote
Really? Because I'm seeing the same damn thing. Maybe he isn't pulling lyncher/lynchee arguments out of his arse, and maybe he isn't being a fluffypillowfactorypoaster, but on the other hand he's still trying to actively discredit Rou based off of...ad-hominem?
I'll admit, I wasn't there until after Pesco was lynched, but It seems more than a few people are disputing the idea that Pesco has changed.

In any case, thanks to multi-track lynching, I have nothing against the votes on Pesco.

Quote
Ultimately I'm pretty sure that KY is Town and that Serp is (ultimately misguided) Town.
What has Serp done that you would feel has been wrong?

Quote
-Let random votes fly
-(somehow) generate discussion on D1

Both options were just as random as each other, in terms of the impact it would have on the game. It isn't hard to determine which option was chosen. I seem to have accidentally used the gambit without realizing it, it seems [as it is my first game here; I was unaware of the complications it causes].

We really need to put up a warning against self voting in all of these threads.

I always seem to have this problem of being completely and absolutely wrong in my analysis, so I'm going to go ahead and reread everything even though it's only page five.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 17, 2009, 06:39:58 AM
Edit: I have to wait until tomorrow. Apparently, the D&D game is up again, which means I only have 8 hours until it starts in the morning @_@;
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 17, 2009, 07:17:46 AM
What has Serp done that you would feel has been wrong?
In case my post didn't make it abundantly clear already, it was for voting Affinity due to an action BaitySM did when BaitySM's alignment is still not yet guaranteed to be scum.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kiro on May 17, 2009, 07:26:25 AM
Rou is way too easily goaded by Pesco and I can see Pesco do it to try to get a read on Rou. I'm reasonably sure Pesco has started most of his recent games with some sort of dig on Rou, but he's continued to press Rou a little harder this game. My interpretation of it actually leans more to Town Pesco than Scum Pesco right now.

I like Pesco's #86 on Rou for a few points: mainly the waffle on Baity being a power role which is like an indirect fish and Rou getting caught up over the details about dice. It's pretty pointless and Pesco only voted Baity at first because he felt like it (#41). Baity reacted strongly to it and his self vote can go either way (#44). The intricacies of the dice don't even begin until (#46-49). The problem now with Rou seems to be that he charges at Pesco for the stuff regarding #46-49 when Pesco didn't vote Baity specifically for that. Even if Pesco intentionally picked on the new guy, there's no guarantee he could have made anything out of it depending on Baity's reaction. In other words, I think Rou is tunneling and potential misrep more than Pesco.

As for Rou, I could see a Scum Rou trying to play victim to Pesco's bullying to get passed off as Town. The flipping the question around in #56 feels like a false scenario or something like that (probably didn't use the right words for it). Why are you trying to prove something in Baity's defense? I did not get good vibes with that post. Mentioning the softclaim like you say in #93 when it was that obvious is taboo in my book because it feels like fishing.

If you'd notice, I'm also relatively suspicious of Baity (as I've said previously). The point is that the reasons you're attacking him for are relatively poor (FPMH, dice hax...), and bad attacks are in my opinion worse than bad play since that's how scum get Townies lynched.

I actually did not catch any notion of this in any of your posts because the way you go after Pesco and ignore Baity after pointing out his softclaim makes me feel like you think he's a Town PR. See also "defense of Baity" point I made above. So if you are suspicious of Baity, how do you see this fitting in with your suspicions about Pesco being scum? Also, the reason you're seeing Pesco's case on Baity as a bad attack is because YOU are making it out to be as such. Pesco was making small talk to Baity after his self vote, but as far as I can see, Baity currently has the most votes and the reason is not because of dice, it's because of the self vote. So how is Pesco's attack particularly worse than any of the other Baity voters?

2. Attempt to fish out a few people (as a case; I have to start somewhere...).

Voting to improve my self-image? See above. And below, just below this.

Let me put it this way. I'd rather try to sacrifice myself to take out at least 1 scum by evidence, rather than rely on PR's. My self-voting is only temporary, and I will address the reasoning to my switch accordingly.

When you read those 3 sentences, you're saying it was to generate discussion, but there's still more to it and you'll explain when necessary? I think I will go out on a limb and say... explain it now. You're being way too coy about it, but let's face it, it's kind of the unspoken burning question several of us have at the moment. Be up front about what you're doing now so we can determine if you're not worth being one of the at least 2 people to be lynched today. Cuz you definitely are at the moment and it gives us time to regroup and pursue other avenues if needed.

Man, so out of this entire post, all I really got out of it is that I've got a bad feeling about Rou and Baity. I could flipflop on Rou and Pesco, but I'm getting a weird vibe from Rou more than Pesco, the latter whom is obnoxious only to Rou so the current hate for Pesco on that point seems a bit misguided imo. Other than that:

##Unvote Pesco47
##Vote Roukanken

And question to Pesco: please clarify your current stance on Baity given some of the recent developments. And let's say if you are confident about Baity being Scum and that enough other people are voting for Baity, who would you switch your vote to as the second lynch of Day 1?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kiro on May 17, 2009, 07:34:05 AM
Oh right, I'll check the thread again in the morning, then I'll be out all day again. Working on a class project.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 08:29:37 AM
Let me answer as best as I can here with my limited phone view.

@ UK: Which and why of Rou's points are the good ones and which ones are bad? Lay them out in chronological order for me, Rou should do it too (which ones are the good ones in his opinion).

@ Alice: You've already addressed UK's lack of content and lurkers. I find her post to KY about coaching quite silly as that's exactly what she's doing herself. Edible has pulled a clean fence sit with his post, also adding nothing to the pot. Baity and KY's responses have been all round unsatisfactory. KY doing a lot of piggybacking and no independent posting (i.e. without prompting). Baity lacking sensible replies. Mr Alert needs to post more than asking what FPMH is.

Lurkerscum would be Edible or Alert as of now. UK, KY and Baity are independently suspicious.

@ Affinity: I'll need to see Rou's points set out clearly to respond. They've been founded on the dice misrep as far as I can tell and I regard those as worthless.

Alice 128: Baity's alignment is pretty irrelevant to the conclusion you've drawn because I don't see much of a downside to scumAffinity's position there.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 08:56:18 AM
@Kiro: Stuff on Baity responded to in the above post.

For a second lynch, UK looks like a good avenue, outlined above.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 17, 2009, 08:59:26 AM
Pesco and Rou are way too loud and in each other's face over what seemed fairly trivial shit back on page 2. For extra points, Rou turned around and complained that nobody else was talking. That wasn't really true, it's just that the both of you are really overbearing.

Rou's barely addressed what was spoken by people other than Pesco and can't seem to keep a clear head. Complaining about the lack of anyone else... doesn't work for me when he buys so thoroughly into Pesco's snarkiness.

Pesco is unhappiness as well for joining in these excruciating rants. Baiting Rou is sort of uncool. Being generally snipy is sort of uncool. Acting the victim later is also pretty weird when his posts are so *obviously* meant to inflame.

UK talked up a big ol rambly post and then voted for Baity, resident dude who clearly isn't up to scratch with Mafia... OR IS HE, since he seems to know Fong's gambit exists and thus should really have known what a massive fucking waste of time it always is. Yeah I don't like him much either.

Anyone making statements to the effect of 'xyz is clearly town' has themselves clearly not played any game at all, ever, where scum has won. People making these statements themselves are universally bad to me (sup, KY, Edible).

<->

Serpentarius's comments on the fight between Rou and Pesco are, however, the biggest alarm I've got. He's sort of staying on the sidelines, injecting with vauge 'you're both being stupid' comments.

Quote from: Serp
None of the statements I haven't responded to seem unusually scummy to me, and I'm sure as heck not going to defend them in your place, so as far as I'm concerned, you two can just continue to go at each other.

Weirdest thing I've seen. Serp's vote on Affinity for something *Baity* did is already strange; compounding it with '...and you guys just keep fighting, I have no opinion' is equally bizzare. No comment on anything Affinity himself has actually said, either. Yeah, I'm not seeing why people are calling him protown.

##Vote: Serpentarius

<->

Misc. shit

@UK: Hey now I resent being told that gaming the setup's bad, it's won games in the past. Early day one, nothing else to do, at least it's something to talk about.

@Mod: I was voting for Alice, y'know. Since like page one.

@Everyone: Do people write these walls because they think they're obligated to, or because they don't realise how horribly painful they are to read? For god's sake, there's not even that much to talk about! >:(

<->

tl;dr voted Serp, don't like Rou/Pesco argument, don't like Baity, don't like people who are guessing who's town instead of who's scum.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 09:05:05 AM
Alright, some new posts to respond to, and a couple of hours of sleep to give me a fresh view on some re-reads.  Let me put together some impressions.

@Serp: Voting Affinity for an attempted bus by BaitySM only makes sense if BaitySM is necessarily scum

I don't think it's far-fetched.  If we find a reasonably plausible scenario that links two or three players as scum, I say we try to lynch them all.  Going after several unrelated suspected scum gives us the advantage that we clean up several leads at once, but going after a group of apparently coherent scum makes it a lot harder for any of them to escape a lynching, in case our suspicions are correct.  I favor the latter.

That said, I've been increasingly unsatisfied with my Affinity vote since I placed it, though your defense of him has been noted.  By keeping it, I was mostly just hoping to provoke an interesting response.

##Unvote

Quote from: Alice Margatroid
Finally the remaining lurkers all need to exist. I dislike the fact that a lot of them (myself included!) have managed to slip under the radar for this long and I'm pretty sure that at least one of the lurkers is very likely to be scum atm.

Agreed.  If some players continue to fail their existence checks, I'll be wanting to put some pressure on them.  Carthrat hasn't been saying enough for my liking (Ninja'd), and neither has Mr Alert.  Edible's posts haven't had much substance either.

Re-reading Baity, it still looks like a panicking newbie, and perhaps a bit more scummy than townie.  This issue's been beaten into the ground.  At the moment, I'd support a Baity lynch, if it came down to it.  He'll need to do some exceptionally good posting to get off my blacklist.

Re-reading Roukanken v. Pesco, it looks to me like Pesco is just being an ass.  Whether that's normal for him or not, I don't know, since I've only seen scum-Pesco in my history here.  Still, I've seen townie players use abrasiveness to great effect before, so I won't consider it a scumtell.  I still don't blame Roukanken for putting pressure on him, though.  Since we have the luxury of a multi-lynch, I won't object to a Pesco lynch, as long as no one else has become significantly more scummy by the deadline (lurkers, I'm looking at you).

Zakeri, UK, Kiro, and Alice all look more or less fine to me.  They all seem to be making an honest effort.

As for who else looks scummy right now, I'm tired of Kanguya Yaraisan humping my leg.  Only the scum know who's definitely townie, and objectively speaking, I don't see how I've done anything to warrant that kind of trust.

##Vote Kanguya Yaraisan
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 09:13:48 AM
ITT Carthrat hates everyone.What a narcissist.

Give a while to read Serp and Affinity in isolation.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 17, 2009, 09:13:58 AM
When you read those 3 sentences, you're saying it was to generate discussion, but there's still more to it and you'll explain when necessary? I think I will go out on a limb and say... explain it now. You're being way too coy about it, but let's face it, it's kind of the unspoken burning question several of us have at the moment. Be up front about what you're doing now so we can determine if you're not worth being one of the at least 2 people to be lynched today. Cuz you definitely are at the moment and it gives us time to regroup and pursue other avenues if needed.
Before I start, ##Unvote (seriously, I forgot about unvoting myself after my post in the morning).

What I am (trying) to do:

-Make myself look so much like scum, that you'll waver it off, because nobody plays like that... (save for me in this game, I hope) >_>
-From that, survive lynching round of D1 (very unlikely at this point).
-Survive N1.
-...(insert future plan here). Hopefully, I get to pull something out at this point.

To explain the first point, allow me to retaliate with, "Why would it be beneficial for a scum to put themselves upfront like this?" (i.e. why would a scum member make themselves look scummy?)

Surely, after reading my first point, it could make you pass off as a townie, but the fact that it didn't work as the majority have casted suspicion on me proves that this is arguably one of the stupidest things scum can do. Further, I can say with great confidence that (almost? Rou might've had the idea that I was.) nobody thought of this.

In short;

High-risk, low-reward if done by scum (you're probably better off shutting up and blending with the crowd)
High-risk, variable-reward if done by townie. Depends on what I can do if I survive.

Easy enough to comprehend? And with this, chances are if I survive D1, I'll die N1 now that I had to explain the entire strategy I have.


@Baity:

Well, no that's not the point.  You said that you found me slightly scummy.  Why. 

Also, you don't seem to know who is scum at the moment, which is rather bad.  All your actions thus far, I would argue, have been purely defensive, which is rather bad as it entails that you don't know who the scum are.
Keyword; slightly. Like 2%. (Very Weak) Reason?

Quote
Also, he seems to thinking that excluding one's self from the random dice roll is scummy (which it isn't), and that self-voting is actually townie (which it isn't); which hints at paranoia.  Being this early in the game, I don't think that's valid town-beaviour.
Categorizing behavior. Over the internet, it's quite easy to initially lie your way through. However, as the game goes on, it gets harder and harder to lie, as there is a greater amount of information you have to check over, using your lies to create other lies (or distorted truths, whatever you prefer). In short, I simply disagree to your justification that I was a non-townie at this point (i.e. the very start).

Oh, and I never even thought self-voting would be considered townie. I thought the exact opposite; it would make me look like scum (see: above for reason).


I'm still working on that scum-list (as per request by Alice).
Author's note: effing internet.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 17, 2009, 09:19:40 AM
What I am (trying) to do:

-Make myself look so much like scum, that you'll waver it off, because nobody plays like that... (save for me in this game, I hope) >_>
-From that, survive lynching round of D1 (very unlikely at this point).
-Survive N1.
-...(insert future plan here). Hopefully, I get to pull something out at this point.
First off, I doubt you'll ever manage to make yourself look as obvscum as wrathie >_>. That being said, how does this master plan of yours benefit Town? Your plans for survival make sense in this frame of logic, but if they're not coupled with active scumhunting, then what's the point?

Also:
Quote from: BaitySM
To explain the first point, allow me to retaliate with, "Why would it be beneficial for a scum to put themselves upfront like this?" (i.e. why would a scum member make themselves look scummy?)
WIFOM. Also I've seen this used to great effect by Kilga in Bamboo Forest Mafia once to secure a massive amount of mis-lynches in the next couple days. So...yeah.

Basically I want you to stop focussing so much on defending yourself and focus moar on finding (potential) scum. The best defence on D1 is a fakeclaim of doctoran offence on someone whom you think is scummier than you, and whom you also can convince others is scummier than you.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 09:24:50 AM
And to respond to Carthrat's accusation:

Serpentarius's comments on the fight between Rou and Pesco are, however, the biggest alarm I've got. He's sort of staying on the sidelines, injecting with vauge 'you're both being stupid' comments.

Quite the opposite.  My whole point is that neither of them seem really scummy to me, but I don't mind them squeezing each other and seeing if something scummy pops out.  They're both playing smart, as I see it.  At this stage in the game, you can agree with people's methods without agreeing with their votes.

Quote from: Carthrat
Weirdest thing I've seen. Serp's vote on Affinity for something *Baity* did is already strange; compounding it with '...and you guys just keep fighting, I have no opinion' is equally bizzare. No comment on anything Affinity himself has actually said, either. Yeah, I'm not seeing why people are calling him protown.

I think I explained my reasoning pretty well in the post you ninja'd.  If one being scum implies that the other is scum, I favor going after them both, since multi-lynch is an option.  That's why I placed the vote in the first place - I kept it 'cause Affinity hadn't shown up to defend himself yet. 

Quote from: Carthrat
@Everyone: Do people write these walls because they think they're obligated to, or because they don't realise how horribly painful they are to read? For god's sake, there's not even that much to talk about! >:(

When someone posts a wall of text, that makes something to talk about, leading to more walls of text, which lead to more stuff to talk about.  Apparently it's a self-reinforcing phenomenon.

Ninja'd again:

Quote from: Pesco47
ITT Carthrat hates everyone.What a narcissist.

That only counts as narcissism if love is a zero-sum game.

Quote from: BaitySM
To explain the first point, allow me to retaliate with, "Why would it be beneficial for a scum to put themselves upfront like this?" (i.e. why would a scum member make themselves look scummy?)

Surely, after reading my first point, it could make you pass off as a townie, but the fact that it didn't work as the majority have casted suspicion on me proves that this is arguably one of the stupidest things scum can do. Further, I can say with great confidence that (almost? Rou might've had the idea that I was.) nobody thought of this.

Uh, damn.  Do I really need to respond to this?  You really aren't helping your case, Baity.  Even aside from the fact that looking too scummy to lynch is a stupid tactic from a selfish perspective, you also end up screwing with the town and forcing them to spend half a day trying to figure out what the hell you're trying to do.  If you're actually town, you've basically made a gigantic diversion of yourself for the scum to hide behind.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 09:34:48 AM
Why is Alice handwaving bad play? Baity's post is just really...go die. It's not like expression in English is a problem for him. Moreover the WIFOM of his posts is best dispelled by removing the cause. He's staying as a lynch today.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 17, 2009, 09:39:29 AM
Everything Baity says is WIFOM wtfness. NOW he is acting like clueless scum more than clueless town, since as far as I can tell, voting yourself is a high-risk no-reward activity. At best... everyone ignores you forever. I'm sure we can strive for higher things that won't drive town into a fit come endgame.

Definate lynch candidate. Further explanation unecessary.

Serp: Affinity/Baity thing.. eh, I guess. I'm wondering what your present stance on 'the best two' is, right now. What two would you lynch if it's up to you?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 09:49:29 AM
Serp: Affinity/Baity thing.. eh, I guess. I'm wondering what your present stance on 'the best two' is, right now. What two would you lynch if it's up to you?

Right now?  BaitySadismMasochism and KY personal lubricant.  Despite what I said about maybe going for a triple lynch earlier, I feel strongly enough about those two that I'd favor putting six votes on each, if it were up to me.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 17, 2009, 11:24:08 AM
Alright, massive WoT incoming. Will summarise my points in a tl;dr EBWOP afterwards for all you lazy bastards who won't bother reading this.

KY, give us more hunting rather than telling us who looks Town please. In particular:
Quote from: KY
Serpentarius- Undoubtably town. Great scumhunting and nothing remotely fishy.
What exactly is this? I've already brought up the whole 'Hey, neither of you look particuarly town/scum, so instead of contributing I'll just let you blab about each other' point, so saying there's 'nothing remotely fishy' is sort of jumping to a conclusion.

Quote from: Edible
Gut says both pesco and Rou are scum.  This play off of each other seems forced; I'm not feeling town bouncing off of town here.

I'd place Serp and Carth as working for the good of town.  Baity reminds me of Sol in 9squad, newbie who bit off more than he could chew.

UK is actually paying attention this game.  KY is trying harder than usual.  Kiro and Alice, uh... well, they exist?
Thanks for all the reasoning you've supplied for your suspicions, Edible.

Quote from: Zakeri
I will admit it's occurred to me that Affinity hadn't done anything more than provide a generic opinion behind a vote, but he's provided that much at least. We should waiting to see that Beilos flips town before holding it against him since if Beilos is scum it becomes a moot point.
So making a poor case is okay if it lynches scum? Whatever happened to bussing?

Quote from: Serpentarius
I don't think it's a distraction.  The chance might be the same or better if you were to start picking someone else apart (which is precisely what you're aiming to do now, right?), or it could be worse.  Do I think you and Pesco are worth suspicion?  Absolutely, but just not really any more than anyone else at the moment, and neither more than the other.
Here's what gets me - you manage to say that I'm both suspicious and not suspicious.
And are you honestly saying that there's no-one else you'd rather question and thus you're going to sit and watch two players give arguments that don't convince you? That's, at best, sheer laziness.

Quote from: UncertainKitten
Rou, you are going to lose on the vote reason. The d12 thing was added later from what I read. I also don't think point by point will get anywhere. Probably both of you should organize defenses/attacks and take them as a whole. Because some of your scumtells are basically junk (such as the one I mentioned), while there appear to be a couple good ones hidden amongst them
I never claimed he voted Baity based on 2d6, I got mad at him when he pointed it out later. Why does a point have to be presented at the start of the case to be flawed?

Quote
Rou, I wouldn't have entertained that either. If he wins because he was lynched, it would be bullshit anyway and since most of the time a jester is just RFG'd, I'd just say "Good job winning with a bullshit role. Let's play mafia now"
If the typical 'no roles with lynch as win condition' rule was there I'd have given it no further thought, but it was conspicuously missing so I panicked. I apologise.

Quote from: BaitySM
Fong's Gambit is too popular (well-known) to be used effectively. The options that occurred to me at the start were:

-Let random votes fly
-(somehow) generate discussion on D1

Both options were just as random as each other, in terms of the impact it would have on the game. It isn't hard to determine which option was chosen. I seem to have accidentally used the gambit without realizing it, it seems [as it is my first game here; I was unaware of the complications it causes].
You know, there are better ways to generate discussion than self-voting, such as, say, developing a genuine case against another player rather than a jokevote. >_>
And if it wasn't intended as Fong's Gambit, what exactly was it meant to do?

Quote from: Affinity
I would consider that being reactionary to the extent of self-vote is scummy in itself.  The analysis in the case at that time (e.g reactionary self-vote) is really already implicit in the accusation since it occurs so commonly that I don't need to explciitly put it in.  I would say that it was also better than any other vote I could place, since he was the most scummy then.
So there was nothing new to talk about, no original analysis to produce? It's just a clear-cut 'Selfvote obvscum see you on D2'?

Quote from: Kiro
The problem now with Rou seems to be that he charges at Pesco for the stuff regarding #46-49 when Pesco didn't vote Baity specifically for that.
FPMH is an initial suspicion which either stays or goes based on later posts. He KEPT IT ON based on the dice and the self-vote.

Quote from: Kiro
The flipping the question around in #56 feels like a false scenario or something like that (probably didn't use the right words for it). Why are you trying to prove something in Baity's defense? I did not get good vibes with that post.
I don't even understand this point. Pesco's argument for Baity being scum was that claiming he rolled 2d6 and then selfvoting was all part of some master plan. I asked him to give one possible legitimate example to prove he wasn't BSing and he failed to provide.

Quote from: Kiro
I actually did not catch any notion of this in any of your posts because the way you go after Pesco and ignore Baity after pointing out his softclaim makes me feel like you think he's a Town PR. See also "defense of Baity" point I made above. So if you are suspicious of Baity, how do you see this fitting in with your suspicions about Pesco being scum?
Quick bus to make Pesco look good and stop him from being the classical MotK policy lynch.
I'd have been able to be more verbal about my suspicions of Baity had he actually SAID SOMETHING USEFUL.

Quote from: Pesco47
I'll need to see Rou's points set out clearly to respond. They've been founded on the dice misrep as far as I can tell and I regard those as worthless.
THIS IS NOT MISREP. It's not as if I'm claiming you said something you didn't, and while it may not have been your initial reasoning for voting Baity it was easily your weakest reason.

Quote from: Carthrat
Rou's barely addressed what was spoken by people other than Pesco and can't seem to keep a clear head. Complaining about the lack of anyone else... doesn't work for me when he buys so thoroughly into Pesco's snarkiness.
Forgive me for finding it annoying when people have no objection to Pesco's ad-hominem attacks on me. Seriously, he's MotK's resident Draco in Leather Pants. (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/DracoInLeatherPants)

Quote from: Serpentarius
I don't think it's far-fetched.  If we find a reasonably plausible scenario that links two or three players as scum, I say we try to lynch them all.  Going after several unrelated suspected scum gives us the advantage that we clean up several leads at once, but going after a group of apparently coherent scum makes it a lot harder for any of them to escape a lynching, in case our suspicions are correct.  I favor the latter.
But if our suspicions of said group are wrong, there's a good chance we'll lynch nothing but Townies.
And if we can make several of these plausible scenarios and lynch one player from each, that cuts down our suspicions considerably. Putting all our eggs in one basket is insanely risky.

Quote from: Serp
Re-reading Roukanken v. Pesco, it looks to me like Pesco is just being an ass.  Whether that's normal for him or not, I don't know, since I've only seen scum-Pesco in my history here.  Still, I've seen townie players use abrasiveness to great effect before, so I won't consider it a scumtell.
Do you see ANYTHING as a scumtell? I find it hard to believe that you honestly don't see anything as worth commenting on in this argument for one side or the other.

Quote from: BaitySM
-Make myself look so much like scum, that you'll waver it off, because nobody plays like that... (save for me in this game, I hope) >_>
Isn't this the inverted Too Townie fallacy? "You're so scummy, you must be Town?"
Seriously, deliberately acting scummy is HORRENDOUS Town play. Colour me severely unconvinced.

Quote from: BaitySM
Surely, after reading my first point, it could make you pass off as a townie, but the fact that it didn't work as the majority have casted suspicion on me proves that this is arguably one of the stupidest things scum can do. Further, I can say with great confidence that (almost? Rou might've had the idea that I was.) nobody thought of this.
Baity, as much as I hate to break it to you Stupid Scum =/= Smart Town. Sometimes it's just Stupid Scum.

Quote from: Serpentarius
Quite the opposite.  My whole point is that neither of them seem really scummy to me, but I don't mind them squeezing each other and seeing if something scummy pops out.  They're both playing smart, as I see it.  At this stage in the game, you can agree with people's methods without agreeing with their votes.
Serp, I find your lack of an actual opinion annoying. You have your own suspects for scum, correct? If so, fight about them, argue your side of the debate. Don't sit back and let other people do the work for you - scumhunt, dammit.

Quote from: Serp
I think I explained my reasoning pretty well in the post you ninja'd.  If one being scum implies that the other is scum, I favor going after them both, since multi-lynch is an option.  That's why I placed the vote in the first place - I kept it 'cause Affinity hadn't shown up to defend himself yet.
Where, anywhere in that post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13026#msg13026), did you raise this idea? Are you trying to say that we're either both scum or neither scum now? Honestly, why is wringing an opinion out of you so hard?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 17, 2009, 11:24:22 AM
tl;dr:

Pesco is being irritating and is using the attack from me as an excuse to not scumhunt. I admit after a good night's sleep that I spent too much time arguing with him to look at the occasional posts from other players, but I'm still not convinced that he's town. First and foremost, I want him to scumhunt like a good little Townie.

Baity is a horrible case. Your self-vote is an enormous WIFOM, and you haven't actually done any hunting because you've spent all your time defending yourself. Definite lynch today.

Serp is being as neutral as Switzerland, and that infuriates me. Leaving an argument to boil over without supplying any sort of opinion means you effectively leave finding the scum to other players, which is bad Town play.

KY is also pretty horrible for spending more of his limited time clearing people than accusing them. His complete clear of Serp annoys me, along with his earlier paradox (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12923#msg12923) in that he was fine with Serp not having an opinion on Pesco/Me but suspected Pesco. What?

Edible reminds me of why I always did so badly in my English essays at school - I'd say 'this poem makes us feel X, Y and Z' without really explaining why. That's exactly what Edible's doing here - 'I suspect X, Y and Z' with no evidence. Want to see something useful from him, preferably in the next 24 hours.

Alert needs to exist, full stop.

UK:
Quote
I've read a lot of the rest of what's been posted, but haven't found much to comment on. My brain is a little fried anyway.
T_T

Zakeri:
Quote
I always seem to have this problem of being completely and absolutely wrong in my analysis, so I'm going to go ahead and reread everything even though it's only page five.
Why are you outright saying 'I might be wrong with this'? It feels like giving yourself an escape route if you get proven wrong.

Alice needs to say more, as always. In particular, why the clear of Baity? Noobscum are basically easy to catch because they, you know, act like scum.

A point that no-one's raised so far - in Kiro's latest (and at this point, only) WoT he mentions me, Pesco and Baity. Nothing about the other 9 players. He mentioned KY once in his other post in the game so far, but that's it. I remember him being a lot more open in Worker's Union, and so some opinions on the remainder of the players would be appreciated.

Affinity has picked up a little by giving a case on KY, so I'm not as suspicious of him as I was before.

Baity is the most obvious lynch right now. Acceptable second place targets are Pesco, Serp, KY and possibly Edible if he doesn't pick up.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 17, 2009, 11:27:58 AM
The author of this post would like to rant that their internet has disconnected 4 times while gathering evidence.
Also:WIFOM. Also I've seen this used to great effect by Kilga in Bamboo Forest Mafia once to secure a massive amount of mis-lynches in the next couple days. So...yeah.
Unfortunately, I've had no history of Mafia games here, so there's no way I would know that Kilga used it.

Uh, damn.  Do I really need to respond to this?
Don't respond to it.

Quote from: Serpentarius
You really aren't helping your case, Baity.  Even aside from the fact that looking too scummy to lynch is a stupid tactic from a selfish perspective, you also end up screwing with the town and forcing them to spend half a day trying to figure out what the hell you're trying to do.  If you're actually town, you've basically made a gigantic diversion of yourself for the scum to hide behind.
Yeah, I apologize for coming out with this a bit late. I had other matters to attend to, followed by a combination of mass + dinner.


---
WoT WARNING

Moving on, (expect repeated information to occur; I will try not to recite any other opinions that others have given, but it's expected to happen knowing me)

pesco accuses me of protecting Edible from the exclusion of my random selection;
Quote from: pesco47
Rolling a d12 compared to rolling 2d6 is the range of 1-12 and 2-12. You were excluding 2 players.
in an attempt to make me look more scummier than what I need to already be (in other words, using me as the diversion for himself). Though it could be play from either side of town, or scum knowing that I'm town and getting a free lynch.

Then denies it has anything to do with the claim of protection;
Quote from: pesco47
Read his post, he excluded himself and player 1, which means it's 2 players. More importantly, it's got nothing to do with why he's getting voted now.
The reason was assumed still FPMH. However, as the worst-case scenario appeared, more garbage posts came out. The result? Diversion from himself, attention towards me.

Also,
Quote from: Pesco47
Why would scum vote themselves? Because you would give them a free pass for it.
Note: I have no idea about who does what in each Mafia game. i.e. false accusation. Remember that I stated:
Might as well try something new. I've watched quite a few games before (on other forums and whatnot).
I also have not watched any games here.

Encourages 2nd option for lynch, probably thinking that there's enough dirt on me (i.e. opting for a multi-lynch for maximum effect):
Quote from: pesco47
Umm... You kinda do have to vote for us to take you for being remotely interested in the going ons of the day.

Even if you have nothing to say about Baity or Affinity, there are 10 players that you can talk about. People that you can definitely say stuff on: Carthrat, me, Rou, Serp and maybe Kiro.

*KY's post regarding my situation, and give or take a bit of content*
Quote from: pesco47
Things have developed since this post. What's your reads now?
Further pushing.

Quote from: pesco47
For a second lynch, UK looks like a good avenue, outlined above.
You might as well be going for a "lynch everybody". Like so:
Quote from: pesco47
Lurkerscum would be Edible or Alert as of now. UK, KY and Baity are independently suspicious.

And of course...,

-KY votes Affinity-
Quote from: pesco47
You can do better than that. Put some backbone into it.
Hmm... cover-up? This would be the only evidence (as of now) that Affinity is affiliated with pesco. However, I believe it to be attempting to redirect the vote to a more "convenient place", again going for a solid multi-lynch.

Yes, some parts are a bit "flawed", but that doesn't change the fact that he still manipulated (almost) everything (subtle or not) to his favor. And lying through one point.

##Vote pesco47

...
Oh joy, a WoT to read through.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 17, 2009, 12:19:32 PM
EBWOP:

Quote
You know, there are better ways to generate discussion than self-voting, such as, say, developing a genuine case against another player rather than a jokevote. >_>
And if it wasn't intended as Fong's Gambit, what exactly was it meant to do?
Mainly:
1. No Lynch is not an option (in this world). The fact that I can't trust my internet connection also adds to this.
At the point-in-time, there was essentially no case to work with.

2. Attempt to fish out a few people (as a case; I have to start somewhere...)
On the side, it was an unintentional (misinterpreted?) Gambit. While it might have seemed that I was after people who would vote for me after, it was actually directed at pesco.
Quote
Your self-voting biases me to assume the worst about you (i.e. Wrathie, he's a policy vig)
From that single line, I can only assume Wrathie... did something "unique"? Regardless, keyword in bold.
*insert easy target here*

...I'd read through the rest of it, but I need my sleep. Early lecture tomorrow. I'll probably add to this argument too, but I feel this needs to be put down now.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 17, 2009, 12:41:52 PM
Baity, I don't like how you're using 'it's my first time playing here' as your universal excuse for everything. You've said that you've played a few games elsewhere, so it should've been obvious from that that self-voting does little other than make yourself look worse. Surely that sort of response isn't player-specific?

This attack on Pesco feels sort of meh. Firstly this info's been out for a while, so only producing the attack NOW is iffy. Secondly, the whole thing seems to run off the assumption that Pesco is scum - instead of finding evidence and coming to a conclusion, you're coming to a conclusion and then looking for evidence to support it.

Quote from: BaitySM
From that single line, I can only assume Wrathie... did something "unique"?
Wrathie is a...strange player. English isn't his first language and so he makes some glaring errors there, and he's been known as being obvscum in almost every game he's played. Even when he's Town. He's also the only person I've ever seen self-vote during LYLO. >_>

Baity, a question for when you get back - who are your current suspects besides Pesco?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 01:06:32 PM
Here's what gets me - you manage to say that I'm both suspicious and not suspicious.
And are you honestly saying that there's no-one else you'd rather question and thus you're going to sit and watch two players give arguments that don't convince you? That's, at best, sheer laziness.

I'm saying that you're middling in suspicion.  That's not a contradiction.  And there are people I'd rather question.  That's why I'm questioning them.  Your scumhunting is your own business, especially this early in the game.  The more that people are forced to defend themselves, the more useful posts we have to sift through later in the game.  The deadline is approaching, but as I said, I wouldn't mind a Pesco lynch too much.  He's not done a whole lot to look like a good townie, and we have at least two lynches to distribute today.

Quote from: Roukanken
But if our suspicions of said group are wrong, there's a good chance we'll lynch nothing but Townies.
And if we can make several of these plausible scenarios and lynch one player from each, that cuts down our suspicions considerably. Putting all our eggs in one basket is insanely risky.

I'm just wary of either scum or clueless townie derailing the vote at the last moment and sending us on a wild goose chase for the next few days.  If we put all of the alleged conspirators on the line at once, we're likely to get at least one of them, no matter what crazy unexpected stuff happens as the deadline approaches.

Quote from: Roukanken
Do you see ANYTHING as a scumtell? I find it hard to believe that you honestly don't see anything as worth commenting on in this argument for one side or the other.

I've commented on it.  You're pressing Pesco, which is good, but your arguments about his supposed scumtells so far haven't convinced me.  I don't see anything suspicious in what he's said, and I don't see anything suspicious about you forcing him to defend himself.  Your argument with Pesco is about Pesco himself, and I've let you know what I feel about him - neutral, which is to say I don't favor lynching him over anyone else, and I don't favor saving him over anyone else.

As to how I feel about you, I suppose I can elaborate more there.  I'd say that you look the most pro-town so far, for making an effort to keep everyone on their toes at the very least, if not for the fact that you seem to be tunneling a bit.  I don't see evidence for Pesco one way or the other, and the evidence on you is conflicting, so I'm witholding judgement.

Quote from: Roukanken
Serp, I find your lack of an actual opinion annoying. You have your own suspects for scum, correct? If so, fight about them, argue your side of the debate. Don't sit back and let other people do the work for you - scumhunt, dammit.
What do you think I've been doing?  My case against Affinity wasn't strong, I know, but it was the best angle I saw at the time.  Now I'm pressing Kanguya.  You're lucky in that your scumhunting target has cooperated nicely with walls of text for you to reply to.  The Affinity case didn't go anywhere, and Kanguya hasn't been online to respond to his yet.
Quote from: Roukanken
Where, anywhere in that post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13026#msg13026), did you raise this idea? Are you trying to say that we're either both scum or neither scum now? Honestly, why is wringing an opinion out of you so hard?

By "the post [Carthrat] ninja'd," I wasn't referring to that post, which was on an entirely different page, but to this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13166#msg13166) one, and the two people I was referring to going after were Affinity and Baity, not you and Pesco.  I'm not sure where you got that idea.

I've made my opinion on Pesco clear from the beginning.  I don't find your case on him compelling, but I don't find his defense compelling either.  We need to lynch someone, and the more the better, and I have no reason to suspect him of being more townie than anyone else, so if he gets lynched, I won't mind, but if he doesn't get lynched, I won't mind then either.

Quote from: Roukanken
Serp is being as neutral as Switzerland, and that infuriates me. Leaving an argument to boil over without supplying any sort of opinion means you effectively leave finding the scum to other players, which is bad Town play.

What's wrong with being neutral in this regard?  It's a perfectly valid point of view to hold two or more players as equally scummy, and be indifferent as to which of them gets lynched, as long as one of them does get lynched.  As to leaving scumhunting to other players, I'm doing scumhunting of my own, too.  I'm not going after the same player you are, but I am hunting.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 17, 2009, 01:40:01 PM
I'm saying that you're middling in suspicion.  That's not a contradiction.
But you say later in this post that you're neutral on Pesco, and reading me as Town. 'Neutral' and 'Middling in suspicion' aren't the same thing.

Quote
I'm just wary of either scum or clueless townie derailing the vote at the last moment and sending us on a wild goose chase for the next few days.  If we put all of the alleged conspirators on the line at once, we're likely to get at least one of them, no matter what crazy unexpected stuff happens as the deadline approaches.
How could Town screw it up if we set up 6/6 at deadline? I don't honestly think anyone would be willing to take that risk unless they were two scum jumping to save themselves, in which case we have easy suspects on later days.

Quote
I've commented on it.  You're pressing Pesco, which is good, but your arguments about his supposed scumtells so far haven't convinced me.  I don't see anything suspicious in what he's said, and I don't see anything suspicious about you forcing him to defend himself.  Your argument with Pesco is about Pesco himself, and I've let you know what I feel about him - neutral, which is to say I don't favor lynching him over anyone else, and I don't favor saving him over anyone else.
If I'm attacking him without reason, like you say I am, surely that should be a point against me. But you ignore it since apparently baseless attacks are okay on D1? :|

Quote
As to how I feel about you, I suppose I can elaborate more there.  I'd say that you look the most pro-town so far, for making an effort to keep everyone on their toes at the very least, if not for the fact that you seem to be tunneling a bit.  I don't see evidence for Pesco one way or the other, and the evidence on you is conflicting, so I'm witholding judgement.
Here it is again - you say 'You look the most pro-town' and then say 'I'm withholding judgement'. If you say I look pro-town, doesn't that basically mean you disagree with the case against me?

Quote
What do you think I've been doing?  My case against Affinity wasn't strong, I know, but it was the best angle I saw at the time.  Now I'm pressing Kanguya.  You're lucky in that your scumhunting target has cooperated nicely with walls of text for you to reply to.  The Affinity case didn't go anywhere, and Kanguya hasn't been online to respond to his yet.
I will concede this point to you. KY, hurry up and saying something useful.

Quote
By "the post [Carthrat] ninja'd," I wasn't referring to that post, which was on an entirely different page, but to this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13166#msg13166) one, and the two people I was referring to going after were Affinity and Baity, not you and Pesco.  I'm not sure where you got that idea.
I thought that when Carth was talking about your neutrality in the Pesco/Me debate, the post you referred to in reply was about said debate. I apologise.

Quote
I've made my opinion on Pesco clear from the beginning.  I don't find your case on him compelling, but I don't find his defense compelling either.  We need to lynch someone, and the more the better, and I have no reason to suspect him of being more townie than anyone else, so if he gets lynched, I won't mind, but if he doesn't get lynched, I won't mind then either.
You don't have a reason to suspect him, but you don't have a reason to trust him. Whatever happened to Innocent Until Proven Guilty, ye of the Shikieiki avatar?

Quote
What's wrong with being neutral in this regard?  It's a perfectly valid point of view to hold two or more players as equally scummy, and be indifferent as to which of them gets lynched, as long as one of them does get lynched.  As to leaving scumhunting to other players, I'm doing scumhunting of my own, too.  I'm not going after the same player you are, but I am hunting.
The point I'm trying to make here is that claiming neutrality is an easy way for scum to comment without needing to choose a side. I think this should be particularly noteworthy if Pesco flips Town, since it could be Serp trying to avoid connection to a Town/Town fight.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 17, 2009, 02:17:52 PM
Okay, I'm up now. Before I reread I guess I have some things to address.

Quote from: Affinity
Horrible IIoA.  There is not the slightest backing behind any of your opinions which is really horrible and arbitrary.  The only actual judgments you actually put forward are 'good' and 'bad', and 'switch Affinity with Rou', with nothing of contributory worth.  Smacks of active lurking, and of trying to get under the radar with half-hearted opinions such as the quotes above.  Not to mention handholding  and piggybacking of people such as Serp and Zak.  Also, I feel that Serp's point against me isn't that strong, and I don't see you pointing out it's exact merits.  Also note that word 'could' in the last quote, which smacks of fortune telling and WIFOM.
Well, okay. There's not really anything I can do to answer this other than that I agreed with their points, perhaps I agreed with them too much? I'm not confident in my opinions but if I really look that bad then I suppose I must get them out there instead of mindlessly agreeing with others who DO have valid points. I guess that agreeing and then doing nothing else was a horrible error on my part and there's nothing I can change now other than avoiding it in the future.

Quote from: Serp
As for who else looks scummy right now, I'm tired of Kanguya Yaraisan humping my leg.  Only the scum know who's definitely townie, and objectively speaking, I don't see how I've done anything to warrant that kind of trust.
You did indeed, look the most townie at the time that I posted that, however new developments may cause me to think otherwise. Once again, next time I do an analysis (probably very soon) I will not explain why someone looks town to me and/or just avoid them all together.

Also, before I reread...

##Unvote since there have been plenty of new developments and the shitty case I had on affinity wouldn't cut it especially since like he said, it reeked of WIFOM and fortune telling. It was just the only thing that really happened besides the Baity stuff, as I formulated the er..."case" before Pesco and Rou starting arguing.

So please pardon me for a moment while I reread the topic.

Cut by Rou:
Quote from: Rou
KY, hurry up and saying something useful.
I'm going to (attempt to) do that in my next post. I'll see what I can come up with.

Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 17, 2009, 02:20:14 PM
It's very hard for me to look at Rou's response to Serp and disagree... mostly.

In particular I'll bring up that he's happy enough to lynch Pesco, or so he said earlier, but that guy wasn't on his prime suspect list, and in general he's just claimed neutrality over the whole R/P thing. It's not pro-town to sit back and refuse to push your superior case. It's very pro-scum to let lynches just slide through, if possible. I don't like how we've gone from 'it's fine for them to squeeze each other' to 'eh, let 'em die we've got spare lynches'. That's not the point of spare lynches. >_>

But. BUT.

Quote from: Rou
The point I'm trying to make here is that claiming neutrality is an easy way for scum to comment without needing to choose a side. I think this should be particularly noteworthy if Pesco flips Town, since it could be Serp trying to avoid connection to a Town/Town fight.

But this is alarming; 'if x = town lynch y' generally is, particularly in day one. I would call Serp as scummier than Pesco on the strength of his neutrality (what a weird turn of phrase). I'm presuming you think Serp's not as good a lynch as Pesco, Rou, owing to your vote and earlier statements. Why? And why shove this predictated logic in there, too?

Serp/Baity is my pair at present.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 02:22:21 PM
Quote from: Roukanken
How could Town screw it up if we set up 6/6 at deadline? I don't honestly think anyone would be willing to take that risk unless they were two scum jumping to save themselves, in which case we have easy suspects on later days.

First, I think we'd screw it up by not even getting to 6/6 due to disagreements within the town, and second, I think that some townie could then screw it up by making it look like scum were jumping to save themselves, just out of pure cluelessness.  With the panicked roleclaims and wild vote-flipping that we're likely to see as the deadline approaches, I want to make this go as smoothly as possible.  Granted, this only applies in the first place if we're given a choice between lynching two individually scummy people and two people who would make sense as scum working together, which doesn't really look to be the case at the moment, as I've admitted that my case for AffinaitySM (http://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/PortmanteauCoupleName) was kind of crappy, so I'm willing to concede that it's a moot point.

Quote from: Roukanken
If I'm attacking him without reason, like you say I am, surely that should be a point against me. But you ignore it since apparently baseless attacks are okay on D1? :|

It looks sincere from here, even if I don't agree.

But you say later in this post that you're neutral on Pesco, and reading me as Town. 'Neutral' and 'Middling in suspicion' aren't the same thing.
Quote from: Roukanken
Here it is again - you say 'You look the most pro-town' and then say 'I'm withholding judgement'. If you say I look pro-town, doesn't that basically mean you disagree with the case against me?

My bad.  The sentence was meant to be read like this:

Quote from: Serpentarius
I'd say that you look the most pro-town so far [blah blah blah] if not for the fact that you seem to be tunneling a bit.

I've been reading Kant for the past few days, so give me a pass on my rambling sentences with unclear subject-object relations.

Quote from: Roukanken
You don't have a reason to suspect him, but you don't have a reason to trust him. Whatever happened to Innocent Until Proven Guilty, ye of the Shikieiki avatar?

Bah, this is Mafia.  Send 'em all to Sikieiki, and let her sort them out.  Of course, Komachi might throw Baity overboard for his self-vote.

Quote from: Roukanken
The point I'm trying to make here is that claiming neutrality is an easy way for scum to comment without needing to choose a side. I think this should be particularly noteworthy if Pesco flips Town, since it could be Serp trying to avoid connection to a Town/Town fight.

I won't disagree with you that this sort of thing can be a scumtell, but the simple fact is that your argument against Pesco just doesn't convince me.  I'm only willing to lynch him if no better options come up.  I have two picks at the moment, and a third isn't inconceivable, so Pesco is still an option, but no more, as far as I'm concerned.

Ninja'd by KY and Carthrat.  I'll get to them after I eat.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 02:57:55 PM
Alright, waiting on KY to post something substantial before replying to him.

In particular I'll bring up that he's happy enough to lynch Pesco, or so he said earlier, but that guy wasn't on his prime suspect list, and in general he's just claimed neutrality over the whole R/P thing. It's not pro-town to sit back and refuse to push your superior case. It's very pro-scum to let lynches just slide through, if possible. I don't like how we've gone from 'it's fine for them to squeeze each other' to 'eh, let 'em die we've got spare lynches'. That's not the point of spare lynches. >_>

Well, unless you want me to post every ten minutes with "Hey guys, I still think KY is scummy," there's not a whole lot of superior-case-pressing I can do.  One has to wait for one's opponent to post before one posts one's own rebuttal.  Speaking of which:

Quote from: Carthrat
Serp/Baity is my pair at present.

You still haven't responded at all to this (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13172#msg13172) post beyond an "eh, I guess."  If you think my defense is unsuitable, why not tell us what you consider unconvincing?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 17, 2009, 03:10:09 PM
Vote count:

pesco47 (4): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius, Kiro
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (2): Mr. Alert, Carthrat
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri

pesco47 is at L-4.
BaitySM is at L-5,

Not voting: Kanguya Yaraisan

36 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 17, 2009, 03:21:22 PM
Serp: Don't really care about the Affinity thing anymore. Times changed.

Do care about how on the PvR thing, you've gone from 'it's okay to sit on the sidelines, and neither of them look scummy', to 'sorry, rou, but I'm staunchly neutral on you vs. P' to 'but it's okay to lynch pesco, I guess, no problems' despite apparently having serious issues with other people.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 03:46:05 PM
Do care about how on the PvR thing, you've gone from 'it's okay to sit on the sidelines, and neither of them look scummy', to 'sorry, rou, but I'm staunchly neutral on you vs. P' to 'but it's okay to lynch pesco, I guess, no problems' despite apparently having serious issues with other people.

What issues with what people?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 17, 2009, 05:10:00 PM

Page 1-2 is just setup stuff and Baity stuff. There's honestly nothing I have to say here. :|

On to page 3!

Quote from: Baity
And if you don't believe what I'm saying now (and that I'm protecting Edible for instance), check the signup thread. Now check the start of this thread.
...what? You're protecting edible?

Quote from: Baity
-Make myself look so much like scum, that you'll waver it off, because nobody plays like that... (save for me in this game, I hope) >_>
-From that, survive lynching round of D1 (very unlikely at this point).
-Survive N1.
-...(insert future plan here). Hopefully, I get to pull something out at this point.
Or perhaps act so much like scum that you try to convince town that you're not scum, if you are. The "nobody plays like that" comment is basically saying that "I'm not scum since I'm playing so badly." This is honestly a pretty dumb gambit, especially so early in the game when you had NO suspicion on you whatsoever. It could indicate paranoid newbscum. Note the COULD.
Quote from: Baity
suspicion on me proves that this is arguably one of the stupidest things scum can do
So that automatically means good playing town instead of inexperienced newbscum?

Quote from: Baity
High-risk, low-reward if done by scum (you're probably better off shutting up and blending with the crowd)
High-risk, variable-reward if done by townie. Depends on what I can do if I survive.
You were trying extremely hard to convince everyone else that you're town from the very beginning of the game! That's quite scummy, IMO.

So for Baity, it seems you're trying to WIFOM the town into believing that you're Too Scum to be scum. If you haven't noticed, that didn't work in your favor.

Another stupid theory of mine is that you could be purposely making a scene so that others could concentrate on you instead of scumhunting. It makes about as much sense as your Too Scum gambit thing.

So basically, ##Vote: BaitySM for the reasons stated above, and the reasons that other people stated. In short, he tried to outWIFOM the town and failed miserably.



I guess that's good for a start. I got dragged away from my computer a lot for various reasons so this post wasn't as substantial as I wanted it to be.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 17, 2009, 05:41:33 PM
Quote from: a few people
WHERE IS EDIBLE ARGH[/b]

I'm rarely around much on Friday/Saturday EST.  I'll run some analysis once I'm at work and not busy.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 17, 2009, 05:44:17 PM
EBWOP:

Wow, that was a gigantic ball of failure.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kiro on May 17, 2009, 06:12:36 PM
Pesco: So what's your opinion on Rou? You've gone on him for all this time and in the end, you'd go for UK as your second lynch? Is Rou Town in your eyes given you've spent the most time writing affectionate poems talking about him today? Also, you seem rather apathetic about that secondary lynch target. Hrm. You definitely could try harder on that point.

Baity has been addressed by others and with your explanation of "So Scummy That He Must Be Town" being your primary defense, we can't really take that chance if that was your intended strategy from the start. That completely overrides any Townie motivation to do such a thing meaning it's either a really delusional course of action for a possibly lazy Townie or Scum strategy.

Regarding Serpentarius, I don't think it's his job to break up the arguing between Pesco and Rou. He had his focus on Affinity and Baity at the time so he actually pushed their argument into a corner from what I read and observed it while waiting for Affinity. The only reason he seems to be suspicious is because he acknowledged not bothering to stop it and I find it ironic that Rou was the first one to say this when it should be obvious from Rou's point of view that he had more control over stopping his own argument with Pesco than Serpentarius would. So why is Serpentarius getting extra heat for it when pretty much nobody else told Pesco or Rou to drop it? However, I don't think it's that bad of a case mainly due to Carthrat's recent question. I would also like to hear Serp's response regarding that subtle attitude change that Carthrat pointed out.

Rou: I will disagree with you that Pesco kept his FPMH on Baity for "both" the dice and the self-vote. Pesco is not dumb. I am certain he was talking about dice just to get reactions out of Baity and Baity provided them. And tell me what's wrong with keeping the vote on Baity after all that? It is Baity's own actions that have brought the trouble onto him, not Pesco's. I don't think Pesco's prodding of Baity is any more malicious than standard Mafia play. And I would like to turn it around that Scum Pesco doing a quick bus on Scum Baity to earn Town cred doesn't seem to jive with the subsequent attack on you. He clearly got heat for it and probably expected to get heat for it and that would defeat the purpose of his bus. In other words, I don't think Baity and Pesco are buddies. This seems to be further evidenced by Baity now voting Pesco inflating both of their votecounts up higher.

KY: Baity is not protecting Edible although now that I read what Baity said, that was a really dumb thing for him to say. I can't say it's difficult to bring up a decent case to vote Baity at the moment. I'd give KY the benefit of the doubt for one Day.

Mr_Alert: Your vote is still a random vote!

Vote still stays on Roukan because some of the little things I've mentioned above don't really make me feel any better about him. Not really feeling a Pesco lynch at the moment and need to wait on Serpentarius. I'll be back later tonight.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 06:56:04 PM
baity...force generating discussion is NOT a pro town thing to do. It prevents the natural fuck up that invariably happens from happening.

Honestly, I have to reread your earlier post, baity. I skimmed it and it didn't seem to address much. But I made a critical mistake. I read it assuming you were scum. I'm going to reread it when I finish this post.

Quote
@UK: This post is pure IIoA. You've done a nice job summarizing the game, but there is no analysis in this post whatsoever. So what was the point of poasting it in the first place?

No, actually, it has questions, accusations, and analysis. Please demonstrate how it is IIoA?
In fact...it quite isn't. Yes, there is some summary, but at least half of it is clarifications being asked for and overall poking.

Quote
. I extremely dislike UK's method of posting which is very strongly IIoA.

More proof?

The rest of your post is fine and valid though. Well, I disagree on Baity though. He's not a noob, as he admitted himself.

Finally, I can't help the way I post when I have 2-3 pages to catch up with every time I log on. Deal.

Quote
@ UK: Which and why of Rou's points are the good ones and which ones are bad? Lay them out in chronological order for me, Rou should do it too (which ones are the good ones in his opinion).

I'll have to reread it. Expect it in a post after this one since that's when I'm doing the "Posts I should reread thing"

Quote
@ Alice: You've already addressed UK's lack of content and lurkers. I find her post to KY about coaching quite silly as that's exactly what she's doing herself. Edible has pulled a clean fence sit with his post, also adding nothing to the pot. Baity and KY's responses have been all round unsatisfactory. KY doing a lot of piggybacking and no independent posting (i.e. without prompting). Baity lacking sensible replies. Mr Alert needs to post more than asking what FPMH is.

I guess I can see this, but I disagree. Kanguya is new enough so he probably doesn't understand how posting town lists can be scummy. Hell, even the old dogs do it, so it's hard to see why someone would get flack for it. While it seemed like coaching, it was also putting the point against him. He hasn't done enough else that I've noticed for me to consider him scum. Apparently, I've been missing something though as I read on he seems to be being poked a lot. I'll reread him as well.

I still desire proof on "lack of content"

Quote
For a second lynch, UK looks like a good avenue, outlined above.

Funny, either you or Rou do in my book. I'm leaning you, actually, since you are basically trying to hang me on two points, one of which not sufficiently proven.

Quote
@UK: Hey now I resent being told that gaming the setup's bad, it's won games in the past. Early day one, nothing else to do, at least it's something to talk about.

It's also lost them. Either way, it wasn't so much we were playing "Game the set up", it was more "We are ONLY playing game the set up, and no one is doing much in the way of scumhunting"

Quote
@Everyone: Do people write these walls because they think they're obligated to, or because they don't realise how horribly painful they are to read? For god's sake, there's not even that much to talk about!
Quote

I have an excuse. Easiest way to do 3 pages of catch up


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-Make myself look so much like scum, that you'll waver it off, because nobody plays like that... (save for me in this game, I hope) >_>
-From that, survive lynching round of D1 (very unlikely at this point).
-Survive N1.
-...(insert future plan here). Hopefully, I get to pull something out at this point.

You are trying to be too scummy to be scum? OH I wish I had two votes right now, so I could use them both on you.

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To explain the first point, allow me to retaliate with, "Why would it be beneficial for a scum to put themselves upfront like this?" (i.e. why would a scum member make themselves look scummy?)

For the exact reason you said. So we'll wave it off.

Alice once again makes a good post. And says what I was thinking better than I did.

And...pesco points out something I missed.

Wait, you pointed out why it was anti town and didn't vote Baity, Alice?

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I never claimed he voted Baity based on 2d6, I got mad at him when he pointed it out later. Why does a point have to be presented at the start of the case to be flawed?

Then I misunderstood. I apologize. It goes back to pesco then :P

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If the typical 'no roles with lynch as win condition' rule was there I'd have given it no further thought, but it was conspicuously missing so I panicked. I apologise.

OH NOES! APOLOGETIC MOE! RUUUUUN!

Seriously, there isn't much else you can say on that. I'm not sure how to take it but it's not a major point.

As for the self vote being a part of a master plan, just going to note it apparently was with Baity. You may have your facepalms at the ready.

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Forgive me for finding it annoying when people have no objection to Pesco's ad-hominem attacks on me. Seriously, he's MotK's resident Draco in Leather Pants.

Um...I didn't? I did tell pesco to stop being a jerkass, and I told you to enumerate your case in a form that isn't a WoT. Please reply, over?

Some of Baity's points read null tell (as he says either town or scum could do it). He also brings up not playing other MotK games too much. They were just examples, not accusation of emulations. In fact, reading Baity's post closely, I don't see a single good point. All of it seems to revolve around "I didn't play or watch here" and "Pesco pushes people". I didn't see a good scumtell out of any of this.

Oh hey Rou, you said it better than I did :(...again

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Here it is again - you say 'You look the most pro-town' and then say 'I'm withholding judgement'. If you say I look pro-town, doesn't that basically mean you disagree with the case against me?

Not to answer for him, but this is a misrep. He's saying you WOULD look protown...if you weren't tunneling pesco.

Ok...caught up. I will now reread KY, Baity's WoT, and Rou's WoT.






Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 17, 2009, 07:00:21 PM
Vote count:

pesco47 (4): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius, Kiro
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (2): Mr. Alert, Carthrat
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (4): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 is at L-4.
BaitySM is at L-4.

Not voting: No one.

32 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 07:05:33 PM
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I was arguing against this point here, which YOU raised as a point against Baity and was in my opinion flawed. I don't see any misrep here.

This felt like a bad point at the time. Now that I understand what he was saying it isn't as much.

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If you'd notice, I'm also relatively suspicious of Baity (as I've said previously). The point is that the reasons you're attacking him for are relatively poor (FPMH, dice hax...), and bad attacks are in my opinion worse than bad play since that's how scum get Townies lynched.

But pesco always does that. I'd be more worried about "poor reasoning" later in the day. This is a null tell at the time of that post.

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Firstly, immediate misrep on 'giving 11 players free passes'. Trying to pass me as a tunneler when I've made points against more players than he has.
Secondly, your argument that Baity was scum revolved around there being a decent plan behind what he was doing. If you can't come up with some sort of legitimate benefit that Scum!Baity could get from this plan, I'll consider your defense null and void.

I wouldn't call it a misrep per se, since you have spent most of your effort on pesco. However the rest is alright. (Of course, later, Baity DOES reveal his "master plan")

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In response to silly point YOU made about pointing out him excluding himself from random voting. I was pressing you on it to see if you were genuinely trying to use it as an argument.

This gets a bit too Light-kun for my tastes. I'm not sure it's all that valid since you could be saving face.

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Explain the difference to me. From what I can see you're arguing semantics here.
Fair point

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In return for earning the suspicion of several other players. Looking at the current votes on him, I'd say this has earned Baity roughly -1 free passes.

Fair, but not conducive to pesc-um

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This doesn't refute the third point - if you want three lynch targets, we should have three genuinely suspicious players.

Fair

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And for the umpteenth time, you disregard my case without giving a useful defense. I recall you doing this to Umu last game when you were scum, hoping that his repeated insistence that you were scum would make him look worse for tunneling than you did for your various scummy tactics.

This is one of the best things you have in that post

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And for the record, it's hard to scumhunt when half the players have posted pretty much zilch beyond setup discussion.

This isn't. Poke them

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Can I PLEASE GET SOME OPINIONS FROM YOU LURKERS OUT THERE?! IF I HAVE TO SPEND D1 DOING NOTHING BUT ARGUE WITH PESCO SINCE NO-ONE ELSE IS SAYING ANYTHING USEFUL I'LL PROBABLY HAVE AN ANEURYSM.

Oh good


Ok, I'm going to put the Baity post and KY anal in a different post since I wall'd Rou's wall.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 07:09:16 PM
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To see who would jump the gun, and use the very small of amount of evidence that I've "created".

Effectively admitting Fong's gambit

*facepalm*

The two reasons for self voting are just ugh, and I've already explained why in a later wall

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I have no evidence you're even scum to begin with. If I start, it would be either pure guesswork and assumption, or your reaction to my posts / anybody else's, which I'm still analyzing. Voting to improve my self-image? See above. And below, just below this.

Guess what, this is mafia. It IS guesswork and assumption.

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Let me put it this way. I'd rather try to sacrifice myself to take out at least 1 scum by evidence, rather than rely on PR's. My self-voting is only temporary, and I will address the reasoning to my switch accordingly.

Except it doesn't work like that

Your wall sucks. It tries to defend the self-vote. You should probably just have dropped it.

KY next.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 07:20:26 PM
This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12779#msg12779) is most assuredly IIoA, and his first real post. On page 3

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12906#msg12906) is actually pretty bad too. If you have nothing to say, why post? And why don't you have anything to say? There are THREE PAGES SO FAR. Oh, and obligatory why aren't you voting Affinity if you would do it if you had to?

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12923#msg12923) was beat to death already. I'll give him a slight pass on it since he seemed genuinely unknowing.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12936#msg12936) was also beat to death. I don't know why I didn't care as much about it as I should. It's just very flat...sorry, I'll be useful eventually. and the EBWOP cares too much about image.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13010#msg13010) is an herbal blend of excuses, analyses that shouldn't be made, and waffles. (poke pesco, don't want to get involved in P v. R.)

yes, at this point I'm retconning what I said about not so scummy. I didn't read him close enough.

Analysis issue resolved.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13224#msg13224) is a weak defense. Oh, and it's mostly apologetic moe and no real counterpoints.

Kanguya's Baity post is solid, but it took too long to come out. Grain of salt, basically.

Ok, seriously...at this point I think I want three lynches.

Baity, Kanguya, and Pesco.

Pesco's ad hominems and apparent disregard for Rou's case make me lack warm fuzzies. I DO want Rou to enumerate his case in a paragraph rather than point by point wall, so that pesco has no excuse to dodge, but I'm leaning pesc-um.



Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 17, 2009, 07:37:30 PM
This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12779#msg12779) is most assuredly IIoA, and his first real post. On page 3

Frankly, I didn't want to get involved in the Baity dice whatever. If you look back, not much had happened between page 1 and page 3 besides setup speculation and that Baity dice thing + self vote. So which is worse, setup speculation or nothing at all?

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12906#msg12906) is actually pretty bad too. If you have nothing to say, why post? And why don't you have anything to say? There are THREE PAGES SO FAR. Oh, and obligatory why aren't you voting Affinity if you would do it if you had to?

Rou asked me to post, and I figured that it would be worse if I didn't post at all. Regarding the Affinity vote, I wasn't too confident in my case but it was the best case that I had. It wasn't voteworthy but it was a case.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12923#msg12923) was beat to death already. I'll give him a slight pass on it since he seemed genuinely unknowing.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12936#msg12936) was also beat to death. I don't know why I didn't care as much about it as I should. It's just very flat...sorry, I'll be useful eventually. and the EBWOP cares too much about image.

If there's one thing that I hate, it's people getting angry at/accidentally offended by me.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13010#msg13010) is an herbal blend of excuses, analyses that shouldn't be made, and waffles. (poke pesco, don't want to get involved in P v. R.)

Worst post ever. You have every right to hold that against me.


yes, at this point I'm retconning what I said about not so scummy. I didn't read him close enough.

Analysis issue resolved.

This (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13224#msg13224) is a weak defense. Oh, and it's mostly apologetic moe and no real counterpoints.

Well, this is a bad excuse, but I had just woken up and I wanted something out there.

Kanguya's Baity post is solid, but it took too long to come out. Grain of salt, basically.

IRL reasons.

Ok, seriously...at this point I think I want three lynches.

Baity, Kanguya, and Pesco.

Pesco's ad hominems and apparent disregard for Rou's case make me lack warm fuzzies. I DO want Rou to enumerate his case in a paragraph rather than point by point wall, so that pesco has no excuse to dodge, but I'm leaning pesc-um.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 07:56:34 PM
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Frankly, I didn't want to get involved in the Baity dice whatever. If you look back, not much had happened between page 1 and page 3 besides setup speculation and that Baity dice thing + self vote. So which is worse, setup speculation or nothing at all?

But there was more to talk about than that.

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Rou asked me to post, and I figured that it would be worse if I didn't post at all. Regarding the Affinity vote, I wasn't too confident in my case but it was the best case that I had. It wasn't voteworthy but it was a case.

If you aren't voting, any case is voteworthy. Further, you should have posted content.

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If there's one thing that I hate, it's people getting angry at/accidentally offended by me.

It's the internet. It happens

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Worst post ever. You have every right to hold that against me.

I assume you aren't including wrathie posts in your collection of posts ever. There's not much I can say. Overcome the point, if you can't defend it.

Basically, given how the rest of it is mostly excuses and apologies, I would be comfortable with a KY lynch.




Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 08:12:33 PM
Regarding Serpentarius, I don't think it's his job to break up the arguing between Pesco and Rou. He had his focus on Affinity and Baity at the time so he actually pushed their argument into a corner from what I read and observed it while waiting for Affinity. The only reason he seems to be suspicious is because he acknowledged not bothering to stop it and I find it ironic that Rou was the first one to say this when it should be obvious from Rou's point of view that he had more control over stopping his own argument with Pesco than Serpentarius would. So why is Serpentarius getting extra heat for it when pretty much nobody else told Pesco or Rou to drop it? However, I don't think it's that bad of a case mainly due to Carthrat's recent question. I would also like to hear Serp's response regarding that subtle attitude change that Carthrat pointed out.
You try answering basically the same question half a dozen times and managing to keep exactly the same tone in each answer.  That said, we have about 30 hours left in the day.  I think it's time to settle on who we want to lynch.

Surprisingly coherent post from Kanguya.  Not enough to attone for all scumminess, but it's worth noting.

Edible has excuses.  I'm inclined to give him a few more hours to show up.

I'm not feeling so generous towards Mr_Alert.  His last post was 22 hours ago, was lacking in content, and was only made due to Roukanken's prodding.  He still has his random vote from the beginning of the game on me.  Am I the only one who thinks this is a bad thing?

My top three preferred lynches right now are as follow:  BaitySM, Kanguya Yaraisan, Mr_Alert.  Incidentally, since we all seem to agree that anything more than a triple lynch is certainly a bad idea, this doesn't leave any room for poor Pesco47.  Roukanken, if you're still convinced that Pesco47 is worse than the guy who still has his random vote from the beginning of the game, the guy who was humping my leg on horrible reasoning 'till just recently, and freakin' BaitySM, I think we may have reached the point where I'll actively discourage your tunneling.  We need to settle on our lynches soon.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 08:16:39 PM
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@ Serp: You suspect bussing already?
Most of the votes placed in the random voting phase tend to get switched around pretty quickly.  It seems like a fittingly newbie move to put an apparently random vote on a fellow scum, intending to switch as soon as a good bandwagon comes up, but then panic when you get called on it.
Quote from: I respond to the above with
That kinda fails since he's voting himself right now. What supports your theory is his reluctance to revote Affinity, which isn't particularly great for consideration right now.

In retrospect here, even though I only brought up the bussing possibility, I think Serp could also have spoken about a scumAffinity joining the wagon aspect. The response from Serp on this, lacking followup is pretty evident of an unconvincing vote in the first place.

Quote from: Serp
That said, I've been increasingly unsatisfied with my Affinity vote since I placed it, though your defense of him has been noted.  By keeping it, I was mostly just hoping to provoke an interesting response.

I don't see this bactrack as a clean one.

Affinity's side of the vote from Serp has just been minor return prod, this was enough to illicit a backtrack from Serp?


Quote from: Kiro
Pesco: So what's your opinion on Rou? You've gone on him for all this time and in the end, you'd go for UK as your second lynch? Is Rou Town in your eyes given you've spent the most time writing affectionate poems talking about him today? Also, you seem rather apathetic about that secondary lynch target. Hrm. You definitely could try harder on that point.

AngryRou is generally more town. He's done his hunting in all directions by now, so I don't hold him as scummy for his progress.

KY is already posting badly enough as is, with UK's coaching, it presses KY into making possible even worse posts. KY's 149 (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13224#msg13224) still show's the effect of UK's suggestion. I'm also waiting on UK's response as to which of Rou's points were good and which were bad.

@ UK: Make the stuff clearer.

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Firstly, immediate misrep on 'giving 11 players free passes'. Trying to pass me as a tunneler when I've made points against more players than he has.
Secondly, your argument that Baity was scum revolved around there being a decent plan behind what he was doing. If you can't come up with some sort of legitimate benefit that Scum!Baity could get from this plan, I'll consider your defense null and void.
I wouldn't call it a misrep per se, since you have spent most of your effort on pesco. However the rest is alright. (Of course, later, Baity DOES reveal his "master plan") What makes a burden of proof fallacy alright?

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Explain the difference to me. From what I can see you're arguing semantics here.
Fair point [This is relative to which post?]

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This doesn't refute the third point - if you want three lynch targets, we should have three genuinely suspicious players.
Fair [This is relative to which post?]

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And for the umpteenth time, you disregard my case without giving a useful defense. I recall you doing this to Umu last game when you were scum, hoping that his repeated insistence that you were scum would make him look worse for tunneling than you did for your various scummy tactics.
This is one of the best things you have in that post Given how many points you disagreed with in your wall, why do you agree?

That's about all I can pick out that you've listed as good points. Comments appended.


Quote from: Rou
THIS IS NOT MISREP. It's not as if I'm claiming you said something you didn't, and while it may not have been your initial reasoning for voting Baity it was easily your weakest reason.
Quote from: Rou just a little above that one
Pesco's argument for Baity being scum was that claiming he rolled 2d6 and then selfvoting was all part of some master plan.
Quote from: Rou's initial vote post
More interesting to me is Pesco's misrep of what seems to be a simple misunderstanding of the probabilities of 2d6:

- No, he was excluding one player: Edible (1). Don't even TRY to argue that he should have left the self-vote possibility open.
- In terms of the probability ignorance, realise that this scum plan you're suggesting only works in one highly unlikely situation - the scum players are all near the top or bottom of the list, thus the 2d6 roll will probably (or in one case, definitely) miss them. The odds of this are also pretty small.
- There's also the point that, well, using a 2d6 for a random vote is OBVIOUSLY going to get called out for being stupid. Either the entire scumteam has no idea how probabilities work, or Baity just made a mistake. Indeed, if he'd never said 'I'm using 2d6' his random vote would've received no further thought, so why would he mention it if he knew it was a bad idea?

Your misrep has been going on for that long.

Quote from: Rou 142
FPMH is an initial suspicion which either stays or goes based on later posts. He KEPT IT ON based on the dice and the self-vote.
Quote from: Me 54
Read his post, he excluded himself and player 1, which means it's 2 players. More importantly, it's got nothing to do with why he's getting voted now.

The self voting was valid for keeping my vote on him.

Quote from: Rou 142
Quick bus to make Pesco look good and stop him from being the classical MotK policy lynch.

Since you're so fond of past games as evidence, I'll point out that when we were scum together, I told you to bus me so that I get lynched first. Me bussing Zak in Alice's game didn't turn out to be good play for us. How is your theory here valid according to empirical evidence?


Moving on, (expect repeated information to occur; I will try not to recite any other opinions that others have given, but it's expected to happen knowing me)
Excuses like this suck. Why make them at all?

pesco accuses me of protecting Edible from the exclusion of my random selection;in an attempt to make me look more scummier than what I need to already be (in other words, using me as the diversion for himself). Though it could be play from either side of town, or scum knowing that I'm town and getting a free lynch.
Explain what the point of 48 (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12736#msg12736) is for then?

Then denies it has anything to do with the claim of protection;The reason was assumed still FPMH. However, as the worst-case scenario appeared, more garbage posts came out. The result? Diversion from himself, attention towards me.

Also,Note: I have no idea about who does what in each Mafia game. i.e. false accusation. Remember that I stated:I also have not watched any games here.
We've only got your word for the claimed experience and it's not a valid defense.

From here to the end is what? Not scumhunting that's for sure.
Encourages 2nd option for lynch, probably thinking that there's enough dirt on me (i.e. opting for a multi-lynch for maximum effect):
*KY's post regarding my situation, and give or take a bit of content*Further pushing.
You might as well be going for a "lynch everybody". Like so:
And of course...,

-KY votes Affinity-Hmm... cover-up? This would be the only evidence (as of now) that Affinity is affiliated with pesco. However, I believe it to be attempting to redirect the vote to a more "convenient place", again going for a solid multi-lynch.

Yes, some parts are a bit "flawed", but that doesn't change the fact that he still manipulated (almost) everything (subtle or not) to his favor. And lying through one point.

Comments appended. If KY is leg-humping, then Baity is post-humping?

I'm freaking tired now.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 08:21:24 PM
Nietz fix the gap under my post pls?

Fixed. But Mind The Gap in the future. :P
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 17, 2009, 08:24:03 PM
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Why are you outright saying 'I might be wrong with this'? It feels like giving yourself an escape route if you get proven wrong.

What's wrong with saying "I might be wrong" when I probably am?

My opinion on Edible is very low right now. I'd like to know if there isn't an obvious reason as to why he's not posting very often.
...Okay, there's an excuse at least.

I don't see why the main point against Serp (not getting involved with Rou and Pesco's arguement) makes him scum rather than lazy town - and that's ignoring his prods of Beilos and Affinity.

UK's case on Gensokyo Blender is really nice, but it's worrisome because it contains mostly "KY is acting like KY Always does, and that's no good." I'm not a big fan of clearing people just because it's their meta to play badly (for whatever reason), but at the same time, there really isn't an actual scumtell to work with in the whole case. I'm alright with the lynch, but I wouldn't vote for it.

Beilos - Too scummy to be scum?
Ok, I'm going to go over this slowly. This is called Wine in Front of Me, and trying to involk such a thing is considered scummy play, since it shows you're intentionally working on confusion. Anyone that needs to confuse other people into not voting for them means that they don't feel that they can find anyone that the town wants to lynch more than them. This means that you are either Pro-scum, or Anti-town. This is why you are being lynched. Vote Stays.

Cut: Serp's cutting post reminded me that Alert was playing. I hate it when I have to be reminded of who's playing. You're at the same level as Edible, I want to see something good come from you before the day is over or else...
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 17, 2009, 08:29:35 PM
Regarding Mr_Alert, I've worked with him in the past in Masters Servants, and Paranoia. He has a lot of IRL things that suddenly cause him to be away for relatively large amounts of time, so I don't think that should be held against him. On the other hand, his last login was only about 2 hours ago.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 08:32:45 PM
Regarding Mr_Alert, I've worked with him in the past in Masters Servants, and Paranoia. He has a lot of IRL things that suddenly cause him to be away for relatively large amounts of time, so I don't think that should be held against him. On the other hand, his last login was only about 2 hours ago.

And that should a be cause for concern if he can't even come in to unvote.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 17, 2009, 08:48:40 PM
In retrospect here, even though I only brought up the bussing possibility, I think Serp could also have spoken about a scumAffinity joining the wagon aspect. The response from Serp on this, lacking followup is pretty evident of an unconvincing vote in the first place.

I don't see this bactrack as a clean one.

Affinity's side of the vote from Serp has just been minor return prod, this was enough to illicit a backtrack from Serp?

I lost confidence in the vote shortly after I responded to you, and kept it there just to gauge Affinity's reaction.  I was intending to remove my vote from him pretty much whatever he said, since Kanguya was looking more scummy to me every moment.  I was switching my vote from an early-day suspect that required a contrived situation to make him scummy to someone who was scummy on his own merit.  The original vote itself was pretty bad (being little more than a prod), but my backtrack was squeaky clean, as I see it.

Zakeri, KY has some convincing scumtells against him.  His following of a popular townie at the time, myself, looks pretty bad.  It's an instinct for newbie scum to attach themselves to a townie, loudly proclaiming "This person is definitely town," 'cause of course the scum know who's town and who's not.  You shouldn't need me to tell you this.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 08:51:35 PM
Ok, pesco, first, explain what burden of proof fallacy you see? You did appear to seem to think that Baity was scummy for 2d6 and self voting, but never really explained why.

As for "relative to which point", it's kinda obvious, I'd think. Perhaps you need to go back to the post I'm PbPing, but it's still there.

And I don't really agree with Rou's case. I agree you are scummy though since you've been mostly posting ad hominems and dancing around Rou's points.

Quote
UK's case on Gensokyo Blender is really nice, but it's worrisome because it contains mostly "KY is acting like KY Always does, and that's no good." I'm not a big fan of clearing people just because it's their meta to play badly (for whatever reason), but at the same time, there really isn't an actual scumtell to work with in the whole case. I'm alright with the lynch, but I wouldn't vote for it.

Are you claiming that not posting good opinions, waffling like mad, and overall IIoA are not scumtells?

Regarding Mr_Alert, I've worked with him in the past in Masters Servants, and Paranoia. He has a lot of IRL things that suddenly cause him to be away for relatively large amounts of time, so I don't think that should be held against him. On the other hand, his last login was only about 2 hours ago.

Ok...There are officially too many good targets. I forgot about Alert for a bit, kinda. I vaguely knew he needed to post but not that badly.

Seriously, I'm happy with my Baity vote, want a Kanguya lynch, want Rou to respond please, want pesco to be a tertiary lynch, and want Alert to post and if he doesn't, I probably want him to displace pesco in my list.

Cut by Serp. Hey, that works too :P.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 09:05:17 PM
Being asked to rationalise Baity's actions is not burden of proof?

Your one word replies to selective quotes mean nothing without the surrounding context. That is why I was asking relative to which post.

Finding me scummy without agreeing with Rou doesn't add up.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 17, 2009, 09:08:20 PM
Being asked to rationalise Baity's actions is not burden of proof?

Your one word replies to selective quotes mean nothing without the surrounding context. That is why I was asking relative to which post.

Finding me scummy without agreeing with Rou doesn't add up.

Ah, quite a strawman. I don't have to agree with Rou's failed points to find you scummy, now do I? I have my own points, mostly your ad homs and not responding to Rou's points, instead attacking the person.

This post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12940#msg12940), by the way. Thought you knew

As for rationalizing Baity's actions, that's not what Rou asked. He asked you how precisely he's scummy for the actions you accused them of, and what grand master plan would give him benefit as scum. Since you seemed to think he had one.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 17, 2009, 09:21:07 PM
Your own points aren't particularly fresh. If you don't think Rou's points were good enough, then why does it matter that I didn't respond to said bad points?

Quote from: Rou asked
If you can't come up with some sort of legitimate benefit that Scum!Baity could get from this plan, I'll consider your defense null and void.

It says "Prove this is good scum play" as I was seeing it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 17, 2009, 09:46:13 PM
And now it's time for my least-favourite activity in the world: trying to figure out which of you are scum, and which of you are merely scummy townies. I really wish I had an unlimited dayvig right about now.

@Whoever: I'm not exactly giving BaitySM a free pass. Just that his behaviour is perplexing enough that it wouldn't necessarily warrant an immediate lynch. However, due to today, I am perfectly comfortable with, and even endorse the BaitySM lynch, especially after his horrible post of "I'm going to be a distraction to Town in order to not get lynched yay!".

Quote from: Carthrat
Serp/Baity is my pair at present.
Why are you creating scumpair theories when nobody has flipped yet? It's D1 ffs.

Basically at this point I want BaitySM to be lynched. Not too sure about pesco anymore, need to do a re-read. Need to re-read Affinity's posts again, there's something that's bothering me about them.

Finally,
@mod: Can you prod Mr_Alert? He hasn't posted for in excess of 24 hours

So yeah, I'm fine with Mr_Alert as a third lynch if he won't even show up to unvote Serpentarius or at least justify his vote on him beyond reasons only sufficient to justify a random vote.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 17, 2009, 09:50:53 PM
Vote count:

pesco47 (4): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius, Kiro
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (2): Mr. Alert, Carthrat
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (4): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 is at L-4.
BaitySM is at L-4.

Not voting: No one.

29 hours remaining.

Mr. Alert has been prodded for inactivity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 17, 2009, 11:15:22 PM
Oh yay, I come back from my SF4 Ranbat and I need to put out ANOTHER WoT.
Firstly, something I should've done a while ago:
##Unvote: Pesco47
Vote: Serpentarius


Quote
But this is alarming; 'if x = town lynch y' generally is, particularly in day one. I would call Serp as scummier than Pesco on the strength of his neutrality (what a weird turn of phrase). I'm presuming you think Serp's not as good a lynch as Pesco, Rou, owing to your vote and earlier statements. Why? And why shove this predictated logic in there, too?
To be honest, I wanted to advance the Serp case a little further before I shifted my vote. That and I still kinda had the red mist telling me Pesco was scum even after I woke up, so yeah.

Quote from: Serpentarius
First, I think we'd screw it up by not even getting to 6/6 due to disagreements within the town, and second, I think that some townie could then screw it up by making it look like scum were jumping to save themselves, just out of pure cluelessness.
This is obscenely pessimistic of you. No-one here is clueless enough to make that sort of move when it's been EXPLICITLY said not to do it.

Quote
It looks sincere from here, even if I don't agree.
Define sincerity.

Quote
I'd say that you look the most pro-town so far [blah blah blah] if not for the fact that you seem to be tunneling a bit.
Which makes you okay with seeing me lynched? That I'm relatively townie excusing some tunneling?

Quote
I won't disagree with you that this sort of thing can be a scumtell, but the simple fact is that your argument against Pesco just doesn't convince me.  I'm only willing to lynch him if no better options come up.  I have two picks at the moment, and a third isn't inconceivable, so Pesco is still an option, but no more, as far as I'm concerned.
Compare this to:
Quote
We need to lynch someone, and the more the better, and I have no reason to suspect him of being more townie than anyone else, so if he gets lynched, I won't mind, but if he doesn't get lynched, I won't mind then either.
You've jumped again, from 'I don't see any reason not to lynch him' to 'I only want to lynch him if we have no other options'. Huh?

Quote from: Kiro
Regarding Serpentarius, I don't think it's his job to break up the arguing between Pesco and Rou.
You're missing the problem. I never at any point said that he had to break up the argument - what the problem was is that he had no opinion on either side of the debate whatsoever. That isn't constructive townie play, and his ever-changing opinions on PvR aren't helping him.

Quote
Rou: I will disagree with you that Pesco kept his FPMH on Baity for "both" the dice and the self-vote. Pesco is not dumb. I am certain he was talking about dice just to get reactions out of Baity and Baity provided them.
So making a bad case in order to provide reactions is apparently okay?

Quote
And I would like to turn it around that Scum Pesco doing a quick bus on Scum Baity to earn Town cred doesn't seem to jive with the subsequent attack on you. He clearly got heat for it and probably expected to get heat for it and that would defeat the purpose of his bus.
Misrep AGAIN - Pesco never attacked me, he tried to disprove my theories. It was wholly defensive, if admittedly not the most polite kind. >_>

Quote from: UncertainKitten
Funny, either you or Rou do in my book.
...Wait, what? What happened to this?
Quote from: UK
Pesco and Rou could be anything, but if one of them is scum, it's Pesco. He's being hypocritical about personal vendettas and such, and has ignored Rou's GOOD points.
And then later on in your post you suddenly start accusing him again. The hell?

Quote
But pesco always does that. I'd be more worried about "poor reasoning" later in the day. This is a null tell at the time of that post.
How can flawed reasoning be a nulltell?

Quote from: Serp
My top three preferred lynches right now are as follow:  BaitySM, Kanguya Yaraisan, Mr_Alert.  Incidentally, since we all seem to agree that anything more than a triple lynch is certainly a bad idea, this doesn't leave any room for poor Pesco47.  Roukanken, if you're still convinced that Pesco47 is worse than the guy who still has his random vote from the beginning of the game, the guy who was humping my leg on horrible reasoning 'till just recently, and freakin' BaitySM, I think we may have reached the point where I'll actively discourage your tunneling.
Why do you instantly assume that your three lynches are the ones everyone agrees on? Alert has a history of struggling to find time for the game, so I'm willing to give him until Day 2 to pick up.

Quote from: Pesco47
The self voting was valid for keeping my vote on him.
I will say this one last time, just because it's been argued to death already: I don't care if it isn't why you voted him or why you maintained your vote, making a poor point isn't good in any case.

Quote
Since you're so fond of past games as evidence, I'll point out that when we were scum together, I told you to bus me so that I get lynched first. Me bussing Zak in Alice's game didn't turn out to be good play for us. How is your theory here valid according to empirical evidence?
People aren't empirical evidence. This is total WIFOM.

Quote from: Zakeri
What's wrong with saying "I might be wrong" when I probably am?
Here's a better question - if you don't think your theory is correct, why mention it?

Quote
I'm alright with the lynch, but I wouldn't vote for it.
GODDAMMIT, NOW THERE'S TWO OF YOU. *Holds head in hands*

Quote from: Serp again
Zakeri, KY has some convincing scumtells against him.  His following of a popular townie at the time, myself, looks pretty bad.  It's an instinct for newbie scum to attach themselves to a townie, loudly proclaiming "This person is definitely town," 'cause of course the scum know who's town and who's not.  You shouldn't need me to tell you this.
This has to be some sort of emotional fallacy right here.

Quote from: Pesco47
Finding me scummy without agreeing with Rou doesn't add up.
Quote from: UK
I agree you are scummy though since you've been mostly posting ad hominems and dancing around Rou's points.
Why is this not good enough reasoning for suspicion? Your response of 'Well his argument is so crap it isn't worth my time' doesn't help either.

Quote
Being asked to rationalise Baity's actions is not burden of proof?
You outright said 'He knows what he's doing with this'. I ask you 'what could he be doing then?' and you can't even give me one possible theory. THAT'S what annoys me.

Since people were asking for it, here's a little summary of my points on Pesco:
- A distinct lack of scumhunting, focusing instead on defending himself
- Multiple cases of attack ad hominem
- Overlooking several points based on 'lack of context'
- Deciding that if my case isn't totally perfectly flawless he can't possibly be scum (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13387#msg13387)


Still, at the moment Serpentarius's inability to have an opinion on a case, and then coming up with about five different views when pressed is particularly annoying. His pessimism about getting two safe lynches doesn't make any sense and seems to almost setting the stage for a 'clueless Townie' to screw things up at deadline, and he's tunneling pretty badly on KY - here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13338#msg13338) he basically says 'KY is finally making sense but I'm voting him anyway'. Huh?
In terms of new suspicions I'm really not liking Kiro, actually - he feels a lot harsher and more aggressive for some reason, attacking other players' points rather than making his own. Zak is also looking bad for doing the same as Serp - passively supporting a lynch despite not genuinely believing in it. I'm giving Alert a grace period of one day - if he hasn't improved by D2 I won't be happy.

I'd like to see a Baity/Serp lynch atm.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 17, 2009, 11:25:24 PM
Quote
Are you claiming that not posting good opinions, waffling like mad, and overall IIoA are not scumtells?
No, I'm saying that some scumtells have more weight than others when you consider a case on people. This is still Day 1 after all.

Quote
Zakeri, KY has some convincing scumtells against him.  His following of a popular townie at the time, myself, looks pretty bad.  It's an instinct for newbie scum to attach themselves to a townie, loudly proclaiming "This person is definitely town," 'cause of course the scum know who's town and who's not.  You shouldn't need me to tell you this.

Ahh, I see.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 17, 2009, 11:39:35 PM
No, I'm saying that some scumtells have more weight than others when you consider a case on people. This is still Day 1 after all.
Note the subtle change from 'scumtells' to 'important scumtells'.

Quote
Ahh, I see.
...Huh? Are you agreeing with Serp's point? If so, why aren't you voting? And why do you trust Serp's point over UK's?

Okay, I'm confused and I'm tired. I'm calling it a night before I need to produce ANOTHER WoT.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 18, 2009, 12:02:22 AM
Quote
Here's a better question - if you don't think your theory is correct, why mention it?

I never said I thought it was wrong when I posted it, did I? In fact, your counter point against that was met with My own counter (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13019#msg13019).

Quote
Zak is also looking bad for doing the same as Serp - passively supporting a lynch despite not genuinely believing in it.
I would actually put it as defending a lynch while letting it slide if I were to put it in a "Zak is Scum" perspective. I wasn't really supporting the Blender Lynch.

Quote
My top three preferred lynches right now are as follow:  BaitySM, Kanguya Yaraisan, Mr_Alert.  Incidentally, since we all seem to agree that anything more than a triple lynch is certainly a bad idea, this doesn't leave any room for poor Pesco47.  Roukanken, if you're still convinced that Pesco47 is worse than the guy who still has his random vote from the beginning of the game, ...

Stop right there!

Okay, this has been bugging me for a bit, and I think Rou's post points out why. Do you believe targeting someone who is inactive day one is more important enough to try and measure everyone's vote so we can get an extra lynch for it? I'm all for Alert hate, but I think this is wavering into "Free Mislynch" territory.

Cut:
Quote
...Huh? Are you agreeing with Serp's point? If so, why aren't you voting? And why do you trust Serp's point over UK's?

Serp pointed out a specific scumtell that I felt was good enough to produce a vote on. And I didn't change my vote since then there wouldn't be enough for Beilos.

...Actually, thinking in deep about my last point, maybe it is a good idea to even out the votes. So far, we have Pesco and Beilos tied for first, with Blender and Serp tied for second ...

##Unvote: BaitySM I'll be back with a new vote after I reread, because anything further from me now would result in unhelpful waffling.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Mr_Alert on May 18, 2009, 12:22:04 AM
Buhhh.  Got side tracked yesterday and am stuck filming a Japanese cooking show today. :/  Will try to figure stuff out later tonight.

In the meantime, ##Unvote
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 18, 2009, 12:24:22 AM
Quote
...Wait, what? What happened to this?

Context?

Quote
And then later on in your post you suddenly start accusing him again. The hell?

You do realize for the most part my observations are in chronological order, riiiiiiight?

Quote
How can flawed reasoning be a nulltell?

When it's for reaction baiting, I suppose. I was actually taking poor to mean weak, not flawed.

Quote
Why is this not good enough reasoning for suspicion? Your response of 'Well his argument is so crap it isn't worth my time' doesn't help either.

What are you asking here? Are you asking me why I don't suspect pesco? Because...I do suspect him. I suspect others more. As for you, I thought some of your arguments were weird and didn't make much sense. I don't have to agree with your arguments to agree with your conclusion.

Quote
Since people were asking for it, here's a little summary of my points on Pesco:
- A distinct lack of scumhunting, focusing instead on defending himself
- Multiple cases of attack ad hominem
- Overlooking several points based on 'lack of context'
- Deciding that if my case isn't totally perfectly flawless he can't possibly be scum

Thank you. This list is a lot better than your PbP. I want to see pesco's response.

Quote
No, I'm saying that some scumtells have more weight than others when you consider a case on people. This is still Day 1 after all.

Even so, there's only a certain level of things you can turn a blind eye to. And Rou's point (which cut me) actually puts it even better. (below)

Quote
Note the subtle change from 'scumtells' to 'important scumtells'.

Quote
Serp pointed out a specific scumtell that I felt was good enough to produce a vote on. And I didn't change my vote since then there wouldn't be enough for Beilos.

Um...Serp just defined waffling and IIoA. Good going ^-^

Buhhh.  Got side tracked yesterday and am stuck filming a Japanese cooking show today. :/  Will try to figure stuff out later tonight.

In the meantime, ##Unvote

This better be soon given our limited time.

Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 18, 2009, 12:28:22 AM
Finally free of work-related... work.  Now behold as I dazzle you all with brilliant obvservations and astute deductive work!

...

After I reread the game from scratch. :v
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 18, 2009, 12:59:52 AM
Vote count:

pesco47 (3): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius, Kiro
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (2): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 and BaitySM are at L-5.

Not voting: Zakeri, Mr. Alert.

26 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 18, 2009, 02:30:56 AM
Right, let's get started.

The beginning phase of the game is interesting as we basically bypassed RVS, which tends to take up a good half a day or of Day 1 around here.  It was instead spent (justifiably) on setup speculation, which led to our usual Day 1 suspicions.

Baity's Dice Roll Hilarity? (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12665#msg12665) interests me upon this reread.  Not because it's rofl 2d6 #1 can never be picked (and statistically, it's a completely horrible strategy as 1d12 and 2d6 have massively different odds), but because he goes out of his way to explain his RVS in such a strange manner.  This is followed up with his self-vote (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12730#msg12730) which is unbelievably stupid, and something that has been covered to death by other players.  This is what had me thinking he was newbtown (re: Sol in 9squad), but I'm currently thinking it's just as possible for him to be newbscum following the same logic.

In addition, he's been drawing way (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12735#msg12735) too (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12754#msg12754) much (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13005#msg13005) attention (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13168#msg13168) to himself and his "role," which makes me want to force him to divulge said role, especially considering we have approximately a day left and I'd like to avoid the mess we made of last game's D1 end.

pesco...

Prods (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12757#msg12757) all (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12869#msg12869) day (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12928#msg12928), scumhunts all... oh wait he isn't scumhunting, he's just being reactionary (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12927#msg12927).  There's also his usual  useless commentary (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13167#msg13167).  Clear choice for lynch today.

After rereading Rou it seems pretty safe that he and pesco are not in cahoots after all.  I still can't shake that nagging feeling, though... well, whatever.

I look forward to more content from various people.  Alert comes to mind.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 18, 2009, 02:49:26 AM
This is obscenely pessimistic of you. No-one here is clueless enough to make that sort of move when it's been EXPLICITLY said not to do it.

No one?  Really?  I could easily see a less experience player doing it when faced with a compelling roleclaim or something.

Quote from: Roukanken
Define sincerity.

I think you think you're making a good case.  Somehow.

Quote from: Roukanken
Which makes you okay with seeing me lynched? That I'm relatively townie excusing some tunneling?

If there are no better leads, yes.  When there are no good leads, it's still in the best interest of the town to lynch.  When there are fewer good leads than there are convenient lynch opportunities, it's in the best interest of the town to lynch the good leads as well as some not-so-good ones.  Do you disagree with this?

Quote from: Roukanken
Compare this to:You've jumped again, from 'I don't see any reason not to lynch him' to 'I only want to lynch him if we have no other options'. Huh?

Well, isn't that implicit?  If there's no reason not to lynch someone, then you lynch him if there are no better options.  See my point just above.

Quote
You're missing the problem. I never at any point said that he had to break up the argument - what the problem was is that he had no opinion on either side of the debate whatsoever. That isn't constructive townie play, and his ever-changing opinions on PvR aren't helping him.

Alright, I'm getting a little sick of having my neutrality towards Pesco being misconstrued as a lack of opinion.  Your case is that Pesco is scummy.  My response (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12947#msg12947) is that your case is not compelling, and Pesco doesn't look scummy.  You claim that if I hold this view, I must necessarily break up your argument, here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12969#msg12969).  I held (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12960#msg12960) that it was early in the day, so I didn't mind if you pressed each other and looked for scumtells.  You seemed to have a problem comprehending this point, 'cause I've been reiterating it for the last few pages and haven't made any progress on you.

Now, I'd like you to stop here for a moment and consider how many other people apparently found your case on Pesco unconvincing.  You asked for people to give their opinions, and I was one of the few that spoke up and explicitly said so.  Meanwhile, I was pressing my own cases, though that got derailed pretty quickly by the thread becoming your personal venue for tunneling on me.

So then, you claimed that there was a contradiction in me not finding Pesco scummy, and not minding if he got lynched.  See the point above where I state the obvious, that when you've got more potential lynches than targets, it's better to use your extra lynches than to waste them.  I've still not seen you argue against this point.

Now, you seem to be saying that I'm constantly contradicting myself, using as evidence...  posts that don't contradict each other at all.  Here, this has been my stance consistently through the day:  Pesco isn't any more or less scummy than the average player.  We have a multi-lynch option, and only 2 especially scummy players, so any third lynch is better than none, including Pesco.  Before you claim that I'm changing my stance, or contradicting myself, or whatever, can you please actually look for a line that contradicts this point of view?

Moving on!

Quote from: Roukanken
So making a bad case in order to provide reactions is apparently okay?

In the first hours of the first day, yes!  Absolutely!  There are no good cases to be had from the start, so you make bad ones, and see whether your target panics or screws up or says something interesting.  You then take that stuff and use it to make a good case.  Isn't this basic early game strategy?  Isn't this exactly what happens in every game?

Quote from: Roukanken
Why do you instantly assume that your three lynches are the ones everyone agrees on? Alert has a history of struggling to find time for the game, so I'm willing to give him until Day 2 to pick up.

That's great, but Nietz wasn't.  48 hours of inactivity means a modkill or a replacement.  If things had continued as they were, Mr Alert would've been replaced or modkilled 5 hours before the deadline.  Even now, if he stays in the game and disappears later, he's a liability.  The modkill of UK last game may well have cost the innocents the win, and donut dropping out earlier contributed to the Zaknut mislynch.  I'm waiting on him to convince us that he's not going to be a burden.

And I'm not assuming that everyone agrees with me - I'm definitively making a statement about who I find suspicious.  You know, the thing you've been claiming I have trouble doing this whole game?  This is what really bothers me - all day, you've criticized me for being wishy washy, despite the fact that I've just been scumhunting different targets than you.  Now, I lay down a solid list of who I want to lynch, and you criticize me for it?  You're the one that needs to answer for some contradictions, here.

Quote from: Roukanken
I will say this one last time, just because it's been argued to death already: I don't care if it isn't why you voted him or why you maintained your vote, making a poor point isn't good in any case.

See my point above about all early cases.  Also, considering that you've completely dropped the Pesco angle that got us here in the first place, are you conceding that your point against him was poor as well?  'Cause that's what I've held from the beginning, you know.

Quote from: Roukanken
This has to be some sort of emotional fallacy right here.

Uh, what?  Are you referring to the italicized part specifically, where I point out that Zakeri ought to know about such an obvious scumtell?  Which he then agreed with?

Quote from: Roukanken
Still, at the moment Serpentarius's inability to have an opinion on a case, and then coming up with about five different views when pressed is particularly annoying.

Please, show me where I've contradicted the underlined statement up above if you're going to continue holding this point.  Your criteria for "different view" appears to be limited to "different word choice." 

Quote from: Roukanken
he's tunneling pretty badly on KY - here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13338#msg13338) he basically says 'KY is finally making sense but I'm voting him anyway'. Huh?

Does one comprehensible post excuse the crap he was spewing earlier?  His defense of his earlier actions boils down to nothing more than "Yeah, that was pretty bad, huh?"  That's not a defense.  It's a plea to be lynched.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 18, 2009, 03:00:05 AM
Vote count:

pesco47 (3): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius, Kiro
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (2): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 and BaitySM are at L-5.

Not voting: Zakeri, Mr. Alert.

24 hours remaining.

Also, I won't be around for the next 8 or 9 hours.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Jana on May 18, 2009, 03:05:29 AM
...Meaning that I finally have something to do!

(I got locked offline for 2 days, and when I get back, Nietz has been on the whole time...)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 18, 2009, 04:25:24 AM
...what? You're protecting edible?
What? Misinterpretation?

I said that for those who thought that I was protecting Edible.

*checks*

...brb grammar bash

Regardless, I thought I nulled it out by this:

Quote
check the signup thread (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=92.0). Now check the start of this thread.

They're exactly the same; it's a list in chronological order of the people who signed up.

---

...brb reading the walls.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kiro on May 18, 2009, 06:40:08 AM
Pesco: So if you think Rou is likely Townie to you at the moment, why are you still trying to push his buttons immediately after you said so in the same post?

Rou: Making a bad case is not always the same as making a serious case. I think some things can go unspoken, like how Pesco decided to push an "obviously bad case" for reactions, but only after Baity had already secured Pesco's vote by doing that self vote. Serp actually pointed it out best that there's leeway to make a bad case when the game just started because there's nothing else to do early on. I don't know why you're complaining in particular about Pesco on this point when Baity is a top lynch candidate right now.

On your point regarding Serp not having an opinion on your argument, Serp conveniently pointed out the post (link's broken though, I had to reference it manually as #105) that you indirectly asked why Serp wasn't "objecting to the argument." I do think that qualifies as wanting someone to step in and give both sides a temporary pause. And to say that he has no opinion on the fight works from either a Townie perspective not having enough info to determine whether this is a Town vs Town fight or not, or a Scum perspective of knowing there's a potential mislynch in the works and letting it run its course. You seem to think it's the latter, but I don't think how he worded it is conclusive enough for it to be so and I don't see why you think so.

In regards to the question I asked Serp, he did brush it off, but it was revisited a bit in his #189 and it's not a great answer, but it's one that I can't really press more on. In other words, I'm inclined to let Serp's "having no opinion" on Rou and Pesco slide when he did have opinions on other people.

All in all, no real changes in my opinion. Baity lynch is fine. I still don't think Pesco would be Baity's scumbuddy, but Pesco's half hearted effort to say more about KY and UK coaching KY is a bit anti-Townie. So I don't feel the need to argue too much against a Pesco lynch. Rou is still defensive on some points that I think conflict with his "play by the book" style versus Pesco's more chaotic approach.

Quote from: Rou #180
Still, at the moment Serpentarius's inability to have an opinion on a case, and then coming up with about five different views when pressed is particularly annoying. His pessimism about getting two safe lynches doesn't make any sense and seems to almost setting the stage for a 'clueless Townie' to screw things up at deadline, and he's tunneling pretty badly on KY - here he basically says 'KY is finally making sense but I'm voting him anyway'. Huh?

I'm also not sure how this got stronger than Pesco's case and while trying to get a 3rd lynch in given the Day setup may not be a bad idea, I don't think the way you've worded your case on Serp merits it. What you described could very well indeed be a clueless Townie anyways, but at least he's produced more than some other players this game. I'd put Alert or KY ahead of Serp in such a case. By the way Rou, what's your opinion on KY anyways?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Affinity on May 18, 2009, 07:00:16 AM
@Roukanken:

I have questioned Baity quite a bit thus far which led to some progress in his case; which is sort of the follow-up to my voting post.  I don't agree that I found him obvscum just because of his self-vote, just that he was more scummy than everyone else.

I don't like Rou's misrepresenting of Kiro and Serp; they all seem to be coloured by the fact they all either voted or attacked him.  Especially this quote:

Quote
In terms of new suspicions I'm really not liking Kiro, actually - he feels a lot harsher and more aggressive for some reason, attacking other players' points rather than making his own.

Which has to be the single worst line I have ever seen from him (other than his emotional trainwrecks, of course), showing a very inconclusive use of meta, as well as an accusation that doesn't stand up on its own (attacking other people's points is completely fine if it shows them to be scummy), and in fact, doesn't even have any grounding in any of Kiro's posts!  I'll leave the defence to Kiro himself, but judging that Rou seems to be trying to pin suspicion on pretty much everyone for very bad reasons, he has jumped leaps and bounds on my scumdar.

As for your points against Serp, what's wrong with witholding judgment?  It's definitely not a 'pesco or me' thing; not by any means; if people don't find any of your points alright enough to consider the other party scum, then what's wrong with finding people okay?  Carthrat pretty much did it, and so did I to a large extent, why aren't you attacking us too instead?  It's something I can't seem to understand, selective scumhunting is definitely scummy.

---

@Kanguya:

Quote
I'm not confident in my opinions

obvscum right there.  People who don't have opinions are automatically anti-town in my book, really.  Vote stays until you have soemthing of note.

Quote
instead of mindlessly agreeing with others who DO have valid points

This is an opinion in itself and must be justified.  Don't wait till the future to justify them, do it now, really.  Also, going all 'oh no I made a mistake' and giving an Aesop about apologizing isn't going to solve anything really, especially since you made no attempt to defend your mindless agreeing by any means; making everything seem artificial.

While the Baity post is solid; the issue has really been addressed too many times for me to have any faith added on to you. 

---

@Baity:

Other than that, Baity is still very very bad for putting himself over everyone else and WIFOM madness.  His defences are also very shoddy; and his crusade against pesco is not the slightest bit convincing.  This one quote, for example,

Quote
Though it could be play from either side of town, or scum knowing that I'm town and getting a free lynch.

is fortune-telling.  Still very okay with him for being a lynch for today.  Also;

Quote
Keyword; slightly. Like 2%. (Very Weak) Reason?

Ah, what might the reason be then?

Quote
In short, I simply disagree to your justification that I was a non-townie at this point (i.e. the very start).

Horrible defending is not townie behavior.  Not havng an opinion is not townie behaviour (at the start).  Self-voting, is not townie behavior (at the start).  They are all, in fact, anti-town.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Pesco on May 18, 2009, 07:26:38 AM
@Kiro: There's been much hounding at me to respond to Rou, such that it's been listed as a point against me for not responding to everything he says. I only see UK and Rou asking for a reply lately, do you think I should?

Edible's popup is IIoA, anyone else agree? There's definitely more that he could have talked about.

I'd rather not wait for Alert to deliver at this point in time and tentatively ask that he gets replaced instead.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kiro on May 18, 2009, 07:47:39 AM
Pesco: I think Rou and UK want you to scumhunt more clearly and not waste time being reactionary. Since you think Rou is Townie, try not to be confrontational with him unless you come to a point where you don't think he's Townie anymore. That's how I'll interpret your next set of responses.

I probably glazed over this earlier and I want to post this before I go to sleep so please answer all this again in a straightforward manner even if you had already done so earlier. Do you have anything to add regarding KY's waffleness? Are you more inclined to think of him as an initially clueless Townie or did he really waffle too much earlier and you're pretty certain he's Scum?

Also, I'm curious about the UK coaching thing. Explain your suspicions on that more. It didn't look like coaching to me, because I don't see how Scum UK bothering to do so would have really helped Scum KY. Whether there's Scum Daytalk or not, there's no reason for UK to publically stick her neck out like that to coach. So it's a much more dangerous action for her to do if she were Scum rather than a Townie. And it's not like it absolved any of KY's faults. I don't think it gave her any Townie cred either; I see her as default neutral.

Any other thoughts you want to add are welcome.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 18, 2009, 08:24:36 AM
...Internet died while I was attempting to post.

So, while waiting for the connection to reestablish, I opened one of my offline tabs to do some reading. (lecture notes, stuff like that)

Turns out that I had the "Give me a warning when closing multiple tabs" option disabled. I have a habit of closing multiple windows, and not tabs (from multi-tasking programs).

Soo.... yeah. I'll have to retype my WoT I had going for a few hours after I said I was typing.

Think I'll have to cut down on content though; tomorrow's one of those "full days with in depth analysis". (Read: 8am->9pm at the University)


...and it looks like more posts were added before my internet said "screw you", so bleh. The internet connection usually only dies for 30 minutes at max as well.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 09:11:23 AM
Quote from: UncertainKitten
What are you asking here? Are you asking me why I don't suspect pesco? Because...I do suspect him. I suspect others more. As for you, I thought some of your arguments were weird and didn't make much sense. I don't have to agree with your arguments to agree with your conclusion.
I'm asking why Pesco seems to think that you have to agree with my case for him to be scum. If you can make a case against him then that should logically be enough.

Quote from: Serpentarius
No one?  Really?  I could easily see a less experience player doing it when faced with a compelling roleclaim or something.
Not when the entire Town has told them not to. And if we have it at 6/6 then we'd need 2 of your clueless Townies to mess things up.

Quote
Well, isn't that implicit?  If there's no reason not to lynch someone, then you lynch him if there are no better options.  See my point just above.
This implies that lynching is necessary. If we have a choice between lynching one player who's probably scum, and lynching two players one of whom is probably scum and the other could be anything, we'll be worse off choosing the latter in the event that Player 2 is Town. In the same way we only want to go for the triple lynch with 3 strong suspects, we want 2 for the double lynch.

Quote
Alright, I'm getting a little sick of having my neutrality towards Pesco being misconstrued as a lack of opinion.  Your case is that Pesco is scummy.  My response is that your case is not compelling, and Pesco doesn't look scummy.  You claim that if I hold this view, I must necessarily break up your argument, here.  I held that it was early in the day, so I didn't mind if you pressed each other and looked for scumtells.  You seemed to have a problem comprehending this point, 'cause I've been reiterating it for the last few pages and haven't made any progress on you.
1. I only asked why you didn't break it up at that point because at the time I thought you were interpreting the PvR debate as Town/Town.
2. This logic that it's okay to randomly accuse people with no suspicion when there are better targets around is horrifically flawed. It's like taking your random vote at the beginning of the game and sticking with it, giving reasoning as you go along.
3. You do realise that if PvR IS a Town/Town fight, sitting and letting us pick at each other would be an excellent plan for scum, right? Whoever wins it's a free mislynch.

Quote
In the first hours of the first day, yes!  Absolutely!
No. No, no, NO.
I can't believe you're actually saying this.
There is NO reason to make a case that you know is poor. Pick out people's mistake because you honestly believe they're scummy, don't do it if you know there's a flaw in your logic.

Quote
See my point above about all early cases.  Also, considering that you've completely dropped the Pesco angle that got us here in the first place, are you conceding that your point against him was poor as well?  'Cause that's what I've held from the beginning, you know.
Two points here:
- I've given a good list of reasons for why to suspect Pesco, but as is you're still proving worse in my eyes.
- HERE'S MY POINT - IF YOU THOUGHT MY CASE AGAINST PESCO WAS POOR, WHY THE HELL DIDN'T YOU VOTE FOR ME LIKE ANY NORMAL TOWNIE WOULD?

Quote
Are you referring to the italicized part specifically, where I point out that Zakeri ought to know about such an obvious scumtell?  Which he then agreed with?
It just feels condescending is all. Like you're goading him into agreeing with you.

Quote
Please, show me where I've contradicted the underlined statement up above if you're going to continue holding this point.  Your criteria for "different view" appears to be limited to "different word choice."
Alright then:
Quote
Your back-and-forth with Pesco is just you two attacking each others' statements and disagreeing over interpretations.  None of the statements I haven't responded to seem unusually scummy to me, and I'm sure as heck not going to defend them in your place, so as far as I'm concerned, you two can just continue to go at each other.
Translation: "Neither of you seem that scummy, but I'll let you argue anyway."

Quote
I don't think it's a distraction.  The chance might be the same or better if you were to start picking someone else apart (which is precisely what you're aiming to do now, right?), or it could be worse.  Do I think you and Pesco are worth suspicion?  Absolutely, but just not really any more than anyone else at the moment, and neither more than the other.
Translation: "Both of you are relatively suspicious."

Quote
Re-reading Roukanken v. Pesco, it looks to me like Pesco is just being an ass.  Whether that's normal for him or not, I don't know, since I've only seen scum-Pesco in my history here.  Still, I've seen townie players use abrasiveness to great effect before, so I won't consider it a scumtell.  I still don't blame Roukanken for putting pressure on him, though.  Since we have the luxury of a multi-lynch, I won't object to a Pesco lynch, as long as no one else has become significantly more scummy by the deadline (lurkers, I'm looking at you).
Translation: "Pesco is being a dick, but since that's very rarely used by Townies I'll ignore it as a scumtell entirely."

Quote
Quite the opposite.  My whole point is that neither of them seem really scummy to me, but I don't mind them squeezing each other and seeing if something scummy pops out.  They're both playing smart, as I see it.  At this stage in the game, you can agree with people's methods without agreeing with their votes.
And we're back to 'Neither of them are scummy' again.

Quote
I'm saying that you're middling in suspicion.  That's not a contradiction.
Quote
I've made my opinion on Pesco clear from the beginning.  I don't find your case on him compelling, but I don't find his defense compelling either.  We need to lynch someone, and the more the better, and I have no reason to suspect him of being more townie than anyone else, so if he gets lynched, I won't mind, but if he doesn't get lynched, I won't mind then either.
"Apparently I now want to lynch a player who I just said isn't scummy, because obviously we need to doublelynch, right?"

Quote
Roukanken, if you're still convinced that Pesco47 is worse than the guy who still has his random vote from the beginning of the game, the guy who was humping my leg on horrible reasoning 'till just recently, and freakin' BaitySM, I think we may have reached the point where I'll actively discourage your tunneling.  We need to settle on our lynches soon.
"And now I don't want to lynch him because I want to get rid of an inactive instead."

Happy now?

This game is really starting to depress me. Will work through everyone else's points in an EBWOP.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 18, 2009, 09:17:47 AM
EBWOPT:

Quote from: Rou
Baity, I don't like how you're using 'it's my first time playing here' as your universal excuse for everything.
Not everything, but where its necessary. The fact that people used examples (of other people) which I have no idea about makes things a hell of a lot more confusing for me.


Quote from: UK
Effectively admitting Fong's gambit

*facepalm*
Quote from: @
Quote from: Rou
You know, there are better ways to generate discussion than self-voting, such as, say, developing a genuine case against another player rather than a jokevote. >_>
And if it wasn't intended as Fong's Gambit, what exactly was it meant to do?
While it might have seemed that I was after people who would vote for me after, it was actually directed at pesco.

Quote from: UK
You should probably just have dropped it.
Maybe, but if I drop it, it may as well create more suspicion.


Quote
Ah, what might the reason be then?
Originally, it was this...

Quote from: @
Categorizing behavior. Over the internet, it's quite easy to initially lie your way through. However, as the game goes on, it gets harder and harder to lie, as there is a greater amount of information you have to check over, using your lies to create other lies (or distorted truths, whatever you prefer). In short, I simply disagree to your justification that I was a non-townie at this point (i.e. the very start).
Now I feel, after looking over what I posted (last night? I have horrible memory), it's more this (and better suited to the 2%):

Quote
-KY votes Affinity-
Quote from: pesco47
You can do better than that. Put some backbone into it.
In case you couldn't pick it up, it sounds like the most ludicrous claim I could make.


---


Quote from: Rou
Baity, a question for when you get back - who are your current suspects besides Pesco?
From the top of my head, I would say Serp. If memory serves, there was something in one of the posts that caught my eye. The others, I haven't exactly drawn any logical conclusion yet, apart from Affinity at the whopping 2% suspicion.

Chances are, I won't find anything new if I try though. But, I guess it really wouldn't help or destroy my case if I tried...


Quote from: Edible
In addition, he's been drawing way too much attention to himself and his "role," which makes me want to force him to divulge said role, especially considering we have approximately a day left and I'd like to avoid the mess we made of last game's D1 end.
I'll gladly comply with this, but if I do, it's essentially giving up the role. If you agree, or disagree with me divulging (in accordance to Edible's request), please say so, and I will do so, at about the time he said this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13454#msg13454), with the obvious addition of 24 hours. I chose that time because it's the most suited to mine. I'll even try to go for about 3 hours earlier, but that's really pushing my body to the limit in terms of physical strength.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 09:47:46 AM
Quote from: Zakeri
I never said I thought it was wrong when I posted it, did I? In fact, your counter point against that was met with My own counter.
You made three points, I made three counter points. Of those three, you found some difficulty with one and were forced to accept the other two.

Edible: Seriously? (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13532#msg13532) That's all you have to reply to 48 hours of posting? >_>

Quote from: Kiro
Rou: Making a bad case is not always the same as making a serious case. I think some things can go unspoken, like how Pesco decided to push an "obviously bad case" for reactions, but only after Baity had already secured Pesco's vote by doing that self vote. Serp actually pointed it out best that there's leeway to make a bad case when the game just started because there's nothing else to do early on. I don't know why you're complaining in particular about Pesco on this point when Baity is a top lynch candidate right now.
The last temptation is the greatest treason: to do the right deed for the wrong reason.
I don't care if other people made good cases, or if later events made Baity crack - bad cases are how scum get mislynches. The selfvote didn't come until after the 2d6 argument.

Quote
On your point regarding Serp not having an opinion on your argument, Serp conveniently pointed out the post (link's broken though, I had to reference it manually as #105) that you indirectly asked why Serp wasn't "objecting to the argument." I do think that qualifies as wanting someone to step in and give both sides a temporary pause.
Again, I only said that there because I thought Serpentarius considered us Town/Town. Given that he didn't, his lack of opinion feels like a copout.

Quote
And to say that he has no opinion on the fight works from either a Townie perspective not having enough info to determine whether this is a Town vs Town fight or not, or a Scum perspective of knowing there's a potential mislynch in the works and letting it run its course. You seem to think it's the latter, but I don't think how he worded it is conclusive enough for it to be so and I don't see why you think so.
Oh hey, we don't have enough info on this debate! Let's sit here and do nothing about it rather than discuss it to generate new information.

Quote
I'm also not sure how this got stronger than Pesco's case and while trying to get a 3rd lynch in given the Day setup may not be a bad idea, I don't think the way you've worded your case on Serp merits it. What you described could very well indeed be a clueless Townie anyways, but at least he's produced more than some other players this game. I'd put Alert or KY ahead of Serp in such a case. By the way Rou, what's your opinion on KY anyways?
I don't honestly know how to analyse KY right now. He's been like this in the last two games, and he was Town in both of them. Basically, he's Wrathie v1.5. >_>
He annoys me in that I WANT to suspect him, but I'm worried that he just doesn't know what he's doing. Since he's picking up a little, I'll do what I'm doing with Alert and give him until D2 to improve.

Quote from: Affinity
Which has to be the single worst line I have ever seen from him (other than his emotional trainwrecks, of course), showing a very inconclusive use of meta, as well as an accusation that doesn't stand up on its own (attacking other people's points is completely fine if it shows them to be scummy), and in fact, doesn't even have any grounding in any of Kiro's posts!  I'll leave the defence to Kiro himself, but judging that Rou seems to be trying to pin suspicion on pretty much everyone for very bad reasons, he has jumped leaps and bounds on my scumdar.
I will admit that my suspicions of Kiro do have a good deal of basis in gut instinct, but I'm just very annoyed by his method of play right now. He's very closed-minded in his targets of discussion - he's still talking about pretty much no-one besides Pesco, myself, Baity and Serp - and he's not making his typical constructive points, choosing instead to spend all his time picking at other people's arguments rather than presenting his own.

Quote
As for your points against Serp, what's wrong with witholding judgment?  It's definitely not a 'pesco or me' thing; not by any means; if people don't find any of your points alright enough to consider the other party scum, then what's wrong with finding people okay?  Carthrat pretty much did it, and so did I to a large extent, why aren't you attacking us too instead?  It's something I can't seem to understand, selective scumhunting is definitely scummy.
Actually, let's do a little reading here.
Quote from: Affinity
I agree with Rou on this issue.  You should answer directly to his argument about your method of attack instead of going off-tangent like this.  Also, a little tunnely, which I disapprove of.
Quote from: Carthrat
Rou's barely addressed what was spoken by people other than Pesco and can't seem to keep a clear head. Complaining about the lack of anyone else... doesn't work for me when he buys so thoroughly into Pesco's snarkiness.

Pesco is unhappiness as well for joining in these excruciating rants. Baiting Rou is sort of uncool. Being generally snipy is sort of uncool. Acting the victim later is also pretty weird when his posts are so *obviously* meant to inflame.

...don't like Rou/Pesco argument
THAT is what I call having an opinion.
Note the difference - Carth says 'This argument is pointless, stop now', and Serp says 'This argument is pointless, but carry on just in case something comes up'. The latter is contradictory in my opinion.

Quote
People who don't have opinions are automatically anti-town in my book, really.
Herein lies my point about Serp.

Quote from: Pesco47
@Kiro: There's been much hounding at me to respond to Rou, such that it's been listed as a point against me for not responding to everything he says. I only see UK and Rou asking for a reply lately, do you think I should?
Not giving a reply means that you're halting discussion. That's anti-town.

Ninja Baity 'WoT':
Quote
Not everything, but where its necessary. The fact that people used examples (of other people) which I have no idea about makes things a hell of a lot more confusing for me.
But why should it be a player-specific trait that 'I will vote for a player who selfvotes'?

Quote
While it might have seemed that I was after people who would vote for me after, it was actually directed at pesco.
Why Pesco in particular? What had he done at that point to arouse your suspicions?

Quote
From the top of my head, I would say Serp. If memory serves, there was something in one of the posts that caught my eye.
Precise. T_T

Still looking for a Baity/Serp lynch. Actually, I'd wish the day would end ASAP - these arguments are starting to devolve into plain bickering. >_>
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Carthrat on May 18, 2009, 10:37:22 AM
Quote from: Serp
What issues with what people?

KY's obvious due to vote, on calling people as townie. Baity as well for his earlier weirdness play. And the deal here is more just letting some random lynch slide by when you have other ideas; in your later posts after the fact you're looking at a bait/KY/alert triumvirate? (not too impressed by a shot on alert, really, but eh.)

Also since you said it like this, sure.
Quote from: Serp
Pesco isn't any more or less scummy than the average player.  We have a multi-lynch option, and only 2 especially scummy players, so any third lynch is better than none, including Pesco.

This itself is bad, you're not allowed to hold neutrality on any lynch. Either you have a better person to shove through, or you are functionally supporting his lynch, and thus your reasons for doing so may be called into question. There's no other stance.

@Alice: I'm not creating scumpair theories, I'm picking two people to lynch! FFS yourself, multi-lynch demands multi-track drifting.

Edible managed to talk about bait and pesco and didn't really add anything new there. His opinions seem astonishingly conventional and lack new insight.

Briefly noted Zakeri explaining to Baity 'you're being lynched because you're WIFOMing. Here's what WIFOM means and why it's bad.' Ok, sure, but we're not running mafia academy here. The tone of the explanation reads like you're correcting bad play more than scumhunting.

@Rou: What's so bad about being aggressive and calling out people on what they say? That's what arguing in mafia is, surely. That and the latest 'oh my god why am I even playing mafia' is starting to get hysterical...
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 10:58:17 AM
@Rou: What's so bad about being aggressive and calling out people on what they say? That's what arguing in mafia is, surely. That and the latest 'oh my god why am I even playing mafia' is starting to get hysterical...
I suppose this is relatively obvious, but I think the main problem is that we're talking WAY too much for D1 (I admit I'm notably guilty of this). There are barely any facts on the table, so arguments are basically never going to be clear-cut and every point leads to a counterpoint, which is itself countered and so on ad infinitum. Everyone's arguing their opinion, but because no-one has real concrete evidence pretty much everyone disagrees with everyone.
And that last point wasn't an 'Oh my God, why am I even playing Mafia', it was more a matter of 'What are we actually gaining from all this debate?'. For all the WoTs, I'm not sure how much progress has actually been made in terms of discussion, and all it's doing is pissing people off.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 18, 2009, 11:19:15 AM
Quote from: Rou
But why should it be a player-specific trait that 'I will vote for a player who selfvotes'?
Hold on, I'm not getting the question. Could you rephrase? I can't get a perfect read of what you're asking for.

Quote from: Rou
Why Pesco in particular? What had he done at that point to arouse your suspicions?
Let's see; summary of suspicions (different to justifications, so I'll end up using different pieces):
-Avoided my question initially (here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12731#msg12731))
-Player bias; there are others that do this to a degree, but I don't have much else other than that on them (here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12737#msg12737)). The fact that it's now clarified about Wrathie playing... (yeah, you know), helped me understand this point.
-The awkward answer in this post, about why "scum" would vote for themselves. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12781#msg12781) I'm not going to let this one go.

That's the initial suspicion, around where I started my analysis, and is acting as the foundation of my argument.

Quote from: Rou
Precise. T_T
Working on it. >_>
But it seems I've taken far too much time over-analyzing everything. And writing down whatever the hell's below. I'll be lucky if I can even find one shred of new evidence at this point.

---

Re: WIFOM

Quote
Ok, I'm going to go over this slowly. This is called Wine in Front of Me, and trying to involk such a thing is considered scummy play, since it shows you're intentionally working on confusion. Anyone that needs to confuse other people into not voting for them means that they don't feel that they can find anyone that the town wants to lynch more than them. This means that you are either Pro-scum, or Anti-town. This is why you are being lynched.

I know what WIFOM is. I've used, and seen WIFOM in past games as a means of thinking further, and not just as a tool of confusing people (though, they may as well be doing the latter at this point, since we're on quite a limited time frame... damn it I feel so bad about this).

It's also not the only reason why I'm being lynched I believe.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 18, 2009, 11:21:25 AM
EBWOP:

---
Quote from: @
Re: WIFOM

I know what WIFOM is. I've used, and seen WIFOM in past games as a means of thinking further, and not just as a tool of confusing people (though, they may as well be doing the latter at this point, since we're on quite a limited time frame... damn it I feel so bad about this).

It's also not the only reason why I'm being lynched I believe.

...I take it that I can assume that the majority (if not all?) have seen WIFOM used only as a tool for confusing people?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 11:25:33 AM
Hold on, I'm not getting the question. Could you rephrase? I can't get a perfect read of what you're asking for.
You selfvoted despite it being a pretty pointless and ridiculous action. Your defense was that you didn't kow that that was how we reacted to selfvotes over here. I'm asking 'how else would anyone respond?'

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The awkward answer in this post, about why "scum" would vote for themselves. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12781#msg12781) I'm not going to let this one go.
Why didn't you mention things like this earlier?

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I know what WIFOM is. I've used, and seen WIFOM in past games as a means of thinking further, and not just as a tool of confusing people (though, they may as well be doing the latter at this point, since we're on quite a limited time frame... damn it I feel so bad about this).
...This makes no sense. WIFOM is never constructive - it gives us two options and no way to discern between them, and one of these choices is cataclysmic. How does that help us 'think further'?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 11:27:22 AM
EBWOP to clarify the second point:
Your earlier explanation of this point revolved around the use of player meta instead of simply making a weak point. Why the change?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 18, 2009, 11:57:44 AM
Quote from: Rou
You selfvoted despite it being a pretty pointless and ridiculous action. Your defense was that you didn't kow that that was how we reacted to selfvotes over here. I'm asking 'how else would anyone respond?'
Varies by the person. The fact that basically everybody took it as a "wtf r u dong" [intentional spelling error] action was a bit... surprising. Others, took their own unique stances in the situation.

It was the way I thought of for me to get pesco to attempt to build the case against me. Ridiculous? Yes. Pointless? Maybe. It did give off good points to work with though.

Quote from: Rou
Why didn't you mention things like this earlier? Your earlier explanation of this point revolved around the use of player meta instead of simply making a weak point. Why the change?
I did what now? Checking...

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...This makes no sense. WIFOM is never constructive - it gives us two options and no way to discern between them, and one of these choices is cataclysmic. How does that help us 'think further'?
I should have just said "learning experience". My apologies for the horrible choice of words / expression / context / (whatever the hell I did wrong, there's probably several things wrong with I just wrote).

---

Also, I'm a bit concerned how the vote count has evened out, especially with two people currently not voting (if this is right from the point I'm posting from). The fact that it will probably slide to the point of pure evenness while I'm asleep is disturbing. Or invert. Or do something unexpected.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 18, 2009, 01:30:27 PM
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I'm asking why Pesco seems to think that you have to agree with my case for him to be scum. If you can make a case against him then that should logically be enough.

And that makes about a ton more sense. Thanks ^-^

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Maybe, but if I drop it, it may as well create more suspicion.

Probably now. I really dunno what to say.

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I'll gladly comply with this, but if I do, it's essentially giving up the role. If you agree, or disagree with me divulging (in accordance to Edible's request), please say so, and I will do so, at about the time he said this, with the obvious addition of 24 hours. I chose that time because it's the most suited to mine. I'll even try to go for about 3 hours earlier, but that's really pushing my body to the limit in terms of physical strength.

You are a reasonbly certain lynch. Claiming is for the best.

*facepalms as she really reads the Edible post linked by Rou*

Seriously? Just...I'm really beginning to consider lynching half the group at this point. Edible, Pesco, Mr_Alert (pending replacement), Kanguya, and Baity would all make very nice targets.

Baity seems to try to pre defend himself from things like "bad word choice" and such. It's like he's trying to build a free pass to retcon what he says...I don't like the feel of it. Also, finally, we see why he wanted pesco's blood, which is good ^-^.

And that's mostly caught up.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 18, 2009, 03:16:25 PM
Vote count:

pesco47 (3): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius, Kiro
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (2): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 and BaitySM are at L-5.

Not voting: Zakeri, Mr. Alert.

A little less than 12 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 18, 2009, 03:32:43 PM
Not when the entire Town has told them not to. And if we have it at 6/6 then we'd need 2 of your clueless Townies to mess things up.

Does a 6/6 seem at all likely to you right now?

Quote from: Roukanken
This implies that lynching is necessary. If we have a choice between lynching one player who's probably scum, and lynching two players one of whom is probably scum and the other could be anything, we'll be worse off choosing the latter in the event that Player 2 is Town. In the same way we only want to go for the triple lynch with 3 strong suspects, we want 2 for the double lynch.

What!?  I can't believe you're saying this.  It goes against everything I know about lynching philosophy in mafia.  Sure, lynching a Town is wose than lynching no one at all, but why would you assume anyone as 100% town?  Why would you assume that in saying "I don't think your case on Pesco is good," I'm thinking that Pesco is 100% town?  You start the game with the same degree of suspicion for everyone.

Please, can everyone reading this line comment on this argument, so I know I haven't been dropped into a bizarro world where it's a good idea for the town to sacrifice lynches if they don't have a solid case?

Reading through the thread, you don't even agree with this!  Here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12763#msg12763), you say that you're pro-doublelynch, and anti-singlelynch, with no mention at all of how this should be modified depending on how many good cases we have.  This is what a contradiction looks like, Roukanken.

Quote from: Roukanken
This logic that it's okay to randomly accuse people with no suspicion when there are better targets around is horrifically flawed. It's like taking your random vote at the beginning of the game and sticking with it, giving reasoning as you go along.

At the time, BaitySM was starting to look pretty bad.  At the time, everyone seemed to agree that a multi-lynch was a good idea.  If it had been a typical one-lynch day, I probably would've jumped on the BaitySM case like everyone else, but I wanted to stir things up and find a good candidate for a second lynch.

Quote from: Roukanken
You do realise that if PvR IS a Town/Town fight, sitting and letting us pick at each other would be an excellent plan for scum, right? Whoever wins it's a free mislynch.

Not really, considering that Pesco's argument was pretty much entirely a defensive one.  His attacks were all on your character and your technique, not on your towniness.  If Pesco wins, then he doesn't get lynched, and someone more suspicious does instead.  Again, you yourself said here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12763#msg12763) that it's not smart to defend other players' statements.

Quote from: Roukanken
No. No, no, NO.
I can't believe you're actually saying this.
There is NO reason to make a case that you know is poor. Pick out people's mistake because you honestly believe they're scummy, don't do it if you know there's a flaw in your logic.

We seem to have a fundamental disagreement here on early scumhunting strategy.  That said, when I initially made that post, I thought it to be a weak argument, not a flawed one.  I knew it was contrived, but I thought it could theoretically be true.  With more time to think about it, and with some other players' comments on it, I eventually came around to the opinion that it was indeed flawed, but left it there since Affinity hadn't properly responded to it yet, and I wanted to see what he'd do.

Quote from: Roukanken
I've given a good list of reasons for why to suspect Pesco, but as is you're still proving worse in my eyes.

That doesn't make sense.  If you're no less suspicious of Pesco, but just more suspicious of me, then you ought to be pushing for a triple lynch.  Instead, you're just paying lip service to Pesco right now as an afterthought.

Quote from: Roukanken
HERE'S MY POINT - IF YOU THOUGHT MY CASE AGAINST PESCO WAS POOR, WHY THE HELL DIDN'T YOU VOTE FOR ME LIKE ANY NORMAL TOWNIE WOULD?

I'm pretty sure that Pesco thought your case against him was poor.  Notice that he didn't vote against you.  Your point here makes no sense at all.  I figured it was just a bad case early in the first day, which, as I've made known, I consider better than nothing.  For all I knew, Pesco might've cracked with a bit more pressure.

Quote from: Roukanken
It just feels condescending is all. Like you're goading him into agreeing with you.

In my defense, it's a really obvious point, and Zakeri has a reputation as a skilled player.  He shouldn't have needed me to point it out.

Quote from: Roukanken
Alright then:Translation: "Neither of you seem that scummy, but I'll let you argue anyway."
Translation: "Both of you are relatively suspicious."

How do you get from "not any more [suspicious] than anyone else at the moment" to "relatively suspicious"?  If anything, that should be read as "relatively not suspicious."

Quote from: Roukanken
Translation: "Pesco is being a dick, but since that's very rarely used by Townies I'll ignore it as a scumtell entirely."

Irrelevant, and as far as I can tell, it's just his personality.

Quote from: Roukanken
And we're back to 'Neither of them are scummy' again.

Quote was "neither of them seem really scummy to me."  That should be read as no more or less scummy than average.

Quote from: Roukanken
"Apparently I now want to lynch a player who I just said isn't scummy, because obviously we need to doublelynch, right?"

Considering that you agree with that statement (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12763#msg12763), as previously linked, yeah.

Quote from: Roukanken
"And now I don't want to lynch him because I want to get rid of an inactive instead."

Yes, that's right.  My opinion has always been "I don't mind lynching Pesco if no one better comes up."  Someone better came up.  Now I don't want to lynch him.

Quote from: Roukanken
Happy now?

Still waiting on that grand list of contradictions and waffling opinions.  All I see here is a few unrelated quotes you take issue with.

Quote from: Carthrat
KY's obvious due to vote, on calling people as townie. Baity as well for his earlier weirdness play. And the deal here is more just letting some random lynch slide by when you have other ideas; in your later posts after the fact you're looking at a bait/KY/alert triumvirate? (not too impressed by a shot on alert, really, but eh.)

I consider Baity and KY scummy on their own merits, more likely than the average player to be scum, but I consider Alert a nuisance for not existing.  Also getting irritated at Edible for the same reason.  I've been pushing for Baity and KY to both be lynched for awhile now.  Since a triple lynch is a possibility, and I've not had any other leads, I've been fine with trying to get someone else in there too - "letting some random lynch slide by" is fine when it doesn't interfere with getting rid of the really scummy people.  Now that we clearly have inactivity hijinks to deal with, I'm not happy with lynching some random person along with Baity and KY.  I think we should aim for getting rid of one of these inactive liabilities too, if we can manage it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 18, 2009, 03:37:12 PM
Also note:

Kanguya appears to be attempting to survive the day by disappearing and letting Roukanken shift attention onto me.  His last post was 19 hours ago.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 04:16:02 PM
Does a 6/6 seem at all likely to you right now?
You've changed the question from 'Will 6/6 work?' to 'Can we pull off 6/6?'.
Admittedly the odds of it working are low, but that doesn't give us an excuse not to try for it.

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What!?  I can't believe you're saying this.  It goes against everything I know about lynching philosophy in mafia.  Sure, lynching a Town is wose than lynching no one at all, but why would you assume anyone as 100% town?  Why would you assume that in saying "I don't think your case on Pesco is good," I'm thinking that Pesco is 100% town?  You start the game with the same degree of suspicion for everyone.
So to take your apparent theory the whole way, we should lynch everyone since everyone is as suspicious as Pesco is!
You said you'd lynch Pesco if there were no other options - i.e. no-one else had done anything suspicious besides Baity. Lynching for the sake of lynching doesn't do Town any favours - if you can't give a reason as to why player X is scum, either look harder or press harder. You were doing neither of these with Pesco, but you were still fine with lynching him.

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Reading through the thread, you don't even agree with this!  Here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12763#msg12763), you say that you're pro-doublelynch, and anti-singlelynch, with no mention at all of how this should be modified depending on how many good cases we have.  This is what a contradiction looks like, Roukanken.
YOU'RE the one who seems to think that this second lynch is simply something to fall back on if there are no other options. And was it really so bad to assume that Town would be able to come up with two reasonable suspects in 72 hours?

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At the time, BaitySM was starting to look pretty bad.  At the time, everyone seemed to agree that a multi-lynch was a good idea.  If it had been a typical one-lynch day, I probably would've jumped on the BaitySM case like everyone else, but I wanted to stir things up and find a good candidate for a second lynch.
Waffle. The question was 'why did you find my argument on Pesco okay if it seemed flawed to you?' and you haven't even come close to answering it.

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Not really, considering that Pesco's argument was pretty much entirely a defensive one.  His attacks were all on your character and your technique, not on your towniness.  If Pesco wins, then he doesn't get lynched, and someone more suspicious does instead.  Again, you yourself said here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12763#msg12763) that it's not smart to defend other players' statements.
Perhaps not but if I win, Pesco gets lynched, flips Town, and then everyone turns on me. Possibly two mislynches, and scum has nothing to lose.
Besides that, a Town/Town PvR would make an excellent distraction for scum lurkers.

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That doesn't make sense.  If you're no less suspicious of Pesco, but just more suspicious of me, then you ought to be pushing for a triple lynch.  Instead, you're just paying lip service to Pesco right now as an afterthought.
I still want a double-lynch - triple is too risky for all the reasons I mentioned earlier.

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I'm pretty sure that Pesco thought your case against him was poor.  Notice that he didn't vote against you.  Your point here makes no sense at all.  I figured it was just a bad case early in the first day, which, as I've made known, I consider better than nothing.  For all I knew, Pesco might've cracked with a bit more pressure.
Scum!Pesco's main method of defeating a case against him is to ignore it entirely, as you saw him doing to Umu in Worker's Union. Did he vote for Umu in Worker's Union, or did he choose to focus his time on the easy target Wrathie? Gee, I wonder...

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How do you get from "not any more [suspicious] than anyone else at the moment" to "relatively suspicious"?  If anything, that should be read as "relatively not suspicious."
You outright said in the second post that the two of us were worth suspicion. You can't say that every player at once is 'worth suspicion', that's just outright paranoia.

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Irrelevant, and as far as I can tell, it's just his personality.
So ad hominem attacks are okay?

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Quote was "neither of them seem really scummy to me."  That should be read as no more or less scummy than average.
What do you mean, average? People are either acting scummy or they're not - it's Boolean logic. Either you think a player should be lynched or you don't.

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Considering that you agree with that statement (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12763#msg12763), as previously linked, yeah.
As I've already said, doublelynch IF WE HAVE TWO GOOD SUSPECTS.

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Yes, that's right.  My opinion has always been "I don't mind lynching Pesco if no one better comes up."  Someone better came up.  Now I don't want to lynch him.
But if you think he's a relatively decent suspect, why didn't you bother pressing his case? Leaving someone else to do all the arguing doesn't help Town at all.

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Still waiting on that grand list of contradictions and waffling opinions.  All I see here is a few unrelated quotes you take issue with.
I've clarified my point. Feel like explaining your concept of 'average scumminess'?

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I consider Baity and KY scummy on their own merits, more likely than the average player to be scum,
Okay, I'm going to finish off by pointing this out again.
After my argument came out, you considered Pesco to be of 'average' suspicion. Since apparently that's the level of suspicion you put everyone at, that means my argument did nothing. Why, then, are you okay with me saying nothing of use and producing a weak case? Weak cases are worse than saying nothing because they lead Town down the wrong track. And you're FINE with that?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 04:20:25 PM
EBWOP: And another thing - given the points I've raised against you, am I'm still only of 'average scumminess' in your eyes? Or are you still fine with what you consider weak reasoning?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kiro on May 18, 2009, 04:48:32 PM
I am retardedly busy right now and there's too much material since my last post that I probably won't have time for a post this morning.

I should be able to check in at around 3 PM PST (5 hours before deadline) and then the last hour or 2 before deadline.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 18, 2009, 05:41:50 PM
You've changed the question from 'Will 6/6 work?' to 'Can we pull off 6/6?'.
Admittedly the odds of it working are low, but that doesn't give us an excuse not to try for it.

We might as well try for it, but we shouldn't assume we can achieve it.  You're saying "In the best case scenario, the odds of screwing it up are minimal."  That's true, but not very useful.

Quote from: Roukanken
So to take your apparent theory the whole way, we should lynch everyone since everyone is as suspicious as Pesco is!
Quote from: Roukanken
You said you'd lynch Pesco if there were no other options - i.e. no-one else had done anything suspicious besides Baity. Lynching for the sake of lynching doesn't do Town any favours - if you can't give a reason as to why player X is scum, either look harder or press harder. You were doing neither of these with Pesco, but you were still fine with lynching him.

Considering the early speculation about how we could use this room to kill off half the players at random, I'm not alone in this sort of thinking.  If no one stands out as unusually scummy, it's in the town's best interest to execute at random.  The only way to kill scum is to lynch them - spending all day whining about how we don't have enough evidence to convict just gives the mafia a free pass to the next night.  It's virtually always better to do one lynch than no lynch, and better to do two lynches than one lynch.

Quote from: Roukanken
YOU'RE the one who seems to think that this second lynch is simply something to fall back on if there are no other options. And was it really so bad to assume that Town would be able to come up with two reasonable suspects in 72 hours?
Quote from: Roukanken
As I've already said, doublelynch IF WE HAVE TWO GOOD SUSPECTS.

Unspoken assumptions make for misunderstandings.  Anyway, see my point above about how more lynching is better.

Quote from: Roukanken
Waffle. The question was 'why did you find my argument on Pesco okay if it seemed flawed to you?' and you haven't even come close to answering it.

You were putting pressure on him, as I had been intending to do with Affinity.  If he broke, it would've given us a good second lynch target.  As I saw it, you were doing the same thing I was doing.

Quote from: Roukanken
Perhaps not but if I win, Pesco gets lynched, flips Town, and then everyone turns on me. Possibly two mislynches, and scum has nothing to lose.

Now you're the one being pessimistic.  In any case, part of my justification for letting you continue on Pesco was that it was still early in the day.  If you had continued to push Pesco into the last part of the day, when we needed to settle on our lynches, I would've called on you to stop it then.  I did call on you to stop it then, when I settled on Mr Alert as my preferred terciary lynch.  I also figured you'd drop the case anyway when you were satisfied and move onto something else if it continued to fail to produce.

Quote from: Roukanken
Besides that, a Town/Town PvR would make an excellent distraction for scum lurkers.

A Town/Town SvR would be even better, apparently.  See my EBWOP about how Kanguya seems content to ride this out. 

Quote from: Roukanken
I still want a double-lynch - triple is too risky for all the reasons I mentioned earlier.

I think it might've been a good idea to try at one point, but we're getting close to the deadline, so I don't see us getting to a stable 3 lynch solution either.  I'm still wanting BaitySM and KY lynched right now.

Quote from: Roukanken
Scum!Pesco's main method of defeating a case against him is to ignore it entirely, as you saw him doing to Umu in Worker's Union. Did he vote for Umu in Worker's Union, or did he choose to focus his time on the easy target Wrathie? Gee, I wonder...

You're missing the point.  You said that I ought to vote against you if I found your case bad.  As I said earlier, you seemed sincere to me.  Heck, Pesco himself said something earlier about how angry Rou strikes him as townie.

Anyway, I also note that you're suddenly basing a lot of your arguments from the assumption that Pesco is innocent, despite the fact that his responses to your accusations are exactly what you consider to be his scum M.O.  Care to explain this?

Quote from: Roukanken
You outright said in the second post that the two of us were worth suspicion. You can't say that every player at once is 'worth suspicion', that's just outright paranoia.

Apropos of nothing, it'd be stupid and paranoid to say it.  You explicitly asked me whether I thought you and Pesco were worthy of suspicion, though, and to answer "No, neither of you are worthy of suspicion" would be stupid and scummy.  Everyone is worth suspicion, from the start.  Only through making good cases and catching scum do people become somewhat exempt from it.

Quote from: Roukanken
So ad hominem attacks are okay?

They aren't good play, but they aren't exactly a scumtell.

Quote from: Roukanken
I've clarified my point. Feel like explaining your concept of 'average scumminess'?
Quote from: Roukanken
What do you mean, average? People are either acting scummy or they're not - it's Boolean logic. Either you think a player should be lynched or you don't.

Uh, what?  I thought it was standard procedure to have a little chart in your head of who's acting more scummy than who.  The scummiest person is the one you press to have lynched.  If two people are equally scummy, you lynch one based on gut feelings or randomly or whatever.  Average scumminess is what everyone is considered to have from the beginning.

Quote from: Roukanken
But if you think he's a relatively decent suspect, why didn't you bother pressing his case? Leaving someone else to do all the arguing doesn't help Town at all.

As I explicitly said, I considered him a decent lynch if no one better came up.  This seems to tie back into your objection to my idea of a broad scumminess scale instead of a boolean one.  I would've considered him a bad lynch if he had managed to appear un-scummy through townie behavior.  As things stood, I considered him no better than any other randomly chosen person.  If you had asked me what I thought about a UK lynch or an Alice lynch, I would've told you the same thing.  Fine as a terciary if no one better shows up.

Quote from: Roukanken
Okay, I'm going to finish off by pointing this out again.
After my argument came out, you considered Pesco to be of 'average' suspicion. Since apparently that's the level of suspicion you put everyone at, that means my argument did nothing. Why, then, are you okay with me saying nothing of use and producing a weak case? Weak cases are worse than saying nothing because they lead Town down the wrong track. And you're FINE with that?

This seems to be a fundamental disagreement over what constitutes good scumhunting.  Your argument did indeed do nothing at all to make me think of Pesco as scummier.  It was a weak argument.  But it was an early game accusation, and at the time, it was the most detailed case out there.  It didn't convince me of Pesco's scumminess, but I wouldn't call it useless by any means.  I think it was better than saying nothing, 'cause it forced Pesco to put some words out there.  There's nothing wrong with leading the town a few steps down a wrong path when we're free to pursue so many paths simultaneously, and when we have no indication of what the right path is.

Quote from: Roukanken
EBWOP: And another thing - given the points I've raised against you, am I'm still only of 'average scumminess' in your eyes? Or are you still fine with what you consider weak reasoning?

Looking at it all together, your points against me seem to stem from disagreements in what constitutes good scumhunting.  Your points about my self-contradictions and waffling opinions are utter crap, but you seem to have dropped that, so I'm inclined to attribute them to you trying to interpret my words in the context of your different scumhunting philosophy.

I said you were tunneling earlier, but I think that was an overreaction on my part.  The reason you've mostly been talking to me is that I'm responding to your posts much more frequently than anyone else.  My biggest point of suspicion against you is that you seem to be giving KY a free pass.  I guess my opinion on your scumminess is contingent on KY's flip.  If he were town, I'd consider you unusually unscummy.  If he's scum, then you're on top of my list of suspects for trying to push me or Pesco to be lynched instead of him.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 07:53:08 PM
Considering the early speculation about how we could use this room to kill off half the players at random, I'm not alone in this sort of thinking.  If no one stands out as unusually scummy, it's in the town's best interest to execute at random.
But that isn't the case, and I don't see why anyone should assume as such. Instead of saying 'we should lynch a random player if we can't find targets', why not spend your time FINDING TARGETS?

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It's virtually always better to do one lynch than no lynch, and better to do two lynches than one lynch.
This is assuming that both lynches go as planned, which seems to be something you yourself aren't sure of.
Secondly, lynched Townies are like Aeris - once they're dead, they can't come back no matter how hard you try. An extra night phase may give a cop time to investigate or they may be cleared on another flip. Lynched Townies are always BAD, so it's good to lynch only a suspect you're confident in rather then one as a last resort IMO.

Quote
You were putting pressure on him, as I had been intending to do with Affinity.  If he broke, it would've given us a good second lynch target.  As I saw it, you were doing the same thing I was doing.
Key difference - I commented on Affinity. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12745#msg12745) You didn't comment on Pesco.

Quote
Now you're the one being pessimistic.  In any case, part of my justification for letting you continue on Pesco was that it was still early in the day.  If you had continued to push Pesco into the last part of the day, when we needed to settle on our lynches, I would've called on you to stop it then.  I did call on you to stop it then, when I settled on Mr Alert as my preferred terciary lynch.  I also figured you'd drop the case anyway when you were satisfied and move onto something else if it continued to fail to produce.
So you'd rather I spent time with someone who didn't seem particularly scummy rather than with someone you had genuine suspicions of?

Quote
A Town/Town SvR would be even better, apparently.  See my EBWOP about how Kanguya seems content to ride this out.
I will admit this point to you - KY typically isn't one to lurk, usually he tries to produce and fails. Add to this the fact he was on 8 hours ago, and...

Quote
You're missing the point.  You said that I ought to vote against you if I found your case bad.  As I said earlier, you seemed sincere to me.  Heck, Pesco himself said something earlier about how angry Rou strikes him as townie.
Scum can be sincere. Town can make honest mistakes, so scum can 'sincerely' point them out and watch the mislynch run itself.

Quote
Anyway, I also note that you're suddenly basing a lot of your arguments from the assumption that Pesco is innocent, despite the fact that his responses to your accusations are exactly what you consider to be his scum M.O.  Care to explain this?
I'm looking at it from your viewpoint, where the two of us are both 'not especially scummy' and trying to analyse what you'd do in said situation. I still really don't like how Pesco is playing.

Quote
Apropos of nothing, it'd be stupid and paranoid to say it.  You explicitly asked me whether I thought you and Pesco were worthy of suspicion, though, and to answer "No, neither of you are worthy of suspicion" would be stupid and scummy.  Everyone is worth suspicion, from the start.  Only through making good cases and catching scum do people become somewhat exempt from it.
But when you walk into a game, do you immediately FoS everyone playing because they're all worthy of suspicion? No. You look for someone doing something MORE suspicious than usual, and press them in a search for scum.

Quote
Uh, what?  I thought it was standard procedure to have a little chart in your head of who's acting more scummy than who.  The scummiest person is the one you press to have lynched.  If two people are equally scummy, you lynch one based on gut feelings or randomly or whatever.  Average scumminess is what everyone is considered to have from the beginning.
So by this logic, if someone produces nothing scummy all game but doesn't do anything that useful either, they deserve to be lynched if necessary?

Quote
As I explicitly said, I considered him a decent lynch if no one better came up.  This seems to tie back into your objection to my idea of a broad scumminess scale instead of a boolean one.  I would've considered him a bad lynch if he had managed to appear un-scummy through townie behavior.  As things stood, I considered him no better than any other randomly chosen person.  If you had asked me what I thought about a UK lynch or an Alice lynch, I would've told you the same thing.  Fine as a terciary if no one better shows up.
But this seems like a pretty large assumption. "I will agree to the Pesco lynch if none of the remaining players do anything scummy at all"?

Quote
This seems to be a fundamental disagreement over what constitutes good scumhunting.  Your argument did indeed do nothing at all to make me think of Pesco as scummier.  It was a weak argument.  But it was an early game accusation, and at the time, it was the most detailed case out there.  It didn't convince me of Pesco's scumminess, but I wouldn't call it useless by any means.  I think it was better than saying nothing, 'cause it forced Pesco to put some words out there.  There's nothing wrong with leading the town a few steps down a wrong path when we're free to pursue so many paths simultaneously, and when we have no indication of what the right path is.
Alright, here's where the problem kicks in. I attack Pesco, he says some new things, and you don't give any opinion on them. To continue your 'path' analogy, this is you looking at the signpost on the crossroads, ignoring one path entirely.

Quote
Looking at it all together, your points against me seem to stem from disagreements in what constitutes good scumhunting.
So in the end, this entire argument is based on differing views on how to hunt?

Quote
I said you were tunneling earlier, but I think that was an overreaction on my part.  The reason you've mostly been talking to me is that I'm responding to your posts much more frequently than anyone else.  My biggest point of suspicion against you is that you seem to be giving KY a free pass.  I guess my opinion on your scumminess is contingent on KY's flip.  If he were town, I'd consider you unusually unscummy.  If he's scum, then you're on top of my list of suspects for trying to push me or Pesco to be lynched instead of him.
Here is where I probably need to make an admission. One of my biggest problems with Mafia is when I suspect someone, I decide that whoever they're targeting is immediately innocent if there's a fragment of doubt. The only reason I'm still supporting the lynch of Baity - Pesco's target - is that his play is so horrendously bad even keeping him alive is a WIFOM in itself. As such, I didn't want to attack KY out of fear that I was being goaded by scum into a mislynch.
Maybe I'm going at this the wrong way, though. I should stop saying 'Oh, my scum suspect is attacking X, he's probably trying for a mislynch' and just say 'Hey, X looks kinda scummy'. Looking at him without the bias of you targeting him, I have to agree that KY does look pretty horrible.

...Okay, I think I've pretty much argued Serp into the ground, and he pointed out something pretty important - my theories against him only really hold if Pesco is Town. I've spent the second half of the day trying to argue with him, but the fact that I've made no progress is probably pretty telling. Maybe his point that we're looking at this with two different views is more accurate than I thought. In addition I still have a relatively strong, much less opinionated case on Pesco in comparison, which he STILL hasn't got around to defending against...

##Unvote: Serpentarius
Vote: Pesco47


Getting my priorities straight. Always perform the necessary before the optional.
Looking at it without my Serp bias, I agree that KY is really not contributing. Still, Edible is more or less guilty of the same crime, so I'm not sure who I'd vote between the two...probably KY since that lynch is more likely to happen.

Alice is online. Got anything to say? You've been pretty quiet today...
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 07:56:01 PM
EBWOP: Also, in terms of sitting back and shutting up, Pesco is only slightly better than KY is, given that his last post was on page six (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13683#msg13683) and he was on six hours ago.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 18, 2009, 08:05:43 PM
Vote count:

pesco47 (4): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM, Roukanken
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius, Kiro
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 is at L-4.
BaitySM is at L-5.

Not voting: Zakeri, Mr. Alert.

7 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 18, 2009, 08:41:39 PM
You guys are awfully quick to jump on me, given there are much better targets for inactivity this game. :V  I wonder who started that trend.

A thought occured to me today along those lines.  I'm going to dig through the game and see if it bears fruit.  Will post something else closer to deadline.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 18, 2009, 08:45:12 PM
I've got class in a few minutes, I'll be back with a full response in a couple of hours.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 08:48:26 PM
You guys are awfully quick to jump on me, given there are much better targets for inactivity this game. :V  I wonder who started that trend.
'Jump on you'? You realise no-one has voted you, right?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 18, 2009, 08:51:39 PM
I'm aware, but when one sees his name thrown around as a lurker and certain other names are not also mentioned, one gets worried.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 09:00:21 PM
I'm aware, but when one sees his name thrown around as a lurker and certain other names are not also mentioned, one gets worried.
Quote
Alice is online. Got anything to say? You've been pretty quiet today...
This what you're looking for? Off the top of my head KY has been mentioned as has Alert, and UK has a real life explanation. Carth and Kiro are possibly edging on lurking. Who am I missing?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 18, 2009, 09:03:03 PM
That's pretty much half the players, so I doubt you missed anyone.  Maybe I'm being too sensitive.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 18, 2009, 09:06:02 PM
Hi.

Walls, walls, and more walls. x_x Oh boy.

Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 18, 2009, 09:11:22 PM
Miracle!

I'm up earlier! Reading as much text as I can in 15 minutes. I doubt I can even post anything at this point though. My lecture starts in 50 minutes, and I leave in 40. I will be back before deadline though, but by only about 2 hours or so.

@The people who haven't replied: Divulge "said" role (as per request by Edible)? Y/N? [if this can even get answered anyway)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 18, 2009, 09:49:15 PM
EBWOP: final bracket should be a square. "]"

...I'm off, will be back in 2 hours 20 mins.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 18, 2009, 10:01:32 PM
Votecount is unchanged. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13839#msg13839)

5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 10:02:45 PM
@The people who haven't replied: Divulge "said" role (as per request by Edible)? Y/N? [if this can even get answered anyway)
Shit, too late to give a Y.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 18, 2009, 10:24:21 PM
umm, Beilos ... you really should have given us more time to contemplate your roleclaim. Edible's prod should have been enough, considering you're one of the top two canidates.

Also, Pesco is town. Mark my words. I'm still doing analysis, but a surprising amount of my analysis is how Roukanken is using craplogic to get Pesco angry at him. Alice's vote is also very suspicious because of it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Edible on May 18, 2009, 10:28:56 PM
Ugh, rereading UK is a pain in the ass.  Stop replying to every bit of every post everyone makes, or else any good points you might have get lost in the shuffle of worthless commentary.

Also, Pesco is town. Mark my words.

...

You're awfully sure of yourself.  Why?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 10:36:13 PM
You're awfully sure of yourself.  Why?
Seconding this question. Still don't see how his refusal to reply to my case, his ad hominem attacks and his subsequent disappearance don't qualify as scumtells.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Mr_Alert on May 18, 2009, 10:37:50 PM
Earthquake fun! (http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsus/Quakes/ci10410337.php) In any case, with that, and the Japanese cooking show and some other stuff, it looks like I'm a bit too busy to play right now, and unlike the last game I played, I no longer expect things to get better by day 2. So, I'ma go ahead and request a replacement.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 18, 2009, 10:40:09 PM
Ugh, rereading UK is a pain in the ass.  Stop replying to every bit of every post everyone makes, or else any good points you might have get lost in the shuffle of worthless commentary.

...

You're awfully sure of yourself.  Why?

beh, Might as well.

Incoming wall of Text.

Roukanken starts off by immedietly taking an offhand comment from pesco and ripping it apart with an entire paragraph. Votes Pesco for the gotcha game he tried to play on Beilos. This post is generally made of Beilos-hate hate (the jargon term being chainsaw defence), especially with the comment on Affinity's vote. Was he trying to claim Affinity was posting an IIoA ? This still bothers me.

Next post, Rou continues arguing the player exclusion point when Pesco said there was no reason to, since it wasn't part of his reasoning. Pesco's point of ignoring newbishness is countered by having Pesco explain why what Beilos did was not newbish. This is faulty because newbishness is not corelated with scumminess.

Quote from: Roukanken, Post 63
That said, Baity's responses are filled with more waffles than breakfast. As a word of advice, don't answer questions aimed at other people - let them defend themselves since otherwise it's a judgement of your character instead of theirs.
Since people seem to like pointing out how everyone is coaching scummy players, I figure I'd join in, too.

Pesco (correctly, as I can see) points out that Roukanken isn't scumhunting. At this point, it looks like he's Pescohunting.

Quote
Quote
Why would scum vote themselves? Because you would give them a free pass for it.
So suddenly MY opinion alone is worth taking this sort of obscene risk for? I'm not buying it - I mean, it certainly raised the suspicion of other people, so saying he's doing it to earn a free pass makes no sense.
Misrep - The point isn't to get just you to not vote, it's to get other likeminded people to not vote. bascially, the point of using WiFoM, confusing people.
Quote
The fact that you didn't really contribute anything new to the discussion is what irritated me.
Would have been nice if you said as much, rather than being vauge about it. Even still, he did contibute: a vote with a case behind it.

At least he does a good job of looking like he means all of this. Also, reading Pesco's Reply 81, I understand what Pesco is talking about. Rou seems more interested in making Pesco look like scum than looking for scum.

Pesco's 86 is very strong (argument wise). Roukanken needs to step up here to make anything of it. And yes, I know Pesco is being mean in this post, but considering what he's putting up with, it's more an issue of self-control than anything else.

Quote from: Roukanken, when accused of defending Beilos
If you'd notice, I'm also relatively suspicious of Baity (as I've said previously).
Not counting the part that I put as suspected coaching, I don't see where you commented that you didn't like what Beilos was doing.

The same post has Rou ignoring Pesco saying that he wasn't voting based on the player exclusion thing and brings it up as a point in why Pesco's voting was faulty. Roukanken seems to be trying to make it look like that was a valid point in Pesco's case just so he could keep strawmanning it to make Pesco look scummy.

Quote from: Some Naive person
Quote
And Baity's habit of answering other people's questions is doing him no favours. I'm not saying that he's definitely Town like you claim I am - just that Pesco's reasoning for attacking him was flawed.
[...]
The only reason I've had to spend so long talking about Pesco is that there was at the time little else to comment on.
I'll accept this
I'll no longer accept this. The flawed reasoning you're complaining about is something that you're forcing Pesco to hold up against his will in his accusation. Excluding people from the vote is not one of the reasons he is voting Beilos now, and he's explained twice now that it isn't.

Right now, the only valid point against Pesco was that he seems to be insulting Roukanken with comments like "I'd like to see him Scumhunting." The thing was, I ended up agreeing with Pesco on that when I looked at Roukanken's arguments in depth.

Also, from what i see in the backandforth between Roukanken and Serp is that he tried taking one thing Serpent commented on, and ran with it, twisting Serpent's words against him as often as he can to keep the argument going. It looks to me like Roukanken is trying to be as much of a distraction to scumhunting as he can be while being written off as aggressive townie.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 18, 2009, 10:43:31 PM
Edit: Whole nine yards
##Vote: Roukanken
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Affinity on May 18, 2009, 10:45:40 PM
@Serp:

[QUIOTE]If no one stands out as unusually scummy, it's in the town's best interest to execute at random.  The only way to kill scum is to lynch them - spending all day whining about how we don't have enough evidence to convict just gives the mafia a free pass to the next night.[/QUOTE]

Now this just seems like sour grapes.  Rou's point against you is that you think pesco is okay as a lynch even though you peg him as a neutral.  Then you go all off-tangent and say the above.  Firstly, it's not that no one stands out as unusually scummy, it's that two people seem to be much scummier than everyone else and you want to lynch them. 

Secondly, day one is arguably the worst time to get multiple lynches on the account that there are no bandwagons and flips to analyze; and to lynch extra otherwise neutrally pegged people for the sake of hoping to nail scum is very very bad at best.  Best is to maintain them into the later days so that more evidence can be garnered for judgment on their alignment, instead of lynching them on day one before they even have a chance.

Lastly, I support the double lynch KY and Baity today because I don't want to see them in the endgame, and that with their current style of play, none of them can seem to be capable to redeem themselves in the process stated above.  WIFOMs might be created horribly, and that's not something we want.

---

@Mr_Alert

How horribly irresponsible of you.  I propose a 3-game ban.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 18, 2009, 10:49:18 PM
Earthquake fun! (http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/recenteqsus/Quakes/ci10410337.php) In any case, with that, and the Japanese cooking show and some other stuff, it looks like I'm a bit too busy to play right now, and unlike the last game I played, I no longer expect things to get better by day 2. So, I'ma go ahead and request a replacement.
Well, replacement spot open then. Interested players please PM me ASAP.

-----

Vote count:

pesco47 (4): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM, Roukanken
Roukanken (2): Serpentarius, Kiro, Zakeri.
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 is at L-4.
BaitySM is at L-5.

Not voting: Mr. Alert.

6.25 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 18, 2009, 10:55:08 PM
Edit again: I'd also like to see post numbers/links to all of Pesco's Ad-Homined attacks on Roukanken. From the attacks I've seen, they were rude and indirect, but I fail to see how "Roukanken needs to Scumhunt" is an attack on roukanken's Character rather than his playstyle. At the time, I think it's a valid complaint.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 18, 2009, 10:58:39 PM
Edit again: I'd also like to see post numbers/links to all of Pesco's Ad-Homined attacks on Roukanken. From the attacks I've seen, they were rude and indirect, but I fail to see how "Roukanken needs to Scumhunt" is an attack on roukanken's Character rather than his playstyle. At the time, I think it's a valid complaint.

You could say the same about pesco.  Where was he scumhunting, precisely?  I only saw him being offensive and reactionary when he wasn't giving vague prods or making useless statements.

I'm still wondering how you arrived at your 100% Town Pesco conclusion.  This is a very bold statement to make considering there's a good chance he's getting lynched today.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 11:08:44 PM
Roukanken starts off by immedietly taking an offhand comment from pesco and ripping it apart with an entire paragraph. Votes Pesco for the gotcha game he tried to play on Beilos. This post is generally made of Beilos-hate hate (the jargon term being chainsaw defence), especially with the comment on Affinity's vote. Was he trying to claim Affinity was posting an IIoA ? This still bothers me.
I repeat - attacking someone for a bad reason isn't okay if you're right. I was indeed calling Affinity out on IIoA.

Quote
Next post, Rou continues arguing the player exclusion point when Pesco said there was no reason to, since it wasn't part of his reasoning. Pesco's point of ignoring newbishness is countered by having Pesco explain why what Beilos did was not newbish. This is faulty because newbishness is not corelated with scumminess.
He mentioned it. Don't say something in this game if you don't want it to be related to you. If no-one had pointed out the flaw in his reasoning, scum Pesco would've had no reason not to say that it was part of his plan.

Quote
Misrep - The point isn't to get just you to not vote, it's to get other likeminded people to not vote. bascially, the point of using WiFoM, confusing people.
Explain then why the wording was 'so YOU would give him a free pass' rather than 'so TOWN would give him a free pass'.

Quote
Would have been nice if you said as much, rather than being vauge about it. Even still, he did contibute: a vote with a case behind it.
A case that had already been discussed before then. It's not like there was a distinct lack of new ground to cover at that point in time.

Quote
Also, reading Pesco's Reply 81, I understand what Pesco is talking about. Rou seems more interested in making Pesco look like scum than looking for scum.
This is total utter misrep.

Quote
Pesco's 86 is very strong (argument wise). Roukanken needs to step up here to make anything of it. And yes, I know Pesco is being mean in this post, but considering what he's putting up with, it's more an issue of self-control than anything else.
Let me start by saying the aggression was introduced by Pesco himself:
Quote
I see my waifu is suffering from PMS. Read his post, he excluded himself and player 1, which means it's 2 players. More importantly, it's got nothing to do with why he's getting voted now. Being on holiday affects your reading ability it seems :P.
Secondly, I've already replied to every point made here in later posts.

Quote
Not counting the part that I put as suspected coaching, I don't see where you commented that you didn't like what Beilos was doing.
Quote
If you'd notice, I'm also relatively suspicious of Baity (as I've said previously). The point is that the reasons you're attacking him for are relatively poor (FPMH, dice hax...), and bad attacks are in my opinion worse than bad play since that's how scum get Townies lynched.
And I could hardly keep commenting on him when he wasn't SAYING ANYTHING.

Quote
The same post has Rou ignoring Pesco saying that he wasn't voting based on the player exclusion thing and brings it up as a point in why Pesco's voting was faulty. Roukanken seems to be trying to make it look like that was a valid point in Pesco's case just so he could keep strawmanning it to make Pesco look scummy.
Again, I hold to my case that you shouldn't make a point unless you mean it. Let's say I accused you of being scum for a crappy reason. If no-one argued with me then I'd gladly say it was why I voted for you - if not, I can easily fall back on the 'I did it for a reaction' excuse that Pesco is using. See where I'm coming from?
Next point can be answered with the same thing.

Quote
Ri0ght now, the only valid point against Pesco was that he seems to be insulting Roukanken with comments like "I'd like to see him Scumhunting." The thing was, I ended up agreeing with Pesco on that when I looked at Roukanken's arguments in depth.
Quote
Since people were asking for it, here's a little summary of my points on Pesco:
- A distinct lack of scumhunting, focusing instead on defending himself
- Multiple cases of attack ad hominem
- Overlooking several points based on 'lack of context'
- Deciding that if my case isn't totally perfectly flawless he can't possibly be scum
Herein lies a simple breakdown of my current points against Pesco. I'm going to admit that my case was poor at points, but in general I think my heart was in the right place.
Also note that Pesco has made no attempt to argue against any of the points above despite being asked to by UK and myself, and as Thomas More put it Silence means consent.

Quote
Also, from what i see in the backandforth between Roukanken and Serp is that he tried taking one thing Serpent commented on, and ran with it, twisting Serpent's words against him as often as he can to keep the argument going. It looks to me like Roukanken is trying to be as much of a distraction to scumhunting as he can be while being written off as aggressive townie.
Examples, please. I don't see how I was twisting Serp's words.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 18, 2009, 11:13:33 PM
EBWOP:
Edit again: I'd also like to see post numbers/links to all of Pesco's Ad-Homined attacks on Roukanken. From the attacks I've seen, they were rude and indirect, but I fail to see how "Roukanken needs to Scumhunt" is an attack on roukanken's Character rather than his playstyle. At the time, I think it's a valid complaint.

Quote
I see my waifu is suffering from PMS. Read his post, he excluded himself and player 1, which means it's 2 players. More importantly, it's got nothing to do with why he's getting voted now. Being on holiday affects your reading ability it seems :P.
Quote
Rou, RTFT. If you claimed to be illiterate because you live in an African country, I would have believed you.
Quote
Lol dude.

Kindly recite the town win condition for me? I'm quite sure it does not include Pesco dying as a requisite.
Quote
Rou must be really Parsee of the intimacy between me and Kiro from the other game.
Quote
I'm not obliged to put up with Rou being silly every game now am I?
Quote
That's just you being fail.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Kiro on May 18, 2009, 11:14:47 PM
More back and forth between Rou and Serp hasn't changed too much of my opinions. And I guess there's now Rou responding to Zakeri.

I don't have time for a WoT right now (count your blessings) but there are lots of people who should report in and reconfirm their votes. Edible looks like he just did, Alice, Carthrat to some extent.

Conveniently, the 3 people on Baity (Pesco, UK, KY) have stated their reasons for voting him and their contributions have dropped since. I'm rather surprised Pesco hasn't posted since my post asking him to clarify his secondary cases. Something to note, cuz I at least stated the times I wouldn't be around. UK's morning post was meh, I don't even remember it now.

I'll be around for deadline. Vote subject to change depending on bandwagon compositions, but I'd still like to see a Rou and Baity lynch.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 18, 2009, 11:30:18 PM
Vote count:

pesco47 (4): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM, Roukanken
Roukanken (2): Serpentarius, Kiro, Zakeri.
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 is at L-4.
BaitySM is at L-5.

Not voting: Mr. Alert.

3.5 hours remaining.

Alice has been prodded for inactivity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Serp on May 18, 2009, 11:39:38 PM
But that isn't the case, and I don't see why anyone should assume as such. Instead of saying 'we should lynch a random player if we can't find targets', why not spend your time FINDING TARGETS?

Ideally, finding good targets is always better.  I've been working on it.

Quote from: Roukanken
This is assuming that both lynches go as planned, which seems to be something you yourself aren't sure of.

I'm speaking purely theoretically here, as though having two lynches chosen without scum interference were just as realistic as one lynch chosen without scum interference.

Quote from: Roukanken
Secondly, lynched Townies are like Aeris - once they're dead, they can't come back no matter how hard you try. An extra night phase may give a cop time to investigate or they may be cleared on another flip. Lynched Townies are always BAD, so it's good to lynch only a suspect you're confident in rather then one as a last resort IMO.

Damn it, this just reminded me of something, and I feel like an idiot for not realizing it sooner.  If we lynch two people here, and the game continues with the standard number of lynches and night kills each phase, we'll end on a night kill.  Three kills won't deprive us of any lynch phase.  That's worth noting, though with this setup, maybe standard lynches and night kills aren't a useful assumption.

Quote from: Roukanken
Key difference - I commented on Affinity. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12745#msg12745) You didn't comment on Pesco.

Your mention of Affinity consisted entirely of:
Quote from: Roukanken
Affinity's post of 'facts facts facts Vote Baity' doesn't feel very useful, either, but Pesco still wins out.

I don't think you can quite claim the high ground here.
 
Quote from: Roukanken
So you'd rather I spent time with someone who didn't seem particularly scummy rather than with someone you had genuine suspicions of?

I'm not going to say "Hey, stop voting for that not-particularly-scummy person!" every time someone votes differently than me.  I'm going to keep pressing my case until we get to the late day and I can either lay it all out and ask for support, or switch to someone who I think ended up with a better case against them.

Quote from: Roukanken
I will admit this point to you - KY typically isn't one to lurk, usually he tries to produce and fails. Add to this the fact he was on 8 hours ago, and...

Everyone lurking while we build walls of text around each other is getting scummier every minute, in my opinion.

Quote from: Roukanken
Scum can be sincere. Town can make honest mistakes, so scum can 'sincerely' point them out and watch the mislynch run itself.

And that's why when you asked whether I thought you and Pesco were Townie, I replied that you were neither especially scummy, but I'm not going to vote against everyone pursuing a case I don't feel strongly about, especially early on day one.

Quote from: Roukanken
I'm looking at it from your viewpoint, where the two of us are both 'not especially scummy' and trying to analyse what you'd do in said situation. I still really don't like how Pesco is playing.

Fair enough.

Quote from: Roukanken
But when you walk into a game, do you immediately FoS everyone playing because they're all worthy of suspicion? No. You look for someone doing something MORE suspicious than usual, and press them in a search for scum.

Right, of course, but my point is that I didn't just FoS you out of nowhere - you asked me what I thought, and I replied that you were just as suspicious as everyone else.  It might not be the most standard way to put it, but since one of the scumtells KY has fallen victim to is showing a ridiculous lack of suspicion, it was on my mind.

Quote from: Roukanken
So by this logic, if someone produces nothing scummy all game but doesn't do anything that useful either, they deserve to be lynched if necessary?

If everyone else has done useful stuff, and hasn't done scummy stuff, then in theory, yes, absolutely.

Quote from: Roukanken
But this seems like a pretty large assumption. "I will agree to the Pesco lynch if none of the remaining players do anything scummy at all"?

Not entirely far fetched.  Baity and KY are the only ones I consider overtly suspicious at the moment.  I'd favor some others due to scumminess ex lurkina, but I haven't seen a good case against anyone else.

Quote from: Roukanken
Alright, here's where the problem kicks in. I attack Pesco, he says some new things, and you don't give any opinion on them. To continue your 'path' analogy, this is you looking at the signpost on the crossroads, ignoring one path entirely.
Quote from: Roukanken
In addition I still have a relatively strong, much less opinionated case on Pesco in comparison, which he STILL hasn't got around to defending against...

Everyone will tend to tunnel a little when forced to defend themselves at the same time.  I'm not saying it's a good thing, but it's what I've fallen victim to.  I'm going to do a complete reread of the thread and post some more opinions before the deadline.

Warning - while you were typing 13 new replies have been posted. You may wish to review your post.

Oh, damn.  Response to those forthcoming as well.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 18, 2009, 11:44:49 PM
Quote
If no-one had pointed out the flaw in his reasoning, scum Pesco would've had no reason not to say that it was part of his plan.

okay, this statement confuses me. First of all, what's "it"? The point that Beilos' newbishness doesn't matter came from Carthrat's asking how many games Beilos was in. If you're talking about the exclusion of players point and his FPMH, then it was because he admited that the exclusion of players was not part of the reason of his vote. If you're arguing that it was his reason for the vote when he did do the FPMH then ... what's the problem!? It's the first case of the day, and it was meant to make Beilos fumble around, which he did and made several newbscum mistakes. It's really a bad point to keep your vote on, I agree, but that's not why he was keeping the vote on by the time you started arguing it.

And even then, the argument about how many players he excluded was based entirely around sementics, because Pesco's point was that he excluded Edible.

Quote
Explain then why the wording was 'so YOU would give him a free pass' rather than 'so TOWN would give him a free pass'.
I don't know for certain, but maybe its because you were to only one who gave him a free pass for it.

Quote
This is total utter misrep.
This is total utter IIoA. Explain to me how it's a misrep.

Quote
Again, I hold to my case that you shouldn't make a point unless you mean it. Let's say I accused you of being scum for a crappy reason. If no-one argued with me then I'd gladly say it was why I voted for you - if not, I can easily fall back on the 'I did it for a reaction' excuse that Pesco is using. See where I'm coming from?
Quote from: Pesco's Vote:
##Unvote
##Vote BaitySM. FPMH
Quote from: Pesco's Explination
FPMH: Choose 1
[ ]Fluffy Puffy Marshmallow Hugs
[ ]Furry Petting Much Hotness
[ ]Fail Prod Made Here
[ ]First Post Mind Hax

Your defence inclines me to the 2nd 4th option.
Your point would be valid if Pesco used "I did it for the reaction" as a fallback excuse, not the entire case.

Also, thank you for pointing out the case. I was looking for that.

Quote
Examples, please. I don't see how I was twisting Serp's words.
Like I said, I was only halfway finished with my analysis. I haven't gotten up to you vs. Serp yet, and this post took up a majority of time that would have been spent looking into that.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 12:06:02 AM
I don't think you can quite claim the high ground here.
Quote from: Affinity
Facts are facts.  I pointed them out.  What is the issue here?
Quote from: Rou
The fact that you didn't really contribute anything new to the discussion is what irritated me.
So yeah. :/

okay, this statement confuses me. First of all, what's "it"? The point that Beilos' newbishness doesn't matter came from Carthrat's asking how many games Beilos was in. If you're talking about the exclusion of players point and his FPMH, then it was because he admited that the exclusion of players was not part of the reason of his vote.
Only AFTER someone called him out on it. If no-one had noticed the problem then there'd be nothing to stop him from using that as 'evidence' against Baity.

Quote
And even then, the argument about how many players he excluded was based entirely around sementics, because Pesco's point was that he excluded Edible.
It doesn't even matter HOW many players he's excluding, it's the fact that the accusation makes no sense whatsoever. Like I said, scum rolling 2d6 would only make sense if the scum were close to the edges - and even if that were the case, declaring that you rolled 2d6 would be utter suicide.

Quote
I don't know for certain, but maybe its because you were to only one who gave him a free pass for it.
Focusing on consequence rather than intention. It wasn't a matter of 'What happened as a result of Baity's move?', it was a matter of 'What would scumBaity be trying to achieve with this move?'

Quote
This is total utter IIoA. Explain to me how it's a misrep.
Look again at that summary of my points on Pesco and tell me if any of them aren't justified. I am willing to admit that I made some mistakes during my initial case, but Pesco's inability to hunt and his focus on defending himself over contributing to the Townie cause made me convinced I was targeting the right guy.

Quote
Your point would be valid if Pesco used "I did it for the reaction" as a fallback excuse, not the entire case.
My point is misinterpreted yet again.
What I am saying is that the 2d6 argument used by Pesco could easily still be around right now if it hadn't been refuted early on. Because he was corrected before he said it was part of his reasoning, he was able to say 'I did it to goad a reaction from him even though I knew it was a crappy point'.

Quote
Like I said, I was only halfway finished with my analysis. I haven't gotten up to you vs. Serp yet, and this post took up a majority of time that would have been spent looking into that.
Feel free to produce the second half when you can.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 12:10:22 AM
Ugh. Spent the better part of today making fireworks to set off in a couple hours.

##Unvote while I read the latest set of WoTs.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 19, 2009, 12:21:39 AM
umm, Beilos ... you really should have given us more time to contemplate your roleclaim. Edible's prod should have been enough, considering you're one of the top two canidates.
Yeah, but I really don't want to add more to the confusion by stating the most absurd roleclaim ever. Especially with the style of play I've "displayed". I initially tried to draw it to notice at the bottom of this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13706#msg13706) post.

It's justified reasoning which I can probably whip up in 10-15 minutes, but to get the few people offline to follow it is a different story.

...gimme a moment, there's something strange bugging me externally.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 19, 2009, 12:23:33 AM
Quote from: Zakeri Kirisame-Margatroid
Also, from what i see in the backandforth between Roukanken and Serp is that he tried taking one thing Serpent commented on, and ran with it, twisting Serpent's words against him as often as he can to keep the argument going. It looks to me like Roukanken is trying to be as much of a distraction to scumhunting as he can be while being written off as aggressive townie.

Note that I'm mostly satisfied by the explanation that Roukanken was just unfamiliar with the way I was looking at the whole situation, and so took everything in the worst possible way.  It was basically just a twisting and running with of one comment which ended up taking a whole lot of text to run its course, but that's scumhunting.  I want to see how KY flips before I pursue a case against Roukanken.

Quote from: Affinity
Now this just seems like sour grapes.  Rou's point against you is that you think pesco is okay as a lynch even though you peg him as a neutral.  Then you go all off-tangent and say the above.  Firstly, it's not that no one stands out as unusually scummy, it's that two people seem to be much scummier than everyone else and you want to lynch them.

And among everyone else, no one stood out as unusually scummy.  With a multi-lynch on the table, it makes sense to say that sort of thing.

Quote from: Affinity
Secondly, day one is arguably the worst time to get multiple lynches on the account that there are no bandwagons and flips to analyze; and to lynch extra otherwise neutrally pegged people for the sake of hoping to nail scum is very very bad at best.  Best is to maintain them into the later days so that more evidence can be garnered for judgment on their alignment, instead of lynching them on day one before they even have a chance.

I'm not happy with this room being our first, but when you have a one-day window for a multi-lynch, you ought to use it.

I'd also like to hear your opinion on how a double lynch may end us on a scumkill.

Alright, now I'm starting my reread, just wanted to address these points first.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: LHCling on May 19, 2009, 12:29:21 AM
Yeah, but I really don't want to add more to the confusion by stating the most absurd roleclaim ever in this short amount of time.. Especially with the style of play I've "displayed". I initially tried to draw it to notice at the bottom of this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13706#msg13706) post.

It's... somewhat justified reasoning if you can get your head around what I've done, which I can probably whip up in 10-15 minutes, but to get the few people offline to follow it is a different story.

...gimme a moment, there's something strange bugging me externally.
Fixes in added italics because I was rushing far too much.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 12:37:18 AM
Just do it and get it over with.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: LHCling on May 19, 2009, 12:42:50 AM
k.

I roleclaim doc bomb.

At this rate, I might have to self-vote again to this time prevent an unnecessary kill, unless there's reason not to.

Justification coming up. It also turns out that trying to connect my reasoning a bit hard in a clear form. (i.e. making a distinguished link that I can forward, that others can understand)

...and maybe my plan was far too complicated.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 19, 2009, 12:52:21 AM
Quote
What I am saying is that the 2d6 argument used by Pesco could easily still be around right now if it hadn't been refuted early on. Because he was corrected before he said it was part of his reasoning, he was able to say 'I did it to goad a reaction from him even though I knew it was a crappy point'.
Ahh, I see. Then the problem here is that you jumped on something that was potentially scummy before it could be considered scummy. The way I read Pesco's comment on the exclusion of people was that Baity was excluding Edible from his random vote - the cause of his FPMH. Then, when you saw that that was a crummy point to vote on, you jumped on it before Pesco said "More importantly, it's got nothing to do with why he's getting voted now." This might have been a real scumslip if it weren't for the gotcha factor you put into it.

Quote
You could say the same about pesco.  Where was he scumhunting, precisely?  I only saw him being offensive and reactionary when he wasn't giving vague prods or making useless statements.

first of all, Pesco hasn't made a useless statement. Second of all, the "Vague prods" were used to gather people's opinions and prevent others from being vague. I fail to understand why that isn't scumhunting. Also, as a note, being offensive and reactionary was directly as the result of Roukanken making bad points against Pesco. Rou's case on Pesco as it stands now looks like a list of things that stuck to Pesco when he threw them at him. Speaking of which...

Quote
I'm going to admit that my case was poor at points, but in general I think my heart was in the right place.
Why should I give you this leeway if you don't intend to give Pesco some leeway in what looks like a misunderstanding to me.

here's what I see when looking at early day one pesco:
Pesco 40 and 41 - Votes Beilos on initial suspicion.
up until 45 - Confirms Suspicion by speaking with Beilos
49 - Claims Self-voting is the main reason for his vote. Adds protecting Edible as an aside.
54 - Claims newbishness is not an important factor, Claims that Rou's point about excluding himself had nothing to do with the vote. insulting Rou's ability to read obviously doesn't help.
60 - Inquires Baily's opinion on Affinity vote.
65 - another insult on Rou's ability. "Why would scum vote themselves? Because you would give them a free pass for it."
68 and 70 - could stand to comment directly on Affinity.
72 - Inquires about Serp's vote on Affinity. Serp explains. then (75) Comments on the validity of Serp's idea

let me point out what I saw up there that was important:
-Adds protecting Edible as an aside.
-Claims that Rou's point about excluding himself had nothing to do with the vote.

Of course, Roukanken has admited that this was a particularly bad point. Again, just because he admited it, why should I forgive it?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 19, 2009, 12:58:09 AM
Looks like my always playing like shit on D1 really got me in trouble this time. Well, might as well attempt to help the town as much as possible before I die. x_x;

Analysis starting from page 8:
Quote from: Serpentarius
What!?  I can't believe you're saying this.  It goes against everything I know about lynching philosophy in mafia.  Sure, lynching a Town is wose than lynching no one at all, but why would you assume anyone as 100% town?  Why would you assume that in saying "I don't think your case on Pesco is good," I'm thinking that Pesco is 100% town?  You start the game with the same degree of suspicion for everyone.
I agree with you. A case against someone does not determine their alignment or how they've been playing. It's just your perspective on their actions. If I had a shitty case on the scummiest person in the world, it wouldn't make that person 100% town. It would just mean that my logic is flawed and that I should revise it.

Quote from: rou
I will admit this point to you - KY typically isn't one to lurk, usually he tries to produce and fails. Add to this the fact he was on 8 hours ago, and...
I've been lurking through the wallfights between you two because I had nothing to say. Neither had anyone else. Also I was on for 5 minutes in the morning before I went to school. I don't think I could do any sort of analysis in that timeframe.

More walls... most annoying thing ever on D1. I don't see why you expect anyone to contribute in your arguing. And:

Quote from: Serp
Never get involved in a married couple's fight.  I'm not sure what you'd have me do.  Even if I thought you were Town/Town, as opposed to Not-Especially-Scummy/Not-Especially-Scummy, there's not much I can do about it short of defending one side or the other, and there's not much reason to do that with 50 hours in the day and both of you frequently online.
Sound familiar? Both of these situations seem awfully similar.

I guess I should do one last reread. Let's see what I can come up with in <insert remaining amount of time here.>

Cut by Serp:

Quote from: Serp
I want to see how KY flips before I pursue a case against Roukanken.
Why are you 100% sure that I'm going to be lynched? That seems kind of strange...

Cut by Baity: That wasn't too hard to figure out. I'd say, if you're 100% sure that you're going to be lynched, then hammer yourself.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 01:00:13 AM
Vote count:

pesco47 (3): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM, Roukanken
Roukanken (2): Serpentarius, Kiro, Zakeri.
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (3): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan

pesco47 and BaitySM are at L-5.

Not voting: Alice, Mr. Alert.

2 hours remaining.
(Just a reminder: The Dream ends at the deadline time, even if me or Jan-san are not around to declare it.)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 01:03:06 AM
First off, at this point I'm thinking that if pesco47 is scum then Zakeri *must* be town, as I just can't see scum-Zakeri doing such a blatant chainsaw defence of our fluffy little bunny friend.

BaitySM is all kinds of fail for his play. You want to get NK'd as bomb, for reasons that should be rather obvious. Not sure what to make of this.

Dislike KY right now a lot for the sudden spell of lurking (you're online, poast *something* of content will you goddamnit) and the IIoA-heavy style of play.

Dislike UK's poasts and playstyle as well. At this point I'm happy to vote either KY or UK. I'm very much not seeing the scum-Roukan case, so can someone please summarize it? It seems to be mostly "Roukan is attacking pesco and pesco is behaving Townie so obviously Roukan is scum trying to masquerade as an angry Townie!", which is fallacious for obvious reasons. I'm unconvinced that pesco is a good lynch today as well, though.

You guys post too much walls and bullshit and not enough content. Half of the arguing today has been about scumhunting playstyle and a pointless player vs. player spat, which ultimately does nothing to actually help find scum.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: LHCling on May 19, 2009, 01:08:36 AM
Justification of play(-style) in accordance to role:

I'll be paraphrasing certain parts of my text, so... guess I should reference them as well. there's no time.

1. Hiding the role. This was somewhat difficult. I don't even know if I did it. KY noted it as a base assumption, but dropped it (I think? why else is that vote still there?). It's already known that a bomb is better used as a revenge-kill tool at night to guarantee-kill scum. And it was stated in this game as well.

2. Best time to use the bomb? Definitely not early. Well, I tried to avoid it if possible, so I drew the attention myself (for the reason listed previously (make pesco build his case); so I could avoid NK for a few days... at least (read: via poor playing). Failing that, I would have the contingency plan of dying during N1 (or shortly thereafter on another early night), which is still better than nothing.

3. The act of poor playing. Now this... is where things got complicated. I had to somehow incorporate 1. and 2., while at the same time, provide arguments strong enough to justify a NK on me, at some point on me.


Summary: So yeah, extremely complicated plan that involves making myself looking like a scummy-townie, following to be a big enough threat to scum to warrant NK, and attempting to conceal bomb role by hiding it. Probably the last time I'll follow a plan like that.

I'll hammer myself in due time. I don't trust my internet.

##Unvote
##Vote BaitySM
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 01:11:11 AM
first of all, Pesco hasn't made a useless statement.

Here's an easy one (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12931#msg12931), since you seem to have missed it.  Want me to find more?

Quote
Second of all, the "Vague prods" were used to gather people's opinions and prevent others from being vague. I fail to understand why that isn't scumhunting.

Prods are not scumhuntingEspecially not prods like "rou needs to scumhunt" and "put some backbone into it".

I still have absolutely no idea why you're sure pesco is town.  Let's hear it.  "Because rou is voting him" is obviously not good enough, so you have to have some other reason.

Cut by Alice.  I wasn't sure what to make of UK's posts, possibly because it was really hard to find any content there.  And I'd policy vote KY at this stage, to be honest.

Cut by Baity.  Drawing tons of attention to yourself is a great way for scum to completely ignore you.  FYI.  And don't vote yourself, ffs.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 01:14:03 AM
Ahh, I see. Then the problem here is that you jumped on something that was potentially scummy before it could be considered scummy.
You make this sound like a bad thing. YOU'RE the one who's decided 'he didn't give it as reasoning, therefore the point is null and void'. Bad points are bad points.

Quote
first of all, Pesco hasn't made a useless statement. Second of all, the "Vague prods" were used to gather people's opinions and prevent others from being vague. I fail to understand why that isn't scumhunting.
Did he hit anything conclusive? No. In terms of actual suspicions the only person he declared genuine suspicion of was Baity and KY - again, easy targets. Scumhunting would be genuinely picking people out on iffy statements and pressing them, all he did was ask some easy questions and make some offhand statements without anything else behind them.
Show me one statement Pesco's made where he takes a player besides the two mentioned above and tries to prove they're scum.

Quote
Also, as a note, being offensive and reactionary was directly as the result of Roukanken making bad points against Pesco. Rou's case on Pesco as it stands now looks like a list of things that stuck to Pesco when he threw them at him.
This is a complete misrepresentation, YET AGAIN. Saying 'Those are good points, but you made some bad points earlier so you must be wrong' is exactly what I'm accusing Pesco of doing here - he's focusing on my mistakes without picking out what I'm doing well, and claiming that if I'm even slightly wrong he's Town by default.

Quote
Why should I give you this leeway if you don't intend to give Pesco some leeway in what looks like a misunderstanding to me.
Look one last time at that list of reasons I gave. Did I make ANY mention of the 2d6 debate? No, because I AM GIVING HIM LEEWAY ON THAT POINT NOW. I HAVE ADMITTED THAT IT'S NOT THE STRONGEST POINT IN THE ARGUMENT, AND IT ONLY CAME BACK UP BECAUSE YOU KEPT ASKING ABOUT IT.
Now, if you have anything against my later refined reasoning, feel free to share it with us.

And by the way, Guess who was online AGAIN a few hours ago and still hasn't posted? (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?action=profile;u=64)

---

Baity claim KINDA makes sense, but self-voting 12 hours into the Day is just plain ridiculous. If you are Town, I hope you learn from this escapade.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: LHCling on May 19, 2009, 01:21:26 AM
Baity claim KINDA makes sense, but self-voting 12 hours into the Day is just plain ridiculous. If you are Town, I hope you learn from this escapade.
Oh yeah, I've made a mental not to over-complicate my plans ever again  >_>
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 01:23:15 AM
And don't vote yourself, ffs.
Makes sense if he's a bomb and doesn't want to needlessly kill a THIRD person today.

Also I think I have an idea why Zakeri thinks pesco must be Town, but it's not something that needs mentioning currently.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 01:25:13 AM
Also I think I have an idea why Zakeri thinks pesco must be Town, but it's not something that needs mentioning currently.
Just to remind you, Pesco is tied for most votes right now. Just in case that makes this any more pressing.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 01:25:36 AM
That idea occured to me as well, but given pesco is practically a guaranteed lynch at this point, I'd rather know sooner rather than later if we're making a huge mistake regarding a potentially confirmable townie.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 01:26:48 AM
Just to remind you, Pesco is tied for most votes right now. Just in case that makes this any more pressing.
My guess is that given his vehemence, it's either a very blatant scumbuddy chainsaw defence, or they're a mason pair.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 01:28:47 AM
Crap, I figured it out right before you posted. -_-

Well if that were the case, wouldn't Zak have raised it earlier? Wouldn't Pesco have raised it earlier? Want confirmation from both parties before I even consider a mason pair.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 19, 2009, 01:29:46 AM
Quote
I still have absolutely no idea why you're sure pesco is town.  Let's hear it.  "Because rou is voting him" is obviously not good enough, so you have to have some other reason.

I'm getting tired of trying to analyze what Pesco was trying to do, and what Roukanken is trying to say (Apparently, I was wrong on that five or so times in a row, which either means I'm doing a very poor job, or Rou is changing his tune with no one noticing.) so I'm going to leave it at this: Why can't it be "Because Rou is voting him"?

Roukanken has gotten this far by pressing Pesco based on a misunderstanding he made that he never gave up, which strikes to me as trying to get a mislynch and possibly save Beilos (whether as scum to to mislynch later). This is obviously not a case of Bussing, since Roukanken has worked this hard to get Pesco to be lynched. Since I believe Roukanken to be Scum, Pesco by corollary is Town.

I wanted a Roukanken Lynch more than I wanted Pesco to get lynched, which is why I started off with the assertation that Pesco was town, and then somehow evolved to forcing me to prove it, which is impossible without certain proof.

All I know is that Pesco/Rou has scum playing into the debate from one side, and considering how it started, I'm much more inclined to think it's Roukanken.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 01:30:09 AM
Vote count:

pesco47 (2): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM, Roukanken
Roukanken (2): Serpentarius, Kiro, Zakeri.
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (4): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan, BaitySM

BaitySM is at L-4.
pesco47, Roukanken and Kanguya Yaraisan are at L-6.

Not voting: Alice, Mr. Alert.

1 hour 30 minutes remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 19, 2009, 01:31:11 AM
cut: No, we're not a mason pair. My reasoning is as is in the last post.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 01:32:43 AM
so I'm going to leave it at this: Why can't it be "Because Rou is voting him"?

Quote
Since I believe Roukanken to be Scum, Pesco by corollary is Town.

You think Rou is scum because he's voting pesco because you think pesco is town and you think pesco is town because rou is voting him because rou is scum.

???
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 01:34:18 AM
I'm getting tired of trying to analyze what Pesco was trying to do, and what Roukanken is trying to say (Apparently, I was wrong on that five or so times in a row, which either means I'm doing a very poor job, or Rou is changing his tune with no one noticing.) so I'm going to leave it at this: Why can't it be "Because Rou is voting him"?
Because scum-Rou does not guarantee town-pesco in this scenario, no matter what you think.

Quote from: Zakeri
Since I believe Roukanken to be Scum, Pesco by corollary is Town.
No, no, no, NO! So what you're saying is that a scum vs. scum argument, like the one that happened in Bamboo Forest (which I might add you modded) is impossible? Or for that matter that basic bussing is impossible?

Your reasoning is enough to justify perhaps a scum-Roukanken, but it does not justify a town-pesco to the degree of vehemence that you claim.

On a side note, I dislike the large amount of ties. I do not want 4 people lynched today.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 01:37:02 AM
I was about to say that Zakeri had shown some mild suspicion of Pesco earlier in the day, so the mason pair theory fell through.

Quote
I wanted a Roukanken Lynch more than I wanted Pesco to get lynched, which is why I started off with the assertation that Pesco was town, and then somehow evolved to forcing me to prove it, which is impossible without certain proof.
"Here's the conclusion. What evidence can I find to support it?"
Hypocrisy - you accuse me of twisting facts so Pesco is scum, but you've just admitted to twisting facts so Pesco is Town.

Quote
Why can't it be "Because Rou is voting him"?
Because you're immediately assuming two things: I'm scum, and I'm not bussing.

Quote
Roukanken has gotten this far by pressing Pesco based on a misunderstanding he made that he never gave up, which strikes to me as trying to get a mislynch and possibly save Beilos (whether as scum to to mislynch later).
WHY ARE YOU STILL PRESSING THE 2D6 POINT? I'VE SAID ALREADY THAT THERE ARE SEVERAL STRONGER POINTS I'VE MADE AGAINST PESCO, AND YOU ARE IGNORING THEM ENTIRELY.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 19, 2009, 01:53:09 AM
Quote
You think Rou is scum because he's voting pesco because you think pesco is town and you think pesco is town because rou is voting him because rou is scum.

I ... this is embarrassing that I can't think of a way to refute this.

Quote
No, no, no, NO! So what you're saying is that a scum vs. scum argument, like the one that happened in Bamboo Forest (which I might add you modded) is impossible? Or for that matter that basic bussing is impossible?

I'm definitely certain that this goes way beyond basic bussing. I still think that that this point it's okay to rule out that both sides of the argument were scum because it wound up making such a lasting debate, and Roukanken is still pulling up points long after Pesco had given up.

Quote
"Here's the conclusion. What evidence can I find to support it?"
Hypocrisy - you accuse me of twisting facts so Pesco is scum, but you've just admitted to twisting facts so Pesco is Town.
Okay, it was a mistake to assume Pesco was town because the case on him was bad. I had made the post in light of my analysis from the first four pages, and somehow roped myself into halting my analysis to rescue someone who looked like he was on the business end of a bad lynch.

I agree with Alice that the vote count as it looks like now is bad. Since I only need to see how Pesco and Beilos Flip for what I'm looking into, I'll ##Unvote
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 02:00:03 AM
Vote count:

pesco47 (2): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice, BaitySM, Roukanken
Roukanken (1): Serpentarius, Kiro, Zakeri.
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (4): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan, BaitySM

Not voting: Alice, Zakeri, Mr. Alert.

Presently Set for Lynch:
BaitySM: 4 votes
pesco47 and Kanguya Yaraisan: 2 votes

1 hour remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 19, 2009, 02:03:57 AM
Lots of new posts to analyze, but getting my combined thoughts on the early game out there first since we don't have much time.  Skip if you don't want the information and just want the analysis:

---

Alright, analyzing Roukanken's initial accusation of Pesco, here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12745#msg12745).  Pesco provokes BaitySM into making scummy nonsense posts, and Roukanken votes him for it.  You all know what I say about early votes.  Neither the accusation nor the move that provoked it is scummy, in my opinion.

Roukanken discusses optimal lynching numbers with Carthrat, yet manages to avoid WoT-syndrome, here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12763#msg12763).  I think he misinterprets Pesco's "I'm sure he knew what he was getting into" as a statement about the self-voting, as opposed to joining a Mafia game in general, though Pesco oddly doesn't clarify very well.

Kanguya does setup speculation and manages not to say anything new here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12779#msg12779).

Affinity attempts to make sense of Baity's bizarreness here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12810#msg12810).  I make my prod of Affinity here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12810#msg12810), and then Pesco and I discussed it immediatley after.  Pesco is posting a lot, and actually addresses Roukanken's points, albeit kind of abrasively.

Kiro helpfully points out that Baity's WIFOM sucks.  Affinity continues to explain why BaitySM's behavior is both scummy and incomprehensible.

Kanguya shows up for an incredibly unhelpful post here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12906#msg12906).  Gets called out by Pesco and starts humping my leg, following my Affinity vote while seeming to miss that I considered Affinity a scum only if Baity was too.

Pesco makes an alright defense post here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12927#msg12927), responding to all the points against him, though not really as directly as I'd like.  Also tells KY to do better.

UK then posts a series of half-sentence paragraphs.  Ugh.

Roukanken starts pressing Pesco pretty hard here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12940#msg12940), then calls everyone else out to make some comments.  I lay down the foundation for 48 hours of defending myself here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12947#msg12947).  Pesco then starts being inflammatory, but also asks me for clarification regarding my standing aside, gets the response I've been giving you all since then, and accepts it.

Zakeri gives me a vague pass here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12979#msg12979).  Manages to mix it in with valid points regarding other stuff.  Starts taking his stance against Roukanken here.  KY follows it a few posts later by managing to say the same stuff less usefully.

Alice finally shows up here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13112#msg13112) and notably goes Pro-BaitySM, Pro-Roukanken, anti-Pesco.  Points out that my case on Affinity is weak, followed by Affinity showing up and making some good points and pushing Pesco to stop baiting Roukanken and start scumhunting.  Affinity manages to beat me to voting Kanguya, which I was intending to do even before I saw his post.

Kiro analyzes PvR here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13136#msg13136) and goes so far as to vote against Roukanken.  Pesco shows up immediately after and pointedly ignores Roukanken while responding to everyone else.

Carthrat shows up and makes a case against me here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13165#msg13165).  I manage to get in and switch my vote to KY, and then respond to Carthrat's accusation.  Carth gives an absolutely lackluster response, but keeps his vote there.  Lots and lots of analysis by Roukanken here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13187#msg13187), defending his actions pretty well and pointing out some suspicious moves.  He and I start to go off on our takeover of the thread.

KY shows up here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13224#msg13224) and digs himself a hole.

---

Alright, those are the first five pages.  Early game analysis:  In retrospect, I see Zakeri as showing the same scumtells Kanguya does, but being more eloquent about it, which is interesting since he needed to have the fact that that is a scumtell pointed out by me later.

Lack of participation by Edible.  I don't like UK's style either.  Carthrat put a vote on me and then just let it sit there without talking about it.  He's not done much but speculate on the setup and cheerlead whoever voices suspicion of me.  Affinity and Kiro didn't make many posts, but made some good points.  Nothing overtly suspicious from Roukanken and Pesco in the early game.  Mr Alert:  bleh.  BaitySM:  megableh.  His more recent posts muddle things.  Kanguya:  my opinion is unchanged.  Almost forgot to put Alice on this list.  I find his criticism of walls of text amusing.

At the moment I'm still favoring BaitySM and Kanguya for a lynch (after reading his roleclaim: I think Baity is either full of it, or really really deserves to get lynched anyway), though Pesco's continued absence and the way he stopped defending himself after Roukanken and I started going at it doesn't speak in his favor.  I guess I'm feeling that Pesco is getting more scummy every minute he doesn't show up.  The triple lynch mentioned in the most recent count probably isn't going to go through, but if Pesco doesn't show up, it'd be nice if it would.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 02:06:39 AM
:/

I'm not liking how we have a tie for second place on 2 votes each. WAY too much of an opening for scum

Basically, we're gonna have to choose between Pesco and KY for second lynch, or somehow raise it to 4/4/4. The latter's never gonna happen, and I'm fine with switching to KY if Town doesn't want to lynch Pesco today. I'll do it closer to deadline so scum can't screw things up.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 02:11:53 AM
Votecount is fine as is, I think.  If scum tries to screw with it, they'll either need to last-minute-vote Pesco/Kanako to prevent the lynch of the other, or vote a single person twice.

While I certainly do hope they try, it'll be pretty obvious...
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 02:12:08 AM
Basically, we're gonna have to choose between Pesco and KY for second lynch, or somehow raise it to 4/4/4. The latter's never gonna happen, and I'm fine with switching to KY if Town doesn't want to lynch Pesco today. I'll do it closer to deadline so scum can't screw things up.
On the contrary, I want scum to screw things up and very blatantly out themselves in the process.

Would like both KY and pesco to be at 3 votes though, just in case.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 02:13:56 AM
On the contrary, I want scum to screw things up and very blatantly out themselves in the process.
The problem here arises if either of Pesco of Kanako are scum, since all they have to do is move their vote from Baity to the other one and they survive for a day. Town gains nothing from giving them this opportunity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 02:19:02 AM
I doubt that'll be an issue.  Both Alice and Zakeri are around and will, assumedly, continue to be around for the next 40 minutes.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Kiro on May 19, 2009, 02:26:10 AM
Hrm, the thread's moving pretty fast now.

I had more to say about Rou, but on Baity's roleclaim and Pesco's conspicuous silence, I am re-evaluating Pesco. Knowing that Pesco is rather crafty, I now wouldn't put it past him in figuring out Baity was a Bomb in Baity's very first game post.

Basically  =x

---

I roll a die twice, and get two 3's. That means I choose "6". Of course, to make it fit into the 12 criteria, I've excluded myself from the sample (for now).

##Vote Affinity

Now, why Pesco would out someone he thinks is a suspected Bomb, makes much more sense from a Scum perspective. Because Scum would never be able to NK him. So he needs to get mislynched, otherwise he rides through confirmed the rest of the game and unkillable. Granted, this logic fails if a) Baity is a Scum Bomb or b) Baity's roleclaim is a lie. In either case, Baity would need to be lynched. Given he's revoted himself again, I'd believe Baity's claim. Whether people want to unvote him and spare him because they think he's a Town Bomb over a Scum Bomb is not something I have much control over now.

So yeah, I'll switch things up. I'll reevaluate Roukan tomorrow.

##Unvote Roukanken
##Vote Pesco47
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 02:30:03 AM
Vote count:

pesco47 (3): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice,BaitySM, Roukanken, Kiro
Roukanken (0): Serpentarius, Kiro, Zakeri.
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (2): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (4): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan, BaitySM

Not voting: Alice, Zakeri, Mr. Alert.

Presently Set for Lynch:
BaitySM: 4 votes
pesco47: 3 votes

30 minutes remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 02:36:14 AM
I am fine with lynching KY on top of BaitySM and pesco47: does anyone object to me voting KY?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 19, 2009, 02:37:59 AM
Eh, the second five pages are mostly SvR.  My impressions of the other stuff happening:

---

Kanguya jumps on the Baity wagon here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13263#msg13263).  Points deducted for the fact that he says nothing new.

More analysis by Kiro here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13295#msg13295).  My response was lackluster, in retrospect.  Hopefully I've explained those points better since then.

UK misuses quote tags, posts some low-content walls of text, and KY compounds the problem by adding his responses in red text inside quote tags.  I just lost my other eye by looking at it again.  Not much substance from UK, but nothing bad either.  Meh, it's activity.  KY begs for a lynch  and I'm too preoccupied defending myself to respond to it 'till it gets my attention later.

I finally call on Roukanken to drop the Pesco case [url=https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13338#msg13338]here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13323#msg13323[/url) due to approaching deadline.  Pesco doesn't help by showing up and firing off a bunch of one-liners at Rou.  I then get around to defending my initial prodding of Affinity.  Pesco pressures UK, but it's lost in everything else happening.

Rou votes me at the top of Page 7.  Zakeri actually questions me below that.  Edible actually posts some good content here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13532#msg13532).  I start to get a little pissed here (https://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13545#msg13545) and Roukanken and I finally start getting to the underlying issues behind our disagreement.  Kiro (Hey, he did notice that I brushed off that question I mentioned in my last post.  Amusing.) posts good analysis.  Affinity posts good analysis.  Responses by Rou to Kiro and Affinity make him look a bit tunnely.  Baity continues to make a fool of himself.  Pesco and UK's discussion disappears.

Rou and I go back and forth for most of Page 8.  Zakeri goes the whole (9) yards.  (Sorry, you didn't make the pun, so...)  Then we get into the end of day hijinks.

Alright, final verdict:  All things considered, and looking back on it all with an open mind, I still want BaitySM and Kanguya lynched.  Won't object to a Pesco lynch, especially considering his late day absence.

Ninja'd by several people:  BaitySM, Pesco47, and KY should make a fine group of lynches.  Go for it, Alice.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 02:39:07 AM
No objection here either.  Can you wait until the last few minutes?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 19, 2009, 02:43:07 AM
Well I do, but there's nothing I can do to prove my innocence. So uh...yeah.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 02:45:20 AM
So between your last poast and now you did not have enough time to poast anything?

Really. Come the fuck on.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 02:45:36 AM
15 minutes remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 02:46:31 AM
At minimum, could you please roleclaim?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 19, 2009, 02:47:51 AM
So between your last poast and now you did not have enough time to poast anything?

Really. Come the fuck on.
Well I did but I had nothing of use to contribute that hadn't been stated already.

Cut by Alice: Monoko, vanilla townie.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 02:50:36 AM
10 minutes remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Affinity on May 19, 2009, 02:51:02 AM
Just dropping in quickly between classes to say that I'm fine with Alice voting KY.  Rou's and Serp's defences, on first glance, look good, while Kiro's sudden switch seems very forced, but I'll evaluate them tomorrow.  Lastly, I'm okay with the triptych of lynches today... though I didn't give too much thought into pesco, his play has been slightly.... weirdening as of late.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 02:52:37 AM
Kiro's switch does seem very forced to me for some reason, and there's something slightly worrying me about Edible. Will need to evaluate both of these people in detail tomorrow.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Carthrat on May 19, 2009, 02:54:31 AM
Fuck me, I'm late for deadline. Um. Shit.

No time for a long post. Does anyone live? I'd rather see KY lynched than pesco, myself. Fine with baity. Not thrilled about lynching pesco at this point.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 02:55:05 AM
5 minutes remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 19, 2009, 02:55:52 AM
##Vote: Kanako Yasaka or however you type his name.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 19, 2009, 02:55:59 AM
We've got the plan set, Carthrat.  Please don't change your vote from me.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Carthrat on May 19, 2009, 02:57:21 AM
There's a plan to triplynch, then?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 02:58:22 AM
Indeed.  *pokes Nietz for confirmation that we'll be lynching pesco, KY, and Baity*
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 19, 2009, 02:59:11 AM
yep. that's the plan.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 19, 2009, 02:59:19 AM
There's a plan to triplynch, then?
No, we're throwing a surprise party for Nietz.  Yup, and all not-currently-on-the-chopping-block parties present agree on it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 02:59:23 AM
Edible: Yes.

1 MINUTE
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Carthrat on May 19, 2009, 02:59:29 AM
Alright, I can't make an informed decision to argue that right now. Saving it for tomorrow. Only other thing I'd really persue right now is Zakeri, if Edible's post on him is truth.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 03:00:09 AM
DEADLINE SHUT UP
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 03:33:23 AM
They were running from the Toriningen for hours, maybe days, who can tell in a dream? They were all dead tired, or at least as much tired as dream figments can be.
Someone would have to go, if a sacrifice to the guillotine had to be made, then one would be made.

But who to choose? This conundrum seemed to solve himself when three of the figments - two little girls and a ghost - became surrounded, caught in between the Toriningen and a guillotine while the others ran for safety.

The ponytailed girl tried to make for a narrow scape, but when the featureless white ghost that was with her suddenly became a faceless Toriningen, she screamed and ran in the opposite direction. Unfortunately for her, when she tried to pass by the other girl, she was suddenly caught in her arms. MORE arms than one person should have.
Before she could even struggle to free herself, she was shoved into the guillotine. It was, after all, her or them.
Without changing their creepy smile, the guillotine closed its blades, and a ponytailed blonde head rolled away from its body.

But before she could even think of what she had done, the many-armed girl was herself pushed to the guillotine, her body cut in half by the blades.

The faceless ghost in Toriningen shape stepped away from the guillotine and went to face the other Toriningen, he was confident his disguise could easily fool them.

It could, as it turned out, not.

As the dreamscape fades away, the last thing the other
personas can see is a ponytailed not-so-dead-looking Severed Head, moving away from the guillotine, probably intent on going home and taking it easy.


BaitySM, playing Poniko, a Town-aligned Bomb, was lynched. Since there was no hammerer, his ability did not activate.

Kanguya Yaraisan, playing Monoko, Vanilla Townie, was lynched.

pesco47, playing Nopperabou, Scum Godfather, was also lynched.

Final votecount (now fixed):

pesco47 (3): Edible, Kiro, Roukanken, Alice,BaitySM, Roukanken, Kiro
Roukanken (0): Serpentarius, Kiro, Zakeri.
Alice (0): Carthrat, Zakeri, Affinity
Kanguya Yaraisan (3): UncertainKitten, Affinity, Serpentarius, Alice
Serpentarius (1): Mr. Alert, Carthrat, Roukanken
Affinity (0): BaitySM, Serpentarius, Kanguya Yaraisan
Zakeri (0): Alice
UncertainKitten (0): pesco47
BaitySM (4): pesco47, BaitySM, Affinity, UncertainKitten, Zakeri, Kanguya Yaraisan, BaitySM

Not voting: Alice, Zakeri, Mr. Alert.

-------

Mr. Alert has been replaced by Sodium Peroxide.

It is now the Waking Phase, any players with Waking actions have 24 hours to send them in to both me and Jan-san.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 03:35:50 AM
Hiya, SP!

Please read the game while you wait~
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Edible on May 19, 2009, 03:37:01 AM
(Also I basically died laughing at Poniko being the bomb.  How fitting)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Jana on May 19, 2009, 03:39:12 AM
I died a little on the inside because I wanted cool UBOAAAAAAAAAAAAA(ry flavor text... But Ponikkuri is cute, so I'll take it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 03:43:23 AM
I died a little on the inside because I wanted cool UBOAAAAAAAAAAAAA(ry flavor text... But Ponikkuri is cute, so I'll take it.
▓▓▓░░░░░░░░░░░▓▓▓▓▓
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UBOAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA!!!

Me too, believe me.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: nintendonut888 on May 19, 2009, 03:44:50 AM
Hey, what would have happened in the hypothetical situation that BaitySM lynched himself?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Jana on May 19, 2009, 03:46:42 AM
But that is what happened, my dear pastry, so there was not Uboa trigger.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: nintendonut888 on May 19, 2009, 03:50:20 AM
I'm now curious as to what the flavor would have been like if Baity self hammered for whatever reason and was the sole lynchee. Poniko getting Uboa'd? We'll never know...

And yeah yeah, not playing or even really reading the game, I'll step out of your way now...
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 19, 2009, 03:52:03 AM
Bah
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: LHCling on May 19, 2009, 04:19:33 AM
Bawh...

Go town.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Pesco on May 19, 2009, 06:10:07 AM
I get sick, stay offline for a night and come back to to 5 pages of walls ohwaitimdead.

Instead of blowing my lungs out at deadline, maybe I should have tried getting in here.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Ionasal kkll Solciel on May 19, 2009, 10:02:39 AM
// Since when did I become a reference for
{
   cluelessNewbTown();
} // ?

// Sorry; too much writing in Java recently.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: FallenAngelV on May 19, 2009, 10:37:46 AM
Hey Nieeetz, that final vote-count is wrong. You silly head.

Well, not anymore.

It's still wrong, unless there's a secret voter

Well, I hope it's right now.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Stuffman on May 19, 2009, 01:08:50 PM
I forget, is Monoko the girl that flips out when you use the stop sign on her or is she the other monochrome girl wandering the desert?

Also, sadfaes at dud Uboa :<
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Sodium on May 19, 2009, 04:39:10 PM
Confirmed.

So yeah.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1
Post by: Nietz on May 19, 2009, 09:14:45 PM
OK, so it's daytime and you can get yourself to sleep any more for now. What's a hikkikomori to do all day long then?
The answer is:

(http://img216.imageshack.us/img216/1811/nasu.jpg)

And so starts the exciting NASU Challenge! Even if you get lynched, killed, modkilled or whatever in the regular game, you can still claim you were a winner at the other part of the game!

It's as simple as can be, you only have to, you know, know what NASU is, then play it until your brain goes numb and post a screenshot of your best score during the Waking phases. Like this:
(http://img297.imageshack.us/img297/7994/nasuscore.th.jpg) (http://img297.imageshack.us/my.php?image=nasuscore.jpg)
(Try to post it as a thumbnail or a link, to avoid cluttering the thread.)

Players both alive and dead can participate, the highest score at the end of the game wins. So go and catch those falling fishes!
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1 (NASU Challenge)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 09:50:37 PM
FFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFFF

I GOT THE 1000 POINT BONUS FOR CATCHING TWO FISH AT ONCE AND STILL DIED AT 1440

;_;
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 1 (NASU Challenge)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 19, 2009, 09:54:32 PM
EBWOP:
Taking first place practically by default. (http://img206.imageshack.us/img206/9154/nasu1.jpg)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 20, 2009, 03:01:41 AM
An infinite-looking dark room which only feature is its countless blue square pillars, each of them with one or more colored tiles that will instantly teleport anyone who steps onto them to another pillar top.

When you look down over the edge, there doesn't even seem to be a ground visible, only a fall into the darkness. And indeed at the first look around you are all shocked by the image of a giant hand with a huge eye in the middle of its palm silently falling into darkness. As you look up to the top of the pillar, you can still see an indistinct flicker of someone teleporting away.

With that image in mind, these pillar tops start now to seem awfully small, and with the realization that a simple push from someone else will hurl you towards that dark fall comes the sudden fear of being alone with ANYONE on top of a pillar, even for an instant.

Unfortunately, as you must keep teleporting from one pillar to the other, each of you only has time to shout some quick sentences across the gaps at a time.



Kiro, playing Medamaude, Town-aligned Dreamscape Changer, has been killed.
Quote
Your are a Town-aligned Dreamscape Changer. At a max of 2 times during the game (but not in the same Dream Phase) you can change the present dreamscape by PM'ing the mods. The Dream Rules of the previous dreamscape will become invalid, and the new rules will take their place. Votecount will not reset.


Dream Rules:


1. Conciseness is of the essence. A 250 words per post restriction is now in place.

2. The word limit includes EBWOPs or any double- triple- or more posts in sequence. So don't try to break your WoT in several posts. ## commands are not included in the count. (Addendum: Quoted text is included in the word limit.)

3. Posts exceeding the word limit will be summarily cut off at 250. I have a word counter and I'm not afraid to use it. (I recommend you use (http://www.wordcounttool.com/) one (http://www.javascriptkit.com/script/script2/countwords.shtml) too (https://addons.mozilla.org/en-US/firefox/addon/4718).)
         ?: ## commands are exempt from mod editing, no matter where they are in the post.


Player List:

Alive!

1. Edible
2. Zakeri
4. UK
5. Carthrat
6. Affinity
7. Roukanken
9. Alice
10. Serpentarius
11. Sodium Peroxide

They're dead, Jim.

3. Pesco - Nopperabou, Scum Godfather - Abducted by Toriningen in the Guillotine Room
12. BaitySM - Poniko, Town-aligned Bomb - Became a Severed Head and is taking it easy.
13. Kanguya Yaraisan - Monoko, Vanilla Townie - Was chopped in half at the Guillotine Room.
8. Kiro - Medamaude, Town-aligned Dreamscape Changer - Pushed off a pillar block in the Teleport World by scum.

With 9 players alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 20, 2009, 03:09:47 AM
I am immediately suspicious of Sodium Alert, as why else would pesco bother asking the mod to replace him?

Hopefully this phase will allow certain players to learn to post concisely.  More when I'm not working; a reread of pesco will occur... again.

@Mod: Does the word count include quotes?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 20, 2009, 03:13:01 AM
@Mod: Does the word count include quotes?
Yes, forgot to write that in.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 20, 2009, 03:51:43 AM
Well, quote rules are easy to work around. As for the rest, this will be a big pain in the ass for my schedule. I didn't even read closely the last three pages having missed the end of D1...

Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 20, 2009, 03:58:10 AM
Well, quote rules are easy to work around. As for the rest, this will be a big pain in the ass for my schedule. I didn't even read closely the last three pages having missed the end of D1...

Less to read would be better for your schedule, not worse...
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Kiro on May 20, 2009, 04:26:28 AM
FUCK ME!!!

Avatar irony is wholly intended.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Serp on May 20, 2009, 05:20:12 AM
This should be interesting.  Can't say I'm surprised by the Kiro kill.  Roukanken, and to a lesser extent Edible, are both looking pretty townie.  Zakeri's not looking good, what with claiming that Pesco's definitely town and attempting a last-minute Roukanken rally.  Then again, I've agreed with him that the case on Pesco wasn't strong at all from the start.

I still think KY looked scummier, even though in retrospect he was the big alternative to the scumlynch we ended up getting too.  I don't regret my vote on him, and I suppose I should extend that sentiment to Affinity and Alice.

BaitySM was an obvious lynch from early on.  Amusing that three of the four voting against him ended up lynched themselves.  Being on it tells us frustratingly little about UK. 

Carth hasn't said much beyond throwing arguments at me, dropping them, and letting Roukanken carry the case.  Alert said little, so there's not much to say about Sodium Peroxide.  More analysis and probably a vote once I've slept on it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 20, 2009, 05:33:23 AM
Zakeri. Almost entirely because of Edible's post here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg14008#msg14008).

It's also not unreasonable to suspect that scum would attempt to defend the godfather! since he's usually the best role for them to keep alive. Early on he mentioned how self-voting always seems to 'screw town', but that doesn't add up with also voting Baity on the spot to me.

Mostly the weird craplogic he used just now, though. Looks a lot like he wasn't paying attention to what he was saying. Amused how he mentioned Rou wasn't 'scumhunting' but 'pescohunting', when it fact it looks like he's the one rouhunting after all that.

I have various feelings of unease with various people, none of which seem anywhere near as weird as Zak. Off the top of my head, though, I'm worried about UK for saying 'man I wish we could lynch like five people' (of which there was 1x scum, 2x town, 1x person I think's town (edible!) and 1x total lurker (alert!)'. Bad vibes.)

and some waffling towards the end, I'm worried about Serp due to Pesco's flip, and I'm worried about Rou because Rou vs. Pesco is pretty much a Textbook Angry Rant, with a non-trivial chance of being fake. I'm also worried that I'm just paranoid, since the last two were at least talking a lot all through the day and that's generally a townie sign.

Anyhow I'll ##Vote: Zakeri now and check back later.

ninja serp hi. :V
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 20, 2009, 05:36:33 AM
I need to reply to serp halp me plz
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 1 (The Guillotine Room)
Post by: Jana on May 20, 2009, 06:34:25 AM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat

Not voting: Edible, Zakeri, UK, Affinity, Roukanken, Alice, Serpentarius, Sodium Peroxide

About 68.5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 20, 2009, 08:09:33 AM
Reading back on my notes...

Rou is cleared for me for now, due to Pesco's Flip. My other suspicions remain as strong as they were yesterday, but not so much.

I notice a lot of early day speculation from Pesco revolved around people's opinions of Affinity - One from Baity, where he replied that it was gut feeling and thus unvotable on, and one from Serp, where Pesco denounced the reasoning. I feel this is where we should put our attention at.

It's four in the morning however, so that'll have to wait.

Finally, the only defense I can make on Carthrat's vote is that you have to look back and decide if I honestly believed Pesco was town when I did it, or if I really was trying to BS to a Roukanken lynch as oppose to a Pesco lynch. Any answer you get from me would be biased towards the former.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 20, 2009, 08:10:39 AM
Quote
My other suspicions remain as strong as they were yesterday, but that's not saying much.

Fixed text.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 20, 2009, 09:58:24 AM
No points for suggesting who our big suspect is right now. ##Vote: Zakeri Izayoi
I just looked through your analysis of D1 Pesco and found this:
Quote from: Zakeri Izayoi
49 - Claims Self-voting is the main reason for his vote. Adds protecting Edible as an aside.
What are you talking about? (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12737#msg12737)

On that note, I REALLY hate this quote here:
Quote from: Alice Margatroid
First off, at this point I'm thinking that if pesco47 is scum then Zakeri *must* be town, as I just can't see scum-Zakeri doing such a blatant chainsaw defence of our fluffy little bunny friend.
This is total WIFOM. If Zak flips scum, Alice is an obvious buddy.

Want to hear some input from the new guy. Sodium?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 20, 2009, 10:00:28 AM
EBWOP:
Quote from: Serpentarius
Roukanken, and to a lesser extent Edible, are both looking pretty townie.
Why Edible? He's still produced very little content thus far...
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 20, 2009, 02:07:16 PM
##Vote: Serp

I'm still not very convinced about the reasons as to why he arbitarily included pesco as the third lynch on day one instead of the myraid of other people he could choose who were quite innocent.  When I look at it in a way, it seems as if he's trying to get some superficial townie credit without sufficient backing.

As for Zakeri, I need to see a concrete case and vote from him to make any further judgments.  Quite easy to see why he's scummy atm, so I won't go into details.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 20, 2009, 02:39:38 PM
Re: Serp: The only point I felt I wanted to drop on you yesterday was your vote on Affinity. Nerviness around your stance on Pesco/Rou remained, and I was simply careless about the end of the day. In fact it's worse now because of Pesco's flip.

Rou: I've never seen scum go 'if buddy 1 flips town, buddy 2 = clear'. 'specially not when scum1 is the godfather. WIFOM, silliness, yesssss, alice/zak/pesco scumteam? Not really seeing it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 20, 2009, 02:42:18 PM
ebwop: if Buddy 1 flips *scum*, sorry.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 20, 2009, 03:01:48 PM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat
Serpentarius (1): Affinity

Not voting: Edible, Zakeri, UK, Roukanken, Alice, Serpentarius, Sodium Peroxide

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
60 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Serp on May 20, 2009, 03:45:12 PM
Carth, regarding Rou:  If Roukanken were scum and that whole thing was an act, then I would've expected Rou to keep his vote on me, rather than switching back to Pesco.  I'm not saying it's impossible, but it seems really, really unlikely.

Rou, regarding Edible:  Hence why I said he's looking townie "to a lesser extent."  His vote on Pesco was originally just his early game random vote.  He did provide some justification for keeping it in reply 188, and he also helped tear apart Zakeri's vote switch to Roukanken at the end of the day.  After my reread, I can't see Edible-scum any more than I can see Roukanken scum.

Affinity, regarding my stance on Pesco:  Pesco had the votes.  More lynches are good (and yesterday's events make a good anecdote for that point).

Carth, regarding his stance on me:  You were egging on SvR, while managing to hardly contribute to it at all.  SvR was a huge distraction that almost ended up getting me lynched instead of Pesco.  Rou's points about the scumminess of myself egging on a Town/Town PvR also apply to you egging on a Town/Town SvR.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 20, 2009, 03:49:06 PM
Rou: I've never seen scum go 'if buddy 1 flips town, buddy 2 = clear'. 'specially not when scum1 is the godfather. WIFOM, silliness, yesssss, alice/zak/pesco scumteam? Not really seeing it.
The fact remains that Zak went for a spontaneous, last-minute defense of the godfather, and Alice cleared him for it. Since when is defending scum a Towntell?
Little point in arguing this point until we know what Zak is, so I'll drop it for now.

Quote from: Affinity
I'm still not very convinced about the reasons as to why he arbitarily included pesco as the third lynch on day one instead of the myraid of other people he could choose who were quite innocent.
You lost me. You're mad at him for choosing to lynch scum instead of Town?

Quote from: Serp
Rou, regarding Edible:  Hence why I said he's looking townie "to a lesser extent."  His vote on Pesco was originally just his early game random vote.  He did provide some justification for keeping it in reply 188, and he also helped tear apart Zakeri's vote switch to Roukanken at the end of the day.
True, I didn't consider this. Still want to see him produce more, though.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 20, 2009, 08:42:12 PM
Okay, I'm back from school.

...and I'll be back after I re read some stuff. >_> Just wait a bit, I've gotta get my thoughts on Day 1 collected again.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 20, 2009, 09:04:03 PM
Quote from: Zakeri
49 - Claims Self-voting is the main reason for his vote. Adds protecting Edible as an aside.
What are you talking about? (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12737#msg12737)

Here's how I read the exchange:

Quote from: Pesco
You were excluding 2 players.
Means: "In addition to excluding yourself, you were also excluding Edible"

Which is why it looked scummy for you to pick at it as part of your (initial) Justification for voting Pesco.

Quote from: Roukanken
Don't even TRY to argue that he should have left the self-vote possibility open.
Looked like to me: "Why does excluding yourself Count as an "exclusion" when you should automatically exclude yourself anyway?" I hope I don't have to explain whats wrong with this sentence.
Quote from: Pesco
he excluded himself and player 1, which means it's 2 players. More importantly, it's got nothing to do with why he's getting voted now.
Reads: "Because Beilos is an existing person therefore counts, not that excluding himself was the point I was trying to make."

This is what made me think Roukanken was attacking Pesco needlessly, coupled with the fact that he was ignoring giving a definite opinion on Beilos, which in turn looked scummier in that you were essentially defending and FoSing someone who, at the time, a lot of people thought was scum.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 20, 2009, 09:37:24 PM
Okay, my dad is doing something that will involve me having to turn off my comp. So yeah. Bad post incoming, No Vote Yet.

Day 1 itself:A trainwreck, in a sense. Baity failing hard, Kanako being Kanako plus lurking(not a good combo), some people not posting much, and a lot of walls by Roukan, Pesco, and Serp, etc. We got Pesco though, so that's good.

Edible:Not Postan as much for irl reasons, gets called for not contributing much, and Edible says others are doing it worse. Not an excuse. His posts aren't as long or detailed as usual imo, but the length is a good thing, as there were already too many Day 1 Walls. But anyways, Edible gives me the impression that he's trying to not be noticed, which isn't a good thing. Neutral/Scummy

Serp/Roukan:Serp was avoiding Pesco Roukan battle like the plague, Roukan decides that's NO GOOD and attacks Serp, because being Neutral in a fight is WRONG. Oh, and both of them were scum hunting, I think, while fighting each other. Roukan vs Serp seemed too stupid to be true though. Did you both really need walls, let alone fight just to argue something that came out from BEING NEUTRAL? What the hell. I think it's either Town vs Town, or Scum vs Scum. I'm leaning Town vs Town, although Scum vs Scum is possible(read:Unlikely, multiple reasons why).
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 20, 2009, 10:26:38 PM
Zak: So I drew a conclusion that not voting for yourself was so obvious it didn't qualify as an exclusion. It's not like that was the basis of my argument, and note I dropped it soon after.

Secondly, you only attacked my case after I'd surmised it elsewhere, and when I presented said case you ignored it by saying it was 'whatever stuck'. That's HORRIBLE play, and it's exactly what I was getting angry at Pesco for (ignoring the good points I made and exaggerating the worse ones).

And in terms of Baity, do you expect me to sit and repeat several times 'I don't like what Baity is doing' when he's saying nothing in reply? It's like Serp's complaint about KY being inactive - what does repeating 'I'm suspicious of KY' achieve other than annoying people?

Still waiting for Affinity to clear up his point about 'Serp lynches scum = scumtell'.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 20, 2009, 10:54:35 PM
Quote
##Vote: Serp

I'm still not very convinced about the reasons as to why he arbitarily included pesco as the third lynch on day one instead of the myraid of other people he could choose who were quite innocent.  When I look at it in a way, it seems as if he's trying to get some superficial townie credit without sufficient backing.

I'd also like to see more reasoning than this placed behind your vote.

Cut: I didn't ignore your points. When you presented them again, I tried to defend them, but eventually had to give up and concede that they were indeed good points. I then wondered out loud why I tasked myself with proving himself innocent, when that's his job, and then noticed he wasn't posting despite having been online briefly. Then of course, I gave up after being completely defeated and felt like an idiot. I was still cursing myself for being talked out of voting you from the three people I considered most suspicious at the time (You, Alice, and Edible). In the end, though, I didn't need both of you lynched before I could evaluate if I was right or wrong based on the flips.

Quote
And in terms of Baity, ...
Relax. If you hadn't notice, that post was explaining my thought process, not an attack on you.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 20, 2009, 11:01:29 PM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat
Serpentarius (1): Affinity

Not voting: Edible, Zakeri, UK, Roukanken, Alice, Serpentarius, Sodium Peroxide

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
52 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 20, 2009, 11:35:00 PM
...Well that was a waste of time. Turns out my dad isn't actually doing anything! This post is sorta like my previous.

Alice:Town, from what I can see. Reminds me of Alice in RWoS. Pretty much my reasoning for thinking Alice is town. >_> I don't really see anything scummy.

UK:Vanished the last part of Day 1, real life reasons! Her posts before that are fine, although they rub me the wrong way for some reason. Maybe its because they're a bit...well, I don't know how to describe it, but they rub me the wrong way. Just some gut feeling, but I haven't really seen explicitly scummy actions from her yet. Neutral/Town for now, because vague gut feeling is stupid.

Affinity:Okay, I can't remember anything he did Day 1. Your Day 2 vote, what?

Carth is similar to Affinity, minus the "Your Day 2 vote, what?" I'll check back on the both of them later.

Zakeri:Uh yeah. Pretty much everyone else said. You're scummy.

And that's all I've got. I may elaborate later, but I'm tired right now, as you can see through the gradual decline of quality of this post >_> I'm just going to put down a vote now.

##Vote:Edible because I don't really like how you're playing right now. Doesn't feel like how you were playing the last games you were town. Next up would be Zakeri.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 02:04:08 AM
Hm.  I don't buy the Zakeri case at the moment; I need to hear more from him.  I agree with Alice in that scumZak probably wouldn't defend pesco as hardcore as he did.  (Speaking of Alice... anyone home in the dollhouse?)

I'm very interested in the interaction between Affinity and pesco - or rather, the complete lack of interaction.  I find it unusual that Affinity ignored pesco for the entire day (save for one teensy comment (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg14067#msg14067), even though pesco was a prime lynch candidate for most of Day 1.  In addition, pesco makes (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12757#msg12757) Affinity-related comments (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12961#msg12961) that echo certain ways he acted around players who voted scumpartners in other games; kind of a "pesco is intimate with this person" feel.

Finally, Affinity's hopped on every (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12738#msg12738) bandwagon (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13119#msg13119) but pesco's yesterday, and pesco happened to be the one scum of the three lynched.

##vote Affinity

@Affinity: I would like an explanation of your behavior yesterday.  I don't really expect you to explain pesco's actions concerning you, but any insight would be appreciated.

@Zakeri: As stated above, I'd like to see you reread Day 1 and give us some analysis.

@Alice: Also as stated above, I'd like you to exist~

@SP: Glad to see you're at least reading the game, unlike your predecessor.  Please produce something regarding Affinity and Carth.  Additionally, I'd like you to actually read Zakeri's posts instead of inferring his alignment from others' reactions.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 21, 2009, 02:50:17 AM
@SP: Glad to see you're at least reading the game, unlike your predecessor.  Please produce something regarding Affinity and Carth.  Additionally, I'd like you to actually read Zakeri's posts instead of inferring his alignment from others' reactions.
I'd do that if I weren't feeling tired(and I actually could, 250 word limit). If Donut is any indication, posting while tired will invariably produce crap posts(tm). Ah screw it actually, I'm not Donut. Carth only right now, though. Tired, and 250 word limit.

Carthrat's first posts were dealing with Setup stuff. Nothing exciting there, as everyone was.

His 133 is somewhat hypocritical from what I can tell:Telling Serp that he's just saying that Roukan and Pesco are stupid and not taking a stance while stating in the same post that he's saying that Roukan and Pesco are being overbearing... and he doesn't really take a stance.

More posts that are nothing new(Baity related)
150 seems relatively fine. So does the rest of his posts. Pops up 5 minutes before deadline, sees the plan, and leaves it at that.

Aside from some minor Hypocrisy, I'm thinking that Carth is town. I would like to ask why you think Edible is town though(your post on Day 2). You didn't post any reasoning for that, after you were telling people not to do that(Day 1).
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 21, 2009, 02:52:20 AM
I weren't feeling tired(and if I actually could before, 250 word limit)
Fixed.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 21, 2009, 02:59:53 AM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (1): Sodium Peroxide
Affinity (1): Edible

Not voting: Zakeri, UK, Roukanken, Alice, Serpentarius

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
48 hours remaining.

Alice prodded for inactivity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: UncertainJakutten on May 21, 2009, 03:08:08 AM
You all will hate me. I also will not be playing the next game because it has become manifestly obvious I can't handle this. But...

Nietz, please replace me

Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 21, 2009, 03:12:31 AM
You all will hate me. I also will not be playing the next game because it has become manifestly obvious I can't handle this. But...

Nietz, please replace me
I hate you.
Well, not really. Maybe a little.

Anyway, replacement position open, PM me, etc.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 03:14:29 AM
fffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffffff

The one time UK isn't allowed to spam walls incessantly and she drops out. :|
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 21, 2009, 03:15:30 AM
You all will hate me. I also will not be playing the next game because it has become manifestly obvious I can't handle this. But...

Nietz, please replace me
...So there could be three replacements in this game now(Alert, Alice assuming she doesn't appear, and UK). *sigh*

Thank Suwako we have 3 replacements...wait. One of them is Zakeri? o.O And umu was too busy the first time we needed a replacement. That leaves VgameT. Uh, Alice, could you post? >_>

Anyway, replacement position open, PM me, etc.
Well, assuming VgameT can't replace, I think I could get a guy.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 03:16:11 AM
u? will probably replace UK.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 21, 2009, 03:42:50 AM
first things first:

In reading through the Pesco-Affinity weirdness, I came across something that's really, really weird.

##Vote: Affinity Again, the main reasoning being that I want to see more reasoning behind your vote on Serpent.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 21, 2009, 03:45:37 AM
edit: Forgot the other things. Just as well, since they aren't important enough to be in the same post.

Quote
Thank Suwako we have 3 replacements...wait. One of them is Zakeri?

Obviously, we have to wait until I die before I can replace. ;)

Quote
The one time UK isn't allowed to spam walls incessantly and she drops out. :|
I would have liked to see it actually happen.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 03:46:19 AM
In reading through the Pesco-Affinity weirdness, I came across something that's really, really weird.

What something would this happen to be?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 21, 2009, 03:51:37 AM
Sorry about the prods Nietz, hopefully I will not require another one this game. Again, my apologies.

Regarding Zakeri, I'm just not seeing a scum-Zakeri pull off such a horrible and blatant chainsaw defence of his scumbuddy - even if said scumbuddy *is* the GF. He's still fairly annoyingly suspicious but I'm unconvinced that he's the best lynch for today.

UK is all kinds of bleh, basically.

Need to reread pesco's wagon and reasoning before I can make any further statements, except that both Rou and Serp are kind of weird at this moment from my POV and I'm not sure what to make of them.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 21, 2009, 04:33:04 AM
Quote
What something would this happen to be?

Most of it revolves around a pet theory I have. It's also incredibly hard to defend against since it's based on what Pesco said throughout the day, and I want more proof before I proceed. I don't want to distract him with it.

My main point is that I want to see more from him before I condemntribute.

It will be posted before the day's over.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 21, 2009, 04:55:11 AM
Most of it revolves around a pet theory I have. It's also incredibly hard to defend against since it's based on what Pesco said throughout the day, and I want more proof before I proceed. I don't want to distract him with it.

My main point is that I want to see more from him before I condemntribute.

It will be posted before the day's over.
First off, for like the 543563646365454645th time,  antecedents are your friend. Who is "he"? Pesco? Pesco's dead in case you haven't noticed. If it's not Pesco, then who the fuck is it? Sadly we're not telepathic here, you know. (though if we were, that'd make for a fairly boring game, come to think of it)

Also, this is mafia. Cards on the damn table, please. There's no point to hide anything (unless you're scum). So can you please tell us your glorious pet idea already? Or do we have to bring you up to L-2 first? :P
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 21, 2009, 05:27:41 AM
I mean Affinity, the one who I am currently prodding for his vote.

Quote
Also, this is mafia. Cards on the damn table, please. There's no point to hide anything (unless you're scum).
The town is bad at playing poker. Here it is...

Quote
What something would this happen to be?

I saw Pesco Scum hunting (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13346#msg13346)

Notice the top two sets of quotes and responses. Pesco makes Serpent's vote against Affinity look bad by trying to note that he fed Serp the answer to his reasoning, then by claiming Serp's backtrack looked fishy.

Early day one Pesco had him nagging about people's opinions on Affinity. After feeding Serp's reason to vote to him with the suspected bussing post, he later says ?Looking forward to see where you take affinity? (Post 104)

In Affinity's next post (125) he states that Serpent's reason was not something he could defend against, and was null since Beilos had to answer to it, not him.

Sometime after that, Pesco states the following in responce To Alice's complaint on Serpent's Vote:
Quote from: Pesco
Baity's alignment is pretty irrelevant to the conclusion you've drawn because I don't see much of a downside to scumAffinity's position there.

This seems like Pesco is saying he knew the vote on Affinity could be easily dispelled. The same pesco that earlier said ?Looking forward to see where you take affinity?, and played off of Serpent.

It looks like Pesco was planning to turn Serpent's vote against himself, which in turn would make Affinity look better.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 21, 2009, 05:38:09 AM
Quote from: Zakeri Izayoi
It looks like Pesco was planning to turn Serpent's vote against himself, which in turn would make Affinity look better.

Wait, so to make sure I'm reading this right, you think that Pesco saw how weak my case on Affinity was, and figured that he, Pesco, could turn my vote from Affinity to himself, and so make Affinity look Townie to later analysis?  That seems like kind of a stretch.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 21, 2009, 05:46:20 AM
I know it does, but that case he made on you seems very weird in that he practically admits it was a gotcha game played on you, whether by accident or not.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Jana on May 21, 2009, 07:23:30 AM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (1): Sodium Peroxide
Affinity (2): Edible, Zakeri

Not voting: UK, Roukanken, Alice, Serpentarius

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
~43.5 hours remaining.

Careful with the walls, guys. Last few posts are getting close to the limit.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 21, 2009, 10:32:49 AM
Edible raises a good case about Affinity and Pesco. This is all that Affinity has to say on him:
- Should directly answer my questions to him. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13119#msg13119) Coaching?
- Uses case as an excuse to attack Serp. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13908#msg13908) Seems to be defending Pesco indirectly.
- Keeps his vote on KY, but notes that Pesco's behaviour has been 'weirdening'. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg14067#msg14067) Why is this the first opinion you've given on Pesco?
Pesco on Affinity:
- FPMH on Baity after he votes Affinity (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12724#msg12724)
- 'You don't like Affinity's vote?' (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12757#msg12757)
- Declares an interest in where the Affinity case goes, but doesn't do any questioning himself or declare any suspicion of him anywhere in the day (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg12961#msg12961)
- Refuses to answer Affinity's prod to respond to me (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13159#msg13159)

Zakeri is still a very 'eh' case, but there's a point in that his defense was a little too upfront. At least he's actually responding to his accusations. Add the weird Serp vote (Serp lynches scum = BAD), and...

##Unvote: Zakeri
Vote: Affinity (L-2)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Affinity on May 21, 2009, 11:38:51 AM
Quote
Affinity, regarding my stance on Pesco:  Pesco had the votes.  More lynches are good (and yesterday's events make a good anecdote for that point).

When evaluating voting posts, one must, before considering the alignment of the person he voted (if it can be known to us), you must consider the reasons.  And Serp had no reasons, other than subscribing to the law that the more lynches, the better.  This raises the question, why pesco and not the others?  It doesn't matter a penny's worth of townie credit whether or not he lynched scum, when there is absolutely no reasoning behind that decision to lynch him other than the fact that he happened to have more votes.  Rou's post is all kinds of horrible misrep.  Zakeri is interesting in that he enjoys contemplating the reflections of crystal balls.

Quote
Should directly answer my questions to him. Coaching?

Inconclusive at best, scraping sludge at worst.  Just as would asking someone to give a reasonable case (e.g Baity) be compared to coaching.

Quote
Uses case as an excuse to attack Serp. Seems to be defending Pesco indirectly.

Give me reasons why the linked text gives you the impression you have instead of me just objecting towards Serp's actions and finding him slightly scummy for it.

Quote
Keeps his vote on KY, but notes that Pesco's behaviour has been 'weirdening'. Why is this the first opinion you've given on Pesco?

I disapproved of his actions against you, during your back and forth with him, for one.  I
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Carthrat on May 21, 2009, 01:16:23 PM
dropouts :(

I think Edible is likely town because he had a good case on Zak on day one. Except in reality he didn't really make a case out of it, it was just a good point which I thought was pretty damning. Since he himself isn't going anywhere with it, I'm back to square one with him now. I wasn't liking him yesterday until that point, either. Doubt I'll want to lynch him today though.

I don't think Affinity's logic re: Serp is all that bad; it's a natural extension of yesterdays stuff on Serp (re, being okay with pesco lynch despite professed neutrality). Certainly I think it's a bit silly to clear him just because he was anti-pesco at the end. Lackluster votes, whether correct or not, aren't cool.

As I said earlier, btw, I found it odd from Zakeri that he voted Baity whilst at the same time acknowledging 'self-vote = always bad for town' yesterday. I kinda want him to clarify what he meant here.

Alice, who do you think is scum? Day is getting on and you haven't really dropped a case. Or really dropped anything, come to think of it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 21, 2009, 03:30:01 PM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat. Roukanken
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (1): Sodium Peroxide
Affinity (3): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken

Not voting: UK, Alice, Serpentarius

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Affinity is at L-2.

35.5 hours remaining.
(Also, if I don't get a replacement for UK before the 24 hours mark, she'll be modkilled.)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 04:15:11 PM
I think Edible is likely town because he had a good case on Zak on day one. Except in reality he didn't really make a case out of it, it was just a good point which I thought was pretty damning. Since he himself isn't going anywhere with it, I'm back to square one with him now. I wasn't liking him yesterday until that point, either. Doubt I'll want to lynch him today though.

It was pretty damning in the sense that it proved Zakeri had no idea what he was doing, yes.  I just don't think that necessarily makes him scum.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 21, 2009, 04:24:32 PM
Affinity, list other players who were equally scummy compared to Pesco yesterday. Saying 'there were other players he could have chosen' without giving examples is poor play.
Secondly:
Quote from: Serp
Won't object to a Pesco lynch, especially considering his late day absence.
This is condoning a Pesco lynch, not enforcing it. If he outright said 'vote Pesco, not anyone else' then that'd be enforcing it, but as is this is misrep.

Quote
Give me reasons why the linked text gives you the impression you have instead of me just objecting towards Serp's actions and finding him slightly scummy for it.
Chainsaw.

Quote
I disapproved of his actions against you, during your back and forth with him, for one.
One/two sentences in one post? That's it?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 21, 2009, 04:40:13 PM
Firstly, Carth and Affinity regarding my stance on Pesco:  I've explained this several times already, and I'm not going to do it again on a day with these settings.  I'm well aware that being "okay" with a Pesco lynch doesn't get me nearly as much town cred as actively pursuing him, but I really don't see how it could be called scummy.

I see Zakeri as unlikely to be scum just because of how half-assed his defense of Pesco was.  If he had gone the whole way and voted KY to be lynched, then Pesco would be still alive, and both would look a little suspicious, but not nearly as much as they do now.  It's sort of a WIFOM, trying to distinguish between bad town play and bad scum play, but I guess the fact that Zakeri didn't invoke it for himself is a point in his favor.

Leaning more towards Affinity, but I don't want to bring him to L-1 yet.  Zakeri looked like an obvious lynch earlier, but Affinity went after me instead.  At first I thought this was a townie sign, since Affinity wanted to scumhunt instead of just let the lynch happen, but maybe since scum-Affinity knows that Zakeri is town, he's distancing himself from the Zakeri lynch and trying to set me up for a lynch tomorrow.  The way he just sat back and said "Let Zakeri defend himself" without following up on that defense supports this.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 21, 2009, 05:45:10 PM
It looks like there's more to Affinity's post, but it also looks like the rest of it is defense from Roukanken's Analysis.

I would still like to see more on Affinity's case. It's a Valid point, Serp passively supporting the godmother's lynch since it was going to happen anyway. It's also a Valid point that I'm scum because I tried a last minute Blitz on Roukanken trying to get the Godmother off the lynch-list. It's also a Valid point that Beilos is scum due to trying to create WiFoM upon WiFoM with his self-vote.

A Major mistake I always >.>; make a lot is seeing one instance of someone that acted really scummy, and forming a case based around that. Forget the fact that I can't seem to find any other evidence even after an entire day's worth of back and forth, Roukanken is scum because he press an invalid issue! Except... he's probably not.

Likewise, the only case that turned out to be scum was the one that Roukanken had listed four good points against. four.

meanwhile, there are three major points against you today.
1. You do not talk about Pesco
2. You DO NOT talk about Pesco
3. Overbearing (God)Mom
4. Your preferred day one lynches were both townie, and followed the same amount of logic as your current Serp vote.

I also have another thing I'd like to bring up. Other's need to post opinions before I can though.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 21, 2009, 05:56:11 PM
3. Overbearing (God)Mom
You lost me.
Also you can talk now, so feel free to explain your 'other thing'. Need to go for a few hours to play chess, but should be back here after that.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 21, 2009, 06:09:55 PM
I was referring to Pesco.

I really need a second opinion on this:
Quote from: Affinity 236
Lastly, I support the double lynch KY and Baity today because I don't want to see them in the endgame, and that with their current style of play, none of them can seem to be capable to redeem themselves in the process stated above.  WIFOMs might be created horribly, and that's not something we want.
Is it really just me, or does it look like Affinity was attempting to Justify Beilos and Blender as Mislynches in this paragraph?

Also, while I was waiting, I noticed I forgot to pick up a few points.

Quote from: Carthrat
As I said earlier, btw, I found it odd from Zakeri that he voted Baity whilst at the same time acknowledging 'self-vote = always bad for town' yesterday. I kinda want him to clarify what he meant here.
I think I was speaking with memories of Real Women of Gensokyo when I said that. The one where I Joke-Self-Voted, Kilgamayan made a huge deal out of it, even though I said it wasn't serious, and eventually wound up leading to the Cop outing himself to keep me alive.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Sodium on May 21, 2009, 08:36:54 PM
Back from school, gonna post Zakeri and Affinity Day 1 stuff soon. Mean while...

I really need a second opinion on this:Is it really just me, or does it look like Affinity was attempting to Justify Beilos and Blender as Mislynches in this paragraph?
Eh, it was a valid point:Baity was...yeah, and Kanako Yasaka was Kanako Lurksaka. But I'd say that it was too early for "They will not redeem themselves in any way", because it was DAY 1. He should've given them more time before saying that they'll be useless late game, and should be lynched. So yeah, the argument isn't bad, but the time at which it was said is too early. This long paragraph is basically saying I agree, btw.

Although there is a good case on Affinity,does anyone else think that Zakeri has been tunneling him? I mean, all Zakeri has done in Day 2 is defend himself, and attack Affinity, so yeah.

Edible is acting more like Edible again, from what I can tell, so yeah. I'll change my vote after I check Day 1 Zakeri and Affinity.

and eventually wound up leading to the Cop outing himself to keep me alive.
This brings back some memories...not good ones though. FFFFF
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 21, 2009, 09:00:25 PM
Vote count unchanged. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg15120#msg15120)

30 hours remain.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 21, 2009, 09:02:02 PM
I really need a second opinion on this:Is it really just me, or does it look like Affinity was attempting to Justify Beilos and Blender as Mislynches in this paragraph?
I agree that his reasoning seems to have jumped from 'they're scummy' to 'they might be town, but they'll be liabilities if we keep them alive', and the fact he's able to say this while entirely ignoring Pesco is pretty argh. Voting players based on later WIFOMs on Day 1 is pretty awkward, and damning them for good based on D1 actions is even worse.

Another point: Affinity's case revolves around Serp getting Pesco lynched. The alternative is either a triple Townie lynch/only double lynch, and in either case Pesco lives for at least another day. How is getting the GF killed a day earlier for 'Townie cred' a logical strategy?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Sodium on May 21, 2009, 09:37:29 PM
Bleh.

Affinity:Starts off pretty good, and get worse. I can't really give anything better then what Edible has already said about Affinity and his interactions with Pesco. =| Also, I can't really add anything else to what the others have said either. >_> Yeah, I know, I'm being stupid, but I really can't find anything that hasn't been said yet.

Zakeri:Edible's 269 made me laugh my ass off while I was reading it. Thanks Edible. Now, onto business. I don't get you at all during Day 1. Why did you choose Pesco over Roukan? Why did you blame Roukan completely for Roukan vs Serp? What the hell were you trying to do? Maybe I'm just tired of and pissed about reading Day 1 too many times, but seriously, what the hell?

##Unvote
##Vote:Zakeri
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 21, 2009, 10:24:35 PM
 yArgh, nothing makes sense in this damn game at this point:

Zakeri - The way he's been conducting himself (the horrible chainsaw defence of pesco D1, the repeated "I have a theory but I'm not going to tell you guys etc" on D2, essentially everything you've said on D1, etc) makes him certainly look weird, but at this point I'm not willing to believe him being scum. Even if Pesco was the GF, why would scum do such a blatant defence on D1? So at this point I'm going to tentatively clear him, but he's worth looking into further tomorrow and later. Or as a vig target. Either works.

Affinity - What? What. What, seriously. What. While I see your reasoning... what. I disagree with Serp about the reasoning for a scum-Affinity, though. It seems artificial and requires more leaps of faith than I'm willing to take at this point.

Serp/Rou - "?" is a good summary of what I think of you two.

Edible - I'm slightly suspicious of you, as you're not as obvtown as you normally are when you're Town.

Carthrat - Needs to exist, needs to scumhunt a bit more. Seems entirely too me-too for my liking at this point.

Sodium Silicate - All of his cases seem to be primarily based off of meta, which is horrid. Appears to be doing not that much scumhunting. Not seeing any justification in his vote for Zakeri beyond "I don't know what you were trying to do so
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 10:29:16 PM
So in terms of suspicion, I'd actually say Sodium Benzoate is the most scummy at this point. However, I'm going to have to do another re-read in a bit once I'm finally awake before I slap down a vote.

Did you see this (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg13683#msg13683)?

Thoughts?  (The bit about Alert)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 21, 2009, 10:41:18 PM
Hm. Would a Scum-Pesco want a Townie-Mr_Alert promptly replaced? Not really, the replacement might be an actual threat. Best to wait it out as long as possible on someone who is not playing. Combined with Sodium Perchlorate's latest behaviour, it certainly does not endear himself to me in the least.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 21, 2009, 10:43:29 PM
To clarify, if I don't get a replacement for UK in 4 and a half hours, she'll get modkilled and:

- If she's Town, Dream ends immediately and Waking Phase starts.
- If she's Scum, Dream ends, Waking is skipped, and Dream 3 starts immediatly.
- If she's Third Party, Dream continues.
 
Also, if the Dream ends before that, deadline for replacement will extend until then end of the Waking phase.

----

Vote count:

Zakeri (2): Carthrat. Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (0): Sodium Peroxide
Affinity (3): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken

Not voting: UK, Alice, Serpentarius

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Affinity is at L-2.

~28.5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 21, 2009, 10:44:31 PM
- If she's Scum, Dream ends, Waking is skipped, and Dream 3 starts immediatly.
Why this instead of just continuing the present Dream like a standard scum modkill?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 21, 2009, 10:49:09 PM
Should we push to lynch someone before UK gets modkilled?  I'd be willing to hammer either Zakeri or Affinity, though I'd prefer Affinity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 10:52:30 PM
@Nietz: What happens if we lynch someone before you modkill UK?

I refuse to have a repeat of last game.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 21, 2009, 10:55:13 PM
Why this instead of just continuing the present Dream like a standard scum modkill?
I thought this was the usual.

@Nietz: What happens if we lynch someone before you modkill UK?

I refuse to have a repeat of last game.
Quote
Also, if the Dream ends before that, deadline for replacement will extend until then end of the Waking phase.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 10:57:10 PM
At which point, assuming she cannot be replaced, the day/dream will immediately end again?

Screw that.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 21, 2009, 10:58:18 PM
At which point, assuming she cannot be replaced, the day/dream will immediately end again?

Screw that.
No, she will be modkilled at the start of Day 3 then, I thought this was obvious.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 11:02:42 PM
I was assuming she was town, since I currently think she IS town.

Assuming she is town, at the start of Day 3, will the modkill immediately end the day?  That's what I meant to ask.

No. If she's not replaced, the day will start with her dead already, regardless of alignment.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Sodium on May 21, 2009, 11:05:52 PM
Sodium Silicate - All of his cases seem to be primarily based off of meta, which is horrid. Appears to be doing not that much scumhunting. Not seeing any justification in his vote for Zakeri beyond "I don't know what you were trying to do so
I also think he's been tunneling Affinity(previous post). And he was tunneling Roukan for Day 1 pretty much(should've added that). And why the hell did he trust Pesco over Roukan that freaking much? And it's not like any of my other stuff is any stronger.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 11:14:02 PM
No. If she's not replaced, the day will start with her dead already, regardless of alignment.

Thank you for the clarification.  I think that's the best solution.

Attention town: Let's get this over with and lynch somebody, we have four and a half hours to decide who.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 21, 2009, 11:19:48 PM
Alright, no more putting it off.

##Vote Affinity
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 21, 2009, 11:23:31 PM
Vote count:

Zakeri (2): Carthrat. Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (0): Sodium Peroxide
Affinity (3): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken, Serpentarius

Not voting: UK, Alice

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Affinity is at L-1.

~27.5 hours remaining.
UK modkill in 3.5 hours.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 11:24:04 PM
Nietz, just for convenience, can you give us a UK Lynch deadline clock as well?

<3
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 21, 2009, 11:25:34 PM
Oh wow, this is kinda bad. There's really no sign of VGT or Umu?

What're the odds of Affinity showing up to roleclaim before the UK modkill? We should hold off the hammer for as long as possible, but who'll be available at the time?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Serp on May 21, 2009, 11:28:02 PM
## Unvote

I will be.  I want someone else to place the L-1 vote in my place.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 21, 2009, 11:30:10 PM
I will be as well.

Waiting on an Affinity roleclaim might be worth it, I suppose, unless he pulls an Alice and clusterfucks the situation.  I say we give him two hours.  That should give us enough time to make sure someone counterclaims him if that occurs.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Sodium on May 21, 2009, 11:39:07 PM
Ending the Day early? Well, I'll be on if we need a hammer/vote(as usual). Better to wait towards the "deadline" then.
Oh wow, this is kinda bad. There's really no sign of VGT or Umu?
yeah, that's sorta why it wasn't umu that replaced Mr Alert, but me instead. =V
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 22, 2009, 01:12:05 AM
*cough*

Hmm...
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 22, 2009, 01:14:15 AM
Vote count:

Zakeri (2): Carthrat. Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (0): Sodium Peroxide
Affinity (3): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken, Serpentarius

Not voting: UK, Alice, Serpentarius

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Affinity is at L-2.

~26 hours remaining.
UK modkill in 1.75 hours.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 22, 2009, 01:30:34 AM
Alice?  Serp?

So much for being around.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Sodium on May 22, 2009, 01:34:47 AM
I'm here if that matters. >_>
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 22, 2009, 01:35:36 AM
Are you willing to switch your vote to Affinity if necessary?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 22, 2009, 01:36:18 AM
u? has replaced UK.

So, yeah, no modkill today.

25.5 hours remaining to deadline.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Edible on May 22, 2009, 01:39:38 AM
*fistpump*

Thanks, u?!  Now we can actually give Affinity time to claim.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: ?q on May 22, 2009, 01:41:21 AM
Oh hai.

It's Summer, but not a vacation.  I'll try to be around as much as I can, and hopefully have something ready for you before tomorrow morning.

Cut by Edible:  *sends six brofists your way*
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 22, 2009, 01:44:24 AM
Are you willing to switch your vote to Affinity if necessary?
Yeah. But no need for that for now, seeing as umu replaced UK. Hurray!

...where did everyone go? >_>

Ninja umu:Hi umu.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Serp on May 22, 2009, 02:16:12 AM
I'm here.  So, I want to hear umu's thoughts, but the real deadline is approaching too.  I'm willing to drop the hammer on Affinity, and only somewhat less willing to drop the hammer on Zakeri.  I wouldn't say that either one or the other is necessarily scum, but they're both very scummy.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: WHMZakeri on May 22, 2009, 02:17:36 AM
Thanks Youmu, much love.

Quote
...where did everyone go? >_>

Blame Pesco. We were all distracted with Maid RPG... well, I was at least.

Quote
I don't get you at all during Day 1.
Not many do :yanni yogi: You know, despite the fact that I've tried to explain my thought process a few times already.

It's true I haven't really done anything besides Target Affinity today, but that doesn't mean I'm tunneling on him. I still have my suspicions on Alice, who seems lurky and who's voting pattern day one struck me a little odd, Edible who lurked through most of day one and stills seems a little off for some reason now, and of course, I've managed to find something against Serpent. The reason I wanted Affinity to Clear up his case was because between him and Serpent, he seemed more scummy. My Vote was a Prod up until the post that was 1 part Explaining his only reason for the vote, 6 parts fending off Rou's accusations.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 22, 2009, 09:16:03 AM
Alice: What the heck, I ask you who you think is scum, you respond by not actually answering that and then telling me I need to exist more? Seriously? Your own posts today have been pretty damn lackluster.

ScumZakeri would protect ScumPesco because they are both scum and godfather is a role you want to stick around (particularly since pesco is, frankly, cop/vig-bait), and it's not impossible to get away with that. Especially in such a fluid day one, with many lynch options avaliable, and it may not take much to change one vote to another. It's not beyond the pale.

I've reread stuff on Zak anyhow. It's funny, since my mind has changed a bit; Zak's original post here (http://"http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg14004#msg14004[/url) isn't as contradictory as I first thought. "Rou's case on Pesco = bad and scummy, ergo pesco is town" is okayish, since it's Rou's actual case on P rather than simply having a vote on him that matters.

I'm more concerned about how Zak effectively goes 'oh shit' when it should really have been easier for him to explain himself, now. This isn't as bad as I originally thought, though. Moving away for now, since I can get where he's coming from with this in mind. ##Unvote

I want to lynch Alice for generally not being here today. I also want to hate on Sodium for going 'wow, both cases today look good!' and not adding anything.

##Vote: Alice for now. Will study Affinity case for next post.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 11:15:08 AM
Sup, Umu.

Quote from: Zakeri
I still have my suspicions on Alice, who seems lurky and who's voting pattern day one struck me a little odd
...Wait, what? This is the second time you've mentioned Alice ALL GAME, besides this:
Quote from: Zakeri
I was still cursing myself for being talked out of voting you from the three people I considered most suspicious at the time (You, Alice, and Edible).
I'm curious as to how you consider him so suspicious despite the fact you've had so little to say about him. Indeed, you haven't picked out anything in any of his posts, you just randomly started saying 'he's suspicious'.
I don't know how to read this - if you're scum and Alice is your buddy it could be a way of giving him Townie cred after your flip, and vice versa.
As for Alice himself? Well, I'm not seeing him contribute a lot in terms of discussion - we have one list of his current opinions and that's it. REALLY want to see more soon.

...Choosing between Affinity and Zak is proving pretty hard, but once again at least Zak is actually responding. Affinity is doing what Pesco did - shutting up entirely and hoping the problem goes away.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 22, 2009, 12:10:26 PM
Alice: What the heck, I ask you who you think is scum, you respond by not actually answering that and then telling me I need to exist more? Seriously? Your own posts today have been pretty damn lackluster.
Really, so when I said I think that Sodium Fluoride is scum that's apparently not thinking that he's scum?

Quote from: Carthrat
ScumZakeri would protect ScumPesco because they are both scum and godfather is a role you want to stick around (particularly since pesco is, frankly, cop/vig-bait), and it's not impossible to get away with that. Especially in such a fluid day one, with many lynch options avaliable, and it may not take much to change one vote to another. It's not beyond the pale.
So *terribly blatantly*, though? And in such a half-assed manner? I'm honestly seeing it as more of a townie flail than a scum chainsaw defence.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 01:29:05 PM
So *terribly blatantly*, though? And in such a half-assed manner? I'm honestly seeing it as more of a townie flail than a scum chainsaw defence.
I laughed, but it's still a WIFOM at best. As is it seems we've got it backwards - according to Affinity accusing scum is a BAD thing, and according to Alice protecting scum is a GOOD thing. Am I the only one slightly confused by this?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 22, 2009, 01:52:14 PM
Alice: Actually, you didn't. You just said mean things about him, which is in fact not the same as calling him scummy. Also, if you really thought he was scum, you'd vote him. Which you never did, instead choosing to let implications speak for you, as if hoping someone else picks it up before following through. You've been too quiet and just letting the day slip by without pushing anything.

As for Zak (edit: had lots of shit here but yes. WIFOM.)

Although I'm kinda agreeing with you on 'half-assed'. Zakscum isn't looking as likely at present.

Affinity: You've seen a case from Zak! It's on you! Judgement?

The only real point I've agreed with on Affinity out of those presented is Edible's, that Affinity was on every bandwagon but Pesco's. Links that Rou refers to seems tentative at best, except maaaaaybe the 'weirdening' thing. I don't feel scumbuddies would dump themselves all over Baity one after the other day1, either (not when spearheading multiple different lynches has such great value for them.) I don't like his lynch very much as it stands.

Would much rather lynch Alice, really, with Sodium as a somewhat distant second. Ironic, I know.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 22, 2009, 02:25:02 PM
Was busy today.  Anyways, I still don't see the case on me.  And lol at Rou saying what he said; all accusation and no substance.  I roleclaim Townie Tracker; I tracked Kiro yesterday due to his sudden switch, but no result since he was NK'ed.

Quote
Affinity, list other players who were equally scummy compared to Pesco yesterday. Saying 'there were other players he could have chosen' without giving examples is poor play.

No, it isn't.  You're missing the point, because this is not about my opinoins, it's about Serp's.  He was okay with pesco's lynch without any reasons.  You could implicate anyone without reasons.  So why not any of those other people, and why pesco?  This is the question I want to ask; and your inability to ascertain this is bothering me.

Quote
Chainsaw.

This one-word answer is horrible.  Again, I plead with you to argue the reasons for as to why I lashed out against Serp.  Just because Serp happened to be against pesco, and because I happened to, at that time, find Serp's actions scummy doesn't mean anything.  By considering merely the facts and not the reasoning for it, you are not scumhunting, you are merely speculating.  Hopefully, I got that cleared up, because tape recorders aren't cool.

Quote
This is condoning a Pesco lynch, not enforcing it. If he outright said 'vote Pesco, not anyone else' then that'd be enforcing it, but as is this is misrep.

WHY is he okay with pesco's lynch other than late game absence, which
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 03:11:49 PM
So why not any of those other people, and why pesco?
He was okay with Pesco's lynch because other people were okay with Pesco's lynch. As he put it, "Pesco had the votes", and he had no reason to believe that Pesco was Town, so...

Quote
Just because Serp happened to be against pesco, and because I happened to, at that time, find Serp's actions scummy doesn't mean anything.
Yes it does - if Serp maintained his attitude of lynching people who weren't especially scummy, Pesco would be lynched. Therefore you'd want him to change his mind on that or at least make him look bad for it.

Quote
Also, would you consider your defense of Serp chainsaw?  If not, why, and how are you not contradicting yourself in the process?
Yes, maybe it is a little chainsaw-ish. When I get into complicated situations where there are two parties I find equally suspicious I need to try one or the other, since the only thing less productive than being wrong is being neutral. I'm giving Serp credit for insisting on the triple lynch when he could have insisted on just Baity and KY.

Quote
WIFOM.
At the cost of a whole day? Seems extreme. Pesco could've been investigated that night and found Town, then he wouldn't have been lynched at all (if there's a cop).

Tracker claim is argh. ##Unvote for now. Nameclaim?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 22, 2009, 03:36:01 PM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat. Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (0): Sodium Peroxide
Affinity (2): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken, Serpentarius
Alice (1): Carthrat
Not voting: u?, Alice, Serpentarius

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Affinity is at L-3.

11.5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 22, 2009, 03:37:55 PM
Reread Zakeri, he's still suspicious like whoa, but for the reasons I've stated above I don't think he's the right lynch for today.

Affinity's tracker claim is argh, and I'm not sure if I'm particularly keen on believing it at this point, but I don't think lynching him is a good idea either at this point.

Finally, I reread Sodium Germanate and I'm still convinced he's the best lynch for today, so:
##Vote: Sodium Borate
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 22, 2009, 03:49:33 PM
I'm... the dwarf.  Apparently, I am so small that I can stealthily follow people.

Quote
He was okay with Pesco's lynch because other people were okay with Pesco's lynch. As he put it, "Pesco had the votes", and he had no reason to believe that Pesco was Town, so...

Fair, but as I see it, to claim that someone is neutral is to claim that his scummy actions are equal to his non-scummy actions, barring nulltells at such.  Not the slightest mention had been made of it.  Furthermore this links with the issue of stepping aside in the Rou vs. Pesco debate.  I would condone one of the above actions, but not both as they are inherently contradictory to each other.

---

@SP:

Questions to this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg15201#msg15201)

How did I start off as good?  More importantly, what is wrong against Zakeri with taking pesco's side in the argument.  Gosh can you evaluate the reasons for the actions instead of the actions themselves?  Furthermore, apologetic moe does nothing for me.

---

As for Zakeri, other than the horrible pesco-is-town-since-Rou-is-scum argument and going heck-it-all Rou is scum, I find his day one advances weird but satisfactory; there were many instances where he twisted Rou's out of context very horribly, but some of the points generally deserved to be questioned.  It's quite difficult to really say exactly why pesco was useless, in my opinion; I think he did a few things yesterday.

But D2 Zakeri is bad.  First of all, he suddenly drops his
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 22, 2009, 03:56:28 PM
But D2 Zakeri is bad.  First of all, he suddenly drops his

Pants?

Zakeri, you rogue!

I suppose I can buy Affinity's claim.  I'll see if I can dig up dirt on someone else, but SP's not looking so keen.  I'd like to hear from Uncertain Greek Character as well~
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 04:18:28 PM
Seems like Affinity has the same problem with Serp I did - a difference in understanding about hunting. From what I see you're looking at it like I do - players are innocent until proven guilty, but Serp's logic is that unless there's a reason to think you're Town you're potentially scum and thus you won't be missed if you're lynched (but only if there's no-one scummier). 'Matter of opinion' strikes again?

As is I suppose I've got no choice but to buy the Affinity claim. I have other suspects, anyway...

Zakeri: As mentioned before, Alice's clear based on stupidly defending Pesco is at best a WIFOM. Want to see how he responds to the Affinity claim.

Alice: See above clear of Zakeri, even after admitting he's been suspicious in other areas.
Quote
Edible: I'm slightly suspicious of you, as you're not as obvtown as you normally are when you're Town.
..I don't get it.
Also he's tunneling on Sodium a lot. The link to Pesco asking for a replacement is arguable, but...

Dihydrogen Monoxide: ...It is true that some of it holds. For new content worth noting is this:
Quote from: SP
Town, from what I can see. Reminds me of Alice in RWoS. Pretty much my reasoning for thinking Alice is town.
Firstly, meta clears are bad; secondly, if you want this to hold any merit explain how Town!Alice plays.

And I almost forgot Umu was playing. :| Feel like contributing?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 22, 2009, 04:25:58 PM
'hey guys I'm a tracker. only I tracked a dead guy, so no results, tee-hee!' colour me exceptionally dubious. Almost any other kind of claim would've seemed more plausible, really. Almost doing a 180 on my opinion of Affinity...

Quote from: alice
Affinity's tracker claim is argh, and I'm not sure if I'm particularly keen on believing it at this point, but I don't think lynching him is a good idea either at this point.

This. Nonetheless I don't wanna lynch him now either. Still, Rou unvotes, Edible instantly accepts it without a qualm... the former I get, the latter, what's going on here?

Sodium is preferred to Affinity. Kinda tentatively prefer Edible to Sodium, cannot think straight right now. Alice lynch.. clearly not happening and not sure I want to keep plugging it in light of this anyway. I'M STILL WATCHING YOU. OMINOUS!

##Unvote, ##Vote: Edible for the time being.

I am seriously curious about who thinks Affinity is telling the truth, and who is leaving him alive merely because he claimed an investigative role. Going to bed.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 22, 2009, 04:30:18 PM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat. Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (1): Sodium Peroxide, Carthrat
Affinity (2): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken, Serpentarius
Alice (1): Carthrat
Sodium (1): Alice
Not voting: u?, Serpentarius, Roukanken

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Affinity is at L-3.

10.5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 22, 2009, 04:32:19 PM
I think it makes sense with the flavor, and no one's counterclaimed. *shrug*

You'll notice my vote's still on him, though.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?q on May 22, 2009, 04:59:13 PM
Uncertain Mew had a different deadline fiasco to take care of this morning.  I'm behind schedule but reading when I can.  Apologies for the wait.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Serp on May 22, 2009, 05:10:31 PM
Regarding myself, Roukanken said everything I could have on the matter.

Regarding Affinity, I don't buy his claim.  Why would you track Kiro?  He looked like an obvious townie to me after placing the decisive vote on Pesco.  If last game taught us anything, it's that you should be extremely skeptical when someone claims a power role, but conveniently fails to use it effectively.

##Vote Affinity

(L-2)

Still waiting on some analysis from umu (Ninja'd.  Still waiting, though).  Sodium's been active, but I'd like his thoughts on everyone, not just the current favorite lynch candidates.  I don't entirely agree with Alice's focusing on the ones who were absent earlier in the game, though I can definitely see where he's coming from.  I'm agreeing with a lot of Carth's analysis, though I really can't see where the suspicion of Edible is coming from.  Zakeri's still my main runner up for lynching.

We're getting close to the deadline.  I'm willing to put my vote on pretty much anyone if it's absolutely necessary to get a lynch in.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 22, 2009, 05:51:53 PM
@Serp:

Kiro's switch to pesco was a tad forced, in my opinion.  You still haven't answered my questions about how any part of your case relies on anything other than speculation.  Also, Serp is merely stating opinions without justifying them or relating them to the scumhunting busieness, which does nothing but to raise my suspicion of him.

---

@Zakeri:

As for Zakeri, other than the horrible pesco-is-town-since-Rou-is-scum argument and going heck-it-all Rou is scum, I find his day one advances weird but satisfactory; there were many instances where he twisted Rou's out of context very horribly, but some of the points generally deserved to be questioned.  It's quite difficult to really say exactly why pesco was useless, in my opinion; I think he did a few things yesterday.

But D2 Zakeri is bad.  First of all, he suddenly drops his case on Roukanken enitrely.  Why?  Next, he uses the 'could be a fairy monster' argument lots of times in his case against me, which is really just WIFOM and fortune-telling.  Lastly, he cherry-picks the points from SP's inquiry, and disregarded the others, e.g "Why stick to pesco". 
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Serp on May 22, 2009, 06:04:36 PM
@Serp:

Kiro's switch to pesco was a tad forced, in my opinion.

That's a ridiculously vague statement.

Quote from: Affinity
You still haven't answered my questions about how any part of your case relies on anything other than speculation.

Uh...  Guilty as charged?  Only the scum know for sure who the scum are.  It's possible that you could have said and done the stuff you've said and done while still being Town, but I think that's the least likely possibility.

Quote from: Affinity
Also, Serp is merely stating opinions without justifying them or relating them to the scumhunting busieness, which does nothing but to raise my suspicion of him.

I'm stating my changing opinions as the day goes on and everyone puts out new statements.  I'm pursuing the cases on the people who I think are scummy.  Both are necessary for scumhunting.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 07:52:04 PM
Some more thought and now I'm really uncertain about Affinity's claim.

Yesterday Pesco flipped Godfather, as we all know. GFs generally appear for two reasons - to protect scum from SK/vig kills, and to mislead cops. There was no SK/vig action last night, so we can tentatively hypothesise that the latter is the case.

Now, if there is a cop in the setup, Town has 4 apparent roles - two of which are confirmed via death (Baity and Kiro). If this cop does exist then we're either extremely overpowered again or Affinity's claim is fake.

This is a theory, true, but it's enough to make me doubt Affinity's claim somewhat. I'm less afraid of the consequences of his lynch now.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 22, 2009, 09:15:51 PM
Quote from: Affinity
How did I start off as good?  More importantly, what is wrong against Zakeri with taking pesco's side in the argument.  Gosh can you evaluate the reasons for the actions instead of the actions themselves?  Furthermore, apologetic moe does nothing for me.
1.You made two posts which I thought gave good reasoning for your votes on Kanako, and gave your opinions on other people, showing that you were paying attention to everyone else. I thought they were good posts.

2.Zakeri was being stubborn and thinking that Pesco was 100% town, and he was siding with everyone who was arguing with Roukan. And his reason for voting Roukan originally was because he voted Pesco, and because he thought Pesco was town, so Roukan must be scum. Argued to death already, but I don't feel like letting Zakeri off this, because of his Day 2.

3.I'm guessing this is a rhetorical question.

Roleclaim is a bit shaky, because you tracked the dead guy which would be easy to fake, but it'd probably be better to trust it for now.

@Roukan:In my opinion, Town!Alice (at least from RWoS) doesn't post much(known as Lurker for a reason), but when he posts, he usually gives good reasons for his vote(change or why he's staying), gives opinions on most of new posts, and answers questions directed at him WELL. Unless I missed something, I think that he has all of those.

@Serp:Word Limit/10. I'll do something in my next post.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 09:53:45 PM
@Roukan:In my opinion, Town!Alice (at least from RWoS) doesn't post much(known as Lurker for a reason), but when he posts, he usually gives good reasons for his vote(change or why he's staying), gives opinions on most of new posts, and answers questions directed at him WELL. Unless I missed something, I think that he has all of those.
- His reasoning for lynching you was your use of meta (do you agree that every case you've made today is based on meta?),  and because Pesco wanted you to play. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg15209#msg15209)
- Not seeing THAT much in terms of commenting on new posts. Maybe something here or there, but seems mostly reactionary. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?action=profile;area=showposts;u=10)
- Still haven't received clarification on the point about 'Edible being non-obvtown = scummy'. (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg15479#msg15479)

So yeah. I'm interested more in how you're so sure he's Town when he's adamant in getting you lynched.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 22, 2009, 10:00:45 PM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat. Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (1): Sodium Peroxide, Carthrat
Affinity (3): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken, Serpentarius, Serpentarius
Alice (1): Carthrat
Sodium (1): Alice

Not voting: u?, Roukanken

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Affinity is at L-2.

5 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 22, 2009, 11:01:55 PM
@Serp:

Okay, fair, but in this post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg14045#msg14045), Kiro said vague things about how pesco could hypothetically know that Baity is a bomb (which is already a stretch, etc.), and has gone suddenly from slightly supporting pesco the entire game to being confident enough to vote pesco without noting down a single thing he did.  Therefore I decided to track him.

Also, you are dodging my questions.  This is not an Aesop about scumhunting virtues, mind you, it is about presenting logical conclusions from logical premises.  Your conclusions aren't logical.  You haven't even pointed out the exact faults of my case against you, really.  Lastly, for you string of opinions in post 429, there is not a shred of reasoning or justification.  For each case, why?  Lots of waffling.  If you agree with Carthrat, do you find Alice scummy?  Why don't you agree with Alice.  Et cetra.

---

Quite interesting to see Rou engage in setup speculation like that, judging that there was a Bug Cop and a Scout last game.  Theory is by no means set in stone, or even sand for that matter.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Jana on May 22, 2009, 11:34:48 PM
Vote Count:

No Change.

Deadline is in ~4.5 hours.

(Just posting quickly to say that I won't be around during deadline. However, even if Nietz isn't around either, please respect the rules and stop posting.)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 11:39:49 PM
Quite interesting to see Rou engage in setup speculation like that, judging that there was a Bug Cop and a Scout last game.  Theory is by no means set in stone, or even sand for that matter.
My main point is that we had three roles in that game - Scout, Cop, and Kavorkian Doc. If this theory holds we have four including you, and otherwise there's little reason for the GF to exist. For the same reason as with the previous game, 4 Town roles in a 13-player game = overpowered.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 22, 2009, 11:49:44 PM
@Edible:Nice commentary on Affinity's cut post

@Roukan:
-Not every single one, although I have been relying on meta too much. Also, I mostly ignored the point about how Pesco wanted an Alert Replacement because frankly, I thought that Pesco was just looking for townie cred there. Oh, and that was originally from Edible, I think, and he never brought it up again.
-Okay, I might be an idiot here. Although I was thinking more about Day 1. =| I'll do a reread.
-wait, wut? That was directed to me? Whoops. Anyways, it was more that Edible seemed like he was hiding something, although it doesn't seem like that anymore. I guess it was a combination of gut feeling, paranoia, and lack of posting.

...someone having a case on me means that I should think they're scum/enemy to town? I mean, I wish he wasn't trying to get me, and get scum, but at least he's doing something.

@Serp:
I sorta dropped my opinions on everyone before, but I guess those are dated. All of these are short though, and player lists suck.

Carth-Neutral, he's been playing well, giving his suspicions, but I like how he says he's suspicious of Edible, but doesn't actually do much about it.

Roukan-ProbTown, doubt that Pesco and him could simulate such a colourful battle, and he's been active, scumhunting,etc.

UKumu-Player needs Post Badly, and to exist.

And then I ran out of words. Yeah. >_> Other's later.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 11:53:14 PM
-wait, wut? That was directed to me? Whoops.
No, I was pointing out that there were questions which Alice left unanswered.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 22, 2009, 11:54:03 PM
EBWOP:
Quote
...someone having a case on me means that I should think they're scum/enemy to town? I mean, I wish he wasn't trying to get me, and get scum, but at least he's doing something.
So you think his attack makes sense? You have no objections to what he's saying about you? o_o
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 22, 2009, 11:55:15 PM
Quote
My main point is that we had three roles in that game - Scout, Cop, and Kavorkian Doc. If this theory holds we have four including you, and otherwise there's little reason for the GF to exist. For the same reason as with the previous game, 4 Town roles in a 13-player game = overpowered.

Okay... but dreamscape changers don't really break the game to be honest; the best I can see is that Kiro could be confirmed once the dreamscape is changed.  And a bomb could have gone either way in my opinion, especially with Baity.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 23, 2009, 12:03:22 AM
Okay... but dreamscape changers don't really break the game to be honest; the best I can see is that Kiro could be confirmed once the dreamscape is changed.  And a bomb could have gone either way in my opinion, especially with Baity.
The fact remains they're roles that are attempting to aid town. If there are really that many then almost half the Town have special roles, and that seems ever so slightly hard to believe.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 23, 2009, 12:11:05 AM
EBWOP:So you think his attack makes sense? You have no objections to what he's saying about you? o_o
I have objections, but it was true I was using meta too much, and I can't do anything about Pesco asking for a Alert replacement, can I?

And I gtg eat now. I'll post the other half later of my list later. >_>
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 23, 2009, 12:46:05 AM
Quote from: SodiumPeroxide
Carth-Neutral, he's been playing well, giving his suspicions, but I like how he says he's suspicious of Edible, but doesn't actually do much about it.

Apart from vote for him? I'll use my MIGHTY KUNG-FU POWERS to just eliminate him from the game next time, then. </sarcasm>

Edible: What does a counterclaim have to do with anything? It's not like we were told 'there is only one tracker!' or any other obvious clues. Yeah your vote's still on him but you've already said you buy the claim. Actions not matching words. Again, what's going on here, and plz to make up your mind?

Serp: Which part of my analysis do you agree with, given our completely divergent votes for... hmm.. almost the entire game?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 23, 2009, 12:55:27 AM
Edible-Neutral/Town, because he's sorta acting obvtown right now. Although he did that when he was scum. =V But anyways, he has been scum hunting, and looking for the solutions that would be best for town.

Alice-Do I have to do one of these? Because I already said stuff. Neutral/Town

Serp-Neutral/Scum, because 387 seemed like a suggestion to quickly lynch someone. Edible, although agreeing with it, asked Nietz to check if it was beneficial before agreeing, while Serp said "LET'S LYNCH SOMEONE BEFORE THE DEADLINE". Also, he pretty much avoided Affinity's opinion question by saying that he was posting opinions and pursing cases, never mind that Affinity was asking about how he backed his opinions.

Apart from vote for him? I'll use my MIGHTY KUNG-FU POWERS to just eliminate him from the game next time, then. </sarcasm>
Yeah, shit, I was about to fix that in this post. >_> I'm an idiot.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 23, 2009, 01:00:03 AM
Votecount is unchanged.

2 hours remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 01:10:12 AM
Edible: What does a counterclaim have to do with anything?

It doesn't mean anything 100%, but if there's not a counterclaim, then he's (at least) not a confirmed liar.  That's better than nothing.  The fact that it's believable is a point in his favor.

Quote
Yeah your vote's still on him but you've already said you buy the claim. Actions not matching words. Again, what's going on here, and plz to make up your mind?

I'm pretty sure I said "I can buy Affinity's claim"; I by no means instantly declared him town.  I haven't found a better candidate for lynching today, and we have to lynch someone.

My thoughts: SP's flip wouldn't provide enough information today, so I'm not presently interested in his lynch.  Zakeri we've already covered as not a prime candidate either.  u? and Alice haven't existed enough to make much of a case for, Serp and Rou aren't worth pursuing for now.  That leaves Carthrat and Affinity in my eyes, and Affinity's the better candidate there even with his claim.

So yeah, I'll go for an Affinity lynch unless we can find a better case to pursue.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 23, 2009, 01:19:25 AM
Quote from: Sodium
Edible-Neutral/Town, because he's sorta acting obvtown right now. Although he did that when he was scum. =V But anyways, he has been scum hunting, and looking for the solutions that would be best for town.

He hasn't since Affinity claimed, and his posts since then have been sort of far from obvtown. (what traits define 'obvtown', anyway? without being able to put his actions into context against those of known scum and demonstrate how they must be having town/scum interactions I can't see how this conclusion can be reached.)

Where the heck is uu? Why is my rage against replacements increasing

Ninja: Oh! So you can buy it, but you choose not to.

Also, you declare SP's flip arbitrarily won't give information and so it's not very good (way to not choose over his scumminess), and Alice has had nonpresence for like two days and that's not really alarming to you.

umu has hax, but UK's posting wasn't stellar either, you can look at that instead of him.

Frankly, if it's not you, Alice or SP are much preferred to Affinity, since if he's scum there's a non-trivial chance he'll fuck up because he claimed tracker and might accidentally track some dude with a power role, but report nothing. (Hell, that's a compelling reason to not claim tracker as scum in the first place, when I think about it. Yet he did.)

Man, even if there was a counterclaim, what stops there being two trackers?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 23, 2009, 01:22:55 AM
@Edible

Quote
Serp and Rou aren't worth pursuing for now.

Quote
unless we can find a better case to pursue.

Quote
That leaves Carthrat and Affinity in my eyes, and Affinity's the better candidate there even with his claim.[/QUOTE

Why.  The top two don't match up.  The bottom is unexplained.  Also, I don't see you questioning my defence in anyway.  What is your judgment of it?

---

@Rou

Quote
The fact remains they're roles that are attempting to aid town.

Note the rule where the more townie roles there are after a certain limit, the more it is likely to damage town.  I'm not buying this.  Furthermore, if I claimed a doc, would you have believed me, judging that you said the above?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 23, 2009, 01:25:43 AM
EBWOP:

@Edible

Quote
Serp and Rou aren't worth pursuing for now.

Quote
unless we can find a better case to pursue.

Quote
That leaves Carthrat and Affinity in my eyes, and Affinity's the better candidate there even with his claim.

Why.  The top two don't match up.  The bottom is unexplained.  Also, I don't see you questioning my defence in anyway.  What is your judgment of it?

---

@Rou

Quote
The fact remains they're roles that are attempting to aid town.

Note the rule where the more townie roles there are after a certain limit, the more it is likely to damage town.  I'm not buying this.  Furthermore, if I claimed a doc, would you have believed me, judging that you said the above?

---

@Carthrat:

Actually, you did claim tracker in the first Mafia game I've ever played... and I think you've pulled it off well.  In any case, I don't think it's fair to say that scum has that difficult a time sticking to his falseclaim if he did claim tracker.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 23, 2009, 01:30:20 AM
Quote
Note the rule where the more townie roles there are after a certain limit, the more it is likely to damage town.  I'm not buying this.
The point here is that this is why GMs don't flood their games with roles.

Quote
Furthermore, if I claimed a doc, would you have believed me, judging that you said the above?
Most likely not, for the same reasons. This is even before we consider the stigmata from Alice claiming Doc in your position last game...

Quote
Actually, you did claim tracker in the first Mafia game I've ever played... and I think you've pulled it off well.  In any case, I don't think it's fair to say that scum has that difficult a time sticking to his falseclaim if he did claim tracker.
...Wait, are you strengthening the argument against yourself?

I need to go get some sleep, so I'm going to put my vote somewhere useful before I go.

##Vote: Affinity (L-1)

Ninja:
Man, even if there was a counterclaim, what stops there being two trackers?
I really don't like this statement. Same problem I noted with Affinity - if there were two trackers we're talking 4 Town PRs which is overpowered. Sounds like you're looking for ways to clear Affinity ahead of ways to find scum.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 23, 2009, 01:41:06 AM
Quote
...Wait, are you strengthening the argument against yourself?

Nope, it neither strengthens or weakens the argument; just saying that Rat's reason for me being likely town doesn't quite hold up.  Quite different, actually; your failure to understand that is unprecedented.

Quote
The point here is that this is why GMs don't flood their games with roles.

Not neccesarily.  This game could be special, and in any case, stupid setup speculation is stupid.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 23, 2009, 01:43:58 AM
The point here is that this is why GMs don't flood their games with roles.
Except in Role Madness, I'm guessing. But those games are almost always stated as such, aren't they?

And I'm willing to change my vote if its necessary for a lynch, but for now, I'll just keep my vote on Zakeri for now.

And by obvtown, I mean that its probable that said person is town. There's never actually obvious town, and I meant it as a semi-joke.

@Edible:I doubt they'll be time for a new case in 1.15 hours. =|
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 23, 2009, 01:49:38 AM
Rou: I was taking a shot at Edible more than anything.. but yes. I'm also trying to stop an Affinity lynch today because his role, if he's scum, is a self-inflicted trap which can trip him up and even give us more info later. If town, however, it can give us a lynch for free. The rewards justify the risk.

Better to lynch him than nobody at all, though, sure.

And the game I claimed tracker as scum, I thought I had to because I was Usurper. I didn't think it was wise so much as necessary. (and in the end I was pretty lucky to win that one.)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 23, 2009, 01:52:25 AM
Also, when I look back, I find I claimed watcher, not tracker. Not really much difference, though.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 01:52:52 AM
Carth's got a good point, to be honest.  I hadn't considered that aspect.

##unvote

Hrm.  I need to reread some things, and fast.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World) [Replacement Needed]
Post by: Nietz on May 23, 2009, 02:00:04 AM
Vote count:

Zakeri (1): Carthrat. Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (1): Sodium Peroxide, Carthrat
Affinity (3): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken, Serpentarius, Serpentarius, Roukanken
Alice (1): Carthrat
Sodium (1): Alice

Not voting: u?, Edible

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.
Affinity is at L-2.

1 hour remaining.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 02:13:26 AM
ASDF.  Not enough time to organize another lynch, I'm afraid, unless we all pile on Zakeri or something.  Grumble grumble grumble.

My reread of SP was decidedly neutral (I'm starting to despise that word).  A fair bit of waffling, but at least it does look like he's paying attention to the game.  Guess I'll reread something else.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?q on May 23, 2009, 02:13:32 AM
@everyone griping: uuko is still catching up, due to various events you probably don't want to hear about.  I'm still about halfway through the game and the people I'm taking interest in don't seem to be the ones being looked at now.

I've read Rou's post 368, since that seemed to be the best summary of the Affinity case I could find.  I noted Affinity 125 already, that's a fair accusation.  The third point on Affinity is believable too.  I'm pretty skeptical of Pesco immediately defending Affinity under the guise of FPMH (tells on Page 2 and early Page 3?  No wai).  The other two on Pesco are... okay.  Overall the case doesn't seem great, but serviceable at least.  I can't claim to know Affinity's potential motivation for tracking Kiro because I haven't read that far yet.  I would not hammer Affinity of my own volition, but if you want me to secure a lynch I can do it.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 23, 2009, 02:15:03 AM
I do not think that Affinity is the right lynch for today (due to claims), would prefer a Sodium Bromate lynch today if at all possible, if not, then Zakeri.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 02:16:09 AM
Should we have both of them claim, just in case?  SP's here, I don't know if Zak is.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 23, 2009, 02:17:36 AM
This is acceptable, yes.

Argh people can we not wait this late until deadline before voting? Seriously what the fuck this is reminding me of GWU Day 4 and that is *not* a good thing to be reminded of.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 02:19:04 AM
Speaking of GWU Day 4!

Hey Nietz - any chance of a ~4-hour extension?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 02:22:49 AM
EBWOP: Alice, why's SP scummy in your eyes?  I think I missed that argument.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 23, 2009, 02:30:24 AM
30 minutes remaining.

And you already got what was effectively a 24 hour extension yesterday, remember?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?q on May 23, 2009, 02:31:24 AM
Half an hour left. Cut...
I wish I could be more of a help, as I'm not particularly fond of an Affinity lynch based on the limited information I have, but frankly we're not going to get four/five people to vote someone else. (that being the difference between now and GWU D4)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 23, 2009, 02:32:18 AM
This post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg14877#msg14877) is MetaTastic(TM) and clears people for reasons that I think are inadequate. It moves on to a case on you that lacks any actual justification beyond "oh hey you're not being obvtown so you're scum", which is certainly enough to suspect someone, but is it really enough to ##Vote them?

This post (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg15201#msg15201) votes Zakeri while never actually saying why any of the points raised against him actually make him scummy.

Then we run into his latest posts, such as this one (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=408.msg15528#msg15528), where I really do have to wonder: how does scum!me act different from town!me in the aspects you've raised? All you've ever done is clear or attack people based off of meta, there does not appear to be any actual reasoning behind anything you've ever said or done.

So yeah...I'm voting him for what is essentially an indiscriminate use of meta combined with the fact that he hasn't actually done any scumhunting whatsoever.

@Rou: last Nietz game was 11 people with 3 scum and 3 town-aligned powers. I wouldn't be so hyper-keen to lynch Affinity at a point where if he is actually telling the truth, he could garner more useful information or pull a hilarious gambit wherein he claims to track his scumbuddy and gets townie cred for it for later use and therefore confirm himself.

This is why playing the setup on D2 is, quite honestly, a horrible idea imho.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 23, 2009, 02:33:08 AM
Zakeri has one vote on him and myself, you and Edible are around, and I assume Affinity too?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 02:34:15 AM
Hmm, I guess that works.

Do we have four active players besides Alice willing to lynch SP?

Alternatively, do we have four active players willing to lynch Zakeri?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?q on May 23, 2009, 02:39:00 AM
The S.Peroxide case actually isn't that horrible.

What about Zakeri?  I've been getting mixed signals from what I've read so far.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Serp on May 23, 2009, 02:39:24 AM
I'm present and willing to switch if absolutely necessary for a lynch.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 23, 2009, 02:39:49 AM
Got back from doing something quickly for 30 minutes.

Want me to roleclaim or something? And I'm willing to lynch Zakeri, if it wasn't already obvious.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Affinity on May 23, 2009, 02:40:44 AM
Yes, I am around, and can switch too.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 02:40:55 AM
Basically, Zakeri was doing his best Chen impression Day 1, defending pesco (scum) until very near the end of the day.  We basically determined it was too bizarre to immediately lynch him as scum for, however.

I think SP's the better choice.

@SP: Roleclaim, yes.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 23, 2009, 02:43:19 AM
I'm just a Vanilia Townie. =|

Name claim is Monoe.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 23, 2009, 02:47:20 AM
13 minutes left.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 23, 2009, 02:48:33 AM
So uh people need to vote now.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 02:49:40 AM
I guess that wraps that up.  Sorry, SP.

##vote SP
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 23, 2009, 02:50:53 AM
Guys, you there? >_>

Well, chances are, the same dam thing is going to happen again:Me getting lynched in the last 30 minutes of a day! Wonderful! /sarcasm

##Unvote
##Vote:Affinity because nothing is happening, and if I don't die, we'll need a lynch
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 23, 2009, 02:51:17 AM
9 minutes.
Affinity is at L-1.
SP is at L-3.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?lice Bl?ckb?rn on May 23, 2009, 02:51:49 AM
Guys, you there? >_>

Well, chances are, the same dam thing is going to happen again:Me getting lynched in the last 30 minutes of a day! Wonderful! /sarcasm

##Unvote
##Vote:Affinity because nothing is happening, and if I don't die, we'll need a lynch
You do realise it's either Zakeri or you as most of Town that's around does not want an Affinity lynch?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 23, 2009, 02:52:48 AM
You do realise it's either Zakeri or you as most of Town that's around does not want an Affinity lynch?
There are 8 minutes left. I would be hated if I voted myself, and Zakeri is extremely unlikely to be voted. See how that works?
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Carthrat on May 23, 2009, 02:53:28 AM
I'm around. And will go for a non-Affinity lynch. Edible would be my first choice, even if backing off seems to make him slightly more towny. SP and Alice are next in line.

Whelp. Nothing for it. ##Unvote, ##Vote: SodiumPeroxide
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Serp on May 23, 2009, 02:54:43 AM
I'm still preferring an Affinity lynch, but it looks like the present pro-SP lynchers have the majority.  Oh well, better than nothing.

##Unvote
##Vote: SodiumPeroxide
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 23, 2009, 02:55:24 AM
5 minutes.
Affinity is at L-1.
SP is at L-1.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?q on May 23, 2009, 02:56:01 AM
...Interesting.

##Vote to Hammer: SodiumPeroxide
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 23, 2009, 02:56:18 AM
HAMMER KINDLY REMAIN SILENT
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Nietz on May 23, 2009, 03:15:50 AM
Atop the multitude of blue pillar blocks, a little monochrome girl silently teleports into an empty block, look around and prepares to step out of it, when suddenly someone teleports right into the tile she wanted to step into, menacingly blocking her way. She turns around to go back to the teleport tile she came from, but another person has already teleported in and blocked her way. She rushes to the third and last tile just in time to see another character appearing on it. As she backs away into a corner, two more come into the pillar and surround her.They had, apparently, decided they wouldn't trust her innocent look and calm demeanor. She looked, her heels standing over the edge, as they came closer to her. Then her face suddenly twisted in rage, she grabs one of them and tries to pull them off the edge along with her. The other rush to pull back the other one, while he tries to undo the girl's grip in his hand. As her fingers slip away, the girl's face turns from anger into fear, and finally, with a gasp, she loses her hold and plunges into the depths.

The last thing everyone hears, as the dream fades away, is her shrieking as she falls.


Sodium Peroxide, playing Monoe, Scum Roleblocker, was lynched.

Final vote count:

Zakeri (0): Carthrat. Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Serpentarius (1): Affinity
Edible (1): Sodium Peroxide, Carthrat
Affinity (3): Edible, Zakeri, Roukanken, Serpentarius, Serpentarius, Roukanken, Sodium Peroxide
Alice (0): Carthrat
Sodium Peroxide (3): Alice, Edible, Carthrat, Serpentarius, u?


It's now Waking Phase, any players with Waking Phase actions have until Sunday 03:00 GMT (~24 hours) to submit them before Dream 3 starts (in a different thread, I guess).

In other news, the NASU Challenge is back in place.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Kanako Yasaka on May 23, 2009, 03:17:20 AM
YESSSSSS
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: Sodium on May 23, 2009, 03:23:04 AM
I am Suwako Mafiya, but not really. I just thought that this name is a funny pun. =3

I am Sanae Kotiya, but actuallly Pesco cross-wait, wrong game, and I wasn't even that role.

I am Sanae Kotiya, some silly Nightvig Do-wait, bah post? and wrong game, anyways

BAH POST
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Dream 2 (Teleport World)
Post by: ?q on May 23, 2009, 03:28:28 AM
HAMMER KINDLY REMAIN SILENT
I like this.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 2
Post by: Edible on May 23, 2009, 04:33:26 AM
My Nasu Challenge high score is like 30. <_<
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 2
Post by: Carthrat on May 23, 2009, 04:41:59 AM
man

I find edible's avatar unreasonably cute
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 2
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 23, 2009, 10:00:47 AM
I kinda hope no-one beats my Nasu score, because then I'd have to play it again.

...That game is disturbing.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 2
Post by: Pesco on May 23, 2009, 10:15:41 AM
I'd attempt the Nasu game if Yume Nikki would actually run for me.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 2
Post by: Stuffman on May 23, 2009, 04:39:39 PM
New high score.

(http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/6310/nasu.png)

Going for the 1000 points wound up killing me. Seems like you shouldn't try to get it, it always requires at least a little delay, and a far fish will almost always fall when you do.

Anyway, for anyone trying the game, the best tip is that you should immediately return to the center as soon as you catch a fish to be in position for the next one that falls; also, do NOT move to catch bonus fish. Eat them when they cross your path on the way to normal fish. There's no time to waste in this game.
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 2
Post by: FinnKaenbyou on May 23, 2009, 08:05:41 PM
I am the bone of my eggplant.

RPG Maker is my body, and Yume Nikki is my blood.

I have eaten over a thousand eggplants.

Unknown to time wasted, nor known to hair pulled out.

Have withstood game overs to eat many fish.

Yet, those fish will never taste of anything.

So as I eat, UNLIMITED NASU WORKS (http://i294.photobucket.com/albums/mm114/Roukanken/Nasu2.jpg)
Title: Re: Yume Nikki Mafia - Waking 2
Post by: Nietz on May 24, 2009, 03:04:08 AM
New game thread here (http://www.shrinemaiden.org/forum/index.php?topic=480.0).